Kona Qualifying Before the Last July Races

This post looks at Kona Qualifying before the remaining July races:

Date Type Race Points
23-Jul IM Ironman Lake Placid – MPRO ONLY P-2000
23-Jul IM Ironman France P-2000
23-Jul 70.3 70.3 Calgary P-500
30-Jul IM Ironman Switzerland P-2000
30-Jul 70.3 70.3 Ecuador P-750
30-Jul IM Ironman Canada – WPRO ONLY P-2000

The following assessments are built on the available start lists posted by Ironman and assume that there are not going to be any late entries. For both male and the female qualifying, no one racing in Calgary is able to affect qualifying.

If you want to stay up-to-date on Kona Pro qualifying, please subscribe to the KPR Observer – I send out regular email updates analyzing the latest developments, and for the remainder of the qualifying season it’s available at a reduced price of 19$.

Women’s Qualifying

There are 28 Kona points slots (not counting the Automatic Qualifiers) for the female Pros in July. (There will be another 7 in August.) The following table lists the athletes currently occupying the last qualifying slots:

Rank Athlete Points Races Comments
21 Corbin, Linsey 4725 2+2 (1900/320) also registered for IM Canada
22 Hauschildt, Melissa 4700 1+1
23 Grohmann, Katharina 4470 3+1 (960/140) also registered for 70.3 Ecuador
24 Brandon, Lauren 4425 2+2 (1600/515)
25 Abraham, Corinne 4400 3+1 (960/240)
26 McCauley, Jocelyn 4385 3+0 (385/0)
Kessler, Meredith 4265 3+1 (235/750) Going to decline (pregnant)
27 Luxford, Annabel 4230 1+2 (960/1500) also registered for IM France
28 Chura, Haley 4180 1+2 (2890/540)

As you can see, I’m not counting Meredith Kessler as she is pregnant and will decline her slot. This also assumes that Lucy Gossage is going to decline her slot as she has said numerous times. (The “formal declines” can only happen after the end of July qualifying when Ironman asks athletes to accept their slots.)

With these reasonable assumptions, Haley Chura currently occupies the last qualifying slot with 4.180 points. (She has the same number of points as Kristin Möller but has the better tie-breaker top score.) The following table lists what each of the athletes that can still catch her will need, even if that is not necessarily enough for securing a slot (i.e. even if one can pass Haley, there can still be others that further leap ahead).

Athlete Points Races Registered for Needs
Bartlett, Nikki 4055 3+1 (855/640) IM France, but unlikely to race 3rd
Lester, Carrie 3535 1+1 IM France 5th
Mack, Danielle 3450 3+0 (170/0) IM Canada 4th
Li, Shiao-yu 3145 3+1 (540/320) IM Switzerland 2nd
Joyce, Rachel 3140 1+2 (2000/220) IM Canada 3rd
Elmore, Malindi 3130 2+2 (1070/140) IM Canada 3rd
Holst, Tine 3035 3+1 (340/400) IM Switzerland 2nd
Schaerer, Celine 3000 3+1 (515/345) IM Switzerland 1st
DiMichele Miller, Leslie 2905 3+1 (230/220) IM Canada 2nd

Men’s Qualifying

There are 40 Kona points slots (not counting the Automatic Qualifiers) for the male Pros in July. (There will be another 10 in August.) Here are the male Pros in the last qualifying ranks:

Rank Athlete Points Races Comments
27 Plese, David 3775 3+1 (960/785) also registered for IM Switzerland
28 Duelsen, Marc 3765 3+1 (540/540)
29 Vinhal, Thiago 3740 2+1 also registered for 70.3 Ecuador
30 Rana, Ivan 3740 2+2 (30/45)
31 Kotshegarov, Kirill 3710 3+0 (340/0)
32 Kastelein, Nick 3690 1+2 (1280/640) also registered for IM Switzerland
33 Thomas, Jesse 3420 2+2 (1100/400) also registered for 70.3 Ecuador
34 Molinari, Giulio 3395 3+1 (720/750)
35 Colucci, Reinaldo 3390 1+2 (2455/435) also registered for 70.3 Ecuador
36 Fox, Michael 3355 3+1 (405/320)
37 Tohara, Kaito 3330 3+1 (230/220) also registered for IM France
38 McMahon, Brent 3170 2+2 (340/605) also registered for IM Lake Placid
39 Evoe, Patrick 3163 3+1 (8/540)  also registered for 70.3 Ecuador
40 Wiltshire, Harry 3085 2+2 (305/280) also registered for IM Switzerland

Currently Harry Wiltshire occupies the last qualifying slot, but it’s safe to assume that some are going to score and more than 3.085 points will be needed. The following table lists athletes that can get to at least 3.300 points and the results needed for that:

Athlete Points Races Registered for Needs
Wild, Ruedi (Not Validated) 3310 1+2 (340/540) IM Switzerland Finish
Fontana, Daniel 2860 2+2 (515/135) IM France, IM Switzerland 5th
Croneborg, Fredrik 2820 1+2 (2000/320) IM France 6th
Sapunov, Daniil 2710 3+1 (685/345) IM Switzerland 3rd
Degasperi, Alessandro 2690 2+1 IM France, IM Switzerland 5th
Weiss, Michael 2665 3+1 (235/750) IM Lake Placid 4th
Van Berkel, Jan 2475 1+2 (2090/145) IM Switzerland 4th
Chrabot, Matt 2460 1+2 (1600/220) IM Lake Placid 4th
Chevrot, Denis 2450 2+2 (340/640) IM France 3rd
Leiferman, Chris 2420 1+2 (1280/500) IM Lake Placid 4th
Llanos, Eneko 2165 3+1 (215/10) IM France 2nd
Wurf, Cameron 1925 3+1 (40/35) IM France, IM Switzerland 2nd
Tollakson, TJ 1860 1+2 (1280/180) IM Lake Placid 2nd
Graves, Philip 1850 3+1 (5/220) IM Switzerland 2nd
Koutny, Philipp 1680 3+1 (170/140) IM Switzerland 1st
Zyemtsev, Viktor 1675 1+2 (1280/115) IM France 1st
Hovgaard, Esben 1565 3+1 (290/195) IM Switzerland 1st
Santos, Fellipe 1435 1+2 (855/180) IM Switzerland 1st
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