Ironman Texas 2018 (April 28th) – Seedings

IMTexasLogoApril 19th: The latest startlist has a few withdrawals: Marc Duelsen, Michael Alonso McKernan, Linsey Corbin, Angela Naeth, Rachel McBride, and Caroline Livesey. In addition, Susie Cheetham announced she won’t do the double just two weeks after Ironman South Africa.

April 20th: Joe Skipper is still on the “official list”, but he tweeted that he won’t be racing. There was also another new Ironman list with a few more withdrawals: Cameron Wurf, Philip Koutny, Gregory Close, Sam Long, Derek Garcia, and Andi Giglmayr.

Previous Winners

Year Male Winner Time Female Winner Time
2011 Eneko Llanos (ESP) 08:08:20 Catriona Morrison (GBR) 08:57:51
2012 Jordan Rapp (USA) 08:10:44 Mary Beth Ellis (USA) 08:54:58
2013 Paul Amey (GBR) 08:25:06 Rachel Joyce (GBR) 08:49:14
2014 Bevan Docherty (NZL) 08:09:37 Kelly Williamson (USA) 08:54:42
2015 Matt Hanson (USA) 08:07:03 Angela Naeth (CAN) 08:55:19
2016 Patrick Lange (GER) 07:13:13 Julia Gajer (GER) 08:11:01
2017 Matt Hanson (USA) 07:52:44 Jodie Robertson (USA) 08:56:32

Last Year’s TOP 3

You can find the full results and my analysis of IM Texas 2017 here.

Male Race Results

Rank Name Nation Swim Bike Run Time
1 Matt Hanson USA 00:51:46 04:13:53 02:42:07 07:52:44
2 Ronnie Schildknecht SUI 00:53:34 04:14:40 02:43:28 07:56:21
3 Tyler Butterfield BMU 00:49:08 04:15:20 02:49:00 07:58:29

Female Race Results

Rank Name Nation Swim Bike Run Time
1 Jodie Robertson USA 01:02:31 04:43:45 03:03:41 08:56:32
2 Michaela Herlbauer AUT 00:57:57 04:53:47 03:02:27 08:59:31
3 Maja Stage Nielsen DEN 01:01:02 04:47:31 03:07:45 09:01:00

Course Records

Leg Gender Record Athlete Date
Total overall 07:52:44 Matt Hanson 2017-04-22
Swim overall 00:46:20 John Flanagan 2011-05-21
Bike overall 04:01:14 Andrew Starykowicz 2017-04-22
Run overall 02:41:38 Matt Hanson 2014-05-17
Total female 08:49:14 Rachel Joyce 2013-05-18
Swim female 00:48:52 Lauren Brandon 2017-04-22
Bike female 04:40:39 Corinne Abraham 2015-05-16
Run female 02:51:46 Caitlin Snow 2012-05-19

Course Rating

The Course Rating for IM Texas is 13:00.

Race Adjustments for IM Texas

Year Adjustment Swim Adj. Bike Adj. Run Adj. # of Finishers Rating Swim Rating Bike Rating Run Rating
2011 11:41 -02:11 19:12 -02:48 41 11:41 -02:11 19:12 -02:48
2012 14:02 -00:50 15:23 03:36 27 12:51 -01:30 17:18 00:24
2013 07:03 -01:11 16:44 01:16 30 of 46 10:55 -01:24 17:06 00:41
2014 17:00 01:02 17:51 03:54 44 of 55 12:26 -00:47 17:17 01:30
2015 09:29 -01:19 19:29 -04:34 33 of 52 11:51 -00:54 17:44 00:17
2017 18:46 -00:40 22:40 05:25 42 of 56 13:00 -00:52 18:33 01:08

KPR points and Prize Money

IM Texas is a P-4000 race. It has a total prize purse of 150.000 US$.

Male Race Participants

The strength of the field is 34% of a typical Kona field.

# Bib Name Nat Expected Rating ESwim EBike ET2 ERun Consistency Overall
1 5 Brent McMahon CAN 08:03:00 08:14:00 00:49:17 04:19:42 05:13:59 02:49:01 64% +0% -36% (11) 7
2 1 Matt Hanson * USA 08:05:04 08:31:59 00:52:47 04:20:26 05:18:13 02:46:51 24% +33% -43% (13) 49
3 14 Will Clarke GBR 08:08:06 08:30:27 00:49:45 04:26:32 05:21:17 02:46:49 29% +45% -26% (7) 40
4 2 Frederik Van Lierde BEL 08:08:51 08:27:03 00:49:31 04:17:57 05:12:28 02:56:23 73% +5% -22% (25) 28
5 20 Joe Skipper GBR 08:09:18 08:25:41 00:54:21 04:17:45 05:17:06 02:52:12 62% +13% -25% (20) 25
6 19 Ivan Tutukin RUS 08:10:34 08:32:07 00:49:12 04:33:19 05:27:30 02:43:04 25% +0% -75% (3) (51)
7 4 Tim Van Berkel AUS 08:11:48 08:22:30 00:49:51 04:25:32 05:20:23 02:51:25 79% +12% -9% (23) 18
8 9 Matthew Russell USA 08:13:08 08:41:41 00:55:57 04:19:27 05:20:24 02:52:44 41% +31% -29% (44) (82)
9 42 Kristian Hoegenhaug DEN 08:13:35 08:38:30 00:57:35 04:11:35 05:14:10 02:59:25 n/a (1 IM Pro race) (71)
10 7 Ruedi Wild SUI 08:14:45 08:25:29 00:50:31 04:26:45 05:22:16 02:52:29 75% +14% -11% (6) 24
11 10 David Plese SLO 08:16:28 08:38:57 00:54:35 04:20:58 05:20:33 02:55:55 76% +8% -16% (23) 72
12 25 Marc Duelsen GER 08:17:18 08:34:05 00:51:05 04:25:49 05:21:54 02:55:24 89% +0% -11% (11) 56
13 16 Paul Matthews AUS 08:17:33 08:50:31 00:48:31 04:25:44 05:19:15 02:58:18 26% +0% -74% (15) (110)
14 18 Jan Van Berkel SUI 08:17:50 08:31:34 00:50:34 04:25:08 05:20:43 02:57:07 69% +14% -17% (17) 44
15 8 Cameron Wurf * AUS 08:18:14 08:32:00 00:51:48 04:09:53 05:06:41 03:11:33 45% +43% -12% (9) 50
16 40 Andreas Giglmayr AUT 08:18:14 08:48:37 00:48:44 04:17:21 05:11:05 03:07:09 38% +0% -62% (2) (101)
17 15 Jeremy Jurkiewicz FRA 08:23:02 08:37:15 00:49:42 04:29:24 05:24:06 02:58:56 86% +0% -14% (15) 67
18 38 Michael Fox AUS 08:23:35 08:37:06 00:48:36 04:29:53 05:23:30 03:00:05 88% +12% -0% (6) 65
19 3 Andrew Starykowicz USA 08:25:27 08:33:03 00:49:46 04:05:43 05:00:28 03:24:59 20% +48% -32% (10) 54
20 29 Johann Ackermann GER 08:25:43 08:43:21 00:49:40 04:23:27 05:18:08 03:07:35 64% +0% -36% (9) (85)
21 23 Trevor Delsaut FRA 08:25:53 08:41:17 00:53:37 04:30:03 05:28:40 02:57:13 34% +18% -48% (28) 80
22 12 Justin Daerr USA 08:26:14 08:40:33 00:53:56 04:28:17 05:27:12 02:59:02 74% +3% -22% (34) 77
23 33 Per Bittner GER 08:26:19 08:44:57 00:50:59 04:28:06 05:24:05 03:02:14 49% +6% -45% (25) 87
24 30 Michael Alonso ESP 08:28:04 08:54:35 00:55:58 04:20:06 05:21:04 03:07:00 0% +42% -58% (3) (122)
25 17 Daniil Sapunov UKR 08:29:20 08:59:29 00:50:00 04:35:46 05:30:46 02:58:34 62% +9% -29% (9) 144
26 26 Samuel Huerzeler SUI 08:29:51 08:50:07 00:54:04 04:31:51 05:30:56 02:58:55 55% +45% -0% (10) 106
27 11 Jozsef Major HUN 08:30:41 08:46:00 01:00:25 04:27:16 05:32:40 02:58:01 79% +13% -8% (35) 92
28 46 Matic Modic SLO 08:31:43 08:57:06 00:57:18 04:31:55 05:34:13 02:57:30 38% +10% -52% (13) 135
29 22 Philipp Koutny * SUI 08:33:07 08:56:30 00:52:19 04:25:45 05:23:05 03:10:02 46% +0% -54% (7) 132
30 24 Gregory Close USA 08:36:29 09:02:36 00:58:48 04:30:21 05:34:09 03:02:20 20% +35% -45% (11) 157
31 41 Tripp Hipple USA 08:37:25 08:58:36 00:54:06 04:28:35 05:27:41 03:09:44 70% +0% -30% (4) 140
32 28 Sam Long USA 08:41:48 08:57:30 00:57:29 04:30:39 05:33:09 03:08:39 77% +0% -23% (5) 137
33 39 Derek Garcia USA 08:42:29 09:00:55 00:54:52 04:30:57 05:30:49 03:11:40 52% +13% -35% (12) (151)
34 35 James Capparell USA 08:48:54 09:07:45 00:49:30 04:36:21 05:30:51 03:18:03 100% +0% -0% (3) 169
35 27 Jesse Vondracek USA 08:49:54 09:09:49 00:55:09 04:37:39 05:37:48 03:12:06 78% +21% -2% (21) 178
36 44 Colin Laughery USA 08:50:19 09:16:13 00:56:36 04:36:34 05:38:10 03:12:09 73% +27% -0% (9) 196
37 51 Mike Schifferle SUI 08:51:53 09:11:10 01:01:45 04:36:31 05:43:15 03:08:38 86% +7% -6% (70) 187
38 47 Jordan Monnink CAN 08:52:37 09:17:38 00:53:59 04:39:05 05:38:04 03:14:33 48% +0% -52% (2) (202)
39 21 Mikolaj Luft POL 08:56:14 09:17:02 00:55:30 04:30:00 05:30:31 03:25:43 69% +0% -31% (3) (199)
40 49 Seppe Odeyn BEL 08:56:17 09:23:21 01:08:06 04:44:48 05:57:54 02:58:23 n/a (1 IM Pro race) (219)
41 36 Alexander Chikin RUS 08:56:22 09:23:26 00:57:02 04:34:06 05:36:08 03:20:14 n/a (1 IM Pro race) (220)
42 31 Blake Becker USA 08:56:23 09:18:48 00:58:16 04:38:31 05:41:48 03:14:35 1% +61% -38% (23) 204
43 45 James Lubinski USA 08:58:32 09:18:50 01:04:45 04:41:47 05:51:32 03:07:00 61% +25% -14% (22) 205
44 37 Sean Donnelly GER 09:00:24 09:57:50 00:49:18 04:36:03 05:30:21 03:30:03 5% +6% -90% (4) (273)
45 34 Raymond Botelho USA 09:03:52 09:25:50 00:56:07 04:30:24 05:31:30 03:32:22 44% +13% -43% (17) 224
46 52 Matthew Shanks USA 09:13:42 09:37:00 01:00:50 04:55:39 06:01:29 03:12:13 56% +11% -33% (8) 251
47 43 Peter Kotland CZE 09:26:41 09:51:47 01:01:21 04:49:59 05:56:20 03:30:21 80% +12% -8% (27) 267
48 53 Ohad Sinai ISR 09:44:54 10:09:42 01:02:05 05:02:24 06:09:28 03:35:26 100% +0% -0% (2) 278
49 32 Max Biessmann USA 09:59:37 10:36:10 00:53:54 04:46:02 05:44:56 04:14:41 34% +0% -66% (2) (292)
50 50 Ignacio Rubio Gomez ESP 11:04:51 11:39:26 00:54:38 05:25:24 06:25:02 04:39:49 36% +0% -64% (3) (296)
48 Sebastian Najmowicz POL n/a unrated unrated unrated unrated unrated n/a (no IM Pro race) (n/a)
54 Christopher Stock USA n/a unrated unrated unrated unrated unrated n/a (1 IM Pro race) (n/a)

Note: Athletes with a ‘*’ are also registered for another race within 8 days or IM South Africa (two weeks before).

Female Race Participants

The strength of the field is 34% of a typical Kona field.

# Bib Name Nat Expected Rating ESwim EBike ET2 ERun Consistency Overall
1 66 Angela Naeth * CAN 08:55:58 09:39:17 00:59:44 04:43:35 05:48:19 03:07:39 16% +28% -56% (6) (41)
2 63 Meredith Kessler * USA 09:02:07 09:14:01 00:51:14 04:49:47 05:46:01 03:16:06 69% +6% -25% (27) (5)
3 69 Susie Cheetham * GBR 09:02:14 09:14:05 00:56:38 04:53:08 05:54:47 03:07:27 87% +0% -13% (8) 5
4 62 Melissa Hauschildt AUS 09:04:35 09:17:18 00:58:03 04:51:42 05:54:46 03:09:49 73% +8% -19% (6) 7
5 61 Jodie Robertson USA 09:05:03 09:44:16 01:03:04 04:48:33 05:56:38 03:08:25 17% +23% -60% (4) (50)
6 65 Michelle Vesterby DEN 09:07:24 09:19:44 00:53:59 04:50:35 05:49:34 03:17:50 78% +1% -20% (24) 9
7 64 Linsey Corbin * USA 09:07:44 09:19:59 00:59:49 04:54:06 05:58:56 03:08:48 95% +5% -0% (24) 10
8 74 Jen Annett CAN 09:11:03 09:37:20 01:03:17 04:43:54 05:52:11 03:18:52 27% +64% -9% (7) 38
9 67 Jocelyn McCauley USA 09:11:06 09:25:15 00:56:26 04:56:25 05:57:51 03:13:15 45% +41% -14% (9) 23
10 70 Tine Deckers BEL 09:11:34 09:25:11 00:59:49 04:48:42 05:53:30 03:18:04 75% +3% -22% (23) 22
11 72 Lauren Brandon USA 09:16:00 09:32:42 00:49:05 04:53:49 05:47:54 03:28:06 62% +0% -38% (5) 32
12 73 Annah Watkinson * ZAF 09:23:23 09:48:01 01:00:23 04:56:41 06:02:04 03:21:19 58% +0% -42% (6) 56
13 76 Rachel McBride * CAN 09:23:39 09:41:52 00:54:27 04:47:38 05:47:06 03:36:33 100% +0% -0% (3) 48
14 71 Kimberley Morrison GBR 09:23:49 09:52:16 00:55:28 04:44:42 05:45:10 03:38:39 n/a (1 IM Pro race) (64)
15 88 Sara Svensk SWE 09:25:29 09:59:57 01:01:54 05:06:23 06:13:17 03:12:12 37% +0% -63% (2) (74)
16 77 Lesley Smith USA 09:25:31 09:54:03 00:58:30 05:10:09 06:13:39 03:11:52 n/a (1 IM Pro race) (68)
17 75 Dimity-Lee Duke AUS 09:26:25 09:39:24 01:01:27 04:58:33 06:04:59 03:21:26 78% +10% -12% (14) 42
18 68 Dede Griesbauer USA 09:26:51 09:47:22 00:54:03 04:51:57 05:51:00 03:35:51 43% +13% -44% (28) 53
19 85 Caroline Livesey GBR 09:31:33 10:08:18 01:01:32 04:58:43 06:05:15 03:26:18 51% +14% -35% (10) 93
20 87 Darbi Roberts USA 09:37:06 10:06:57 00:55:32 05:06:41 06:07:14 03:29:52 32% +0% -68% (10) (90)
21 78 Kelly Fillnow USA 09:40:43 10:04:09 01:06:28 05:07:55 06:19:23 03:21:20 82% +5% -13% (15) 83
22 84 Helena Kotopulu CZE 09:43:53 10:13:21 01:12:17 05:07:41 06:24:58 03:18:55 n/a (1 IM Pro race) (106)
23 86 Ashley Paulson * USA 09:43:55 10:06:52 01:14:27 05:13:53 06:33:20 03:10:35 72% +16% -12% (8) 89
24 89 Amanda Wendorff USA 09:49:35 10:15:00 01:00:06 05:03:42 06:08:48 03:40:47 76% +0% -24% (3) (107)
25 79 Anne Basso FRA 09:54:38 10:14:51 00:59:08 05:14:28 06:18:36 03:36:02 65% +5% -30% (19) 106
26 89 Kimberly Goodell USA 09:56:49 10:26:56 01:04:13 05:20:40 06:29:52 03:26:57 n/a (1 IM Pro race) (122)
27 82 Robyn Hardage CAN 09:56:56 10:21:12 01:05:11 05:14:25 06:24:37 03:32:19 100% +0% -0% (2) (114)
28 83 Helena Herrero Gomez ESP 10:06:21 10:33:25 01:02:50 05:32:00 06:39:51 03:26:30 42% +0% -58% (10) 131
29 81 Caroline Gregory USA 10:09:10 10:42:50 00:58:44 05:27:05 06:30:49 03:38:21 51% +4% -45% (15) 139

Note: Athletes with a ‘*’ are also registered for another race within 8 days or IM South Africa (two weeks before).

Winning Odds

Male Race Participants

  • Matt Hanson: 33% (2-1)
  • Brent McMahon: 19% (4-1)
  • Joe Skipper: 15% (5-1)
  • Will Clarke: 10% (9-1)
  • Frederik Van Lierde: 8% (11-1)
  • Matthew Russell: 6% (15-1)

Female Race Participants

Even though I had left Susie Cheetham and Linsey Corbin out of my original odds, there have been a few more high-level withdrawals, with significant changes of the winning odds on the female side:

  • Angela Naeth: 46% (1-1)
  • Jodie Robertson: 16% (5-1) 31% (2-1)
  • Meredith Kessler: 14% (6-1) 25% (3-1)
  • Jocelyn McCauley: 7% (13-1) 14% (6-1)
  • Melissa Hauschildt: 6% (16-1) 12% (7-1)
  • Michelle Vesterby: 8% (12-1)
  • Jen Annett: 5% (20-1)
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