Ironman Western Australia 2012 – Predictions

With Ironman western Australia, we have the last official Ironman for 2012. As usual, it is a bit difficult to get a current start list, but I have tried my best to assemble a list form the official website (where at least there is a decent start list not sorted by name) and some additional information. For example, I have added Timo Bracht after his participation was announced on firstoffthebike.com. 

Previous Year’s TOP 3

Male Race Results

Rank	Name	Nation	Swim	Bike	Run	Time
1	Timo Bracht	GER	00:49:43	04:30:17	02:48:42	08:12:39
2	Clayton Fettell	AUS	00:45:11	04:25:25	03:04:40	08:19:02
3	Jason Shortis	AUS	00:53:05	04:40:01	02:49:58	08:27:31

Female Race Results

Rank	Name	Nation	Swim	Bike	Run	Time
1	Michelle Bremer	NZL	00:58:16	05:00:37	03:22:22	09:25:38
2	Michelle Gailey	AUS	00:53:16	05:21:26	03:08:31	09:28:07
3	Carrie Lester	AUS	00:58:15	05:04:42	03:25:26	09:32:44

Course Records

Leg	Gender	Record	Athlete	Date
Total	overall	08:03:55	Jason Shortis	2006-12-03
Swim	overall	00:44:42	Pete Jacobs	2007-12-01
Bike	overall	04:18:07	Mitchell Anderson	2006-12-03
Run	overall	02:43:48	Robert Thomas	2007-12-01
Total	female	08:59:24	Gina Ferguson	2008-12-07
Swim	female	00:48:25	Tereza Macel	2007-12-01
Bike	female	04:50:49	Lisbeth Kristensen	2006-12-03
Run	female	03:05:04	Charlotte Paul	2007-12-01

Course Rating

The Course Rating for IM Western Australia is 12:17.

Race Adjustments for IM Western Australia

Year	Adjustment	# of Athletes	Rating
2005	01:54	21	01:54
2006	14:18	26	08:06
2007	24:35	40	13:36
2008	17:25	30	14:33
2009	16:30	20	14:56
2010	07:00	21	13:37
2011	04:18	25	12:17

KPR points and Price Money

IM Western Australia has 2000 KPR points for the winner. It has a total price purse of 25k$.

Male Race Participants

Rank	Name	Nation	Expected Time	Rating	Rank
1	Timo Bracht	GER	08:09:56	08:21:20	7
2	Jimmy Johnsen	DNK	08:31:00	08:42:54	57
3	Matty White	AUS	08:39:15	08:51:20	107
4	Mitchell Anderson	AUS	08:39:24	08:51:30	108
5	Petr Vabrousek	CZE	08:43:01	08:55:12	130
6	Daniel Niederreiter	AUT	08:43:58	08:56:10	133
7	Simon Billeau	FRA	08:45:56	08:58:11	144
8	Jason Shortis	AUS	08:46:40	08:58:56	147
9	Mike Schifferle	SUI	08:52:33	09:04:57	190
10	Todd Israel	AUS	08:52:39	09:05:03	193
11	Joshua Rix	AUS	08:57:04	09:09:34	233
12	Simon Cochrane	NZL	08:59:47	09:12:21	243
13	Paul Hawkins	GBR	09:08:02	09:20:48	309
14	Ben Cotter	CAN	09:12:10	09:25:01	339
15	Karol Dzalaj	SVK	09:14:26	09:27:20	360
16	Daniel Mueller	GER	09:16:34	09:29:31	374
17	Johan Borg	AUS	09:19:27	09:32:28	394
18	Yu Shinozaki	JPN	09:52:22	10:06:09	621
19	Hirotsugu Kuwabara	JAP	10:11:31	10:25:45	716
20	Brett Carter	AUS	n/a	unrated	n/a
21	Jon Woods		n/a	unrated	n/a

Female Race Participants

Rank	Name	Nation	Expected Time	Rating	Rank
1	Rebekah Keat	AUS	09:12:52	09:25:44	13
2	Britta Martin	NZL	09:28:26	09:41:40	47
3	Belinda Harper	NZL	09:36:19	09:49:44	73
4	Rebecca Hoschke	AUS	09:39:44	09:53:14	85
5	Bree Wee	USA	09:41:08	09:54:40	87
6	Heidi Sessner	GER	09:43:35	09:57:10	98
7	Renee Lane	AUS	09:45:45	09:59:23	103
8	Dana Wagner	GER	09:47:06	10:00:46	106
9	Nicole Ward	AUS	09:48:45	10:02:27	113
10	Joanna Carritt	GBR	10:08:05	10:22:14	187
11	Megumi Shigaki	JPN	11:44:46	12:01:10	293

Winning Odds

Male Race Participants

• Timo Bracht: 73% (1-3)
• Matty White: 8% (12-1)
• Jimmy Johnsen: 6% (15-1)
• Jason Shortis: 5% (20-1)
• Joshua Rix: 4% (25-1)
• Mitchell Anderson: 2% (41-1)

Female Race Participants

• Rebekah Keat: 51% (1-1)
• Britta Martin: 24% (3-1)
• Belinda Harper: 16% (5-1)
• Heidi Sessner: 4% (22-1)
• Bree Wee: 3% (32-1)