Ironman Japan 2015 (Aug 23rd) – Predicitions

Previous Winners

Year	Male Winner	Time	Female Winner	Time
2013	Martin Jensen (DEN)	08:47:53	Shiao-yu Li (TWN)	10:12:42
2014	Michael Ruenz (GER)	08:53:40	Shiao-yu Li (TWN)	09:58:30

Last Year’s TOP 3

Male Race Results

Rank	Name	Nation	Swim	Bike	Run	Time
1	Michael Ruenz	GER	00:54:22	05:01:23	02:52:36	08:53:40
2	Harry Wiltshire	GBR	00:49:23	05:04:26	03:08:17	09:06:34
3	Cedric Lassonde	FRA	00:54:24	05:01:00	03:06:40	09:07:44

Female Race Results

Rank	Name	Nation	Swim	Bike	Run	Time
1	Shiao-yu Li	TWN	01:04:34	05:31:05	03:17:05	09:58:30
2	Jessica Fleming	AUS	01:00:19	05:33:54	03:26:32	10:06:49
3	Keiko Tanaka	JPN	00:56:42	05:44:39	03:22:43	10:09:24

Course Records

Leg	Gender	Record	Athlete	Date
Total	overall	08:47:53	Martin Jensen	2013-08-31
Swim	overall	00:49:20	Kuniaki Takahama	2014-08-24
Bike	overall	04:40:07	Timothy Beardall	2014-08-24
Run	overall	02:52:36	Michael Ruenz	2014-08-24
Total	female	09:58:30	Shiao-yu Li	2014-08-24
Swim	female	00:56:42	Keiko Tanaka	2014-08-24
Bike	female	05:31:05	Shiao-yu Li	2014-08-24
Run	female	03:13:20	Shiao-yu Li	2013-08-31

Course Rating

The Course Rating for IM Japan is – 15:17.

Race Adjustments for IM Japan

Year	Adjustment	Swim Adj.	Bike Adj.	Run Adj.	# of Athletes	Rating	Swim Rating	Bike Rating	Run Rating
2013	-14:53	-00:23	-19:38	-07:52	11	-14:53	-00:23	-19:38	-07:52
2014	-15:42	-01:08	-15:49	01:10	16	-15:17	-00:46	-17:44	-03:21

KPR points and Prize Money

IM Japan is a P-2000 race. It has a total prize purse of 25.000 US$.

Male Race Participants

Rank	Bib	Name	Nation	Expected Time	Rating	Exp. Swim	Exp. Bike	Exp. Run	Overall
1	7	Guilherme Manocchio	BRA	08:59:14	08:52:43	00:50:04	05:00:36	03:03:34	100
2	13	Swen Sundberg	GER	09:11:25	08:52:39	00:52:58	05:02:36	03:10:51	99
3	2	Nick Baldwin	SEY	09:13:12	08:58:13	00:53:17	05:05:42	03:09:13	122
4	1	Patrick Evoe	USA	09:14:33	08:57:29	00:56:38	05:03:15	03:09:40	119
5	11	Thiago Vinhal	BRA	09:18:52	09:04:52	00:49:18	05:25:32	02:59:02	151
6	4	Simon Cochrane	NZL	09:20:56	09:08:44	00:52:12	05:13:43	03:10:02	168
7	6	Yu Shinozaki	JPN	09:27:16	10:07:51	00:56:12	04:59:58	03:26:06	404
8	9	Daiki Masuda	JPN	09:37:43	09:54:00	00:55:05	05:17:54	03:19:44	355
9	10	Yeun Sik Ham	KOR	09:45:03	09:38:39	01:08:04	05:22:34	03:09:25	(299)
10	12	Daniel Brown	AUS	11:09:44	11:04:23	01:04:46	05:53:44	04:06:14	(486)
	5	Colin O’Brady	USA	n/a	unrated	unrated	unrated	unrated	(n/a)
	8	Xavier Nunez	ESP	n/a	unrated	unrated	unrated	unrated	(n/a)

Female Race Participants

Rank	Bib	Name	Nation	Expected Time	Rating	Exp. Swim	Exp. Bike	Exp. Run	Overall
1	24	Bree Wee	USA	09:58:18	09:47:21	00:54:23	05:35:15	03:23:40	61
2	31	Lisa Marangon	AUS	10:03:03	10:02:20	00:54:16	05:28:40	03:35:07	(94)
3	21	Shiao-yu Li	TWN	10:08:00	10:03:51	01:06:44	05:38:37	03:17:39	99
4	33	Keiko Tanaka	JPN	10:11:06	10:12:17	00:55:36	05:44:07	03:26:23	116
5	27	Michelle Duffield	AUS	10:24:12	10:08:09	01:01:30	05:45:17	03:32:26	112
6	22	Emi Sakai	JPN	10:31:17	10:22:32	01:06:14	05:40:48	03:39:15	147
7	29	Marina Jurjevic	AUS	10:33:11	10:34:24	01:04:52	05:30:08	03:53:12	(165)
8	23	Stef Puszka	AUS	10:59:19	10:54:03	01:05:06	06:08:59	03:40:14	(176)
	25	Sandra Fantini	FRA	n/a	unrated	unrated	unrated	unrated	(n/a)
	26	Mami Ishii	JPN	n/a	unrated	unrated	unrated	unrated	(n/a)
	32	Kathryn Haesner	NZL	n/a	unrated	unrated	unrated	unrated	(n/a)

Winning Odds

Male Race Participants

• Guilherme Manocchio: 51% (1-1)
• Swen Sundberg: 14% (6-1)
• Patrick Evoe: 12% (7-1)
• Nick Baldwin: 11% (8-1)
• Simon Cochrane: 5% (19-1)
• Thiago Vinhal: 5% (20-1)
• Yu Shinozaki: 2% (52-1)

Female Race Participants

• Bree Wee: 41% (1-1)
• Lisa Marangon: 30% (2-1)
• Shiao-yu Li: 15% (6-1)
• Keiko Tanaka: 14% (6-1)