January 2014

Bevan and John TriTrivia scorecard

February 3, 2014

IMTalk

Bevan and John went through my TriTrivia questions in IMTalk Episode 398. Here’s how they did:

Question	Bevan’s and John’s Answer	Correct Answer?	Comment
1. Who ended Cameron Brown’s winning streak at full distance IM New Zealand?	Bevan Docherty in 2013 (but they weren’t 100% sure if Cam hadn’t lost earlier )	Yes	They correctly discarded the wins by Marino in 2012 (race shortened to a half IM) and Ain Alar Juhanson in 2006 (90k bike, 21k run).
2. Australia for the men and the UK for the women had a series of Kona wins. Name the highest placed athletes from these countries in Kona 2013!	UK: Rachel Joyce (2nd) Australia: Luke McKenzie (2nd)	Yes
3. Name at least one athlete (m or f) who has won two IM-distance races in 2013.	Eneko Llanos Rachel Joyce Fredrik Van Lierde	Yes	The full list of double IM winners: Frederik Van Lierde: IM Hawaii and IM France Luke Bell: IM Australia and IM Mont Tremblant Erika Csomor: IM Los Cabos and IM Austria Victor Del Corral: IM Florida and IM Arizona Mary Beth Ellis: IM France and IM Mont Tremblant Lucy Gossage: IM UK and IM Wales Rachel Joyce: IM Texas and IM Cozumel Eneko Llanos: IM Melbourne and IM Germany Chris McDonald: IM Louisville and IM Lake Tahoe Ronnie Schildknecht: IM South Africa and IM Switzerland If you include non-WTC races: Dylan McNeice: Challenge Wanaka and Challenge Taiwan Caroline Steffen: Challenge Roth and MetaMan Eva Wutti: IM Copenhagen and Challenge Barcelona
4. Who was the highest placed male Pro in Kona 2013 that has never won an Ironman?	Sebastian Kienle (after only a short discussion)	Yes	For the women, it was Kim Schwabenbauer in 22nd place!
5. Name three or more new IM races after the end of 2013 qualifiers!	Lake Tahoe Japan Boulder	Yes	They thought about Canada, but correctly noted that it qualified for 2013. There are also additional new IM races in Fortalezza (Brasil), Mallorca (Spain) and Langkawi (Malaysia).
6. Name a US athlete that has gone sub-8h!	Andrew Starykowicz („that’s easy“)	Yes	He’s the first and only one so far (7:55:22 in Florida 2013).
7. Which race will be the first Kona 2015 qualifier?	Wisconsin	Yes	Scheduled for September 7th, 2014.
8. Which was the last win by Macca?	2012 ITU Long Distance, for IM-distance: 2010 Kona	Partly	The question I sent to Bevan and John was worded a bit loosely. Therefore, their answer of „2012 ITU Long Distance World Champs“ was correct (July 2012).The version I published on my site was more specifically targeted at „last IM-distance win“. Bevan and John discussed that question too, but they missed Macca’s win at Challenge Cairns in June 2011.
9. Name at least one female US athlete who has gone sub-9h!	Mary Beth Ellis Meredith Kessler	Yes	The full list: Sue Latshaw (Roth 1997) Mary Beth Ellis (Austria 2011, Texas 2012) Jessica Jacobs (Florida 2011) Linsey Corbin (Arizona 2011) Ashley Clifford (Florida 2013) Meredith Kessler (Arizona 2013) Elizabeth Lyles (Western Australia 2013)
10. Which were the last IM races won by US athletes (male and female)?	M: Andy Potts (Lake Placid) F: Mary Beth Ellis (somewhere in 2013)	Partly	Andy Potts is the correct answer for the male, but US pro Elizabeth Lyles won the last IM in 2013 (Western Australia).
Bonus: Who were 3rd placed Pros (m+f) in the first ever Challenge Wanaka in 2007?	M: John Newsom F: „maybe Hillary”	Yes	Amazing! I was pretty sure John would get the male answer right, but had my doubts he’d also remember Hillary Biscay as the third women.

All in all, Bevan and John did very good. They got two questions only partly right, so I give them a total score of 9 out of 10 (plus the bonus point). Well done!

TriTrivia – IMTalk Edition

January 27, 2014

John and Bevan from the IMTalk podcast went through my 2013 Tri Trivia. They liked the questions, but said that they were pretty hard to answer without serious research. So here is a new set of questions designed to be answered without having to resort to a full list of 2013 results.

The questions start relatively easy, but the last ones get pretty hard!

Who ended Cameron Brown’s winning streak at full distance IM New Zealand?
Australia for the men and the UK for the women had a series of Kona wins. Name the highest placed athletes from these countries in Kona 2013!
Name at least one athlete (m or f) who has won two IM-distance races in 2013.
Who was the highest placed male Pro in Kona 2013 that has never won an Ironman?
Name three or more new IM races after the end of 2013 qualifiers!
Name a US athlete that has gone sub-8h!
Which race will be the first Kona 2015 qualifier?
Which was the last IM-distance win by Macca?
Name at least one female US athlete who has gone sub-9h!
Which were the last IM races won by US athletes (male and female)?

Bonus question:

Who were 3rd placed Pros (m+f) in the first ever Challenge Wanaka in 2007?

Have fun with these, and let’s see how good John and Bevan are going to do. (Here’s the link to download IMTalk Episode 398 where they discuss the questions.)

Challenge Wanaka 2014 – Analyzing Results

February 26, 2017

Race Conditions

Even though they were not too many Pro finishers this year, conditions seemed to be pretty normal for Wanaka: A cold swim (probably the cause for a lot of the DNFs), followed by a scenic bike ride (also pretty slow) and an average run. There were hardly any changes in the course rating, now at -2:39 (making Wanaka one of the slower races on the calendar).

Male Race Results

Dylan McNeice successfully defended his title, again posting a very strong result. My pre-race favorite, Richard Ussher, was never really challenging him. Richard ran a sub-3h marathon, but was still bettered by Dylan’s 2:56. The last podium spot went to Iron-rookie Dougal Allan, who overcame his slow 1:03 swim with the fastest bike (4:45):

NewImage

Rank	Name	Nation	Swim	Bike	Run	Time	Diff to expected
1	Dylan McNeice	NZL	00:46:25	04:51:26	02:56:58	08:38:48	-23:08
2	Richard Ussher	NZL	00:53:16	04:53:18	02:58:57	08:49:49	12:04
3	Dougal Allan	NZL	01:03:42	04:45:22	03:01:03	08:54:37	n/a
4	Carl Read	NZL	00:53:17	05:06:07	03:02:49	09:06:08	00:31
5	Matt Burgess	NZL	00:50:56	04:52:23	03:24:02	09:12:10	n/a
6	Jaroslav Kovacic	SLO	00:51:03	05:07:55	03:19:25	09:24:45	n/a
7	Courtney Ogden	AUS	00:53:35			DNF
8	Scott Defilippis	USA	01:00:20			DNF
9	Simon Cochrane	NZL	00:55:59			DNF
10	Keegan Williams	NZL	00:53:21			DNF
11	Bryan Rhodes	NZL	00:50:52	05:18:59		DNF
12	Matty White	AUS	00:53:18			DNF
13	Ben Logan	NZL	00:50:52			DNF

Female Race Results

As for the men, my pre-race favorite (Gina Crawford) struggled a bit, finished „only“ in second place, and was beaten by an athlete having a great day. Candice Hammond took out the win, while Simone Maier and Tamsyn Hayes were the remaining female finishers.

WanakaWomen

(Female finishers in order, starting with winner Candice Hammond on the left.)

Rank	Name	Nation	Swim	Bike	Run	Time	Diff to expected
1	Candice Hammond	NZL	01:03:50	05:09:56	03:15:38	09:33:54	-14:14
2	Gina Crawford	NZL	00:53:20	05:20:18	03:21:51	09:41:08	08:34
3	Simone Maier	GER	01:05:43	05:21:40	03:15:32	09:48:50	-17:14
4	Tamsyn Hayes	NZL	01:00:43	05:23:59	03:41:52	10:11:56	-08:22
5	Carrie Lester	AUS	00:57:16			DNF

Photo Credit: Challenge Wanaka

2013 TriRating Report released!

February 20, 2014

I have just released my 2013 TriRating Report, the third time that I’m releasing an “end-of-year” report. I’m looking back at the 2013 Ironman-distance races and my analysis of the results.

The Report has more than 60 pages, including:

Top 10 Ratings (overall and individually for swim, bike and run)
Top 10 Performances (by “clock time” and by my normalized times)
2013 Money List
a closer look at the KPR in general and the changes for 2014
a first look forward to Kona 2014

and a ton of race results and all rated athletes!

A lot of people have asked how they can pay me back in some way for the information I’ve been putting out. In order to enable that, I’m releasing this report through Gumroad. The report continues to be free (you can just enter “0” as the amount), but if you like the report and want to show me your appreciation for my work, you can donate an amount of your choice. Regardless of whether you donate or not, feel free to share with others and enjoy!

Challenge Wanaka 2014 (Jan 18th) – Predictions

February 26, 2017

Previous Year’s TOP 3

Male Race Results

Rank	Name	Nation	Swim	Bike	Run	Time
1	Dylan McNeice	NZL	00:47:56	04:58:14	02:59:59	08:51:18
2	Jamie Whyte	NZL	00:55:05	04:52:42	03:03:45	08:55:43
3	Chris McCormack	AUS	00:55:07	04:58:44	02:59:52	08:58:05

Female Race Results

Rank	Name	Nation	Swim	Bike	Run	Time
1	Gina Crawford	NZL	00:59:14	05:08:30	03:11:07	09:24:31
2	Candice Hammond	NZL	01:06:52	05:23:07	03:09:43	09:44:22
3	Joanna Lawn	NZL	00:59:46	05:24:20	03:15:08	09:44:30

Course Records

Leg	Gender	Record	Athlete	Date
Total	overall	08:34:41	Richard Ussher	2010-01-16
Swim	overall	00:47:44	Kieran Doe	2012-01-21
Bike	overall	04:42:26	Richard Ussher	2010-01-16
Run	overall	02:48:04	Marc Pschebizin	2008-01-19
Total	female	09:24:31	Gina Crawford	2013-01-19
Swim	female	00:50:01	Gina Ferguson	2008-01-19
Bike	female	05:08:30	Gina Crawford	2013-01-19
Run	female	03:08:59	Rebekah Keat	2010-01-16

Course Rating

The Course Rating for Challenge Wanaka is – 03:21.

Race Adjustments for Challenge Wanaka

Year	Adjustment	Swim Adj.	Bike Adj.	Run Adj.	# of Athletes	Rating	Swim Rating	Bike Rating	Run Rating
2007	03:50	00:36	-07:25	05:03	6	03:50	00:36	-07:25	05:03
2008	-00:26	01:14	-10:09	00:51	10	01:42	00:55	-08:47	02:57
2009	03:58	-03:36	-01:43	03:34	11	02:27	-00:35	-06:26	03:09
2010	00:42	-01:48	-01:13	03:14	13	02:01	-00:53	-05:07	03:10
2011	-23:44	-02:45	-24:22	-03:28	13	-03:08	-01:16	-08:58	01:51
2012	-08:36	-01:12	-07:51	-03:00	15	-04:03	-01:15	-08:47	01:02
2013	00:52	-05:41	-08:00	02:39	13	-03:21	-01:53	-08:40	01:16

Male Race Participants

Rank	Bib	Name	Nation	Expected Time	Rating	Swim Rating	Bike Rating	Run Rating	Rank
1	3	Richard Ussher	NZL	08:43:05	08:39:52	00:54:34	04:42:05	02:57:02	17
2	12	Courtney Ogden	AUS	08:52:07	08:48:50	00:50:23	04:48:19	02:59:05	45
3	5	Matty White	AUS	09:05:07	09:01:46	00:51:22	04:47:40	03:10:58	93
4	1	Dylan McNeice	NZL	09:07:23	09:04:01	00:44:47	04:51:55	03:11:18	102
5	2	Keegan Williams	NZL	09:09:36	09:06:13	00:52:01	04:50:05	03:08:53	114
6	6	Carl Read	NZL	09:11:12	09:07:48	00:53:36	04:57:45	03:01:32	122
7	17	Bryan Rhodes	NZL	09:22:06	09:18:38	00:47:53	04:56:31	03:22:31	163
8	7	Simon Cochrane	NZL	09:23:57	09:20:29	00:53:03	05:02:57	03:07:58	169
9	4	Scott Defilippis	USA	09:24:32	09:21:03	00:56:37	05:01:57	03:04:33	174
10	8	Paul Hawkins	GBR	09:34:11	09:30:39	00:58:33	05:28:51	03:20:28	196
11	15	Timothy Beardall	AUS	10:13:12	10:09:26	01:00:43	04:55:33	03:58:53	329
	16	Dougal Allan	NZL	n/a	unrated	unrated	unrated	unrated	n/a
	14	Matt Burgess	NZL	n/a	unrated	unrated	unrated	unrated	n/a
	13	Ben Logan	NZL	n/a	unrated	unrated	unrated	unrated	n/a
	10	Jaroslav Kovacic	SLO	n/a	unrated	unrated	unrated	unrated	n/a

Female Race Participants

Rank	Bib	Name	Nation	Expected Time	Rating	Swim Rating	Bike Rating	Run Rating	Rank
1	50	Gina Crawford	NZL	09:38:27	09:34:53	00:51:51	05:14:07	03:12:44	11
2	51	Candice Hammond	NZL	09:54:05	09:50:26	01:00:45	05:15:56	03:17:00	37
3	53	Carrie Lester	AUS	09:57:33	09:53:52	00:56:00	05:16:56	03:25:04	47
4	52	Simone Maier	GER	10:12:11	10:08:25	01:04:17	05:22:55	03:20:52	78
5	54	Tamsyn Hayes	NZL	10:26:36	10:22:45	00:58:39	05:20:37	03:43:51	100
	55	Larisa Marsh	NZL	n/a	unrated	unrated	unrated	unrated	n/a

Winning Odds

Male Race Participants

Last year’s winner Dylan McNeice is back to defend his title, but he faces strong competition in Richard Ussher (taking another stab at Ironman racing), Courtney Ogden, Matty White and Keegan Williams:

Richard Ussher: 37% (2-1)
Courtney Ogden: 28% (3-1)
Dylan McNeice: 13% (7-1)
Matty White: 10% (9-1)
Keegan Williams: 5% (18-1)
Scott Defilippis: 4% (25-1)

Female Race Participants

Gina Crawford is also back, her chances to defend her title are much better:

Gina Crawford: 67% (1-1)
Candice Hammond: 15% (6-1)
Carrie Lester: 14% (6-1)
Simone Maier: 3% (34-1)