Update November 11th: The following athletes have been deleted the latest start list from Ironman:
- Peter Kotland
- Heather Jackson, Dede Griesgrauer, Danielle Mack
Pedro Gomes has announced on Twitter and his blog that he won’t start.
Previous Winners
| Year | Male Winner | Time | Female Winner | Time |
| 2005 | Faris Al-Sultan (GER) | 08:25:42 | Kate Major (AUS) | 09:44:02 |
| 2006 | Michael Lovato (USA) | 08:20:56 | Michellie Jones (AUS) | 09:12:53 |
| 2007 | Rutger Beke (BEL) | 08:21:14 | Heather Gollnick (USA) | 09:36:40 |
| 2008 | Jozsef Major (HUN) | 08:34:19 | Erika Csomor (HUN) | 09:14:49 |
| 2008 | Andreas Raelert (GER) | 08:14:16 | Heleen Bij De Vaate (NED) | 09:21:06 |
| 2009 | Jordan Rapp (USA) | 08:13:35 | Samantha McGlone (CAN) | 09:09:19 |
| 2010 | Timo Bracht (GER) | 08:07:16 | Chrissie Wellington (GBR) | 08:36:13 |
| 2011 | Eneko Llanos (ESP) | 07:59:38 | Leanda Cave (GBR) | 08:49:00 |
| 2012 | Nils Frommhold (GER) | 08:03:13 | Linsey Corbin (USA) | 09:01:41 |
| 2013 | Victor Del Corral (ESP) | 08:02:00 | Julia Gajer (GER) | 08:52:49 |
| 2014 | Brent McMahon (CAN) | 07:55:48 | Meredith Kessler (USA) | 08:50:41 |
Last Year’s TOP 3
Male Race Results
| Rank | Name | Nation | Swim | Bike | Run | Time |
| 1 | Brent McMahon | CAN | 00:47:25 | 04:21:24 | 02:43:29 | 07:55:48 |
| 2 | Clemente Alonso McKernan | ESP | 00:48:05 | 04:20:44 | 02:47:30 | 08:00:42 |
| 3 | Jordan Rapp | USA | 00:51:13 | 04:14:03 | 02:54:08 | 08:03:14 |
Female Race Results
| Rank | Name | Nation | Swim | Bike | Run | Time |
| 1 | Meredith Kessler | USA | 00:50:22 | 04:48:06 | 03:07:56 | 08:50:41 |
| 2 | Lisa Huetthaler | AUT | 00:59:05 | 04:50:17 | 03:05:48 | 08:58:46 |
| 3 | Heather Jackson | USA | 00:58:57 | 04:47:07 | 03:18:51 | 09:08:57 |
Course Records
| Leg | Gender | Record | Athlete | Date |
| Total | overall | 07:55:48 | Brent McMahon | 2014-11-16 |
| Swim | overall | 00:46:02 | Kieran Doe | 2008-11-23 |
| Bike | overall | 04:14:03 | Jordan Rapp | 2014-11-16 |
| Run | overall | 02:43:29 | Brent McMahon | 2014-11-16 |
| Total | female | 08:36:13 | Chrissie Wellington | 2010-11-21 |
| Swim | female | 00:48:13 | Leanda Cave | 2008-11-23 |
| Bike | female | 04:42:57 | Michelle Vesterby | 2013-11-17 |
| Run | female | 02:52:56 | Chrissie Wellington | 2010-11-21 |
Course Rating
The Course Rating for IM Arizona is 11:37.
Race Adjustments for IM Arizona
| Year | Adjustment | Swim Adj. | Bike Adj. | Run Adj. | # of Athletes | Rating | Swim Rating | Bike Rating | Run Rating |
| 2006 | 05:53 | -00:36 | 04:34 | -00:24 | 29 | 05:53 | -00:36 | 04:34 | -00:24 |
| 2007 | 02:55 | -00:35 | 01:13 | 01:35 | 26 | 04:24 | -00:36 | 02:53 | 00:36 |
| 2008 | 04:58 | 00:04 | 04:21 | -00:50 | 38 | 04:35 | -00:22 | 03:22 | 00:07 |
| 2008 | 10:53 | 01:10 | 09:07 | 01:59 | 51 | 06:10 | 00:01 | 04:49 | 00:35 |
| 2009 | 17:44 | -01:00 | 12:12 | 02:35 | 37 | 08:28 | -00:12 | 06:17 | 00:59 |
| 2010 | 13:23 | -00:23 | 09:06 | 01:47 | 46 | 09:18 | -00:13 | 06:45 | 01:07 |
| 2011 | 15:03 | -00:56 | 15:27 | 02:14 | 55 | 10:07 | -00:20 | 08:00 | 01:17 |
| 2012 | 14:16 | -01:58 | 16:28 | 02:33 | 50 | 10:38 | -00:32 | 09:04 | 01:26 |
| 2013 | 22:15 | -00:21 | 19:57 | 03:47 | 58 | 11:56 | -00:31 | 10:16 | 01:42 |
| 2014 | 08:52 | -01:09 | 08:37 | 02:33 | 40 | 11:37 | -00:35 | 10:06 | 01:47 |
KPR points and Prize Money
IM Arizona is a P-2000 race. It has a total prize purse of 100.000 US$.
Male Race Participants
| Rank | Bib | Name | Nation | Expected Time | Rating | Exp. Swim | Exp. Bike | Exp. Run | Overall |
| 1 | 1 | Brent McMahon | CAN | 08:01:10 | 08:13:51 | 00:47:17 | 04:20:50 | 02:48:03 | 2 |
| 2 | 2 | Jordan Rapp | USA | 08:10:21 | 08:27:40 | 00:51:34 | 04:18:20 | 02:55:27 | 15 |
| 3 | 3 | Maik Twelsiek | GER | 08:19:33 | 08:38:30 | 00:50:41 | 04:18:44 | 03:05:07 | 42 |
| 4 | 31 | Marc Duelsen | GER | 08:20:44 | 08:45:39 | 00:53:13 | 04:25:56 | 02:56:35 | 71 |
| 5 | 4 | TJ Tollakson | USA | 08:21:18 | 08:37:50 | 00:49:15 | 04:24:57 | 03:02:07 | 39 |
| 6 | 9 | Andrew Starykowicz | USA | 08:25:10 | 08:39:54 | 00:48:13 | 04:17:42 | 03:14:15 | 47 |
| 8 | 11 | Lionel Sanders | CAN | 08:26:36 | 08:35:29 | 00:56:42 | 04:28:08 | 02:56:46 | 32 |
| 9 | 7 | Marko Albert | EST | 08:27:48 | 08:35:42 | 00:47:32 | 04:34:52 | 03:00:24 | 33 |
| 10 | 54 | Jonathan Shearon | USA | 08:27:53 | 09:00:42 | 00:53:01 | 04:28:33 | 03:01:20 | 134 |
| 11 | 8 | David Plese | SLO | 08:30:29 | 08:39:16 | 00:53:10 | 04:35:31 | 02:56:48 | 46 |
| 12 | 5 | Matthew Russell | USA | 08:33:28 | 08:50:06 | 00:58:29 | 04:32:40 | 02:57:19 | 86 |
| 13 | 35 | Miguel Fidalgo Rossell | ESP | 08:35:39 | 08:57:30 | 00:49:04 | 04:47:12 | 02:54:23 | (118) |
| 14 | 36 | Thomas Gerlach | USA | 08:36:44 | 08:55:43 | 00:53:57 | 04:30:58 | 03:06:50 | 114 |
| 15 | 14 | Sergio Marques | POR | 08:37:51 | 08:54:42 | 00:55:05 | 04:44:37 | 02:53:09 | 112 |
| 16 | 22 | Christian Brader | GER | 08:39:48 | 08:54:12 | 00:57:05 | 04:40:41 | 02:57:02 | 107 |
| 17 | 6 | Jozsef Major | HUN | 08:39:49 | 08:53:17 | 00:57:32 | 04:30:53 | 03:06:25 | 101 |
| 18 | 60 | Dirk Wijnalda | NED | 08:41:50 | 09:01:28 | 00:57:46 | 04:42:11 | 02:56:53 | 137 |
| 19 | 41 | Matic Modic | SLO | 08:42:02 | 09:04:49 | 00:55:00 | 04:39:54 | 03:02:08 | 155 |
| 20 | 56 | Joe Umphenour | USA | 08:42:29 | 08:58:11 | 00:47:43 | 04:39:23 | 03:10:24 | 120 |
| 21 | 15 | Mike Schifferle | SUI | 08:44:14 | 09:01:06 | 01:00:15 | 04:37:12 | 03:01:47 | 135 |
| 22 | 43 | David Naesvik | SWE | 08:47:27 | 09:03:12 | 00:55:56 | 04:36:07 | 03:10:24 | 146 |
| 23 | 39 | Daniel Herlbauer | AUT | 08:48:41 | 09:11:57 | 00:54:01 | 04:40:57 | 03:08:43 | (186) |
| 24 | 16 | Christopher Bagg | USA | 08:49:12 | 09:20:27 | 00:54:06 | 04:40:47 | 03:09:18 | 222 |
| 25 | 18 | Marcel Bischof | GER | 08:55:06 | 09:17:08 | 00:57:05 | 04:45:08 | 03:07:53 | 208 |
| 26 | 26 | James Chesson | USA | 08:58:19 | 09:17:25 | 00:58:09 | 04:47:57 | 03:07:13 | 210 |
| 27 | 17 | Blake Becker | USA | 08:58:37 | 09:40:02 | 00:53:09 | 04:45:56 | 03:14:32 | 300 |
| 28 | 21 | Raymond Botelho | USA | 09:00:09 | 09:29:29 | 00:54:11 | 04:35:58 | 03:24:59 | 253 |
| 29 | 58 | Jesse Vondracek | USA | 09:00:41 | 09:30:04 | 00:54:39 | 04:53:42 | 03:07:21 | 256 |
| 30 | 33 | Lewis Elliot | USA | 09:03:49 | 09:37:27 | 00:54:13 | 04:40:44 | 03:23:52 | (289) |
| 31 | 49 | Felipe De Oliveira Manente | BRA | 09:03:50 | 09:21:06 | 00:53:43 | 04:54:57 | 03:10:10 | 225 |
| 32 | 45 | Colin Laughery | USA | 09:05:16 | 09:28:27 | 00:59:04 | 04:50:35 | 03:10:37 | (249) |
| 33 | 51 | Bryan McCrystal | IRL | 09:06:56 | 09:23:20 | 01:04:13 | 04:34:30 | 03:23:14 | (234) |
| 34 | 46 | James Lubinski | USA | 09:07:13 | 09:31:08 | 01:02:37 | 04:50:22 | 03:09:15 | 262 |
| 35 | 48 | Douglas MacLean | USA | 09:07:48 | 09:25:21 | 00:58:18 | 04:55:34 | 03:08:56 | 240 |
| 36 | 55 | Michael Starkey | USA | 09:08:55 | 09:27:10 | 00:59:52 | 04:51:26 | 03:12:38 | 244 |
| 37 | 19 | Patrick Bless | GER | 09:15:59 | 09:29:44 | 00:58:00 | 04:59:19 | 03:13:40 | 254 |
| 38 | 24 | Jordan Bryden | CAN | 09:16:26 | 09:50:12 | 00:49:55 | 05:01:46 | 03:19:46 | 334 |
| 39 | 27 | Emanuele Ciotti | ITA | 09:21:09 | 09:41:55 | 00:52:46 | 04:57:37 | 03:25:46 | (305) |
| 40 | 37 | Dylan Gleeson | CAN | 09:28:55 | 09:53:07 | 00:56:26 | 04:41:07 | 03:46:21 | (347) |
| 41 | 61 | Dantley Young | USA | 09:33:54 | 10:04:30 | 01:06:25 | 05:04:25 | 03:18:04 | 379 |
| 43 | 38 | Elmar Heger | GER | 09:41:16 | 10:14:31 | 00:57:42 | 04:55:01 | 03:43:33 | 409 |
| 44 | 53 | Mario Radevic | GER | 09:53:35 | 10:27:54 | 01:03:08 | 05:02:24 | 03:43:03 | (452) |
| 45 | 52 | Gilian Oriet | SUI | 09:54:42 | 10:32:28 | 00:59:51 | 04:55:42 | 03:54:10 | (457) |
| 46 | 47 | Arland Macasieb | PHI | 09:58:23 | 10:33:30 | 01:05:08 | 05:11:39 | 03:36:36 | (461) |
| 47 | 20 | Karl Bordine | USA | 10:07:41 | 10:33:32 | 00:59:22 | 04:39:51 | 04:23:28 | (461) |
| 48 | 28 | Reinaldo De Oliveira | BRA | 10:09:56 | 10:34:26 | 01:02:38 | 05:14:24 | 03:47:55 | (461) |
| 49 | 34 | Andrew Fast | USA | 10:10:42 | 10:31:43 | 00:58:41 | 05:05:45 | 04:01:16 | (456) |
| 50 | 23 | Patrice Brisindi | CAN | 10:12:15 | 10:38:17 | 00:57:34 | 05:16:06 | 03:53:36 | (464) |
| 51 | 50 | Brent Mcburney | USA | 10:27:32 | 10:54:13 | 01:00:32 | 05:03:52 | 04:18:08 | (474) |
| 52 | 59 | Jason Watson | USA | 10:43:28 | 11:15:41 | 00:59:27 | 05:21:58 | 04:17:03 | 479 |
| 53 | 85 | Terry Casey | USA | 10:44:20 | 11:11:44 | 00:59:03 | 05:23:42 | 04:16:36 | (478) |
| 54 | 10 | Drew Scott | USA | 11:04:19 | 11:32:34 | 00:49:49 | 04:34:33 | 05:34:57 | (481) |
| 12 | Kevin Collington | USA | n/a | unrated | unrated | unrated | unrated | (n/a) | |
| 25 | Nicholas Chase | USA | n/a | unrated | unrated | unrated | unrated | (n/a) | |
| 29 | Ivan Dominguez | USA | n/a | unrated | unrated | unrated | unrated | (n/a) | |
| 30 | Nathan Dressel | USA | n/a | unrated | unrated | unrated | unrated | (n/a) | |
| 32 | Robert Duncan | USA | n/a | unrated | unrated | unrated | unrated | (n/a) | |
| 40 | Tyler Jordan | USA | n/a | unrated | unrated | unrated | unrated | (n/a) | |
| 44 | Derek Lantz | CAN | n/a | unrated | unrated | unrated | unrated | (n/a) | |
| 57 | Jorge Vazquez | MEX | n/a | unrated | unrated | unrated | unrated | (n/a) |
Female Race Participants
| Rank | Bib | Name | Nation | Exp. Time | Rating | Exp. Swim | Exp. Bike | Exp. Run | Overall |
| 1 | 70 | Meredith Kessler | USA | 08:58:15 | 09:25:43 | 00:49:56 | 04:51:30 | 03:11:50 | 19 |
| 2 | 71 | Julia Gajer | GER | 09:03:33 | 09:20:48 | 00:53:41 | 04:59:47 | 03:05:05 | 14 |
| 3 | 72 | Michelle Vesterby | DEN | 09:04:49 | 09:21:08 | 00:52:03 | 04:53:59 | 03:13:47 | 15 |
| 5 | 75 | Amanda Stevens | USA | 09:15:13 | 09:39:10 | 00:50:56 | 05:00:18 | 03:18:58 | 44 |
| 6 | 77 | Lisa Roberts | USA | 09:16:09 | 09:31:47 | 01:04:22 | 05:03:20 | 03:03:27 | 27 |
| 8 | 99 | Camilla Lindholm | SWE | 09:24:27 | 09:49:46 | 01:07:44 | 04:59:09 | 03:12:34 | 66 |
| 9 | 74 | Melanie McQuaid | CAN | 09:24:31 | 09:48:32 | 00:58:53 | 04:59:36 | 03:21:02 | (62) |
| 10 | 101 | Mackenzie Madison | USA | 09:25:48 | 09:56:47 | 00:59:16 | 05:03:22 | 03:18:10 | 82 |
| 11 | 87 | Amber Ferreira | USA | 09:30:38 | 09:49:34 | 00:56:13 | 05:08:08 | 03:21:17 | 64 |
| 13 | 108 | Laurel Wassner | USA | 09:36:00 | 09:50:24 | 00:54:41 | 05:19:20 | 03:16:59 | 69 |
| 14 | 105 | Darbi Roberts | USA | 09:36:19 | 10:06:51 | 00:53:30 | 05:04:33 | 03:33:17 | (107) |
| 15 | 93 | Christina Jackson | USA | 09:41:28 | 10:03:20 | 00:52:26 | 05:05:50 | 03:38:11 | 95 |
| 16 | 86 | Anna Cleaver | NZL | 09:43:26 | 10:13:31 | 00:53:01 | 05:13:55 | 03:31:30 | (119) |
| 17 | 95 | Jessica Meyers | USA | 09:46:50 | 10:04:22 | 01:00:14 | 05:15:17 | 03:26:19 | 98 |
| 18 | 88 | Christine Fletcher | CAN | 09:54:27 | 10:12:22 | 00:58:56 | 05:15:49 | 03:34:42 | 116 |
| 19 | 90 | Sarah Graves | USA | 09:57:30 | 10:15:05 | 01:13:00 | 05:17:34 | 03:21:57 | 124 |
| 20 | 104 | Tami Ritchie | USA | 10:01:36 | 10:31:44 | 00:53:28 | 05:33:35 | 03:29:32 | 166 |
| 21 | 94 | Sarah Jarvis | USA | 10:06:48 | 10:30:22 | 01:00:30 | 05:14:48 | 03:46:30 | (165) |
| 22 | 82 | Neilia Bliss | USA | 10:15:38 | 10:41:50 | 01:02:44 | 05:28:54 | 03:39:00 | (172) |
| 23 | 102 | Caroline Martineau | CAN | 10:18:27 | 11:01:25 | 01:05:38 | 05:17:47 | 03:50:01 | (178) |
| 24 | 79 | Rahel Bellinga | NED | 10:24:35 | 10:40:26 | 01:03:34 | 05:09:05 | 04:06:56 | (170) |
| 25 | 97 | Leslie Lamacchia | USA | 10:31:40 | 10:57:18 | 01:08:39 | 05:30:55 | 03:47:06 | (177) |
| 26 | 89 | Richele Frank | CAN | 10:32:53 | 10:59:48 | 01:12:18 | 05:21:07 | 03:54:29 | (177) |
| 27 | 81 | Ali Black | USA | 10:36:19 | 10:57:27 | 01:03:43 | 05:25:49 | 04:01:47 | (177) |
| 28 | 78 | Jennifer Lentzke | CAN | 10:38:20 | 11:02:34 | 01:13:54 | 05:32:32 | 03:46:53 | (178) |
| 29 | 84 | Katy Cargiulo | USA | 10:46:20 | 11:13:49 | 01:00:38 | 06:01:46 | 03:38:56 | (180) |
| 30 | 96 | Kathryn King | GBR | 10:47:49 | 11:15:22 | 01:10:52 | 05:47:19 | 03:44:38 | (180) |
| 31 | 83 | Cori Burnett | USA | 11:03:54 | 11:32:08 | 00:57:40 | 05:54:28 | 04:06:46 | (180) |
| 80 | Hayley Benson | USA | n/a | unrated | unrated | unrated | unrated | (n/a) | |
| 91 | Sarah Haskins | USA | n/a | unrated | unrated | unrated | unrated | (n/a) | |
| 98 | Kara Lapoint | USA | n/a | unrated | unrated | unrated | unrated | (n/a) | |
| 103 | Carrie Mccoy | USA | n/a | unrated | unrated | unrated | unrated | (n/a) | |
| 106 | Frankie Sanjana | GBR | n/a | unrated | unrated | unrated | unrated | (n/a) | |
| 107 | Lauren Thompson | USA | n/a | unrated | unrated | unrated | unrated | (n/a) | |
| 109 | Kelsey Withrow | USA | n/a | unrated | unrated | unrated | unrated | (n/a) |
Winning Odds
Male Race Participants
Defending Champion Brent McMahon is the favorite for this year as well. His strongest competition comes from last year’s third place Jordan Rapp. Brent and Jordan have both raced Kona five weeks before Arizona. There are a number of strong swim/bike athletes (Maik Twelsiek who had the fastest bike split in Kona, TJ Tollakson or Andrew Starykowicz who has the fastest Ironman and 70.3 bike times) and it will be interesting to see who will still be able to have a decent run after what I expect to be a very fast and hard bike leg.
- Brent McMahon: 37% (2-1)
- Jordan Rapp: 27% (3-1)
- Maik Twelsiek: 12% (7-1)
- TJ Tollakson: 6% (16-1)
- Andrew Starykowicz: 6% (17-1)
- Marc Duelsen: 4% (26-1)
- Jonathan Shearon: 2% (56-1)
- Pedro Gomes: 2% (59-1)
Drew Scott is seeded last in my predictions, but that is a result of his 5:28 marathon from IM France. His swim and bike should be good enough to see him close to the front for a good part of the race – hopefully he’ll be able to have a better run this time!
Female Race Participants
The female race has a very interesting mix of athletes who had a good race in Kona and want to do one more decent race with the fitness they have built up (e.g. 4th Michelle Vesterby or 5th Heather Jackson), athletes that didn’t have a good race in Hawaii (e.g. defending Arizona Champion Meredith Kessler who walked most of the Kona marathon and Julia Gajer or Amanda Stevens who DNF’d), and athletes that want to get started on 2016 qualifying (such as Lisa Roberts, Danielle Mack, Camilla Lindholm or Melanie McQuaid). There is an outside chance for Heather Jackson, but I expect the race to be decided between the 2013 podium when Julia won in front of Meredith and Michelle.
- Meredith Kessler: 37% (2-1)
- Julia Gajer: 29% (2-1)
- Michelle Vesterby: 21% (4-1)
Heather Jackson: 8% (11-1)Danielle Mack: 2% (61-1)
An interesting addition to the field is Sarah Haskins who is coming into her first Ironman race with three 70.3 wins.