Challenge Wanaka 2015 (Feb 22nd) – Predictions

Previous Winners

Year	Male Winner	Time	Female Winner	Time
2007	Luke Dragstra (CAN)	08:54:17	Belinda Granger (AUS)	09:38:26
2008	Marc Pschebizin (GER)	08:47:49	Gina Crawford (NZL)	09:33:46
2009	Chris McDonald (AUS)	08:37:41	Gina Crawford (NZL)	09:28:27
2010	Richard Ussher (NZL)	08:34:41	Gina Crawford (NZL)	09:28:57
2011	Jamie Whyte (NZL)	09:03:53	Belinda Granger (AUS)	10:26:17
2012	Aaron Farlow (AUS)	08:41:53	Gina Crawford (NZL)	09:44:06
2013	Dylan McNeice (NZL)	08:51:18	Gina Crawford (NZL)	09:24:31
2014	Dylan McNeice (NZL)	08:38:48	Candice Hammond (NZL)	09:33:54

Last Year’s TOP 3

Male Race Results

Rank	Name	Nation	Swim	Bike	Run	Time
1	Dylan McNeice	NZL	00:46:25	04:51:26	02:56:58	08:38:48
2	Richard Ussher	NZL	00:53:16	04:53:18	02:58:57	08:49:49
3	Dougal Allan	NZL	01:03:42	04:45:22	03:01:03	08:54:37

Female Race Results

Rank	Name	Nation	Swim	Bike	Run	Time
1	Candice Hammond	NZL	01:03:50	05:09:56	03:15:38	09:33:54
2	Gina Crawford	NZL	00:53:20	05:20:18	03:21:51	09:41:08
3	Simone Maier	GER	01:05:43	05:21:40	03:15:32	09:48:50

Course Records

Leg	Gender	Record	Athlete	Date
Total	overall	08:34:41	Richard Ussher	2010-01-16
Swim	overall	00:46:25	Dylan McNeice	2014-01-18
Bike	overall	04:42:26	Richard Ussher	2010-01-16
Run	overall	02:48:04	Marc Pschebizin	2008-01-19
Total	female	09:24:31	Gina Crawford	2013-01-19
Swim	female	00:50:01	Gina Crawford	2008-01-19
Bike	female	05:08:30	Gina Crawford	2013-01-19
Run	female	03:08:59	Rebekah Keat	2010-01-16

Course Rating

The Course Rating for Challenge Wanaka is – 04:39.

Race Adjustments for Challenge Wanaka

Year	Adjustment	Swim Adj.	Bike Adj.	Run Adj.	# of Athletes	Rating	Swim Rating	Bike Rating	Run Rating
2007	03:46	00:37	-07:25	04:57	6	03:46	00:37	-07:25	04:57
2008	-00:03	01:09	-10:25	01:30	10	01:51	00:53	-08:55	03:13
2009	04:05	-03:38	-01:57	05:27	11	02:36	-00:37	-06:36	03:58
2010	00:21	-01:49	-01:14	02:57	13	02:02	-00:55	-05:15	03:43
2011	-26:44	-02:46	-22:35	-03:33	13	-03:43	-01:17	-08:43	02:16
2012	-07:48	-01:13	-07:39	-03:16	15	-04:24	-01:17	-08:32	01:20
2013	-06:43	-05:42	-09:09	02:38	13	-04:44	-01:55	-08:38	01:31
2014	-04:08	-01:06	-03:01	00:29	7	-04:39	-01:49	-07:56	01:24

Male Race Participants

Rank	Bib	Name	Nation	Expected Time	Rating	Exp. Swim	Exp. Bike	Exp. Run	Overall
1	6	Courtney Ogden	AUS	08:42:18	08:40:44	00:51:52	04:49:27	02:55:58	61
2	1	Dylan McNeice	NZL	08:47:07	08:51:11	00:46:00	04:54:40	03:01:27	111
3	4	Matt Burton	AUS	08:48:22	08:38:52	00:54:45	04:46:21	03:02:16	(58)
4	2	Dougal Allan	NZL	08:57:46	08:50:31	01:04:15	04:48:59	02:59:31	(108)
5	7	Keegan Williams	NZL	08:57:49	08:56:06	00:53:34	04:55:19	03:03:55	(130)
6	5	Joel Jameson	GBR	08:57:57	08:51:49	00:58:41	04:58:21	02:55:55	115
7	9	Petr Vabrousek	CZE	09:01:08	08:58:49	00:56:47	04:57:56	03:01:25	145
8	10	Luke Martin	AUS	09:03:03	08:53:05	00:54:05	05:02:07	03:01:51	(125)
9	3	Carl Read	NZL	09:04:38	08:59:02	00:54:05	05:05:42	02:59:51	148
10	14	Benjamin Williams	USA	09:08:38	08:58:28	00:54:04	05:10:11	02:59:23	(142)
11	16	Eneko Elosegui	ESP	09:27:48	09:28:08	00:59:29	04:58:40	03:24:40	263
12	15	Chris Sanson	NZL	09:31:18	09:28:17	00:56:56	05:16:25	03:12:57	(264)
13	11	Marcus Hultgren	SWE	09:58:28	09:47:29	01:00:46	05:10:48	03:41:55	(345)
14	17	Matt Randall	NZL	10:00:18	09:49:17	01:05:35	05:07:47	03:41:56	(351)
	8	Braden Currie	New	n/a	unrated	unrated	unrated	unrated	(n/a)
	12	Ben Logan	NZL	n/a	unrated	unrated	unrated	unrated	(n/a)
	13	Thijs Hubber	New	n/a	unrated	unrated	unrated	unrated	(n/a)
	18	Michael Fox	Aus	n/a	unrated	unrated	unrated	unrated	(n/a)

Female Race Participants

Rank	Bib	Name	Nation	Expected Time	Rating	Exp. Swim	Exp. Bike	Exp. Run	Overall
1	50	Gina Crawford	NZL	09:25:12	09:23:05	00:53:09	05:18:18	03:08:45	16
2	51	Simone Maier	GER	09:51:42	09:51:59	01:06:14	05:24:56	03:15:32	83
3	59	Laura Siddall	GBR	09:53:06	09:42:13	01:00:36	05:25:59	03:21:31	(60)
4	53	Michelle Bremer	NZL	09:54:50	09:44:38	01:00:46	05:24:42	03:24:21	64
5	57	Kristin Lemos	USA	09:56:25	09:45:28	01:03:27	05:26:38	03:21:20	(67)
6	60	Charisa Wernick	USA	09:59:46	09:56:20	01:00:48	05:35:45	03:18:13	(98)
7	52	Jessica Fleming	AUS	10:01:02	09:50:05	01:02:50	05:25:16	03:27:56	(79)
8	54	Christie Sym	AUS	10:05:24	09:56:54	01:00:19	05:29:57	03:30:08	(99)
9	58	Tracy Douglas	AUS	10:09:53	10:02:56	01:07:12	05:28:00	03:29:41	109
10	55	Larisa Marsh	NZL	10:10:47	10:00:44	01:02:30	05:33:23	03:29:53	(103)
11	56	Katya Meyers	USA	10:25:21	10:21:41	01:10:24	05:32:07	03:37:50	(148)

Winning Odds

Male Race Participants

• Courtney Ogden: 44% (1-1)
• Dylan McNeice: 23% (3-1)
• Matt Burton: 17% (5-1)
• Joel Jameson: 6% (15-1)
• Keegan Williams: 4% (23-1)
• Petr Vabrousek: 3% (35-1)

Female Race Participants

• Gina Crawford: 73% (1-1)
• Simone Maier: 13% (7-1)
• Michelle Bremer: 5% (19-1)
• Charisa Wernick: 4% (22-1)
• Laura Siddall: 2% (60-1)