February 2011 – TriRating

Looking ahead to IM New Zealand

February 26, 2017

Since my last post, I’ve worked a bit more on the results and ratings I have on file for IM New Zealand. Here is the full data!

Male Race Participants

Rank	Name	Nation	Rating	Rank
1	Cameron Brown	NZL	08:37:51	10
2	Terenzo Bozzone	NZL	08:42:44	15
3	Mathias Hecht	SWI	08:46:24	25
4	Keegan Williams	NZL	08:55:41	39
5	Petr Vabrousek	CZE	09:04:30	67
6	Hiroyuki Nishiuchi	JPN	09:24:17	126
7	Tuukka Miettinen	FIN	09:27:59	139
8	Scott Curry	CAN	09:40:52	191
9	Brent Foster	NZL	09:43:01	196
10	Rich Munro	AUS	09:43:11	197
11	Heinrich Sickl	AUT	09:46:31	213
12	James Bowstead	NZL	09:52:15	238
13	John Carey	AUS	09:59:37	269
14	Kerry Weeks	NZL	unrated	n/a
15	Scott McGregor	NZL	unrated	n/a
16	Gavin Scott	NZL	unrated	n/a
17	Matt Burgess	NZL	unrated	n/a

Female Race Participants

Rank	Name	Nation	Rating	Rank
1	Mirinda Carfrae	AUS	09:08:06	2
2	Joanna Lawn	NZL	09:38:39	11
3	Sarah Pollett	AUS	10:03:11	45
4	Britta Martin	NZL	10:13:15	58
5	Kate Bevilaqua	AUS	10:16:25	66
6	Maki Nishiuchi	JPN	10:26:58	85
7	Donna Phelan	USA	10:30:50	92
8	Desiree Ficker	USA	10:51:22	121
9	Amanda Balding	USA	11:22:07	142
10	Jo Carrel	NZL	unrated	n/a
11	Laura-Clare Whelan	NZL	unrated	n/a
12	Michelle Mitchell	AUS	unrated	n/a
13	Samantha Warriner	NZL	unrated	n/a
14	Hannah Lawrence	NZL	unrated	n/a
15	Kirsten Molloy	AUS	unrated	n/a
16	Michelle Bremer	NZL	unrated	n/a
17	Renee Lane	AUS	unrated	n/a
18	Belinda Harper	NZL	unrated	n/a

Results for Cameron Brown (NZL)

Race	Date	Total	Adjusted	Rating	Rank in Race
IM Hawaii	2010-10-09	08:34:10	08:42:00	08:37:51	17
IM New Zealand	2010-03-06	08:21:52	08:36:49	08:37:08	1
IM Hawaii	2009-10-10	08:53:41	08:49:28	08:37:11	22
IM New Zealand	2009-03-07	08:18:05	08:40:39	08:34:38	1
IM Hawaii	2008-10-11	08:26:17	08:28:44	08:33:14	5
IM New Zealand	2008-03-01	08:24:49	08:47:00	08:34:30	1
IM New Zealand	2007-03-03	08:26:33	08:43:20	08:30:16	1
IM Hawaii	2006-10-21	08:25:22	08:29:12	08:25:01	8
IM Hawaii	2005-10-15	08:19:36	08:24:31	08:22:28	2
IM New Zealand	2005-05-03	08:20:15	08:20:15	08:20:15	1

Results for Terenzo Bozzone (NZL)

Race	Date	Total	Adjusted	Rating	Rank in Race
IM Hawaii	2010-10-09	08:38:23	08:46:17	08:42:44	20
IM New Zealand	2010-03-06	08:30:00	08:45:12	08:41:20	2
IM Hawaii	2009-10-10	08:34:45	08:30:41	08:39:10	11
IM New Zealand	2009-03-07	08:25:37	08:48:31	08:48:31	2

Results for Mathias Hecht (SWI)

Race	Date	Total	Adjusted	Rating	Rank in Race
IM Hawaii	2009-10-10	08:37:29	08:33:24	08:46:24	13
IM Hawaii	2008-10-11	08:34:02	08:36:32	08:52:05	8
IM Lake Placid	2008-07-20	08:56:33	09:03:31	09:01:17	3
IM Hawaii	2006-10-21	08:54:16	08:58:19	08:58:19	34

Results for Keegan Williams (NZL)

Race	Date	Total	Adjusted	Rating	Rank in Race
IM New Zealand	2010-03-06	08:40:11	08:55:41	08:55:41	4

Results for Petr Vabrousek (CZE)

Race	Date	Total	Adjusted	Rating	Rank in Race
IM Florida	2010-11-06	08:29:59	08:55:03	09:04:30	7
IM Hawaii	2010-10-09	08:56:26	09:04:37	09:05:16	41
IM Canada	2010-08-29	08:39:16	08:55:00	09:05:19	4
IM Lake Placid	2010-07-25	08:46:33	08:56:37	09:06:17	2
IM Arizona	2009-11-22	08:37:45	09:04:34	09:07:15	10
IM Hawaii	2009-10-10	09:23:03	09:18:36	09:07:31	50
IM Lake Placid	2009-07-26	09:10:24	09:07:45	09:06:19	6
IM Arizona	2008-11-23	08:28:09	08:46:39	09:06:09	8
IM Florida	2008-11-01	08:23:00	08:51:26	09:08:26	3
IM Hawaii	2008-10-11	09:04:42	09:07:20	09:10:39	33
IM Lake Placid	2008-07-20	08:55:20	09:02:17	09:11:09	2
IM Florida	2007-11-03	08:53:05	09:18:46	09:12:37	21
IM Hawaii	2007-10-13	09:42:26	09:49:54	09:11:33	71
IM Arizona	2007-04-15	08:41:59	09:00:01	09:03:30	4
IM Hawaii	2006-10-21	09:10:45	09:14:56	09:04:20	54
IM Lake Placid	2006-07-23	09:03:12	08:56:42	09:01:19	7
IM Arizona	2006-04-09	08:44:54	09:00:48	09:03:03	8
IM Hawaii	2005-10-15	09:12:17	09:17:43	09:04:20	54
IM Arizona	2005-04-09	08:49:46	08:49:46	08:49:46	4

Results for Hiroyuki Nishiuchi (JPN)

Race	Date	Total	Adjusted	Rating	Rank in Race
IM Hawaii	2010-10-09	09:11:43	09:20:08	09:24:17	48
IM Hawaii	2009-10-10	09:23:13	09:18:46	09:25:39	51
IM Canada	2008-08-24	09:13:56	09:35:20	09:28:20	20
IM Hawaii	2007-10-13	09:18:41	09:25:50	09:24:58	48
IM Hawaii	2005-10-15	09:17:17	09:22:46	09:24:20	62
IM New Zealand	2005-05-03	09:26:02	09:26:02	09:26:02	21

Results for Tuukka Miettinen (FIN)

Race	Date	Total	Adjusted	Rating	Rank in Race
IM Coeur d’Alene	2009-06-21	09:02:49	09:27:59	09:27:59	5

Results for Scott Curry (CAN)

Race	Date	Total	Adjusted	Rating	Rank in Race
IM Hawaii	2010-10-09	09:19:39	09:28:11	09:40:52	52
IM Canada	2010-08-29	08:48:57	09:04:59	09:42:53	9
IM Canada	2009-08-30	09:20:09	09:31:30	09:49:55	16
IM Coeur d’Alene	2009-06-21	09:04:45	09:30:00	09:53:21	7
IM Canada	2008-08-24	08:52:36	09:13:10	09:58:31	11
IM Coeur d’Alene	2008-06-22	09:18:50	09:36:59	10:09:23	8
IM Florida	2007-11-03	10:30:03	11:00:24	10:19:15	51
IM Canada	2007-08-26	11:32:04	11:47:59	10:03:41	30
IM Florida	2006-11-04	08:45:12	09:03:14	09:03:19	5
IM Canada	2006-08-27	08:55:57	09:03:24	09:03:24	5

Results for Brent Foster (NZL)

Race	Date	Total	Adjusted	Rating	Rank in Race
IM New Zealand	2009-03-07	10:15:13	10:43:05	09:43:01	22
IM Arizona	2006-04-09	09:02:10	09:18:35	09:08:39	15
IM Hawaii	2005-10-15	08:54:41	08:59:56	09:03:09	34
IM Coeur d’Alene	2005-06-26	08:52:35	09:06:31	09:06:31	5

Results for Rich Munro (AUS)

Race	Date	Total	Adjusted	Rating	Rank in Race
IM New Zealand	2010-03-06	09:26:18	09:43:11	09:43:11	8

Results for Heinrich Sickl (AUT)

Race	Date	Total	Adjusted	Rating	Rank in Race
IM Arizona	2010-11-21	09:01:31	09:27:12	09:46:31	16
IM Arizona	2008-11-23	09:32:21	09:53:11	09:53:28	32
IM Canada	2008-08-24	09:16:53	09:38:24	09:53:34	21
IM Florida	2006-11-04	09:56:35	10:17:04	10:01:19	34
IM Florida	2005-11-05	09:21:53	09:44:23	09:51:37	20
IM Arizona	2005-04-09	09:59:34	09:59:34	09:59:34	25

Results for James Bowstead (NZL)

Race	Date	Total	Adjusted	Rating	Rank in Race
IM New Zealand	2010-03-06	09:02:46	09:18:56	09:52:15	5
IM New Zealand	2008-03-01	10:06:43	10:33:22	10:17:13	22
IM New Zealand	2007-03-03	09:39:03	09:58:14	09:58:14	14

Results for John Carey (AUS)

Race	Date	Total	Adjusted	Rating	Rank in Race
IM New Zealand	2010-03-06	09:42:16	09:59:37	09:59:37	10

Results for Kerry Weeks (NZL)

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Results for Scott McGregor (NZL)

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Results for Gavin Scott (NZL)

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Results for Matt Burgess (NZL)

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Results for Mirinda Carfrae (AUS)

Race	Date	Total	Adjusted	Rating	Rank in Race
IM Hawaii	2010-10-09	08:58:36	09:06:49	09:08:06	1
IM Hawaii	2009-10-10	09:13:59	09:09:37	09:09:37	2

Results for Joanna Lawn (NZL)

Race	Date	Total	Adjusted	Rating	Rank in Race
IM Hawaii	2010-10-09	09:43:08	09:52:01	09:38:39	20
IM New Zealand	2010-03-06	09:14:35	09:31:07	09:36:35	1
IM Hawaii	2009-10-10	09:34:45	09:30:13	09:37:28	7
IM New Zealand	2009-03-07	09:23:08	09:48:38	09:38:47	2
IM Hawaii	2008-10-11	09:45:33	09:48:23	09:36:51	14
IM New Zealand	2008-03-01	09:16:00	09:40:26	09:34:15	1
IM Hawaii	2007-10-13	09:26:47	09:34:03	09:32:40	4
IM New Zealand	2007-03-03	09:20:02	09:38:35	09:32:14	1
IM Hawaii	2006-10-21	09:32:48	09:37:09	09:29:40	7
IM Hawaii	2005-10-15	09:14:53	09:20:20	09:25:06	4
IM New Zealand	2005-05-03	09:30:14	09:30:14	09:30:14	1

Results for Sarah Pollett (AUS)

Race	Date	Total	Adjusted	Rating	Rank in Race
IM New Zealand	2010-03-06	09:45:44	10:03:11	10:03:11	4

Results for Britta Martin (NZL)

Race	Date	Total	Adjusted	Rating	Rank in Race
IM New Zealand	2010-03-06	09:47:11	10:04:41	10:13:15	5
IM New Zealand	2009-03-07	09:56:18	10:23:19	10:23:19	8

Results for Kate Bevilaqua (AUS)

Race	Date	Total	Adjusted	Rating	Rank in Race
IM Hawaii	2010-10-09	10:19:31	10:28:58	10:16:25	34
IM Lake Placid	2010-07-25	09:53:39	10:04:59	10:13:18	4
IM New Zealand	2010-03-06	10:18:12	10:36:37	10:15:56	7
IM New Zealand	2008-03-01	09:20:06	09:44:43	10:07:09	2
IM Hawaii	2007-10-13	10:00:56	10:08:38	10:17:03	25
IM Hawaii	2005-10-15	10:07:42	10:13:41	10:23:00	31
IM Coeur d’Alene	2005-06-26	10:16:40	10:32:48	10:32:48	2

Results for Maki Nishiuchi (JPN)

Race	Date	Total	Adjusted	Rating	Rank in Race
IM Hawaii	2009-10-10	10:31:57	10:26:58	10:26:58	35

Results for Donna Phelan (USA)

Race	Date	Total	Adjusted	Rating	Rank in Race
IM Hawaii	2010-10-09	10:19:20	10:28:46	10:30:50	33
IM Hawaii	2008-10-11	10:30:38	10:33:41	10:33:41	35

Results for Desiree Ficker (USA)

Race	Date	Total	Adjusted	Rating	Rank in Race
IM Hawaii	2008-10-11	11:07:48	11:11:02	10:51:22	42
IM Canada	2008-08-24	09:56:09	10:19:11	10:47:42	6
IM Lake Placid	2008-07-20	11:09:30	11:18:12	10:54:05	7
IM Hawaii	2007-10-13	10:40:43	10:48:55	10:47:15	47
IM Hawaii	2006-10-21	09:24:02	09:28:19	10:46:42	2
IM Arizona	2006-04-09	09:44:56	10:02:39	11:17:53	4
IM Lake Placid	2005-07-24	14:01:55	14:07:39	12:01:06	20
IM Arizona	2005-04-09	09:48:26	09:48:26	09:48:26	2

Results for Amanda Balding (USA)

Race	Date	Total	Adjusted	Rating	Rank in Race
IM Florida	2008-11-01	10:09:38	10:44:06	11:22:07	9
IM Canada	2008-08-24	11:13:05	11:39:05	11:32:53	16
IM New Zealand	2008-03-01	10:53:05	11:21:47	11:30:32	13
IM Hawaii	2007-10-13	11:49:33	11:58:38	11:35:14	56
IM Canada	2007-08-26	10:56:14	11:11:20	11:11:20	18

Results for Jo Carrel (NZL)

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Results for Laura-Clare Whelan (NZL)

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Results for Michelle Mitchell (AUS)

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Results for Samantha Warriner (NZL)

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Results for Hannah Lawrence (NZL)

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Results for Kirsten Molloy (AUS)

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Results for Michelle Bremer (NZL)

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Results for Renee Lane (AUS)

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Results for Belinda Harper (NZL)

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Ironman New Zealand – Quick Preview

February 25, 2011

I’m preparing a longer post looking at the upcoming IM New Zealand race. For now, I have two short teasers.

A Look at the Course

Taupo has a course rating of 20:32 – compared to Kona’s 3:49. It is one of the quicker courses – about as fast as IM Arizona, but still slower than IM Florida by about 5 minutes. While the toad conditions on the bike are probably not too good, the course is still reasonably flat and there are no extreme weather conditions – in fact the climate sounds almost perfect for a good race. (Of course you have the exception with the 2006 race, where strong winds even led to a canceled swim and a shortened race.)

The course rating of 20:32 means that on an average day Cameron Brown (rated 8:37:41) is expected to finish around 8:17:19.

Male Pro Participants

Based on the list from the IM New Zealand website, here are the male professional participants and their current ratings:

Rank Name Nation Rating

1 Cameron Brown NZL 08:37:51

2 Terenzo Bozzone NZL 08:42:44

3 Mathias Hecht SWI 08:46:24

4 Keegan Williams NZL 08:55:41

5 Petr Vabrousek CZE 09:04:30

6 Hiroyuki Nishiuchi JPN 09:24:17

7 Tuukka Miettinen FIN 09:27:59

8 Scott Curry CAN 09:40:52

9 Brent Foster NZL 09:43:01

10 Rich Munro AUS 09:43:11

11 Heinrich Sickl AUT 09:46:31

12 James Bowstead NZL 09:52:15

13 John Carey AUS 09:59:37

14 Matt Burgess NZL unrated

15 Gavin Scott NZL unrated

16 Scott McGregor NZL unrated

17 Kerry Weeks NZL unrated

Based on the ratings, Cameron Brown still has to be considered the favorite. However, Terenzo Bozzone and Mathias Hecht are not so far off that Cam can be certain to win for the 10th time. After these three athletes, Keegan Williams and Petr Vabrousek may be good enough for a podium finish if one of the top 3 ranked athletes run into issues. After the top 5, the field is not very deep and the ratings are quite a bit slower than the top athletes.

There will be more ….

As noted above, I’m working on some more information:

predictions for the women’s race
details on the results I have on file for the participants

Please let me know in the comments if there is something else that you’d like to know and that I may be able to answer by analyzing the athlete’s previous results.