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Ironman Vichy 2016 (Aug 28th) – Predictions

IMVichy

Previous Winners

Year Male Winner Time Female Winner Time
2015 Mauro Baertsch (SUI) 08:23:49 Gurutze Frades Larralde (ESP) 09:25:27

Last Year’s TOP 3

Male Race Results

Rank Name Nation Swim Bike Run Time
1 Mauro Baertsch SUI 00:54:34 04:31:24 02:52:34 08:23:49
2 Bertrand Billard FRA 00:51:16 04:31:19 02:59:56 08:27:39
3 Christian Brader GER 00:57:45 04:36:30 02:52:07 08:31:12

Female Race Results

Rank Name Nation Swim Bike Run Time
1 Gurutze Frades Larralde ESP 01:03:09 05:10:51 03:05:46 09:25:27
2 Tine Holst DEN 01:04:25 05:04:46 03:15:51 09:30:59
3 Natascha Badmann SUI 01:03:28 04:56:20 03:25:16 09:32:33

Course Records

Leg Gender Record Athlete Date
Total overall 08:23:49 Mauro Baertsch 2015-08-30
Swim overall 00:51:09 Anthony Pannier 2015-08-30
Bike overall 04:31:19 Bertrand Billard 2015-08-30
Run overall 02:52:07 Christian Brader 2015-08-30
Total female 09:25:27 Gurutze Frades Larralde 2015-08-30
Swim female 01:00:26 Nicole Woysch 2015-08-30
Bike female 04:56:20 Natascha Badmann 2015-08-30
Run female 03:05:46 Gurutze Frades Larralde 2015-08-30

Course Rating

The Course Rating for IM Vichy is 16:33.

Race Adjustments for IM Vichy

Year Adjustment Swim Adj. Bike Adj. Run Adj. # of Finishers Rating Swim Rating Bike Rating Run Rating
2015 16:33 -01:53 12:21 07:30 17 of 27 16:33 -01:53 12:21 07:30

KPR points and Prize Money

IM Vichy is a P-2000 race. It has a total prize purse of 25.000 US$.

Male Race Participants

Rank Bib Name Nation Expected Time Rating Exp. Swim Exp. Bike Exp. Run Consistency Overall
1 21 Fabio Carvalho BRA 08:14:43 08:50:23 00:49:56 04:27:01 02:52:45 1% +44% -55% (11) 92
2 18 Peru Alfaro ESP 08:20:49 08:52:18 00:46:53 04:31:52 02:57:04 47% +0% -53% (2) (96)
3 10 Marc Duelsen GER 08:23:09 08:41:49 00:54:14 04:30:38 02:53:18 71% +0% -29% (7) 61
4 5 Romain Guillaume FRA 08:26:43 08:54:44 00:50:46 04:29:46 03:01:11 46% +15% -39% (29) 102
5 20 Tim Brydenbach BEL 08:27:47 08:49:23 00:49:15 04:38:59 02:54:33 100% +0% -0% (2) (90)
6 8 Trevor Delsaut FRA 08:33:16 08:59:25 00:55:34 04:39:12 02:53:30 38% +10% -52% (22) (123)
7 1 Christian Brader GER 08:36:28 08:53:55 00:58:08 04:40:29 02:52:51 77% +4% -19% (34) 100
8 6 Harry Wiltshire GBR 08:37:30 08:52:45 00:49:27 04:40:49 03:02:14 36% +27% -36% (15) 97
9 15 Jaroslav Kovacic SLO 08:40:53 09:03:55 00:51:02 04:46:11 02:58:40 22% +78% -0% (3) 139
10 11 Andreas Niedrig GER 08:42:13 09:04:27 00:49:49 04:30:46 03:16:38 26% +54% -19% (12) 145
11 13 Tohara Kaito JPN 08:43:26 09:10:48 00:54:48 04:49:00 02:54:38 46% +34% -20% (6) 164
12 31 Markus Liebelt GER 08:43:49 09:11:15 00:57:03 04:32:54 03:08:52 n/a (1 IM Pro race) (165)
13 9 Christophe Bastie FRA 08:44:00 08:57:22 00:56:22 04:34:02 03:08:37 63% +0% -37% (34) (116)
14 3 Mike Schifferle SUI 08:44:39 09:02:48 01:02:13 04:38:21 02:59:05 89% +9% -3% (59) 134
15 7 Jens Frommhold GER 08:45:13 09:12:42 00:59:31 04:42:39 02:58:03 63% +0% -37% (2) (171)
16 4 Ivan Risti ITA 08:46:23 09:12:11 00:51:17 04:44:53 03:05:13 59% +0% -41% (6) 169
17 35 Simon Billeau FRA 08:46:30 09:03:29 00:56:41 04:33:58 03:10:51 43% +0% -57% (17) 135
18 37 Xavier Torrades ESP 08:50:18 09:10:41 00:51:12 04:44:02 03:10:04 57% +0% -43% (3) 163
19 28 Nicolas Hemet FRA 08:52:33 09:14:25 00:57:29 04:42:56 03:07:08 42% +0% -58% (6) 177
20 22 Hannes Cool BEL 08:55:34 09:16:03 00:53:03 04:44:30 03:13:01 78% +0% -22% (5) 183
21 29 Samuel Huerzeler SUI 08:57:11 09:14:35 00:55:42 04:51:57 03:04:31 100% +0% -0% (5) (178)
22 32 Lluis Vila aguilar ESP 08:58:31 09:26:43 00:59:43 04:51:02 03:02:47 n/a (1 IM Pro race) (210)
23 19 Lucky Berlage BEL 08:58:49 09:15:12 01:01:38 04:46:15 03:05:56 100% +0% -0% (4) 181
24 26 Pierre-Yves Facomprez FRA 09:07:58 09:37:27 01:04:51 04:53:54 03:04:12 21% +79% -0% (2) (237)
25 17 Urs Mueller SUI 09:11:32 09:34:41 00:58:43 04:50:28 03:17:21 65% +0% -35% (3) (229)
26 38 Frederic Garcia FRA 09:12:11 09:41:05 00:58:57 04:59:06 03:09:08 51% +0% -49% (2) (244)
27 27 Enric Gussinyer ESP 09:19:09 09:38:19 00:53:47 04:51:40 03:28:42 66% +0% -34% (7) 238
28 24 Eneko Elosegui ESP 09:21:52 09:43:20 01:00:57 04:48:43 03:27:12 49% +17% -34% (15) 250
29 36 Rafael Espinar Puig ESP 09:24:54 09:42:40 01:06:43 05:07:45 03:05:27 100% +0% -0% (5) 248
30 16 John Manuel Galindo Rooney ESP 09:31:53 09:56:13 00:53:43 05:10:13 03:22:57 11% +18% -71% (3) 267
31 30 Ludovic Le Guellec FRA 09:45:12 10:15:29 01:03:04 05:14:09 03:23:00 59% +4% -38% (21) 283
32 23 Rod De Kanel FRA 10:10:15 10:48:37 00:54:51 05:04:55 04:05:29 42% +0% -58% (2) (295)
33 33 Michal Volejnik CZE 10:48:54 11:29:42 01:06:09 05:13:26 04:24:19 38% +0% -62% (2) (301)
12 Kevin Rundstadler FRA n/a unrated unrated unrated unrated 0% +0% -100% (2) (n/a)
14 Romain Garcin FRA n/a unrated unrated unrated unrated n/a (no IM Pro race) (n/a)
25 Olivier Esser BEL n/a unrated unrated unrated unrated n/a (no IM Pro race) (n/a)
34 Yohann Vincent FRA n/a unrated unrated unrated unrated n/a (no IM Pro race) (n/a)

Female Race Participants

Rank Bib Name Nation Expected Time Rating Exp. Swim Exp. Bike Exp. Run Consistency Overall
1 51 Diana Riesler GER 09:12:00 09:31:45 00:59:59 04:52:41 03:14:20 46% +14% -40% (18) 32
2 52 Celine Schaerer SUI 09:22:04 09:39:25 00:51:11 05:07:58 03:17:56 74% +0% -26% (5) 50
3 58 Brooke Brown CAN 09:38:06 10:03:47 01:04:51 05:11:31 03:16:44 38% +0% -62% (7) 95
4 59 Kelly Fillnow USA 09:39:22 10:08:39 01:06:17 05:14:11 03:13:54 77% +23% -0% (9) 102
5 57 Keiko Tanaka JPN 09:44:30 10:12:10 00:57:43 05:19:29 03:22:18 39% +0% -61% (14) 108
6 62 Lina-Kristin Schink GER 09:51:32 10:19:21 01:13:33 05:14:04 03:18:55 70% +0% -30% (5) 126
7 60 Lena Holmgren SWE 09:52:24 10:17:37 01:09:22 05:20:46 03:17:17 26% +28% -46% (3) 117
8 56 Nicole Woysch GER 09:53:19 10:18:41 01:01:17 05:13:54 03:33:08 35% +3% -63% (22) 122
9 61 Angela Kuehnlein GER 10:05:58 10:29:50 01:04:46 05:28:28 03:27:43 34% +27% -39% (5) 144
54 Catherine Faux GBR n/a unrated unrated unrated unrated n/a (no IM Pro race) (n/a)
55 Sabrina Monmarteau FRA n/a unrated unrated unrated unrated n/a (no IM Pro race) (n/a)
63 Lauren Capone USA n/a unrated unrated unrated unrated n/a (1 IM Pro race) (n/a)

Winning Odds

Male Race Participants

  • Fabio Carvalho: 38% (2-1)
  • Marc Duelsen: 24% (3-1)
  • Peru Alfaro: 19% (4-1)
  • Romain Guillaume: 9% (11-1)
  • Trevor Delsaut: 5% (18-1)
  • Tim Brydenbach: 2% (61-1)

Female Race Participants

  • Diana Riesler: 45% (1-1)
  • Celine Schaerer: 29% (2-1)
  • Brooke Brown: 9% (10-1)
  • Kelly Fillnow: 7% (13-1)
  • Keiko Tanaka: 6% (16-1)
  • Nicole Woysch: 2% (52-1)
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