Challenge Weymouth (September 13th) – Predictions

Previous Winners

Year	Male Winner	Time	Female Winner	Time
2014	Joe Skipper (GBR)	07:49:03	Eleanor Haresign (GBR)	08:54:41

Last Year’s TOP 3

Last year’s race had a short run course – that explains the fast run times but also makes the data unusable for course records or rating the course.

Male Race Results

Rank	Name	Nation	Swim	Bike	Run	Time
1	Joe Skipper	GBR	00:31:00	04:43:18	02:29:40	07:49:03
2	Joel Jameson	GBR	00:33:05	04:45:17	02:34:38	07:57:37
3	Stephen Bayliss	GBR	00:27:26	04:51:09	02:41:57	08:04:37

Female Race Results

Rank	Name	Nation	Swim	Bike	Run	Time
1	Eleanor Haresign	GBR	00:33:33	05:21:34	02:55:50	08:54:41
2	Joanna Carritt	GBR	00:37:16	05:20:24	02:56:15	08:59:49
3	Michi Herlbauer	AUT	00:32:09	05:26:10	02:57:45	09:01:14

Male Race Participants

Rank	Bib	Name	Nation	Expected Time	Rating	Exp. Swim	Exp. Bike	Exp. Run	Overall
1	9	Chris Fischer	DEN	08:44:01	08:49:03	00:52:52	04:48:28	02:57:40	88
2	1	Stephen Bayliss	GBR	08:48:02	09:04:29	00:48:09	04:49:12	03:05:42	(145)
3	11	Marek Jaskolka	POL	08:49:16	08:44:58	00:48:52	04:56:28	02:58:56	66
4	12	Graeme Stewart	GBR	08:53:14	09:08:12	00:54:42	04:47:02	03:06:31	(158)
5	8	Sergio Marques	POR	08:55:21	08:56:09	00:54:56	04:56:54	02:58:30	110
6	14	David Naesvik	SWE	08:59:27	09:04:22	00:55:22	04:45:03	03:14:01	143
7	10	Petr Vabrousek	CZE	09:03:49	09:00:15	00:56:03	04:55:33	03:07:13	123
8	13	Jaroslav Kovacic	SLO	09:06:23	09:17:35	00:51:04	04:59:05	03:11:15	(203)
9	4	Marin Koceic	CRO	09:07:50	09:14:31	00:52:13	04:58:48	03:11:49	(193)
10	5	Aleksei Brylev	RUS	09:42:19	09:55:06	00:54:30	05:25:09	03:17:40	(351)
	15	Arnaud Savio	FRA	n/a	unrated	unrated	unrated	unrated	(n/a)

Female Race Participants

Rank	Bib	Name	Nation	Expected Time	Rating	Exp. Swim	Exp. Bike	Exp. Run	Overall
1	24	Camilla Lindholm	SWE	09:40:56	09:50:04	01:07:34	05:11:31	03:16:51	68
2	20	Yvette Grice	GBR	10:01:54	10:08:44	00:56:16	05:35:24	03:25:14	(113)
3	29	Alice Hector	GBR	10:05:00	10:15:46	00:56:45	05:41:24	03:21:51	(128)
4	23	Eva Potuckova	CZE	10:10:44	10:17:04	00:53:08	05:36:12	03:36:24	(130)
5	22	Joanna Carritt	GBR	10:14:59	10:15:27	01:03:15	05:32:08	03:34:37	126
6	21	Alena Stevens	SVK	10:17:42	10:21:28	01:01:28	05:36:42	03:34:31	143
7	27	Nicole Woysch	GER	10:24:05	10:47:51	00:58:50	05:31:04	03:49:12	(170)
8	26	Vanessa Pereira	POR	10:36:45	10:44:57	01:02:58	05:43:57	03:44:50	169
9	25	Vicky Gill	GBR	11:08:48	11:29:04	01:11:02	06:01:15	03:51:32	(179)
	28	Kate Comber	GBR	n/a	unrated	unrated	unrated	unrated	(n/a)

Winning Odds

Male Race Participants

Stephen Bayliss will be the “local” favorite for the race based on his huge experience and excellent results in the past, but Chris Fischer recently had the better results and has to be considered the statistical favorite:

• Chris Fischer: 39% (2-1)
• Stephen Bayliss: 27% (3-1)
• Graeme Stewart: 12% (7-1)
• Marek Jaskolka: 11% (8-1)
• Sergio Marques: 6% (15-1)
• David Naesvik: 3% (36-1)
• Petr Vabrousek: 2% (64-1)

Female Race Participants

Camilla Lindholm narrowly missed qualifying for Kona and probably wants to use her fitness for one more good 2015 result. She faces a good number of strong British and international athletes:

• Camilla Lindholm: 68% (1-1)
• Yvette Grice: 14% (6-1)
• Alice Hector: 6% (15-1)
• Joanna Carritt: 5% (17-1)
• Alena Stevens: 2% (40-1)
• Eva Potuckova: 2% (42-1)