Ironman Taiwan 2016 (Oct 2nd) – Predictions

Previous Winners

Year	Male Winner	Time	Female Winner	Time
2015	Domenico Passuello (ITA)	08:25:54	Dede Griesbauer (USA)	09:20:23

Last Year’s TOP 3

Male Race Results

Rank	Name	Nation	Swim	Bike	Run	Time
1	Domenico Passuello	ITA	00:52:25	04:32:16	02:55:52	08:25:54
2	Fredrik Croneborg	SWE	00:50:35	04:42:57	02:49:48	08:28:37
3	Patrick Evoe	USA	00:55:41	04:42:27	02:57:06	08:40:58

Female Race Results

Rank	Name	Nation	Swim	Bike	Run	Time
1	Dede Griesbauer	USA	00:51:10	05:05:19	03:17:16	09:20:23
2	Dimity-Lee Duke	AUS	00:58:08	05:16:14	03:10:17	09:31:31
3	Kim Schwabenbauer	USA	01:00:08	05:15:41	03:15:53	09:38:35

Course Records

Leg	Gender	Record	Athlete	Date
Total	overall	08:25:54	Domenico Passuello	2015-04-12
Swim	overall	00:50:35	Rod De Kanel	2015-04-12
Swim	overall	00:50:35	Fredrik Croneborg	2015-04-12
Bike	overall	04:32:16	Domenico Passuello	2015-04-12
Run	overall	02:49:48	Fredrik Croneborg	2015-04-12
Total	female	09:20:23	Dede Griesbauer	2015-04-12
Swim	female	00:51:06	Samantha Morrison	2015-04-12
Bike	female	05:05:19	Dede Griesbauer	2015-04-12
Run	female	03:10:17	Dimity-Lee Duke	2015-04-12

Course Rating

The Course Rating for IM Taiwan is 09:19.

Race Adjustments for IM Taiwan

Year	Adjustment	Swim Adj.	Bike Adj.	Run Adj.	# of Finishers	Rating	Swim Rating	Bike Rating	Run Rating
2015	09:19	01:16	04:20	01:34	24 of 27	09:19	01:16	04:20	01:34

KPR points and Prize Money

IM Taiwan is a P-2000 race. It has a total prize purse of 25.000 US$.

Male Race Participants

Rank	Bib	Name	Nation	Expected Time	Rating	Exp. Swim	Exp. Bike	Exp. Run	Consistency	Overall
1	22	Daniel Fontana	ITA	08:33:15	08:49:07	00:47:53	04:40:57	02:59:25	40% +0% -60% (13)	(89)
2	4	Gudmund Snilstveit	NOR	08:44:05	09:10:21	00:55:22	04:37:17	03:06:26	25% +12% -63% (9)	(167)
3	5	Simon Cochrane	NZL	08:45:43	09:03:32	00:49:21	04:47:09	03:04:13	67% +29% -5% (16)	138
4	1	Patrick Evoe	USA	08:47:37	08:57:33	00:54:44	04:42:29	03:05:23	89% +4% -7% (23)	120
5	6	Tohara Kaito	JPN	08:48:03	09:06:06	00:51:53	04:52:31	02:58:39	34% +50% -15% (7)	154
6	7	Patrick Jaberg	SUI	08:48:05	09:03:38	00:52:17	04:44:25	03:06:22	97% +0% -3% (17)	140
7	16	Adam Gordon	AUS	08:51:05	09:11:40	00:53:55	04:47:47	03:04:23	5% +53% -41% (5)	169
8	15	Balazs Csoke	HUN	08:53:18	09:06:38	00:46:39	04:47:55	03:13:44	54% +7% -39% (24)	155
9	8	Simon Billeau	FRA	08:53:47	09:03:29	00:53:11	04:39:51	03:15:45	43% +0% -57% (17)	137
10	10	Andreas Niedrig	GER	08:54:07	09:07:05	00:46:34	04:36:01	03:26:31	47% +39% -14% (13)	156
11	14	Jordan Bryden	CAN	08:55:52	09:30:23	00:48:20	04:52:21	03:10:11	16% +70% -14% (7)	221
12	2	Guy Crawford	NZL	08:57:10	09:14:38	00:47:42	04:39:19	03:25:10	27% +37% -36% (12)	181
13	12	AJ Baucco	USA	08:58:51	09:08:12	00:51:12	04:51:31	03:11:09	64% +0% -36% (7)	(157)
14	3	Antony Costes	FRA	08:59:42	09:30:49	00:47:40	04:38:51	03:28:10	30% +0% -70% (3)	(223)
15	21	Olivier Godart	LUX	09:07:01	09:24:55	00:54:22	04:57:09	03:10:31	31% +0% -69% (3)	(209)
16	17	Allister Caird	AUS	09:12:31	09:33:31	00:55:10	04:57:45	03:14:36	53% +0% -47% (2)	(227)
17	9	Yu Shinozaki	JPN	09:19:09	10:06:06	00:54:47	04:47:50	03:31:31	14% +22% -64% (10)	275
18	11	Deak Zsombor	ROM	09:26:21	09:48:04	00:58:23	05:07:21	03:15:37	100% +0% -0% (2)	(256)
19	20	Eneko Elosegui	ESP	09:27:56	09:41:45	00:57:21	04:55:03	03:30:32	62% +12% -25% (16)	246
20	13	Gerhard De Bruin	ZAF	09:43:35	09:53:40	00:54:27	05:04:24	03:39:45	100% +0% -0% (4)	263
	18	Levi Maxwell	AUS	n/a	unrated	unrated	unrated	unrated	n/a (no IM Pro race)	(n/a)
	19	Derek Cross	AUS	n/a	unrated	unrated	unrated	unrated	n/a (no IM Pro race)	(n/a)

Female Race Participants

Rank	Bib	Name	Nation	Expected Time	Rating	Exp. Swim	Exp. Bike	Exp. Run	Consistency	Overall
1	32	Danielle Mack	USA	09:24:40	09:51:26	01:01:00	05:06:48	03:11:53	41% +14% -45% (6)	(67)
2	31	Shiao-yu Li	TWN	09:44:54	09:58:00	01:04:28	05:18:54	03:16:33	47% +36% -17% (11)	83
3	36	Kathryn Haesner	NZL	09:45:39	10:31:04	00:55:39	05:23:06	03:21:54	25% +36% -39% (3)	(142)
4	34	Katharina Grohmann	GER	09:49:35	10:03:27	01:09:17	05:19:06	03:16:12	100% +0% -0% (13)	93
5	33	Keiko Tanaka	JPN	09:50:13	10:04:10	00:53:10	05:23:49	03:28:14	48% +0% -52% (15)	95
6	35	Emi Sakai	JPN	10:11:01	10:24:22	01:04:56	05:20:25	03:40:39	69% +6% -25% (9)	(131)
7	39	Jana Candrova	CZE	10:23:36	10:37:33	01:05:11	05:32:27	03:40:58	80% +2% -18% (16)	150
8	38	Alison Fitch	AUS	10:25:00	10:17:13	00:54:58	05:39:45	03:45:17	5% +0% -95% (9)	117
9	37	Stef Puszka	AUS	10:30:49	10:54:47	01:03:16	05:45:56	03:36:37	n/a (1 IM Pro race)	(157)

Winning Odds

Male Race Participants

• Simon Cochrane: 28% (3-1)
• Daniel Fontana: 26% (3-1)
• Patrick Jaberg: 9% (10-1)
• Patrick Evoe: 9% (11-1)
• Andreas Niedrig: 6% (16-1)
• Tohara Kaito: 6% (16-1)
• Adam Gordon: 5% (18-1)
• Gudmund Snilstveit: 5% (20-1)
• Jordan Bryden: 4% (25-1)

Female Race Participants

• Danielle Mack: 43% (1-1)
• Shiao-yu Li: 25% (3-1)
• Katharina Grohmann: 14% (6-1)
• Keiko Tanaka: 11% (8-1)
• Kathryn Haesner: 7% (13-1)