Ironman Hawaii 2017 (Oct 14th) – Seedings

IMHawaii_LogoThis is an excerpt from my “Kona Rating Report“, a 120+ page¬†with tons of information about the race, all Professional participants and their chances on October 14th. Get some more information about the report in this post or go straight to download your copy here (donations appreciated).

Previous Winners

Year Male Winner Time Female Winner Time
2005 Faris Al-Sultan (GER) 08:14:17 Natascha Badmann (SUI) 09:09:30
2006 Normann Stadler (GER) 08:11:56 Michellie Jones (AUS) 09:18:31
2007 Chris McCormack (AUS) 08:15:34 Chrissie Wellington (GBR) 09:08:45
2008 Craig Alexander (AUS) 08:17:45 Chrissie Wellington (GBR) 09:06:23
2009 Craig Alexander (AUS) 08:20:21 Chrissie Wellington (GBR) 08:54:02
2010 Chris McCormack (AUS) 08:10:37 Mirinda Carfrae (AUS) 08:58:36
2011 Craig Alexander (AUS) 08:03:56 Chrissie Wellington (GBR) 08:55:08
2012 Pete Jacobs (AUS) 08:18:37 Leanda Cave (GBR) 09:15:54
2013 Frederik Van Lierde (BEL) 08:12:29 Mirinda Carfrae (AUS) 08:52:14
2014 Sebastian Kienle (GER) 08:14:18 Mirinda Carfrae (AUS) 09:00:55
2015 Jan Frodeno (GER) 08:14:40 Daniela Ryf (SUI) 08:57:57
2016 Jan Frodeno (GER) 08:06:30 Daniela Ryf (SUI) 08:46:46

Last Year’s TOP 3

Male Race Results

Rank Name Nation Swim Bike Run Time
1 Jan Frodeno GER 00:48:02 04:29:00 02:45:34 08:06:30
2 Sebastian Kienle GER 00:52:27 04:23:55 02:49:03 08:10:02
3 Patrick Lange GER 00:48:57 04:37:49 02:39:45 08:11:14

Female Race Results

Rank Name Nation Swim Bike Run Time
1 Daniela Ryf SUI 00:52:50 04:52:26 02:56:51 08:46:46
2 Mirinda Carfrae AUS 00:56:44 05:10:54 02:58:20 09:10:30
3 Heather Jackson USA 00:58:56 05:00:31 03:07:48 09:11:32

Course Records

Leg Gender Record Athlete Date
Total overall 08:03:56 Craig Alexander 2011-10-15
Swim overall 00:46:41 Lars Jorgensen 1998-10-03
Bike overall 04:18:23 Normann Stadler 2006-10-21
Run overall 02:39:45 Patrick Lange 2016-10-08
Total female 08:46:46 Daniela Ryf 2016-10-08
Swim female 00:48:43 Jodi Jackson 1999-10-16
Bike female 04:44:19 Karin Thuerig 2011-10-15
Run female 02:50:26 Mirinda Carfrae 2014-10-11

Course Rating

The Course Rating for IM Hawaii is – 02:33.

Race Adjustments for IM Hawaii

Year Adjustment Swim Adj. Bike Adj. Run Adj. # of Finishers Rating Swim Rating Bike Rating Run Rating
2005 05:05 -04:16 05:49 -02:33 119 of 135 05:05 -04:16 05:49 -02:33
2006 01:06 -05:02 04:39 -03:50 118 of 138 03:06 -04:39 05:14 -03:12
2007 02:52 -03:28 00:49 01:23 110 of 134 03:01 -04:15 03:45 -01:40
2008 -00:16 -03:21 -00:15 -00:04 109 of 145 02:12 -04:02 02:45 -01:16
2009 -10:29 -03:21 -00:13 -06:33 114 of 148 -00:20 -03:54 02:10 -02:20
2010 00:34 -03:36 02:51 -01:44 95 of 113 -00:11 -03:51 02:17 -02:14
2011 00:48 -04:15 05:47 -00:18 61 of 82 -00:03 -03:54 02:47 -01:57
2012 -08:56 -04:32 -01:46 00:43 65 of 83 -01:09 -03:59 02:13 -01:37
2013 00:46 -03:12 04:11 -00:44 68 of 85 -00:57 -03:54 02:26 -01:31
2014 -03:28 -04:15 01:53 00:06 68 of 88 -01:12 -03:56 02:23 -01:22
2015 -11:57 -04:13 03:39 -06:29 64 of 94 -02:10 -03:57 02:30 -01:49
2016 -06:47 -01:01 01:07 -03:25 79 of 99 -02:33 -03:43 02:23 -01:57

As you can see, the 2016 swim adjustment of -1:01 is considerably faster (or maybe “less slow”) than the overall swim rating of -3:43. Apparently, this was caused by moving the turnaround markers which have have shifted over the years. Therefore, it is likely that this year’s swim times will be a bit faster than in previous years and that most athletes will swim faster than the expected times (which are based on the slower swim rating).

KPR points and Prize Money

IM Hawaii is a P-8000 race. It has a total prize purse of 650.000 US$, paying ten deep.

Male Race Participants

The strength of the field is 101% of a typical Kona field.

Rank Bib Name Nation Expected Time Rating Exp. Swim Exp. Bike Exp. T2 Exp. Run Consistency Overall
1 1 Jan Frodeno GER 08:05:06 07:58:16 00:49:36 04:25:03 05:19:40 02:45:26 100% +0% -0% (3) 1
2 2 Sebastian Kienle GER 08:08:57 08:04:24 00:53:37 04:19:41 05:18:17 02:50:40 100% +0% -0% (5) 2
3 5 Patrick Lange GER 08:09:21 08:08:50 00:50:43 04:32:07 05:27:50 02:41:31 100% +0% -0% (1) (3)
4 26 Patrik Nilsson SWE 08:12:30 08:15:57 00:51:09 04:31:13 05:27:22 02:45:08 n/a (no Kona Pro race) 5
5 6 Timothy O’Donnell USA 08:15:03 08:19:34 00:50:25 04:27:43 05:23:08 02:51:55 15% +67% -18% (6) 8
6 3 Ben Hoffman USA 08:16:17 08:21:15 00:51:19 04:27:32 05:23:51 02:52:26 11% +58% -30% (7) 11
7 9 Tim Don GBR 08:16:53 08:18:42 00:50:43 04:27:09 05:22:52 02:54:01 38% +0% -62% (2) 7
8 31 Brent McMahon CAN 08:18:28 08:14:28 00:50:36 04:29:27 05:25:03 02:53:25 38% +0% -62% (2) 4
9 18 Bart Aernouts BEL 08:19:05 08:18:32 00:55:48 04:30:23 05:31:11 02:47:54 74% +0% -26% (5) 6
10 25 Nils Frommhold GER 08:19:11 08:21:03 00:51:12 04:28:14 05:24:26 02:54:45 38% +0% -62% (2) 10
11 14 Andy Potts USA 08:19:47 08:20:09 00:50:00 04:31:52 05:26:52 02:52:55 100% +0% -0% (8) 9
12 10 Boris Stein GER 08:20:11 08:24:31 00:56:40 04:25:06 05:26:46 02:53:25 49% +51% -0% (3) 21
13 7 Frederik Van Lierde BEL 08:21:30 08:22:02 00:50:58 04:29:17 05:25:15 02:56:15 72% +0% -28% (9) 13
14 28 Tyler Butterfield BMU 08:21:58 08:36:30 00:51:32 04:29:50 05:26:21 02:55:37 10% +29% -61% (5) 66
15 19 James Cunnama ZAF 08:22:24 08:24:22 00:51:52 04:29:29 05:26:22 02:56:02 78% +0% -22% (4) 19
16 15 Terenzo Bozzone NZL 08:22:53 08:24:45 00:50:24 04:29:00 05:24:24 02:58:29 3% +2% -95% (4) 22
17 16 David McNamee GBR 08:23:38 08:22:56 00:50:44 04:40:27 05:36:12 02:47:26 100% +0% -0% (2) 14
18 20 Nick Kastelein AUS 08:23:47 08:24:27 00:50:53 04:32:59 05:28:52 02:54:55 n/a (no Kona Pro race) 20
19 12 Matt Hanson USA 08:24:06 08:27:33 00:55:33 04:35:57 05:36:30 02:47:36 0% +0% -100% (1) 31
20 45 Ivan Rana ESP 08:24:13 08:30:09 00:50:55 04:39:33 05:35:28 02:48:45 100% +0% -0% (4) 40
21 22 Braden Currie NZL 08:24:23 08:28:58 00:50:32 04:37:03 05:32:35 02:51:48 n/a (no Kona Pro race) 37
22 23 Ronnie Schildknecht SUI 08:25:34 08:30:04 00:55:45 04:32:35 05:33:21 02:52:13 63% +1% -36% (11) 39
23 21 Josh Amberger AUS 08:26:08 08:42:45 00:49:31 04:28:15 05:22:45 03:03:23 n/a (no Kona Pro race) (84)
24 32 Ivan Tutukin RUS 08:26:19 08:27:03 00:51:09 04:46:12 05:42:22 02:43:57 n/a (no Kona Pro race) (27)
25 30 Lionel Sanders CAN 08:26:47 08:26:47 00:58:35 04:25:37 05:29:12 02:57:35 100% +0% -0% (2) 25
26 38 Tim Van Berkel AUS 08:26:51 08:23:08 00:50:56 04:38:32 05:34:28 02:52:23 69% +0% -31% (3) 15
27 51 Jesse Thomas USA 08:27:09 08:23:36 00:54:39 04:32:45 05:32:24 02:54:45 100% +0% -0% (1) 16
28 34 Cyril Viennot FRA 08:27:21 08:28:36 00:53:36 04:33:36 05:32:12 02:55:09 60% +40% -0% (6) 36
29 27 Joe Gambles AUS 08:27:51 08:28:22 00:51:52 04:36:08 05:33:00 02:54:51 14% +0% -86% (3) 34
30 33 David Dellow AUS 08:28:04 08:24:12 00:50:58 04:34:47 05:30:46 02:57:18 100% +0% -0% (2) 18
31 36 Marko Albert EST 08:28:32 08:27:14 00:49:47 04:33:31 05:28:19 03:00:13 93% +0% -7% (5) 28
32 17 Matthew Russell USA 08:28:38 08:36:31 00:58:00 04:32:10 05:35:09 02:53:29 20% +80% -0% (5) 67
33 59 Eneko Llanos ESP 08:28:45 08:27:16 00:51:44 04:29:00 05:25:44 03:03:01 77% +0% -23% (11) 29
34 37 Alessandro Degasperi ITA 08:31:00 08:32:50 00:54:13 04:41:33 05:40:47 02:50:13 100% +0% -0% (1) 51
35 46 Kirill Kotshegarov EST 08:31:19 08:32:03 00:57:05 04:31:30 05:33:36 02:57:43 96% +0% -4% (2) 46
36 24 Tim Reed AUS 08:31:22 08:29:47 00:51:58 04:34:14 05:31:13 03:00:09 -0% +27% -73% (2) 38
37 35 Michael Weiss AUT 08:31:35 08:32:45 00:58:04 04:26:57 05:30:02 03:01:33 96% +0% -4% (6) 50
38 29 Ruedi Wild SUI 08:32:06 08:27:19 00:51:31 04:37:43 05:34:14 02:57:52 100% +0% -0% (1) 30
39 41 David Plese SLO 08:32:21 08:33:49 00:55:53 04:34:10 05:35:03 02:57:18 63% +0% -37% (3) 53
40 11 Pete Jacobs AUS 08:32:52 08:54:22 00:50:14 04:37:06 05:32:19 03:00:33 -0% +33% -67% (8) 129
41 53 Giulio Molinari ITA 08:33:40 08:31:54 00:52:20 04:31:29 05:28:49 03:04:51 n/a (no Kona Pro race) 45
42 54 Denis Chevrot FRA 08:33:43 08:31:44 00:50:14 04:40:13 05:35:27 02:58:16 62% +0% -38% (2) 44
43 49 Cameron Wurf AUS 08:34:07 08:38:52 00:53:23 04:23:55 05:22:18 03:11:49 n/a (no Kona Pro race) 74
44 8 Kyle Buckingham ZAF 08:34:24 08:32:10 00:52:56 04:37:00 05:34:57 02:59:27 0% +0% -100% (3) 47
45 55 Michael Fox AUS 08:35:07 08:38:40 00:50:30 04:40:09 05:35:38 02:59:29 n/a (no Kona Pro race) 72
46 52 Markus Fachbach GER 08:35:25 08:33:55 00:53:05 04:36:45 05:34:51 03:00:34 18% +0% -82% (2) 54
47 44 Jan Van Berkel SUI 08:35:46 08:36:48 00:52:06 04:36:47 05:33:53 03:01:53 0% +0% -100% (2) 69
48 39 Igor Amorelli BRA 08:37:30 08:36:35 00:50:49 04:34:45 05:30:34 03:06:56 27% +0% -73% (4) 68
49 47 Reinaldo Colucci BRA 08:37:31 08:35:20 00:50:48 04:38:24 05:34:12 03:03:19 100% +0% -0% (1) 60
50 50 Daniel Fontana ITA 08:37:33 08:35:48 00:52:02 04:40:25 05:37:27 03:00:06 13% +0% -87% (4) 62
51 42 Marc Duelsen GER 08:38:35 08:41:09 00:54:42 04:40:16 05:39:59 02:58:36 n/a (no Kona Pro race) 80
52 58 Chris McDonald AUS 08:43:40 08:49:06 00:55:58 04:38:46 05:39:44 03:03:56 11% +0% -89% (2) 99
53 43 Harry Wiltshire GBR 08:49:29 08:55:46 00:50:37 04:47:51 05:43:28 03:06:01 27% +0% -73% (2) 136
54 40 Thiago Vinhal BRA 08:49:33 08:57:06 00:52:54 04:51:33 05:49:26 03:00:07 n/a (no Kona Pro race) 141
55 56 Kaito Tohara JPN 08:51:37 09:03:02 00:57:06 04:53:06 05:55:11 02:56:26 n/a (no Kona Pro race) 162
56 48 Patrick Evoe USA 08:53:58 08:53:21 00:59:02 04:41:16 05:45:19 03:08:39 0% +0% -100% (1) 125

Female Race Participants

The strength of the field is 96% of a typical Kona field.

Rank Bib Name Nation Expected Time Rating Exp. Swim Exp. Bike Exp. T2 Exp. Run Consistency Overall
1 101 Daniela Ryf SUI 08:49:21 08:42:55 00:55:03 04:49:17 05:49:19 03:00:02 100% +0% -0% (3) 1
2 113 Rachel Joyce GBR 09:09:10 09:17:35 00:55:39 05:01:53 06:02:32 03:06:38 90% +10% -0% (7) 10
3 105 Heather Jackson USA 09:10:43 09:12:04 01:01:48 04:57:45 06:04:33 03:06:10 62% +38% -0% (2) 4
4 103 Kaisa Sali FIN 09:11:30 09:09:12 01:00:16 05:04:08 06:09:24 03:02:06 100% +0% -0% (1) 3
5 108 Anja Beranek GER 09:15:54 09:22:06 00:55:12 04:57:20 05:57:32 03:18:22 74% +0% -26% (3) 22
6 133 Melissa Hauschildt AUS 09:16:12 09:15:51 00:59:46 05:02:51 06:07:37 03:08:35 0% +0% -100% (1) 8
7 107 Susie Cheetham GBR 09:16:39 09:15:04 00:57:26 05:08:07 06:10:33 03:06:06 38% +0% -62% (2) 7
8 118 Lucy Charles GBR 09:18:10 09:22:59 00:51:11 05:01:50 05:58:01 03:20:09 n/a (no Kona Pro race) 23
9 106 Michelle Vesterby DEN 09:18:16 09:20:01 00:55:28 05:02:51 06:03:19 03:14:57 91% +9% -0% (5) 13
10 117 Carrie Lester AUS 09:18:56 09:17:30 00:58:02 05:03:46 06:06:48 03:12:08 100% +0% -0% (2) 9
11 104 Sarah Piampiano USA 09:20:28 09:22:04 01:06:32 05:03:13 06:14:45 03:05:43 65% +35% -0% (3) 21
12 121 Camilla Pedersen DEN 09:22:20 09:20:16 00:55:11 05:03:44 06:03:55 03:18:25 100% +0% -0% (2) 14
13 102 Sarah Crowley AUS 09:23:03 09:21:24 01:00:17 05:02:34 06:07:52 03:15:11 100% +0% -0% (1) 18
14 122 Asa Lundstroem SWE 09:23:11 09:25:55 01:04:24 05:04:34 06:13:58 03:09:13 100% +0% -0% (3) 28
15 115 Laura Siddall GBR 09:23:25 09:28:23 01:01:33 05:00:50 06:07:23 03:16:02 n/a (no Kona Pro race) 36
16 110 Linsey Corbin USA 09:23:40 09:20:35 01:02:30 05:07:33 06:15:03 03:08:37 99% +1% -1% (10) 16
17 123 Corinne Abraham GBR 09:24:04 09:21:18 01:03:10 05:07:01 06:15:11 03:08:53 100% +0% -0% (1) 17
18 136 Jocelyn McCauley USA 09:24:18 09:39:01 01:00:10 05:11:06 06:16:16 03:08:02 n/a (no Kona Pro race) 49
19 132 Diana Riesler GER 09:25:15 09:26:00 01:01:47 05:00:51 06:07:38 03:17:37 0% +0% -100% (1) 31
20 112 Elizabeth Lyles USA 09:25:23 09:23:26 01:00:30 05:09:12 06:14:42 03:10:41 54% +0% -46% (4) 24
21 126 Sonja Tajsich GER 09:27:13 09:25:59 01:06:21 05:04:42 06:16:04 03:11:09 57% +0% -43% (5) 30
22 114 Annabel Luxford AUS 09:27:52 09:28:15 00:54:51 05:03:10 06:03:01 03:24:51 38% +0% -62% (2) 35
23 119 Astrid Stienen GER 09:28:42 09:27:47 01:03:15 05:03:26 06:11:42 03:17:00 0% +0% -100% (1) 34
24 124 Maja Stage Nielsen DEN 09:29:04 09:36:23 01:03:16 05:06:28 06:14:44 03:14:20 n/a (no Kona Pro race) (45)
25 138 Haley Chura USA 09:30:15 09:27:09 00:53:45 05:11:41 06:10:26 03:19:49 27% +0% -73% (2) 33
26 109 Michaela Herlbauer AUT 09:30:33 09:25:40 01:00:10 05:12:39 06:17:49 03:12:44 100% +0% -0% (1) 27
27 111 Leanda Cave GBR 09:31:04 09:31:04 00:54:50 05:09:06 06:08:56 03:22:08 30% +5% -65% (10) 38
28 128 Mareen Hufe GER 09:31:42 09:29:28 01:04:17 05:00:45 06:10:02 03:21:40 77% +0% -23% (3) 37
29 130 Lauren Brandon USA 09:32:25 09:32:38 00:51:22 05:08:34 06:04:56 03:27:29 n/a (no Kona Pro race) 40
30 116 Jodie Robertson USA 09:33:48 09:32:45 01:06:48 05:11:52 06:23:40 03:10:08 100% +0% -0% (1) (41)
31 120 Alexandra Tondeur BEL 09:36:34 09:32:54 01:03:55 05:14:28 06:23:23 03:13:11 100% +0% -0% (1) 41
32 134 Celine Schaerer SUI 09:40:00 09:42:18 00:54:46 05:18:04 06:17:50 03:22:10 n/a (no Kona Pro race) 57
33 127 Dimity-Lee Duke AUS 09:40:11 09:39:11 01:03:51 05:11:55 06:20:46 03:19:25 100% +0% -0% (2) 50
34 131 Alicia Kaye USA 09:41:20 09:37:25 00:55:16 05:12:00 06:12:15 03:29:05 100% +0% -0% (1) 47
35 125 Kristin Moeller GER 09:41:46 09:41:10 01:07:55 05:24:54 06:37:49 03:03:57 100% +0% -0% (4) 56
36 129 Gurutze Frades Larralde ESP 09:44:08 09:39:43 01:04:50 05:16:01 06:25:52 03:18:16 0% +0% -100% (1) 53
37 140 Jeanne Collonge FRA 09:45:30 09:54:08 01:03:16 05:10:12 06:18:28 03:27:02 n/a (no Kona Pro race) 78
38 139 Nikki Bartlett GBR 09:46:49 09:48:22 01:04:44 05:10:53 06:20:37 03:26:12 n/a (no Kona Pro race) 70
39 135 Katharina Grohmann GER 09:52:30 09:57:31 01:15:38 05:15:43 06:36:20 03:16:10 n/a (no Kona Pro race) 81
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