Ironman Sweden 2015 (Aug 15th) – Predictions

Previous Winners

Year	Male Winner	Time	Female Winner	Time
2012	Jan Raphael (GER)	08:04:01	Asa Lundstroem (SWE)	09:13:27
2013	Pedro Gomes (POR)	08:19:30	Jodie Swallow (GBR)	08:54:01
2014	Horst Reichel (GER)	08:13:01	Leanda Cave (GBR)	08:56:50

Last Year’s TOP 3

Male Race Results

Rank	Name	Nation	Swim	Bike	Run	Time
1	Horst Reichel	GER	00:49:24	04:29:38	02:51:09	08:13:01
2	Viktor Zyemtsev	USA	00:49:38	04:42:22	02:44:18	08:19:17
3	Tom Lowe	GBR	00:57:28	04:29:58	02:48:24	08:19:23

Female Race Results

Rank	Name	Nation	Swim	Bike	Run	Time
1	Leanda Cave	GBR	00:49:39	04:57:21	03:05:26	08:56:50
2	Erika Csomor	HUN	01:00:41	05:16:56	03:07:40	09:30:04
3	Camilla Lindholm	SWE	01:09:18	05:08:13	03:10:21	09:31:38

Course Records

Leg	Gender	Record	Athlete	Date
Total	overall	08:04:01	Jan Raphael	2012-08-18
Swim	overall	00:48:15	Andi Boecherer	2012-08-18
Bike	overall	04:24:20	Karl-Johan Danielsson	2012-08-18
Run	overall	02:44:18	Viktor Zyemtsev	2014-08-16
Total	female	08:54:01	Jodie Swallow	2013-08-17
Swim	female	00:48:30	Jodie Swallow	2013-08-17
Bike	female	04:48:42	Helene Malmkvist	2012-08-18
Run	female	03:05:26	Leanda Cave	2014-08-16

Course Rating

The Course Rating for IM Sweden is 19:51.

Race Adjustments for IM Sweden

Year	Adjustment	Swim Adj.	Bike Adj.	Run Adj.	# of Athletes	Rating	Swim Rating	Bike Rating	Run Rating
2012	31:13	00:09	23:11	05:59	25	31:13	00:09	23:11	05:59
2013	13:40	-00:11	08:46	07:37	24	22:27	-00:01	15:59	06:48
2014	14:38	-00:47	06:32	07:06	18	19:51	-00:16	12:50	06:54

KPR points and Prize Money

IM Sweden is a P-2000 race. It has a total prize purse of 50.000 US$.

Male Race Participants

Rank	Bib	Name	Nation	Expected Time	Rating	Exp. Swim	Exp. Bike	Exp. Run	Overall
1	1	Patrik Nilsson	SWE	08:16:34	08:40:33	00:48:22	04:28:21	02:54:51	52
2	19	Dougal Allan	NZL	08:18:53	08:53:19	01:03:28	04:19:07	02:51:18	(100)
3	2	Guilherme Manocchio	BRA	08:25:07	08:52:43	00:50:10	04:34:12	02:55:45	99
4	3	Domenico Passuello	ITA	08:26:06	08:51:29	00:55:09	04:29:50	02:56:07	96
5	4	Mauro Baertsch	SUI	08:34:29	09:10:33	00:54:30	04:39:33	02:55:26	175
6	6	David Naesvik	SWE	08:37:00	09:07:25	00:54:20	04:33:34	03:04:06	156
7	8	Karl-Johan Danielsson	SWE	08:44:00	09:20:24	00:49:01	04:34:33	03:15:25	220
8	7	Cedric Lassonde	FRA	08:44:01	09:15:37	00:54:56	04:37:40	03:06:25	(199)
9	20	Nicolas Hemet	FRA	08:45:40	09:08:54	00:56:04	04:37:27	03:07:09	168
10	11	Johan Borg	AUS	08:57:14	09:23:43	00:56:36	04:45:45	03:09:53	236
11	21	Luke Dragstra	CAN	09:08:47	09:21:31	00:53:12	04:48:04	03:22:31	228
12	9	Ivan Jezko	SVK	09:11:29	09:43:40	00:59:58	04:50:15	03:16:16	314
13	10	Lukas Polan	CZE	09:28:58	10:07:42	01:03:46	04:54:57	03:25:15	401
14	16	Nis Lind	DEN	09:33:49	10:05:45	01:01:16	04:57:20	03:30:12	394
15	14	Michal Jalovecky	CZE	10:08:45	10:44:41	01:01:20	05:42:20	03:20:06	(478)
16	13	Mathias Nagel	GER	14:36:20	15:28:03	01:55:58	06:37:32	05:57:50	(495)
17	12	Frederik Flagstad	GRL	15:05:43	15:59:10	01:19:07	07:54:38	05:46:58	(495)
	5	Allan Steen Olesen	DEN	n/a	unrated	unrated	unrated	unrated	(n/a)
	18	Andreas Linden	SWE	n/a	unrated	unrated	unrated	unrated	(n/a)

Female Race Participants

Rank	Bib	Name	Nation	Expected Time	Rating	Exp. Swim	Exp. Bike	Exp. Run	Overall
1	55	Erika Csomor	HUN	09:14:20	09:31:59	00:59:09	05:01:21	03:08:51	29
2	52	Astrid Stienen	GER	09:22:26	09:44:36	00:59:15	05:01:13	03:16:58	53
3	54	Camilla Lindholm	SWE	09:27:02	10:07:08	01:09:05	05:01:20	03:11:37	108
4	57	Evi Neuscheler	GER	09:28:52	09:54:16	01:03:19	04:59:36	03:20:57	76
5	53	Mette Pettersen Moe	NOR	09:32:08	10:01:39	00:53:06	05:03:21	03:30:41	(93)
6	58	Charisa Wernick	USA	09:36:46	10:03:51	00:59:47	05:18:04	03:13:55	99
7	56	Jocelyn McCauley	USA	09:42:17	10:10:33	00:59:39	05:15:32	03:22:06	(115)
8	59	Emma Graaf	SWE	09:47:58	10:19:00	00:59:44	05:11:45	03:31:28	133

Winning Odds

Male Race Participants

Patrik Nilsson has declined his Kona slot in order to focus on a winning his home race – he is the favorite to win. But there are a few athletes that will make things hard for Patrik, among them Dougal Allen (3rd and 2nd at Challenge Wanaka) and Guilherme Manocchio and Domenico Passuello who are looking for KPR points to qualify in August.

• Patrik Nilsson: 37% (2-1)
• Dougal Allan: 22% (4-1)
• Guilherme Manocchio: 18% (4-1)
• Domenico Passuello: 14% (6-1)
• Mauro Baertsch: 4% (24-1)
• David Naesvik: 3% (29-1)

Female Race Participants

Last year’s second place Erika Csomor will try to improve last year’s result. Astrid Stienen is looking for some more Kona points and would love to contend at least for the podium. 

• Erika Csomor: 57% (1-1)
• Astrid Stienen: 19% (4-1)
• Camilla Lindholm: 19% (4-1)
• Charisa Wernick: 2% (47-1)
• Evi Neuscheler: 2% (61-1)