Ironman Texas 2018 – Analyzing Results
Course Conditions
As you can see from a quick glimpse at the results, this year’s IM Texas was super-fast. This first impression is also supported by my analysis of athlete’s performances, cross-referencing their times from other courses to IM Texas. Compared to previous editions, the results of Pro athletes this year have been about 12 minutes faster on average than last year. The swim and bike have been pretty normal for IM Texas. Even with Matt Hanson’s winning marathon time of 2:34:39, the run course was on the same course as in previous years, the times may even have been slightly slower.
The discussion on various social media is focused on the bike times. (The bike leg is where the times were much faster than in previous years.) Part of it was from a shortened course, as acknowledged by Ironman Texas on their Facebook page:
I’m not sure if this FB post is telling the whole story of the bike course length: By a number of accounts the course was short last year, and the course maps showed that it was shortened even more for this year. However, it is nice that Ironman acknowledges the course was short and not eligible for any records. I will also consider the IM Texas results “invalid” and will not use them for fastest times or performances. (The comparisons between expected and actual times in the tables below are my best effort of analyzing the race.)
But even the shortened bike course is not telling the real story of the fast bike times at IM Texas. By almost all accounts from the race, there was rampant drafting going on during the bike leg, both in the Pro and agegroup ranks. Here are just a few observations from social media about the race:
- In the briefing, the Pros were told that there likely wouldn’t be any draft marshaling in the second loop of the bike (Tweet by Ray Botelho).
- Because of the crowding on the bike course, marshalls were pulled off the course during the race (Tweet by Tim Vibrock).
- The main part of the bike course is an out-and-back on the three-lane Hardy Road. One lane is supposed to be for the out-leg, one for the back-leg and the third lane (the shoulder lane) for marshalls. Apparently this breaks down as soon as the bulk of AGs enters the road, and it’s no longer safe for officials to use the third lane (series of tweets by Kirk Noyes).
- At least one Pro, Dimity-Lee Duke, abandoned the race when she didn’t want to join in the drafting going on (see her Instagram post).
While there were some crazy fast times on the bike (such as Andy Starykowicz’s 3:55, more than 8 minutes faster than anyone else in the field, or Jen Annett’s 4:25 followed by 4:27s and a 4:29) and also on the run (not only Matt Hanson’s 2:34:39, two sub-3 runs in the female field by Mel Hauschildt and Lesley Smith and also a number of what would have been PRs), the shortened bike course and the drafting make any “what would have been” a pure guessing game.
All in all, it was disappointing to see a Regional Championship provide such a frustrating race for most everyone involved. Of course there is a personal responsibility not to draft, but when there is no effort in enforcing the drafting rules and packs are forming, no one is held to a standard that is expected of Pro athletes (and age groupers as well).
The race organizers worked hard to come up with a course that’s acceptable to all communities involved. But Ironman could always be trusted to provide a good, reliable racing experience, and this year’s IM Texas fell short of that standard. I hope that the organizers will address the issues for future races in Texas.
Male Race Results
Rank | Name | Nation | Swim | Bike | Run | Time | (Diff to exp.) | Prize Money | KPR Points |
1 | Matt Hanson | USA | 00:52:31 | 04:07:27 | 02:34:39 | 07:39:25 | -26:33 | US$ 30,000 | 4000 |
2 | Ivan Tutukin | RUS | 00:49:30 | 04:10:21 | 02:35:19 | 07:39:57 | -19:10 | US$ 15,000 | 3400 |
3 | Will Clarke | GBR | 00:49:49 | 04:09:58 | 02:40:43 | 07:45:22 | -18:43 | US$ 8,000 | 2890 |
4 | Tim Van Berkel | AUS | 07:47:43 | -08:17 | US$ 6,500 | 2455 | |||
5 | Jan van Berkel | SUI | 00:49:28 | 04:10:14 | 02:44:17 | 07:48:40 | -16:21 | US$ 5,000 | 2090 |
6 | Brent McMahon | CAN | 00:49:26 | 04:10:26 | 02:44:52 | 07:49:49 | 02:26 | US$ 3,500 | 1670 |
7 | Ruedi Wild | SUI | 00:49:22 | 04:10:22 | 02:45:00 | 07:50:19 | -08:32 | US$ 2,500 | 1335 |
8 | Andrew Starykowicz | USA | 00:49:27 | 03:54:59 | 03:00:57 | 07:50:56 | -15:27 | US$ 2,000 | 1070 |
9 | Frederik Van Lierde | BEL | 00:49:25 | 04:10:29 | 02:48:32 | 07:53:43 | -01:29 | US$ 1,500 | 855 |
10 | Johann Ackermann | GER | 00:49:15 | 04:03:19 | 02:59:38 | 07:57:02 | -14:07 | US$ 1,000 | 685 |
11 | Jeremy Jurkiewicz | FRA | 02:55:00 | 07:58:45 | -11:23 | 515 | |||
12 | David Plese | SLO | 00:54:09 | 04:13:36 | 02:47:07 | 08:00:33 | -06:03 | 385 | |
13 | Paul Matthews | AUS | 00:49:23 | 04:10:48 | 03:01:35 | 08:06:14 | 03:57 | 290 | |
14 | Matthew Russell | USA | 00:54:07 | 04:05:56 | 03:02:38 | 08:07:42 | 03:55 | 215 | |
15 | Matic Modic | SLO | 00:56:44 | 04:14:15 | 02:53:05 | 08:09:39 | -09:08 | 160 | |
16 | Samuel Huerzeler | SUI | 00:54:47 | 04:11:48 | 02:58:13 | 08:10:43 | -06:22 | 120 | |
17 | Kristian Hoegenhaug | DEN | 00:54:55 | 04:11:31 | 02:59:33 | 08:11:49 | 16:25 | 90 | |
18 | Daniil Sapunov | UKR | 00:49:31 | 04:15:36 | 03:01:58 | 08:12:48 | -02:55 | 70 | |
19 | Justin Daerr | USA | 00:52:21 | 04:19:46 | 03:01:43 | 08:19:07 | 06:50 | 50 | |
20 | Jesse Vondracek | USA | 00:52:41 | 04:17:55 | 03:04:10 | 08:20:21 | -15:42 | 40 | |
21 | Sebastian Najmowicz | POL | 00:49:33 | 04:20:47 | 03:05:55 | 08:21:51 | n/a | 25 | |
22 | Alexander Chikin | RUS | 00:56:16 | 04:19:42 | 03:03:07 | 08:25:22 | -12:53 | 25 | |
23 | Blake Becker | USA | 00:58:52 | 04:21:52 | 03:02:17 | 08:28:17 | -21:44 | 25 | |
24 | Seppe Odeyn | BEL | 01:09:15 | 04:21:15 | 02:53:41 | 08:30:07 | -07:46 | 25 | |
25 | James Capparell | USA | 00:49:32 | 04:21:43 | 03:15:45 | 08:32:24 | -00:54 | 25 | |
26 | Jozsef Major | HUN | 00:59:12 | 04:27:30 | 03:02:51 | 08:37:28 | 20:47 | 25 | |
27 | Raymond Botelho | USA | 00:58:57 | 04:20:20 | 03:17:31 | 08:43:03 | -07:33 | 25 | |
28 | Jordan Monnink | CAN | 00:56:53 | 04:33:08 | 03:06:53 | 08:43:40 | 06:41 | 25 | |
29 | James Lubinski | USA | 01:07:13 | 04:24:34 | 03:09:21 | 08:47:01 | 03:34 | 25 | |
30 | Mike Schifferle | SUI | 01:03:43 | 04:26:35 | 03:18:31 | 08:58:03 | 17:22 | 25 | |
31 | Peter Kotland | CZE | 00:59:00 | 04:34:34 | 03:24:48 | 09:05:49 | -09:12 | 20 | |
32 | Per Bittner | GER | 00:54:47 | 04:33:03 | 03:41:52 | 09:15:13 | 1:08:13 | 20 | |
33 | Tripp Hipple | USA | 00:53:42 | 04:18:37 | 03:56:42 | 09:15:16 | 58:44 | 20 | |
34 | Max Biessmann | USA | 00:52:25 | 04:25:18 | 03:53:10 | 09:16:20 | -23:30 | 20 | |
35 | Ohad Sinai | ISR | 01:05:52 | 04:28:26 | 03:46:25 | 09:27:14 | -04:17 | 20 | |
36 | Christopher Stock | USA | 01:09:25 | 04:31:12 | 03:59:04 | 09:50:11 | n/a | 20 | |
37 | Ignacio Rubio Gomez | ESP | 00:59:20 | 04:42:53 | 05:15:08 | 11:06:53 | 25:48 | 20 | |
Michael Fox | AUS | 00:49:08 | 04:10:54 | DNF | |||||
Sean Donnelly | GER | 00:49:06 | 04:15:29 | DNF | |||||
Mikolaj Luft | POL | 00:53:52 | 04:16:51 | DNF | |||||
Trevor Delsaut | FRA | 00:54:52 | 04:48:43 | DNF |
Tim Berkel lost hos timing chip in the swim and his maraton time in the results (2:51) does not correspond to how the race developed. By his own data he swam in the 49-minute group, rode a 4:10 (coming off the bike in 4th place) and then ran a 2:43. Jeremy Jurkiewicz probably also had issues with his chip, I’m not sure how accurate his marathon time is.
Female Race Results
Rank | Name | Nation | Swim | Bike | Run | Time | (Diff to exp.) | Prize Money | KPR Points |
1 | Melissa Hauschildt | AUS | 00:59:07 | 04:29:55 | 02:57:07 | 08:31:05 | -17:16 | US$ 30,000 | 4000 |
2 | Jodie Robertson | USA | 01:00:42 | 04:27:30 | 03:08:52 | 08:43:16 | -14:10 | US$ 15,000 | 3400 |
3 | Lesley Smith | USA | 00:57:50 | 04:39:56 | 02:58:47 | 08:43:51 | -23:04 | US$ 8,000 | 2890 |
4 | Michelle Vesterby | DEN | 00:56:05 | 04:33:11 | 03:11:20 | 08:45:47 | -04:10 | US$ 6,500 | 2455 |
5 | Sara Svensk | SWE | 00:59:33 | 04:32:33 | 03:09:53 | 08:46:49 | -19:54 | US$ 5,000 | 2090 |
6 | Meredith Kessler | USA | 00:53:47 | 04:34:32 | 03:13:27 | 08:47:44 | 03:37 | US$ 3,500 | 1670 |
7 | Jen Annett | CAN | 01:02:23 | 04:25:10 | 03:16:52 | 08:49:27 | -12:11 | US$ 2,500 | 1335 |
8 | Kimberley Morrison | GBR | 00:56:23 | 04:27:45 | 03:21:54 | 08:50:59 | -13:47 | US$ 2,000 | 1070 |
9 | Tine Deckers | BEL | 00:59:29 | 04:35:01 | 03:17:18 | 08:57:34 | 02:50 | US$ 1,500 | 855 |
10 | Darbi Roberts | USA | 00:56:19 | 04:41:32 | 03:15:27 | 08:59:03 | -19:31 | US$ 1,000 | 685 |
11 | Caroline Gregory | USA | 00:59:31 | 04:43:00 | 03:17:18 | 09:05:06 | -1:00:29 | 515 | |
12 | Helena Kotopulu | CZE | 01:12:20 | 04:45:39 | 03:09:55 | 09:15:02 | -08:51 | 385 | |
13 | Lauren Brandon | USA | 00:48:19 | 04:38:15 | 03:48:20 | 09:20:16 | 19:18 | 290 | |
14 | Kelly Fillnow | USA | 01:07:56 | 04:46:43 | 03:20:33 | 09:21:26 | -04:56 | 215 | |
15 | Robyn Hardage | CAN | 01:03:18 | 04:50:34 | 03:22:02 | 09:22:13 | -14:54 | 160 | |
16 | Amanda Wendorff | USA | 01:02:26 | 04:34:46 | 03:56:19 | 09:39:51 | 09:49 | 120 | |
17 | Kimberly Goodell | USA | 01:03:46 | 04:52:41 | 03:40:03 | 09:43:13 | 07:45 | 90 | |
Jocelyn McCauley | USA | 00:56:51 | 04:32:12 | DNF | |||||
Dimity-Lee Duke | AUS | 00:59:39 | DNF | ||||||
Helena Herrero Gomez | ESP | 01:03:45 | DNF | ||||||
Ashley Paulson | USA | 01:19:00 | DNF |
Kona Qualifying Implications
Here are the top men and their Kona qualifying chances:
- Automatic Qualifier: Matt Hanson, Frederik Van Lierde (validated his AQ as former Kona champion)
- Safe: Tim Van Berkel, Ivan Tutukin and Andy Starykowicz
- On the Bubble: Brent McMahon, Jan Van Berkel
- Close (but more points needed): Ruedi Wild, Will Clarke, Jeremy Jurkiewicz
And a look at the females and their race to Kona:
- Automatic Qualifier: Mel Hauschildt
- Safe: Lesley Smith
- On the Bubble: Tine Deckers
- Close (but more points needed): Jodie Robertson, Michelle Vesterby