Ironman France 2014 (June 29th) – Predictions

Update (June 22nd):  I’ve added Bertrand Billard and Jeanne Collonge to the start list – apparently they were added relatively late. (Thanks to Nicolas for pointing out that they were missing.)

You can submit your own podium picks on IM Predictions for a chance to win a six month subscription from TrainerRoad!

Previous Winners

Year	Male Winner	Time	Female Winner	Time
2005	Herve Faure (FRA)	08:49:06	Mariska Kramer-Postma (NED)	10:12:29
2006	Marcel Zamora (ESP)	08:33:56	Edith Niederfriniger (ITA)	09:56:32
2007	Marcel Zamora (ESP)	08:38:45	Alexandra Louison (FRA)	09:49:11
2008	Marcel Zamora (ESP)	08:34:03	Martina Dogana (ITA)	09:35:29
2009	Marcel Zamora (ESP)	08:30:06	Tine Deckers (BEL)	09:30:29
2010	Marcel Zamora (ESP)	08:25:28	Tine Deckers (BEL)	09:21:29
2011	Frederik Van Lierde (BEL)	08:28:30	Silvia Felt (GER)	09:34:31
2012	Frederik Van Lierde (BEL)	08:21:51	Tine Deckers (BEL)	09:16:05
2013	Frederik Van Lierde (BEL)	08:08:59	Mary Beth Ellis (USA)	09:12:54

Last Year’s TOP 3

Male Race Results

Rank	Name	Nation	Swim	Bike	Run	Time
1	Frederik Van Lierde	BEL	00:48:00	04:33:29	02:42:07	08:08:59
2	Bart Aernouts	BEL	00:51:32	04:38:29	02:37:01	08:12:28
3	Clemente Alonso-McKernan	ESP	00:47:59	04:52:38	02:48:52	08:35:52

Female Race Results

Rank	Name	Nation	Swim	Bike	Run	Time
1	Mary Beth Ellis	USA	00:51:22	05:11:40	03:04:06	09:12:54
2	Jeanne Collonge	FRA	00:55:40	05:17:38	03:00:51	09:20:51
3	Delphine Pelletier	FRA	00:55:33	05:19:43	03:00:42	09:22:37

Course Records

Leg	Gender	Record	Athlete	Date
Total	overall	08:08:59	Frederik Van Lierde	2013-06-23
Swim	overall	00:44:18	Gilles Reboul	2006-06-24
Bike	overall	04:33:29	Frederik Van Lierde	2013-06-23
Run	overall	02:37:01	Bart Aernouts	2013-06-23
Total	female	09:12:54	Mary Beth Ellis	2013-06-23
Swim	female	00:48:59	Edith Niederfriniger	2006-06-24
Bike	female	05:05:22	Christel Robin	2009-06-28
Run	female	03:00:29	Kristin Moeller	2012-06-24

Course Rating

The Course Rating for IM France is 05:41.

Race Adjustments for IM France

Year	Adjustment	Swim Adj.	Bike Adj.	Run Adj.	# of Athletes	Rating	Swim Rating	Bike Rating	Run Rating
2005	n/a	n/a	n/a	n/a	1	n/a	n/a	n/a	n/a
2006	10:57	06:06	-01:31	02:37	13	10:57	06:06	-01:31	02:37
2007	08:52	00:25	00:40	08:58	32	09:54	03:15	-00:26	05:47
2008	01:33	-00:42	-01:53	02:07	32	07:07	01:56	-00:55	04:34
2009	03:29	-01:46	00:30	02:50	27	06:13	01:01	-00:34	04:08
2010	10:24	-02:01	-01:33	06:34	26	07:03	00:24	-00:45	04:37
2011	03:14	-00:14	-02:57	02:26	27	06:25	00:18	-01:07	04:15
2012	00:29	00:08	-04:12	04:14	18	05:34	00:17	-01:34	04:15
2013	06:29	00:06	-02:24	09:54	16	05:41	00:15	-01:40	04:57

KPR points and Prize Money

IM France has 2000 KPR points for the winner. It has a total prize purse of 75k$.

Male Race Participants

Rank	Bib	Name	Nation	Expected Time	Rating	Swim Rating	Bike Rating	Run Rating	Rank
1	13	Bart Aernouts	BEL	08:20:07	08:25:26	00:53:22	04:41:18	02:45:44	10
2	35	Victor Del Corral	ESP	08:23:27	08:28:48	00:54:16	04:39:25	02:48:58	16
3	16	Tyler Butterfield	BMU	08:27:30	08:32:54	00:49:37	04:43:29	02:56:37	20
4	29	Jeremy Jurkiewicz	FRA	08:28:20	08:33:44	00:47:09	04:47:57	02:54:46	22
5	21	Herve Faure	FRA	08:41:33	08:47:06	00:50:55	04:49:00	03:00:56	(63)
6	23	Mathias Hecht	SUI	08:46:56	08:52:32	00:48:37	04:48:16	03:10:10	(90)
7	38	Sylvain Rota	FRA	08:49:39	08:55:17	00:51:40	04:43:05	03:12:51	104
8	20	Clay Emge	USA	08:51:14	08:56:53	00:54:25	04:51:26	02:55:29	(110)
9	40	Markus Thomschke	GER	08:52:53	08:58:33	00:54:18	04:47:02	03:10:19	121
10	14	Christian Brader	GER	08:53:49	08:59:30	00:56:24	04:53:01	03:05:37	126
11	36	Ritchie Nicholls	GBR	08:54:52	09:00:33	00:48:29	04:58:30	02:57:35	(131)
12	34	Sergio Marques	POR	08:57:25	09:03:08	00:55:32	05:04:36	03:00:11	142
13	30	Stanislav Krylov	RUS	09:01:17	09:07:02	00:47:06	04:46:48	03:12:08	(162)
14	18	Trevor Delsaut	FRA	09:02:10	09:07:56	00:56:21	05:00:18	03:05:17	163
15	44	Harry Wiltshire	GBR	09:06:04	09:11:52	00:47:17	04:52:19	03:28:46	179
16	27	Jose Jeuland	FRA	09:08:50	09:14:40	00:53:04	05:03:06	03:09:56	191
17	39	Till Schramm	GER	09:19:06	09:25:03	00:54:51	04:43:33	03:29:16	(224)
18	26	Darren Jenkins	AUS	09:20:33	09:26:31	01:03:02	04:58:28	03:06:23	(235)
19	37	Jorge Rakos	ARG	09:29:47	09:35:50	00:51:54	06:53:21	03:17:32	267
20	28	Ivan Jezko	SVK	09:30:25	09:36:29	00:58:44	04:59:35	03:24:59	(270)
21	19	Pierre Dorez	FRA	09:42:52	09:49:04	00:53:58	05:00:47	03:42:30	(323)
22	17	Martin Cain	GBR	09:50:23	09:56:40	00:58:54	05:15:52	03:33:06	352
23	31	Juha Laitinen	FIN	10:05:32	10:11:58	01:04:04	05:34:47	03:32:15	389
24	33	Johann Lindner	AUT	10:08:25	10:14:53	00:57:16	05:08:47	03:56:45	(400)
25	43	Remmert Wielinga	NED	10:35:07	10:41:52	01:34:05	04:36:58	04:10:36	(435)
	41	Hendrik-Jan Verhaegen	BEL	n/a	unrated	unrated	unrated	unrated	(n/a)
	25	Nicolas Houyoux	BEL	n/a	unrated	unrated	unrated	unrated	(n/a)
	22	Nicolas Fernandez	FRA	n/a	unrated	unrated	unrated	unrated	(n/a)
	24	Rinus Holvoet	BEL	n/a	unrated	unrated	unrated	unrated	(n/a)
	42	Richard Whitfield	GBR	n/a	unrated	unrated	unrated	unrated	(n/a)
	32	Cedric Lassonde	FRA	n/a	unrated	unrated	unrated	unrated	(n/a)
	15	Robert Brundish	GBR	n/a	unrated	unrated	unrated	unrated	(n/a)
		Bertrand Billard	FRA	n/a	unrated	unrated	unrated	unrated	(n/a)

Female Race Participants

Rank	Bib	Name	Nation	Expected Time	Rating	Swim Rating	Bike Rating	Run Rating	Rank
1	3	Leanda Cave	GBR	09:21:04	09:27:02	00:50:48	05:11:03	03:19:54	15
2	11	Caitlin Snow	USA	09:23:57	09:29:57	00:54:47	05:26:33	03:02:20	19
3	4	Tine Deckers	BEL	09:26:24	09:32:25	00:57:39	05:08:36	03:20:13	(21)
4	9	Lisa Roberts	USA	09:34:19	09:40:25	01:04:07	05:17:14	03:12:55	40
5	2	Katy Blakemore	USA	09:39:12	09:45:21	00:51:51	05:28:12	03:18:29	55
(6)		Jeanne Collonge	FRA	09:42:12	09:48:23	00:56:41	05:19:22	03:22:49	60
6	7	Eimear Mullan	IRL	09:43:58	09:50:11	01:00:48	05:25:57	03:13:56	65
7	6	Alexandra Louison	FRA	10:02:02	10:08:26	01:00:59	05:28:42	03:28:10	(98)
8	12	Nicole Woysch	GER	10:15:54	10:22:27	00:58:48	05:31:58	03:43:19	128
9	10	Molly Roohi	USA	10:18:49	10:25:24	01:07:20	05:32:57	03:27:29	(133)
10	5	Maria Lemeseva	RUS	10:19:43	10:26:18	01:06:57	05:33:03	03:31:49	(134)
11	1	Anne Basso	FRA	10:23:37	10:30:15	00:59:50	05:40:43	03:47:32	(136)
12	8	Vanessa Pereira	POR	10:33:01	10:39:45	01:02:49	05:40:13	03:37:31	(144)

Winning Odds

Male Race Participants

Bart Aernouts will try to finally win in France – last year even a 2:37 marathon was not enough to beat Frederik Van Lierde. With Victor Del Corral he faces another 2:37 runner, and with Tyler Butterfield and Jeremy Juriewicz at least two more athletes looking for their an Ironman win.

• Bart Aernouts: 37% (2-1)
• Victor Del Corral: 23% (3-1)
• Jeremy Jurkiewicz: 19% (4-1)
• Tyler Butterfield: 9% (10-1)
• Mathias Hecht: 6% (16-1)
• Markus Thomschke: 2% (44-1)
• Trevor Delsaut: 2% (65-1)

Female Race Participants

After not qualifying for the Commonwealth Games, Leanda Cave moved up her validation plans (originally she wanted to do Sweden), she faces another speedy runner with Caitlin Snow. The field is not too deep, with Tine Deckers and Lisa Roberts (Ribes) being the main contenders for a podium spot. (However, the field is an improvement over last year with only five female Pro starters.)

• Leanda Cave: 36% (2-1)
• Tine Deckers: 31% (2-1)
• Caitlin Snow: 27% (3-1)
• Lisa Roberts: 4% (22-1)