Ironman Western Australia 2012 – Predictions

With Ironman western Australia, we have the last official Ironman for 2012. As usual, it is a bit difficult to get a current start list, but I have tried my best to assemble a list form the official website (where at least there is a decent start list not sorted by name) and some additional information. For example, I have added Timo Bracht after his participation was announced on firstoffthebike.com

Previous Year’s TOP 3

Male Race Results

Rank Name Nation Swim Bike Run Time
1 Timo Bracht GER 00:49:43 04:30:17 02:48:42 08:12:39
2 Clayton Fettell AUS 00:45:11 04:25:25 03:04:40 08:19:02
3 Jason Shortis AUS 00:53:05 04:40:01 02:49:58 08:27:31

Female Race Results

Rank Name Nation Swim Bike Run Time
1 Michelle Bremer NZL 00:58:16 05:00:37 03:22:22 09:25:38
2 Michelle Gailey AUS 00:53:16 05:21:26 03:08:31 09:28:07
3 Carrie Lester AUS 00:58:15 05:04:42 03:25:26 09:32:44

Course Records

Leg Gender Record Athlete Date
Total overall 08:03:55 Jason Shortis 2006-12-03
Swim overall 00:44:42 Pete Jacobs 2007-12-01
Bike overall 04:18:07 Mitchell Anderson 2006-12-03
Run overall 02:43:48 Robert Thomas 2007-12-01
Total female 08:59:24 Gina Ferguson 2008-12-07
Swim female 00:48:25 Tereza Macel 2007-12-01
Bike female 04:50:49 Lisbeth Kristensen 2006-12-03
Run female 03:05:04 Charlotte Paul 2007-12-01

Course Rating

The Course Rating for IM Western Australia is 12:17.

Race Adjustments for IM Western Australia

Year Adjustment # of Athletes Rating
2005 01:54 21 01:54
2006 14:18 26 08:06
2007 24:35 40 13:36
2008 17:25 30 14:33
2009 16:30 20 14:56
2010 07:00 21 13:37
2011 04:18 25 12:17

KPR points and Price Money

IM Western Australia has 2000 KPR points for the winner. It has a total price purse of 25k$.

Male Race Participants

Rank Name Nation Expected Time Rating Rank
1 Timo Bracht GER 08:09:56 08:21:20 7
2 Jimmy Johnsen DNK 08:31:00 08:42:54 57
3 Matty White AUS 08:39:15 08:51:20 107
4 Mitchell Anderson AUS 08:39:24 08:51:30 108
5 Petr Vabrousek CZE 08:43:01 08:55:12 130
6 Daniel Niederreiter AUT 08:43:58 08:56:10 133
7 Simon Billeau FRA 08:45:56 08:58:11 144
8 Jason Shortis AUS 08:46:40 08:58:56 147
9 Mike Schifferle SUI 08:52:33 09:04:57 190
10 Todd Israel AUS 08:52:39 09:05:03 193
11 Joshua Rix AUS 08:57:04 09:09:34 233
12 Simon Cochrane NZL 08:59:47 09:12:21 243
13 Paul Hawkins GBR 09:08:02 09:20:48 309
14 Ben Cotter CAN 09:12:10 09:25:01 339
15 Karol Dzalaj SVK 09:14:26 09:27:20 360
16 Daniel Mueller GER 09:16:34 09:29:31 374
17 Johan Borg AUS 09:19:27 09:32:28 394
18 Yu Shinozaki JPN 09:52:22 10:06:09 621
19 Hirotsugu Kuwabara JAP 10:11:31 10:25:45 716
20 Brett Carter AUS n/a unrated n/a
21 Jon Woods   n/a unrated n/a

Female Race Participants

Rank Name Nation Expected Time Rating Rank
1 Rebekah Keat AUS 09:12:52 09:25:44 13
2 Britta Martin NZL 09:28:26 09:41:40 47
3 Belinda Harper NZL 09:36:19 09:49:44 73
4 Rebecca Hoschke AUS 09:39:44 09:53:14 85
5 Bree Wee USA 09:41:08 09:54:40 87
6 Heidi Sessner GER 09:43:35 09:57:10 98
7 Renee Lane AUS 09:45:45 09:59:23 103
8 Dana Wagner GER 09:47:06 10:00:46 106
9 Nicole Ward AUS 09:48:45 10:02:27 113
10 Joanna Carritt GBR 10:08:05 10:22:14 187
11 Megumi Shigaki JPN 11:44:46 12:01:10 293

Winning Odds

Male Race Participants

  • Timo Bracht: 73% (1-3)
  • Matty White: 8% (12-1)
  • Jimmy Johnsen: 6% (15-1)
  • Jason Shortis: 5% (20-1)
  • Joshua Rix: 4% (25-1)
  • Mitchell Anderson: 2% (41-1)

Female Race Participants

  • Rebekah Keat: 51% (1-1)
  • Britta Martin: 24% (3-1)
  • Belinda Harper: 16% (5-1)
  • Heidi Sessner: 4% (22-1)
  • Bree Wee: 3% (32-1)
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