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Kona Heatmaps

I’m using a five-level system to show an athlete’s strength and weaknesses compared to the best athletes in the field. Here is compact way to look at the data, showing the whole field in a “heatmap”. In these graphs, a darker red corresponds to more stars (faster/better chances), white is equal to no stars. This post contains three different heat maps each for the men and women: Sorted by bib numbers, sorted by expected swim and sorted by expected time in T2. This gives you a quick look at where the favorites are expected at the different points in the race and if swim or T2 leaders are likely to play a big role in the final results.

Each of the heatmaps is “clickable”, this will give you access to higher-res version of the heatmaps.

Men

Sorted by Bib Number:

Sorted by Expected Swim:

Sorted by Expected T2 Time:

Women

Sorted by Bib Number:

Sorted by Expected Swim:

Sorted by Expected T2 Time:

Ironman Hawaii 2017 (Oct 14th) – Seedings

IMHawaii_LogoThis is an excerpt from my “Kona Rating Report“, a 120+ page with tons of information about the race, all Professional participants and their chances on October 14th. Get some more information about the report in this post or go straight to download your copy here (donations appreciated).

Previous Winners

Year Male Winner Time Female Winner Time
2005 Faris Al-Sultan (GER) 08:14:17 Natascha Badmann (SUI) 09:09:30
2006 Normann Stadler (GER) 08:11:56 Michellie Jones (AUS) 09:18:31
2007 Chris McCormack (AUS) 08:15:34 Chrissie Wellington (GBR) 09:08:45
2008 Craig Alexander (AUS) 08:17:45 Chrissie Wellington (GBR) 09:06:23
2009 Craig Alexander (AUS) 08:20:21 Chrissie Wellington (GBR) 08:54:02
2010 Chris McCormack (AUS) 08:10:37 Mirinda Carfrae (AUS) 08:58:36
2011 Craig Alexander (AUS) 08:03:56 Chrissie Wellington (GBR) 08:55:08
2012 Pete Jacobs (AUS) 08:18:37 Leanda Cave (GBR) 09:15:54
2013 Frederik Van Lierde (BEL) 08:12:29 Mirinda Carfrae (AUS) 08:52:14
2014 Sebastian Kienle (GER) 08:14:18 Mirinda Carfrae (AUS) 09:00:55
2015 Jan Frodeno (GER) 08:14:40 Daniela Ryf (SUI) 08:57:57
2016 Jan Frodeno (GER) 08:06:30 Daniela Ryf (SUI) 08:46:46

Last Year’s TOP 3

Male Race Results

Rank Name Nation Swim Bike Run Time
1 Jan Frodeno GER 00:48:02 04:29:00 02:45:34 08:06:30
2 Sebastian Kienle GER 00:52:27 04:23:55 02:49:03 08:10:02
3 Patrick Lange GER 00:48:57 04:37:49 02:39:45 08:11:14

Female Race Results

Rank Name Nation Swim Bike Run Time
1 Daniela Ryf SUI 00:52:50 04:52:26 02:56:51 08:46:46
2 Mirinda Carfrae AUS 00:56:44 05:10:54 02:58:20 09:10:30
3 Heather Jackson USA 00:58:56 05:00:31 03:07:48 09:11:32

Course Records

Leg Gender Record Athlete Date
Total overall 08:03:56 Craig Alexander 2011-10-15
Swim overall 00:46:41 Lars Jorgensen 1998-10-03
Bike overall 04:18:23 Normann Stadler 2006-10-21
Run overall 02:39:45 Patrick Lange 2016-10-08
Total female 08:46:46 Daniela Ryf 2016-10-08
Swim female 00:48:43 Jodi Jackson 1999-10-16
Bike female 04:44:19 Karin Thuerig 2011-10-15
Run female 02:50:26 Mirinda Carfrae 2014-10-11

Course Rating

The Course Rating for IM Hawaii is – 02:33.

Race Adjustments for IM Hawaii

Year Adjustment Swim Adj. Bike Adj. Run Adj. # of Finishers Rating Swim Rating Bike Rating Run Rating
2005 05:05 -04:16 05:49 -02:33 119 of 135 05:05 -04:16 05:49 -02:33
2006 01:06 -05:02 04:39 -03:50 118 of 138 03:06 -04:39 05:14 -03:12
2007 02:52 -03:28 00:49 01:23 110 of 134 03:01 -04:15 03:45 -01:40
2008 -00:16 -03:21 -00:15 -00:04 109 of 145 02:12 -04:02 02:45 -01:16
2009 -10:29 -03:21 -00:13 -06:33 114 of 148 -00:20 -03:54 02:10 -02:20
2010 00:34 -03:36 02:51 -01:44 95 of 113 -00:11 -03:51 02:17 -02:14
2011 00:48 -04:15 05:47 -00:18 61 of 82 -00:03 -03:54 02:47 -01:57
2012 -08:56 -04:32 -01:46 00:43 65 of 83 -01:09 -03:59 02:13 -01:37
2013 00:46 -03:12 04:11 -00:44 68 of 85 -00:57 -03:54 02:26 -01:31
2014 -03:28 -04:15 01:53 00:06 68 of 88 -01:12 -03:56 02:23 -01:22
2015 -11:57 -04:13 03:39 -06:29 64 of 94 -02:10 -03:57 02:30 -01:49
2016 -06:47 -01:01 01:07 -03:25 79 of 99 -02:33 -03:43 02:23 -01:57

As you can see, the 2016 swim adjustment of -1:01 is considerably faster (or maybe “less slow”) than the overall swim rating of -3:43. Apparently, this was caused by moving the turnaround markers which have have shifted over the years. Therefore, it is likely that this year’s swim times will be a bit faster than in previous years and that most athletes will swim faster than the expected times (which are based on the slower swim rating).

KPR points and Prize Money

IM Hawaii is a P-8000 race. It has a total prize purse of 650.000 US$, paying ten deep.

Male Race Participants

The strength of the field is 101% of a typical Kona field.

Rank Bib Name Nation Expected Time Rating Exp. Swim Exp. Bike Exp. T2 Exp. Run Consistency Overall
1 1 Jan Frodeno GER 08:05:06 07:58:16 00:49:36 04:25:03 05:19:40 02:45:26 100% +0% -0% (3) 1
2 2 Sebastian Kienle GER 08:08:57 08:04:24 00:53:37 04:19:41 05:18:17 02:50:40 100% +0% -0% (5) 2
3 5 Patrick Lange GER 08:09:21 08:08:50 00:50:43 04:32:07 05:27:50 02:41:31 100% +0% -0% (1) (3)
4 26 Patrik Nilsson SWE 08:12:30 08:15:57 00:51:09 04:31:13 05:27:22 02:45:08 n/a (no Kona Pro race) 5
5 6 Timothy O’Donnell USA 08:15:03 08:19:34 00:50:25 04:27:43 05:23:08 02:51:55 15% +67% -18% (6) 8
6 3 Ben Hoffman USA 08:16:17 08:21:15 00:51:19 04:27:32 05:23:51 02:52:26 11% +58% -30% (7) 11
7 9 Tim Don GBR 08:16:53 08:18:42 00:50:43 04:27:09 05:22:52 02:54:01 38% +0% -62% (2) 7
8 31 Brent McMahon CAN 08:18:28 08:14:28 00:50:36 04:29:27 05:25:03 02:53:25 38% +0% -62% (2) 4
9 18 Bart Aernouts BEL 08:19:05 08:18:32 00:55:48 04:30:23 05:31:11 02:47:54 74% +0% -26% (5) 6
10 25 Nils Frommhold GER 08:19:11 08:21:03 00:51:12 04:28:14 05:24:26 02:54:45 38% +0% -62% (2) 10
11 14 Andy Potts USA 08:19:47 08:20:09 00:50:00 04:31:52 05:26:52 02:52:55 100% +0% -0% (8) 9
12 10 Boris Stein GER 08:20:11 08:24:31 00:56:40 04:25:06 05:26:46 02:53:25 49% +51% -0% (3) 21
13 7 Frederik Van Lierde BEL 08:21:30 08:22:02 00:50:58 04:29:17 05:25:15 02:56:15 72% +0% -28% (9) 13
14 28 Tyler Butterfield BMU 08:21:58 08:36:30 00:51:32 04:29:50 05:26:21 02:55:37 10% +29% -61% (5) 66
15 19 James Cunnama ZAF 08:22:24 08:24:22 00:51:52 04:29:29 05:26:22 02:56:02 78% +0% -22% (4) 19
16 15 Terenzo Bozzone NZL 08:22:53 08:24:45 00:50:24 04:29:00 05:24:24 02:58:29 3% +2% -95% (4) 22
17 16 David McNamee GBR 08:23:38 08:22:56 00:50:44 04:40:27 05:36:12 02:47:26 100% +0% -0% (2) 14
18 20 Nick Kastelein AUS 08:23:47 08:24:27 00:50:53 04:32:59 05:28:52 02:54:55 n/a (no Kona Pro race) 20
19 12 Matt Hanson USA 08:24:06 08:27:33 00:55:33 04:35:57 05:36:30 02:47:36 0% +0% -100% (1) 31
20 45 Ivan Rana ESP 08:24:13 08:30:09 00:50:55 04:39:33 05:35:28 02:48:45 100% +0% -0% (4) 40
21 22 Braden Currie NZL 08:24:23 08:28:58 00:50:32 04:37:03 05:32:35 02:51:48 n/a (no Kona Pro race) 37
22 23 Ronnie Schildknecht SUI 08:25:34 08:30:04 00:55:45 04:32:35 05:33:21 02:52:13 63% +1% -36% (11) 39
23 21 Josh Amberger AUS 08:26:08 08:42:45 00:49:31 04:28:15 05:22:45 03:03:23 n/a (no Kona Pro race) (84)
24 32 Ivan Tutukin RUS 08:26:19 08:27:03 00:51:09 04:46:12 05:42:22 02:43:57 n/a (no Kona Pro race) (27)
25 30 Lionel Sanders CAN 08:26:47 08:26:47 00:58:35 04:25:37 05:29:12 02:57:35 100% +0% -0% (2) 25
26 38 Tim Van Berkel AUS 08:26:51 08:23:08 00:50:56 04:38:32 05:34:28 02:52:23 69% +0% -31% (3) 15
27 51 Jesse Thomas USA 08:27:09 08:23:36 00:54:39 04:32:45 05:32:24 02:54:45 100% +0% -0% (1) 16
28 34 Cyril Viennot FRA 08:27:21 08:28:36 00:53:36 04:33:36 05:32:12 02:55:09 60% +40% -0% (6) 36
29 27 Joe Gambles AUS 08:27:51 08:28:22 00:51:52 04:36:08 05:33:00 02:54:51 14% +0% -86% (3) 34
30 33 David Dellow AUS 08:28:04 08:24:12 00:50:58 04:34:47 05:30:46 02:57:18 100% +0% -0% (2) 18
31 36 Marko Albert EST 08:28:32 08:27:14 00:49:47 04:33:31 05:28:19 03:00:13 93% +0% -7% (5) 28
32 17 Matthew Russell USA 08:28:38 08:36:31 00:58:00 04:32:10 05:35:09 02:53:29 20% +80% -0% (5) 67
33 59 Eneko Llanos ESP 08:28:45 08:27:16 00:51:44 04:29:00 05:25:44 03:03:01 77% +0% -23% (11) 29
34 37 Alessandro Degasperi ITA 08:31:00 08:32:50 00:54:13 04:41:33 05:40:47 02:50:13 100% +0% -0% (1) 51
35 46 Kirill Kotshegarov EST 08:31:19 08:32:03 00:57:05 04:31:30 05:33:36 02:57:43 96% +0% -4% (2) 46
36 24 Tim Reed AUS 08:31:22 08:29:47 00:51:58 04:34:14 05:31:13 03:00:09 -0% +27% -73% (2) 38
37 35 Michael Weiss AUT 08:31:35 08:32:45 00:58:04 04:26:57 05:30:02 03:01:33 96% +0% -4% (6) 50
38 29 Ruedi Wild SUI 08:32:06 08:27:19 00:51:31 04:37:43 05:34:14 02:57:52 100% +0% -0% (1) 30
39 41 David Plese SLO 08:32:21 08:33:49 00:55:53 04:34:10 05:35:03 02:57:18 63% +0% -37% (3) 53
40 11 Pete Jacobs AUS 08:32:52 08:54:22 00:50:14 04:37:06 05:32:19 03:00:33 -0% +33% -67% (8) 129
41 53 Giulio Molinari ITA 08:33:40 08:31:54 00:52:20 04:31:29 05:28:49 03:04:51 n/a (no Kona Pro race) 45
42 54 Denis Chevrot FRA 08:33:43 08:31:44 00:50:14 04:40:13 05:35:27 02:58:16 62% +0% -38% (2) 44
43 49 Cameron Wurf AUS 08:34:07 08:38:52 00:53:23 04:23:55 05:22:18 03:11:49 n/a (no Kona Pro race) 74
44 8 Kyle Buckingham ZAF 08:34:24 08:32:10 00:52:56 04:37:00 05:34:57 02:59:27 0% +0% -100% (3) 47
45 55 Michael Fox AUS 08:35:07 08:38:40 00:50:30 04:40:09 05:35:38 02:59:29 n/a (no Kona Pro race) 72
46 52 Markus Fachbach GER 08:35:25 08:33:55 00:53:05 04:36:45 05:34:51 03:00:34 18% +0% -82% (2) 54
47 44 Jan Van Berkel SUI 08:35:46 08:36:48 00:52:06 04:36:47 05:33:53 03:01:53 0% +0% -100% (2) 69
48 39 Igor Amorelli BRA 08:37:30 08:36:35 00:50:49 04:34:45 05:30:34 03:06:56 27% +0% -73% (4) 68
49 47 Reinaldo Colucci BRA 08:37:31 08:35:20 00:50:48 04:38:24 05:34:12 03:03:19 100% +0% -0% (1) 60
50 50 Daniel Fontana ITA 08:37:33 08:35:48 00:52:02 04:40:25 05:37:27 03:00:06 13% +0% -87% (4) 62
51 42 Marc Duelsen GER 08:38:35 08:41:09 00:54:42 04:40:16 05:39:59 02:58:36 n/a (no Kona Pro race) 80
52 58 Chris McDonald AUS 08:43:40 08:49:06 00:55:58 04:38:46 05:39:44 03:03:56 11% +0% -89% (2) 99
53 43 Harry Wiltshire GBR 08:49:29 08:55:46 00:50:37 04:47:51 05:43:28 03:06:01 27% +0% -73% (2) 136
54 40 Thiago Vinhal BRA 08:49:33 08:57:06 00:52:54 04:51:33 05:49:26 03:00:07 n/a (no Kona Pro race) 141
55 56 Kaito Tohara JPN 08:51:37 09:03:02 00:57:06 04:53:06 05:55:11 02:56:26 n/a (no Kona Pro race) 162
56 48 Patrick Evoe USA 08:53:58 08:53:21 00:59:02 04:41:16 05:45:19 03:08:39 0% +0% -100% (1) 125

Female Race Participants

The strength of the field is 96% of a typical Kona field.

Rank Bib Name Nation Expected Time Rating Exp. Swim Exp. Bike Exp. T2 Exp. Run Consistency Overall
1 101 Daniela Ryf SUI 08:49:21 08:42:55 00:55:03 04:49:17 05:49:19 03:00:02 100% +0% -0% (3) 1
2 113 Rachel Joyce GBR 09:09:10 09:17:35 00:55:39 05:01:53 06:02:32 03:06:38 90% +10% -0% (7) 10
3 105 Heather Jackson USA 09:10:43 09:12:04 01:01:48 04:57:45 06:04:33 03:06:10 62% +38% -0% (2) 4
4 103 Kaisa Sali FIN 09:11:30 09:09:12 01:00:16 05:04:08 06:09:24 03:02:06 100% +0% -0% (1) 3
5 108 Anja Beranek GER 09:15:54 09:22:06 00:55:12 04:57:20 05:57:32 03:18:22 74% +0% -26% (3) 22
6 133 Melissa Hauschildt AUS 09:16:12 09:15:51 00:59:46 05:02:51 06:07:37 03:08:35 0% +0% -100% (1) 8
7 107 Susie Cheetham GBR 09:16:39 09:15:04 00:57:26 05:08:07 06:10:33 03:06:06 38% +0% -62% (2) 7
8 118 Lucy Charles GBR 09:18:10 09:22:59 00:51:11 05:01:50 05:58:01 03:20:09 n/a (no Kona Pro race) 23
9 106 Michelle Vesterby DEN 09:18:16 09:20:01 00:55:28 05:02:51 06:03:19 03:14:57 91% +9% -0% (5) 13
10 117 Carrie Lester AUS 09:18:56 09:17:30 00:58:02 05:03:46 06:06:48 03:12:08 100% +0% -0% (2) 9
11 104 Sarah Piampiano USA 09:20:28 09:22:04 01:06:32 05:03:13 06:14:45 03:05:43 65% +35% -0% (3) 21
12 121 Camilla Pedersen DEN 09:22:20 09:20:16 00:55:11 05:03:44 06:03:55 03:18:25 100% +0% -0% (2) 14
13 102 Sarah Crowley AUS 09:23:03 09:21:24 01:00:17 05:02:34 06:07:52 03:15:11 100% +0% -0% (1) 18
14 122 Asa Lundstroem SWE 09:23:11 09:25:55 01:04:24 05:04:34 06:13:58 03:09:13 100% +0% -0% (3) 28
15 115 Laura Siddall GBR 09:23:25 09:28:23 01:01:33 05:00:50 06:07:23 03:16:02 n/a (no Kona Pro race) 36
16 110 Linsey Corbin USA 09:23:40 09:20:35 01:02:30 05:07:33 06:15:03 03:08:37 99% +1% -1% (10) 16
17 123 Corinne Abraham GBR 09:24:04 09:21:18 01:03:10 05:07:01 06:15:11 03:08:53 100% +0% -0% (1) 17
18 136 Jocelyn McCauley USA 09:24:18 09:39:01 01:00:10 05:11:06 06:16:16 03:08:02 n/a (no Kona Pro race) 49
19 132 Diana Riesler GER 09:25:15 09:26:00 01:01:47 05:00:51 06:07:38 03:17:37 0% +0% -100% (1) 31
20 112 Elizabeth Lyles USA 09:25:23 09:23:26 01:00:30 05:09:12 06:14:42 03:10:41 54% +0% -46% (4) 24
21 126 Sonja Tajsich GER 09:27:13 09:25:59 01:06:21 05:04:42 06:16:04 03:11:09 57% +0% -43% (5) 30
22 114 Annabel Luxford AUS 09:27:52 09:28:15 00:54:51 05:03:10 06:03:01 03:24:51 38% +0% -62% (2) 35
23 119 Astrid Stienen GER 09:28:42 09:27:47 01:03:15 05:03:26 06:11:42 03:17:00 0% +0% -100% (1) 34
24 124 Maja Stage Nielsen DEN 09:29:04 09:36:23 01:03:16 05:06:28 06:14:44 03:14:20 n/a (no Kona Pro race) (45)
25 138 Haley Chura USA 09:30:15 09:27:09 00:53:45 05:11:41 06:10:26 03:19:49 27% +0% -73% (2) 33
26 109 Michaela Herlbauer AUT 09:30:33 09:25:40 01:00:10 05:12:39 06:17:49 03:12:44 100% +0% -0% (1) 27
27 111 Leanda Cave GBR 09:31:04 09:31:04 00:54:50 05:09:06 06:08:56 03:22:08 30% +5% -65% (10) 38
28 128 Mareen Hufe GER 09:31:42 09:29:28 01:04:17 05:00:45 06:10:02 03:21:40 77% +0% -23% (3) 37
29 130 Lauren Brandon USA 09:32:25 09:32:38 00:51:22 05:08:34 06:04:56 03:27:29 n/a (no Kona Pro race) 40
30 116 Jodie Robertson USA 09:33:48 09:32:45 01:06:48 05:11:52 06:23:40 03:10:08 100% +0% -0% (1) (41)
31 120 Alexandra Tondeur BEL 09:36:34 09:32:54 01:03:55 05:14:28 06:23:23 03:13:11 100% +0% -0% (1) 41
32 134 Celine Schaerer SUI 09:40:00 09:42:18 00:54:46 05:18:04 06:17:50 03:22:10 n/a (no Kona Pro race) 57
33 127 Dimity-Lee Duke AUS 09:40:11 09:39:11 01:03:51 05:11:55 06:20:46 03:19:25 100% +0% -0% (2) 50
34 131 Alicia Kaye USA 09:41:20 09:37:25 00:55:16 05:12:00 06:12:15 03:29:05 100% +0% -0% (1) 47
35 125 Kristin Moeller GER 09:41:46 09:41:10 01:07:55 05:24:54 06:37:49 03:03:57 100% +0% -0% (4) 56
36 129 Gurutze Frades Larralde ESP 09:44:08 09:39:43 01:04:50 05:16:01 06:25:52 03:18:16 0% +0% -100% (1) 53
37 140 Jeanne Collonge FRA 09:45:30 09:54:08 01:03:16 05:10:12 06:18:28 03:27:02 n/a (no Kona Pro race) 78
38 139 Nikki Bartlett GBR 09:46:49 09:48:22 01:04:44 05:10:53 06:20:37 03:26:12 n/a (no Kona Pro race) 70
39 135 Katharina Grohmann GER 09:52:30 09:57:31 01:15:38 05:15:43 06:36:20 03:16:10 n/a (no Kona Pro race) 81

Ironman Taiwan 2017 – Analyzing Results

IMTaiwanCourse Conditions

The main challenge on the IM Taiwan course is a very slow run course, probably caused by the tough climate. The run adjustment of -23:34 means that Kevin Collington’s marathon of 3:07 corresponds to a 2:44 on a “neutral” run course – making it one of the best run performances of this year. Kevin also posted a new swim course record.

On the female side, Laurel Wassner posted a new bike course record, she almost broke five hours and improved on Dede Griesbauer’s 5:05 bike split from 2015. 

Male Race Results

Rank Name Nation Swim Bike Run Time Diff to exp. Prize Money KPR Points
1 Kevin Collington USA 00:48:30 04:34:29 03:07:27 08:34:39 -21:39 US$ 5,000 2000
2 Marino Vanhoenacker BEL 00:51:40 04:37:49 03:12:50 08:46:40 09:35 US$ 2,750 1600
3 Simon Cochrane NZL 00:51:42 04:46:46 03:26:28 09:09:46 -01:36 US$ 1,750 1280
4 Mikolaj Luft POL 00:56:02 04:34:03 03:54:58 09:28:49 09:46 US$ 1,250 960
5 Guy Crawford NZL 00:51:39 04:46:48 04:03:49 09:46:54 23:35 US$ 1,000 720
6 Zsombor Deak ROM 00:59:31 05:16:42 03:53:05 10:13:59 -01:54 US$ 750 540
7 Balazs Csoke HUN 00:48:33 05:58:23 03:40:13 10:33:35 1:08:38   405
8 Cyril Pochon FRA 00:56:04 05:10:13 04:28:47 10:41:09 -00:25   305
9 Yu Shinozaki JPN 00:59:26 04:49:15 05:31:27 11:25:14 1:12:23   230
10 Daniel Brown AUS 01:09:44 06:04:12 06:10:52 13:38:44 1:11:44   170
  Jaroslav Kovacic SLO 00:48:32 04:36:01   DNF      

Female Race Results

Rank Name Nation Swim Bike Run Time Diff to exp. Prize Money KPR Points
1 Laurel Wassner USA 00:54:26 05:00:40 03:49:13 09:50:21 -18:06 US$ 5,000 2000
2 Kate Bevilaqua AUS 00:57:45 05:26:03 04:06:36 10:36:13 02:28 US$ 2,750 1600
3 Charlotte Morel FRA 00:54:30 05:10:01 04:42:59 10:54:25 n/a US$ 1,750 1280
4 Danielle Mack USA 01:04:41 05:29:23 05:05:48 11:44:30 1:37:46 US$ 1,250 960
  Annah Watkinson ZAF 00:57:50 05:13:21   DNF      
  Brooke Brown CAN 01:07:40     DNF      

Ironman Barcelona 2017 – Analyzing Results

IMBarcelonaRace Conditions

The main feature of the IM Barcelona course is a blazingly fast bike course, and this year was no exception: This year’s bike adjustment of 26:01 is very close to the average Barcelona bike rating of 25:53, and the overall adjustment of 21:31 is just slightly slower than the course rating of 23:10. In summary, this year’s conditions were typical for Barcelona.

We’ve seen a number of new records from this year’s race. Mike Phillips posted a new bike course record, his 4:09 improved on Johannes Ackermann’s 4:12 from 2016. Antony Costes was also under the old bike record, his winning time of 7:49 improved on the overall course record of 7:55 by Patrik Nilsson (also from last year).

On the female side Kate Comber set a new swim course record, there were three athletes who improved on Astrid Stienen’s 4:40 from last year, and Yvonne Van Vlerken broke her own course record from 2015 by 26 seconds.

Male Race Results

Rank Name Nation Swim Bike Run Time Diff to exp. Prize Money KPR Points
1 Antony Costes FRA 00:48:05 04:09:58 02:46:50 07:49:19 -1:16:08 US$ 8,000 2000
2 Mike Phillips NZL 00:47:56 04:09:55 02:50:25 07:52:50 -22:50 US$ 4,000 1600
3 Viktor Zyemtsev UKR 00:48:08 04:17:56 02:47:34 07:58:03 -08:26 US$ 3,000 1280
4 Miquel Blanchart Tinto ESP 00:48:08 04:19:53 02:49:33 08:02:03 -15:13 US$ 2,500 960
5 Bas Diederen NED 00:48:05 04:17:52 02:54:17 08:04:51 -08:51 US$ 1,500 720
6 Joe Skipper GBR 00:50:38 04:17:18 03:02:21 08:15:17 09:07 US$ 1,000 540
7 Horst Reichel GER 00:47:56 04:18:02 03:06:01 08:16:10 -10:35   405
8 Marc Unger GER 00:50:26 04:17:27 03:06:43 08:19:07 -1:02:42   305
9 Michael Ruenz GER 00:53:50 04:29:26 02:57:26 08:25:52 -00:28   230
10 Cedric Lassonde FRA 00:50:36 04:26:37 03:06:49 08:28:59 -10:39   170
11 Sven Riederer SUI 00:47:59 04:17:59 03:17:54 08:29:06 n/a   120
12 Lucas Amirault FRA 00:50:35 04:24:39 03:10:08 08:30:23 -13:42   85
13 Nicholas Ward Munoz GBR 00:53:48 04:36:14 02:55:14 08:30:47 -05:38   60
14 Philip Graves GBR 00:48:04 04:15:40 03:31:22 08:40:15 11:52   40
15 Andreas Borch DEN 00:50:32 04:44:34 03:01:09 08:41:09 -11:25   30
16 Thomas Bosch GER 00:56:54 04:29:26 03:11:07 08:42:54 -01:16   20
17 David De Grooff BEL 00:50:26 04:43:45 03:05:02 08:44:23 n/a   15
18 Enric Gussinyer ESP 00:50:20 04:33:05 03:15:43 08:46:25 -26:06   10
19 Peter Seidel GER 00:50:35 04:48:43 03:02:23 08:47:20 -03:17   8
20 John Manuel Galindo Rooney ESP 00:48:02 04:46:51 03:09:59 08:50:25 -29:10   5
21 Mads Bang Jensen DEN 00:54:09 04:40:09 03:14:09 08:54:27 -40:38   3
22 Rasmus Fitzner DEN 00:54:02 04:41:11 03:13:55 08:54:42 n/a   3
23 Allan Hovda NOR 00:55:46 04:27:53 03:27:51 08:56:20 04:11   3
24 Benoit Bigot FRA 00:50:31 04:43:26 03:17:34 08:56:33 n/a   3
25 Filip Przymusinski POL 00:50:19 04:43:39 03:19:26 08:59:53 04:57   3
26 Julien Pousson FRA 00:48:04 04:45:58 03:23:04 09:02:38 n/a   3
27 Kit Walker GBR 00:52:39 04:54:38 03:22:58 09:16:40 n/a   3
28 Dirk Baelus BEL 00:55:56 04:39:23 03:36:38 09:18:29 14:55   3
29 Sviatoslav Tsvetkov UKR 00:50:41 05:05:30 03:19:40 09:21:05 n/a   3
30 Ivan Jezko SVK 00:56:50 04:42:19 03:44:15 09:30:05 16:33   3
31 Erik Holmberg SWE 00:53:58 04:32:21 04:00:53 09:32:26 46:24   2
32 Michal Ivanco SVK 01:16:33 04:50:37 03:20:17 09:34:34 -17:54   2
33 Valentin Zasypkin RUS 01:04:26 04:55:35 03:41:12 09:46:39 -03:59   2
34 Ohad Sinai ISR 01:01:00 04:51:26 03:53:19 09:52:05 19:42   2
35 Marek Nemcik SVK 01:13:45 04:52:57 04:12:23 10:28:16 -55:52   2
36 Denis Surkov RUS 01:21:56 05:05:38 04:03:36 10:45:02 n/a   2
  Bertrand Billard FRA 00:48:07 04:17:54   DNF      
  Sebastian Norberg SWE 00:53:42 04:20:47   DNF      
  Remmert Wielinga NED 01:04:38 04:20:14   DNF      
  Alain Djouad-Guibert MOR 01:04:26 04:46:58   DNF      
  Herve Faure FRA 00:48:09 08:52:13   DNF      
  Daniel Niederreiter AUT 00:50:16     DNF      
  Markus Liebelt GER 00:50:32     DNF      
  Matt Burton AUS 00:53:50     DNF      
  Lluis Vila Aguilar ESP 00:56:18     DNF      
  Imanol Sagarzazu ESP 00:56:47     DNF      

Female Race Results

Rank Name Nation Swim Bike Run Time Diff to exp. Prize Money KPR Points
1 Yvonne Van Vlerken NED 00:55:44 04:41:17 03:05:01 08:46:18 -08:38 US$ 8,000 2000
2 Lisa Huetthaler AUT 00:53:49 04:36:41 03:16:21 08:51:21 -05:35 US$ 4,000 1600
3 Daniela Saemmler GER 00:52:25 04:37:56 03:20:11 08:55:11 -12:46 US$ 3,000 1280
4 Katja Konschak GER 00:52:11 04:54:40 03:03:27 08:57:12 -29:15 US$ 2,500 960
5 Kimberley Morrison GBR 00:52:28 04:37:22 03:37:17 09:12:49 n/a US$ 1,500 720
6 Ewa Bugdol POL 00:52:14 04:57:47 03:20:47 09:15:57 n/a US$ 1,000 540
7 Lilia Baranovska UKR 00:57:33 04:55:24 03:30:14 09:29:28 n/a   405
8 Merce Tusell FRA 01:06:03 05:02:20 03:15:03 09:29:57 n/a   305
9 Kamila Polak AUT 00:58:54 04:58:21 03:33:59 09:37:59 01:36   230
10 Olga Kowalska POL 01:04:10 05:07:57 03:20:17 09:38:20 -09:08   170
11 Kate Comber GBR 00:52:06 05:12:15 03:30:23 09:40:56 08:45   120
12 Palmira Alvarez MEX 01:06:05 04:59:21 03:37:11 09:49:19 -13:54   85
13 Julie Stephan FRA 00:55:42 05:16:33 03:41:24 10:01:00 n/a   60
14 Jenny Nilsson SWE 01:05:00 05:15:02 03:58:00 10:24:03 n/a   40
15 Ekaterina Alekseeva RUS 01:23:54 05:49:46 03:16:18 10:37:07 n/a   30
16 Rachel Hallam GBR 00:55:44 05:00:53 04:38:44 10:41:20 n/a   20
17 Annabel Diawuoh GER 01:28:06 05:06:35 04:03:12 10:46:30 -19:59   15
18 Jessica Ahlund SWE 00:58:57 05:23:20 04:38:10 11:09:04 35:10   10
  Camille Deligny FRA 01:02:13 04:43:00   DNF      
  Sara Svensk SWE 00:59:18 04:46:58   DNF      
  Judith Vaquera ESP 00:52:11 04:56:33   DNF      
  Kari Lingsom NOR 00:53:45 05:08:25   DNF      
  Helena Herrero Gomez ESP 01:02:24 05:02:30   DNF      
  Manon Genet FRA 00:55:39     DNF      

Ironman Louisville 2018 (Oct 15th) – Seedings

IMLouPrevious Winners

Year Male Winner Time Female Winner Time
2007 Chris McDonald (AUS) 08:38:40 Heather Gollnick (USA) 09:23:25
2008 Maximilian Longree (GER) 08:34:00 Mariska Kramer-Postma (NED) 09:54:19
2009 Viktor Zyemtsev (UKR) 08:25:27 Nina Kraft (GER) 09:20:21
2010 Paul Ambrose (AUS) 08:29:59 Rebekah Keat (AUS) 09:33:15
2011 Chris McDonald (AUS) 08:27:36 Nina Kraft (GER) 09:38:14
2012 Patrick Evoe (USA) 08:42:44 Bree Wee (USA) 09:36:27
2013 Chris McDonald (AUS) 08:21:34 Kate Bevilaqua (AUS) 09:29:02
2014 Chris McDonald (AUS) 08:40:51 Nina Kraft (GER) 09:31:19

Last Race’s TOP 3 (from 2014)

Male Race Results

Rank Name Nation Swim Bike Run Time
1 Chris McDonald AUS 00:48:28 04:39:01 03:08:27 08:40:51
2 Thomas Gerlach USA 00:48:30 04:39:16 03:07:40 08:41:07
3 Patrick Evoe USA 00:51:39 04:35:36 03:16:59 08:49:27

Female Race Results

Rank Name Nation Swim Bike Run Time
1 Nina Kraft GER 00:46:51 05:14:41 03:23:30 09:31:19
2 Jackie Hering USA 00:48:09 05:19:06 03:30:03 09:43:25
3 Caroline Gregory USA 00:53:19 05:31:29 03:16:55 09:47:02

Course Records

Leg Gender Record Athlete Date
Total overall 08:21:34 Chris McDonald 2013-08-25
Swim overall 00:44:54 John Flanagan 2009-08-28
Bike overall 04:29:14 Chris McDonald 2013-08-25
Run overall 02:43:48 Viktor Zyemtsev 2009-08-28
Total female 09:20:21 Nina Kraft 2009-08-28
Swim female 00:46:51 Nina Kraft 2014-08-24
Bike female 05:02:24 Lisbeth Kristensen 2009-08-28
Run female 03:05:07 Kim Loeffler 2009-08-28

Course Rating

The Course Rating for IM Louisville is 05:22.

Race Adjustments for IM Louisville

Year Adjustment Swim Adj. Bike Adj. Run Adj. # of Finishers Rating Swim Rating Bike Rating Run Rating
2007 03:39 01:14 03:45 -06:10 26 03:39 01:14 03:45 -06:10
2008 -03:10 -01:42 03:32 -10:18 28 00:15 -00:14 03:39 -08:14
2009 07:42 -01:14 03:49 02:42 37 02:44 -00:34 03:42 -04:35
2010 -01:16 -00:29 04:55 -09:22 21 01:44 -00:33 04:00 -05:47
2011 11:56 01:27 06:58 00:02 16 03:46 -00:09 04:36 -04:37
2012 06:12 -02:00 05:06 -05:10 17 04:10 -00:27 04:41 -04:43
2013 08:11 04:48 06:43 02:18 21 04:45 00:18 04:58 -03:43
2014 09:44 06:26 08:16 -05:51 17 of 23 05:22 01:04 05:23 -03:59

KPR points and Prize Money

IM Louisville is a P-2000 race. It has a total prize purse of 40.000 US$.

Male Race Participants

The strength of the field is 3% of a typical Kona field.

Rank Bib Name Nation Expected Time Rating Exp. Swim Exp. Bike Exp. T2 Exp. Run Consistency Overall
1 6 Maurice Clavel GER 08:15:31 08:33:05 00:47:21 04:22:37 05:14:58 03:00:33 n/a (1 IM Pro race) (52)
2 7 Joe Skipper GBR 08:18:53 08:25:54 00:52:09 04:29:26 05:26:35 02:52:18 51% +16% -33% (18) 24
3 4 Callum Millward NZL 08:26:05 08:32:50 00:47:33 04:34:57 05:27:30 02:58:35 64% +0% -36% (8) 49
4 10 Michael Van Cleven BEL 08:28:06 08:51:01 00:48:51 04:28:48 05:22:39 03:05:27 23% +38% -39% (4) (110)
5 15 Stephen Kilshaw CAN 08:30:27 08:51:27 00:51:42 04:34:39 05:31:21 02:59:06 20% +53% -28% (11) 113
6 1 Andrew Starykowicz USA 08:33:23 08:38:42 00:47:46 04:15:50 05:08:35 03:24:48 26% +31% -43% (9) 72
7 20 Konstantin Bachor GER 08:35:56 08:53:02 00:49:21 04:29:10 05:23:31 03:12:25 39% +4% -58% (13) 121
8 25 Eric Limkemann USA 08:38:03 08:48:30 00:47:32 04:35:07 05:27:39 03:10:24 75% +16% -9% (6) (98)
9 18 Markus Thomschke GER 08:39:07 08:57:50 00:52:02 04:32:52 05:29:54 03:09:13 29% +26% -45% (19) (145)
10 19 Jonathan Shearon USA 08:40:14 08:56:32 00:52:24 04:35:11 05:32:35 03:07:39 55% +8% -37% (18) 137
11 26 Fabian Rahn GER 08:41:19 08:54:21 00:58:21 04:42:10 05:45:31 02:55:48 63% +0% -37% (3) (127)
12 3 Jozsef Major HUN 08:42:26 08:50:33 00:58:16 04:38:08 05:41:24 03:01:02 69% +19% -12% (33) 108
13 2 Paul Ambrose AUS 08:42:35 08:49:17 00:49:40 04:37:00 05:31:40 03:10:55 57% +2% -42% (24) 101
14 8 Karl-Johan Danielsson SWE 08:43:17 08:57:41 00:49:54 04:32:58 05:27:52 03:15:25 47% +20% -33% (15) 144
15 22 Patrick Jaberg SUI 08:46:19 08:58:17 00:52:13 04:39:01 05:36:14 03:10:05 74% +24% -2% (19) 148
16 5 Thomas Gerlach USA 08:46:51 08:54:38 00:52:54 04:37:48 05:35:42 03:11:09 41% +12% -47% (23) 130
17 17 Tripp Hipple USA 08:47:26 09:00:42 00:51:52 04:39:54 05:36:45 03:10:41 100% +0% -0% (2) (156)
18 9 Jordan Monnink CAN 08:52:31 09:11:24 00:51:29 04:48:30 05:45:00 03:07:31 n/a (1 IM Pro race) (189)
19 13 Greg Close USA 08:53:08 09:06:28 00:56:19 04:46:09 05:47:28 03:05:40 32% +27% -41% (9) 169
20 43 Lars Vold NOR 08:54:43 09:02:55 00:52:25 04:41:40 05:39:05 03:15:38 100% +0% -0% (3) 160
21 40 Josh Terwoord USA 08:57:11 09:16:15 01:01:15 04:54:58 06:01:13 02:55:58 n/a (1 IM Pro race) (202)
22 11 Chad Holderbaum USA 08:59:37 09:08:46 00:53:35 04:45:31 05:44:06 03:15:31 77% +4% -20% (15) 175
23 37 Jesse Vondracek USA 09:00:12 09:15:05 00:52:53 04:48:26 05:46:18 03:13:54 66% +32% -3% (19) 198
24 12 Mike Schifferle SUI 09:01:55 09:10:26 00:58:58 04:46:45 05:50:43 03:11:12 86% +7% -6% (70) 184
25 14 Colin Laughery USA 09:02:58 09:16:13 00:54:52 04:48:39 05:48:31 03:14:27 73% +27% -0% (9) 200
26 16 Adam Otstot USA 09:04:41 09:17:50 00:52:30 04:58:24 05:55:54 03:08:47 100% +0% -0% (2) (204)
27 21 Daniel Clarke CAN 09:04:52 09:41:37 00:55:52 04:45:26 05:46:17 03:18:35 49% +0% -51% (2) (268)
28 39 Douglas MacLean USA 09:12:01 09:21:44 00:56:29 04:58:25 05:59:54 03:12:07 97% +3% -0% (16) 217
29 24 Ryan Rau USA 09:13:40 09:23:40 00:58:42 04:56:36 06:00:18 03:13:22 98% +2% -0% (8) 222
30 38 Blake Becker USA 09:13:42 09:30:29 00:55:45 04:51:53 05:52:39 03:21:03 1% +47% -52% (22) 249
31 28 Scott Cooper CAN 09:18:13 09:43:48 00:59:34 05:00:32 06:05:06 03:13:07 48% +0% -52% (2) (272)
32 23 Vinicius Canhedo BRA 09:19:28 09:45:06 00:49:59 04:53:21 05:48:21 03:31:07 34% +0% -66% (3) (276)
33 32 Patrick Schuster USA 09:22:23 09:43:57 01:02:32 04:50:16 05:57:48 03:24:35 74% +13% -13% (9) 272
34 35 Patrick Brady USA 09:25:31 10:04:44 01:03:07 04:50:37 05:58:43 03:26:48 33% +0% -67% (3) (296)
33 Matt Shanks USA 09:27:21 unrated 00:58:00 05:06:02 06:09:03 03:18:18 46% +14% -40% (7) n/a
36 27 Jonathan Fecik USA 09:31:27 09:44:44 00:54:27 04:53:01 05:52:28 03:38:59 15% +61% -24% (3) 275
37 29 Peter Kotland CZE 09:37:34 09:50:25 00:58:03 05:00:12 06:03:16 03:34:18 77% +14% -9% (26) 279
38 36 Nathan Dressel USA 10:09:06 10:30:42 00:59:31 05:20:16 06:24:47 03:44:19 n/a (1 IM Pro race) (309)
30 Kevin Ryan USA n/a unrated unrated unrated unrated unrated n/a (no IM Pro race) (n/a)
31 Derek Kidwell USA n/a unrated unrated unrated unrated unrated n/a (no IM Pro race) (n/a)
34 Marcus Vinicius Fernandes BRA n/a unrated unrated unrated unrated unrated n/a (1 IM Pro race) (n/a)
41 Adam Feigh USA n/a unrated unrated unrated unrated unrated n/a (no IM Pro race) (n/a)
42 Christopher Stock USA n/a unrated unrated unrated unrated unrated n/a (no IM Pro race) (n/a)

Female Race Participants

The strength of the field is 4% of a typical Kona field.

Rank Bib Name Nation Expected Time Rating Exp. Swim Exp. Bike Exp. T2 Exp. Run Consistency Overall
1 54 Lisa Roberts USA 09:18:57 09:24:52 01:02:22 05:07:40 06:15:02 03:03:55 67% +21% -12% (19) 24
2 57 Jennie Hansen USA 09:30:03 09:35:12 01:01:37 05:10:39 06:17:16 03:12:47 82% +0% -18% (11) 42
3 60 Kirsty Jahn CAN 09:35:50 10:02:13 00:57:45 05:19:40 06:22:25 03:13:25 32% +0% -68% (2) (91)
4 52 Jessie Donavan USA 09:36:23 09:39:54 01:04:37 05:01:54 06:11:31 03:24:52 97% +3% -0% (16) 53
5 64 Amber Ferreira USA 09:41:52 10:03:42 00:55:35 05:11:41 06:12:15 03:29:37 37% +13% -50% (18) (95)
6 51 Dede Griesbauer USA 09:42:25 09:51:43 00:52:05 05:08:29 06:05:34 03:36:51 37% +23% -40% (26) (75)
7 66 Stephanie Jones USA 09:42:50 10:08:11 01:03:14 05:12:00 06:20:14 03:22:36 29% +27% -44% (15) (103)
8 56 Bianca Steurer AUT 09:43:02 09:47:32 00:56:39 05:16:33 06:18:12 03:24:50 89% +11% -0% (7) 64
9 53 Kelly Fillnow USA 09:48:26 10:03:09 01:03:25 05:17:43 06:26:08 03:22:18 78% +6% -15% (14) 93
10 65 Beth Shutt USA 09:52:44 10:01:26 00:59:14 05:17:52 06:22:05 03:30:39 77% +23% -0% (9) (89)
11 61 Ashley Paulson USA 09:58:51 10:09:47 01:10:18 05:28:10 06:43:27 03:15:24 82% +0% -18% (6) 105
12 55 Nicole Valentine USA 09:58:58 10:12:03 01:00:29 05:28:22 06:33:51 03:25:07 78% +22% -0% (4) 112
13 67 Caroline Gregory USA 10:01:42 10:25:41 00:55:46 05:33:06 06:33:52 03:27:50 48% +7% -45% (13) (131)
14 63 Kelly O’Mara USA 10:04:02 10:25:28 00:57:07 05:29:00 06:31:06 03:32:56 n/a (1 IM Pro race) (130)
15 74 Kaitlin Curbeau USA 10:04:03 10:41:56 00:54:06 05:41:20 06:40:26 03:23:37 25% +0% -75% (3) (156)
16 59 Kathryn Thomas USA 10:09:40 10:37:37 00:54:40 05:23:25 06:23:04 03:46:36 49% +0% -51% (2) (152)
17 68 Nicole Luse USA 10:14:04 10:30:27 01:09:55 05:31:20 06:46:15 03:27:49 29% +71% -0% (3) 139
18 70 Miranda Tomenson CAN 10:19:01 10:33:03 00:56:31 05:24:58 06:26:29 03:52:32 13% +0% -87% (2) (147)
19 71 Caroline Martineau CAN 10:20:34 11:00:03 01:01:55 05:28:25 06:35:20 03:45:14 43% +17% -40% (8) 161
20 69 Katy Cargiulo USA 10:43:28 10:55:51 01:04:18 05:51:01 07:00:20 03:43:08 100% +0% -0% (5) 159
21 72 Carrie Mccoy USA 11:08:13 11:25:12 01:16:28 05:46:43 07:08:11 04:00:02 80% +0% -20% (3) (162)
58 Lesley Smith USA n/a unrated unrated unrated unrated unrated n/a (no IM Pro race) (n/a)
62 Holly Benner USA n/a unrated unrated unrated unrated unrated n/a (no IM Pro race) (n/a)
73 Robyn Hardage CAN n/a unrated unrated unrated unrated unrated n/a (no IM Pro race) (n/a)

Winning Odds

Male Race Participants

  • Joe Skipper: 41% (1-1)
  • Michael Van Cleven: 16% (5-1)
  • Maurice Clavel: 11% (8-1)
  • Callum Millward: 9% (10-1)
  • Stephen Kilshaw: 8% (11-1)
  • Andrew Starykowicz: 4% (25-1)
  • Markus Thomschke: 2% (44-1)
  • Jozsef Major: 2% (46-1)
  • Eric Limkemann: 2% (63-1)

Female Race Participants

  • Lisa Roberts: 51% (1-1)
  • Caroline Martineau: 20% (4-1)
  • Jennie Hansen: 13% (7-1)
  • Dede Griesbauer: 5% (20-1)
  • Stephanie Jones: 4% (26-1)
  • Jessie Donavan: 3% (29-1)
  • Amber Ferreira: 2% (62-1)
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