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IM Coeur d’Alene 2013 – Predictions

A big thank you to Heather Wurtele for making the start list available. (Thomas Gerlach sent me the same list, confirming the entries are up to date as of this writing.)

Update June 19th: Paul Matthews will not be racing (confirmed via Twitter), and Raul Furtado and Danielle Kehoe are not included in the last start list.

Previous Year’s TOP 3

Male Race Results

Rank Name Nation Swim Bike Run Time
1 Victor Zyemtsev USA 00:51:56 04:47:55 02:49:37 08:32:29
2 Timothy O’Donnell USA 00:49:20 04:56:22 02:52:59 08:41:36
3 Matthew Russell USA 01:06:23 04:48:52 02:53:41 08:52:00

Female Race Results

Rank Name Nation Swim Bike Run Time
1 Meredith Kessler USA 00:51:53 05:13:16 03:12:04 09:21:44
2 Haley Cooper-Scott USA 01:06:02 05:27:40 03:24:31 10:01:25
3 Whitney Garcia USA 01:01:56 05:32:47 03:20:18 10:01:46

Course Records

Leg Gender Record Athlete Date
Total overall 08:19:48 Craig Alexander 2011-06-26
Swim overall 00:45:48 Brent Foster 2005-06-26
Swim overall 00:45:23 Matthew Dixon 2003-06-29
Bike overall 04:29:09 Maik Twelsiek 2011-06-26
Run overall 02:46:54 Craig Alexander 2011-06-26
Total female 09:16:40 Julie Dibens 2011-06-26
Swim female 00:49:50 Linda Gallo 2006-06-25
Swim overall 00:48:08 Monica Caplan 2003-06-29
Bike female 04:47:38 Kelly Williamson 2005-06-26
Run female 03:03:12 Caitlin Snow 2011-06-26

Course Rating

The Course Rating for IM Coeur d’Alene is 02:55. The swim is quite slow (as it is in a cold mountain lake), the bike is about “average” (but changes quite a bit over the years – not sure if this is because of the weather or course changes), and the run is usually relatively fast.

Race Adjustments for IM Coeur d’Alene

Year Adjustment Swim Adj. Bike Adj. Run Adj. # of Athletes Rating Swim Rating Bike Rating Run Rating
2005 n/a n/a n/a n/a 3 n/a n/a n/a n/a
2006 -02:01 -00:22 -01:17 -08:09 19 -02:01 -00:22 -01:17 -08:09
2007 02:02 -04:24 -04:51 02:37 26 00:00 -02:23 -03:04 -02:46
2008 03:15 -03:25 -03:17 08:11 25 01:05 -02:44 -03:08 00:53
2009 08:58 -03:40 01:35 06:22 30 03:03 -02:58 -01:57 02:15
2010 07:13 -02:23 02:00 06:15 30 03:53 -02:51 -01:10 03:03
2011 00:45 -03:01 01:36 02:29 18 03:22 -02:53 -00:42 02:58
2012 00:10 -02:30 -03:44 06:08 18 02:55 -02:49 -01:08 03:25

KPR points and Price Money

IM Coeur d’Alene has 2000 KPR points for the winner. It has a total price purse of 75k$.

Male Race Participants

Rank Name Nation Expected Time Rating Rank Swim Rating Bike Rating Run Rating
1 Paul Matthews AUS 08:11:15 08:13:55 (1) 00:46:31 04:38:21 02:51:04
2 Ben Hoffman USA 08:36:01 08:38:49 37 00:50:45 04:36:46 03:06:45
3 TJ Tollakson USA 08:37:23 08:40:11 40 00:48:35 04:39:42 03:08:54
4 Victor Zyemtsev USA 08:41:30 08:44:19 63 00:50:29 04:48:04 03:02:11
5 Jozsef Major HUN 08:42:18 08:45:08 67 00:57:30 04:42:12 03:00:24
6 Joe Umphenhour USA 08:43:51 08:46:41 75 00:47:16 04:52:15 03:08:20
7 Chris McDonald AUS 08:45:10 08:48:01 79 00:53:01 04:43:20 03:06:45
8 Thomas Gerlach USA 08:52:08 08:55:01 118 00:54:33 04:44:54 03:13:09
9 Matthew Russell USA 08:54:52 08:57:46 132 01:03:16 04:50:12 02:59:31
10 Derek Garcia USA 09:03:58 09:06:55 191 00:53:40 04:49:40 03:24:16
11 Raul Furtado BRA 09:05:47 09:08:44 198 00:52:40 04:48:47 03:23:25
12 Matthew Sheeks USA 09:08:09 09:11:07 214 01:03:24 05:04:11 02:57:38
13 Bryan Rhodes NZL 09:08:49 09:11:47 220 00:47:38 04:51:07 03:20:14
14 Ben Cotter CAN 09:10:42 09:13:41 227 00:56:32 04:53:08 03:17:08
15 Adam O’Meara CAN 09:24:20 09:27:23 313 00:54:10 05:11:19 03:17:28
16 Chris Legh AUS 09:24:55 09:27:59 317 00:49:25 04:48:48 03:55:37
17 Chris Boudreaux USA 09:25:19 09:28:23 319 00:54:10 05:09:04 03:21:53
18 Brian Hadley USA 09:28:25 09:31:30 336 00:59:42 04:50:17 03:39:33
19 Lewis Elliot USA 09:31:14 09:34:20 354 00:54:17 04:56:27 03:38:56
20 Luke Way CAN 09:35:03 09:38:10 373 00:59:58 05:05:04 03:35:12
21 Jerome Bresson CAN 10:01:24 10:04:39 517 01:04:09 05:00:34 03:51:05
22 Sergio Quezada MEX 10:02:32 10:05:48 523 00:51:16 05:16:53 03:50:16
23 Jimmy Archer USA 10:11:50 10:15:09 562 00:58:19 05:08:50 03:55:44
24 Jim Lubinski USA 10:13:59 10:17:18 572 01:03:34 05:24:22 03:46:18
25 Jared Woodford USA 10:48:24 10:51:55 655 00:51:36 05:09:42 04:36:25
Vinny Johnson USA n/a unrated n/a unrated unrated unrated
Nathan Birdsall USA n/a unrated n/a unrated unrated unrated

Female Race Participants

Rank Name Nation Expected Time Rating Swim Rating Bike Rating Run Rating Rank
1 Heather Wurtele CAN 09:28:58 09:32:03 00:54:23 05:11:36 03:21:08 22
2 Caitlin Snow USA 09:31:07 09:34:13 00:54:34 05:30:30 03:03:03 27
3 Kathleen Calkins USA 09:33:50 09:36:56 00:57:30 05:15:49 03:19:48 35
4 Ashley Clifford USA 09:38:10 09:41:18 00:53:31 05:36:22 03:11:02 46
5 Candice Hammond NZL 09:39:45 09:42:53 01:00:12 05:17:23 03:18:19 51
6 Bree Wee USA 09:43:53 09:47:03 00:53:14 05:16:44 03:30:09 63
7 Christine Anderson USA 09:50:39 09:53:51 00:55:01 05:26:59 03:30:42 81
8 Uli Bromme USA 10:01:37 10:04:52 01:03:14 05:26:00 03:32:15 112
9 April Gellatly USA 10:07:05 10:10:22 00:57:07 05:28:31 03:38:09 133
10 Olesya Prystayko UKR 10:14:41 10:18:01 00:59:36 05:26:31 03:51:39 153
11 Trish Deim USA 10:20:24 10:23:46 01:06:15 05:25:33 03:47:37 172
12 Natasha Van der Merwe USA 10:40:52 10:44:20 01:06:01 05:21:53 04:15:32 207
Julie Van Veelen CAN n/a unrated unrated unrated unrated n/a
Danielle Kehoe USA n/a unrated unrated unrated unrated n/a

Winning Odds

Male Race Participants

My favorite is Paul Matthews – he only has two IM finishes so far, but with 8:05 and 8:04 they were really fast! US athletes Ben Hoffman and TJ Tollakson will try to beat the Aussie.

  • Paul Matthews: 39% (2-1)
  • Ben Hoffman: 21% (4-1)
  • Victor Zyemtsev: 17% (5-1)
  • TJ Tollakson: 16% (5-1)
  • Jozsef Major: 4% (25-1)
  • Chris McDonald: 2% (66-1)

Female Race Participants

It’s tricky to pick a favorite on the women’s side between Caitlin Snow and Heather Wurtele. Caitlin Snow has had the better 2012 IM racing season but she has recently been injured and had to skip IM Texas. Heather Wurtele still has the better rating than Caitlin, and she’s has a great 2013 season so far. My predictions model favors Caitlin, but my gut feeling would probably pick Heather:

  • Caitlin Snow: 42% (1-1)
  • Heather Wurtele: 30% (2-1)
  • Ashley Clifford: 10% (9-1)
  • Kathleen Calkins: 8% (12-1)
  • Candice Hammond: 6% (17-1)
  • Bree Wee: 4% (22-1)

Results for Paul Matthews (AUS)

Race Date Swim Bike Run Total Adjusted Rating Rank in Race
IM Arizona 2012-11-18 00:48:27 04:24:31 02:48:27 08:04:58 08:14:45 08:13:55 2
IM Melbourne 2012-03-24 00:47:22 04:28:16 02:47:24 08:05:58 08:12:55 08:12:55 6

Results for Ben Hoffman (USA)

Race Date Swim Bike Run Total Adjusted Rating Rank in Race
IM Wisconsin 2012-09-09 00:52:13 04:37:58 02:56:33 08:32:51 08:28:45 08:38:49 1
IM St. George 2012-04-29 00:52:44 05:10:01 03:01:24 09:07:04 08:20:41 08:40:58 1
IM Lake Placid 2011-07-24 00:53:09 04:34:33 03:01:39 08:33:29 08:34:59 08:45:46 2
IM St. George 2011-05-07 08:41:39 08:32:16 08:48:19 4
IM Hawaii 2010-10-09 00:52:18 04:46:35 03:20:07 09:03:29 09:03:00 08:52:52 42
IM Lake Placid 2010-07-25 00:55:06 04:38:03 03:01:24 08:39:34 08:42:46 08:49:39 1
IM St. George 2010-05-01 00:51:13 04:53:37 03:04:53 08:52:54 08:44:10 08:52:35 2
IM Hawaii 2009-10-10 00:54:29 04:43:31 03:47:13 09:29:54 09:17:05 08:58:08 55
IM Arizona 2008-11-23 00:52:53 04:30:31 02:56:12 08:24:13 08:33:44 08:33:44 6

Results for TJ Tollakson (USA)

Race Date Swim Bike Run Total Adjusted Rating Rank in Race
IM Arizona 2012-11-18 00:48:34 04:19:03 02:56:01 08:07:36 08:17:26 08:40:11 3
IM New York 2012-08-11 00:39:15 04:31:54 03:18:16 08:33:01 08:39:46 08:44:43 6
IM Lake Placid 2011-07-24 00:50:41 04:33:33 02:56:45 08:25:15 08:26:44 08:45:50 1
IM St. George 2011-05-07 08:40:20 08:30:59 08:49:39 3
IM Hawaii 2010-10-09 00:51:36 04:41:04 03:16:14 08:54:00 08:53:31 08:53:58 38
IM Arizona 2009-11-22 00:50:04 04:25:29 03:01:19 08:20:22 08:31:47 08:54:04 2
IM Hawaii 2009-10-10 00:52:52 04:52:38 03:16:07 09:06:20 08:54:03 08:59:17 32
IM Coeur d’Alene 2009-06-21 00:56:07 04:41:50 03:00:33 08:42:03 08:50:43 09:00:49 2
IM Hawaii 2008-10-11 00:51:47 05:12:15 03:43:59 09:53:43 09:45:49 09:04:30 58
IM Arizona 2008-04-13 00:50:06 04:36:54 03:04:06 08:34:36 08:40:44 08:46:51 2
IM Hawaii 2007-10-13 00:51:52 04:44:18 03:21:31 09:03:05 09:00:55 08:50:27 29
IM Louisville 2007-08-26 00:46:20 04:43:51 03:10:39 08:46:55 08:39:34 08:39:34 3

Results for Victor Zyemtsev (USA)

Race Date Swim Bike Run Total Adjusted Rating Rank in Race
IM Hawaii 2012-10-13 00:55:16 04:56:52 03:22:34 09:19:23 09:08:34 08:44:19 30
IM Coeur d’Alene 2012-06-24 00:51:56 04:47:55 02:49:37 08:32:29 08:32:39 08:38:01 1
IM Arizona 2011-11-19 00:52:17 04:35:02 02:43:30 08:14:36 08:27:00 08:39:42 3
IM Canada 2010-08-29 00:49:26 04:47:53 02:51:25 08:32:28 08:40:12 08:44:14 1
IM Louisville 2009-08-28 00:52:59 04:43:59 02:43:48 08:25:27 08:27:26 08:45:35 1
IM Coeur d’Alene 2008-06-22 00:53:59 04:56:46 02:49:35 08:43:56 08:47:06 08:51:41 2
IM Hawaii 2007-10-13 00:53:16 04:50:47 03:29:33 09:18:27 09:16:13 08:53:07 41
IM Coeur d’Alene 2007-06-23 00:54:21 04:48:44 02:47:05 08:33:32 08:35:28 08:45:08 1
IM Hawaii 2006-10-21 00:54:38 04:36:11 04:02:54 09:38:26 09:33:12 08:49:37 59
IM Lake Placid 2006-07-23 00:50:31 04:54:26 02:48:20 08:38:18 08:22:00 08:22:38 1
IM Coeur d’Alene 2005-06-26 00:48:50 04:41:53 02:49:15 08:23:29 08:23:29 08:23:29 1

Results for Jozsef Major (HUN)

Race Date Swim Bike Run Total Adjusted Rating Rank in Race
IM Los Cabos 2013-03-17 00:58:42 04:41:03 02:48:30 08:33:57 08:30:57 08:45:08 3
IM Arizona 2012-11-18 00:56:04 04:26:44 03:18:26 08:46:25 08:57:02 08:46:37 20
IM Hawaii 2012-10-13 01:01:41 04:42:57 03:10:16 08:59:38 08:49:12 08:45:32 28
IM New York 2012-08-11 00:43:47 04:33:09 03:06:12 08:27:00 08:33:40 08:45:07 3
IM Texas 2012-05-19 00:59:16 04:24:54 02:57:30 08:27:19 08:35:28 08:46:30 4
IM Hawaii 2011-10-15 01:06:57 04:31:39 02:56:24 08:39:52 08:39:50 08:47:55 19
IM Austria 2011-07-03 00:56:27 04:35:57 02:49:07 08:28:15 08:51:55 08:48:54 6
IM Texas 2011-05-21 01:02:11 04:21:02 02:55:51 08:24:17 08:32:56 08:48:31 5
IM Cozumel 2010-11-28 08:42:25 08:51:50 08:50:41 9
IM Arizona 2010-11-21 00:58:40 04:23:16 02:59:18 08:26:15 08:37:07 08:50:32 5
IM Hawaii 2010-10-09 01:07:28 04:39:53 02:47:56 08:40:46 08:40:18 08:52:39 22
IM St. George 2010-05-01 00:59:40 05:07:37 03:03:34 09:16:04 09:06:58 08:54:54 9
Challenge Roth 2009-07-12 00:54:47 04:31:28 03:08:54 08:38:37 08:59:41 08:52:36 20
IM Arizona 2008-11-23 00:52:46 04:30:51 02:52:46 08:21:34 08:31:02 08:51:21 4
IM Hawaii 2008-10-11 01:03:29 05:01:16 02:58:35 09:08:12 09:00:54 08:54:52 35
IM France 2008-06-22 00:59:03 04:55:46 02:56:45 08:57:45 09:01:10 08:53:39 7
IM Arizona 2008-04-13 00:58:59 04:41:10 02:50:12 08:34:19 08:40:27 08:51:57 1
IM Hawaii 2007-10-13 01:03:10 04:57:06 02:46:43 08:51:44 08:49:36 08:55:05 22
IM Switzerland 2007-06-24 00:58:35 04:48:14 02:51:01 08:40:01 08:55:54 08:56:47 3
IM Arizona 2007-04-15 00:56:58 04:54:36 02:46:45 08:42:42 08:47:04 08:57:08 5
IM Florida 2006-11-04 01:01:35 04:45:33 02:54:40 08:48:17 09:00:29 09:03:10 7
IM France 2006-06-24 00:50:07 05:08:01 02:50:43 08:54:42 09:06:08 09:06:08 4

Results for Joe Umphenhour (USA)

Race Date Swim Bike Run Total Adjusted Rating Rank in Race
IM Texas 2012-05-19 00:48:48 04:40:21 03:01:46 08:36:19 08:44:36 08:46:41 6
IM Arizona 2011-11-19 00:47:03 04:35:54 03:08:02 08:36:10 08:49:06 08:49:06 16

Results for Chris McDonald (AUS)

Race Date Swim Bike Run Total Adjusted Rating Rank in Race
IM Louisville 2012-08-26 00:56:26 04:47:28 03:04:09 08:52:59 08:57:49 08:48:01 2
IM New York 2012-08-11 00:43:34 04:40:37 03:13:39 08:41:30 08:48:21 08:47:01 10
IM Louisville 2011-08-28 00:51:47 04:35:45 02:55:22 08:27:36 08:36:11 08:46:52 1
IM Brasil 2011-05-29 08:24:34 08:45:53 08:47:52 5
IM Florida 2010-11-06 00:51:29 04:33:01 03:03:02 08:32:37 08:43:22 08:48:04 9
IM Hawaii 2010-10-09 00:57:53 04:44:30 03:05:16 08:52:04 08:51:35 08:48:28 35
Challenge Roth 2010-07-18 00:54:42 04:35:17 03:04:39 08:37:22 08:50:55 08:48:11 10
IM Coeur d’Alene 2010-06-27 00:55:47 04:42:39 03:07:01 08:48:30 08:55:33 08:47:55 5
IM St. George 2010-05-01 00:51:20 04:54:02 03:06:25 08:54:42 08:45:57 08:47:06 3
IM Wisconsin 2009-09-13 00:54:21 04:43:14 03:13:05 08:56:47 08:57:16 08:47:14 5
Challenge Roth 2009-07-12 00:50:30 04:22:31 03:01:39 08:17:39 08:37:52 08:46:12 11
Challenge Wanaka 2009-01-01 08:37:41 08:43:27 08:47:06 1
IM Arizona 2008-11-23 00:50:25 04:33:54 03:31:02 08:58:59 09:09:09 08:47:29 17
IM Wisconsin 2008-09-07 00:51:52 04:48:41 02:56:40 08:43:29 08:44:39 08:45:04 1
IM Louisville 2008-08-27 00:54:53 04:36:13 03:19:48 08:54:54 08:46:08 08:45:07 2
Challenge Roth 2008-07-13 00:50:02 04:29:38 02:58:25 08:20:59 08:38:56 08:44:59 4
Challenge Wanaka 2008-01-19 08:49:37 08:44:52 08:45:52 2
IM Western Australia 2007-12-01 00:52:17 04:26:53 03:02:02 08:21:12 08:43:33 08:46:00 8
IM Louisville 2007-08-26 00:51:54 04:39:58 03:00:34 08:38:40 08:31:26 08:46:24 1
Challenge Roth 2007-06-24 00:51:27 04:31:27 02:57:54 08:24:42 08:45:20 08:49:04 9
IM Western Australia 2006-12-03 00:51:59 04:32:27 03:11:34 08:36:00 08:50:52 08:49:49 4
IM Wisconsin 2006-09-10 00:57:33 04:55:17 03:13:02 09:12:35 08:52:07 08:49:36 2
IM Lake Placid 2006-07-23 00:52:35 05:01:32 03:08:54 09:07:55 08:50:41 08:48:59 9
IM Australia 2006-05-11 00:50:01 04:55:16 03:11:54 08:57:11 08:57:53 08:48:28 8
IM Western Australia 2005-11-27 00:55:10 04:38:00 03:04:28 08:37:38 08:39:27 08:44:37 6
IM Canada 2005-08-29 00:54:58 04:42:31 03:06:13 08:47:10 08:48:13 08:47:31 5
IM New Zealand 2005-05-03 00:52:38 04:49:55 02:59:38 08:46:45 08:46:45 08:46:45 5

Results for Thomas Gerlach (USA)

Race Date Swim Bike Run Total Adjusted Rating Rank in Race
IM Los Cabos 2013-03-17 00:58:30 04:41:51 03:03:02 08:47:46 08:44:42 08:55:01 7
IM Arizona 2012-11-18 00:54:29 04:28:54 03:08:49 08:36:05 08:46:30 08:57:05 10
IM Florida 2012-11-03 00:57:45 04:15:57 03:14:54 08:33:26 08:48:53 08:59:27 11
IM Wisconsin 2012-09-09 00:54:42 04:45:21 03:12:19 08:58:20 08:54:02 09:02:27 6
IM Louisville 2012-08-26 00:56:19 04:39:52 03:21:33 09:02:42 09:07:38 09:05:35 3
IM St. George 2012-04-29 00:59:19 05:33:54 03:12:14 09:49:00 08:59:03 09:04:23 4
IM Arizona 2011-11-19 00:57:04 04:43:37 03:12:27 08:57:00 09:10:27 09:10:27 27

Results for Matthew Russell (USA)

Race Date Swim Bike Run Total Adjusted Rating Rank in Race
IM Los Cabos 2013-03-17 01:03:02 04:48:51 02:53:41 08:49:57 08:46:52 08:57:46 8
IM Arizona 2012-11-18 01:05:41 04:25:46 02:54:18 08:30:50 08:41:08 08:58:50 8
IM Hawaii 2012-10-13 01:08:01 04:46:35 02:51:23 08:50:21 08:40:05 09:00:35 20
IM Canada 2012-08-26 01:03:04 04:48:41 02:53:34 08:48:30 08:52:36 09:02:47 1
IM Mont Tremblant 2012-08-18 01:02:34 04:47:11 02:53:29 08:48:12 08:58:47 09:03:56 3
IM Lake Placid 2012-07-22 01:02:06 04:57:35 03:10:50 09:16:43 09:17:55 09:04:36 4
IM Coeur d’Alene 2012-06-24 01:06:23 04:48:52 02:53:41 08:52:00 08:52:10 09:02:41 3
IM Texas 2012-05-19 01:04:47 04:39:52 02:53:25 08:42:50 08:51:14 09:04:24 9
IM Arizona 2011-11-19 01:00:51 04:26:25 02:57:03 08:29:19 08:42:05 09:06:53 12
IM Hawaii 2011-10-15 01:06:47 04:37:41 02:54:41 08:43:51 08:43:49 09:11:44 23
IM Canada 2011-08-28 01:04:22 04:56:10 02:54:28 08:59:31 09:01:33 09:18:17 7
IM Lake Placid 2011-07-24 01:06:13 05:10:45 03:04:57 09:26:26 09:28:06 09:23:09 9
IM Texas 2011-05-21 01:07:09 04:44:38 03:07:21 09:03:06 09:12:25 09:21:12 14
IM Arizona 2010-11-21 01:11:58 04:50:00 03:03:13 09:09:15 09:21:03 09:26:29 20
IM Lake Placid 2010-07-25 01:17:25 05:05:01 03:00:47 09:28:58 09:32:28 09:32:28 13

Results for Derek Garcia (USA)

Race Date Swim Bike Run Total Adjusted Rating Rank in Race
IM Arizona 2012-11-18 00:55:39 04:35:02 03:21:39 08:56:06 09:06:55 09:06:55 23

Results for Raul Furtado (BRA)

Race Date Swim Bike Run Total Adjusted Rating Rank in Race
IM Sweden 2012-08-18 00:53:20 04:30:45 03:15:56 08:43:54 09:11:44 09:08:44 16
IM Brasil 2012-05-27 00:49:57 04:27:29 03:15:01 08:32:27 08:48:35 09:07:50 6
IM Cozumel 2011-11-27 00:48:52 04:29:15 03:22:48 08:54:39 09:04:52 09:15:16 11
IM Texas 2011-05-21 00:58:27 04:35:08 03:31:16 09:09:39 09:19:05 09:20:30 16
IM Brasil 2009-05-31 00:51:32 04:43:29 03:16:01 08:53:20 09:13:40 09:21:35 5
IM Brasil 2008-05-25 00:59:15 04:29:52 03:21:17 08:55:01 09:03:21 09:27:38 5
IM Brasil 2007-05-27 00:54:44 04:59:09 03:55:06 09:48:59 09:59:58 09:59:58 21

Results for Matthew Sheeks (USA)

Race Date Swim Bike Run Total Adjusted Rating Rank in Race
IM Canada 2012-08-26 01:03:10 05:00:44 03:02:01 09:09:40 09:13:56 09:11:07 6
IM St. George 2012-04-29 01:04:09 05:48:41 02:55:37 09:52:03 09:01:51 09:09:11 5
IM Lake Placid 2010-07-25 01:13:04 05:05:40 02:52:57 09:17:57 09:21:23 09:21:23 8

Results for Bryan Rhodes (NZL)

Race Date Swim Bike Run Total Adjusted Rating Rank in Race
Challenge Wanaka 2013-01-19 00:51:38 04:56:47 03:12:00 09:04:12 08:59:03 09:11:47 5
IM Coeur d’Alene 2012-06-24 00:49:13 05:06:04 03:21:10 09:20:27 09:20:37 09:15:03 8
IM Canada 2011-08-28 00:50:11 04:45:16 03:44:56 09:23:24 09:25:32 09:13:30 15
IM Lake Placid 2010-07-25 00:50:02 05:02:39 04:20:30 10:18:40 10:22:29 09:10:07 25
IM Hawaii 2008-10-11 00:51:26 04:36:23 03:22:01 08:53:35 08:46:29 08:51:20 22
IM Canada 2008-08-24 00:49:22 04:41:44 02:55:45 08:30:12 08:39:48 08:52:13 1
IM Florida 2007-11-03 00:49:02 04:37:04 02:57:09 08:26:52 08:45:12 08:54:54 3
IM UK 2007-08-19 00:44:39 04:47:41 04:00:55 09:36:07 09:45:20 08:56:53 21
IM Coeur d’Alene 2007-06-23 00:51:29 04:51:52 03:00:35 08:46:38 08:48:37 08:45:16 5
IM Hawaii 2006-10-21 00:53:58 04:46:54 03:14:10 08:59:13 08:54:20 08:44:16 36
IM Lake Placid 2006-07-23 00:47:51 05:02:49 03:05:26 09:00:18 08:43:19 08:41:00 6
IM Western Australia 2005-11-27 00:50:31 04:45:51 02:58:03 08:34:25 08:36:13 08:39:59 4
IM UK 2005-08-21 00:45:31 04:59:17 02:53:55 08:42:11 08:42:11 08:42:06 1
IM New Zealand 2005-05-03 00:46:18 04:55:53 02:55:53 08:42:01 08:42:01 08:42:01 3

Results for Ben Cotter (CAN)

Race Date Swim Bike Run Total Adjusted Rating Rank in Race
IM New Zealand 2013-03-02 00:54:16 04:48:49 03:13:40 09:02:47 09:06:23 09:13:41 8
IM Western Australia 2012-12-09 01:00:59 04:35:45 03:07:52 08:48:45 09:01:14 09:16:47 7
IM Cozumel 2011-11-27 00:54:35 04:44:31 03:14:29 09:08:05 09:18:34 09:27:08 16
IM Canada 2009-08-30 00:54:10 05:00:27 03:21:59 09:20:21 09:24:35 09:35:30 17
IM Coeur d’Alene 2007-06-23 01:00:21 05:07:27 03:26:42 09:38:43 09:40:53 09:46:57 17
IM Canada 2006-08-27 00:56:35 05:03:11 03:48:15 09:53:11 09:54:37 09:54:37 20

Results for Adam O’Meara (CAN)

Race Date Swim Bike Run Total Adjusted Rating Rank in Race
IM Los Cabos 2013-03-17 00:58:32 05:26:08 03:14:03 09:44:11 09:40:47 09:27:23 18
IM Arizona 2012-11-18 00:52:47 04:43:15 03:02:03 08:43:20 08:53:53 09:24:32 18
IM St. George 2012-04-29 00:58:47 05:51:26 03:13:44 10:08:10 09:16:36 09:31:54 7
IM Cozumel 2011-11-27 00:54:13 04:53:38 03:18:18 09:20:26 09:31:09 09:35:51 20
IM Canada 2011-08-28 00:53:42 05:10:12 03:28:09 09:35:55 09:38:06 09:37:15 18
IM Arizona 2010-11-21 00:53:22 04:57:44 03:02:30 08:58:04 09:09:37 09:36:55 14
IM Arizona 2009-11-22 00:54:10 04:55:28 03:20:11 09:13:58 09:26:37 09:48:56 19
IM Canada 2009-08-30 00:54:58 05:24:38 03:33:47 09:58:20 10:02:51 09:59:55 28
IM Canada 2008-08-24 00:55:42 05:20:13 03:16:59 09:38:37 09:49:30 09:57:25 28
IM Canada 2006-08-27 00:58:37 05:21:20 03:44:21 10:10:00 10:11:28 10:11:28 23

Results for Chris Legh (AUS)

Race Date Swim Bike Run Total Adjusted Rating Rank in Race
IM Australia 2006-05-11 00:46:28 04:56:39 03:54:43 09:37:50 09:38:36 09:27:59 15
IM Australia 2005-04-08 00:50:56 09:13:27 09:13:27 09:13:27 13

Results for Chris Boudreaux (USA)

Race Date Swim Bike Run Total Adjusted Rating Rank in Race
IM Coeur d’Alene 2012-06-24 00:56:01 05:17:19 03:05:50 09:23:10 09:23:21 09:28:23 9
IM Arizona 2011-11-19 00:55:17 04:48:55 03:30:48 09:20:19 09:34:22 09:34:22 36

Results for Brian Hadley (USA)

Race Date Swim Bike Run Total Adjusted Rating Rank in Race
IM Regensburg 2011-08-07 00:57:23 04:46:18 03:55:23 09:45:23 09:58:36 09:31:30 12
IM Coeur d’Alene 2011-06-26 01:02:29 04:47:11 03:09:02 09:02:44 09:03:29 09:03:29 4

Results for Lewis Elliot (USA)

Race Date Swim Bike Run Total Adjusted Rating Rank in Race
IM Coeur d’Alene 2012-06-24 00:56:06 04:58:38 06:18:50 12:17:14 12:17:28 09:34:20 13
IM Arizona 2011-11-19 00:54:06 04:31:00 03:08:26 08:38:13 08:51:12 09:34:20 17
IM Coeur d’Alene 2011-06-26 00:58:46 04:55:38 03:53:39 09:51:45 09:52:35 09:43:47 14
IM Arizona 2010-11-21 00:56:39 04:40:27 03:29:46 09:10:54 09:22:44 09:41:39 21
IM Canada 2010-08-29 00:54:35 05:33:48 04:11:06 10:46:20 10:56:05 09:46:31 28
IM Arizona 2009-11-22 00:55:22 04:39:17 03:22:02 09:00:14 09:12:34 09:24:26 15
IM Coeur d’Alene 2008-06-22 00:56:54 05:02:48 03:18:43 09:22:43 09:26:07 09:28:30 10
IM Arizona 2008-04-13 00:52:00 04:41:56 03:51:05 09:29:08 09:35:55 09:29:12 13
IM Hawaii 2007-10-13 00:55:25 04:53:22 03:48:06 09:41:31 09:39:12 09:26:36 54
IM Arizona 2007-04-15 00:52:08 04:47:09 03:10:06 08:53:51 08:58:19 09:20:18 8
IM Arizona 2006-04-09 00:53:39 04:50:39 03:54:48 09:44:10 09:47:01 09:37:08 25
IM Arizona 2005-04-09 00:55:28 04:57:14 03:26:59 09:23:58 09:23:58 09:23:58 14

Results for Luke Way (CAN)

Race Date Swim Bike Run Total Adjusted Rating Rank in Race
IM Canada 2012-08-26 01:01:12 05:00:11 03:25:35 09:30:44 09:35:10 09:38:10 10
IM St. George 2011-05-07 09:34:50 09:24:30 09:41:12 13
IM Coeur d’Alene 2008-06-22 00:59:18 05:11:33 04:01:10 10:15:39 10:19:22 10:19:22 16

Results for Jerome Bresson (CAN)

Race Date Swim Bike Run Total Adjusted Rating Rank in Race
IM Wisconsin 2011-09-11 01:00:45 04:59:32 04:18:30 10:26:10 10:17:48 10:04:39 12
IM Texas 2011-05-21 01:07:42 04:42:22 04:07:46 10:02:23 10:12:43 10:00:51 21
IM Lake Placid 2010-07-25 01:05:54 05:01:04 03:15:52 09:28:39 09:32:09 09:56:36 12
IM St. George 2010-05-01 01:05:43 05:26:46 03:50:28 10:31:28 10:21:08 10:06:17 22
IM Florida 2008-11-01 01:05:09 04:41:48 03:27:05 09:20:37 09:42:45 09:57:32 27
IM Lake Placid 2008-07-20 01:07:25 05:19:42 03:28:24 10:02:41 09:59:55 10:06:42 18
IM Lake Placid 2007-07-22 01:11:27 05:10:02 03:53:34 10:22:35 10:15:45 10:15:45 4

Results for Sergio Quezada (MEX)

Race Date Swim Bike Run Total Adjusted Rating Rank in Race
IM Cozumel 2012-11-25 00:52:16 05:07:10 03:56:45 10:01:25 10:07:10 10:05:48 28
IM Texas 2012-05-19 00:53:29 05:02:54 03:33:29 09:36:26 09:45:41 10:05:24 15
IM Cozumel 2011-11-27 00:49:00 04:53:43 03:30:05 09:27:31 09:38:22 10:11:48 23
IM Lake Placid 2011-07-24 00:53:59 05:27:09 04:02:30 10:29:11 10:31:02 10:24:58 12
IM St. George 2010-05-01 00:54:28 05:53:30 04:02:41 10:55:32 10:44:48 10:21:37 24
IM Canada 2009-08-30 00:53:10 05:12:09 03:53:51 10:02:53 10:07:26 10:06:50 29
IM Wisconsin 2007-09-09 00:54:06 05:15:20 03:49:22 10:05:29 10:03:21 10:06:09 20
IM Florida 2005-11-05 00:52:12 05:13:43 03:45:26 09:55:54 10:10:55 10:10:55 26

Results for Jimmy Archer (USA)

Race Date Swim Bike Run Total Adjusted Rating Rank in Race
IM Florida 2005-11-05 00:58:07 04:53:32 03:58:17 09:56:15 10:11:16 10:15:09 27
IM Arizona 2005-04-09 00:59:48 05:18:17 03:55:10 10:19:43 10:19:43 10:19:43 22

Results for Jim Lubinski (USA)

Race Date Swim Bike Run Total Adjusted Rating Rank in Race
IM Wisconsin 2010-09-12 01:03:55 05:35:04 04:03:30 10:49:07 10:48:47 10:17:18 17
IM New Zealand 2010-03-06 01:02:29 05:24:02 03:24:20 09:55:30 10:02:31 09:57:40 12
IM Canada 2009-08-30 01:05:07 05:06:16 03:33:15 09:47:36 09:52:02 09:52:02 25

Results for Jared Woodford (USA)

Race Date Swim Bike Run Total Adjusted Rating Rank in Race
IM Louisville 2012-08-26 00:53:57 05:04:56 04:40:55 10:46:03 10:51:55 10:51:55 11

Results for Vinny Johnson (USA)

Race Date Swim Bike Run Total Adjusted Rating Rank in Race

Results for Nathan Birdsall (USA)

Race Date Swim Bike Run Total Adjusted Rating Rank in Race

Results for Heather Wurtele (CAN)

Race Date Swim Bike Run Total Adjusted Rating Rank in Race
IM Hawaii 2012-10-13 01:00:04 05:16:58 03:22:28 09:44:04 09:32:46 09:32:03 14
IM Germany 2012-07-08 00:50:56 05:21:57 03:23:53 09:42:10 09:52:55 09:31:56 8
IM Hawaii 2011-10-15 00:58:43 04:59:10 03:15:29 09:17:56 09:17:54 09:27:48 8
IM Lake Placid 2011-07-24 00:57:18 05:08:12 03:08:23 09:19:03 09:20:41 09:29:40 1
IM St. George 2011-05-07 09:30:33 09:20:18 09:31:37 1
IM Arizona 2010-11-21 00:56:34 04:59:34 03:18:46 09:19:10 09:31:11 09:34:30 5
IM Canada 2010-08-29 00:53:13 05:07:26 03:13:05 09:17:17 09:25:41 09:35:27 2
IM St. George 2010-05-01 00:51:19 05:20:29 03:19:01 09:35:26 09:26:01 09:39:03 1
IM Coeur d’Alene 2009-06-21 00:58:35 05:12:42 03:19:08 09:34:24 09:43:56 09:45:37 3
IM Canada 2008-08-24 00:55:01 05:11:28 03:29:32 09:39:51 09:50:46 09:46:43 3
IM Coeur d’Alene 2008-06-22 00:58:23 05:16:23 03:20:26 09:38:58 09:42:28 09:42:28 1

Results for Caitlin Snow (USA)

Race Date Swim Bike Run Total Adjusted Rating Rank in Race
IM Hawaii 2012-10-13 00:57:43 05:30:47 03:03:06 09:36:18 09:25:09 09:34:13 9
IM Texas 2012-05-19 00:55:32 05:08:54 02:51:46 09:01:32 09:10:14 09:35:47 2
IM Hawaii 2011-10-15 00:58:47 05:20:57 02:53:50 09:18:11 09:18:09 09:40:24 9
IM Coeur d’Alene 2011-06-26 00:59:14 05:22:27 03:03:12 09:29:18 09:30:06 09:44:25 2
IM Hawaii 2010-10-09 00:57:50 05:27:40 02:56:04 09:26:42 09:26:12 09:47:15 8
IM Lake Placid 2010-07-25 00:57:22 05:37:30 03:03:37 09:44:18 09:47:54 09:51:18 2
IM St. George 2010-05-01 00:56:22 05:54:17 03:10:15 10:07:26 09:57:29 09:52:04 3
IM Hawaii 2009-10-10 00:58:50 05:32:52 03:14:41 09:51:59 09:38:41 09:50:39 14
IM Lake Placid 2009-07-26 00:55:11 05:43:10 02:57:05 09:41:21 09:40:23 09:54:04 2
IM Hawaii 2008-10-11 00:59:01 05:36:57 03:02:00 09:43:27 09:35:41 09:59:07 12
IM Lake Placid 2008-07-20 00:53:43 05:52:16 02:59:55 09:51:00 09:48:17 10:08:52 1
IM Florida 2007-11-03 00:55:31 05:28:10 03:18:43 09:46:34 10:07:47 10:22:01 14
IM Lake Placid 2007-07-22 00:56:04 06:09:41 03:33:36 10:44:32 10:37:27 10:37:27 13

Results for Kathleen Calkins (USA)

Race Date Swim Bike Run Total Adjusted Rating Rank in Race
IM Los Cabos 2013-03-17 01:02:01 05:22:17 03:17:31 09:46:55 09:43:30 09:36:56 5
IM Cozumel 2012-11-25 01:05:07 05:03:40 03:12:42 09:25:58 09:31:22 09:34:17 5
IM Wisconsin 2012-09-09 00:54:46 05:21:37 03:23:55 09:48:13 09:43:31 09:36:00 4
IM Arizona 2011-11-19 00:57:00 04:54:46 03:16:29 09:12:40 09:26:31 09:26:31 7

Results for Ashley Clifford (USA)

Race Date Swim Bike Run Total Adjusted Rating Rank in Race
IM Texas 2013-05-18 00:54:32 05:26:36 03:10:39 09:36:51 09:45:34 09:41:18 4
IM Los Cabos 2013-03-17 00:56:24 05:38:10 03:16:09 09:55:50 09:52:22 09:38:57 9
IM Florida 2012-11-03 00:56:41 05:07:51 02:57:31 09:07:34 09:24:02 09:24:02 3

Results for Candice Hammond (NZL)

Race Date Swim Bike Run Total Adjusted Rating Rank in Race
IM New Zealand 2013-03-02 01:02:37 05:15:00 03:13:20 09:35:52 09:39:41 09:42:53 3
Challenge Wanaka 2013-01-19 01:06:52 05:23:07 03:09:43 09:44:22 09:38:50 09:43:43 2
IM Cairns 2012-06-02 01:00:53 05:07:22 03:10:26 09:24:45 09:27:51 09:45:25 3
Challenge Wanaka 2012-01-21 01:00:08 05:23:27 03:26:38 09:58:39 09:50:58 09:52:32 4
Challenge Henley 2011-09-18 00:58:37 05:26:14 03:28:06 10:00:39 09:59:04 09:53:26 4
IM Cairns 2011-06-05 00:57:26 05:11:26 03:29:54 09:43:03 09:47:19 09:47:19 4

Results for Bree Wee (USA)

Race Date Swim Bike Run Total Adjusted Rating Rank in Race
IM Western Australia 2012-12-09 00:54:04 04:58:59 03:26:59 09:24:40 09:38:00 09:47:03 4
IM Louisville 2012-08-26 00:56:21 05:12:18 03:22:03 09:36:27 09:41:41 09:49:10 1
IM Florida 2011-11-05 00:54:57 04:56:26 03:36:50 09:34:41 09:57:07 09:51:12 6
IM Hawaii 2010-10-09 00:57:54 05:24:28 03:24:48 09:52:23 09:51:51 09:49:34 22
IM Louisville 2010-08-29 00:55:32 05:22:21 03:26:17 09:50:35 09:46:27 09:49:00 3
IM South Africa 2010-04-25 00:52:43 05:07:34 03:45:08 09:49:19 09:54:59 09:49:49 8
IM Cozumel 2009-11-29 00:46:39 05:17:18 03:37:32 09:45:24 09:49:44 09:47:40 4
IM Hawaii 2009-10-10 00:55:47 05:24:06 03:33:04 09:57:49 09:44:23 09:46:27 17
IM Florida 2008-11-01 00:53:16 05:05:50 03:23:00 09:26:46 09:49:09 09:49:09 4

Results for Christine Anderson (USA)

Race Date Swim Bike Run Total Adjusted Rating Rank in Race
IM Texas 2013-05-18 00:57:27 05:09:19 03:32:51 09:44:51 09:53:42 09:53:51 5
IM Los Cabos 2013-03-17 00:56:34 05:34:19 03:22:13 09:57:29 09:54:00 09:54:00 10

Results for Uli Bromme (USA)

Race Date Swim Bike Run Total Adjusted Rating Rank in Race
IM Arizona 2012-11-18 01:09:56 05:09:22 04:03:58 10:28:42 10:41:23 10:04:52 22
IM Mont Tremblant 2012-08-18 01:04:38 05:14:35 03:17:32 09:42:45 09:54:26 09:58:03 2
IM St. George 2012-04-29 01:09:10 06:10:21 03:29:40 10:53:20 09:57:56 09:58:49 3
IM Hawaii 2011-10-15 01:12:51 05:26:30 03:33:25 10:19:09 10:19:06 09:59:01 21
IM Germany 2011-07-24 00:57:27 05:18:30 03:23:16 09:44:10 09:51:12 09:53:52 11
IM St. George 2011-05-07 10:10:48 09:59:49 09:54:43 3
IM Arizona 2010-11-21 01:00:08 05:12:13 03:14:17 09:31:22 09:43:38 09:52:33 9
IM Canada 2010-08-29 00:59:16 05:32:20 03:10:34 09:46:19 09:55:10 09:57:50 7
IM Arizona 2009-11-22 01:00:45 05:16:44 03:22:40 09:47:44 10:01:09 10:01:09 10

Results for April Gellatly (USA)

Race Date Swim Bike Run Total Adjusted Rating Rank in Race
IM Texas 2013-05-18 00:59:01 05:22:36 03:34:11 10:01:54 10:11:00 10:10:22 7
IM Los Cabos 2013-03-17 00:56:39 05:26:08 03:24:21 09:52:36 09:49:09 10:10:13 8
IM Cozumel 2012-11-25 01:03:38 05:16:01 03:33:10 09:57:59 10:03:42 10:16:33 16
IM Louisville 2012-08-26 00:59:33 05:12:42 03:50:39 10:09:45 10:15:17 10:21:25 5
IM Lake Placid 2010-07-25 01:01:31 05:40:46 03:41:02 10:28:52 10:32:45 10:24:45 12
IM Cozumel 2009-11-29 00:50:59 05:34:51 03:30:39 10:01:40 10:06:07 10:21:20 6
IM Louisville 2009-08-28 00:59:55 05:29:09 03:45:24 10:20:00 10:22:26 10:29:38 8
IM Lake Placid 2009-07-26 00:56:49 05:45:14 03:50:54 10:38:05 10:37:01 10:37:01 10
IM Arizona 2008-11-23 00:57:54 05:25:42 07:07:21 13:38:21 13:53:47 13:53:47 16

Results for Olesya Prystayko (UKR)

Race Date Swim Bike Run Total Adjusted Rating Rank in Race
IM Texas 2013-05-18 01:01:26 05:12:14 03:48:16 10:08:49 10:18:01 10:18:01 9

Results for Trish Deim (USA)

Race Date Swim Bike Run Total Adjusted Rating Rank in Race
IM Los Cabos 2013-03-17 01:10:05 05:33:41 03:40:44 10:29:25 10:25:45 10:23:46 15
IM Arizona 2012-11-18 01:05:59 05:00:56 03:45:13 09:57:05 10:09:08 10:23:00 16
IM Canada 2012-08-26 01:10:02 05:19:23 03:47:48 10:21:48 10:26:38 10:30:35 7
IM Coeur d’Alene 2012-06-24 01:06:50 05:36:04 03:45:59 10:34:32 10:34:44 10:34:44 7

Results for Natasha Van der Merwe (USA)

Race Date Swim Bike Run Total Adjusted Rating Rank in Race
IM Texas 2013-05-18 01:08:25 05:11:20 04:31:23 10:57:43 11:07:40 10:44:20 11
IM Florida 2012-11-03 01:09:23 04:54:05 03:50:00 09:59:06 10:17:07 10:17:07 16

Results for Julie Van Veelen (CAN)

Race Date Swim Bike Run Total Adjusted Rating Rank in Race

Results for Danielle Kehoe (USA)

Race Date Swim Bike Run Total Adjusted Rating Rank in Race

IM France 2013 – Predictions

Previous Year’s TOP 3

Male Race Results

Rank Name Nation Swim Bike Run Time
1 Frederik Van Lierde BEL 00:47:22 04:35:42 02:53:39 08:21:51
2 Paul Amey GBR 00:48:46 04:55:50 02:52:15 08:42:48
3 Francois Chabaud FRA 00:48:53 04:48:21 03:02:02 08:45:23

Female Race Results

Rank Name Nation Swim Bike Run Time
1 Tine Deckers BEL 00:57:18 05:10:03 03:02:31 09:16:05
2 Gina Crawford NZL 00:52:10 05:20:04 03:07:14 09:26:25
3 Kristin Moeller GER 01:02:47 05:27:58 03:00:29 09:37:07

Course Records

Leg Gender Record Athlete Date
Total overall 08:21:51 Frederik Van Lierde 2012-06-24
Swim overall 00:44:18 Gilles Reboul 2006-06-24
Bike overall 04:35:42 Frederik Van Lierde 2012-06-24
Run overall 02:42:08 Marcel Zamora 2010-06-27
Total female 09:16:05 Tine Deckers 2012-06-24
Swim female 00:48:59 Edith Niederfriniger 2006-06-24
Bike female 05:05:22 Christel Robin 2009-06-28
Run female 03:00:29 Kristin Moeller 2012-06-24

Course Rating

The Course Rating for IM France is 05:41 with a pretty slow bike in the France Alps.

Race Adjustments for IM France

Year Adjustment Swim Adj. Bike Adj. Run Adj. # of Athletes Rating Swim Rating Bike Rating Run Rating
2005 n/a n/a n/a n/a 1 n/a n/a n/a n/a
2006 11:33 06:39 -01:10 03:33 13 11:33 06:39 -01:10 03:33
2007 05:27 00:28 00:07 09:44 32 08:30 03:34 -00:32 06:38
2008 03:26 -00:45 -01:58 02:30 32 06:49 02:08 -01:00 05:15
2009 06:13 -02:07 00:27 06:00 27 06:40 01:04 -00:39 05:26
2010 10:47 -02:19 -01:20 08:32 25 07:29 00:23 -00:47 06:04
2011 00:31 -00:28 -02:50 04:23 27 06:20 00:15 -01:07 05:47
2012 01:50 00:08 -04:08 05:29 18 05:41 00:14 -01:33 05:44

KPR points and Price Money

IM France has 2000 KPR points for the winner. It has a total price purse of 75k$.

Male Race Participants

Rank Name Nation Expected Time Rating Rank Swim Rating Bike Rating Run Rating
1 Bart Aernouts BEL 08:21:12 08:26:32 9 00:54:29 04:43:42 02:47:28
2 Frederik Van Lierde BEL 08:22:38 08:27:59 12 00:47:44 04:38:13 02:58:15
3 Clemente Alonso-McKernan ESP 08:24:30 08:29:52 15 00:47:34 04:46:14 02:50:31
4 Paul Amey GBR 08:34:44 08:40:13 41 00:49:50 04:44:50 03:03:24
5 Mathias Hecht SWI 08:34:56 08:40:25 43 00:47:47 04:43:20 03:08:35
6 Herve Faure FRA 08:40:08 08:45:40 68 00:50:52 04:49:07 03:01:14
7 Stanislav Krylov RUS 08:44:52 08:50:27 99 00:47:05 04:47:38 03:10:49
8 Bruno Clerbout BEL 08:52:47 08:58:27 133 00:51:01 04:59:18 02:59:49
9 Sergio Marques POR 08:54:41 09:00:22 154 00:55:29 05:00:31 03:00:20
10 Christian Nitschke GER 08:55:34 09:01:16 156 00:55:28 04:57:13 03:06:12
11 Mike Schifferle SUI 08:58:56 09:04:40 178 01:00:45 04:52:18 03:07:04
12 Olivier Marceau SUI 08:59:19 09:05:03 179 00:49:22 04:47:29 03:18:34
13 Michael Wetzel GER 09:02:40 09:08:26 196 00:55:28 04:58:28 03:10:18
14 Olivier Cardoen BEL 09:07:13 09:13:02 225 00:54:13 04:53:06 03:19:15
15 Jose Jeuland FRA 09:08:15 09:14:05 229 00:52:47 05:02:42 03:09:58
16 Paul Hawkins GBR 09:14:08 09:20:02 273 00:58:31 05:28:52 03:20:25
17 Anthony Pannier FRA 09:15:09 09:21:03 284 00:47:28 04:45:53 03:41:21
18 Teemu Kyllonen FIN 09:26:01 09:32:02 342 01:02:37 04:58:43 03:24:41
19 Pierre Dorez FRA 09:41:57 09:48:08 435 00:52:38 04:47:51 04:01:41
20 Ivan Tejero Vazquez ESP 09:45:48 09:52:02 455 00:49:33 05:17:05 03:41:46
21 Luca De Paolis ITA 09:46:09 09:52:23 458 01:02:30 04:52:46 03:45:39
22 Ari Saukko FIN 10:17:24 10:23:58 599 00:58:04 05:04:27 04:16:29
23 Ivan Kharin RUS 11:06:13 11:13:18 674 01:09:33 05:12:27 04:14:29
  Reto Stutz SUI n/a unrated n/a unrated unrated unrated
  Pascal Richter GER n/a unrated n/a unrated unrated unrated
  Ivan Jezko SVK n/a unrated n/a unrated unrated unrated
  Henrik Oftedal NOR n/a unrated n/a unrated unrated unrated
  Rod De Kanel FRA n/a unrated n/a unrated unrated unrated

Female Race Participants

Rank Name Nation Expected Time Rating Swim Rating Bike Rating Run Rating Rank
1 Mary Beth Ellis USA 09:09:30 09:15:21 00:51:11 05:08:38 03:12:38 3
2 Lucie Reed CZE 09:29:10 09:35:13 00:49:45 05:14:44 03:27:12 31
3 Lisa Ribes USA 09:41:08 09:47:19 01:05:04 05:19:12 03:19:43 64
4 Jeanne Collonge FRA 09:56:23 10:02:44 00:56:09 05:29:17 03:34:48 106

Winning Odds

Male Race Participants

Last year’s winner Frederik Van Lierde is back to defend his title. He is my favorite even if great runner Bart Aernouts has a better rating (but a lot fewer races). Other contenders are Clemente Alonso-McKernan (was third in Germany last year), Mathias Hecht (always close to the front of the race) and IM Texas winner Paul Amey:

  • Frederik Van Lierde: 44% (1-1)
  • Clemente Alonso-McKernan: 30% (2-1)
  • Bart Aernouts: 8% (11-1)
  • Mathias Hecht: 8% (11-1)
  • Paul Amey: 7% (14-1)
  • Herve Faure: 2% (54-1)

Female Race Participants

The clear favorite on the women’s side is Mary Beth Ellis who is still unbeaten outside of Kona:

  • Mary Beth Ellis: 65% (1-1)
  • Lucie Reed: 24% (3-1)
  • Lisa Ribes: 6% (15-1)
  • Jeanne Collonge: 2% (47-1)

Results for Bart Aernouts (BEL)

Race Date Swim Bike Run Total Adjusted Rating Rank in Race
IM Hawaii 2012-10-13 01:00:15 04:45:11 02:47:10 08:37:31 08:27:30 08:26:32 11
IM Melbourne 2012-03-24 00:55:25 04:35:46 02:42:44 08:18:17 08:25:24 08:25:24 10

Results for Frederik Van Lierde (BEL)

Race Date Swim Bike Run Total Adjusted Rating Rank in Race
IM Hawaii 2012-10-13 00:51:36 04:35:25 02:52:49 08:24:09 08:14:24 08:27:59 3
IM France 2012-06-24 00:47:22 04:35:42 02:53:39 08:21:51 08:23:33 08:30:44 1
IM Melbourne 2012-03-24 00:47:25 04:27:40 02:42:46 08:01:26 08:08:19 08:32:23 3
IM France 2011-06-26 00:50:10 04:42:00 02:51:08 08:28:30 08:28:59 08:38:51 1
IM Hawaii 2010-10-09 00:51:34 04:39:23 02:56:27 08:31:43 08:31:16 08:41:36 14
IM France 2010-06-27 00:49:56 04:48:37 02:47:14 08:30:39 08:40:51 08:44:37 2
IM Hawaii 2009-10-10 00:50:59 04:37:35 03:35:49 09:09:38 08:57:17 08:46:00 34
IM Austria 2009-07-05 00:47:31 04:32:25 03:01:43 08:26:58 08:41:22 08:41:10 5
IM Arizona 2008-11-23 00:47:58 04:35:59 03:06:48 08:34:34 08:44:16 08:41:01 9
IM New Zealand 2008-03-01 00:47:09 04:43:43 02:56:19 08:31:35 08:37:01 08:37:01 2

Results for Clemente Alonso-McKernan (ESP)

Race Date Swim Bike Run Total Adjusted Rating Rank in Race
IM Germany 2012-07-08 00:44:22 04:40:07 02:45:10 08:14:04 08:23:11 08:29:52 3
IM South Africa 2012-04-22 00:54:53 04:48:52 02:46:15 08:34:45 08:21:46 08:31:51 1
Challenge Barcelona 2011-10-02 00:48:26 04:27:31 02:55:29 08:15:25 08:24:11 08:35:46 1
IM Switzerland 2011-07-10 00:51:04 04:51:38 02:41:58 08:27:56 08:36:39 08:41:30 2
IM Hawaii 2009-10-10 00:51:04 04:49:41 02:58:29 08:48:53 08:37:00 08:45:40 17
IM France 2009-06-28 00:51:04 04:58:59 02:52:28 08:48:59 08:55:04 08:55:04 4

Results for Paul Amey (GBR)

Race Date Swim Bike Run Total Adjusted Rating Rank in Race
IM Texas 2013-05-18 00:54:54 04:29:07 02:56:18 08:25:06 08:32:44 08:40:13 1
IM Arizona 2012-11-18 00:48:47 04:23:48 03:33:10 08:49:54 09:00:35 08:42:25 21
IM France 2012-06-24 00:48:46 04:55:50 02:52:15 08:42:48 08:44:35 08:36:13 2
IM Arizona 2011-11-19 00:48:47 04:22:37 02:45:55 08:01:29 08:13:33 08:32:35 2
IM France 2011-06-26 00:51:30 04:55:41 02:54:57 08:47:04 08:47:35 08:43:37 4
IM Arizona 2008-11-23 00:50:23 04:46:16 02:46:53 08:27:20 08:36:54 08:39:22 7
IM Hawaii 2008-10-11 00:51:45 04:56:53 02:56:02 08:48:58 08:41:56 08:41:56 16

Results for Mathias Hecht (SWI)

Race Date Swim Bike Run Total Adjusted Rating Rank in Race
IM Arizona 2012-11-18 00:48:34 04:41:08 03:05:46 08:41:15 08:51:46 08:40:25 14
IM Switzerland 2012-07-15 00:50:24 04:42:50 03:05:36 08:42:08 08:47:47 08:38:45 3
IM Texas 2012-05-19 00:48:54 04:18:17 03:11:29 08:22:58 08:31:03 08:37:23 3
IM Switzerland 2011-07-10 00:51:11 04:35:20 03:01:59 08:30:26 08:39:12 08:38:27 3
IM St. George 2011-05-07       08:32:03 08:22:51 08:38:21 1
IM New Zealand 2011-03-05 00:47:19 04:48:22 03:04:19 08:45:36 08:42:28 08:40:59 3
IM South Africa 2010-04-25 00:47:44 04:33:52 03:03:18 08:28:53 08:33:47 08:40:42 2
IM Hawaii 2009-10-10 00:50:54 04:37:32 03:04:47 08:37:29 08:25:51 08:41:56 13
IM Germany 2009-07-05       08:11:56 08:32:14 08:44:50 5
IM Australia 2009-04-05 00:48:12 04:48:58 03:30:51 09:08:03 09:10:43 08:47:21 11
IM Hawaii 2008-10-11 00:51:42 04:36:55 03:01:13 08:34:02 08:27:12 08:42:00 8
IM Lake Placid 2008-07-20 00:48:15 04:55:42 03:07:07 08:56:33 08:54:05 08:45:41 3
IM Australia 2008-04-06 00:47:44 04:46:09 03:08:54 08:42:47 08:42:54 08:43:07 3
IM Switzerland 2007-06-24 00:48:13 04:34:12 03:08:36 08:32:47 08:48:27 08:43:12 2
IM Hawaii 2006-10-21 00:53:58 04:47:49 03:07:46 08:54:16 08:49:26 08:40:50 33
IM Switzerland 2006-07-02 00:47:44 04:40:11 02:56:19 08:26:01 08:37:12 08:35:45 1
IM Western Australia 2005-11-27 00:50:36 04:45:51 02:55:47 08:32:14 08:34:02 08:34:02 3

Results for Herve Faure (FRA)

Race Date Swim Bike Run Total Adjusted Rating Rank in Race
IM South Africa 2013-04-14 00:52:47 04:34:20 03:02:48 08:34:20 08:39:39 08:45:40 6
IM Lanzarote 2010-05-22 00:50:23 05:07:02 03:01:28 09:05:28 08:58:27 08:50:01 7
IM France 2009-06-28 00:53:16 04:48:35 02:54:26 08:40:55 08:46:54 08:46:09 2
IM France 2008-06-22 00:50:37 04:53:23 02:52:14 08:41:40 08:44:59 08:45:44 2
IM France 2006-06-24 00:44:21 04:57:48 02:48:57 08:36:04 08:47:06 08:46:15 2
IM Hawaii 2005-10-15 00:54:26 04:46:22 03:00:23 08:45:45 08:42:37 08:45:42 22
IM France 2005-06-19 00:50:27 04:57:51 03:00:48 08:49:06 08:49:06 08:49:06 1

Results for Stanislav Krylov (RUS)

Race Date Swim Bike Run Total Adjusted Rating Rank in Race
Challenge Barcelona 2012-09-30 00:47:54 04:34:57 03:06:04 08:31:22 08:50:27 08:50:27 9

Results for Bruno Clerbout (BEL)

Race Date Swim Bike Run Total Adjusted Rating Rank in Race
IM Los Cabos 2013-03-17 00:51:42 05:11:45 02:55:03 09:02:50 08:59:40 08:58:27 12
IM Hawaii 2012-10-13 00:55:22 04:55:32 02:51:54 08:46:44 08:36:33 08:58:15 16
IM France 2012-06-24 00:51:34 05:01:10 02:48:16 08:46:54 08:48:41 09:02:05 4
IM Cozumel 2011-11-27 00:51:17 04:42:14 02:59:18 08:47:07 08:57:12 09:04:40 8
IM Wales 2011-09-11 00:47:11 05:22:33 02:49:11 09:08:00 08:38:09 09:06:08 3
IM St. George 2011-05-07       09:37:12 09:26:50 09:12:27 14
IM Arizona 2010-11-21 00:51:56 04:52:27 03:24:11 09:13:33 09:25:26 09:08:45 22
IM France 2010-06-27 00:52:18 05:01:10 02:54:28 08:53:15 09:03:54 09:03:54 4
IM Hawaii 2009-10-10 00:55:06 04:54:12 03:01:01 08:55:11 08:43:09 09:03:54 24
IM France 2009-06-28 00:53:16 05:05:58 02:53:10 08:58:02 09:04:13 09:12:09 6
IM France 2008-06-22 00:51:12 05:12:31 03:13:32 09:22:52 09:26:27 09:16:45 11
IM France 2007-06-24 00:50:20 04:56:40 02:53:59 08:46:30 08:51:49 09:09:23 4
IM France 2006-06-24 00:47:38 05:18:25 03:09:08 09:20:48 09:32:47 09:32:47 9

Results for Sergio Marques (POR)

Race Date Swim Bike Run Total Adjusted Rating Rank in Race
IM Hawaii 2012-10-13 01:01:29 05:27:24 03:05:10 09:38:58 09:27:46 09:00:22 37
IM Sweden 2012-08-18 00:53:17 04:31:35 02:48:20 08:16:21 08:42:44 08:58:07 7
IM Switzerland 2012-07-15 00:55:40 04:54:05 02:50:45 08:43:12 08:48:52 08:59:25 4
IM France 2012-06-24 00:55:26 05:02:02 02:45:39 08:48:55 08:50:43 09:00:23 5
IM Lanzarote 2012-05-19 00:54:42 05:10:14 02:51:33 09:02:58 08:46:17 09:01:19 3
IM Melbourne 2012-03-24 00:56:00 04:41:28 03:12:23 08:54:14 09:01:52 09:02:54 20
IM Hawaii 2011-10-15 01:04:50 05:10:46 02:58:22 09:18:26 09:18:24 09:03:00 33
IM Germany 2011-07-24 00:54:17 04:54:44 03:04:49 08:57:53 09:04:22 09:01:20 16
IM Switzerland 2011-07-10 00:58:03 04:57:03 02:50:48 08:48:01 08:57:05 09:00:59 6
IM France 2011-06-26 00:54:20 05:01:38 02:48:32 08:49:55 08:50:26 09:01:29 5
IM Texas 2011-05-21 01:01:20 04:38:38 03:04:42 08:48:57 08:58:01 09:03:04 12
IM South Africa 2011-04-10 00:56:00 04:41:44 03:27:55 09:09:30 09:20:23 09:03:52 15
IM Louisville 2010-08-29 00:57:30 04:53:07 03:08:56 09:05:04 09:01:15 09:00:49 5
IM St. George 2010-05-01 00:54:40 05:05:50 03:07:29 09:11:10 09:02:08 09:00:44 7
IM Hawaii 2009-10-10 01:02:50 05:31:26 02:59:17 09:41:02 09:27:58 09:00:27 60
IM Lanzarote 2009-05-23 00:55:56 05:16:41 02:49:13 09:08:38 08:59:27 08:54:47 8
IM Hawaii 2008-10-11 00:59:07 05:31:38 03:09:32 09:47:16 09:39:27 08:53:44 57
IM Louisville 2008-08-27 00:58:25 04:52:26 03:04:14 08:59:16 08:50:26 08:43:00 3
IM Florida 2007-11-03 00:53:26 04:40:45 02:46:00 08:23:49 08:42:02 08:40:50 2
IM Austria 2007-07-08 00:53:05 04:51:06 02:47:38 08:36:05 08:45:25 08:40:28 7
IM Hawaii 2006-10-21 01:01:42 04:50:31 02:43:55 08:40:32 08:35:49 08:38:36 19
IM Arizona 2006-04-09 00:53:35 04:45:36 02:48:04 08:31:26 08:33:56 08:39:50 5
IM Hawaii 2005-10-15 01:02:32 04:45:52 02:51:11 08:43:45 08:40:38 08:43:29 20
IM Arizona 2005-04-09 00:55:22 04:53:18 02:54:14 08:46:47 08:46:47 08:46:47 3

Results for Christian Nitschke (GER)

Race Date Swim Bike Run Total Adjusted Rating Rank in Race
IM Arizona 2011-11-19 00:58:40 04:47:28 03:09:18 08:59:56 09:13:28 09:01:16 29
IM Lanzarote 2011-05-21 00:51:21 05:10:55 02:56:23 09:05:34 08:54:57 08:53:35 7
Challenge Barcelona 2010-10-03 00:55:13 04:36:40 03:02:34 08:37:53 08:51:56 08:51:56 12

Results for Mike Schifferle (SUI)

Race Date Swim Bike Run Total Adjusted Rating Rank in Race
IM Texas 2013-05-18 01:04:22 04:33:37 03:10:37 08:56:06 09:04:12 09:04:40 9
IM Hawaii 2012-10-13 01:07:58 04:56:08 02:56:09 09:06:47 08:56:12 09:04:42 29
IM New York 2012-08-11 00:45:48 04:45:40 03:06:56 08:45:02 08:51:56 09:05:13 12
IM Switzerland 2012-07-15 01:02:09 04:47:39 02:56:12 08:50:16 08:56:01 09:06:02 6
IM Germany 2012-07-08 00:58:09 04:47:23 02:53:06 08:45:12 08:54:53 09:06:40 12
IM France 2012-06-24 01:00:11 04:57:22 02:58:22 09:07:08 09:08:59 09:07:28 9
IM Regensburg 2012-06-17 01:00:24 04:40:13 02:50:52 08:36:53 08:42:28 09:07:22 3
IM Texas 2012-05-19 01:02:52 04:41:43 03:00:06 08:51:57 09:00:29 09:09:17 12
IM St. George 2012-04-29 01:04:31 06:30:15 03:13:28 10:54:44 09:59:13 09:09:59 9
IM Cozumel 2011-11-27 00:59:39 04:32:12 03:14:40 09:01:18 09:11:39 09:05:43 12
IM Arizona 2011-11-19 00:58:55 04:31:36 03:05:31 08:41:48 08:54:53 09:05:13 20
IM Hawaii 2011-10-15 01:07:05 04:37:31 02:59:09 08:49:01 08:48:59 09:06:09 26
IM Wales 2011-09-11 00:55:32 05:15:27 03:00:47 09:23:55 08:53:12 09:07:48 7
IM Germany 2011-07-24 01:00:30 04:46:31 03:01:18 08:54:20 09:00:46 09:09:19 15
IM Switzerland 2011-07-10 01:01:55 04:48:57 03:00:19 08:53:57 09:03:07 09:10:16 8
IM Brasil 2011-05-29       08:53:07 09:15:39 09:11:08 10
IM South Africa 2011-04-10 01:04:29 04:36:19 03:17:53 09:04:02 09:14:49 09:10:32 14
IM Arizona 2010-11-21 00:59:58 04:31:31 03:11:46 08:47:53 08:59:13 09:09:54 11
IM Florida 2010-11-06 01:00:42 04:45:31 03:13:54 09:09:02 09:20:33 09:11:32 21
IM Wisconsin 2010-09-12 01:02:00 04:44:49 03:05:08 08:58:35 08:58:18 09:09:55 7
IM Regensburg 2010-08-01 01:01:30 04:33:33 03:09:53 08:49:42 09:03:03 09:12:20 8
IM Switzerland 2010-07-25       08:43:51 08:50:55 09:14:40 8
IM Austria 2010-07-04 00:57:29 04:44:36 03:07:35 08:54:57 09:05:39 09:22:36 17
IM Switzerland 2009-07-12 01:04:21 04:40:26 03:05:12 08:54:13 09:06:13 09:30:54 12
IM Lanzarote 2007-05-20 01:00:19 05:17:48 03:34:21 10:00:35 09:47:21 09:45:21 20
IM UK 2006-08-16 00:53:30 05:08:41 03:27:59 09:34:59 09:45:05 09:44:25 14
IM Switzerland 2006-07-02 00:56:29 04:54:43 03:25:29 09:19:56 09:32:19 09:44:01 15
IM Switzerland 2005-07-15 00:57:58 05:12:05 03:50:02 10:03:46 09:59:28 09:59:28 24

Results for Olivier Marceau (SUI)

Race Date Swim Bike Run Total Adjusted Rating Rank in Race
IM France 2010-06-27 00:52:17 04:55:01 02:59:40 08:52:25 09:03:03 09:05:03 3
IM France 2009-06-28 00:51:11 04:45:00 03:11:50 08:52:53 08:59:01 09:06:26 5
IM South Africa 2009-04-05 00:46:57 04:31:35 03:36:44 08:59:09 09:14:22 09:14:22 8

Results for Michael Wetzel (GER)

Race Date Swim Bike Run Total Adjusted Rating Rank in Race
IM Lanzarote 2013-05-18 00:53:46 05:15:15 03:04:02 09:19:16 09:00:46 09:08:26 6
IM South Africa 2013-04-14 00:57:44 04:53:13 03:10:11 09:05:44 09:11:23 09:09:39 14
IM Arizona 2012-11-18 00:57:10 04:52:00 03:07:16 09:00:52 09:11:47 09:09:20 24
IM Wales 2012-09-16 00:51:18 05:20:47 02:55:28 09:15:12 09:13:11 09:08:51 6
IM New York 2012-08-11 00:45:07 04:52:58 03:09:40 08:51:26 08:58:25 09:07:51 14
IM Switzerland 2012-07-15 00:59:07 04:52:52 03:06:57 09:01:31 09:07:23 09:10:35 10
IM South Africa 2012-04-22 01:05:31 05:04:58 03:09:47 09:26:33 09:12:15 09:11:51 12
IM Cozumel 2011-11-27 00:54:55 04:45:45 03:11:59 09:07:02 09:17:29 09:11:37 15
IM Germany 2011-07-24 00:54:07 04:54:58 03:05:39 08:58:40 09:05:09 09:05:09 17

Results for Olivier Cardoen (BEL)

Race Date Swim Bike Run Total Adjusted Rating Rank in Race
IM Cozumel 2012-11-25 00:58:49 04:46:16 03:18:35 09:07:48 09:13:02 09:13:02 18

Results for Jose Jeuland (FRA)

Race Date Swim Bike Run Total Adjusted Rating Rank in Race
IM France 2012-06-24 00:50:35 05:02:23 02:54:30 08:53:52 08:55:41 09:14:05 6
IM France 2011-06-26 00:51:32 05:05:03 03:19:01 09:21:08 09:21:40 09:18:42 11
IM France 2010-06-27 00:54:47 05:04:43 03:00:42 09:05:46 09:16:40 09:18:01 6
IM Lake Placid 2009-07-26 00:52:54 05:18:08 03:22:51 09:39:51 09:38:53 09:18:18 13
Challenge Roth 2009-07-12 00:51:51 04:35:01 02:54:43 08:26:51 08:47:26 09:14:19 14
IM France 2009-06-28 00:56:18 05:21:30 02:52:31 09:18:38 09:25:03 09:20:40 10
IM Arizona 2008-11-23 00:52:26 04:54:50 02:57:35 08:51:29 09:01:30 09:19:20 14
IM France 2008-06-22 00:53:52 04:52:51 03:01:06 08:53:34 08:56:58 09:25:28 4
IM Wisconsin 2007-09-09 00:59:17 05:03:25 03:50:43 09:59:52 09:57:45 09:37:58 19
IM France 2007-06-24 00:54:34 05:04:52 03:03:27 09:09:14 09:14:47 09:27:19 9
IM Lanzarote 2007-05-20 00:57:02 05:31:14 03:18:17 09:53:16 09:40:12 09:40:12 17

Results for Paul Hawkins (GBR)

Race Date Swim Bike Run Total Adjusted Rating Rank in Race
IM Wales 2012-09-16 00:47:18 05:27:45 03:00:24 09:23:25 09:21:22 09:20:02 10
IM UK 2012-07-22 00:52:39 05:02:38 03:11:18 09:10:50 09:06:03 09:19:29 3
IM UK 2011-07-31 00:48:02 05:14:17 02:57:50 09:03:41 09:12:16 09:28:24 7
IM France 2010-06-27 01:26:28 07:20:24 05:09:34 14:16:23 14:33:30 09:44:33 19
IM UK 2009-08-02 00:57:42 05:14:37 03:10:13 09:28:35 09:30:03 09:44:33 10
IM UK 2008-09-07 00:51:33 05:20:08 03:51:03 10:06:40 10:03:20 11:52:20 12
IM Switzerland 2007-06-24 01:22:10 07:03:42 05:23:34 14:00:55 14:26:36 14:29:43 25
IM France 2006-06-24 01:08:44 07:32:31 05:17:00 14:15:35 14:33:53 14:33:53 23

Results for Anthony Pannier (FRA)

Race Date Swim Bike Run Total Adjusted Rating Rank in Race
IM France 2012-06-24 00:47:22 04:50:06 03:35:43 09:19:09 09:21:03 09:21:03 12

Results for Teemu Kyllonen (FIN)

Race Date Swim Bike Run Total Adjusted Rating Rank in Race
IM Sweden 2012-08-18 01:02:26 04:37:24 03:17:19 09:03:10 09:32:02 09:32:02 19

Results for Pierre Dorez (FRA)

Race Date Swim Bike Run Total Adjusted Rating Rank in Race
IM France 2012-06-24 00:52:31 04:52:05 03:55:32 09:46:09 09:48:08 09:48:08 14

Results for Ivan Tejero Vazquez (ESP)

Race Date Swim Bike Run Total Adjusted Rating Rank in Race
IM Los Cabos 2013-03-17 00:51:44 05:18:08 03:19:52 09:34:27 09:31:06 09:52:02 16
IM Cozumel 2012-11-25 00:52:11 05:16:42 07:59:01 14:12:34 14:20:43 10:01:35 35
IM Wales 2011-09-11 00:46:23 05:45:48 03:23:57 10:07:57 09:34:50 10:01:35 15
IM Germany 2011-07-24 00:49:12 05:07:34 03:46:55 09:49:31 09:56:37 10:12:46 25
IM Lanzarote 2011-05-21 00:47:48 05:27:13 04:12:45 10:35:24 10:23:02 10:23:37 14
IM Lanzarote 2009-05-23 00:50:31 05:48:58 03:45:51 10:35:18 10:24:40 10:24:40 30

Results for Luca De Paolis (ITA)

Race Date Swim Bike Run Total Adjusted Rating Rank in Race
IM Cozumel 2011-11-27 01:00:42 04:39:53 03:44:27 09:41:16 09:52:23 09:52:23 27

Results for Ari Saukko (FIN)

Race Date Swim Bike Run Total Adjusted Rating Rank in Race
IM Sweden 2012-08-18 00:57:54 04:42:43 04:07:15 09:52:29 10:23:58 10:23:58 20

Results for Ivan Kharin (RUS)

Race Date Swim Bike Run Total Adjusted Rating Rank in Race
Challenge Barcelona 2012-09-30 01:15:12 05:01:03 03:27:37 09:47:23 10:09:18 11:13:18 49
IM Sweden 2012-08-18 01:12:45 04:46:16 05:22:17 11:26:25 12:02:54 11:35:53 22
IM Germany 2012-07-08 01:01:44 05:12:44 03:33:59 09:56:06 10:07:06 11:21:54 22
IM Austria 2012-07-01 01:09:31 04:56:48 06:14:11 12:27:28 12:37:06 12:37:06 24

Results for Reto Stutz (SUI)

Race Date Swim Bike Run Total Adjusted Rating Rank in Race

Results for Pascal Richter (GER)

Race Date Swim Bike Run Total Adjusted Rating Rank in Race

Results for Ivan Jezko (SVK)

Race Date Swim Bike Run Total Adjusted Rating Rank in Race

Results for Henrik Oftedal (NOR)

Race Date Swim Bike Run Total Adjusted Rating Rank in Race

Results for Rod De kanel (FRA)

Race Date Swim Bike Run Total Adjusted Rating Rank in Race

Results for Mary Beth Ellis (USA)

Race Date Swim Bike Run Total Adjusted Rating Rank in Race
IM Cozumel 2012-11-25 00:54:36 05:05:26 03:11:17 09:15:38 09:20:56 09:15:21 1
IM Hawaii 2012-10-13 00:56:06 05:08:06 03:10:30 09:22:57 09:12:04 09:14:20 5
IM New York 2012-08-11 00:40:33 05:04:03 03:14:32 09:02:48 09:09:56 09:14:49 1
IM Texas 2012-05-19 00:53:32 04:45:52 03:11:09 08:54:58 09:03:33 09:16:03 1
IM Hawaii 2011-10-15 00:55:54 05:19:14 03:13:48 09:34:06 09:34:04 09:19:55 15
IM Canada 2011-08-28 00:53:36 04:54:21 03:12:09 09:03:13 09:05:16 09:14:56 1
IM Regensburg 2011-08-07 00:49:20 05:17:16 03:06:45 09:18:55 09:31:32 09:19:54 1
IM Austria 2011-07-03 00:48:07 04:48:10 03:01:29 08:43:34 09:07:57 09:07:57 1

Results for Lucie Reed (CZE)

Race Date Swim Bike Run Total Adjusted Rating Rank in Race
IM South Africa 2013-04-14 00:52:17 05:11:31 03:18:59 09:27:07 09:32:59 09:35:13 3
Challenge Roth 2012-07-08 00:47:31 05:05:30 03:30:24 09:26:20 09:39:38 09:35:45 7
IM Germany 2011-07-24 00:47:59 05:06:20 03:15:31 09:13:46 09:20:26 09:34:51 2
IM Brasil 2011-05-29       09:14:23 09:37:49 09:37:56 2
Challenge Barcelona 2010-10-03 00:52:48 04:47:29 03:29:29 09:13:47 09:28:49 09:37:57 1
IM Hawaii 2009-10-10 00:50:58 05:24:21 03:45:06 10:04:42 09:51:06 09:40:26 22
IM Austria 2009-07-05 00:47:32 04:58:05 03:17:25 09:07:24 09:22:57 09:37:42 3
IM South Africa 2009-04-05 00:47:40 04:58:42 03:26:17 09:16:32 09:32:15 09:42:19 1
IM Austria 2008-07-13 00:48:33 05:04:04 03:15:27 09:13:17 09:31:19 09:46:27 5
IM South Africa 2008-04-13 00:50:00 05:07:29 03:34:08 09:34:09 09:46:52 09:54:01 3
Challenge Roth 2006-06-24 00:48:02 05:14:49 03:25:04 09:32:05 09:45:16 10:00:16 5
IM South Africa 2006-03-18       10:19:32 10:16:28 10:16:28 4

Results for Lisa Ribes (USA)

Race Date Swim Bike Run Total Adjusted Rating Rank in Race
IM Los Cabos 2013-03-17 01:04:23 05:21:41 03:07:15 09:38:35 09:35:13 09:47:19 3
IM Arizona 2011-11-19 01:08:37 05:04:46 03:24:19 09:41:55 09:56:30 09:56:44 14
IM Cairns 2011-06-05 01:05:34 05:16:09 03:27:31 09:52:41 09:57:01 09:57:01 7

Results for Jeanne Collonge (FRA)

Race Date Swim Bike Run Total Adjusted Rating Rank in Race
IM Arizona 2011-11-19 00:58:47 05:21:24 03:30:16 09:57:26 10:12:24 10:02:44 22
IM France 2011-06-26 00:55:10 05:23:24 03:39:26 10:04:05 10:04:40 09:56:49 6
IM Florida 2010-11-06 00:55:06 05:14:38 03:19:24 09:35:19 09:47:23 09:47:23 6

IM Cairns 2013 – Analyzing Results

Race Conditions

As usual, IM Cairns was a pretty slow course this year – an adjustment of 1:16 leading to a new course rating of 2:44. This year, especially the run was slower than normal (-4:19, with a new run rating of -1:48).

Male Race Results

Luke McKenzie took control of the race on the bike, posting a 4:21 split that was 14 minutes quicker than Clayton Fettel’s (who then struggled on the run). With the 2.000 points from Cairns, he should now be pretty safe for a Kona slot. Tim Berkel managed to run a 2:44 – 15 minutes quicker thank Luke’s solid 3:01 marathon, but never really challenging for the win. Macca posted a second best run (2:54) and validated his “automatic” Kona slot – he probably can’t have asked for much more after his hospital visit for kidney issues earlier in the week. However, if he wants to contend in Kona, he needs to work on his bike endurance so he can again race with the very best.

Rank Name Nation Swim Bike Run Actual Time Expected Time
1 Luke McKenzie AUS 00:49:47 04:21:52 03:01:32 08:17:43 08:43:27
2 Tim Berkel AUS 00:52:25 04:40:57 02:44:24 08:22:16 08:46:57
3 Chris McCormack AUS 00:49:55 04:43:38 02:54:52 08:32:50 08:29:52
4 Jason Shortis AUS 00:58:31 04:38:36 02:55:47 08:38:21 08:55:34
5 Clayton Fettell AUS 00:47:53 04:35:36 03:13:16 08:41:42 08:29:08
6 Matty White AUS 00:51:14 04:42:07 03:12:50 08:51:18 08:48:32
7 Todd Israel AUS 00:51:19 04:39:24 03:22:51 08:58:38 09:02:38
8 Simon Cochrane NZL 00:52:26 04:56:55 03:11:38 09:05:48 09:12:15
9 Johan Borg AUS 00:56:21 04:45:20 03:22:40 09:09:38 09:10:05
10 Matt Randall NZL 01:05:48 04:50:55 03:46:33 09:49:14 n/a

Female Race Results

On the women’s side, we saw another IM rookie win with Liz Blatchford outrunning veteran Gina Crawford:

Rank Name Nation Swim Bike Run Actual Time Expected Time
1 Liz Blatchford GBR 00:54:13 05:10:23 03:09:38 09:19:51 n/a
2 Gina Crawford NZL 00:55:43 05:08:26 03:13:09 09:23:14 09:25:15
3 Stephanie Jones USA 01:06:41 05:04:09 03:15:17 09:31:46 10:04:43
4 Anna Ross NZL 01:02:25 05:08:56 03:29:06 09:46:28 09:41:27
5 Beth Walsh USA 01:06:46 05:23:37 03:19:42 09:55:23 09:47:28
6 Michelle Gailey AUS 00:58:06 05:25:13 03:42:14 10:11:52 09:38:01

IM Cairns 2013 – Predictions

Previous Year’s TOP 3

Male Race Results

Rank Name Nation Swim Bike Run Time
1 David Dellow AUS 00:47:56 04:33:45 02:48:26 08:15:04
2 Cameron Brown NZL 00:50:46 04:30:48 02:56:06 08:22:21
3 Jimmy Johnsen DEN 00:50:37 04:41:29 02:52:32 08:29:36

Female Race Results

Rank Name Nation Swim Bike Run Time
1 Carrie Lester AUS 00:56:31 05:05:20 03:13:52 09:21:00
2 Belinda Harper NZL 00:53:00 05:00:37 03:23:02 09:22:42
3 Candice Hammond NZL 01:00:53 05:07:22 03:10:26 09:24:45

Course Records

Leg Gender Record Athlete Date
Total overall 08:15:04 David Dellow 2012-06-02
Swim overall 00:43:48 Clayton Fettell 2011-06-05
Bike overall 04:30:48 Cameron Brown 2012-06-02
Run overall 02:48:26 David Dellow 2012-06-02
Total female 09:21:00 Carrie Lester 2012-06-02
Swim female 00:52:56 Belinda Granger 2011-06-05
Bike female 05:00:37 Belinda Harper 2012-06-02
Run female 03:10:26 Candice Hammond 2012-06-02

Course Rating

The Course Rating for IM Cairns is 04:11.

Race Adjustments for IM Cairns

Year Adjustment Swim Adj. Bike Adj. Run Adj. # of Athletes Rating Swim Rating Bike Rating Run Rating
2011 04:45 01:36 02:34 -01:07 11 04:45 01:36 02:34 -01:07
2012 03:38 -01:22 06:44 -00:24 20 04:11 00:07 04:39 -00:46

KPR points and Price Money

IM Cairns has 2000 KPR points for the winner. It has an official prize purse of 100.000 €.

Male Race Participants

According to the start list, Cairns will be an interesting race. My favorite is Cameron Brown – he is still one of the best Ironman athletes (even after not winning IM New Zealand this year), but he DNF’d in Melbourne and I’m not sure if he is properly recovered and rebuilt. Then there are Clayton Fettell (who hasn’t finished an Ironman since 2011) and Chris McCormack (who hasn’t had a great result since returning to Ironman racing after his Olympic quest but recently won a half distance Challenge race in Rimini).

Rank Name Nation Expected Time Rating Rank Swim Rating Bike Rating Run Rating
1 Cameron Brown NZL 08:23:40 08:27:36 10 00:49:26 04:41:28 02:53:31
2 Clayton Fettell AUS 08:26:47 08:30:45 17 00:45:00 04:37:02 03:07:23
3 Chris McCormack AUS 08:27:40 08:31:38 17 00:48:44 04:43:14 02:54:34
4 Courtney Ogden AUS 08:40:12 08:44:16 60 00:50:32 04:49:50 03:00:05
5 Luke McKenzie AUS 08:40:34 08:44:38 62 00:47:14 04:40:56 03:13:21
6 Brett Carter AUS 08:45:12 08:49:18 90 00:47:29 04:51:43 03:07:11
7 Jason Shortis AUS 08:52:59 08:57:09 127 00:54:00 04:51:42 03:03:12
8 Todd Israel AUS 08:59:43 09:03:56 172 00:50:26 05:00:55 03:10:58
9 Johan Borg AUS 09:07:49 09:12:06 217 00:55:01 04:56:57 03:16:45
10 Simon Cochrane NZL 09:10:08 09:14:26 229 00:53:25 05:05:12 03:10:00
11 Yeun Sik Ham KOR 09:34:02 09:38:31 373 01:04:05 05:09:32 02:55:00
12 Dan Brown PHI 09:40:32 09:45:04 417 01:01:41 unrated unrated
Matt Randall NZL n/a unrated n/a unrated unrated unrated
Jemani Francis AUS n/a unrated n/a unrated unrated unrated
Timothy Molesworth AUS n/a unrated n/a unrated unrated unrated

Female Race Participants

On the female side, the big favorite is Gina Crawford who should be able to win the race if she is in a half-decent form. She also has raced a lot of races earlier in the year, and you’ll never know until late in the race if she is properly recovered.

Rank Name Nation Expected Time Rating Swim Rating Bike Rating Run Rating Rank
1 Gina Crawford NZL 09:22:49 09:27:13 00:52:06 05:14:52 03:13:50 15
2 Michelle Gailey AUS 09:34:48 09:39:18 00:54:08 05:37:42 03:13:28 39
3 Michelle Bremer NZL 09:37:48 09:42:19 00:57:21 05:17:18 03:26:59 49
4 Anna Ross NZL 09:39:22 09:43:54 00:59:14 05:23:36 03:16:13 55
5 Beth Walsh USA 09:43:51 09:48:25 01:01:52 05:33:52 03:07:56 65
6 Stephanie Jones USA 10:01:36 10:06:18 01:06:55 05:23:35 03:29:27 117
Michelle Wu AUS n/a unrated unrated unrated unrated n/a
Liz Blatchford GBR n/a unrated unrated unrated unrated n/a

Winning Odds

Male Race Participants

  • Cameron Brown: 43% (1-1)
  • Chris McCormack: 26% (3-1)
  • Clayton Fettell: 10% (9-1)
  • Courtney Ogden: 9% (10-1)
  • Luke McKenzie: 8% (11-1)
  • Jason Shortis: 2% (40-1)

Female Race Participants

  • Gina Crawford: 66% (1-1)
  • Michelle Gailey: 14% (6-1)
  • Michelle Bremer: 10% (9-1)
  • Stephanie Jones: 5% (20-1)
  • Beth Walsh: 5% (21-1)

Results for Cameron Brown (NZL)

Race Date Swim Bike Run Total Adjusted Rating Rank in Race
IM New Zealand 2013-03-02 00:50:09 04:41:52 02:57:16 08:34:28 08:38:50 08:27:36 3
Challenge Roth 2012-07-08 00:47:37 04:31:50 02:47:30 08:10:05 08:21:41 08:26:04 4
IM Cairns 2012-06-02 00:50:46 04:30:48 02:56:06 08:22:21 08:25:43 08:26:38 2
IM Melbourne 2012-03-24 00:50:37 04:24:48 02:41:17 08:00:12 08:07:07 08:26:46 2
IM Germany 2011-07-24 00:48:07 04:48:30 02:51:02 08:31:47 08:38:03 08:29:50 7
IM New Zealand 2011-03-05 00:50:21 04:43:04 02:52:09 08:31:07 08:28:19 08:28:37 1
IM Hawaii 2010-10-09 00:52:16 04:38:41 02:59:15 08:34:10 08:33:47 08:28:40 17
IM Germany 2010-07-04 00:48:04 04:33:50 02:53:04 08:18:33 08:26:51 08:27:51 4
IM New Zealand 2010-03-06 00:49:28 04:40:29 02:47:35 08:21:52 08:28:07 08:28:01 1
IM Hawaii 2009-10-10 00:52:50 04:44:52 03:12:07 08:53:41 08:41:00 08:28:00 22
IM New Zealand 2009-03-07 00:47:58 04:42:36 02:43:10 08:18:05 08:26:02 08:25:28 1
IM Hawaii 2008-10-11 00:51:50 04:36:47 02:53:39 08:26:17 08:20:14 08:25:21 5
IM Germany 2008-07-06 08:08:29 08:31:48 08:26:27 4
IM New Zealand 2008-03-01 00:47:18 04:43:15 02:49:36 08:24:49 08:30:20 08:25:07 1
IM New Zealand 2007-03-03 00:47:53 04:48:08 02:51:10 08:26:33 08:30:56 08:23:37 1
IM Hawaii 2006-10-21 00:53:55 04:29:26 02:58:05 08:25:22 08:20:52 08:21:36 8
IM Germany 2006-07-23 08:13:40 08:24:36 08:21:50 1
IM Hawaii 2005-10-15 00:52:23 04:33:08 02:50:13 08:19:36 08:16:37 08:20:37 2
IM Germany 2005-07-11 08:28:00 08:25:16 08:22:50 2
IM New Zealand 2005-05-03 00:46:24 04:40:47 02:48:28 08:20:15 08:20:15 08:20:15 1

Results for Clayton Fettell (AUS)

Race Date Swim Bike Run Total Adjusted Rating Rank in Race
IM Western Australia 2011-12-04 00:45:11 04:25:25 03:04:40 08:19:02 08:22:04 08:30:45 2
IM Cairns 2011-06-05 00:43:48 04:38:15 03:10:59 08:36:14 08:40:46 08:40:46 5

Results for Chris McCormack (AUS)

Race Date Swim Bike Run Total Adjusted Rating Rank in Race
Challenge Wanaka 2013-01-19 00:55:07 04:58:44 02:59:52 08:58:05 08:55:11 08:31:38 3
IM Cairns 2012-06-02 00:50:05 04:58:10 03:11:10 09:05:12 09:08:52 08:26:38 9
IM Cairns 2011-06-05 00:47:26 04:34:56 02:51:00 08:15:56 08:20:18 08:17:33 1
IM Hawaii 2010-10-09 00:51:36 04:31:51 02:43:31 08:10:37 08:10:15 08:17:01 1
IM Germany 2010-07-04 00:47:54 04:33:33 02:49:56 08:14:43 08:22:57 08:18:18 3
IM Hawaii 2009-10-10 00:52:51 04:32:45 02:55:59 08:25:20 08:13:19 08:17:19 4
IM Germany 2009-07-05 08:03:05 08:23:16 08:18:09 3
IM Germany 2008-07-06 07:59:55 08:22:50 08:16:55 1
IM Hawaii 2007-10-13 00:51:48 04:37:32 02:42:02 08:15:34 08:13:47 08:15:37 1
Challenge Roth 2007-06-24 00:49:45 04:16:31 02:45:12 07:54:23 08:13:47 08:16:01 1
IM Hawaii 2006-10-21 00:53:51 04:29:24 02:46:02 08:13:07 08:08:43 08:16:34 2
Challenge Roth 2006-06-24 00:46:53 04:26:25 02:44:54 08:00:52 08:11:56 08:18:36 1
IM Australia 2006-05-11 00:46:21 04:46:51 02:47:30 08:20:42 08:21:22 08:20:39 1
IM Hawaii 2005-10-15 00:53:06 04:37:06 02:49:10 08:23:52 08:20:52 08:20:21 6
Challenge Roth 2005-06-24 00:47:33 04:23:07 02:45:33 07:58:45 08:14:44 08:20:04 1
IM Australia 2005-04-08 00:46:55 04:40:17 02:58:32 08:25:44 08:25:44 08:25:44 1

Results for Courtney Ogden (AUS)

Race Date Swim Bike Run Total Adjusted Rating Rank in Race
IM New Zealand 2013-03-02 00:50:15 04:44:14 02:58:24 08:38:53 08:43:18 08:44:16 4
IM Melbourne 2012-03-24 00:50:40 04:55:14 04:32:54 10:23:45 10:32:44 08:44:26 34
Challenge Wanaka 2012-01-21 00:51:38 05:04:45 03:07:37 09:08:42 09:02:01 08:44:26 4
IM Hawaii 2011-10-15 00:57:14 04:40:35 02:55:28 08:38:11 08:38:13 08:41:56 16
IM Australia 2011-05-01 08:49:56 08:53:21 08:42:30 5
Challenge Wanaka 2011-01-15 09:07:25 08:41:39 08:40:51 2
IM Western Australia 2010-12-05 00:49:05 04:28:51 02:52:53 08:14:01 08:19:55 08:40:43 1
IM Hawaii 2010-10-09 00:52:36 04:41:17 03:03:52 08:42:11 08:41:48 08:44:36 25
IM Coeur d’Alene 2010-06-27 00:53:47 04:44:35 02:56:29 08:38:17 08:45:09 08:45:13 2
IM Australia 2010-03-28 08:35:54 08:44:02 08:45:14 3
IM Western Australia 2009-12-05 00:48:33 04:36:37 02:56:54 08:22:06 08:35:48 08:45:37 4
IM Canada 2009-08-30 00:50:43 04:49:50 03:00:20 08:44:37 08:48:35 08:49:26 3
IM Canada 2008-08-24 00:53:26 04:44:15 03:05:21 08:47:04 08:57:05 08:49:54 8
IM Western Australia 2007-12-01 00:48:38 04:33:43 02:56:54 08:19:15 08:41:37 08:44:41 7
IM Canada 2006-08-27 00:51:52 04:45:18 03:06:00 08:47:46 08:49:05 08:49:05 2

Results for Luke McKenzie (AUS)

Race Date Swim Bike Run Total Adjusted Rating Rank in Race
IM Cozumel 2012-11-25 00:50:19 04:35:12 03:16:58 08:45:57 08:50:45 08:44:38 12
IM Hawaii 2012-10-13 00:51:29 04:39:09 03:20:32 08:54:58 08:44:58 08:43:47 24
IM Western Australia 2011-12-04 00:47:34 04:43:10 03:28:03 09:03:44 09:07:03 08:43:36 11
IM Hawaii 2011-10-15 00:51:47 04:24:15 03:05:54 08:25:42 08:25:44 08:40:19 9
IM Germany 2011-07-24 00:47:14 04:33:43 03:01:04 08:26:51 08:33:04 08:42:35 6
IM Texas 2011-05-21 00:49:25 04:27:01 03:31:36 08:52:07 09:01:13 08:44:12 13
IM Brasil 2010-05-30 00:42:26 04:29:01 02:56:10 08:07:38 08:27:59 08:40:55 1
IM Florida 2009-11-07 04:30:02 03:13:48 08:37:59 08:51:30 08:43:07 7
IM Hawaii 2009-10-10 00:50:51 04:37:29 03:06:19 08:38:38 08:26:18 08:41:42 15
IM Louisville 2009-08-28 00:48:36 04:41:10 02:51:37 08:26:01 08:28:04 08:44:45 2
IM Western Australia 2008-12-07 00:48:05 04:29:04 02:55:35 08:12:45 08:27:33 08:48:42 3
IM Hawaii 2008-10-11 00:51:36 04:52:04 03:14:34 09:02:17 08:55:48 08:53:44 29
IM Australia 2008-04-06 00:46:58 04:46:50 03:12:12 08:46:00 08:46:13 08:53:08 5
IM Hawaii 2007-10-13 00:51:25 04:38:39 03:11:00 08:44:55 08:43:02 08:55:29 19
IM Coeur d’Alene 2007-06-23 00:51:32 04:45:38 03:13:15 08:53:43 08:56:01 09:00:44 6
IM Hawaii 2006-10-21 00:54:03 04:53:06 03:28:03 09:20:20 09:15:20 09:03:42 54
IM Lake Placid 2006-07-23 00:48:26 04:59:10 03:15:26 09:08:27 08:51:12 08:51:12 10

Results for Brett Carter (AUS)

Race Date Swim Bike Run Total Adjusted Rating Rank in Race
IM Los Cabos 2013-03-17 00:49:30 04:54:55 03:04:29 08:52:35 08:49:18 08:49:18 9

Results for Jason Shortis (AUS)

Race Date Swim Bike Run Total Adjusted Rating Rank in Race
IM Western Australia 2012-12-09 00:53:56 04:42:11 02:58:19 08:38:30 08:51:59 08:57:09 4
IM Louisville 2012-08-26 00:59:37 04:50:40 03:25:27 09:21:24 09:26:24 08:57:39 4
IM Cairns 2012-06-02 00:54:10 04:46:45 03:06:58 08:53:25 08:57:00 08:54:49 7
IM Australia 2012-04-29 00:50:28 04:53:51 02:51:57 08:40:02 08:46:29 08:54:35 3
IM Melbourne 2012-03-24 00:54:40 04:36:00 03:22:15 08:57:33 09:05:17 08:55:29 21
IM Western Australia 2011-12-04 00:53:05 04:40:01 02:49:58 08:27:31 08:30:36 08:54:19 3
IM Canada 2011-08-28 00:56:50 05:07:28 03:04:50 09:12:55 09:16:21 08:57:14 10
IM Lake Placid 2011-07-24 00:57:39 04:53:59 02:50:24 08:47:18 08:48:53 08:54:46 3
IM Australia 2011-05-01 08:46:07 08:49:31 08:55:37 3
IM Louisville 2010-08-29 00:55:40 04:37:21 04:34:06 10:12:54 10:08:40 08:56:33 11
IM South Africa 2010-04-25 00:55:04 04:44:01 02:51:46 08:34:52 08:40:01 08:46:01 4
IM Western Australia 2009-12-05 00:55:28 04:38:40 03:03:11 08:37:20 08:51:27 08:46:56 6
IM Lake Placid 2009-07-26 00:55:39 04:56:22 03:00:31 08:58:09 08:56:32 08:46:13 3
IM Australia 2009-04-05 00:55:06 05:03:31 03:03:45 09:02:22 09:05:10 08:44:30 10
IM Western Australia 2008-12-07 00:50:43 04:26:37 02:53:36 08:10:57 08:25:42 08:40:47 2
IM Wisconsin 2008-09-07 00:55:10 04:59:57 02:58:05 08:59:14 09:00:33 08:43:44 3
IM Western Australia 2007-12-01 00:52:34 04:48:54 02:54:15 08:35:43 08:58:49 08:40:00 12
IM Australia 2007-04-08 00:49:38 04:46:39 02:49:17 08:25:34 08:27:42 08:35:55 2
IM Western Australia 2006-12-03 00:50:05 04:29:52 02:43:58 08:03:55 08:17:53 08:37:43 1
IM Korea 2006-08-27 08:34:09 08:37:52 08:42:38 5
Challenge Roth 2006-06-24 00:50:58 04:37:18 02:50:58 08:30:55 08:42:41 08:44:03 8
IM Australia 2006-05-11 00:50:28 04:54:53 02:50:48 08:36:09 08:36:50 08:44:35 3
IM Hawaii 2005-10-15 00:58:43 04:37:42 03:16:20 08:57:06 08:53:54 08:49:21 36
Challenge Roth 2005-06-24 00:54:07 04:36:52 02:44:52 08:27:25 08:44:22 08:44:22 8

Results for Todd Israel (AUS)

Race Date Swim Bike Run Total Adjusted Rating Rank in Race
IM Germany 2012-07-08 00:48:20 05:05:33 03:16:04 09:14:54 09:25:06 09:03:56 19
IM Melbourne 2012-03-24 00:50:43 04:40:08 02:58:32 08:33:31 08:40:55 08:40:55 15

Results for Johan Borg (AUS)

Race Date Swim Bike Run Total Adjusted Rating Rank in Race
IM Western Australia 2012-12-09 00:57:08 04:38:53 03:03:45 08:43:55 08:57:32 09:12:06 6
IM Melbourne 2012-03-24 00:55:27 04:58:09 03:23:05 09:21:53 09:29:58 09:29:58 32

Results for Simon Cochrane (NZL)

Race Date Swim Bike Run Total Adjusted Rating Rank in Race
IM New Zealand 2013-03-02 00:51:35 05:01:02 03:18:54 09:17:12 09:21:56 09:14:26 10
IM Western Australia 2012-12-09 00:53:39 04:51:52 03:08:54 08:58:27 09:12:27 09:11:23 11
IM Cairns 2012-06-02 00:54:26 05:01:06 03:01:23 09:02:01 09:05:39 09:10:44 8
Challenge Wanaka 2012-01-21 00:57:42 05:16:14 03:05:14 09:23:15 09:16:23 09:16:23 9

Results for Yeun Sik Ham (KOR)

Race Date Swim Bike Run Total Adjusted Rating Rank in Race
IM Korea 2011-07-03 01:02:43 05:03:40 02:58:19 09:36:02 09:38:31 09:38:31 6

Results for Dan Brown (PHI)

Race Date Swim Bike Run Total Adjusted Rating Rank in Race
IM Arizona 2012-11-18 01:06:04 09:40:56 09:52:41 09:45:04 28
IM Australia 2012-04-29 00:56:46 05:42:34 06:44:37 13:29:04 13:39:06 08:59:20 6
IM Korea 2006-08-27 08:55:28 08:59:20 08:59:20 8

Results for Matt Randall (NZL)

Race Date Swim Bike Run Total Adjusted Rating Rank in Race

Results for Jemani Francis (AUS)

Race Date Swim Bike Run Total Adjusted Rating Rank in Race

Results for Timothy Molesworth (AUS)

Race Date Swim Bike Run Total Adjusted Rating Rank in Race

Results for Gina Crawford (NZL)

Race Date Swim Bike Run Total Adjusted Rating Rank in Race
IM New Zealand 2013-03-02 00:51:44 05:08:17 03:14:54 09:20:54 09:25:40 09:27:13 2
Challenge Wanaka 2013-01-19 00:59:14 05:08:30 03:11:07 09:24:31 09:21:28 09:27:22 1
IM Hawaii 2012-10-13 00:55:59 05:21:30 03:06:16 09:28:54 09:18:16 09:28:01 7
Challenge Henley 2012-09-16 00:53:05 05:11:14 02:58:34 09:08:05 09:16:13 09:29:07 1
Challenge Roth 2012-07-08 00:50:17 05:04:55 03:00:05 08:59:35 09:12:22 09:30:44 3
IM France 2012-06-24 00:52:10 05:20:04 03:07:14 09:26:25 09:28:17 09:33:11 2
IM Melbourne 2012-03-24 00:53:11 05:09:48 03:03:42 09:11:16 09:19:12 09:33:56 5
Challenge Wanaka 2012-01-21 00:54:21 05:24:10 03:17:16 09:44:06 09:36:59 09:36:22 1
IM Wisconsin 2010-09-12 00:53:35 05:12:50 03:14:22 09:27:26 09:28:12 09:36:15 1
IM St. George 2010-05-01 00:51:18 05:45:26 03:29:57 10:11:51 10:01:31 09:37:25 4
IM New Zealand 2010-03-06 00:50:02 05:15:16 03:17:40 09:28:26 09:35:31 09:33:49 2
Challenge Wanaka 2010-01-16 09:28:57 09:29:10 09:33:31 1
IM Western Australia 2009-12-05 00:50:10 05:02:15 03:24:26 09:16:52 09:32:04 09:34:21 1
IM New Zealand 2009-03-07 00:52:05 05:12:46 03:08:11 09:18:26 09:27:21 09:34:53 1
Challenge Wanaka 2009-01-01 09:28:27 09:34:57 09:36:34 1
Challenge Roth 2008-07-13 00:48:52 05:01:42 03:03:08 08:57:18 09:17:42 09:37:00 3
IM New Zealand 2008-03-01 00:49:35 05:16:54 03:21:58 09:33:29 09:39:45 09:42:59 5
Challenge Wanaka 2008-01-19 09:33:46 09:28:49 09:44:14 1
IM Wisconsin 2007-09-09 00:53:59 05:22:07 03:14:45 09:37:03 09:35:00 09:53:25 1
IM New Zealand 2007-03-03 00:50:58 05:42:30 03:31:07 10:09:32 10:14:48 10:14:48 5

Results for Michelle Gailey (AUS)

Race Date Swim Bike Run Total Adjusted Rating Rank in Race
IM Louisville 2012-08-26 00:58:20 06:04:35 05:35:33 13:02:56 13:09:54 09:39:18 6
IM New York 2012-08-11 00:42:59 05:35:24 03:22:50 09:45:42 09:53:20 09:39:18 8
IM Australia 2012-04-29 00:51:48 05:29:57 03:08:38 09:34:57 09:42:05 09:35:42 1
IM Western Australia 2011-12-04 00:53:16 05:21:26 03:08:31 09:28:07 09:31:35 09:33:43 2
Challenge Barcelona 2011-10-02 00:54:18 05:13:07 03:03:31 09:15:00 09:23:02 09:34:32 2
IM Cairns 2011-06-05 00:53:00 05:17:21 03:16:10 09:30:41 09:35:42 09:41:04 2
IM New Zealand 2011-03-05 00:53:00 05:24:39 03:24:02 09:50:04 09:46:50 09:46:50 7

Results for Michelle Bremer (NZL)

Race Date Swim Bike Run Total Adjusted Rating Rank in Race
IM New York 2012-08-11 00:45:10 05:13:54 03:32:35 09:36:11 09:43:41 09:42:19 6
Challenge Roth 2012-07-08 00:55:14 05:16:08 03:23:24 09:38:23 09:52:05 09:41:34 12
IM Western Australia 2011-12-04 00:58:16 05:00:37 03:22:22 09:25:38 09:29:05 09:29:05 1

Results for Anna Ross (NZL)

Race Date Swim Bike Run Total Adjusted Rating Rank in Race
IM New Zealand 2013-03-02 00:58:21 05:19:02 03:15:47 09:38:59 09:43:54 09:43:54 4

Results for Beth Walsh (USA)

Race Date Swim Bike Run Total Adjusted Rating Rank in Race
IM Los Cabos 2013-03-17 01:04:04 05:40:28 03:10:21 09:59:14 09:55:33 09:48:25 11
IM Cozumel 2012-11-25 01:11:14 05:21:18 03:02:39 09:39:25 09:44:42 09:45:40 8
IM Wisconsin 2012-09-09 01:01:44 05:30:17 02:59:54 09:38:42 09:32:49 09:46:11 2
IM France 2012-06-24 00:59:48 05:44:05 03:08:32 09:58:26 10:00:24 10:00:24 6

Results for Stephanie Jones (USA)

Race Date Swim Bike Run Total Adjusted Rating Rank in Race
IM Cozumel 2012-11-25 01:20:39 05:11:34 03:14:54 09:51:59 09:57:23 10:06:18 13
IM Florida 2012-11-03 01:10:15 04:51:36 03:05:29 09:13:18 09:30:03 10:08:14 5
IM Switzerland 2012-07-15 01:08:20 05:20:29 03:30:56 10:04:55 10:11:28 10:18:35 6
IM Florida 2011-11-05 01:06:49 05:02:57 03:16:36 09:33:45 09:56:07 10:20:56 5
IM Louisville 2011-08-28 01:01:24 05:18:04 03:26:29 09:52:40 10:03:58 10:30:09 3
IM France 2011-06-26 01:07:38 05:48:06 04:08:59 11:12:26 11:13:14 10:44:20 12
IM Florida 2007-11-03 01:03:37 04:59:54 03:26:52 09:34:31 09:55:33 10:13:32 9
IM Wisconsin 2007-09-09 01:08:35 05:40:11 03:35:01 10:29:55 10:27:40 10:24:16 9
IM Wisconsin 2006-09-10 01:09:57 05:48:05 03:36:55 10:43:35 10:19:44 10:19:44 8

Results for Michelle Wu (AUS)

Race Date Swim Bike Run Total Adjusted Rating Rank in Race

Results for Liz Blatchford (GBR)

Race Date Swim Bike Run Total Adjusted Rating Rank in Race

KPR after Brazil (Men) – Who’s in, who’s close, who needs more points

We’re getting closer to the first cutoff for Kona qualification, so I think this is a good time to have a closer look at the KPR standings. This post looks at the men, the previous one looks at the women.

The exact number of points that is required for a Kona slot is not easy to determine as there are 40 slots at the end of July and another 10 slots at the end of August.  In my 2012 Rating Report (available in the sidebar) I have determined that 4.000 points can be considered a safe number for qualification.

Who’s in

Athletes who have won Kona in the last five years just have to race another Ironman to qualify:

  • Craig Alexander (7.220 points, already validated in Melbourne)
  • Pete Jacobs (6.000 points, plans to race in Frankfurt)
  • Chris McCormack (890 points, will probably race in Cairns, but it’s unclear if he’s going to race another Kona)
Potential other qualifiers are:
  • Sebastian Kienle (70.3 champion, 7.500 points – plans to race IM Frankfurt)
  • Javier Gomez (5150 champion, but I haven’t heard any rumors that he’s interested in racing a full IM in order to race Kona 2013)

As noted above, I consider athletes with at least 4.000 points as safe qualifiers. There are quite a few established athletes who took care of their Kona slots early in the qualifying period:

  • Timothy O’Donnell (6.985 points)
  • Faris Al-Sultan (5.688 points)
  • Timo Bracht (5.300 points)
  • Petr Vabrousek (5.120 points – with five Ironman results!)
  • Eneko Llanos (5.085 points)
  • Jordan Rapp (4.725 points)
  • Ronnie Schildknecht (4.225 points)
  • Dirk Bockel (4.090 points – cutting it close, and I’m not sure if he’s got any plans to add some more points racing ITU long distance and Challenge Roth)

We also have some athletes who haven’t raced Kona 2012 that already have a safe spot:

  • Jimmy Johnsen (5.910 points)
  • Bevan Docherty (5.900 points)

Who’s close to qualifying

This category includes athletes that should already have enough points but are missing a validation race:
  • Andreas Raelert (6.290 points -scheduled to race Austria)
  • Andy Potts (5.850 points – plans to qualify in Lake Placid as in 2012)
  • Frederik Van Lierde (5.260 points – racing IM France again)
  • Bart Aernouts (4.700 points – plans to race IM France)

From the Kona 2012 athletes, there is one who is close to qualifying but not quite in “safe territory”:

  • Jeremy Jurkiewicz (3.620 points)

Then we have some athletes that haven’t qualified for Kona 2012 who are also close:

  • Horst Reichel (3.745 points)
  • Balazs Csoke (3.620 points)
  • Marino Vanhoenacker (3.520 points)

Who needs more points

At this “early” point in the season, a lot of established athletes haven’t yet raced their “main” qualifying race and we will see a lot of movement in the KPR. (The Northern hemisphere season is just getting started.) From the Kona Top10, only one athlete hasn’t been mentioned yet:

  • David Dellow (3.000 points – was injured and had to cancel Melbourne, he’s now getting ready for Frankfurt)

Some athletes made big headlines early in the qualifying cycle (remember Andy Starykowicz’s great bike times in Florida and Arizona?), but still need some more points to qualify:

  • James Cunnama (3.245 points)
  • Ian Mikelson (3.235 points)
  • Justin Daerr (3.195 points)
  • Andrew Starykowicz (3.050 points)

In addition, here are some Kona 2012 athletes that have already raced an Ironman and validated, but need quite a few more points:

  • Cyril Viennot (3.380 points)
  • Marko Albert (2.845 points)
  • Luke McKenzie (2.375 points)
  • Tom Lowe (2.350 points – had to skip Melbourne because of injury and is now re-evaluating his plans)
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