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April 2012

IM St. George 2012 – Predictions (Main Post)

As always, you can find additional information on the participants in the detail post.

Previous Results

St. George has been run twice as an Ironman (2010 and 2011), and it has just been announced that it will become a 70.3. after this year. So this is the last year for athletes to post a course record. Currently these stand at 8:32:03 (posted by last year’s winner Mathias Hecht) and 9:30:33 (also from last year by Heather Wurtele). One chance to go down in history!

St. George is a slow course (lots of hills, especially on the run) with a course rating of –2:33. It is a 2.000 points race (and in North America), so the field is a bit larger and deeper than IM Australia.

Male Participants

Last year’s second, Maik Twelsiek is back and will aim to win another Ironman.

Rank Name Nation Expected Time Rating Rank
1 Maik Twelsiek GER 08:44:37 08:42:09 42
2 Chris McDonald AUS 08:50:29 08:48:00 74
3 Ben Hoffman USA 08:51:33 08:49:03 84
4 Axel Zeebroek BEL 08:55:10 08:52:39 97
5 Kevin Taddonio USA 09:01:31 08:58:58 127
6 Ernst Moser AUT 09:08:52 09:06:17 173
7 Matthew Russell USA 09:09:47 09:07:12 175
8 Mike Schifferle SWI 09:12:42 09:10:06 195
9 Matthew Sheeks USA 09:25:15 09:22:36 299
10 Brendan Halpin USA 09:32:06 09:29:25 346
11 Billy Edwards USA 09:32:11 09:29:30 350
12 Jesse Vondracek USA 09:34:16 09:31:34 372
13 Adam O’Meara CAN 09:39:05 09:36:22 395
14 Logan Franks USA 09:58:06 09:55:17 524
15 Thomas Gerlach   10:05:25 10:02:34 570
16 Heath Thurston USA 10:08:28 10:05:37 592
17 Dantley Young USA 10:08:44 10:05:52 594
18 Richard Wygand BRA 10:52:21 10:49:17 770
19 Kirk Nelson USA 12:25:14 12:21:44 858
20 Monte Still   n/a unrated n/a

Here are the winning odds:

  • Maik Twelsiek: 47%
  • Ben Hoffman: 22%
  • Chris McDonald: 15%
  • Axel Zeebroek: 10%

“Maiki” is a very solid competitor who rarely has a day off, lets hope he overcame his DNF in Abu Dhabi (apparently, he had problems with his bike position there). But I’m sure that Ben and Chris will make his life as hard as possible.

Female Participants

Here are the entries in the women’s race:

Rank Name Nation Expected Time Rating Rank
1 Mackenzie Madison USA 09:39:36 09:36:53 30
2 Meredith Kessler USA 09:40:02 09:37:19 31
3 Jessie Donavan USA 09:41:43 09:38:59 36
4 Jessica Smith USA 09:51:54 09:49:07 57
5 Uli Bromme USA 10:05:07 10:02:17 89
6 Jackie Arendt USA 10:07:55 10:05:04 100
7 Erin Spitler USA 10:25:36 10:22:40 170
8 Trish Deim USA n/a unrated n/a
9 Gillian Clayton CAN n/a unrated n/a
10 Erin Young USA n/a unrated n/a

Even if their rankings are quite close, “MBK” has a better chance of winning:

  • Meredith Kessler: 43%
  • Mackenzie Madison: 37%
  • Jessie Donavan: 11%

IM Australia 2012 – Predictions (Main Post)

As always, you can find additional information on the participants in the detail post.

Previous Results

Ironman Australia does not draw a big field – no surprise for a 1.000-points race. It has a course rating of 3:53, but has seen adjustments around 8 minutes in the last years, so the course can be quick. The course records are held by Chris McCormack (8:20:41 in 2006) and Chrissie Wellington (8:57:10 in 2009).

Last year, we had two “big names” win the race: Pete Jacobs in 8:29:28 and Caroline Steffen in 9:29:54. After all, Australia is a nice location and well placed in the year to prepare for Kona once qualifying is out of the way.

Male Participants

 

Rank Name Nation Expected Time Rating Rank
1 Tim Berkel AUS 08:47:24 08:51:13 91
2 Paul Ambrose GBR 08:50:30 08:54:20 106
3 Jason Shortis AUS 08:52:57 08:56:48 115
4 Dan Brown PHI 08:54:13 08:58:05 124
5 Leon Griffin AUS 08:58:46 09:02:40 150
6 Chris Dmitrieff AUS 09:13:52 09:17:52 259
7 Scott Defilippis USA 09:19:49 09:23:52 306

Looking at the winning odds, it ‘s going to be a three way race:

  • Paul Ambrose: 36%
  • Tim Berkel: 36%
  • Jason Shortis: 16%

Female Participants

The field on the women’s side is even smaller:

Rank Name Nation Expected Time Rating Rank
1 Michelle Mitchell AUS 09:38:05 09:42:16 42
2 Kat Baker AUS 09:58:22 10:02:42 91
3 Nicole Ward AUS 10:00:34 10:04:55 99
4 Hillary Biscay USA 10:10:14 10:14:39 140

All athletes have a chance to win, but Michelle Mitchell is the clear favorite:

  • Michelle Mitchell: 57%
  • Nicole Ward: 17%
  • Hillary Biscay: 16%
  • Kat Baker: 10%

Kona 2012 Odds: April Changes

In February, I started a series of posts on the Kona 2012 odds. This is the April update, after IM Melbourne and IM South Africa. You can always see the latest odds by clicking “Kona 2012 Odds” in the main menu.

Men

The current odds are as follows:

  • Craig Alexander: 34%
  • Chris McCormack, Andreas Raelert, Marino Vanhoenacker: 12% each
  • Pete Jacobs: 7%
  • Eneko Llanos, Cameron Brown: 6%
  • Paul Amey: 2%

And a look at the changes over time:

image

Here’s where the last set of changes are coming from:

  • I’ve added Chris McCormack back into the mix. With WTC “buying” the Cairns race and turning it into an “official” IM race with qualifying points and Chris being committed to race there (as he did last year when it was a Challenge race), his “validation” issue has been resolved and as long as he finishes he gets a spot on the Kona start list. He may still qulify for the Olympics, but even the he might show up in Kona to race. And once he’s in the race, he will have an influence on the dynamics of the race.
  • With Macca back in the race, almost everyone’s odds are going down.
  • Even with Macca in the field, Crowie’s great performance n Melbourne improved his odds to win again in Kona. He will be able to take his time to prepare for Kona and he seems to be on a completely different level of confidence since winning in Las Vegas and Kona.
  • After pushing Crowie to a sub-8 finish and delivering his career best performance, Cam Brown´s odds have grown to much more than a statistical blip.

Women

The current odds are as follows:

  • Mirinda Carfrae: 31%
  • Caroline Steffen: 19%
  • Leanda Cave: 14%
  • Rachel Joyce: 14%
  • Mary Beth Ellis: 7%
  • Catriona Morrison: 4%

The changes over the season:

image_thumb[7]

Here’s where the last set of changes are coming from:

  • The odds for Caroline Steffen and Rachel Joyce have improved after their great performances in Melbourne.
  • Rinnie’s odds have decreased after Melbourne, but she is still the clear favorite. However, I’m not worried about her for Kona – her Melbourne performance was better than her race in New Zealand last year.
  • For the rest of the athletes, there were no noticeable changes compared to February.

IM St. George 2012 – Predictions (Details Post)

Rank Name Nation Expected Time Rating Rank
1 Maik Twelsiek GER 08:44:37 08:42:09 42
2 Chris McDonald AUS 08:50:29 08:48:00 74
3 Ben Hoffman USA 08:51:33 08:49:03 84
4 Axel Zeebroek BEL 08:55:10 08:52:39 97
5 Kevin Taddonio USA 09:01:31 08:58:58 127
6 Ernst Moser AUT 09:08:52 09:06:17 173
7 Matthew Russell USA 09:09:47 09:07:12 175
8 Mike Schifferle SWI 09:12:42 09:10:06 195
9 Matthew Sheeks USA 09:25:15 09:22:36 299
10 Brendan Halpin USA 09:32:06 09:29:25 346
11 Billy Edwards USA 09:32:11 09:29:30 350
12 Jesse Vondracek USA 09:34:16 09:31:34 372
13 Adam O’Meara CAN 09:39:05 09:36:22 395
14 Logan Franks USA 09:58:06 09:55:17 524
15 Thomas Gerlach   10:05:25 10:02:34 570
16 Heath Thurston USA 10:08:28 10:05:37 592
17 Dantley Young USA 10:08:44 10:05:52 594
18 Richard Wygand BRA 10:52:21 10:49:17 770
19 Kirk Nelson USA 12:25:14 12:21:44 858
20 Monte Still   n/a unrated n/a

Female Race Participants

Rank Name Nation Expected Time Rating Rank
1 Mackenzie Madison USA 09:39:36 09:36:53 30
2 Meredith Kessler USA 09:40:02 09:37:19 31
3 Jessie Donavan USA 09:41:43 09:38:59 36
4 Jessica Smith USA 09:51:54 09:49:07 57
5 Uli Bromme USA 10:05:07 10:02:17 89
6 Jackie Arendt USA 10:07:55 10:05:04 100
7 Erin Spitler   10:25:36 10:22:40 170
8 Trish Deim   n/a unrated n/a
9 Gillian Clayton   n/a unrated n/a
10 Erin Young   n/a unrated n/a

Results for Maik Twelsiek (GER)

Race Date Total Adjusted Rating Rank in Race
IM Western Australia 2011-12-04 08:56:10 09:04:54 08:42:09 10
IM Hawaii 2011-10-15 08:43:03 08:44:36 08:39:18 22
IM Coeur d’Alene 2011-06-26 08:24:59 08:29:42 08:38:35 2
IM St. George 2011-05-07 08:33:46 08:33:57 08:39:51 2
IM Hawaii 2010-10-09 08:27:02 08:28:03 08:40:47 12
IM Lake Placid 2010-07-25 08:48:33 08:52:58 08:42:47 3
IM Lanzarote 2010-05-22 08:42:53 08:40:51 08:41:01 3
IM Hawaii 2009-10-10 08:35:10 08:30:29 08:41:03 12
IM Lake Placid 2009-07-26 08:36:37 08:36:01 08:43:09 1
IM Australia 2009-04-05 08:34:10 08:36:46 08:44:46 5
IM Hawaii 2008-10-11 08:48:37 08:46:26 08:46:54 14
IM Germany 2008-07-06 08:24:03 08:43:28 08:47:02 11
IM Wisconsin 2007-09-09 08:52:49 08:51:49 08:48:24 1
Challenge Roth 2007-06-24 08:17:03 08:37:09 08:46:55 6
Challenge Roth 2006-06-24 08:31:53 08:44:05 08:53:41 9
IM South Africa 2006-03-18 09:02:19 09:04:03 09:04:03 9

Results for Chris McDonald (AUS)

Race Date Total Adjusted Rating Rank in Race
IM Louisville 2011-08-28 08:27:36 08:37:02 08:48:00 1
IM Brasil 2011-05-29 08:24:34 08:44:04 08:49:02 5
IM Florida 2010-11-06 08:32:37 08:48:46 08:49:30 9
IM Hawaii 2010-10-09 08:52:04 08:53:08 08:49:34 35
Challenge Roth 2010-07-18 08:37:22 08:55:18 08:49:14 10
IM Coeur d’Alene 2010-06-27 08:48:30 08:53:57 08:48:38 5
IM St. George 2010-05-01 08:54:42 08:49:28 08:48:05 3
IM Wisconsin 2009-09-13 08:56:47 08:54:55 08:47:55 5
Challenge Roth 2009-07-12 08:17:39 08:37:40 08:47:12 11
Challenge Wanaka 2009-01-01 08:37:41 08:43:15 08:48:14 1
IM Arizona 2008-11-23 08:58:59 09:06:01 08:48:45 17
IM Wisconsin 2008-09-07 08:43:29 08:43:40 08:46:49 1
IM Louisville 2008-08-27 08:54:54 08:51:41 08:47:12 2
Challenge Roth 2008-07-13 08:20:59 08:41:01 08:46:36 4
Challenge Wanaka 2008-01-19 08:49:37 08:52:54 08:47:25 2
IM Western Australia 2007-12-01 08:21:12 08:37:07 08:46:37 8
IM Louisville 2007-08-26 08:38:40 08:40:05 08:48:10 1
Challenge Roth 2007-06-24 08:24:42 08:45:06 08:49:36 9
IM Western Australia 2006-12-03 08:36:00 08:43:07 08:50:31 4
IM Wisconsin 2006-09-10 09:12:35 08:59:45 08:52:04 2
IM Lake Placid 2006-07-23 09:07:55 09:00:30 08:50:12 9
IM Australia 2006-05-11 08:57:09 08:55:03 08:47:01 8
IM Western Australia 2005-11-27 08:37:38 08:39:53 08:43:44 6
IM Canada 2005-08-29 08:47:10 08:45:07 08:45:54 5
IM New Zealand 2005-05-03 08:46:45 08:46:45 08:46:45 5

Results for Ben Hoffman (USA)

Race Date Total Adjusted Rating Rank in Race
IM Lake Placid 2011-07-24 08:33:29 08:35:24 08:49:03 2
IM St. George 2011-05-07 08:41:39 08:41:50 08:52:15 4
IM Hawaii 2010-10-09 09:03:29 09:04:34 08:55:13 42
IM Lake Placid 2010-07-25 08:39:34 08:43:54 08:52:15 1
IM St. George 2010-05-01 08:52:54 08:47:41 08:55:48 2
IM Hawaii 2009-10-10 09:29:54 09:24:43 09:01:09 55
IM Arizona 2008-11-23 08:24:13 08:30:48 08:30:48 6

Results for Axel Zeebroek (BEL)

Race Date Total Adjusted Rating Rank in Race
IM Cozumel 2011-11-27 08:54:06 09:07:29 08:52:39 10
IM Hawaii 2011-10-15 08:58:13 08:59:49 08:48:46 28
IM Texas 2011-05-21 08:28:07 08:33:33 08:45:02 6
IM Cozumel 2010-11-28 08:28:52 08:38:50 08:49:59 4
IM UK 2010-08-01 08:49:38 08:55:53 08:56:43 3
IM Arizona 2009-11-22 08:48:14 08:57:43 08:57:43 13

Results for Kevin Taddonio (USA)

Race Date Total Adjusted Rating Rank in Race
IM Arizona 2011-11-19 08:45:51 08:59:00 08:58:58 22
Challenge Roth 2011-07-10 08:35:30 08:58:56 08:58:56 13

Results for Ernst Moser (AUT)

Race Date Total Adjusted Rating Rank in Race
IM Wisconsin 2011-09-11 09:09:42 09:11:25 09:06:17 4
IM Austria 2011-07-03 08:37:10 09:03:37 09:05:09 9
IM St. George 2011-05-07 09:14:35 09:14:47 09:05:34 11
IM Canada 2010-08-29 08:53:49 09:01:38 09:02:27 11
IM Austria 2010-07-04 08:40:51 08:57:37 09:02:46 11
IM Austria 2009-07-05 08:43:20 08:59:27 09:05:44 14
IM Austria 2008-07-13 08:47:03 09:03:55 09:10:30 16
IM Austria 2007-07-08 09:08:01 09:19:18 09:19:18 19

Results for Matthew Russell (USA)

Race Date Total Adjusted Rating Rank in Race
IM Arizona 2011-11-19 08:29:19 08:42:03 09:07:12 12
IM Hawaii 2011-10-15 08:43:51 08:45:25 09:12:07 23
IM Canada 2011-08-28 08:59:31 09:03:32 09:18:22 7
IM Lake Placid 2011-07-24 09:26:26 09:28:33 09:22:42 9
IM Texas 2011-05-21 09:03:06 09:08:54 09:20:23 14
IM Arizona 2010-11-21 09:09:15 09:21:28 09:27:18 20
IM Lake Placid 2010-07-25 09:28:58 09:33:43 09:33:43 13

Results for Mike Schifferle (SWI)

Race Date Total Adjusted Rating Rank in Race
IM Cozumel 2011-11-27 09:01:18 09:14:51 09:10:06 12
IM Arizona 2011-11-19 08:41:48 08:54:51 09:09:43 20
IM Hawaii 2011-10-15 08:49:01 08:50:35 09:11:00 26
IM Wales 2011-09-11 09:23:54 09:14:40 09:12:51 7
IM Germany 2011-07-24 08:54:20 09:06:20 09:12:40 15
IM Switzerland 2011-07-10 08:53:57 09:08:04 09:13:19 8
IM Brasil 2011-05-29 08:53:07 09:13:44 09:13:55 10
IM South Africa 2011-04-10 09:04:02 09:16:09 09:13:56 14
IM Arizona 2010-11-21 08:47:53 08:59:38 09:13:38 11
IM Florida 2010-11-06 09:09:02 09:26:20 09:15:34 22
IM Wisconsin 2010-09-12 08:58:35 09:00:42 09:13:52 8
IM Regensburg 2010-08-01 08:49:42 08:57:28 09:16:12 8
IM Switzerland 2010-07-25 08:43:51 08:54:34 09:20:02 8
IM Austria 2010-07-04 08:54:57 09:12:10 09:26:35 19
IM Switzerland 2009-07-12 08:54:13 09:07:02 09:31:27 12
IM Austria 2008-07-13 08:56:20 09:13:29 09:39:49 20
IM Lanzarote 2007-05-20 10:00:35 09:58:10 09:48:55 20
IM Florida 2006-11-04 09:41:45 09:49:54 09:45:52 31
IM UK 2006-08-16 09:34:59 09:37:16 09:44:16 14
IM Switzerland 2006-07-02 09:19:56 09:32:55 09:48:23 15
IM Switzerland 2005-07-15 10:03:46 10:08:48 10:08:48 24

Results for Matthew Sheeks (USA)

Race Date Total Adjusted Rating Rank in Race
IM Lake Placid 2010-07-25 09:17:57 09:22:36 09:22:36 8

Results for Brendan Halpin (USA)

Race Date Total Adjusted Rating Rank in Race
IM Cozumel 2011-11-27 09:04:36 09:18:14 09:29:25 13
IM Wisconsin 2011-09-11 09:17:13 09:18:58 09:33:40 6
IM Coeur d’Alene 2011-06-26 09:34:19 09:39:41 09:41:51 11
IM Canada 2009-08-30 09:36:40 09:41:06 09:44:14 23
IM Coeur d’Alene 2007-06-23 09:48:09 09:50:06 09:50:06 20

Results for Billy Edwards (USA)

Race Date Total Adjusted Rating Rank in Race
IM Wisconsin 2011-09-11 09:37:09 09:38:57 09:29:30 10
IM Coeur d’Alene 2011-06-26 09:13:13 09:18:23 09:27:39 7
IM Lake Placid 2010-07-25 09:45:55 09:50:48 09:29:44 18
IM Coeur d’Alene 2010-06-27 09:14:42 09:20:25 09:25:19 11
IM Hawaii 2009-10-10 09:59:30 09:54:03 09:26:35 67
IM Lake Placid 2009-07-26 09:12:09 09:11:31 09:19:15 7
IM Arizona 2008-11-23 09:17:02 09:24:18 09:21:51 27
IM Hawaii 2007-10-13 09:24:34 09:24:12 09:20:54 45
IM Louisville 2007-08-26 09:18:48 09:20:20 09:19:38 13
IM Coeur d’Alene 2007-06-23 09:16:09 09:17:59 09:19:14 10
IM Canada 2006-08-27 09:21:48 09:20:48 09:20:48 12

Results for Jesse Vondracek (USA)

Race Date Total Adjusted Rating Rank in Race
IM Arizona 2011-11-19 08:53:56 09:07:17 09:31:34 26
IM Florida 2011-11-05 08:45:27 09:06:34 09:36:16 14
IM Wisconsin 2011-09-11 10:30:44 10:32:42 09:43:18 13
IM Arizona 2010-11-21 09:24:08 09:36:41 09:28:49 25
IM Louisville 2010-08-29 09:25:52 09:28:52 09:26:26 8
IM Lake Placid 2010-07-25 09:18:10 09:22:50 09:25:28 9
IM Arizona 2009-11-22 09:23:27 09:33:34 09:27:07 24
IM Louisville 2009-08-28 09:17:01 09:20:13 09:20:13 13

Results for Adam O’Meara (CAN)

Race Date Total Adjusted Rating Rank in Race
IM Cozumel 2011-11-27 09:20:26 09:34:28 09:36:22 20
IM Canada 2011-08-28 09:35:55 09:40:12 09:36:55 18
IM Arizona 2010-11-21 08:58:04 09:10:02 09:35:40 14
IM Arizona 2009-11-22 09:13:58 09:23:55 09:46:57 19
IM Canada 2009-08-30 09:58:20 10:02:56 09:58:18 28
IM Canada 2008-08-24 09:38:37 09:46:06 09:54:19 28
IM Canada 2006-08-27 10:10:00 10:08:55 10:08:55 23

Results for Logan Franks (USA)

Race Date Total Adjusted Rating Rank in Race
IM Louisville 2011-08-28 10:20:01 10:31:33 09:55:17 7
IM Coeur d’Alene 2011-06-26 09:34:58 09:40:20 09:33:44 12
IM Lake Placid 2010-07-25 09:20:27 09:25:08 09:25:08 11

Results for Thomas Gerlach ()

Race Date Total Adjusted Rating Rank in Race
IM Arizona 2011-11-19 08:57:00 09:10:25 10:02:34 27
IM Wisconsin 2010-09-12 09:53:49 09:56:09 10:20:44 16
IM Louisville 2010-08-29 10:08:29 10:11:43 10:28:49 12
IM Wisconsin 2009-09-13 10:43:20 10:41:05 10:37:05 20
IM Wisconsin 2008-09-07 10:30:50 10:31:04 10:34:46 19
IM Wisconsin 2007-09-09 10:40:11 10:38:59 10:37:35 23
IM Wisconsin 2006-09-10 10:50:49 10:35:42 10:35:42 20

Results for Heath Thurston (USA)

Race Date Total Adjusted Rating Rank in Race
IM St. George 2011-05-07 10:09:18 10:09:31 10:05:37 16
IM Canada 2009-08-30 10:08:42 10:13:23 10:02:58 30
IM Arizona 2008-11-23 09:57:00 10:04:48 09:55:29 40
IM Florida 2007-11-03 09:26:07 09:42:52 09:42:52 37

Results for Dantley Young (USA)

Race Date Total Adjusted Rating Rank in Race
IM Australia 2009-04-05 10:30:41 10:33:52 10:05:52 22
IM Canada 2008-08-24 09:19:31 09:26:46 09:48:17 23
IM Arizona 2008-04-13 10:08:24 10:12:10 10:12:10 16

Results for Richard Wygand (BRA)

Race Date Total Adjusted Rating Rank in Race
IM Cozumel 2011-11-27 10:03:04 10:18:10 10:49:17 30
IM Brasil 2011-05-29 10:37:08 11:01:46 10:59:04 16
IM Florida 2010-11-06 09:49:28 10:08:02 10:58:04 31
IM Brasil 2010-05-30 10:25:25 10:45:08 11:21:34 18
IM Florida 2008-11-01 11:48:16 12:13:07 11:47:19 46
IM Brasil 2007-05-27 11:15:45 11:30:00 11:26:15 33
IM Florida 2006-11-04 11:12:26 11:21:51 11:21:51 42

Results for Kirk Nelson (USA)

Race Date Total Adjusted Rating Rank in Race
IM Arizona 2010-11-21 12:41:21 12:58:17 12:21:44 36
IM Wisconsin 2006-09-10 10:34:13 10:19:29 10:19:29 19

Results for Monte Still ()

Race Date Total Adjusted Rating Rank in Race

Results for Mackenzie Madison (USA)

Race Date Total Adjusted Rating Rank in Race
IM Florida 2011-11-05 09:10:21 09:32:28 09:36:53 2
IM Arizona 2010-11-21 09:24:11 09:36:44 09:39:54 7
IM Canada 2010-08-29 09:34:51 09:43:16 09:43:16 3

Results for Meredith Kessler (USA)

Race Date Total Adjusted Rating Rank in Race
IM Arizona 2011-11-19 09:00:14 09:13:44 09:37:19 3
IM Wisconsin 2011-09-11 09:50:45 09:52:36 09:41:18 2
IM Canada 2011-08-28 09:37:22 09:41:40 09:39:09 3
IM Arizona 2010-11-21 09:15:01 09:27:22 09:38:34 4
IM Hawaii 2010-10-09 10:04:02 10:05:15 09:41:07 26
IM Canada 2010-08-29 09:13:46 09:21:52 09:34:19 1
IM Coeur d’Alene 2010-06-27 09:23:52 09:29:41 09:39:00 2
IM St. George 2010-05-01 09:46:58 09:41:13 09:44:10 2
IM Arizona 2009-11-22 09:37:09 09:47:31 09:47:31 7

Results for Jessie Donavan (USA)

Race Date Total Adjusted Rating Rank in Race
IM Arizona 2011-11-19 09:24:52 09:38:59 09:38:59 11

Results for Jessica Smith (USA)

Race Date Total Adjusted Rating Rank in Race
IM Arizona 2011-11-19 09:34:45 09:49:07 09:49:07 12

Results for Uli Bromme (USA)

Race Date Total Adjusted Rating Rank in Race
IM Hawaii 2011-10-15 10:19:09 10:21:00 10:02:17 21
IM Germany 2011-07-24 09:44:10 09:57:17 09:57:29 11
IM St. George 2011-05-07 10:10:48 10:11:01 09:57:33 3
IM Arizona 2010-11-21 09:31:22 09:44:05 09:51:49 9
IM Canada 2010-08-29 09:46:19 09:54:54 09:56:25 7
IM Arizona 2009-11-22 09:47:44 09:58:18 09:58:18 10

Results for Jackie Arendt (USA)

Race Date Total Adjusted Rating Rank in Race
IM Hawaii 2011-10-15 10:21:02 10:22:53 10:05:04 22
IM Louisville 2011-08-28 09:40:28 09:51:16 09:58:39 2
IM Lake Placid 2011-07-24 09:56:21 09:58:34 10:02:34 4
IM St. George 2011-05-07 10:06:36 10:06:49 10:06:49 2

Results for Erin Spitler ( )

Race Date Total Adjusted Rating Rank in Race
IM Arizona 2011-11-19 09:55:03 10:09:55 10:22:40 21
IM Wisconsin 2011-09-11 10:38:32 10:40:32 10:29:44 8
IM Australia 2011-05-01 10:08:33 10:17:45 10:17:45 5

Results for Trish Deim ()

Race Date Total Adjusted Rating Rank in Race

Results for Gillian Clayton ()

Race Date Total Adjusted Rating Rank in Race

Results for Erin Young ()

Race Date Total Adjusted Rating Rank in Race

IM Australia 2012 – Predictions (Details Post)

Male Race Participants

Rank Name Nation Expected Time Rating Rank
1 Tim Berkel AUS 08:47:24 08:51:13 91
2 Paul Ambrose GBR 08:50:30 08:54:20 106
3 Jason Shortis AUS 08:52:57 08:56:48 115
4 Dan Brown PHI 08:54:13 08:58:05 124
5 Leon Griffin AUS 08:58:46 09:02:40 150
6 Chris Dmitrieff AUS 09:13:52 09:17:52 259
7 Scott Defilippis USA 09:19:49 09:23:52 306

Female Race Participants

Rank Name Nation Expected Time Rating Rank
1 Michelle Mitchell AUS 09:38:05 09:42:16 42
2 Kat Baker AUS 09:58:22 10:02:42 91
3 Nicole Ward AUS 10:00:34 10:04:55 99
4 Hillary Biscay USA 10:10:14 10:14:39 140

Results for Tim Berkel (AUS)

Race Date Total Adjusted Rating Rank in Race
Challenge Cairns 2011-06-05 08:29:20 08:37:08 08:51:13 3
IM Australia 2010-03-28 08:40:46 08:48:36 08:55:45 6
IM Western Australia 2009-12-05 09:33:04 09:49:54 08:57:53 16
IM Australia 2009-04-05 08:31:43 08:34:18 08:38:32 3
IM Western Australia 2008-12-07 08:07:06 08:20:53 08:40:25 1
IM Australia 2008-04-06 08:44:20 08:47:02 08:53:36 4
IM Switzerland 2007-06-24 08:49:07 09:01:49 09:01:49 5

Results for Paul Ambrose (GBR)

Race Date Total Adjusted Rating Rank in Race
IM St. George 2011-05-07 08:51:41 08:51:52 08:54:20 6
IM Louisville 2010-08-29 08:29:59 08:32:42 08:55:05 1
IM Australia 2010-03-28 08:38:24 08:46:12 09:02:31 5
IM Arizona 2009-11-22 08:24:54 08:33:58 09:09:20 5
IM Austria 2009-07-05 08:40:06 08:56:07 09:30:48 11
IM Arizona 2008-11-23 10:04:18 10:12:11 10:12:11 42

Results for Jason Shortis (AUS)

Race Date Total Adjusted Rating Rank in Race
IM Melbourne 2012-03-24 08:57:33 09:06:28 08:56:48 21
IM Western Australia 2011-12-04 08:27:31 08:35:47 08:55:39 3
IM Canada 2011-08-28 09:12:55 09:17:02 08:58:06 10
IM Lake Placid 2011-07-24 08:47:18 08:49:16 08:55:39 3
IM Australia 2011-05-01 08:46:07 08:54:04 08:56:34 3
IM Louisville 2010-08-29 10:12:54 10:16:09 08:56:58 13
IM South Africa 2010-04-25 08:34:52 08:42:26 08:45:23 4
IM Western Australia 2009-12-05 08:37:20 08:52:31 08:45:50 6
IM Lake Placid 2009-07-26 08:58:09 08:57:32 08:44:47 3
IM Australia 2009-04-05 09:02:22 09:05:07 08:42:39 11
IM Western Australia 2008-12-07 08:10:57 08:24:50 08:38:38 2
IM Wisconsin 2008-09-07 08:59:14 08:59:26 08:41:19 3
IM Western Australia 2007-12-01 08:35:43 08:52:06 08:37:18 12
IM Australia 2007-04-08 08:25:33 08:28:54 08:34:05 2
IM Western Australia 2006-12-03 08:03:55 08:10:35 08:35:14 1
IM Korea 2006-08-27 08:34:09 08:36:39 08:41:20 5
Challenge Roth 2006-06-24 08:30:55 08:43:06 08:42:43 8
IM Australia 2006-05-11 08:36:08 08:34:07 08:42:34 3
IM Hawaii 2005-10-15 08:57:06 08:56:34 08:47:47 36
Challenge Roth 2005-06-24 08:27:25 08:38:10 08:38:10 8

Results for Dan Brown (PHI)

Race Date Total Adjusted Rating Rank in Race
IM Korea 2006-08-27 08:55:28 08:58:05 08:58:05 8

Results for Leon Griffin (AUS)

Race Date Total Adjusted Rating Rank in Race
IM Western Australia 2011-12-04 09:03:49 09:12:41 09:02:40 12
IM Cozumel 2009-11-29 13:30:58 13:39:25 08:38:58 16
IM Western Australia 2008-12-07 08:24:41 08:38:58 08:38:58 6

Results for Chris Dmitrieff (AUS)

Race Date Total Adjusted Rating Rank in Race
Challenge Cairns 2011-06-05 09:17:03 09:25:35 09:17:52 8
IM Australia 2011-05-01 09:39:26 09:48:11 09:15:43 8
IM Western Australia 2009-12-05 09:05:29 09:21:30 09:03:37 11
IM Australia 2009-04-05 08:53:06 08:55:48 08:57:42 9
IM Western Australia 2008-12-07 08:28:29 08:42:52 08:58:25 8
IM Australia 2007-04-08 09:17:13 09:20:55 09:06:31 12
IM Hawaii 2006-10-21 09:15:29 09:11:24 08:59:40 50
IM Florida 2005-11-05 08:41:40 08:43:49 08:51:18 4
IM Australia 2005-04-08 09:00:09 09:00:09 09:00:09 10

Results for Scott Defilippis (USA)

Race Date Total Adjusted Rating Rank in Race
Challenge Wanaka 2012-01-21 09:16:00 09:11:00 09:23:52 7
IM Florida 2011-11-05 08:27:13 08:47:36 09:26:27 8
IM France 2011-06-26 09:26:26 09:30:34 09:35:34 13
IM St. George 2011-05-07 09:58:05 09:58:18 09:36:55 15
IM Florida 2010-11-06 08:43:35 09:00:05 09:29:29 12
IM St. George 2010-05-01 09:53:07 09:47:19 09:42:09 17
IM Florida 2009-11-07 09:31:53 09:49:22 09:39:06 17
IM Louisville 2009-08-28 09:25:00 09:28:15 09:28:15 16

Results for Michelle Mitchell (AUS)

Race Date Total Adjusted Rating Rank in Race
IM Western Australia 2011-12-04 09:28:07 09:37:22 09:42:16 2
Challenge Cairns 2011-06-05 09:30:41 09:39:26 09:45:12 2
IM New Zealand 2011-03-05 09:50:04 09:51:23 09:51:23 7
IM Wisconsin 2005-09-11 15:16:08 14:51:39 14:51:39 16

Results for Kat Baker (AUS)

Race Date Total Adjusted Rating Rank in Race
IM Canada 2009-08-30 10:05:19 10:09:58 10:02:42 7
IM Western Australia 2008-12-07 09:37:24 09:53:44 09:53:44 3

Results for Nicole Ward (AUS)

Race Date Total Adjusted Rating Rank in Race
Challenge Wanaka 2012-01-21 10:12:39 10:07:08 10:04:55 6
IM Australia 2011-05-01 09:49:23 09:58:17 10:04:22 3
IM Coeur d’Alene 2010-06-27 09:56:48 10:02:57 10:05:56 6
IM New Zealand 2010-03-06 09:51:05 09:57:50 10:06:42 6
IM Hawaii 2009-10-10 10:20:46 10:15:07 10:09:23 32
IM New Zealand 2009-03-07 09:56:04 10:04:58 10:07:16 7
IM Western Australia 2008-12-07 09:43:12 09:59:42 10:08:19 5
IM Western Australia 2007-12-01 09:44:35 10:03:09 10:14:37 9
IM Australia 2007-04-08 10:24:18 10:28:26 10:28:26 12

Results for Hillary Biscay (USA)

Race Date Total Adjusted Rating Rank in Race
IM Western Australia 2011-12-04 09:39:41 09:49:08 10:14:39 5
IM Louisville 2011-08-28 10:09:32 10:20:52 10:16:17 8
IM Korea 2011-07-03 10:12:20 10:20:03 10:16:00 3
IM Brasil 2011-05-29 09:33:14 09:55:24 10:15:44 4
IM Hawaii 2010-10-09 10:47:51 10:49:09 10:17:05 39
IM Wisconsin 2010-09-12 10:29:06 10:31:35 10:15:12 7
IM Louisville 2010-08-29 10:52:37 10:56:05 10:14:12 9
IM Coeur d’Alene 2010-06-27 10:39:44 10:46:20 10:11:31 11
IM Brasil 2010-05-30 09:44:38 10:03:03 10:09:15 4
IM Lanzarote 2010-05-22 10:41:44 10:39:15 10:09:40 9
IM Wisconsin 2009-09-13 10:02:58 10:00:52 10:04:47 3
IM Lake Placid 2009-07-26 10:47:50 10:47:05 10:05:03 12
IM Lanzarote 2009-05-23 10:28:45 10:25:21 10:02:14 5
Challenge Wanaka 2009-01-01 10:16:39 10:23:17 10:00:39 2
IM Hawaii 2008-10-11 10:35:10 10:32:32 09:59:11 35
IM Wisconsin 2008-09-07 09:47:25 09:47:38 09:57:02 1
IM Louisville 2008-08-27 09:59:33 09:55:57 09:57:40 4
IM Lake Placid 2008-07-20 09:58:45 09:57:26 09:57:47 3
Challenge Roth 2008-07-13 09:24:19 09:46:53 09:57:48 6
IM Brasil 2008-05-25 09:56:10 10:06:36 09:58:41 1
IM Arizona 2008-04-13 09:53:21 09:57:02 09:58:01 8
Challenge Wanaka 2008-01-19 10:11:17 10:15:04 09:58:06 2
IM Hawaii 2007-10-13 09:56:46 09:56:23 09:56:36 20
IM Wisconsin 2007-09-09 10:01:30 10:00:22 09:56:37 2
IM UK 2007-08-19 09:49:50 09:56:09 09:56:15 2
IM Austria 2007-07-08 09:39:23 09:51:18 09:56:16 6
IM Brasil 2007-05-27 09:44:14 09:56:33 09:56:49 6
IM Arizona 2007-04-15 11:33:07 11:36:58 10:07:26 10
IM New Zealand 2007-03-03 09:34:53 09:39:20 09:56:51 4
Challenge Wanaka 2007-01-20 09:58:35 10:01:02 09:59:07 3
IM Florida 2006-11-04 09:40:39 09:48:47 09:58:50 3
IM Wisconsin 2006-09-10 10:07:01 09:52:55 10:00:24 2
IM Austria 2006-07-16 09:30:37 09:42:47 10:01:42 4
IM Coeur d’Alene 2006-06-25 09:59:46 10:00:14 10:05:29 5
IM Arizona 2006-04-09 09:43:36 09:44:41 10:06:47 3
IM Brasil 2006-01-01 09:34:19 09:41:10 10:13:25 3
IM Canada 2005-08-29 10:36:56 10:34:27 10:25:50 11
IM Lake Placid 2005-07-24 10:31:33 10:26:19 10:21:13 10
IM Arizona 2005-04-09 10:15:40 10:15:40 10:15:40 7
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