Ironman Hawaii 2017 (Oct 14th) – Seedings

This is an excerpt from my “Kona Rating Report“, a 120+ page with tons of information about the race, all Professional participants and their chances on October 14th. Get some more information about the report in this post or go straight to download your copy here (donations appreciated).

Previous Winners

Year	Male Winner	Time	Female Winner	Time
2005	Faris Al-Sultan (GER)	08:14:17	Natascha Badmann (SUI)	09:09:30
2006	Normann Stadler (GER)	08:11:56	Michellie Jones (AUS)	09:18:31
2007	Chris McCormack (AUS)	08:15:34	Chrissie Wellington (GBR)	09:08:45
2008	Craig Alexander (AUS)	08:17:45	Chrissie Wellington (GBR)	09:06:23
2009	Craig Alexander (AUS)	08:20:21	Chrissie Wellington (GBR)	08:54:02
2010	Chris McCormack (AUS)	08:10:37	Mirinda Carfrae (AUS)	08:58:36
2011	Craig Alexander (AUS)	08:03:56	Chrissie Wellington (GBR)	08:55:08
2012	Pete Jacobs (AUS)	08:18:37	Leanda Cave (GBR)	09:15:54
2013	Frederik Van Lierde (BEL)	08:12:29	Mirinda Carfrae (AUS)	08:52:14
2014	Sebastian Kienle (GER)	08:14:18	Mirinda Carfrae (AUS)	09:00:55
2015	Jan Frodeno (GER)	08:14:40	Daniela Ryf (SUI)	08:57:57
2016	Jan Frodeno (GER)	08:06:30	Daniela Ryf (SUI)	08:46:46

Last Year’s TOP 3

Male Race Results

Rank	Name	Nation	Swim	Bike	Run	Time
1	Jan Frodeno	GER	00:48:02	04:29:00	02:45:34	08:06:30
2	Sebastian Kienle	GER	00:52:27	04:23:55	02:49:03	08:10:02
3	Patrick Lange	GER	00:48:57	04:37:49	02:39:45	08:11:14

Female Race Results

Rank	Name	Nation	Swim	Bike	Run	Time
1	Daniela Ryf	SUI	00:52:50	04:52:26	02:56:51	08:46:46
2	Mirinda Carfrae	AUS	00:56:44	05:10:54	02:58:20	09:10:30
3	Heather Jackson	USA	00:58:56	05:00:31	03:07:48	09:11:32

Course Records

Leg	Gender	Record	Athlete	Date
Total	overall	08:03:56	Craig Alexander	2011-10-15
Swim	overall	00:46:41	Lars Jorgensen	1998-10-03
Bike	overall	04:18:23	Normann Stadler	2006-10-21
Run	overall	02:39:45	Patrick Lange	2016-10-08
Total	female	08:46:46	Daniela Ryf	2016-10-08
Swim	female	00:48:43	Jodi Jackson	1999-10-16
Bike	female	04:44:19	Karin Thuerig	2011-10-15
Run	female	02:50:26	Mirinda Carfrae	2014-10-11

Course Rating

The Course Rating for IM Hawaii is – 02:33.

Race Adjustments for IM Hawaii

Year	Adjustment	Swim Adj.	Bike Adj.	Run Adj.	# of Finishers	Rating	Swim Rating	Bike Rating	Run Rating
2005	05:05	-04:16	05:49	-02:33	119 of 135	05:05	-04:16	05:49	-02:33
2006	01:06	-05:02	04:39	-03:50	118 of 138	03:06	-04:39	05:14	-03:12
2007	02:52	-03:28	00:49	01:23	110 of 134	03:01	-04:15	03:45	-01:40
2008	-00:16	-03:21	-00:15	-00:04	109 of 145	02:12	-04:02	02:45	-01:16
2009	-10:29	-03:21	-00:13	-06:33	114 of 148	-00:20	-03:54	02:10	-02:20
2010	00:34	-03:36	02:51	-01:44	95 of 113	-00:11	-03:51	02:17	-02:14
2011	00:48	-04:15	05:47	-00:18	61 of 82	-00:03	-03:54	02:47	-01:57
2012	-08:56	-04:32	-01:46	00:43	65 of 83	-01:09	-03:59	02:13	-01:37
2013	00:46	-03:12	04:11	-00:44	68 of 85	-00:57	-03:54	02:26	-01:31
2014	-03:28	-04:15	01:53	00:06	68 of 88	-01:12	-03:56	02:23	-01:22
2015	-11:57	-04:13	03:39	-06:29	64 of 94	-02:10	-03:57	02:30	-01:49
2016	-06:47	-01:01	01:07	-03:25	79 of 99	-02:33	-03:43	02:23	-01:57

As you can see, the 2016 swim adjustment of -1:01 is considerably faster (or maybe “less slow”) than the overall swim rating of -3:43. Apparently, this was caused by moving the turnaround markers which have have shifted over the years. Therefore, it is likely that this year’s swim times will be a bit faster than in previous years and that most athletes will swim faster than the expected times (which are based on the slower swim rating).

KPR points and Prize Money

IM Hawaii is a P-8000 race. It has a total prize purse of 650.000 US$, paying ten deep.

Male Race Participants

The strength of the field is 101% of a typical Kona field.

Rank	Bib	Name	Nation	Expected Time	Rating	Exp. Swim	Exp. Bike	Exp. T2	Exp. Run	Consistency	Overall
1	1	Jan Frodeno	GER	08:05:06	07:58:16	00:49:36	04:25:03	05:19:40	02:45:26	100% +0% -0% (3)	1
2	2	Sebastian Kienle	GER	08:08:57	08:04:24	00:53:37	04:19:41	05:18:17	02:50:40	100% +0% -0% (5)	2
3	5	Patrick Lange	GER	08:09:21	08:08:50	00:50:43	04:32:07	05:27:50	02:41:31	100% +0% -0% (1)	(3)
4	26	Patrik Nilsson	SWE	08:12:30	08:15:57	00:51:09	04:31:13	05:27:22	02:45:08	n/a (no Kona Pro race)	5
5	6	Timothy O’Donnell	USA	08:15:03	08:19:34	00:50:25	04:27:43	05:23:08	02:51:55	15% +67% -18% (6)	8
6	3	Ben Hoffman	USA	08:16:17	08:21:15	00:51:19	04:27:32	05:23:51	02:52:26	11% +58% -30% (7)	11
7	9	Tim Don	GBR	08:16:53	08:18:42	00:50:43	04:27:09	05:22:52	02:54:01	38% +0% -62% (2)	7
8	31	Brent McMahon	CAN	08:18:28	08:14:28	00:50:36	04:29:27	05:25:03	02:53:25	38% +0% -62% (2)	4
9	18	Bart Aernouts	BEL	08:19:05	08:18:32	00:55:48	04:30:23	05:31:11	02:47:54	74% +0% -26% (5)	6
10	25	Nils Frommhold	GER	08:19:11	08:21:03	00:51:12	04:28:14	05:24:26	02:54:45	38% +0% -62% (2)	10
11	14	Andy Potts	USA	08:19:47	08:20:09	00:50:00	04:31:52	05:26:52	02:52:55	100% +0% -0% (8)	9
12	10	Boris Stein	GER	08:20:11	08:24:31	00:56:40	04:25:06	05:26:46	02:53:25	49% +51% -0% (3)	21
13	7	Frederik Van Lierde	BEL	08:21:30	08:22:02	00:50:58	04:29:17	05:25:15	02:56:15	72% +0% -28% (9)	13
14	28	Tyler Butterfield	BMU	08:21:58	08:36:30	00:51:32	04:29:50	05:26:21	02:55:37	10% +29% -61% (5)	66
15	19	James Cunnama	ZAF	08:22:24	08:24:22	00:51:52	04:29:29	05:26:22	02:56:02	78% +0% -22% (4)	19
16	15	Terenzo Bozzone	NZL	08:22:53	08:24:45	00:50:24	04:29:00	05:24:24	02:58:29	3% +2% -95% (4)	22
17	16	David McNamee	GBR	08:23:38	08:22:56	00:50:44	04:40:27	05:36:12	02:47:26	100% +0% -0% (2)	14
18	20	Nick Kastelein	AUS	08:23:47	08:24:27	00:50:53	04:32:59	05:28:52	02:54:55	n/a (no Kona Pro race)	20
19	12	Matt Hanson	USA	08:24:06	08:27:33	00:55:33	04:35:57	05:36:30	02:47:36	0% +0% -100% (1)	31
20	45	Ivan Rana	ESP	08:24:13	08:30:09	00:50:55	04:39:33	05:35:28	02:48:45	100% +0% -0% (4)	40
21	22	Braden Currie	NZL	08:24:23	08:28:58	00:50:32	04:37:03	05:32:35	02:51:48	n/a (no Kona Pro race)	37
22	23	Ronnie Schildknecht	SUI	08:25:34	08:30:04	00:55:45	04:32:35	05:33:21	02:52:13	63% +1% -36% (11)	39
23	21	Josh Amberger	AUS	08:26:08	08:42:45	00:49:31	04:28:15	05:22:45	03:03:23	n/a (no Kona Pro race)	(84)
24	32	Ivan Tutukin	RUS	08:26:19	08:27:03	00:51:09	04:46:12	05:42:22	02:43:57	n/a (no Kona Pro race)	(27)
25	30	Lionel Sanders	CAN	08:26:47	08:26:47	00:58:35	04:25:37	05:29:12	02:57:35	100% +0% -0% (2)	25
26	38	Tim Van Berkel	AUS	08:26:51	08:23:08	00:50:56	04:38:32	05:34:28	02:52:23	69% +0% -31% (3)	15
27	51	Jesse Thomas	USA	08:27:09	08:23:36	00:54:39	04:32:45	05:32:24	02:54:45	100% +0% -0% (1)	16
28	34	Cyril Viennot	FRA	08:27:21	08:28:36	00:53:36	04:33:36	05:32:12	02:55:09	60% +40% -0% (6)	36
29	27	Joe Gambles	AUS	08:27:51	08:28:22	00:51:52	04:36:08	05:33:00	02:54:51	14% +0% -86% (3)	34
30	33	David Dellow	AUS	08:28:04	08:24:12	00:50:58	04:34:47	05:30:46	02:57:18	100% +0% -0% (2)	18
31	36	Marko Albert	EST	08:28:32	08:27:14	00:49:47	04:33:31	05:28:19	03:00:13	93% +0% -7% (5)	28
32	17	Matthew Russell	USA	08:28:38	08:36:31	00:58:00	04:32:10	05:35:09	02:53:29	20% +80% -0% (5)	67
33	59	Eneko Llanos	ESP	08:28:45	08:27:16	00:51:44	04:29:00	05:25:44	03:03:01	77% +0% -23% (11)	29
34	37	Alessandro Degasperi	ITA	08:31:00	08:32:50	00:54:13	04:41:33	05:40:47	02:50:13	100% +0% -0% (1)	51
35	46	Kirill Kotshegarov	EST	08:31:19	08:32:03	00:57:05	04:31:30	05:33:36	02:57:43	96% +0% -4% (2)	46
36	24	Tim Reed	AUS	08:31:22	08:29:47	00:51:58	04:34:14	05:31:13	03:00:09	-0% +27% -73% (2)	38
37	35	Michael Weiss	AUT	08:31:35	08:32:45	00:58:04	04:26:57	05:30:02	03:01:33	96% +0% -4% (6)	50
38	29	Ruedi Wild	SUI	08:32:06	08:27:19	00:51:31	04:37:43	05:34:14	02:57:52	100% +0% -0% (1)	30
39	41	David Plese	SLO	08:32:21	08:33:49	00:55:53	04:34:10	05:35:03	02:57:18	63% +0% -37% (3)	53
40	11	Pete Jacobs	AUS	08:32:52	08:54:22	00:50:14	04:37:06	05:32:19	03:00:33	-0% +33% -67% (8)	129
41	53	Giulio Molinari	ITA	08:33:40	08:31:54	00:52:20	04:31:29	05:28:49	03:04:51	n/a (no Kona Pro race)	45
42	54	Denis Chevrot	FRA	08:33:43	08:31:44	00:50:14	04:40:13	05:35:27	02:58:16	62% +0% -38% (2)	44
43	49	Cameron Wurf	AUS	08:34:07	08:38:52	00:53:23	04:23:55	05:22:18	03:11:49	n/a (no Kona Pro race)	74
44	8	Kyle Buckingham	ZAF	08:34:24	08:32:10	00:52:56	04:37:00	05:34:57	02:59:27	0% +0% -100% (3)	47
45	55	Michael Fox	AUS	08:35:07	08:38:40	00:50:30	04:40:09	05:35:38	02:59:29	n/a (no Kona Pro race)	72
46	52	Markus Fachbach	GER	08:35:25	08:33:55	00:53:05	04:36:45	05:34:51	03:00:34	18% +0% -82% (2)	54
47	44	Jan Van Berkel	SUI	08:35:46	08:36:48	00:52:06	04:36:47	05:33:53	03:01:53	0% +0% -100% (2)	69
48	39	Igor Amorelli	BRA	08:37:30	08:36:35	00:50:49	04:34:45	05:30:34	03:06:56	27% +0% -73% (4)	68
49	47	Reinaldo Colucci	BRA	08:37:31	08:35:20	00:50:48	04:38:24	05:34:12	03:03:19	100% +0% -0% (1)	60
50	50	Daniel Fontana	ITA	08:37:33	08:35:48	00:52:02	04:40:25	05:37:27	03:00:06	13% +0% -87% (4)	62
51	42	Marc Duelsen	GER	08:38:35	08:41:09	00:54:42	04:40:16	05:39:59	02:58:36	n/a (no Kona Pro race)	80
52	58	Chris McDonald	AUS	08:43:40	08:49:06	00:55:58	04:38:46	05:39:44	03:03:56	11% +0% -89% (2)	99
53	43	Harry Wiltshire	GBR	08:49:29	08:55:46	00:50:37	04:47:51	05:43:28	03:06:01	27% +0% -73% (2)	136
54	40	Thiago Vinhal	BRA	08:49:33	08:57:06	00:52:54	04:51:33	05:49:26	03:00:07	n/a (no Kona Pro race)	141
55	56	Kaito Tohara	JPN	08:51:37	09:03:02	00:57:06	04:53:06	05:55:11	02:56:26	n/a (no Kona Pro race)	162
56	48	Patrick Evoe	USA	08:53:58	08:53:21	00:59:02	04:41:16	05:45:19	03:08:39	0% +0% -100% (1)	125

Female Race Participants

The strength of the field is 96% of a typical Kona field.

Rank	Bib	Name	Nation	Expected Time	Rating	Exp. Swim	Exp. Bike	Exp. T2	Exp. Run	Consistency	Overall
1	101	Daniela Ryf	SUI	08:49:21	08:42:55	00:55:03	04:49:17	05:49:19	03:00:02	100% +0% -0% (3)	1
2	113	Rachel Joyce	GBR	09:09:10	09:17:35	00:55:39	05:01:53	06:02:32	03:06:38	90% +10% -0% (7)	10
3	105	Heather Jackson	USA	09:10:43	09:12:04	01:01:48	04:57:45	06:04:33	03:06:10	62% +38% -0% (2)	4
4	103	Kaisa Sali	FIN	09:11:30	09:09:12	01:00:16	05:04:08	06:09:24	03:02:06	100% +0% -0% (1)	3
5	108	Anja Beranek	GER	09:15:54	09:22:06	00:55:12	04:57:20	05:57:32	03:18:22	74% +0% -26% (3)	22
6	133	Melissa Hauschildt	AUS	09:16:12	09:15:51	00:59:46	05:02:51	06:07:37	03:08:35	0% +0% -100% (1)	8
7	107	Susie Cheetham	GBR	09:16:39	09:15:04	00:57:26	05:08:07	06:10:33	03:06:06	38% +0% -62% (2)	7
8	118	Lucy Charles	GBR	09:18:10	09:22:59	00:51:11	05:01:50	05:58:01	03:20:09	n/a (no Kona Pro race)	23
9	106	Michelle Vesterby	DEN	09:18:16	09:20:01	00:55:28	05:02:51	06:03:19	03:14:57	91% +9% -0% (5)	13
10	117	Carrie Lester	AUS	09:18:56	09:17:30	00:58:02	05:03:46	06:06:48	03:12:08	100% +0% -0% (2)	9
11	104	Sarah Piampiano	USA	09:20:28	09:22:04	01:06:32	05:03:13	06:14:45	03:05:43	65% +35% -0% (3)	21
12	121	Camilla Pedersen	DEN	09:22:20	09:20:16	00:55:11	05:03:44	06:03:55	03:18:25	100% +0% -0% (2)	14
13	102	Sarah Crowley	AUS	09:23:03	09:21:24	01:00:17	05:02:34	06:07:52	03:15:11	100% +0% -0% (1)	18
14	122	Asa Lundstroem	SWE	09:23:11	09:25:55	01:04:24	05:04:34	06:13:58	03:09:13	100% +0% -0% (3)	28
15	115	Laura Siddall	GBR	09:23:25	09:28:23	01:01:33	05:00:50	06:07:23	03:16:02	n/a (no Kona Pro race)	36
16	110	Linsey Corbin	USA	09:23:40	09:20:35	01:02:30	05:07:33	06:15:03	03:08:37	99% +1% -1% (10)	16
17	123	Corinne Abraham	GBR	09:24:04	09:21:18	01:03:10	05:07:01	06:15:11	03:08:53	100% +0% -0% (1)	17
18	136	Jocelyn McCauley	USA	09:24:18	09:39:01	01:00:10	05:11:06	06:16:16	03:08:02	n/a (no Kona Pro race)	49
19	132	Diana Riesler	GER	09:25:15	09:26:00	01:01:47	05:00:51	06:07:38	03:17:37	0% +0% -100% (1)	31
20	112	Elizabeth Lyles	USA	09:25:23	09:23:26	01:00:30	05:09:12	06:14:42	03:10:41	54% +0% -46% (4)	24
21	126	Sonja Tajsich	GER	09:27:13	09:25:59	01:06:21	05:04:42	06:16:04	03:11:09	57% +0% -43% (5)	30
22	114	Annabel Luxford	AUS	09:27:52	09:28:15	00:54:51	05:03:10	06:03:01	03:24:51	38% +0% -62% (2)	35
23	119	Astrid Stienen	GER	09:28:42	09:27:47	01:03:15	05:03:26	06:11:42	03:17:00	0% +0% -100% (1)	34
24	124	Maja Stage Nielsen	DEN	09:29:04	09:36:23	01:03:16	05:06:28	06:14:44	03:14:20	n/a (no Kona Pro race)	(45)
25	138	Haley Chura	USA	09:30:15	09:27:09	00:53:45	05:11:41	06:10:26	03:19:49	27% +0% -73% (2)	33
26	109	Michaela Herlbauer	AUT	09:30:33	09:25:40	01:00:10	05:12:39	06:17:49	03:12:44	100% +0% -0% (1)	27
27	111	Leanda Cave	GBR	09:31:04	09:31:04	00:54:50	05:09:06	06:08:56	03:22:08	30% +5% -65% (10)	38
28	128	Mareen Hufe	GER	09:31:42	09:29:28	01:04:17	05:00:45	06:10:02	03:21:40	77% +0% -23% (3)	37
29	130	Lauren Brandon	USA	09:32:25	09:32:38	00:51:22	05:08:34	06:04:56	03:27:29	n/a (no Kona Pro race)	40
30	116	Jodie Robertson	USA	09:33:48	09:32:45	01:06:48	05:11:52	06:23:40	03:10:08	100% +0% -0% (1)	(41)
31	120	Alexandra Tondeur	BEL	09:36:34	09:32:54	01:03:55	05:14:28	06:23:23	03:13:11	100% +0% -0% (1)	41
32	134	Celine Schaerer	SUI	09:40:00	09:42:18	00:54:46	05:18:04	06:17:50	03:22:10	n/a (no Kona Pro race)	57
33	127	Dimity-Lee Duke	AUS	09:40:11	09:39:11	01:03:51	05:11:55	06:20:46	03:19:25	100% +0% -0% (2)	50
34	131	Alicia Kaye	USA	09:41:20	09:37:25	00:55:16	05:12:00	06:12:15	03:29:05	100% +0% -0% (1)	47
35	125	Kristin Moeller	GER	09:41:46	09:41:10	01:07:55	05:24:54	06:37:49	03:03:57	100% +0% -0% (4)	56
36	129	Gurutze Frades Larralde	ESP	09:44:08	09:39:43	01:04:50	05:16:01	06:25:52	03:18:16	0% +0% -100% (1)	53
37	140	Jeanne Collonge	FRA	09:45:30	09:54:08	01:03:16	05:10:12	06:18:28	03:27:02	n/a (no Kona Pro race)	78
38	139	Nikki Bartlett	GBR	09:46:49	09:48:22	01:04:44	05:10:53	06:20:37	03:26:12	n/a (no Kona Pro race)	70
39	135	Katharina Grohmann	GER	09:52:30	09:57:31	01:15:38	05:15:43	06:36:20	03:16:10	n/a (no Kona Pro race)	81