Ironman Boulder 2014 (August 3rd) – Predictions

Update (July 31st): Rebekah Keat confirmed she is not starting at IM Boulder.

Update (August 1st): Kyle Buckingham also won’t be starting.

This is the first race on this course – therefore there are no previous results to build a course rating and predicted times from.

KPR points and Prize Money

IM Boulder has 2000 KPR points for the winner. It has a total prize purse of 75k$.

Male Race Participants

Rank Bib Name Nation Expected Time Rating Swim Rating Bike Rating Run Rating Rank
1 12 Kyle Buckingham ZAF n/a 08:36:08 00:49:17 04:34:21 02:59:00 (31)
2 1 Richie Cunningham AUS n/a 08:40:07 00:47:21 04:46:52 02:58:30 (44)
3 2 Justin Daerr USA n/a 08:47:06 00:53:42 04:46:20 03:01:44 64
4 8 Joe Umphenour USA n/a 08:54:36 00:47:32 04:51:11 03:09:16 99
5 4 Scott Defilippis USA n/a 09:06:16 00:55:35 05:00:30 03:02:54 161
6 7 Jared Milam USA n/a 09:12:48 00:53:41 05:04:05 03:08:13 190
7 13 Fabio Carvalho BRA n/a 09:17:49 00:52:47 05:22:33 03:12:39 (200)
8 10 Dantley Young USA n/a 10:12:39 01:02:44 05:23:43 03:38:34 (396)
5 Mark Hillers USA n/a unrated unrated unrated unrated (n/a)
6 Karol Kristov EST n/a unrated unrated unrated unrated (n/a)
11 Steven Zawaski USA n/a unrated unrated unrated unrated (n/a)

Female Race Participants

Rank Bib Name Nation Expected Time Rating Swim Rating Bike Rating Run Rating Rank
1 17 Rebekah Keat AUS n/a 09:26:05 00:52:54 05:12:12 03:15:39 12
2 19 Carrie Lester AUS n/a 09:38:16 00:55:24 05:12:46 03:23:47 39
3 18 Uli Bromme USA n/a 09:53:09 01:02:46 05:20:46 03:22:43 76
4 20 Christine Hammond USA n/a 09:59:33 00:54:44 05:25:54 03:34:00 91
5 25 Olesya Prystayko UKR n/a 10:11:30 01:00:47 05:28:06 03:36:21 107
6 22 Danielle Kehoe USA n/a 10:14:27 01:03:00 05:28:34 03:24:46 (118)
7 24 Alyssa Godesky USA n/a 10:36:26 01:04:17 05:34:23 03:40:26 (145)
8 23 Morgan Chaffin USA n/a 11:48:57 00:59:28 05:40:17 04:43:51 (162)
21 Laura Bennett USA n/a unrated unrated unrated unrated (n/a)

Winning Odds

Male Race Participants

After winning in Lake Placid, it’s very unlikely that we’ll see Kyle Buckingham on the start line. (He has in fact confirmed he won’t start.)  This makes Justin Daerr the clear favorite:

  • Justin Daerr: 45% (1-1)
  • Kyle Buckingham: 20% (4-1)
  • Scott Defilippis: 13% (7-1)
  • Richie Cunningham: 9% (10-1)
  • Joe Umphenour: 8% (12-1)
  • Jared Milam: 4% (26-1)

Female Race Participants

Rebekah Keat is the strongest and most experienced athlete on the start list: With Rebekah Keat not starting, Carrie Lester is the clear favorite for the race:

  • Rebekah Keat: 66% (1-1)
  • Carrie Lester: 58% (1-1) 20% (4-1)
  • Uli Bromme: 29% (2-1) 10% (9-1)
  • Christine Hammond: 6% (15-1)
  • Olesya Prystayko: 3% (28-1)
  • Danielle Kehoe: 2% (50-1)
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