Ironman Western Australia (Dec 7th) – Predictions

Previous Winners

Year	Male Winner	Time	Female Winner	Time
2005	Mitchell Anderson (AUS)	08:27:35	Charlotte Paul (AUS)	09:47:27
2006	Jason Shortis (AUS)	08:03:55	Lisbeth Kristensen (DEN)	09:10:00
2007	Patrick Vernay (NCL)	08:05:58	Charlotte Paul (AUS)	09:00:54
2008	Tim Van Berkel (AUS)	08:07:06	Gina Ferguson (NZL)	08:59:24
2009	Patrick Vernay (NCL)	08:13:59	Gina Crawford (NZL)	09:16:52
2010	Courtney Ogden (AUS)	08:14:01	Kate Bevilaqua (AUS)	09:19:44
2011	Timo Bracht (GER)	08:12:39	Michelle Bremer (NZL)	09:25:38
2012	Jimmy Johnsen (DEN)	08:29:06	Britta Martin (NZL)	09:13:00
2013	Jeremy Jurkiewicz (FRA)	08:08:16	Elizabeth Lyles (USA)	08:59:44

Last Year’s TOP 3

Male Race Results

Rank	Name	Nation	Swim	Bike	Run	Time
1	Jeremy Jurkiewicz	FRA	00:47:03	04:29:17	02:48:18	08:08:16
2	Markus Thomschke	GER	00:53:17	04:27:16	02:51:23	08:16:01
3	David Dellow	AUS	00:48:16	04:32:34	02:54:26	08:19:10

Female Race Results

Rank	Name	Nation	Swim	Bike	Run	Time
1	Elizabeth Lyles	USA	00:57:11	04:58:21	03:00:37	08:59:44
2	Mareen Hufe	GER	00:59:49	04:47:53	03:16:24	09:08:00
3	Lisa Marangon	AUS	00:54:10	04:56:20	03:24:29	09:19:29

Course Records

Leg	Gender	Record	Athlete	Date
Total	overall	08:03:55	Jason Shortis	2006-12-03
Swim	overall	00:44:42	Pete Jacobs	2007-12-01
Bike	overall	04:18:07	Mitchell Anderson	2006-12-03
Run	overall	02:43:48	Robert Thomas	2007-12-01
Total	female	08:59:24	Gina Ferguson	2008-12-07
Swim	female	00:48:25	Tereza Macel	2007-12-01
Bike	female	04:47:53	Mareen Hufe	2013-12-08
Run	female	03:00:37	Elizabeth Lyles	2013-12-08

Course Rating

The Course Rating for IM Western Australia is 13:14.

Race Adjustments for IM Western Australia

Year	Adjustment	Swim Adj.	Bike Adj.	Run Adj.	# of Athletes	Rating	Swim Rating	Bike Rating	Run Rating
2005	01:52	-02:59	01:39	-02:20	20	01:52	-02:59	01:39	-02:20
2006	14:45	00:28	14:38	02:50	25	08:19	-01:15	08:09	00:15
2007	24:27	00:42	13:35	04:21	37	13:41	-00:36	09:57	01:37
2008	15:18	-00:10	15:45	-00:09	29	14:05	-00:30	11:24	01:11
2009	12:44	01:13	14:16	-04:43	19	13:49	-00:09	11:59	00:00
2010	09:25	00:07	10:11	02:03	21	13:05	-00:06	11:41	00:20
2011	05:08	-00:24	08:46	02:38	25	11:57	-00:09	11:16	00:40
2012	14:49	-01:25	08:46	02:40	23	12:18	-00:19	10:57	00:55
2013	20:42	00:06	15:03	05:48	16	13:14	-00:16	11:24	01:28

KPR points and Prize Money

IM Western Australia has 2000 KPR points for the winner. It has a total prize purse of 50k$.

Male Race Participants

Please note special bib #83: Western Australia will be the 83rd and final Ironman race for Jason Shortis.

Rank	Bib	Name	Nation	Expected Time	Rating	Exp. Swim	Exp. Bike	Exp. Run	Overall
1	1	David Dellow	AUS	08:19:25	08:29:32	00:47:37	04:29:50	02:56:58	11
2	18	Clayton Fettell	AUS	08:21:28	08:49:59	00:45:11	04:24:54	03:06:23	(57)
3	3	Joe Gambles	AUS	08:28:01	08:40:23	00:49:09	04:32:50	03:01:01	31
4	8	Christian Kemp	AUS	08:29:44	08:53:26	00:47:05	04:32:53	03:04:46	(73)
5	9	Matty White	AUS	08:33:14	09:04:24	00:51:36	04:32:08	03:04:30	119
6	7	Jens Petersen-Bach	DEN	08:33:54	08:52:24	00:52:31	04:40:42	02:55:41	66
7	2	Romain Guillaume	FRA	08:34:21	08:51:06	00:49:04	04:32:11	03:08:06	61
8	5	Matt Burton	AUS	08:34:35	08:55:17	00:54:17	04:30:00	03:05:18	(83)
9	20	Todd Israel	AUS	08:35:14	09:09:28	00:50:11	04:40:15	02:59:48	141
10	16	Denis Chevrot	FRA	08:35:21	08:55:52	00:48:36	04:44:31	02:57:13	87
11	10	Markus Thomschke	GER	08:35:50	09:07:01	00:54:03	04:34:31	03:02:16	136
12	83	Jason Shortis	AUS	08:37:10	08:57:14	00:54:25	04:39:46	02:58:00	96
13	4	Patrik Nilsson	SWE	08:37:27	09:03:03	00:50:30	04:37:36	03:04:20	113
14	11	Simon Billeau	FRA	08:39:57	09:03:31	00:52:17	04:29:44	03:12:56	(114)
15	19	Jarmo Hast	FIN	08:44:05	08:54:33	00:51:40	04:45:19	03:02:05	80
16	29	Joshua Rix	AUS	08:44:21	09:07:26	00:49:59	04:34:08	03:15:14	138
17	17	Guy Crawford	NZL	08:44:31	09:18:42	00:48:37	04:33:03	03:17:51	186
18	13	Per Bittner	GER	08:44:32	08:54:47	00:51:06	04:43:27	03:04:59	82
19	30	Jan Van Berkel	SUI	08:46:01	09:04:50	00:49:12	04:36:11	03:15:38	121
20	26	Sylvain Rota	FRA	08:47:38	09:03:32	00:53:15	04:38:25	03:10:58	115
21	6	Nick Baldwin	SEY	08:49:23	09:05:00	00:55:09	04:41:13	03:08:00	123
22	22	Pontus Lindberg	SWE	08:50:11	09:10:27	00:54:32	04:45:37	03:05:01	146
23	28	Mike Schifferle	SUI	08:59:48	09:11:40	01:02:02	04:45:20	03:07:25	151
24	12	Johan Borg	AUS	09:00:08	09:29:43	00:55:36	04:42:26	03:17:06	227
25	15	Simon Cochrane	NZL	09:00:23	09:17:20	00:53:44	04:53:45	03:07:54	177
26	23	Gergö Molnar	HUN	09:00:40	09:21:19	00:51:25	04:51:25	03:12:50	196
27	25	Daniel Niederreiter	AUT	09:01:36	09:10:30	00:53:04	04:50:36	03:12:56	147
28	21	Darren Jenkins	AUS	09:10:46	09:36:03	01:05:32	04:56:55	03:03:19	(251)
29	24	Andreas Niedrig	GER	09:11:18	09:22:50	00:48:56	04:41:36	03:35:46	202
30	27	Shanon Stallard	NZL	09:15:00	09:38:55	00:57:30	05:00:03	03:12:27	263
	14	Daniel Brown	AUS	n/a	unrated	unrated	unrated	unrated	(n/a)

Female Race Participants

Rank	Bib	Name	Nation	Expected Time	Rating	Exp. Swim	Exp. Bike	Exp. Run	Overall
1	43	Yvonne Van Vlerken	NED	09:06:24	09:21:18	00:59:01	04:51:08	03:11:15	6
2	42	Liz Blatchford	GBR	09:12:48	09:22:41	00:51:29	05:05:32	03:10:48	8
3	41	Elizabeth Lyles	USA	09:13:39	09:31:57	00:57:28	05:05:02	03:06:09	18
4	48	Anja Beranek	GER	09:13:49	09:37:51	00:53:26	04:54:09	03:21:14	(30)
5	46	Diana Riesler	GER	09:20:51	09:41:33	00:59:16	04:55:02	03:21:33	35
6	64	Britta Martin	NZL	09:21:51	09:38:40	01:00:34	05:03:36	03:12:40	30
7	62	Mareen Hufe	GER	09:27:23	09:44:42	01:00:57	04:56:39	03:24:48	46
8	49	Lisa Marangon	AUS	09:28:57	09:53:09	00:54:19	04:59:40	03:29:58	58
9	45	Asa Lundstroem	SWE	09:31:15	09:43:23	01:01:30	05:06:31	03:18:14	39
10	44	Bree Wee	USA	09:32:19	09:48:05	00:54:44	05:09:34	03:23:01	51
11	51	Kate Bevilaqua	AUS	09:35:51	10:17:05	00:57:02	05:05:03	03:28:46	104
12	53	Jeanne Collonge	FRA	09:36:47	09:59:18	00:58:37	05:09:00	03:24:09	76
13	47	Melanie Burke	NZL	09:37:34	09:54:17	01:06:45	05:05:04	03:20:45	59
14	66	Sarah Piampiano	USA	09:38:18	09:51:54	01:02:33	05:07:09	03:23:37	55
15	60	Dede Griesbauer	USA	09:42:57	10:01:11	00:54:04	05:08:02	03:35:51	81
16	59	Beth Gerdes	USA	09:48:57	10:05:15	01:04:11	05:27:36	03:12:10	85
17	58	Erin Furness	NZL	09:52:11	10:26:17	01:01:21	05:19:56	03:25:55	124
18	68	Keiko Tanaka	JPN	09:53:08	10:09:52	00:56:46	05:24:44	03:26:38	94
19	56	Michelle Duffield	AUS	09:53:15	10:14:07	01:01:05	05:21:22	03:25:48	101
20	55	Katy Duffield	AUS	09:54:23	10:21:34	00:59:22	05:23:02	03:27:00	(112)
21	50	Dimity-Lee Duke	AUS	09:54:42	10:14:45	01:03:42	05:20:06	03:25:54	103
22	65	Larisa Marsh	NZL	09:56:43	10:19:43	01:01:47	05:16:59	03:32:57	(109)
23	61	Monique Grossrieder	SUI	09:58:15	10:18:14	01:06:06	05:21:17	03:25:52	106
24	57	Tracy Douglas	AUS	10:01:07	10:26:43	01:07:58	05:16:47	03:31:22	(126)
25	67	Nina Pekerman	ISR	10:04:01	10:23:11	01:01:10	05:20:34	03:37:17	114
26	52	Svetlana Blazevic	SCG	10:05:30	10:23:18	00:53:44	05:22:33	03:44:13	(115)
27	63	Kristy Hallett	AUS	10:17:55	10:48:41	01:05:04	05:20:55	03:46:57	151
	54	Kym Coogan	AUS	n/a	unrated	unrated	unrated	unrated	(n/a)
	69	Pip Taylor	AUS	n/a	unrated	unrated	unrated	unrated	(n/a)

Winning Odds

Male Race Participants

At the top of the odds there are a lot of the Australians who either missed Kona (such as David Dellow with an injury, Clayton Fettell who took a year off IM racing) or didn’t quite have the race they wanted (Joe Gambles who finished 27th).

• David Dellow: 34% (2-1)
• Joe Gambles: 15% (6-1)
• Clayton Fettell: 12% (7-1)
• Romain Guillaume: 9% (10-1)
• Markus Thomschke: 8% (11-1)
• Christian Kemp: 6% (15-1)
• Patrik Nilsson: 4% (24-1)
• Matty White: 2% (40-1)
• Joshua Rix: 2% (65-1)

Female Race Participants

After having only 8 female finishers last year, this year sees a strong and deep women’s field, headed by Yvonne Van Vlerken (recent winner of IM Florida) and defending champion Liz Lyles. However, there are a lot of other IM winners in the field (Liz Blatchford, Anja Beranek, Diana Riesler, Britta Martin, Asa Lundstroem, Bree Wee, Kate Bevilacqua, Dede Griebauer), so we can expect an interesting race not only for first place but also for the money slots.

• Yvonne Van Vlerken: 39% (2-1)
• Elizabeth Lyles: 28% (3-1)
• Anja Beranek: 12% (7-1)
• Liz Blatchford: 9% (10-1)
• Diana Riesler: 6% (17-1)
• Britta Martin: 4% (22-1)