Challenge Roth 2017 – Analyzing Results

(Updated July 11th with DNFs and a discussion of the Race Conditions.)

Course Conditions

The prevailing impression from Roth seems to be that the race was slower in past years, and that especially the new run course was harder than the old one, leading to slower times. However, this perception is not backed up by my data analysis, the adjustment for this year was about five minutes slower than last year, but all three legs were just a little bit slower.

In addition we have seen a number of fast times:

  • Bart Aernouts posted his first sub-8 finish, and he ran the marathon almost exactly at the time I predicted (predicted 2:43:56, actual time 2:44:10).
  • Even though Daniela’s race was hyped as “world record attempt” and she was well short of her time from last year, it is still a fantastic result considering her injury in the first half of the year. (After the awards she smiled that she still has a lot of upside for Kona.) Her 8:40 finish is the fastest finish of 2017 by quite a large margin (she also has the second fastest – 8:47 from South Africa), and her 4:37 bike split is the fastest of the year and the fifth fastest ever on the IM distance.
  • Laura Siddall posted three PBs in Roth: Her fastest bike split, her fastest run split and her fastest overall time.
  • Lisa Roberts showed that you can run fast on the new run course: Her 2:56 marathon lead to her first sub-9 finish and is the second fastest marathon of the year so far. (Kelly Williamson was just five seconds faster at IM Texas.)
Therefore I don’t think that the new run course will slow down the future times, it’ll be interesting to see the times when there are more realistic expectations and a different race dynamic leads to the fast racers pushing each other.

Male Race Results

Bart Aernouts had another great race after IM Lanzarote and won the race on the back of the fastest marathon of the day:

Roth M1 Bart

Second place – as last year – went to Joe Skipper. He once again ran through the field but couldn’t quite match Bart’s pace:

Roth M2 Joe

Maurice Clavel was showing a courageous first long-distance race. After Nils Frommhold had to end his race after a crash on the bike course, he found himself in the lead, which he was able to hold until the later parts of the marathon. Still, he was happy with his third place finish and celebrated on the finish line:

Roth M3 Maurice

Finishing fourth, Timo Bracht said good-bye to Roth with a hard earned finish:

Roth M4 Timo

Rank Name Nation Swim Bike Run Time Diff to exp. Prize Money
1 Bart Aernouts BEL 00:52:55 04:19:02 02:44:10 07:59:07 -08:12 EUR 15,000
2 Joe Skipper GBR 00:53:07 04:19:53 02:46:44 08:03:00 -15:42 EUR 8,000
3 Maurice Clavel GER 00:48:29 04:16:42 02:56:30 08:04:53 n/a EUR 5,000
4 Timo Bracht GER 00:48:42 04:18:42 02:56:37 08:07:01 -07:13 EUR 3,000
5 Terenzo Bozzone NZL 00:48:35 04:21:39 02:58:39 08:11:34 00:10 EUR 2,000
6 Brad Kahlefeldt AUS 00:48:34 04:29:50 02:51:32 08:12:55 00:22 EUR 1,100
7 Dougal Allan NZL 00:55:23 04:17:41 02:58:57 08:14:43 -00:59 EUR 800
8 Roman Deisenhofer GER 00:52:06 04:21:22 03:00:22 08:16:29 -22:20 EUR 700
9 Per Bittner GER 00:48:54 04:26:56 02:58:41 08:17:15 -09:03 EUR 600
10 Markus Hoermann GER 00:52:50 04:28:06 02:59:36 08:23:25 n/a EUR 550
11 Christian Brader GER 00:53:11 04:36:25 02:51:52 08:24:19 -11:31
12 Guillaume Lecallier FRA 00:54:51 04:32:47 02:58:35 08:29:42 -07:44
13 Teemu Lemmettylae FIN 00:55:20 04:40:52 02:55:05 08:35:27 -10:28
14 Andi Fuchs AUT 00:57:52 04:25:10 03:12:22 08:38:14 -20:49
15 Simon Schwarz GER 00:53:44 04:40:03 03:04:02 08:41:15 n/a
16 Jose Estrangeiro POR 00:52:42 04:49:23 02:58:21 08:43:36 09:35
17 Tuukka Miettinen FIN 00:58:12 04:43:52 03:06:12 08:51:34 03:40
18 Stefan Overmars NED 00:53:43 04:39:12 03:21:04 08:57:11 -04:21
19 Sergio Marques POR 00:55:20 04:32:27 03:29:34 09:00:13 12:30
20 Jon Albizuri Izaguirre SPA 00:59:22 04:47:38 03:09:40 09:00:54 n/a
21 Young Hwan Oh KOR 01:01:49 04:46:10 03:11:42 09:02:41 -07:07
22 Thomas Naasz NED 00:55:49 04:52:40 03:11:17 09:03:24 02:11
23 Moises Vidal Gil ESP 00:57:58 04:55:39 03:06:41 09:04:19 -12:00
24 Nathan Miller AUS 00:54:33 04:41:28 03:39:08 09:18:23 -53:08
25 Peter Kotland CZE 00:59:16 04:52:48 03:29:01 09:26:45 -02:53
26 Marcus Woellner GER 00:49:45 04:32:10 04:04:52 09:29:39 n/a
27 Rafael Gomes POR 00:57:56 04:56:06 03:37:21 09:35:12 15:44
28 Ilkka Utriainen FIN 00:54:23 05:03:54 03:35:06 09:37:42 n/a
29 Michael Louys BEL 01:03:19 04:33:31 04:33:18 10:14:11 1:09:15
Sebastian Neef GER 00:52:52 04:20:53 DNF
Sean Donnelly GER 00:48:30 04:29:51 DNF
Jens Frommhold GER 00:55:15 04:25:49 DNF
Matthias Knossalla GER 00:58:14 04:24:47 DNF
Chris Fischer DEN 00:54:40 04:35:53 DNF
Fabian Rahn GER 00:58:11 04:36:54 DNF
Christian Jais GER 00:55:30 04:39:57 DNF
Dirk Wijnalda NED 00:57:13 04:39:40 DNF
Travis Hawkins USA 01:00:26 04:55:31 DNF
Nils Frommhold GER 00:48:32 DNF
Henry Beck GER 00:48:43 DNF
Michael Smith Larsen DEN 00:55:25 DNF
Darby Thomas FIN 00:59:18 DNF

Female Race Results

It was clear that Daniela would be next to impossible to beat unless her injury had left her severely unfit. She worked hard for a good time posting the fastest swim and bike split, but said she struggled a bit in the second half of the marathon. She still won with a fast time of 8:40 and with more than ten minutes to spare:Roth F1 Dani

Laura Siddall improved on her fourth place finish from last year, but continued her string of second place finishes:

Roth F2 Laura

Third place was the surprise of the day: Lisa Roberts was a late entry and flew under the radar for the swim and bike, but she ended up with the only sub-3 marathon of the day, the fastest by nine minutes:

Roth F3 Lisa

Rank Name Nation Swim Bike Run Time Diff to exp. Prize Money
1 Daniela Ryf SUI 00:52:34 04:37:34 03:06:46 08:40:03 03:41 EUR 15,000
2 Laura Siddall GBR 00:58:16 04:44:59 03:05:40 08:51:38 -20:42 EUR 8,000
3 Lisa Roberts USA 01:01:31 04:55:20 02:56:35 08:57:14 -19:03 EUR 5,000
4 Yvonne Van Vlerken NED 00:58:15 04:45:51 03:20:09 09:07:40 05:39 EUR 3,000
5 Corina Hengartner SUI 01:01:20 04:57:45 03:23:21 09:25:28 -20:44 EUR 2,000
6 Vanessa Pereira POR 01:01:52 05:16:58 03:26:56 09:50:47 -17:08
7 Martina Dogana ITA 00:58:23 05:19:54 03:30:01 09:52:56 18:51
8 Steph Corker CAN 00:58:36 05:30:12 03:41:09 10:14:02 16:45
9 Anne Jensen DEN 01:07:39 05:06:03 04:20:52 10:39:43 39:38
10 Ana Revilla ESP 01:11:32 05:30:58 04:10:43 10:57:28 n/a
Heather Wurtele CAN 00:52:56 DNF

2 Responses to Challenge Roth 2017 – Analyzing Results

  1. Guy Limbeck July 10, 2017 at 10:53 pm #

    Only the top 10 women finishers are listed. I was trying to find the finish for Ruth Brennan Morrey.

    • Thorsten July 11, 2017 at 9:57 am #

      Unfortunately, Ruth was a DNS.

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