Ironman Hawaii 2019 (Oct 12th) – Seedings

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This is an excerpt from my “Kona 2019 Rating Report” with a lot more information about the Ironman World Championships and the Pros racing there. You can download your copy here.

Prize Money and Kona Slots

IM Hawaii awards slots for the Kona 2020 race to the podium finishers (no rolldown). It has a total prize purse of 650.000 US$, paying 10 deep.

Male Race Participants

The strength of the field is 102% of a typical Kona field.

# Bib Name Nat Expected Rating ESwim EBike ET2 ERun Consistency Overall
1 M4 Jan Frodeno GER 07:58:18 07:56:41 00:49:00 04:19:17 05:13:17 02:45:01 54% +0% -46% (4) 1
2 M5 Sebastian Kienle GER 07:59:17 08:01:09 00:52:54 04:12:16 05:10:10 02:49:07 59% +0% -41% (7) 2
3 M1 Patrick Lange GER 08:00:31 08:03:23 00:51:04 04:24:21 05:20:25 02:40:06 100% +0% -0% (3) 3
4 M20 Cody Beals CAN 08:09:36 08:15:17 00:54:24 04:23:12 05:22:36 02:47:00 n/a (no Kona Pro race) (7)
5 M15 Patrik Nilsson SWE 08:09:49 08:09:45 00:50:06 04:26:31 05:21:37 02:48:12 38% +0% -62% (2) 4
6 M17 Lionel Sanders CAN 08:10:23 08:16:38 00:55:49 04:15:26 05:16:15 02:54:08 26% +28% -46% (4) 10
7 M11 Cameron Wurf AUS 08:10:24 08:17:19 00:53:28 04:11:30 05:09:59 03:00:25 100% +0% -0% (2) 12
8 M2 Bart Aernouts BEL 08:10:28 08:16:31 00:55:17 04:26:15 05:26:32 02:43:56 50% +41% -9% (7) 9
9 M23 Terenzo Bozzone NZL 08:12:17 08:20:30 00:50:32 04:24:36 05:20:08 02:52:09 1% +55% -44% (5) 17
10 M3 David McNamee GBR 08:12:21 08:19:14 00:50:39 04:31:58 05:27:37 02:44:44 26% +74% -0% (4) 13
11 M24 Alistair Brownlee GBR 08:12:32 unrated 00:50:34 04:26:17 05:21:52 02:50:40 n/a (no Kona Pro race) (n/a)
12 M14 Ben Hoffman USA 08:12:55 08:13:30 00:50:45 04:23:29 05:19:14 02:53:41 48% +34% -18% (8) 6
13 M50 Kennett Peterson USA 08:13:17 08:23:26 00:55:53 04:21:02 05:21:55 02:51:22 n/a (no Kona Pro race) (27)
14 M48 Franz Loeschke GER 08:13:21 08:21:47 00:50:46 04:32:34 05:28:20 02:45:01 n/a (no Kona Pro race) (20)
15 M19 Andi Boecherer GER 08:13:42 08:19:32 00:50:16 04:22:33 05:17:49 02:55:53 92% +4% -3% (6) 15
16 M7 Braden Currie NZL 08:14:20 08:20:52 00:50:26 04:28:07 05:23:33 02:50:47 62% +0% -38% (2) 18
17 M6 Timothy O’Donnell USA 08:14:50 08:16:23 00:49:48 04:25:47 05:20:36 02:54:14 70% +23% -6% (8) 8
18 M45 Nils Frommhold GER 08:15:13 08:12:04 00:50:47 04:26:06 05:21:54 02:53:19 14% +0% -86% (3) 5
19 M10 Andy Potts USA 08:17:42 08:20:13 00:50:34 04:28:36 05:24:10 02:53:32 100% +0% -0% (10) 16
20 M9 Joe Skipper GBR 08:17:52 08:24:28 00:54:11 04:27:19 05:26:30 02:51:22 77% +0% -23% (3) 31
21 M18 James Cunnama ZAF 08:19:17 08:21:45 00:51:43 04:26:05 05:22:48 02:56:29 66% +28% -6% (6) 19
22 M43 Andreas Dreitz GER 08:19:17 08:17:09 00:52:29 04:22:30 05:19:59 02:59:18 100% +0% -0% (1) 11
23 M21 Daniel Baekkegard DEN 08:19:44 08:30:01 00:49:21 04:30:45 05:25:07 02:54:37 n/a (no Kona Pro race) (48)
24 M8 Matthew Russell USA 08:19:52 08:24:28 00:56:53 04:25:26 05:27:19 02:52:33 6% +67% -27% (7) 31
25 M31 Boris Stein GER 08:20:06 08:23:00 00:55:43 04:22:47 05:23:30 02:56:36 73% +27% -0% (4) 25
26 M28 Chris Leiferman USA 08:20:23 08:20:53 00:56:00 04:28:00 05:29:00 02:51:23 n/a (no Kona Pro race) (19)
27 M12 Michael Weiss AUT 08:20:32 08:23:59 00:57:00 04:21:40 05:23:41 02:56:51 73% +0% -27% (8) 29
28 M46 Joe Gambles AUS 08:20:41 08:22:25 00:52:29 04:31:22 05:28:51 02:51:50 3% +0% -97% (4) 23
29 M42 Tobias Drachler GER 08:21:09 08:35:35 00:50:44 04:33:08 05:28:52 02:52:17 n/a (no Kona Pro race) (62)
30 M32 Jesper Svensson SWE 08:22:04 08:23:13 00:49:25 04:30:49 05:25:14 02:56:50 n/a (no Kona Pro race) 26
31 M29 Mike Phillips NZL 08:22:13 08:23:59 00:52:00 04:31:55 05:28:54 02:53:19 100% +0% -0% (1) 29
32 M33 Matt Trautman ZAF 08:22:16 08:24:28 00:53:43 04:29:50 05:28:33 02:53:43 0% +0% -100% (1) 31
33 M56 Tim Van Berkel AUS 08:23:07 08:21:57 00:51:51 04:36:06 05:32:57 02:50:10 91% +0% -9% (5) 20
34 M36 Josh Amberger AUS 08:23:31 08:26:41 00:48:40 04:23:02 05:16:42 03:06:49 38% +0% -62% (2) 36
35 M35 Clemente Alonso ESP 08:23:33 08:27:19 00:51:12 04:34:14 05:30:26 02:53:07 4% +0% -96% (3) 39
36 M26 Matt Hanson USA 08:23:59 08:23:26 00:55:02 04:30:56 05:30:58 02:53:01 0% +0% -100% (3) 27
37 M39 Maurice Clavel GER 08:24:13 08:19:22 00:50:09 04:26:46 05:21:55 03:02:18 100% +0% -0% (1) 14
38 M22 Eneko Llanos ESP 08:24:27 08:22:24 00:50:55 04:29:49 05:25:44 02:58:43 86% +0% -14% (12) 22
39 M27 Kristian Hogenhaug DEN 08:25:21 08:28:13 00:55:17 04:27:13 05:27:31 02:57:50 n/a (no Kona Pro race) 44
40 M47 Philipp Koutny SUI 08:25:42 08:28:40 00:52:23 04:30:02 05:27:25 02:58:17 0% +100% -0% (1) 46
41 M16 Tim Reed AUS 08:26:01 08:25:29 00:51:28 04:31:24 05:27:52 02:58:09 77% +6% -17% (4) 35
42 M34 Jan van Berkel SUI 08:26:30 08:23:51 00:51:42 04:35:02 05:31:45 02:54:45 74% +0% -26% (4) 28
43 M51 David Plese SLO 08:27:15 08:25:12 00:55:13 04:28:41 05:28:54 02:58:21 63% +0% -37% (5) 34
44 M54 Andrew Starykowicz USA 08:27:38 08:27:17 00:51:45 04:15:03 05:11:48 03:15:50 6% +0% -94% (3) 38
45 M44 Marc Duelsen GER 08:27:49 08:27:20 00:54:44 04:31:42 05:31:26 02:56:23 38% +0% -62% (2) 40
46 M55 TJ Tollakson USA 08:28:56 08:27:10 00:52:44 04:28:20 05:26:04 03:02:52 40% +0% -60% (7) 37
47 M41 David Dellow AUS 08:30:07 08:27:38 00:51:04 04:36:58 05:33:02 02:57:05 40% +0% -60% (3) 42
48 M57 Cyril Viennot FRA 08:32:30 08:30:39 00:53:07 04:33:15 05:31:22 03:01:08 21% +14% -65% (8) 49
49 M38 Will Clarke GBR 08:34:56 08:36:43 00:51:43 04:35:41 05:32:25 03:02:31 0% +0% -100% (2) 66
50 M49 Lukas Kraemer GER 08:35:16 08:36:10 00:57:27 04:36:45 05:39:12 02:56:04 n/a (no Kona Pro race) 64
51 M25 Daniel Fontana ITA 08:37:26 08:46:10 00:51:48 04:39:56 05:36:44 03:00:42 3% +0% -97% (5) (102)
52 M52 Stefan Schumacher GER 08:39:50 08:50:32 01:01:30 04:22:22 05:28:53 03:10:57 n/a (no Kona Pro race) (115)
53 M30 Daniil Sapunov UKR 08:41:14 08:46:29 00:51:45 04:43:41 05:40:25 03:00:49 n/a (no Kona Pro race) 103
54 M53 Frank Silvestrin BRA 08:44:48 08:49:42 00:52:30 04:47:53 05:45:23 02:59:25 n/a (no Kona Pro race) 113
55 M40 Mario De Elias ARG 08:50:38 08:52:49 00:55:59 04:47:34 05:48:33 03:02:05 n/a (no Kona Pro race) (122)

Female Race Participants

The strength of the field is 103% of a typical Kona field.

# Bib Name Nat Expected Rating ESwim EBike ET2 ERun Consistency Overall
1 F1 Daniela Ryf SUI 08:42:16 08:37:01 00:56:50 04:42:19 05:44:08 02:58:08 57% +43% -0% (5) 1
2 F2 Lucy Charles-Barclay GBR 08:50:30 08:58:15 00:49:57 04:50:21 05:45:18 03:05:12 0% +100% -0% (2) 3
3 F3 Anne Haug GER 08:52:51 08:57:01 00:56:07 04:56:58 05:58:05 02:54:46 0% +100% -0% (1) 2
4 F21 Laura Philipp GER 08:56:34 09:07:37 00:59:30 04:53:43 05:58:13 02:58:21 n/a (no Kona Pro race) (10)
5 F5 Sarah True USA 08:56:48 09:02:25 00:54:05 05:00:21 05:59:27 02:57:21 0% +100% -0% (1) 4
6 F4 Mirinda Carfrae AUS 09:00:24 09:03:31 01:00:01 04:57:24 06:02:24 02:58:00 84% +4% -11% (9) 7
7 F6 Sarah Crowley AUS 09:00:28 09:03:14 00:55:46 04:52:41 05:53:27 03:07:01 18% +82% -0% (3) 6
8 F7 Kaisa Sali FIN 09:02:45 09:02:47 00:59:46 04:55:34 06:00:20 03:02:25 100% +0% -0% (3) 5
9 F11 Heather Jackson USA 09:07:06 09:06:21 01:00:16 04:53:10 05:58:26 03:08:40 90% +10% -0% (4) 8
10 F12 Carrie Lester AUS 09:08:10 09:08:16 00:56:50 04:55:58 05:57:48 03:10:22 49% +0% -51% (4) 10
11 F23 Daniela Bleymehl GER 09:10:31 09:12:20 00:59:23 04:49:45 05:54:08 03:16:23 0% +0% -100% (1) 12
12 F8 Corinne Abraham GBR 09:11:03 09:12:29 01:02:14 04:52:39 05:59:53 03:11:10 100% +0% -0% (3) 13
13 F20 Jocelyn McCauley USA 09:11:54 09:14:17 00:56:02 04:58:09 05:59:11 03:12:43 -0% +38% -62% (2) 15
14 F9 Linsey Corbin USA 09:12:54 09:12:06 01:00:57 05:00:50 06:06:48 03:06:06 100% +0% -0% (12) 11
15 F22 Sarah Piampiano USA 09:14:25 09:16:46 01:06:30 05:01:06 06:12:36 03:01:49 63% +10% -27% (5) 18
16 F27 Svenja Thoes GER 09:15:30 09:32:36 01:00:29 05:01:17 06:06:46 03:08:44 n/a (no Kona Pro race) (48)
17 F38 Jeanni Seymour ZAF 09:15:45 09:27:12 00:55:15 05:10:55 06:11:09 03:04:36 n/a (no Kona Pro race) (38)
18 F26 Caroline Steffen SUI 09:15:49 09:16:42 00:56:03 04:59:39 06:00:42 03:15:07 91% +9% -0% (6) 17
19 F39 Imogen Simmonds SUI 09:15:54 09:27:21 00:54:15 04:59:07 05:58:22 03:17:32 n/a (no Kona Pro race) (38)
20 F17 Susie Cheetham GBR 09:16:40 09:13:00 00:59:39 05:00:24 06:05:03 03:11:37 38% +0% -62% (4) 14
21 F24 Laura Siddall GBR 09:18:56 09:17:19 01:01:23 04:59:20 06:05:43 03:13:13 100% +0% -0% (2) 19
22 F36 Camilla Pedersen DEN 09:18:59 09:17:59 00:55:03 05:01:45 06:01:48 03:17:11 49% +0% -51% (3) 20
23 F18 Mareen Hufe GER 09:20:00 09:24:55 01:01:17 04:55:17 06:01:34 03:18:26 96% +0% -4% (5) 33
24 F41 Maja Stage Nielsen DEN 09:21:26 09:23:46 01:00:16 05:07:52 06:13:08 03:08:18 100% +0% -0% (2) 26
25 F31 Meredith Kessler USA 09:23:42 09:24:54 00:53:37 05:05:05 06:03:42 03:20:00 4% +0% -96% (7) 32
26 F40 Lesley Smith USA 09:25:13 09:23:49 00:58:37 05:15:47 06:19:24 03:05:49 0% +0% -100% (1) 27
27 F28 Jen Annett CAN 09:25:56 09:24:01 01:03:13 04:58:59 06:07:11 03:18:45 100% +0% -0% (1) 28
28 F33 Kristin Liepold GER 09:27:02 09:32:33 01:08:13 05:13:49 06:27:02 03:00:00 100% +0% -0% (4) 47
29 F37 Barbara Riveros CHI 09:27:07 09:38:47 00:56:21 05:08:53 06:10:14 03:16:53 n/a (no Kona Pro race) (57)
30 F35 Kimberley Morrison GBR 09:27:42 09:29:24 00:58:37 04:54:24 05:58:01 03:29:41 n/a (no Kona Pro race) 42
31 F16 Lauren Brandon USA 09:28:59 09:28:14 00:50:27 05:00:11 05:55:37 03:33:22 0% +0% -100% (2) 39
32 F25 Jennifer Spieldenner USA 09:29:55 unrated 00:54:15 05:08:13 06:07:29 03:22:26 n/a (no Kona Pro race) (n/a)
33 F14 Nikki Bartlett GBR 09:30:10 09:30:23 01:02:57 05:02:17 06:10:14 03:19:56 0% +0% -100% (1) 44
34 F43 Els Visser NED 09:30:40 09:39:33 01:00:59 04:59:49 06:05:48 03:24:52 n/a (no Kona Pro race) 57
35 F44 Annah Watkinson ZAF 09:31:43 09:36:38 01:01:36 05:12:54 06:19:31 03:12:12 n/a (no Kona Pro race) 51
36 F30 Gurutze Frades Larralde ESP 09:32:58 09:31:18 01:05:47 05:14:10 06:24:57 03:08:01 82% +0% -18% (3) 45
37 F42 Bianca Steurer AUT 09:34:04 09:32:58 01:03:22 05:07:55 06:16:17 03:17:47 100% +0% -0% (1) 48
38 F29 Nina Derron SUI 09:36:56 09:38:20 00:59:32 05:11:28 06:15:59 03:20:57 n/a (no Kona Pro race) 55
39 F15 Emma Bilham SUI 09:38:23 09:40:22 00:58:06 05:18:14 06:21:19 03:17:04 n/a (no Kona Pro race) (58)
40 F45 Kelsey Withrow USA 09:41:35 09:55:32 00:57:26 05:16:18 06:18:43 03:22:52 n/a (no Kona Pro race) 76
41 F34 Danielle Mack USA 09:45:48 09:49:01 01:06:12 05:16:27 06:27:39 03:18:09 n/a (no Kona Pro race) 66
42 F32 Martina Kunz SUI 09:47:56 09:50:03 01:06:26 05:08:30 06:19:56 03:28:00 n/a (no Kona Pro race) 69
43 F19 Sue Huse CAN 09:54:30 10:13:52 01:07:29 05:31:11 06:43:40 03:10:50 n/a (no Kona Pro race) (100)

Winning Odds

Male Race Participants

  • Jan Frodeno: 32% (2-1)
  • Sebastian Kienle: 22% (3-1)
  • Patrick Lange: 22% (4-1)
  • Patrik Nilsson: 7% (14-1)
  • Bart Aernouts: 6% (17-1)
  • Lionel Sanders: 3% (29-1)
  • Ben Hoffman: 3% (32-1)

Female Race Participants

  • Daniela Ryf: 58% (1-1)
  • Lucy Charles-Barclay: 26% (3-1)
  • Anne Haug: 13% (7-1)

Trackbacks/Pingbacks

  1. Episode132 – Hawaii preview 2019 – Wechselzonepodcast - October 9, 2019

    […] Ironman Hawaii 2019 (Oct 12th) – Seedings […]

  2. Todo lo que tienes que saber sobre Kona 2019 - Planeta Triatlón - October 11, 2019

    […] sé que todavía no me he convertido en el mejor atleta que puedo ser», dice Lange. Para Trirating, la biblia de las predicciones es el tercer favorito con un 22% de probabilidades por detrás de […]

  3. Todo lo que tienes que saber sobre Kona 2019 • Guía Maraton - Calendario de Carreras de Calle, Aventura y Triatlón - October 11, 2019

    […] superar, sé que todavía no me he convertido en el mejor atleta que puedo ser», dice Lange. Para Trirating, la biblia de las predicciones es el tercer favorito con un 22% de probabilidades por detrás de […]

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