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IM Canada 2012 – Predictions (Main Post)

If you are looking for additional information on the participants, you can find a full list of their pro results in the detail post.

Previous Results

IM Canada is one of the slower courses with a course rating of 3:14, just a little bit faster than Kona. Last years winners were Jordan Rapp (8:28:09) and Mary Beth Ellis (9:03:13). The course records are held by Jordan Rapp (8:25:13, 2009) and Mary Beth Ellis (9:03:13, 2011), with Meredith Kessler having the fastest swim I could find (49:59, 2010).

IM Canada is a “only” a 1.000 points race, and (together with IM Louisville) is the last chance to get qualifying points for Kona 2012.

Male Participants

Last year’s winner Jordan Rapp finally committed to race in Kona this year, so he is not back to defend his title. The highest ranked athlete on the start list is Christian Brader from Germany:

Rank Name Nation Expected Time Rating Rank
1 Christian Brader GER 08:57:42 09:00:56 143
2 Matthew Russell USA 09:02:22 09:05:38 173
3 Matthew Sheeks USA 09:12:17 09:15:37 241
4 Scott Curry CAN 09:12:21 09:15:41 242
5 Christopher Bagg USA 09:15:58 09:19:19 279
6 Olly Piggin CAN 09:22:23 09:25:46 326
7 Kyle Marcotte CAN 09:23:11 09:26:34 331
8 Lewis Elliot USA 09:31:27 09:34:53 394
9 Anthony Toth CAN 09:34:21 09:37:48 410
10 Luke Way CAN 09:45:19 09:48:50 491
11 Andrew Powell   10:01:46 10:05:23 592
12 Ryan Borger   n/a unrated n/a
13 Nathan Killam   n/a unrated n/a
14 Shanon Stallard NZL n/a unrated n/a
15 Derek Garcia   n/a unrated n/a

He’s also the one with the best winning odds:

  • Christian Brader: 33%
  • Matthew Russell: 17%
  • Kyle Marcotte: 15%
  • Christopher Bagg: 14%

Female Participants

On the female side, there two “big” names on the start list: Samantha McGlone (coming back from a long break) and Meredith Kessler.

Rank Name Nation Expected Time Rating Rank
1 Samantha McGlone USA 09:27:08 09:30:33 16
2 Meredith Kessler USA 09:31:29 09:34:55 25
3 Mackenzie Madison USA 09:34:24 09:37:52 33
4 Janelle Morrison CAN 09:54:29 09:58:04 88
5 Paolina Allan CAN 10:05:09 10:08:48 121
6 Rachel Kiers CAN 10:14:15 10:17:57 155
7 Marilyn McDonald CAN 10:17:20 10:21:03 167
8 Stephanie Ossenbrink CAN 10:24:00 10:27:45 186
9 Gillian Clayton CAN 10:25:49 10:29:35 190
10 Trish Deim USA 10:33:47 10:37:36 206
11 Alexis Smith   n/a unrated n/a
12 Brenda Lomax   n/a unrated n/a
13 Monica Dalidowicz   n/a unrated n/a

While Samantha has the better rating, “MBK” (coming off two IM wins this season) has better winning odds:

  • Meredith Kessler: 43%
  • Samantha McGlone: 33%
  • Mackenzie Madison: 19%

IM Canada 2012 – Predictions (Detail Post)

Male Race Participants

Rank Name Nation Expected Time Rating Rank
1 Christian Brader GER 08:57:42 09:00:56 143
2 Matthew Russell USA 09:02:22 09:05:38 173
3 Matthew Sheeks USA 09:12:17 09:15:37 241
4 Scott Curry CAN 09:12:21 09:15:41 242
5 Christopher Bagg USA 09:15:58 09:19:19 279
6 Olly Piggin CAN 09:22:23 09:25:46 326
7 Kyle Marcotte CAN 09:23:11 09:26:34 331
8 Lewis Elliot USA 09:31:27 09:34:53 394
9 Anthony Toth CAN 09:34:21 09:37:48 410
10 Luke Way CAN 09:45:19 09:48:50 491
11 Andrew Powell   10:01:46 10:05:23 592
12 Ryan Borger   n/a unrated n/a
13 Nathan Killam   n/a unrated n/a
14 Shanon Stallard NZL n/a unrated n/a
15 Derek Garcia   n/a unrated n/a

Female Race Participants

Rank Name Nation Expected Time Rating Rank
1 Samantha McGlone USA 09:27:08 09:30:33 16
2 Meredith Kessler USA 09:31:29 09:34:55 25
3 Mackenzie Madison USA 09:34:24 09:37:52 33
4 Janelle Morrison CAN 09:54:29 09:58:04 88
5 Paolina Allan CAN 10:05:09 10:08:48 121
6 Rachel Kiers CAN 10:14:15 10:17:57 155
7 Marilyn McDonald CAN 10:17:20 10:21:03 167
8 Stephanie Ossenbrink CAN 10:24:00 10:27:45 186
9 Gillian Clayton CAN 10:25:49 10:29:35 190
10 Trish Deim USA 10:33:47 10:37:36 206
11 Alexis Smith   n/a unrated n/a
12 Brenda Lomax   n/a unrated n/a
13 Monica Dalidowicz   n/a unrated n/a

Results for Christian Brader (GER)

Race Date Total Adjusted Rating Rank in Race
IM New York 2012-08-11 08:42:08 08:51:13 09:00:56 11
IM Switzerland 2012-07-15 09:04:00 09:15:13 09:02:08 12
IM Texas 2012-05-19 08:39:07 08:52:48 09:00:20 8
IM Regensburg 2011-08-07 09:06:09 09:18:23 09:01:28 7
IM St. George 2011-05-07 09:08:19 09:08:39 08:59:08 8
IM Hawaii 2010-10-09 08:33:43 08:34:39 08:57:45 16
IM Canada 2010-08-29 08:32:41 08:40:37 09:01:01 2
IM Regensburg 2010-08-01 08:25:30 08:32:10 09:17:43 4
Challenge Roth 2010-07-18 10:23:03 10:45:05 09:24:49 24
IM St. George 2010-05-01 09:14:42 09:10:31 09:10:11 8
IM Hawaii 2009-10-10 08:57:39 08:53:13 09:10:07 26
IM Lake Placid 2009-07-26 08:56:35 08:56:59 09:13:44 2
IM Lanzarote 2009-05-23 09:21:47 09:18:58 09:17:57 12
IM Australia 2009-04-05 10:03:56 10:07:09 09:17:38 20
IM Hawaii 2008-10-11 08:50:08 08:48:30 08:56:00 19
IM Lake Placid 2008-07-20 08:58:10 08:56:33 09:00:36 4
IM Germany 2007-07-01 08:51:09 09:06:05 09:06:05 12

Results for Matthew Russell (USA)

Race Date Total Adjusted Rating Rank in Race
IM Lake Placid 2012-07-22 09:16:43 09:17:26 09:05:38 4
IM Coeur d’Alene 2012-06-24 08:52:00 08:54:34 09:03:57 3
IM Texas 2012-05-19 08:42:50 08:56:37 09:05:29 9
IM Arizona 2011-11-19 08:29:19 08:42:07 09:07:09 12
IM Hawaii 2011-10-15 08:43:51 08:45:02 09:12:02 23
IM Canada 2011-08-28 08:59:31 09:03:44 09:18:22 7
IM Lake Placid 2011-07-24 09:26:26 09:28:36 09:22:38 9
IM Texas 2011-05-21 09:03:06 09:09:01 09:20:16 14
IM Arizona 2010-11-21 09:09:15 09:21:28 09:27:04 20
IM Lake Placid 2010-07-25 09:28:58 09:33:12 09:33:12 13

Results for Matthew Sheeks (USA)

Race Date Total Adjusted Rating Rank in Race
IM St. George 2012-04-29 09:52:03 09:11:42 09:15:37 5
IM Lake Placid 2010-07-25 09:17:57 09:22:06 09:22:06 8

Results for Scott Curry (CAN)

Race Date Total Adjusted Rating Rank in Race
IM Canada 2011-08-28 09:22:30 09:26:54 09:15:41 14
IM Australia 2011-05-01 09:06:31 09:14:55 09:13:53 7
IM New Zealand 2011-03-05 08:50:44 08:51:22 09:13:43 5
IM Hawaii 2010-10-09 09:19:39 09:20:40 09:18:05 50
IM Canada 2010-08-29 08:48:57 08:57:08 09:17:33 9
IM Canada 2009-08-30 09:20:09 09:24:39 09:22:48 16
IM Coeur d’Alene 2009-06-21 09:04:45 09:09:37 09:22:21 7
IM Canada 2008-08-24 08:52:36 08:59:25 09:26:05 11
IM Coeur d’Alene 2008-06-22 09:18:50 09:22:49 09:34:05 8
IM Florida 2007-11-03 10:30:03 10:48:55 09:38:36 47
IM Canada 2007-08-26 11:32:04 11:34:19 09:03:28 31
IM Florida 2006-11-04 08:45:12 08:54:58 09:03:28 5
IM Canada 2006-08-27 08:55:57 08:55:06 09:08:33 5
IM Wisconsin 2005-09-11 09:41:50 09:26:17 09:26:17 12

Results for Christopher Bagg (USA)

Race Date Total Adjusted Rating Rank in Race
IM Cozumel 2011-11-27 09:38:04 09:52:33 09:19:19 25
IM Canada 2011-08-28 08:47:25 08:51:33 09:03:53 4
IM Canada 2010-08-29 08:48:11 08:56:21 09:13:16 8
IM Canada 2009-08-30 09:31:13 09:35:49 09:35:49 22

Results for Olly Piggin (CAN)

Race Date Total Adjusted Rating Rank in Race
IM Coeur d’Alene 2011-06-26 09:22:24 09:28:08 09:25:46 9
IM Florida 2010-11-06 09:18:22 09:35:48 09:25:13 23
IM Canada 2010-08-29 09:08:15 09:16:44 09:22:42 16
IM St. George 2010-05-01 11:59:16 11:53:51 09:24:26 25
IM Coeur d’Alene 2009-06-21 09:38:02 09:43:12 09:24:26 13
IM Florida 2008-11-01 08:49:11 09:09:23 09:19:35 15
IM Coeur d’Alene 2008-06-22 09:15:39 09:19:37 09:22:23 6
IM New Zealand 2008-03-01 09:09:58 09:17:29 09:23:17 13
IM Canada 2007-08-26 09:17:56 09:19:44 09:25:47 14
IM Coeur d’Alene 2007-06-23 09:33:03 09:35:21 09:29:20 15
IM Canada 2006-08-27 09:22:36 09:21:43 09:21:43 13

Results for Kyle Marcotte (CAN)

Race Date Total Adjusted Rating Rank in Race
IM Switzerland 2012-07-15 09:35:31 09:47:22 09:26:34 17
IM Canada 2011-08-28 10:09:49 10:14:35 09:20:23 21
IM Canada 2010-08-29 08:40:45 08:48:48 09:04:10 5
IM Canada 2009-08-30 08:58:34 09:02:54 09:08:37 7
IM Hawaii 2008-10-11 09:35:48 09:34:01 09:10:12 53
IM Canada 2008-08-24 08:44:30 08:51:12 09:03:40 6
IM Canada 2007-08-26 08:55:19 08:57:03 09:08:09 6
IM Florida 2006-11-04 09:46:42 09:57:37 09:12:15 28
IM Canada 2006-08-27 08:54:41 08:53:50 08:53:26 4
IM Florida 2005-11-05 08:54:16 08:58:09 08:53:10 7
IM Canada 2005-08-29 08:49:59 08:47:55 08:47:55 7

Results for Lewis Elliot (USA)

Race Date Total Adjusted Rating Rank in Race
IM Coeur d’Alene 2012-06-24 12:17:14 12:20:48 09:34:53 13
IM Arizona 2011-11-19 08:38:13 08:51:15 09:34:53 17
IM Coeur d’Alene 2011-06-26 09:51:45 09:57:47 09:44:27 14
IM Arizona 2010-11-21 09:10:54 09:23:09 09:41:12 21
IM Canada 2010-08-29 10:46:20 10:56:20 09:45:51 28
IM Arizona 2009-11-22 09:00:14 09:10:04 09:23:29 15
IM Coeur d’Alene 2008-06-22 09:22:43 09:26:44 09:28:04 10
IM Arizona 2008-04-13 09:29:08 09:33:19 09:28:28 13
IM Hawaii 2007-10-13 09:41:31 09:41:23 09:26:36 54
IM Arizona 2007-04-15 08:53:51 08:56:59 09:19:12 8
IM Arizona 2006-04-09 09:44:10 09:45:23 09:36:12 25
IM Arizona 2005-04-09 09:23:58 09:23:58 09:23:58 14

Results for Anthony Toth (CAN)

Race Date Total Adjusted Rating Rank in Race
IM Texas 2012-05-19 09:46:40 10:02:08 09:37:48 16
IM Arizona 2010-11-21 08:46:57 08:58:40 09:30:49 10
IM Canada 2010-08-29 08:49:44 08:57:55 09:38:12 10
IM Hawaii 2009-10-10 10:42:01 10:36:44 09:49:16 72
IM Canada 2009-08-30 09:02:45 09:07:07 09:36:26 9
IM Arizona 2008-11-23 09:25:11 09:32:28 09:46:50 31
IM Canada 2008-08-24 09:28:22 09:35:38 09:52:33 24
IM Coeur d’Alene 2007-06-23 09:59:02 10:01:27 10:02:29 21
IM Canada 2006-08-27 10:04:21 10:03:24 10:03:14 22
IM Canada 2005-08-29 10:05:22 10:03:01 10:03:01 24

Results for Luke Way (CAN)

Race Date Total Adjusted Rating Rank in Race
IM St. George 2011-05-07 09:34:50 09:35:11 09:48:50 13
IM Coeur d’Alene 2008-06-22 10:15:39 10:20:02 10:20:02 16

Results for Andrew Powell ()

Race Date Total Adjusted Rating Rank in Race
IM Arizona 2011-11-19 09:37:59 09:52:31 10:05:23 40
IM Canada 2010-08-29 10:14:12 10:23:42 10:23:42 27

Results for Ryan Borger ()

Race Date Total Adjusted Rating Rank in Race

Results for Nathan Killam ()

Race Date Total Adjusted Rating Rank in Race

Results for Shanon Stallard (NZL)

Race Date Total Adjusted Rating Rank in Race

Results for Derek Garcia ()

Race Date Total Adjusted Rating Rank in Race

Results for Samantha McGlone (USA)

Race Date Total Adjusted Rating Rank in Race
IM Hawaii 2010-10-09 09:38:45 09:39:48 09:30:33 16
IM Arizona 2009-11-22 09:09:19 09:19:19 09:27:05 1
IM Hawaii 2009-10-10 09:30:28 09:25:46 09:30:17 5
IM Lake Placid 2009-07-26 09:44:24 09:44:51 09:33:17 3
IM Hawaii 2007-10-13 09:14:04 09:13:56 09:13:56 2

Results for Meredith Kessler (USA)

Race Date Total Adjusted Rating Rank in Race
IM Coeur d’Alene 2012-06-24 09:21:44 09:24:27 09:34:55 1
IM St. George 2012-04-29 10:12:59 09:31:12 09:36:28 1
IM Arizona 2011-11-19 09:00:14 09:13:49 09:37:19 3
IM Wisconsin 2011-09-11 09:50:45 09:50:53 09:41:17 2
IM Canada 2011-08-28 09:37:22 09:41:53 09:39:27 3
IM Arizona 2010-11-21 09:15:01 09:27:22 09:38:54 4
IM Hawaii 2010-10-09 10:04:02 10:05:07 09:41:31 26
IM Canada 2010-08-29 09:13:46 09:22:20 09:34:52 1
IM Coeur d’Alene 2010-06-27 09:23:52 09:29:55 09:39:34 2
IM St. George 2010-05-01 09:46:58 09:42:33 09:44:56 2
IM Arizona 2009-11-22 09:37:09 09:47:39 09:47:39 7

Results for Mackenzie Madison (USA)

Race Date Total Adjusted Rating Rank in Race
IM Florida 2011-11-05 09:10:21 09:34:34 09:37:52 2
IM Arizona 2010-11-21 09:24:11 09:36:44 09:40:07 7
IM Canada 2010-08-29 09:34:51 09:43:44 09:43:44 3

Results for Janelle Morrison (CAN)

Race Date Total Adjusted Rating Rank in Race
IM Canada 2010-08-29 09:48:15 09:57:21 09:58:04 8
IM Coeur d’Alene 2010-06-27 09:50:25 09:56:45 09:58:24 5
IM Canada 2009-08-30 09:48:54 09:53:38 09:59:35 3
IM Canada 2008-08-24 09:59:54 10:07:34 10:07:34 8

Results for Paolina Allan (CAN)

Race Date Total Adjusted Rating Rank in Race
IM Hawaii 2009-10-10 10:19:31 10:14:25 10:08:48 30
IM Lake Placid 2009-07-26 10:05:59 10:06:27 10:07:23 5
IM Hawaii 2008-10-11 10:09:38 10:07:45 10:07:41 22
IM Lanzarote 2008-05-24 10:28:08 10:25:21 10:07:39 6
IM Florida 2007-11-03 09:36:18 09:53:33 10:00:17 10
IM Wisconsin 2006-09-10 10:26:57 10:12:39 10:04:00 4
IM Florida 2005-11-05 09:59:53 10:04:14 09:58:20 9
IM Canada 2005-08-29 09:54:25 09:52:06 09:52:06 2

Results for Rachel Kiers (CAN)

Race Date Total Adjusted Rating Rank in Race
IM Coeur d’Alene 2012-06-24 10:16:19 10:19:18 10:17:57 4
IM Arizona 2010-11-21 10:16:33 10:30:16 10:17:35 14
IM Canada 2010-08-29 10:06:22 10:15:45 10:14:59 9
IM Coeur d’Alene 2010-06-27 10:03:48 10:10:16 10:14:48 8
IM Arizona 2009-11-22 09:45:26 09:56:05 10:16:08 9
IM Canada 2009-08-30 10:45:04 10:50:15 10:22:42 14
IM Coeur d’Alene 2009-06-21 09:53:43 09:59:02 10:10:29 5
IM Canada 2008-08-24 10:04:47 10:12:31 10:18:47 9
IM Canada 2007-08-26 10:25:05 10:27:07 10:27:07 12

Results for Marilyn McDonald (CAN)

Race Date Total Adjusted Rating Rank in Race
IM Louisville 2011-08-28 10:06:47 10:18:10 10:21:03 7
Challenge Wanaka 2008-01-19 10:42:55 10:47:09 10:22:34 4
IM Western Australia 2007-12-01 09:59:40 10:19:01 10:17:00 13
IM Canada 2007-08-26 10:09:36 10:11:35 10:16:26 9
IM France 2007-06-24 10:15:23 10:24:39 10:18:08 5
IM Wisconsin 2006-09-10 10:54:31 10:39:35 10:14:55 10
IM Western Australia 2005-11-27 09:56:50 09:59:26 09:58:54 2
IM Canada 2005-08-29 10:00:39 09:58:19 09:58:19 5

Results for Stephanie Ossenbrink (CAN)

Race Date Total Adjusted Rating Rank in Race
IM Coeur d’Alene 2012-06-24 10:24:44 10:27:45 10:27:45 6

Results for Gillian Clayton (CAN)

Race Date Total Adjusted Rating Rank in Race
IM St. George 2012-04-29 11:15:38 10:29:35 10:29:35 4

Results for Trish Deim (USA)

Race Date Total Adjusted Rating Rank in Race
IM Coeur d’Alene 2012-06-24 10:34:32 10:37:36 10:37:36 7

Results for Alexis Smith ()

Race Date Total Adjusted Rating Rank in Race

Results for Brenda Lomax ()

Race Date Total Adjusted Rating Rank in Race

Results for Monica Dalidowicz ()

Race Date Total Adjusted Rating Rank in Race

IM Sweden 2012 – Predictions (Main Post)

If you are looking for additional information on the participants, you can find a full list of their pro results in the detail post.

Previous Results

IM Sweden is a new race under WTC, but it was previously held as the Kalmar Triathlon. I’m not sure if they changed the course since then, but the previous results indicate that the course should be pretty quick. One particular result I remember is Clas Bjoerling winning the race in 2009 after his long illness in 8:26, so I’ll assume the winning time with a larger Pro field to be sub-8:20. It’s a 2.000 points race and there aren’t too many European IMs in August, so the race has attracted quite a large field:

Male Participants

A few athletes still looking for some Kona points in order to qualify have signed up for the race:

Rank Name Nation Expected Time Rating Rank
1 Jan Raphael GER n/a 08:38:04 28
2 Andi Boecherer GER n/a 08:41:26 41
3 Dorian Wagner GER n/a 08:48:26 75
4 Jens Grønbek DEN n/a 08:51:33 92
5 Christophe Bastie FRA n/a 08:53:55 102
6 Anton Blokhin UKR n/a 09:00:18 137
7 Simon Billeau FRA n/a 09:00:59 144
8 Luke Dragstra USA n/a 09:01:03 146
9 Sergio Marques PRT n/a 09:03:27 155
10 Andrey Lyatskiy RUS n/a 09:06:21 180
11 Raul Furtado BRA n/a 09:08:05 189
12 Teemu Lemmettyla FIN n/a 09:10:05 205
13 David Nasvik SWE n/a 09:10:15 207
14 Jonas Djurback SWE n/a 09:17:16 260
15 Ted Aas SWE n/a 09:20:29 290
16 Paul Hawkins GBR n/a 09:21:52 301
17 Horst Reichel GER n/a 09:28:34 350
18 Heinrich Sickl AUT n/a 09:43:16 447
19 Jonas Colting SWE n/a 09:50:53 508
20 Evgeniy Nikitin RUS n/a 10:23:07 696
21 Ivan Kharin RUS n/a 11:26:25 829
22 Marek Nemcik SVK n/a 12:10:25 854
23 Ari Saukko FIN n/a unrated n/a
24 Erik Strand SWE n/a unrated n/a
25 Anu Vaidyanathan IND n/a unrated n/a
26 Karl-Johan Danielsson SWE n/a unrated n/a
27 Teemu Kyllonen GBR n/a unrated n/a
28 Pontus Lindberg SWE n/a unrated n/a

Andi Boecherer finished in the TOP 10 in Kona last year and coming back from a long break after a DNF in South Africa, but statistically he is still the race favorite:

  • Andi Boecherer: 47%
  • Jan Raphael: 25%
  • Jens Grønbek: 9%
  • Dorian Wagner: 6%
  • Luke Dragstra: 5%
  • Christophe Bastie: 4%

Female Participants

On the female side, the field is not quite as string as on the men’s side:

Rank Name Nation Expected Time Rating Rank
1 Åsa Lundström DEN n/a 09:56:27 79
2 Dana Wagner GER n/a 10:05:29 110
3 Hillary Biscay USA n/a 10:13:34 143
4 Rebekka Essmüller GER n/a 10:15:59 150
5 Stephanie Jones USA n/a 10:21:39 168
6 Emi Sakai JPN n/a 10:36:37 204
7 Conny Dauben GER n/a 11:00:53 252
8 Zsuzsanna Harsanyi HUN n/a 11:05:58 256
9 Christine Grammer GER n/a unrated n/a
10 Helene Malmkvist SWE n/a unrated n/a

I’m not sure why Hillary Biscay is on the official start list, I’ve heard her talk about racing in Mont Tremblant on the same weekend (but she cancelled that in order to properly rest for IM Wisconsin). Leaving her out of the odds, Asa Lundström is the clear favorite:

  • Åsa Lundström: 34%
  • Stephanie Jones: 22%
  • Dana Wagner: 22%
  • Rebekka Essmüller: 13%

IM Mont Tremblant 2012 – Predictions (Main Post)

If you are looking for additional information on the participants, you can find a full list of their pro results in the detail post.

Previous Results

IM Mont Tremblant is another new race on the North American schedule, so there are no previous results. It is “only” a 1.000 points race, so it didn’t attract a very large or strong Pro field.

Male Participants

The best known name is probably Dave Harju, but the best rated athlete is Romain Guillaume:

Rank Name Nation Expected Time Rating Rank
1 Romain Guillaume FRA n/a 09:16:09 247
2 Dave Harju CAN n/a 09:20:06 285
3 Guy Crawford AUS n/a 09:27:30 340
4 Eneko Elosegui ESP n/a 09:45:06 460
5 Martin Lamontagne Lacasse CAN n/a 09:51:13 510
6 Ryan Cain CAN n/a 10:06:06 599
7 John Proc n/a unrated n/a
8 Charles Perreault n/a unrated n/a

He also has the best winning odds of the field:

  • Romain Guillaume: 56%
  • Dave Harju: 16%
  • Guy Crawford: 14%
  • Eneko Elosegui: 8%

Female Participants

On the female side, we have an almost guaranteed pay-day for any finishing Pro athlete:

Rank Name Nation Expected Time Rating Rank
1 Kate Bevilaqua AUS n/a 09:57:17 83
2 Uli Bromme USA n/a 10:03:22 98
3 Rachel Kiers CAN n/a 10:17:57 155
4 Amber Ferreira USA n/a 10:39:39 210

Here are the odds for winning the race:

  • Kate Bevilaqua: 51%
  • Uli Bromme: 27%
  • Rachel Kiers: 11%
  • Amber Ferreira: 10%

IM Mont Tremblant 2012 – Predictions (Detail Post)

Male Race Participants

Rank Name Nation Expected Time Rating Rank
1 Romain Guillaume FRA n/a 09:16:09 247
2 Dave Harju CAN n/a 09:20:06 285
3 Guy Crawford AUS n/a 09:27:30 340
4 Eneko Elosegui ESP n/a 09:45:06 460
5 Martin Lamontagne Lacasse CAN n/a 09:51:13 510
6 Ryan Cain CAN n/a 10:06:06 599
7 John Proc n/a unrated n/a
8 Charles Perreault n/a unrated n/a

Female Race Participants

Rank Name Nation Expected Time Rating Rank
1 Kate Bevilaqua AUS n/a 09:57:17 83
2 Uli Bromme USA n/a 10:03:22 98
3 Rachel Kiers CAN n/a 10:17:57 155
4 Amber Ferreira USA n/a 10:39:39 210

Results for Romain Guillaume (FRA)

Race Date Total Adjusted Rating Rank in Race
IM Lake Placid 2012-07-22 09:08:57 09:09:39 09:16:09 3
IM Melbourne 2012-03-24 08:25:51 08:33:53 09:17:16 12
IM Wisconsin 2011-09-11 10:44:25 10:44:34 09:25:21 15
IM UK 2011-07-31 08:41:25 08:52:05 09:10:16 2
IM Florida 2010-11-06 08:52:16 09:08:53 09:14:23 17
IM Wisconsin 2010-09-12 08:49:42 08:51:51 09:15:37 2
IM France 2010-06-27 08:58:56 09:12:37 09:22:06 5
IM Florida 2009-11-07 08:47:52 09:04:08 09:25:23 10
IM Switzerland 2009-07-12 08:53:07 09:07:00 09:33:59 11
IM France 2008-06-22 09:19:24 09:26:28 09:49:45 10
IM Switzerland 2007-06-24 09:37:17 09:51:56 10:07:25 17
IM Switzerland 2006-07-02 10:13:40 10:27:55 10:27:55 20

Results for Dave Harju (CAN)

Race Date Total Adjusted Rating Rank in Race
IM Arizona 2011-11-19 09:08:42 09:22:29 09:20:06 33
IM Louisville 2011-08-28 09:20:01 09:30:31 09:19:31 4
IM Lake Placid 2010-07-25 09:38:53 09:43:12 09:16:10 17
IM Louisville 2009-08-28 09:02:23 09:05:38 09:08:25 8
IM Florida 2008-11-01 08:47:12 09:07:19 09:09:13 14
IM Lake Placid 2008-07-20 09:11:58 09:10:19 09:09:46 7
IM Wisconsin 2007-09-09 09:29:29 09:28:30 09:09:33 13
IM Canada 2006-08-27 09:03:58 09:03:07 09:02:09 7
IM Arizona 2006-04-09 08:51:14 08:52:20 09:01:46 10
IM Florida 2005-11-05 09:01:50 09:05:46 09:07:13 10
IM Wisconsin 2005-09-11 09:23:47 09:08:43 09:08:43 6

Results for Guy Crawford (AUS)

Race Date Total Adjusted Rating Rank in Race
IM Coeur d’Alene 2012-06-24 09:47:12 09:50:02 09:27:30 11
IM Western Australia 2011-12-04 09:10:50 09:19:49 09:12:23 13
IM Western Australia 2010-12-05 08:50:28 09:02:30 09:02:30 9

Results for Eneko Elosegui (ESP)

Race Date Total Adjusted Rating Rank in Race
IM UK 2012-07-22 09:38:03 09:38:42 09:45:06 6
IM Brasil 2012-05-27 09:33:41 09:55:30 09:46:33 18
IM Arizona 2010-11-21 08:54:57 09:06:51 09:44:05 13
IM UK 2010-08-01 09:38:53 09:45:57 09:52:08 7
IM Lanzarote 2010-05-22 09:21:08 09:19:14 09:53:39 14
IM UK 2009-08-02 09:36:48 09:33:41 10:04:06 12
IM Lanzarote 2009-05-23 09:59:58 09:56:58 10:13:46 26
IM New Zealand 2009-03-07 10:44:38 10:54:26 10:20:58 24
IM Lake Placid 2008-07-20 10:00:09 09:58:21 09:58:17 17
IM UK 2007-08-19 09:51:39 09:58:11 09:58:11 23

Results for Martin Lamontagne Lacasse (CAN)

Race Date Total Adjusted Rating Rank in Race
IM St. George 2010-05-01 10:07:58 10:03:23 09:51:13 20
IM Wisconsin 2006-09-10 09:29:35 09:16:35 09:16:35 3

Results for Ryan Cain (CAN)

Race Date Total Adjusted Rating Rank in Race
IM Canada 2011-08-28 09:16:23 09:20:44 10:06:06 11
IM Lake Placid 2011-07-24 10:50:16 10:52:45 10:52:45 15

Results for John Proc ()

Race Date Total Adjusted Rating Rank in Race

Results for Charles Perreault ()

Race Date Total Adjusted Rating Rank in Race

Results for Kate Bevilaqua (AUS)

Race Date Total Adjusted Rating Rank in Race
IM Western Australia 2011-12-04 09:43:37 09:53:08 09:57:17 6
IM Korea 2011-07-03 09:39:44 09:46:59 09:57:52 1
IM New Zealand 2011-03-05 09:40:01 09:40:43 09:59:25 4
IM Western Australia 2010-12-05 09:19:44 09:32:26 10:02:10 1
IM Hawaii 2010-10-09 10:19:31 10:20:38 10:06:55 34
IM Lake Placid 2010-07-25 09:53:39 09:58:04 10:04:27 4
IM Lanzarote 2010-05-22 10:19:45 10:17:40 10:05:45 5
IM New Zealand 2010-03-06 10:18:12 10:25:30 10:02:53 7
IM Western Australia 2009-12-05 09:45:53 10:03:18 09:56:15 5
IM New Zealand 2008-03-01 09:20:06 09:27:45 09:53:37 2
IM Hawaii 2007-10-13 10:00:56 10:00:47 10:01:10 24
IM Australia 2007-04-08 09:37:00 09:40:53 10:01:18 4
IM Western Australia 2006-12-03 09:27:05 09:34:58 10:10:15 4
IM Lanzarote 2006-05-20 10:51:14 10:46:29 10:33:29 5
IM Coeur d’Alene 2005-06-26 10:16:40 10:16:40 10:16:40 2

Results for Uli Bromme (USA)

Race Date Total Adjusted Rating Rank in Race
IM St. George 2012-04-29 10:53:20 10:08:48 10:03:22 3
IM Hawaii 2011-10-15 10:19:09 10:20:33 10:02:04 21
IM Germany 2011-07-24 09:44:10 09:56:01 09:57:19 11
IM St. George 2011-05-07 10:10:48 10:11:10 09:57:44 3
IM Arizona 2010-11-21 09:31:22 09:44:05 09:52:02 9
IM Canada 2010-08-29 09:46:19 09:55:23 09:56:44 7
IM Arizona 2009-11-22 09:47:44 09:58:26 09:58:26 10

Results for Rachel Kiers (CAN)

Race Date Total Adjusted Rating Rank in Race
IM Coeur d’Alene 2012-06-24 10:16:19 10:19:18 10:17:57 4
IM Arizona 2010-11-21 10:16:33 10:30:16 10:17:35 14
IM Canada 2010-08-29 10:06:22 10:15:45 10:14:59 9
IM Coeur d’Alene 2010-06-27 10:03:48 10:10:16 10:14:48 8
IM Arizona 2009-11-22 09:45:26 09:56:05 10:16:08 9
IM Canada 2009-08-30 10:45:04 10:50:15 10:22:42 14
IM Coeur d’Alene 2009-06-21 09:53:43 09:59:02 10:10:29 5
IM Canada 2008-08-24 10:04:47 10:12:31 10:18:47 9
IM Canada 2007-08-26 10:25:05 10:27:07 10:27:07 12

Results for Amber Ferreira (USA)

Race Date Total Adjusted Rating Rank in Race
IM Arizona 2011-11-19 09:42:20 09:56:58 10:39:39 15
IM Lake Placid 2011-07-24 10:30:39 10:33:03 11:03:47 7
IM St. George 2011-05-07 11:36:03 11:36:28 11:36:28 7
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