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Kona 2012 Qualification: August Update on KPR Standings

At the time that I’m writing this article, all the races offering KPR points for Kona 2012 have been completed and WTC has updated their rankings to show which PROs have already accepted or declined their July slots and which PROs will be able to claim the remaining August slots.

Athletes who have declined their July slots and those that got a roll-down slot

There are not too many PROs that have declined their Kona slot:

  • Carrie Lester (AUS)
    I don’t know why Carrie turned down her slot.
  • Corinne Abraham (GBR)
    She posted her reasons on her blog. Basically, she wants to race some more races in 2012, and feels that Kona would end her season and thus does not make sense from a business perspective.
  • Raynard Tissink (ZAF)
    As I understand it, Raynard ended his professional triathlon career after Kona 2011. He raced IM South Africa 2012 “for fun” (validating his slot), but is not interested in racing Kona 2012.

The roll down went to the following athletes (points are from end of July, they may have changed by now by including additional results):

  • Sara Gross (CAN) 4.415 points
  • Mareen Hufe (GER) 4.400 points
  • Michael Raelert (GER) 3.830 points

Athletes eligible for an August slot

In August there are five more women that will get a Kona slot:

  • Rebekah Keat (AUS) 6.630 points
  • Amy Marsh (USA) 6.615 points
  • Sarah Piampiano (USA) 6.405 points
  • Michelle Gailey (AUS) 5.540 points
  • Emi Sakai (JAP) 5.040 points

On the men’s side, we have the following ten athletes:

  • Jordan Rapp (USA) 6.000 points
  • Jozsef Major (HUN) 5.920 points
  • Maxim Kriat (UKR) 5.720 points
  • Trevor Wurtele (CAN) 5.020 points
  • Jan Raphael (GER) 4.800 points
  • Andi Böcherer (GER) 4.770 points
  • Pedro Gomes (PRT) 4.710 points
  • Markus Thomschke (GER) 4.600 points
  • Jason Shortis (AUS) 4.380 points
  • Bart Aernouts (BEL) 4.210 points

Some of these athletes may decline their slots, so there may be some roll down. The first athletes that may get a slot that way are Tamara Kozulina (UKR, 5.020 points) and Christian Brader (GER, 3.820 points).

IM Wisconsin 2012 – Predictions (Main Post)

If you are looking for additional information on the participants, you can find a full list of their pro results in the detail post.

Previous Results

Wisconsin is one of the slower courses, with a course rating of –4:09 it is just a bit slower than Kona. It is usually quite hot and the bike course is rolling, so if you don’t race smart there is a good chance of blowing up later in the race.

Last year’s winners were Ezekiel Morales (ARG) in 8:45:18 and Jessica Jacobs (USA) in 9:41:03, short of the course records of 8:38:32 (Joe Gambles, 2010) and 9:27:26 (Gina Crawford, also 2010).

Wisconsin is the first race to collect KPR points for Kona 2013. Even if it is “only” a 1.000 points race, there are already athletes that want to get a head start for the 2013 season.

Male Participants

Eduardo Sturla has the best rating of the male pros:

Rank Name Nation Expected Time Rating Rank
1 Eduardo Sturla ARG 08:48:13 08:44:12 50
2 Ben Hoffman USA 08:51:11 08:47:08 64
3 Nick Waninger 08:52:50 08:48:47 80
4 Justin Daerr USA 08:53:35 08:49:31 84
5 Kevin Taddonio USA 09:07:25 09:03:15 154
6 Markus Ressler AUT 09:13:57 09:09:44 201
7 Ian Mikelson USA 09:14:11 09:09:58 202
8 Dominik Berger AUT 09:14:49 09:10:36 209
9 Zach Ruble USA 09:14:56 09:10:43 211
10 Jared Milam USA 09:17:00 09:12:46 225
11 Toby Radcliffe GBR 09:27:55 09:23:36 313
12 Billy Edwards USA 09:33:19 09:28:57 345
13 Peter Kotland USA 09:35:52 09:31:29 361
14 Jesse Vondracek USA 09:40:00 09:35:35 394
15 Thomas Gerlach USA 09:48:06 09:43:37 443
16 Blake Becker USA 10:18:28 10:13:46 633
17 Greg Close USA n/a unrated n/a

However, I consider Ben Hoffman as the race favorite and Justin Daerr has about the same winning odds as Eduardo:

  • Ben Hoffman: 35%
  • Justin Daerr: 28%
  • Eduardo Sturla: 26%

Female Participants

There is a similar situation in the women’s field. Kathleen Calkins has the best rating (but from only one result):

Rank Name Nation Expected Time Rating Rank
1 Kathleen Calkins USA 09:32:41 09:28:19 13
2 Kim Loeffler USA 09:51:19 09:46:49 54
3 Kate Bevilaqua AUS 10:01:53 09:57:18 82
4 Beth Walsh USA 10:07:16 10:02:39 96
5 Whitney Garcia USA 10:07:43 10:03:05 99
6 Charisa Wernick USA 10:09:11 10:04:33 108
7 Danielle Sullivan USA 10:15:51 10:11:10 133
8 Hillary Biscay USA 10:19:04 10:14:21 142
9 Katya Meyers USA 10:31:31 10:26:43 180
10 Suzanne Zelazo CAN 11:00:56 10:55:54 245
11 Elizabeth Lyles n/a unrated n/a
12 Andrea Hutchins n/a unrated n/a

However, her rating is quite a lot better than the next athletes, so she also has the best winning odds:

  • Kathleen Calkins: 32%
  • Kim Loeffler: 30%
  • Kate Bevilaqua: 18%
  • Charisa Wernick: 13%

IM Wisconsin 2012 – Predictions (Details Post)

Male Race Participants

Rank Name Nation Expected Time Rating Rank
1 Eduardo Sturla ARG 08:48:13 08:44:12 50
2 Ben Hoffman USA 08:51:11 08:47:08 64
3 Nick Waninger 08:52:50 08:48:47 80
4 Justin Daerr USA 08:53:35 08:49:31 84
5 Kevin Taddonio USA 09:07:25 09:03:15 154
6 Markus Ressler AUT 09:13:57 09:09:44 201
7 Ian Mikelson USA 09:14:11 09:09:58 202
8 Dominik Berger AUT 09:14:49 09:10:36 209
9 Zach Ruble USA 09:14:56 09:10:43 211
10 Jared Milam USA 09:17:00 09:12:46 225
11 Toby Radcliffe GBR 09:27:55 09:23:36 313
12 Billy Edwards USA 09:33:19 09:28:57 345
13 Peter Kotland USA 09:35:52 09:31:29 361
14 Jesse Vondracek USA 09:40:00 09:35:35 394
15 Thomas Gerlach USA 09:48:06 09:43:37 443
16 Blake Becker USA 10:18:28 10:13:46 633
17 Greg Close USA n/a unrated n/a

Female Race Participants

Rank Name Nation Expected Time Rating Rank
1 Kathleen Calkins USA 09:32:41 09:28:19 13
2 Kim Loeffler USA 09:51:19 09:46:49 54
3 Kate Bevilaqua AUS 10:01:53 09:57:18 82
4 Beth Walsh USA 10:07:16 10:02:39 96
5 Whitney Garcia USA 10:07:43 10:03:05 99
6 Charisa Wernick USA 10:09:11 10:04:33 108
7 Danielle Sullivan USA 10:15:51 10:11:10 133
8 Hillary Biscay USA 10:19:04 10:14:21 142
9 Katya Meyers USA 10:31:31 10:26:43 180
10 Suzanne Zelazo CAN 11:00:56 10:55:54 245
11 Elizabeth Lyles n/a unrated n/a
12 Andrea Hutchins n/a unrated n/a

Results for Eduardo Sturla (ARG)

Race Date Swim Bike Run Total Adjusted Rating Rank in Race
IM Brasil 2012-05-27 00:50:03 04:28:50 03:18:02 08:36:55 08:54:16 08:44:12 7
IM Florida 2011-11-05 00:51:15 04:29:57 02:56:56 08:23:08 08:45:41 08:42:51 6
IM Lake Placid 2011-07-24 00:56:54 04:51:39 03:10:26 09:04:16 09:07:34 08:42:30 4
IM Brasil 2011-05-29 08:13:12 08:34:18 08:39:09 1
IM South Africa 2011-04-10 08:32:52 08:42:14 08:39:51 6
IM Cozumel 2010-11-28 00:00:00 00:00:00 00:00:00 08:24:31 08:33:50 08:39:28 3
IM Hawaii 2010-10-09 00:55:43 04:44:42 03:03:20 08:48:07 08:49:27 08:40:27 31
IM Brasil 2010-05-30 00:45:44 04:28:06 03:06:33 08:20:24 08:40:45 08:38:38 4
IM Hawaii 2009-10-10 00:55:42 04:42:05 03:06:51 08:49:22 08:45:15 08:38:11 19
IM Brasil 2009-05-31 00:49:50 04:23:31 03:00:19 08:13:39 08:26:58 08:36:35 1
IM Hawaii 2008-10-11 00:54:47 04:34:27 03:03:19 08:36:53 08:36:34 08:39:02 10
IM Brasil 2008-05-25 00:59:12 04:27:01 02:58:00 08:28:27 08:35:32 08:39:41 1
IM Hawaii 2007-10-13 00:55:18 04:39:21 02:57:07 08:36:31 08:36:36 08:41:00 13
IM Brasil 2007-05-27 00:51:50 04:35:35 03:02:02 08:29:27 08:41:23 08:42:35 3
IM Florida 2006-11-04 00:53:42 04:34:21 02:52:12 08:23:49 08:32:37 08:43:09 2
IM Brasil 2006-01-01 00:48:54 04:48:31 03:01:42 08:39:06 08:51:46 08:50:21 7
IM Austria 2005-07-03 00:53:11 04:49:25 03:01:16 08:48:43 08:48:43 08:48:43 14

Results for Ben Hoffman (USA)

Race Date Swim Bike Run Total Adjusted Rating Rank in Race
IM St. George 2012-04-29 00:52:44 05:10:01 03:01:24 09:07:04 08:35:41 08:47:08 1
IM Lake Placid 2011-07-24 00:53:09 04:34:33 03:01:39 08:33:29 08:36:35 08:49:51 2
IM St. George 2011-05-07 08:41:39 08:41:21 08:52:58 4
IM Hawaii 2010-10-09 00:52:18 04:46:35 03:20:07 09:03:29 09:04:52 08:56:16 42
IM Lake Placid 2010-07-25 00:55:06 04:38:03 03:01:24 08:39:34 08:44:02 08:53:33 1
IM St. George 2010-05-01 00:51:13 04:53:37 03:04:53 08:52:54 08:51:25 08:57:36 2
IM Hawaii 2009-10-10 00:54:29 04:43:31 03:47:13 09:29:54 09:25:28 09:01:41 55
IM Arizona 2008-11-23 00:52:53 04:30:31 02:56:12 08:24:13 08:31:03 08:31:03 6

Results for Nick Waninger ()

Race Date Swim Bike Run Total Adjusted Rating Rank in Race
IM Arizona 2011-11-19 00:53:40 04:47:38 02:49:16 08:34:14 08:48:47 08:48:47 15

Results for Justin Daerr (USA)

Race Date Swim Bike Run Total Adjusted Rating Rank in Race
IM Texas 2012-05-19 00:55:27 04:33:51 02:48:33 08:22:15 08:30:38 08:49:31 2
IM Florida 2011-11-05 00:54:45 04:29:52 02:48:33 08:18:02 08:40:22 08:52:15 3
IM Louisville 2011-08-28 00:53:39 04:43:07 02:52:57 08:34:35 08:44:52 08:53:56 3
IM Texas 2011-05-21 00:57:46 04:31:21 02:56:45 08:29:44 08:39:37 08:55:20 7
IM Hawaii 2010-10-09 00:57:46 04:50:56 03:15:10 09:08:12 09:09:35 08:57:58 45
IM Lake Placid 2010-07-25 00:57:16 04:56:25 03:05:49 09:05:09 09:09:50 08:56:04 4
Challenge Wanaka 2010-01-16 08:38:19 08:39:41 08:53:35 2
IM Florida 2009-11-07 04:32:52 03:13:08 08:48:18 08:58:22 08:56:09 11
IM Wisconsin 2009-09-13 00:57:07 04:50:24 03:04:37 08:59:06 08:59:32 08:55:41 6
Challenge Wanaka 2009-01-01 08:47:47 08:52:16 08:54:42 3
IM Arizona 2008-11-23 00:53:14 04:38:29 03:04:30 08:40:10 08:47:13 08:55:20 11
IM Canada 2008-08-24 00:54:50 04:43:19 02:55:41 08:37:34 08:45:45 08:58:07 5
IM Florida 2007-11-03 00:55:27 04:41:12 02:59:51 08:40:25 08:57:04 09:03:54 10
IM Canada 2007-08-26 00:57:25 04:56:07 03:02:43 09:00:21 09:02:04 09:07:56 11
IM Florida 2006-11-04 00:58:26 04:54:57 03:04:54 09:05:48 09:15:20 09:15:20 14

Results for Kevin Taddonio (USA)

Race Date Swim Bike Run Total Adjusted Rating Rank in Race
IM New York 2012-08-11 00:47:53 04:47:58 03:22:00 09:02:52 09:10:09 09:03:15 17
IM Coeur d’Alene 2012-06-24 01:05:32 04:47:10 02:59:45 08:55:48 08:59:00 09:00:30 4
IM Arizona 2011-11-19 01:00:55 04:44:35 02:56:40 08:45:51 09:00:44 09:01:26 22
Challenge Roth 2011-07-10 00:54:21 04:39:35 02:58:36 08:35:30 09:02:13 09:02:13 13

Results for Markus Ressler (AUT)

Race Date Swim Bike Run Total Adjusted Rating Rank in Race
IM Wisconsin 2010-09-12 00:53:46 05:08:32 05:40:57 11:50:02 11:51:49 09:09:44 20
IM Arizona 2009-11-22 00:54:08 04:47:01 03:01:49 08:46:47 08:58:26 09:09:44 12
IM Lanzarote 2008-05-24 00:50:12 05:16:43 02:57:30 09:12:33 09:09:02 09:16:18 6
IM Hawaii 2007-10-13 00:53:22 05:14:36 03:25:00 09:41:35 09:41:40 09:20:44 55
IM Canada 2007-08-26 00:51:21 04:57:27 03:04:23 08:57:17 08:58:59 08:58:59 8

Results for Ian Mikelson (USA)

Race Date Swim Bike Run Total Adjusted Rating Rank in Race
IM Coeur d’Alene 2012-06-24 00:53:56 05:09:07 03:05:50 09:13:03 09:16:21 09:09:58 7
IM Hawaii 2011-10-15 00:53:47 04:45:44 03:04:18 08:48:40 08:49:00 09:08:17 24
IM Lake Placid 2011-07-24 00:53:06 05:04:46 03:10:00 09:12:42 09:16:03 09:13:34 6
IM Arizona 2010-11-21 00:51:15 04:42:24 03:03:39 08:41:18 08:54:21 09:12:43 8
IM Wisconsin 2010-09-12 00:53:24 04:56:23 03:15:10 09:10:38 09:12:01 09:19:59 11
IM Lake Placid 2010-07-25 00:57:28 05:02:04 03:11:16 09:15:58 09:20:45 09:24:47 7
IM Coeur d’Alene 2009-06-21 00:56:33 05:05:16 03:12:08 09:20:07 09:30:18 09:30:18 12

Results for Dominik Berger (AUT)

Race Date Swim Bike Run Total Adjusted Rating Rank in Race
IM Arizona 2011-11-19 00:48:46 04:44:43 03:23:34 09:02:52 09:18:14 09:10:36 31
IM Austria 2011-07-03 00:46:45 04:46:25 03:07:19 08:45:32 09:10:02 09:06:12 13
IM South Africa 2011-04-10 08:52:24 09:02:07 09:02:07 11

Results for Zach Ruble (USA)

Race Date Swim Bike Run Total Adjusted Rating Rank in Race
IM Cozumel 2011-11-27 00:48:59 04:39:18 02:52:21 08:34:51 08:44:21 09:10:43 4
IM Florida 2010-11-06 00:50:52 04:39:37 03:09:45 08:46:18 08:58:08 09:17:55 13
IM Lake Placid 2009-07-26 00:52:53 05:06:16 04:10:48 10:15:09 10:17:10 09:22:54 17
IM Coeur d’Alene 2009-06-21 00:56:46 05:01:04 03:04:22 09:06:30 09:16:27 09:11:26 9
IM Florida 2008-11-01 00:53:03 04:40:04 02:57:15 08:34:27 08:56:26 09:10:09 9
IM Wisconsin 2008-09-07 00:55:17 04:57:47 03:07:40 09:06:47 09:06:57 09:13:54 7
IM Louisville 2008-08-27 00:55:02 04:47:11 03:35:11 09:21:55 09:17:45 09:16:23 6
IM Florida 2007-11-03 00:53:31 04:50:52 05:02:00 10:51:25 11:12:16 09:50:51 48
IM Wisconsin 2007-09-09 00:56:25 05:06:57 02:58:36 09:08:45 09:08:55 09:15:39 7
IM Wisconsin 2006-09-10 00:56:44 05:29:16 03:08:31 09:42:10 09:25:06 09:20:24 7
IM Arizona 2006-04-09 00:51:31 04:53:38 03:20:05 09:10:34 09:15:05 09:15:05 19

Results for Jared Milam (USA)

Race Date Swim Bike Run Total Adjusted Rating Rank in Race
IM Arizona 2011-11-19 00:59:09 04:48:27 02:54:59 08:47:23 09:02:19 09:12:46 24
IM Wisconsin 2011-09-11 00:55:47 05:05:37 03:18:05 09:25:36 09:23:49 09:23:49 8

Results for Toby Radcliffe (GBR)

Race Date Swim Bike Run Total Adjusted Rating Rank in Race
IM Wisconsin 2011-09-11 00:58:14 05:10:25 03:17:36 09:32:49 09:31:01 09:23:36 9
IM UK 2011-07-31 00:49:54 05:21:16 02:48:54 09:04:24 09:14:18 09:22:24 8
IM South Africa 2011-04-10 09:01:17 09:11:10 09:23:54 13
IM Florida 2010-11-06 00:57:45 04:48:11 03:07:56 09:01:02 09:13:12 09:26:32 18
IM UK 2010-08-01 00:50:16 05:37:12 02:52:33 09:25:28 09:29:06 09:29:31 6
IM Arizona 2009-11-22 00:55:27 04:56:23 03:15:50 09:12:44 09:24:57 09:29:37 18
IM UK 2009-08-02 00:59:29 05:25:46 03:01:08 09:33:49 09:35:09 09:30:54 11
IM Florida 2008-11-01 00:54:51 05:00:35 03:05:13 09:05:41 09:29:00 09:29:29 24
IM UK 2008-09-07 00:53:25 05:24:16 03:07:47 09:30:36 09:31:16 09:29:40 6
IM UK 2007-08-19 00:49:46 05:15:34 03:04:39 09:15:21 09:22:51 09:28:48 13
IM Austria 2007-07-08 00:53:02 05:02:02 03:15:44 09:16:25 09:27:50 09:32:44 21
IM Austria 2005-07-03 00:59:51 05:04:37 03:29:33 09:41:28 09:41:28 09:41:28 28

Results for Billy Edwards (USA)

Race Date Swim Bike Run Total Adjusted Rating Rank in Race
IM Wisconsin 2011-09-11 01:04:55 05:07:36 03:18:31 09:37:09 09:35:20 09:28:57 10
IM Coeur d’Alene 2011-06-26 01:06:13 05:01:16 03:01:34 09:13:13 09:15:51 09:27:41 7
IM Lake Placid 2010-07-25 01:10:48 05:11:36 03:18:21 09:45:55 09:50:57 09:30:22 18
IM Coeur d’Alene 2010-06-27 01:07:20 04:57:33 03:06:36 09:14:42 09:19:59 09:26:03 11
IM Hawaii 2009-10-10 01:15:29 05:25:02 03:13:13 09:59:30 09:54:50 09:27:37 67
IM Lake Placid 2009-07-26 01:05:43 05:03:22 02:58:30 09:12:09 09:13:58 09:20:21 7
IM Arizona 2008-11-23 01:02:42 04:47:07 03:23:23 09:17:02 09:24:35 09:22:30 27
IM Hawaii 2007-10-13 01:10:13 04:59:46 03:10:12 09:24:34 09:24:39 09:21:42 45
IM Louisville 2007-08-26 01:05:52 04:57:10 03:09:17 09:18:48 09:20:05 09:20:33 13
IM Coeur d’Alene 2007-06-23 01:04:37 05:03:14 03:04:42 09:16:09 09:20:17 09:20:50 10
IM Canada 2006-08-27 01:03:19 04:59:53 03:13:25 09:21:48 09:21:32 09:21:32 12

Results for Peter Kotland (USA)

Race Date Swim Bike Run Total Adjusted Rating Rank in Race
IM Louisville 2009-08-28 00:57:52 05:07:20 03:06:48 09:20:28 09:23:47 09:31:29 14
IM Louisville 2008-08-27 00:59:33 05:06:11 03:19:39 09:32:51 09:28:36 09:33:27 9
IM Florida 2007-11-03 00:57:40 04:48:56 03:11:30 09:04:44 09:22:10 09:34:35 27
IM Louisville 2007-08-26 00:56:07 05:04:01 03:11:53 09:22:20 09:23:38 09:37:25 14
IM Coeur d’Alene 2007-06-23 01:00:26 05:30:22 03:09:33 09:45:34 09:49:55 09:41:14 19
IM Florida 2006-11-04 00:58:29 05:06:36 03:08:18 09:22:25 09:32:15 09:38:08 20
IM Wisconsin 2006-09-10 01:01:27 05:38:46 03:24:27 10:18:42 10:00:34 09:40:37 16
IM Florida 2005-11-05 00:57:40 04:50:07 03:13:25 09:08:36 09:20:23 09:27:06 14
IM Brasil 2005-05-28 00:57:35 05:16:44 03:20:22 09:34:43 09:34:43 09:34:43 12

Results for Jesse Vondracek (USA)

Race Date Swim Bike Run Total Adjusted Rating Rank in Race
IM St. George 2012-04-29 00:58:47 06:06:57 03:20:21 10:29:36 09:53:29 09:35:35 8
IM Arizona 2011-11-19 00:56:59 04:45:21 03:07:28 08:53:56 09:09:03 09:32:17 26
IM Florida 2011-11-05 00:55:06 04:39:22 03:06:01 08:45:27 09:09:00 09:36:46 14
IM Wisconsin 2011-09-11 00:58:27 05:13:34 04:12:18 10:30:44 10:28:45 09:43:21 13
IM Arizona 2010-11-21 00:56:40 05:06:13 03:17:17 09:24:08 09:38:16 09:30:02 25
IM Louisville 2010-08-29 00:57:26 05:08:05 03:15:03 09:25:52 09:30:42 09:27:32 8
IM Lake Placid 2010-07-25 00:57:33 05:08:33 03:07:00 09:18:10 09:22:58 09:26:17 9
IM Arizona 2009-11-22 00:59:01 05:00:52 03:19:21 09:23:27 09:35:55 09:28:22 24
IM Louisville 2009-08-28 00:59:43 05:05:04 03:07:15 09:17:01 09:20:18 09:20:18 13

Results for Thomas Gerlach (USA)

Race Date Swim Bike Run Total Adjusted Rating Rank in Race
IM Louisville 2012-08-26 00:56:19 04:39:52 03:21:33 09:02:42 09:07:53 09:43:37 3
IM St. George 2012-04-29 00:59:19 05:33:54 03:12:14 09:49:00 09:15:12 09:52:31 4
IM Arizona 2011-11-19 00:57:04 04:43:37 03:12:27 08:57:00 09:12:12 10:03:29 27
IM Wisconsin 2010-09-12 01:01:16 05:05:38 03:40:33 09:53:49 09:55:19 10:21:21 16
IM Louisville 2010-08-29 00:57:45 05:08:27 03:55:53 10:08:29 10:13:40 10:29:55 12
IM Wisconsin 2009-09-13 01:00:57 05:19:56 04:15:24 10:43:20 10:43:51 10:37:46 20
IM Wisconsin 2008-09-07 01:05:29 05:27:43 03:50:55 10:30:50 10:31:02 10:34:14 19
IM Wisconsin 2007-09-09 01:09:56 05:32:10 03:48:53 10:40:11 10:40:22 10:36:40 23
IM Wisconsin 2006-09-10 01:11:55 05:44:07 03:41:58 10:50:49 10:31:45 10:31:45 20

Results for Blake Becker (USA)

Race Date Swim Bike Run Total Adjusted Rating Rank in Race
IM Coeur d’Alene 2012-06-24 00:55:59 05:42:09 04:50:06 11:33:03 11:37:12 10:13:46 12
IM Wisconsin 2011-09-11 00:54:20 04:52:43 04:51:12 10:44:24 10:42:22 09:56:15 14
IM Arizona 2010-11-21 00:53:15 04:44:16 03:23:31 09:05:04 09:18:43 09:46:58 17
IM Wisconsin 2010-09-12 00:55:09 04:52:12 03:02:10 08:55:44 08:57:05 09:52:20 5
IM Florida 2009-11-07 04:33:44 04:03:17 09:39:16 09:50:18 10:04:26 17
IM Wisconsin 2009-09-13 00:54:11 04:53:06 04:08:35 10:01:56 10:02:25 10:07:23 17
IM Hawaii 2008-10-11 00:56:19 05:23:42 04:06:10 10:35:12 10:34:48 10:08:36 65
IM Wisconsin 2008-09-07 00:52:16 05:23:11 03:54:12 10:16:55 10:17:06 10:02:27 18
IM Coeur d’Alene 2008-06-22 00:56:58 05:10:51 03:15:05 09:26:30 09:31:31 09:58:07 11
IM Wisconsin 2007-09-09 00:59:20 05:18:14 03:13:00 09:38:15 09:38:25 10:08:24 16
IM Arizona 2007-04-15 00:54:58 05:13:26 03:38:38 09:53:12 10:00:01 10:21:48 19
IM Florida 2006-11-04 01:00:24 05:05:01 04:23:27 10:35:27 10:46:33 10:36:12 34
IM Wisconsin 2005-09-11 00:59:27 05:46:11 03:44:30 10:37:51 10:21:48 10:21:48 20

Results for Greg Close (USA)

Race Date Swim Bike Run Total Adjusted Rating Rank in Race

Results for Kathleen Calkins (USA)

Race Date Swim Bike Run Total Adjusted Rating Rank in Race
IM Arizona 2011-11-19 00:57:00 04:54:46 03:16:29 09:12:40 09:28:19 09:28:19 7

Results for Kim Loeffler (USA)

Race Date Swim Bike Run Total Adjusted Rating Rank in Race
IM Brasil 2012-05-27 01:03:14 05:02:21 03:15:15 09:20:50 09:39:39 09:46:49 2
IM Florida 2011-11-05 01:03:40 05:05:19 03:13:17 09:29:07 09:54:38 09:47:45 4
IM Canada 2011-08-28 01:03:04 05:17:59 03:10:23 09:34:54 09:39:19 09:46:54 2
IM France 2011-06-26 01:01:19 05:34:40 03:10:25 09:53:08 09:57:12 09:47:54 4
IM Texas 2011-05-21 01:06:28 05:01:58 03:06:51 09:20:04 09:30:56 09:46:33 6
IM Florida 2010-11-06 00:57:45 05:03:32 03:12:34 09:21:26 09:34:03 09:49:07 3
IM Louisville 2010-08-29 01:04:29 05:13:25 03:21:08 09:44:23 09:49:22 09:51:35 2
IM New Zealand 2010-03-06 01:04:09 05:13:01 03:08:21 09:30:57 09:38:37 09:51:59 3
IM Hawaii 2009-10-10 01:08:34 05:26:33 03:51:50 10:32:00 10:27:05 09:54:32 35
IM Louisville 2009-08-28 01:10:24 05:16:37 03:05:07 09:38:23 09:41:48 09:47:54 3
IM Arizona 2008-11-23 01:04:54 05:08:59 03:15:05 09:33:54 09:41:41 09:49:24 4
IM Lake Placid 2008-07-20 01:03:14 05:26:16 03:20:13 09:54:55 09:54:52 09:51:17 2
IM Hawaii 2007-10-13 01:03:14 05:24:21 03:27:26 10:00:15 10:00:20 09:50:16 21
IM New Zealand 2007-03-03 00:59:00 05:20:12 03:09:04 09:33:43 09:35:34 09:47:16 3
IM Hawaii 2006-10-21 01:07:22 05:16:06 03:20:20 09:48:40 09:46:25 09:51:09 15
IM Coeur d’Alene 2006-06-25 01:02:31 05:21:06 03:49:01 10:16:39 10:17:56 09:53:09 11
IM Hawaii 2005-10-15 01:02:28 05:10:48 03:12:06 09:30:18 09:30:41 09:37:32 8
IM Lake Placid 2005-07-24 00:59:20 05:30:12 03:15:16 09:49:44 09:44:51 09:44:51 2

Results for Kate Bevilaqua (AUS)

Race Date Swim Bike Run Total Adjusted Rating Rank in Race
IM Western Australia 2011-12-04 00:57:00 05:05:56 03:36:14 09:43:37 09:50:13 09:57:18 6
IM Korea 2011-07-03 00:55:08 05:04:49 03:35:28 09:39:44 09:46:53 09:58:17 1
IM New Zealand 2011-03-05 00:58:28 05:11:55 03:23:55 09:40:01 09:41:10 09:59:54 4
IM Western Australia 2010-12-05 01:01:43 04:53:52 03:20:42 09:19:44 09:30:23 10:02:40 1
IM Hawaii 2010-10-09 01:01:45 05:26:59 03:45:54 10:19:31 10:21:05 10:07:48 34
IM Lake Placid 2010-07-25 00:57:27 05:27:02 03:23:12 09:53:39 09:58:45 10:05:25 4
IM Lanzarote 2010-05-22 00:57:53 05:34:47 03:39:36 10:19:45 10:18:22 10:06:47 5
IM New Zealand 2010-03-06 00:57:11 05:12:47 04:02:19 10:18:12 10:26:31 10:03:59 7
IM Western Australia 2009-12-05 01:03:22 05:02:57 03:39:33 09:45:53 10:03:31 09:57:23 5
IM New Zealand 2008-03-01 00:55:01 05:06:56 03:12:39 09:20:06 09:27:22 09:55:06 2
IM Hawaii 2007-10-13 01:03:05 05:33:42 03:17:07 10:00:56 10:01:01 10:03:11 24
IM Australia 2007-04-08 55:19:00 05:22:02 03:19:39 09:37:00 09:41:06 10:03:57 4
IM Western Australia 2006-12-03 00:55:29 05:05:57 03:25:39 09:27:05 09:42:39 10:13:58 4
IM Lanzarote 2006-05-20 00:55:17 06:18:00 03:31:22 10:51:14 10:48:27 10:34:36 5
IM Coeur d’Alene 2005-06-26 00:56:45 05:35:38 03:37:24 10:16:40 10:16:40 10:16:40 2

Results for Beth Walsh (USA)

Race Date Swim Bike Run Total Adjusted Rating Rank in Race
IM France 2012-06-24 00:59:48 05:44:05 03:08:32 09:58:26 10:02:39 10:02:39 6

Results for Whitney Garcia (USA)

Race Date Swim Bike Run Total Adjusted Rating Rank in Race
IM Coeur d’Alene 2012-06-24 01:01:56 05:32:47 03:20:18 10:01:46 10:05:22 10:03:05 3
IM Arizona 2011-11-19 00:58:23 05:06:28 03:29:10 09:40:22 09:56:48 10:02:03 13
IM Wisconsin 2011-09-11 01:00:39 05:24:18 03:29:33 10:03:53 10:01:59 10:05:15 3
IM Louisville 2010-08-29 00:57:53 05:19:53 03:39:32 10:04:29 10:09:38 11:16:51 4
IM Cozumel 2009-11-29 00:55:46 06:16:22 04:57:20 12:25:53 12:40:11 12:40:11 11

Results for Charisa Wernick (USA)

Race Date Swim Bike Run Total Adjusted Rating Rank in Race
IM Texas 2012-05-19 00:59:11 05:07:33 03:16:28 09:27:43 09:37:12 10:04:33 5
IM Arizona 2011-11-19 00:58:51 05:04:34 03:15:09 09:22:37 09:38:32 10:12:50 10
IM Cozumel 2010-11-28 00:00:00 00:00:00 00:00:00 10:07:30 10:18:44 10:32:31 7
IM Wisconsin 2010-09-12 01:03:50 05:33:10 03:23:21 10:07:19 10:08:51 10:37:06 5
IM Lake Placid 2010-07-25 01:06:51 05:38:42 03:22:01 10:13:07 10:18:23 10:50:03 8
IM Coeur d’Alene 2008-06-22 01:06:08 05:52:08 03:32:37 10:35:13 10:40:51 11:15:01 10
IM Coeur d’Alene 2007-06-23 01:11:37 06:08:54 03:43:04 11:13:10 11:18:10 11:41:02 3
IM Coeur d’Alene 2006-06-25 01:06:05 06:15:43 04:37:21 12:09:56 12:11:27 12:11:27 22

Results for Danielle Sullivan (USA)

Race Date Swim Bike Run Total Adjusted Rating Rank in Race
IM Florida 2010-11-06 01:04:37 05:11:37 03:21:37 09:46:42 09:59:53 10:11:10 8
IM Lake Placid 2010-07-25 01:02:21 05:40:15 03:30:34 10:19:19 10:24:38 10:14:24 9
IM Austria 2009-07-05 00:00:00 00:00:00 00:00:00 09:38:56 09:56:26 10:10:44 6
IM Arizona 2008-11-23 01:02:11 05:20:32 03:54:32 10:21:51 10:30:17 10:15:53 13
IM Lake Placid 2008-07-20 01:01:15 05:44:11 03:27:30 10:18:40 10:18:37 10:09:39 5
IM Hawaii 2007-10-13 01:02:59 05:28:51 03:22:10 10:00:25 10:00:30 10:03:53 23
IM Lake Placid 2007-07-22 01:00:15 05:38:12 03:25:39 10:09:51 10:07:30 10:07:30 7

Results for Hillary Biscay (USA)

Race Date Swim Bike Run Total Adjusted Rating Rank in Race
IM New York 2012-08-11 00:41:33 05:33:11 03:51:56 10:11:40 10:19:52 10:14:21 15
IM Brasil 2012-05-27 00:50:01 05:04:20 03:50:40 09:45:01 10:04:39 10:14:01 6
IM Australia 2012-04-29 00:50:40 05:29:13 03:34:04 09:58:19 10:08:49 10:14:36 3
IM Western Australia 2011-12-04 00:54:41 05:12:27 03:26:45 09:39:41 09:46:14 10:14:58 5
IM Louisville 2011-08-28 00:50:15 05:30:20 03:42:24 10:09:32 10:21:43 10:16:44 8
IM Korea 2011-07-03 00:51:42 05:30:17 03:44:53 10:12:20 10:19:53 10:16:26 3
IM Brasil 2011-05-29 09:33:14 09:57:46 10:16:13 4
IM Hawaii 2010-10-09 00:55:45 05:41:05 04:05:04 10:47:51 10:49:30 10:17:23 39
IM Wisconsin 2010-09-12 00:53:26 05:44:40 03:43:25 10:29:06 10:30:41 10:15:36 7
IM Louisville 2010-08-29 00:53:18 05:53:20 03:57:04 10:52:37 10:58:11 10:12:50 9
Challenge Kopenhagen 2010-08-01 00:49:33 05:24:10 03:18:20 09:36:59 10:03:45 10:10:01 4
IM Coeur d’Alene 2010-06-27 00:53:41 05:37:28 04:01:35 10:39:44 10:45:50 10:10:26 11
IM Brasil 2010-05-30 00:49:03 05:10:33 03:45:00 09:44:38 10:08:24 10:08:04 4
IM Lanzarote 2010-05-22 00:50:40 05:59:24 03:42:37 10:41:44 10:40:18 10:08:02 9
IM Wisconsin 2009-09-13 00:54:17 05:27:54 03:33:25 10:02:58 10:03:27 10:05:38 3
IM Lake Placid 2009-07-26 00:52:52 06:01:37 03:44:17 10:47:50 10:49:58 10:05:46 12
IM Lanzarote 2009-05-23 00:53:15 06:06:22 03:20:52 10:28:45 10:26:28 10:02:49 5
Challenge Wanaka 2009-01-01 10:16:39 10:21:53 10:01:12 2
IM Hawaii 2008-10-11 00:54:35 05:43:27 03:50:08 10:35:10 10:34:46 09:59:51 35
IM Wisconsin 2008-09-07 00:52:11 05:21:50 03:26:24 09:47:25 09:47:36 09:57:36 1
IM Louisville 2008-08-27 00:51:44 05:25:25 03:37:26 09:59:33 09:55:06 09:58:16 4
IM Lake Placid 2008-07-20 00:51:02 05:30:23 03:31:33 09:58:45 09:58:42 09:58:30 3
Challenge Roth 2008-07-13 00:48:59 05:09:59 03:22:03 09:24:19 09:47:06 09:58:29 6
IM Brasil 2008-05-25 00:59:10 05:12:54 03:38:09 09:56:10 10:04:28 09:59:24 2
IM Arizona 2008-04-13 00:51:32 05:21:25 03:36:06 09:53:21 09:58:54 09:58:58 8
Challenge Wanaka 2008-01-19 10:11:17 10:15:41 09:58:59 2
IM Hawaii 2007-10-13 00:55:10 05:25:06 03:31:44 09:56:46 09:56:51 09:57:29 20
IM Wisconsin 2007-09-09 00:54:03 05:36:22 03:24:18 10:01:30 10:01:41 09:57:32 2
IM UK 2007-08-19 00:49:03 05:39:10 03:17:28 09:49:50 09:57:48 09:57:09 2
IM Austria 2007-07-08 00:50:47 05:12:13 03:31:14 09:39:23 09:51:17 09:57:04 6
IM Brasil 2007-05-27 00:52:25 05:14:36 03:37:13 09:44:14 09:57:55 09:57:44 6
IM Arizona 2007-04-15 00:52:02 06:46:15 03:47:50 11:33:07 11:41:05 09:57:42 10
IM New Zealand 2007-03-03 00:50:34 05:19:48 03:19:18 09:34:53 09:36:44 09:57:42 4
Challenge Wanaka 2007-01-20 09:58:35 10:02:44 10:00:24 3
IM Florida 2006-11-04 00:54:43 05:23:58 03:17:43 09:40:39 09:50:48 10:00:05 3
IM Wisconsin 2006-09-10 00:53:54 05:39:41 03:26:28 10:07:01 09:49:14 10:01:31 2
IM Austria 2006-07-16 00:48:11 05:20:27 03:21:59 09:30:37 09:44:10 10:03:39 4
IM Coeur d’Alene 2006-06-25 00:52:58 05:38:59 03:24:18 09:59:46 10:01:01 10:07:34 5
IM Arizona 2006-04-09 00:50:33 05:17:01 03:31:22 09:43:36 09:48:23 10:09:10 3
IM Brasil 2006-01-01 00:47:51 05:22:14 03:24:15 09:34:19 09:48:20 10:15:24 3
IM Canada 2005-08-29 00:54:16 05:39:19 03:58:28 10:36:56 10:34:27 10:25:50 11
IM Lake Placid 2005-07-24 00:51:04 06:01:07 03:32:43 10:31:33 10:26:19 10:21:13 10
IM Arizona 2005-04-09 00:55:27 05:37:52 03:37:00 10:15:40 10:15:40 10:15:40 7

Results for Katya Meyers (USA)

Race Date Swim Bike Run Total Adjusted Rating Rank in Race
IM Mont Tremblant 2012-08-18 01:07:28 05:15:35 03:50:03 10:19:23 10:34:36 10:26:43 5
IM Lanzarote 2012-05-19 01:04:46 05:44:52 04:10:24 11:07:55 11:00:04 10:25:24 8
IM Wisconsin 2011-09-11 01:14:00 05:22:08 03:27:39 10:10:28 10:08:33 10:19:04 5
IM France 2011-06-26 01:07:18 05:22:09 03:31:16 10:07:04 10:11:13 10:20:55 7
IM France 2010-06-27 01:09:25 05:21:58 03:24:36 10:02:12 10:16:23 10:22:51 6
IM Florida 2009-11-07 04:54:19 03:25:19 09:35:53 09:46:51 10:23:59 8
IM Canada 2009-08-30 01:05:13 05:27:55 03:35:55 10:12:59 10:18:00 10:30:21 10
IM France 2009-06-28 01:05:56 05:26:48 03:19:15 09:58:30 10:05:34 10:32:45 6
IM Hawaii 2008-10-11 01:10:43 05:34:08 03:29:07 10:23:01 10:22:38 10:38:54 28
IM Louisville 2008-08-27 01:14:38 05:19:10 04:17:19 11:00:22 10:55:28 10:42:35 11
IM France 2008-06-22 01:08:35 05:31:58 03:40:40 10:28:06 10:31:48 10:38:59 5
IM Australia 2007-04-08 01:03:52 05:47:27 03:33:17 10:24:36 10:29:03 10:41:35 13
IM Wisconsin 2006-09-10 01:11:44 05:50:59 04:23:01 11:33:39 11:13:19 10:45:51 12
IM France 2006-06-24 00:57:07 05:38:48 03:35:17 10:18:41 10:32:27 10:34:40 4
IM Hawaii 2005-10-15 01:16:54 05:34:52 03:52:04 10:48:46 10:49:13 10:36:03 39
IM Canada 2005-08-29 01:12:00 05:29:50 03:38:28 10:24:49 10:22:23 10:22:23 10

Results for Suzanne Zelazo (CAN)

Race Date Swim Bike Run Total Adjusted Rating Rank in Race
IM Lake Placid 2011-07-24 01:00:21 05:25:58 03:48:28 10:21:08 10:24:53 10:55:54 6
IM Regensburg 2010-08-01 01:04:33 05:51:18 03:52:27 10:55:51 11:11:24 11:22:21 13
IM Switzerland 2008-07-13 11:26:52 00:00:00 00:00:00 11:26:52 11:42:06 11:42:06 13

Results for Elizabeth Lyles ()

Race Date Swim Bike Run Total Adjusted Rating Rank in Race

Results for Andrea Hutchins ()

Race Date Swim Bike Run Total Adjusted Rating Rank in Race

IM Louisville 2012 – Analyzing Results

Race Conditions

Conditions seemed to be pretty typical for Louisville, an adjustment of 5:09 leads to a new course rating of 3:30 (and continues the recent trend of larger adjustments).

Male Results

Patrick Evoe and Chris McDonald switched first and second place from last year, with Patrick posting the strongest bike by far:

Rank Name Nation Swim Bike Run Actual Time Expected Time
1 Patrick Evoe USA 00:58:15 04:33:31 03:06:01 08:42:44 08:48:22
2 Chris McDonald AUS 00:56:26 04:47:28 03:04:09 08:52:59 08:43:38
3 Thomas Gerlach USA 00:56:19 04:39:52 03:21:33 09:02:42 09:46:52
4 Jason Shortis AUS 00:59:37 04:50:40 03:25:27 09:21:24 08:52:08
5 Thomas Maliszewski USA 01:06:30 05:06:17 03:09:01 09:28:50 n/a
6 Timothy Beardall AUS 01:08:01 04:44:44 03:40:34 09:39:18 n/a
7 Bojan Maric SCG 01:01:02 05:26:38 03:41:31 10:16:11 10:05:55
8 Mike Hermanson USA 00:57:48 05:18:11 03:58:45 10:20:16 n/a
9 Andrew Hodges USA 00:53:10 05:43:14 03:42:23 10:25:07 n/a
10 Reinaldo Oliveira BRA 01:01:04 05:22:02 04:07:49 10:37:16 10:10:46
11 Jared Woodford USA 00:53:57 05:04:56 04:40:55 10:46:03 n/a

Female Results

On the female side, Bree Wee managed to win her first professional IM race, keeping the distance to Jackie Arendt around just a minute or two for the whole run:

Rank Name Nation Swim Bike Run Actual Time Expected Time
1 Bree Wee USA 00:56:21 05:12:18 03:22:03 09:36:27 09:54:00
2 Jackie Arendt USA 00:56:18 05:15:47 03:20:12 09:38:14 09:59:20
3 Terra Castro USA 00:58:18 05:23:22 03:25:57 09:53:27 10:13:19
4 Heather Gollnick USA 00:57:52 05:15:33 03:34:04 09:55:25 09:52:02
5 April Lea Gellatly USA 00:59:33 05:12:42 03:50:39 10:09:45 10:29:20
6 Michelle Gailey AUS 00:58:20 06:04:35 05:35:33 13:02:56 n/a

IM Canada 2012 – Analyzing Results

Race Conditions

This year’s IM Canada was pretty fast, an adjustment of 7:20 was quite a bit faster than the new course rating of 3:46. It was the last time the race was held as an “official” Ironman, next year it will be held as a Challenge race on more or less the same course. It’ll be interesting to see if the Challenge brand manages to reverse the decline of the (professional) race, the depth of the field has declined quite a bit from the largest number of (pre-rated) professional athletes from 53 in 2008 down to this year’s 14 athletes.

Male Results

The strongest run put Matthew Russell into first place:

Rank Name Nation Swim Bike Run Actual Time Expected Time
1 Matthew Russell USA 01:03:04 04:48:41 02:53:34 08:48:30 08:58:19
2 Olly Piggin CAN 00:56:51 04:48:43 03:05:25 08:54:17 09:17:25
3 Christian Brader GER 00:57:29 04:48:19 03:09:52 08:58:59 08:53:24
4 Anthony Toth CAN 00:57:23 04:55:37 03:04:25 09:02:07 09:28:59
5 Shanon Stallard NZL 00:57:14 04:56:01 03:05:53 09:03:53 n/a
6 Matthew Sheeks USA 01:03:10 05:00:44 03:02:01 09:09:40 09:12:14
7 Nathan Killam CAN 00:57:05 05:05:21 03:10:09 09:17:00 n/a
8 Scott Tremblay CAN 01:03:07 05:07:00 03:08:23 09:22:06 09:11:00
9 Kyle Marcotte CAN 00:57:16 04:56:45 03:29:24 09:27:32 09:17:53
10 Luke Way CAN 01:01:12 05:00:11 03:25:35 09:30:44 09:40:43
11 Ryan Borger USA 00:57:36 05:19:35 03:40:00 10:01:18 n/a
12 Christopher Bagg USA 00:54:17 04:49:29 04:14:59 10:01:48 09:10:05
13 JC Ramirez USA 01:02:58 05:19:47 05:05:42 11:33:38 n/a
14 Elliot Holtham CAN 00:54:16 04:48:10 05:56:03 11:41:36 n/a

Female Results

Similarly, Gillian Clayton used the best run split to win the race:

Rank Name Nation Swim Bike Run Actual Time Expected Time
1 Gillian Clayton CAN 01:08:32 05:16:51 03:17:08 09:46:07 10:28:14
2 Karen Thibodeau CAN 00:55:41 05:30:09 03:21:43 09:50:52 n/a
3 Janelle Morrison CAN 01:06:46 05:16:47 03:25:57 09:53:20 09:49:25
4 Paolina Allan CAN 01:03:12 05:22:03 03:35:04 10:04:07 10:01:18
5 Alexis Smith USA 00:57:11 05:32:14 03:33:25 10:06:34 n/a
6 Stephanie Ossenbrink CAN 00:57:14 05:09:30 04:05:20 10:15:48 10:19:56
7 Trish Deim USA 01:10:02 05:19:23 03:47:48 10:21:48 10:29:40
8 Monica Dalidowicz CAN 01:02:59 05:29:26 03:47:15 10:24:07 n/a
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