IM Louisville and Canada 2011 – Analyzing Results – Four out of four predicted winners!

Last weekend, we had two exciting races finalizing the KPR rankings for 2011. A number of athletes tried to snag some final points, and we’ll have a closer look at the Kona qualifiers in the next few weeks.

This weekend was exciting for Thorsten’s Triathlon Ratings as well: We managed to predict all the winners for this weekend – so we must be doing something right!

IM Louisville

Race Conditions

This year’s race was the fastest one in Louisville – an adjustment of 10:47 leads to a new course rating of 3:31.

Male Results

After a bit of an injury break, Chris McDonald came back with a solid race to win by a few minutes:

Rank Name Nation Actual Time Expected Time
1 Chris McDonald AUS 08:27:36 08:38:56
2 Patrick Evoe USA 08:30:35 08:49:35
3 Justin Daerr USA 08:34:35 08:44:37
4 Dave Harju CAN 09:20:01 09:05:03
5 Ivan Albano BRA 09:21:39 09:08:43
6 Bojan Maric SCG 09:56:06 09:55:28
7 Logan Franks USA 10:20:01 09:22:13

Female Results

Nina Kraft overcame some struggles in the final part of the run to become one of the oldest winners of an Ironman:

Rank Name Nation Actual Time Expected Time
1 Nina Kraft GER 09:38:14 09:19:05
2 Jackie Arendt USA 09:40:28 09:51:02
3 Stephanie Jones USA 09:52:40 10:45:09
4 Donna Phelan USA 10:01:34 10:09:57
5 Terra Castro USA 10:02:40 10:13:49
6 Cindy Lewis USA 10:04:14 n/a
7 Marilyn McDonald CAN 10:06:47 10:10:07
8 Hillary Biscay USA 10:09:32 10:04:13
9 Marie Danais CAN 10:22:23 10:21:43

IM Canada

Race Conditions

The conditions in Canada were pretty typical with an adjustment of 4:57, barely changing the course rating to 3:20.

Male Results

Jordan Rapp managed to win his third IM – underscoring that he’s back from his horrible crash:

Rank Name Nation Actual Time Expected Time
1 Jordan Rapp USA 08:28:09 08:26:50
2 Torsten Abel GER 08:41:09 08:46:16
3 Bert Jammaer BEL 08:42:34 08:54:37
4 Christopher Bagg USA 08:47:25 09:08:24
5 Jasper Blake CAN 08:50:30 08:41:43
6 Nigel Gray CAN 08:57:41 09:08:36
7 Matthew Russell USA 08:59:31 09:17:49
8 Trevor Wurtele CAN 09:05:19 09:21:51
9 Scott Tremblay CAN 09:07:03 09:24:05
10 Jason Shortis AUS 09:12:55 08:50:43
11 Ryan Cain CAN 09:16:23 10:47:10
12 Paul Attard   09:17:22 n/a
13 Mike Neill CAN 09:18:55 08:55:07
14 Scott Curry CAN 09:22:30 09:09:12
15 Bryan Rhodes NZL 09:23:24 09:05:09
16 Dallas Cain CAN 09:26:44 09:42:03
17 Mathieu Ohalloran   09:34:26 n/a
18 Adam O’Meara CAN 09:35:55 09:30:25
19 Juan Carlos Ramirez USA 09:46:04 09:50:50
20 Hiroyuki Nishiuchi JPN 10:00:39 09:13:55
21 Kyle Marcotte CAN 10:09:49 08:59:03
22 Paul Tichelaar   10:34:08 n/a
23 Christopher Baird   11:20:14 n/a

Female Results

On the female side, Mary Beth Ellis also won her third Ironman – in three starts and within 8 weeks! She’s got enough points for a Kona start – hopefully she can recover in time to deliver a good race:

Rank Name Nation Actual Time Expected Time
1 Mary Beth Ellis USA 09:03:13 09:15:48
2 Kim Loeffler USA 09:34:54 09:41:58
3 Meredith Kessler USA 09:37:22 09:34:49
4 Sara Gross CAN 09:46:56 09:54:07
5 Fiona Whitby CAN 10:13:28 10:39:49
6 Haley Cooper USA 10:34:41 10:07:11
7 Maki Nishiuchi JPN 10:44:42 10:08:15
8 Miranda Alldritt CAN 11:11:24 10:44:50
9 Fernanda Keller BRA 11:26:40 10:24:51
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