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IM UK – Analyzing Results

Race Conditions

Ironman UK is a slow course (course rating 1:33), and even with the limited number of athletes it is clear that this year was even slower (adjustment of -5:40). As usual, the slowest part was the bike (adjustment of -12:08), and though there were some quick run times, on average the run was normal with a n adjustment of 2:56.

Male Race Results

Daniel Halksworth posted another good result, battling with Stephen Bayliss on the run and successfully defended his title:

Rank Name Nation Swim Bike Run Time Diff to expected
1 Daniel Halksworth GBR 00:43:59 04:56:45 03:01:20 08:45:48 -11:53
2 Stephen Bayliss GBR 00:44:03 04:56:50 03:04:57 08:49:25 -11:14
3 Joe Skipper GBR 00:49:37 05:00:59 02:57:11 08:51:49 03:27
4 Scott Neyedli GBR 00:49:02 05:03:14 02:56:38 08:53:15 -01:20
5 Joel Jameson GBR 00:52:33 05:10:43 02:52:23 08:59:36 -02:28
6 James McCurdy USA 00:49:31 05:02:37 03:06:07 09:02:24 12:19
7 Jens Kaiser GER 00:53:43 05:06:13 03:07:48 09:12:33 06:20
8 Teemu Lemmettylae FIN 00:53:59 05:19:00 02:59:22 09:17:41 12:37
9 James Brown GBR 00:56:05 05:12:50 03:16:13 09:29:24 02:46
10 Martin Cain GBR 00:55:24 05:15:58 03:23:15 09:39:48 -09:12

Female Race Results

On the women’s side, Lucy Gossage proved true to my predictions and lead from start to finish:

Rank Name Nation Swim Bike Run Time Diff to expected
1 Lucy Gossage GBR 00:52:30 05:22:13 03:10:22 09:29:12 -00:48
2 Joanna Carritt GBR 00:55:57 05:40:36 03:24:00 10:05:17 -21:09
3 Amy Forshaw GBR 00:56:27 05:54:21 03:30:15 10:28:27 n/a
4 Bella Bayliss GBR 00:53:48 05:38:38 03:55:49 10:34:34 47:11
5 Laura Bostock GBR 00:58:36 06:31:54 03:49:58 11:27:14 n/a

Looking at smaller races without a dedicated “Pro” category

There are a lot of long-distance races on the schedule that are not quite as big as WTC-branded Ironman or Challenge races. Probably the biggest of these is evens in the Rev3 series which mainly offers 70.3 distances but also has a few long races. I’ll have a closer look at the Rev3 races soon, but for now I want to have focus on some “unaffiliated” races.

In order to figure out what to do with these races, I had a closer look at three races:

  • Norseman: One of the fantastic races that add a great, scenic course to the long distances
  • Vineman: Another “pretty race”, but one that also has a long history – it’s probably the oldest Ironman distance race on the North American continent (i.e. not counting Kona)
  • Ostseeman: An example of the smaller, non-affiliated races (and very dear do me, as this is one of the IM-distance races I have done and just one hour drive from where I live)

While I like these races, analyzing them with a Pro focus (such as I have for trirating.com) is tricky:

  • they don’t have a dedicated “Pro” category (making it hard to identify the Pros, especially new ones or those that have recently changed names)
  • very few Pros compete in these races (I already have some “matching” algorithm to deal with slight spelling differences, but even with that I can’t identify too many Pros)
  • even if I can identify a Pro, older results may be from back when they were still racing age-grouper (and including these result would skew their “Pro” rating)

In short, I have very few good data points for these races, making an analysis very hard and probably not very meaningful. Therefore, I have decided to focus my work on other races and the questions related to these.

Having said this, by pulling together all “Pro” results from all the years I managed to come up with an “unofficial” course rating for Norseman:

Rating Swim Rating Bike Rating Run Rating
-2:07:49 -06:30 -1:00:47 -0:59:27

As this is not a result of my usual calculation procedure, I will not include this in my list of course ratings. Still, these numbers give a good indication how hard the Norseman course is.

IM Lake Placid 2013 – Analyzing Results

Race Conditions

With an adjustment of -2:09 conditions were typically slow for Lake Placid (new course rating of -1:58). Even across the disciplines the adjustments were in line with what we’ve seen in the last years.

Male Race Results

Andy Potts took care of business: Even with a slower than expected race, he validated his Kona slot and won the race with time to spare. Daniel Fontana came in second – and barely missed qualifying for Kona. Ian Mikelson continued his streak of beating my estimates and improving his rating (and also got enough points for a Kona slot).

Rank Name Nation Swim Bike Run Time Diff to expected
1 Andy Potts USA 00:46:48 04:48:33 03:02:41 08:43:29 13:04
2 Daniel Fontana ITA 00:49:23 04:56:21 02:58:00 08:48:29 14:06
3 Ian Mikelson USA 00:49:55 05:02:43 02:53:41 08:51:07 -07:42
4 Balazs Csoke HUN 00:49:22 04:58:29 03:02:09 08:55:55 -07:12
5 Ryan Cain CAN 00:54:31 04:59:23 02:56:37 08:55:57 -38:30
6 Scott Defilippis USA 00:55:03 05:04:00 02:53:10 08:57:58 -14:13
7 Douglas Maclean USA 00:58:37 05:01:29 03:02:51 09:08:49 -34:32
8 Nathan Buttrick USA 01:00:21 05:06:11 03:03:33 09:15:49 n/a
9 Rene Vallant AUT 00:56:41 04:48:58 03:25:30 09:17:10 -12:33
10 Patrick Wheeler USA 00:54:58 05:12:01 03:05:28 09:20:05 -38:15
11 Tim Snow USA 00:54:44 05:21:54 03:01:54 09:25:39 -03:59
12 Jared Milam USA 00:52:33 05:14:07 03:18:40 09:30:25 11:36
13 Tom Wood USA 00:56:49 05:22:59 03:15:02 09:40:44 n/a
14 Brad Seng USA 00:57:01 05:21:24 03:17:05 09:42:21 20:20
15 Chris Glibert USA 01:02:17 05:37:07 02:59:23 09:43:57 09:47
16 John Hirsch USA 00:54:46 05:25:02 03:22:46 09:48:49 02:52
17 Aubrey Aldy USA 01:05:42 05:30:09 03:11:10 09:53:11 n/a
18 Brendan Halpin USA 01:05:39 05:11:15 03:38:05 10:01:00 29:17
19 Jim Lamastra USA 00:52:42 05:15:52 04:10:26 10:29:57 49:18
20 Peter Kotland USA 01:00:25 05:29:33 03:54:55 10:32:46 00:45

Female Race Results

Carrie Lester was leading the race early in the run, but couldn’t hold on and ended in third. After coming 2nd in Lake Placid last year (and also in IM Texas), she posted the fastest run, improved her finish time by more than 20 minutes (even in slightly slower conditions) and managed to win her first Ironman race. The podium was completed by Katy Blakemore.

Rank Name Nation Swim Bike Run Time Diff to expected
1 Jennie Hansen USA 01:03:16 05:20:25 03:05:04 09:35:06 -09:21
2 Katy Blakemore USA 00:52:05 05:32:12 03:12:31 09:42:35 -06:48
3 Carrie Lester AUS 00:55:17 05:23:29 03:23:10 09:47:59 11:37
4 Kristin Andrews USA 01:00:48 05:31:37 03:11:41 09:50:34 -10:06
5 Danielle Kehoe USA 01:03:20 05:22:58 03:24:32 09:56:33 n/a
6 Dede Griesbauer USA 00:52:16 05:23:02 03:42:46 10:04:07 -12:30
7 Kelly Fillnow USA 01:04:58 05:34:53 03:22:59 10:09:42 -09:02
8 Jacqui Gordon USA 01:00:16 05:31:54 03:38:46 10:17:35 03:20
9 Sharon Schmidt-Mongrain USA 01:02:15 05:37:59 03:41:52 10:28:03 06:03
10 Marie Danais CAN 00:57:45 05:44:50 03:53:44 10:44:21 06:11
11 Robin Sandos USA 00:58:40 05:48:57 04:01:28 10:56:13 n/a
12 Mackenzie Madison USA 00:58:23 05:31:18 04:52:24 11:28:46 49:28

Ironman UK 2013 – Predictions

Previous Year’s TOP 3

Male Race Results

Rank Name Nation Swim Bike Run Time
1 Daniel Halksworth GBR 00:47:56 05:00:23 03:03:20 08:55:11
2 Fraser Cartmell GBR 00:48:15 04:59:30 03:15:45 09:07:00
3 Paul Hawkins GBR 00:52:39 05:02:38 03:11:18 09:10:50

Female Race Results

Rank Name Nation Swim Bike Run Time
1 Eimear Mullan IRL 01:03:19 05:42:25 03:18:32 10:08:44
2 Amanda Stevens USA 00:48:19 05:44:46 03:39:07 10:16:57
3 Annett Kamenz GER 01:04:02 05:46:56 03:23:23 10:21:58

Course Records

Leg Gender Record Athlete Date
Total overall 08:24:34 Aaron Farlow 2011-07-31
Swim overall 00:43:35 Fraser Cartmell 2010-08-01
Bike overall 04:45:31 Frank Heldoorn 2006-08-16
Run overall 02:41:46 Aaron Farlow 2011-07-31
Total female 09:19:04 Kristin Moeller 2011-07-31
Swim female 00:45:34 Dede Griesbauer 2006-08-16
Bike female 05:19:03 Dede Griesbauer 2006-08-16
Run female 02:41:57 Kristin Moeller 2011-07-31

Course Rating

The Course Rating for IM UK is 02:35.

Race Adjustments for IM UK

Year Adjustment Swim Adj. Bike Adj. Run Adj. # of Athletes Rating Swim Rating Bike Rating Run Rating
2005 n/a n/a n/a n/a 4 n/a n/a n/a n/a
2006 09:29 05:21 04:21 03:24 18 09:29 05:21 04:21 03:24
2007 08:38 03:24 -04:17 10:22 28 09:04 04:23 00:02 06:53
2008 -02:58 01:14 -13:56 04:20 21 05:03 03:20 -04:37 06:02
2009 01:23 -03:27 -10:14 12:33 16 04:08 01:38 -06:01 07:39
2010 -02:17 04:49 -23:29 11:21 12 02:51 02:16 -09:31 08:24
2011 08:31 05:05 -14:11 24:23 15 03:48 02:44 -10:18 11:04
2012 -04:41 00:04 -09:49 00:46 8 02:35 02:22 -10:14 09:35

KPR points and Price Money

IM UK has 1000 KPR points for the winner. It has a total price purse of 25k$.

Male Race Participants

Rank Name Nation Expected Time Rating Rank Swim Rating Bike Rating Run Rating
1 Joe Skipper GBR 08:40:17 08:42:47 63 00:53:11 04:40:37 03:03:13
2 James McCurdy USA 08:41:52 08:44:23 70 00:54:40 04:39:58 03:08:40
3 Scott Neyedli GBR 08:46:27 08:48:59 91 00:50:44 04:53:45 03:02:29
4 Dorian Wagner GER 08:47:10 08:49:42 98 00:48:53 04:51:38 03:07:11
5 Daniel Halksworth GBR 08:49:37 08:52:10 108 00:47:43 04:49:38 03:09:27
6 Fraser Cartmell GBR 08:52:16 08:54:50 122 00:47:57 04:43:17 03:17:51
7 Stephen Bayliss GBR 08:52:32 08:55:06 124 00:47:59 04:50:45 03:06:29
8 Joel Jameson GBR 08:53:50 08:56:24 132 00:57:13 04:57:12 03:01:49
9 Teemu Lemmettylae FIN 08:56:38 08:59:13 148 00:56:14 04:54:34 03:03:06
10 Jens Kaiser GER 08:57:50 09:00:25 160 00:58:30 04:47:53 03:12:07
11 James Brown GBR 09:17:58 09:20:39 288 01:01:30 05:02:15 03:13:32
12 Martin Cain GBR 09:40:08 09:42:55 418 00:57:30 05:10:05 03:27:45
13 Harry Wiltshire GBR 10:30:09 10:33:11 624 00:47:51 05:07:18 04:33:08
  Cedric Lassonde FRA n/a unrated n/a unrated unrated unrated

Female Race Participants

With only six professional women on the start list, this looks like a great chance for late entries:

Rank Name Nation Expected Time Rating Swim Rating Bike Rating Run Rating Rank
1 Lucy Gossage GBR 09:21:20 09:24:02 00:57:33 05:16:27 03:07:23 13
2 Bella Bayliss GBR 09:37:56 09:40:43 00:55:41 05:19:18 03:19:06 48
3 Joanna Carritt GBR 10:17:07 10:20:05 01:03:03 05:31:01 03:39:04 167
4 Bethan Fowler GBR 11:11:33 11:14:47 01:03:49 06:02:49 03:56:12 239
  Amy Forshaw   n/a unrated unrated unrated unrated n/a
  Laura Bostock   n/a unrated unrated unrated unrated n/a

Winning Odds

Male Race Participants

Daniel Halksworth is back to defend his title, but he faces strong competition from a lot of other fast and/or experienced athletes:

  • Dorian Wagner: 30% (2-1)
  • Stephen Bayliss: 22% (4-1)
  • Scott Neyedli: 15% (6-1)
  • Joel Jameson: 9% (10-1)
  • Teemu Lemmettylae: 7% (13-1)
  • Fraser Cartmell: 5% (18-1)
  • Daniel Halksworth: 5% (20-1)
  • Joe Skipper: 4% (24-1)
  • James McCurdy: 3% (37-1)

Female Race Participants

There is a similar story on the women’s side: “Upcoming” athlete (Lucy Gossage with two fast race results from Barcelona) vs. experience (Bella Bayliss, Jo Carritt):

  • Bella Bayliss: 48% (1-1)
  • Lucy Gossage: 35% (2-1)
  • Joanna Carritt: 12% (7-1)
  • Bethan Fowler: 2% (55-1)

Results for Joe Skipper (GBR)

Race Date Swim Bike Run Total Adjusted Rating Rank in Race
Challenge Barcelona 2012-09-30 00:54:08 04:28:14 02:58:38 08:23:57 08:42:47 08:42:47 5

Results for James McCurdy (USA)

Race Date Swim Bike Run Total Adjusted Rating Rank in Race
IM Florida 2012-11-03 00:57:49 04:19:17 03:06:45 08:29:04 08:44:23 08:44:23 9

Results for Scott Neyedli (GBR)

Race Date Swim Bike Run Total Adjusted Rating Rank in Race
Challenge Henley 2012-09-16 00:52:18 04:52:37 02:55:24 08:44:37 08:52:09 08:48:59 5
IM Arizona 2011-11-19 00:51:37 04:32:15 03:01:06 08:29:03 08:41:48 08:48:23 11
IM Australia 2011-05-01       08:47:16 08:51:21 08:49:31 4
IM Western Australia 2010-12-05 00:47:44 04:44:24 02:59:05 08:34:45 08:40:33 08:49:13 7
IM Canada 2010-08-29 00:48:59 04:52:15 02:56:37 08:41:36 08:49:28 08:50:47 6
IM Australia 2010-03-28       08:27:58 08:35:43 08:51:02 2
IM Western Australia 2009-12-05 00:47:24 04:37:30 02:52:51 08:17:47 08:29:08 08:54:21 2
IM Lanzarote 2009-05-23 00:50:15 05:11:52 02:55:44 09:04:29 08:55:22 09:00:36 6
IM UK 2008-09-07 00:51:33 05:11:51 02:57:41 09:04:30 09:01:30 09:02:00 2
IM New Zealand 2008-03-01 00:49:25 05:00:08 03:05:35 09:00:17 09:06:02 09:02:08 10
IM Hawaii 2007-10-13 00:58:01 04:56:40 03:05:31 09:04:48 09:02:37 09:00:54 31
IM UK 2007-08-19 00:47:07 04:56:55 02:48:32 08:35:57 08:44:12 09:00:13 1
IM South Africa 2007-03-18 01:02:03 04:59:19 03:19:19 09:20:43 09:10:49 09:10:10 7
IM Switzerland 2006-07-02 00:52:32 04:58:15 03:03:52 08:57:29 09:09:22 09:09:22 10

Results for Dorian Wagner (GER)

Race Date Swim Bike Run Total Adjusted Rating Rank in Race
IM Sweden 2012-08-18 00:48:38 04:26:31 02:49:49 08:08:06 08:34:03 08:49:42 2
Challenge Roth 2012-07-08 00:47:40 04:44:26 02:45:04 08:19:47 08:31:48 08:56:02 7
Challenge Barcelona 2011-10-02 00:48:50 04:37:56 03:41:48 09:11:48 09:21:34 09:11:42 19
IM Austria 2011-07-03 00:46:50 04:44:45 03:00:37 08:37:01 09:01:05 09:01:05 8

Results for Daniel Halksworth (GBR)

Race Date Swim Bike Run Total Adjusted Rating Rank in Race
IM Germany 2013-07-07 00:46:05 04:34:04 03:05:57 08:30:07 08:43:52 08:52:10 16
IM Wales 2012-09-16 00:44:07 05:15:50 02:54:59 09:02:13 09:00:15 08:55:47 4
IM UK 2012-07-22 00:47:56 05:00:23 03:03:20 08:55:11 08:50:33 08:53:25 1
IM Regensburg 2012-06-17 00:45:05 04:52:18 03:08:59 08:50:38 08:56:22 08:56:22 6

Results for Fraser Cartmell (GBR)

Race Date Swim Bike Run Total Adjusted Rating Rank in Race
IM Germany 2013-07-07 00:46:13 04:34:26 03:15:23 08:40:21 08:54:23 08:54:50 24
IM UK 2012-07-22 00:48:15 04:59:30 03:15:45 09:07:00 09:02:15 08:55:01 2
IM Arizona 2011-11-19 00:48:44 04:28:00 03:29:03 08:50:14 09:03:31 08:51:23 25
IM Hawaii 2010-10-09 00:51:26 04:39:46 03:12:01 08:47:45 08:47:17 08:42:49 29
IM UK 2010-08-01 00:43:35 05:02:48 02:49:56 08:40:18 08:38:06 08:38:06 1

Results for Stephen Bayliss (GBR)

Race Date Swim Bike Run Total Adjusted Rating Rank in Race
Challenge Roth 2013-07-14 00:46:03 04:39:56 03:09:00 08:38:00 08:56:43 08:55:06 14
IM Lanzarote 2013-05-18 00:47:45 05:18:58 03:47:40 10:00:31 09:40:40 08:54:58 10
Challenge Barcelona 2012-09-30 00:48:01 04:35:04 04:19:27 09:44:39 10:06:29 08:51:11 45
Challenge Henley 2012-09-16 00:48:39 04:54:53 02:42:43 08:29:31 08:36:50 08:45:36 1
Challenge Roth 2012-07-08 00:47:24 04:32:15 02:50:52 08:13:01 08:24:52 08:46:18 5
IM Lanzarote 2012-05-19 00:48:01 05:05:40 02:54:07 08:53:37 08:37:14 08:48:02 2
Challenge Henley 2011-09-18 00:48:01 04:46:07 03:07:27 08:44:31 08:43:08 08:48:57 4
Challenge Vichy 2011-08-21 00:50:20 04:36:27 03:14:48 08:45:28 08:39:24 08:49:23 1
Challenge Kopenhagen 2011-08-01 00:45:22 04:35:29 03:07:12 08:34:52 08:57:46 08:50:10 8
IM Austria 2011-07-03 00:46:41 04:35:08 02:50:29 08:16:47 08:39:55 08:49:32 5
IM Cozumel 2010-11-28       09:04:07 09:13:56 08:50:24 18
IM UK 2010-08-01 00:43:37 05:09:32 02:49:35 08:46:19 08:44:06 08:48:28 2
IM Austria 2010-07-04 00:47:41 04:35:01 03:04:31 08:31:07 08:41:21 08:48:49 6
IM South Africa 2010-04-25 00:47:39 04:48:32 03:01:12 08:40:28 08:45:29 08:49:27 5
IM Hawaii 2009-10-10 00:50:58 05:08:13 03:16:55 09:19:56 09:07:21 08:49:49 45
IM UK 2009-08-02 00:51:13 05:04:50 02:47:43 08:48:30 08:49:52 08:48:22 2
IM Austria 2009-07-05 00:47:32 04:32:32 02:53:20 08:17:06 08:31:13 08:48:15 3
IM Lanzarote 2009-05-23 00:50:13 05:11:24 02:54:38 09:02:15 08:53:11 08:49:46 5
IM South Africa 2009-04-05 00:47:38 04:48:39 03:07:42 08:47:26 09:02:19 08:49:27 4
IM New Zealand 2009-03-07 00:47:55 04:44:14 03:02:15 08:38:29 08:45:47 08:48:10 6
IM Hawaii 2008-10-11 00:51:41 04:51:58 03:02:01 08:49:38 08:42:35 08:48:25 18
IM UK 2008-09-07 00:45:55 05:09:05 02:56:05 08:53:59 08:51:03 08:49:03 1
IM Austria 2008-07-13 00:46:03 04:39:38 02:44:33 08:13:53 08:29:59 08:48:49 2
IM South Africa 2008-04-13 00:47:29 04:38:20 02:51:02 08:18:23 08:29:25 08:51:10 1
IM New Zealand 2008-03-01 00:47:08 04:49:48 02:55:29 08:37:03 08:42:33 08:54:03 4
IM Western Australia 2007-12-01 00:48:18 04:35:09 02:54:23 08:17:50 08:40:02 08:55:44 5
IM Florida 2007-11-03 00:49:21 04:41:14 02:57:19 08:30:59 08:49:28 08:58:13 4
IM UK 2007-08-19 00:47:04 04:57:01 02:51:10 08:38:09 08:46:26 08:59:49 2
IM Brasil 2007-05-27 00:49:15 04:54:05 02:53:42 08:37:02 08:46:40 09:02:37 5
IM Florida 2006-11-04 00:50:34 04:53:23 02:56:42 08:43:41 08:55:47 09:06:28 4
IM Brasil 2006-05-28 00:45:46 04:47:49 03:01:27 08:35:01 08:49:18 09:09:14 4
IM Arizona 2006-04-09 00:49:29 04:44:03 03:23:48 09:00:38 09:03:16 09:15:09 14
IM Florida 2005-11-05 00:49:18 04:48:36 03:02:18 08:47:06 09:00:23 09:19:54 6
IM UK 2005-08-21 00:45:45 05:25:30 03:01:03 09:15:14 09:15:14 09:30:35 4
IM Lanzarote 2005-06-04 00:49:51 05:28:37 03:25:36 09:46:55 09:46:55 09:46:55 12

Results for Joel Jameson (GBR)

Race Date Swim Bike Run Total Adjusted Rating Rank in Race
Challenge Henley 2012-09-16 00:57:48 04:47:20 02:42:10 08:31:03 08:38:24 08:56:24 2
IM Coeur d’Alene 2012-06-24 01:01:36 05:05:37 02:59:26 09:09:52 09:10:02 09:06:00 6
IM Melbourne 2012-03-24 00:58:28 04:53:21 03:03:44 08:59:28 09:07:11 09:04:28 23
IM Florida 2011-11-05 00:56:46 04:36:28 02:56:55 08:35:31 08:55:38 09:03:00 11
IM Lanzarote 2011-05-21 00:52:57 05:11:27 02:51:12 09:01:48 08:51:15 09:10:03 4
IM UK 2005-08-21 00:57:57 05:46:56 03:57:34 10:48:13 10:48:13 10:48:13 12

Results for Teemu Lemmettylae (FIN)

Race Date Swim Bike Run Total Adjusted Rating Rank in Race
IM Sweden 2012-08-18 00:58:39 04:25:48 02:53:39 08:21:51 08:48:31 08:59:13 9
Challenge Roth 2012-07-08 00:55:54 04:46:48 02:54:23 08:40:48 08:53:19 09:01:46 12
Challenge Vichy 2011-08-21 01:00:37 04:37:53 03:06:32 08:49:41 08:43:34 09:04:17 2
IM Germany 2011-07-24 00:53:06 04:46:15 02:53:06 08:36:36 08:42:49 09:10:33 10
Challenge Barcelona 2010-10-03 00:55:39 04:35:40 03:15:00 08:50:44 09:05:08 09:22:12 15
IM Coeur d’Alene 2009-06-21 00:59:52 05:13:07 03:21:51 09:40:23 09:50:01 09:30:44 14
IM Lanzarote 2008-05-24 00:51:59 05:22:59 02:55:50 09:18:53 09:07:16 09:20:34 9
IM Hawaii 2007-10-13 00:59:38 05:15:44 03:16:43 09:37:54 09:35:35 09:28:57 50
IM Lanzarote 2007-05-20 00:55:42 05:33:47 02:57:47 09:34:09 09:21:30 09:21:30 9

Results for Jens Kaiser (GER)

Race Date Swim Bike Run Total Adjusted Rating Rank in Race
Challenge Henley 2012-09-16 00:57:46 04:46:58 03:13:27 09:02:41 09:10:29 09:00:25 10
IM Regensburg 2012-06-17 00:57:00 04:43:28 02:58:48 08:43:57 08:49:37 08:49:37 4

Results for James Brown (GBR)

Race Date Swim Bike Run Total Adjusted Rating Rank in Race
IM Austria 2013-06-30 00:55:41 04:50:17 03:06:14 08:57:30 09:20:39 09:20:39 26

Results for Martin Cain (GBR)

Race Date Swim Bike Run Total Adjusted Rating Rank in Race
IM Germany 2013-07-07 00:56:32 04:59:25 03:15:47 09:17:29 09:32:31 09:42:55 38
IM Lanzarote 2013-05-18 00:59:13 05:52:06 03:15:18 10:16:39 09:56:16 09:47:03 12
IM Wales 2012-09-16 00:51:28 05:30:22 03:27:50 09:58:21 09:56:10 09:41:21 14
IM UK 2012-07-22 00:54:53 05:07:18 03:24:09 09:30:48 09:25:51 09:25:51 5

Results for Harry Wiltshire (GBR)

Race Date Swim Bike Run Total Adjusted Rating Rank in Race
IM Wales 2012-09-16 00:44:07 05:33:54 04:08:41 10:35:30 10:33:11 10:33:11 16

Results for Cedric Lassonde (FRA)

Race Date Swim Bike Run Total Adjusted Rating Rank in Race

Results for Lucy Gossage (GBR)

Race Date Swim Bike Run Total Adjusted Rating Rank in Race
Challenge Barcelona 2012-09-30 00:57:30 04:55:47 03:02:57 08:58:43 09:18:50 09:24:02 1
Challenge Barcelona 2011-10-02 00:59:34 05:08:53 03:08:33 09:21:01 09:30:57 09:30:57 4

Results for Bella Bayliss (GBR)

Race Date Swim Bike Run Total Adjusted Rating Rank in Race
Challenge Henley 2012-09-16 00:56:16 05:25:42 03:12:22 09:40:23 09:48:44 09:40:43 2
IM Switzerland 2012-07-15 00:59:45 05:05:26 03:16:50 09:25:54 09:32:02 09:39:51 2
IM Lanzarote 2012-05-19 00:56:12 05:47:54 03:14:06 10:06:12 09:47:35 09:40:45 2
IM UK 2010-08-01 00:50:17 05:48:26 03:22:43 10:06:52 10:04:18 09:39:54 2
IM Lanzarote 2010-05-22 00:52:38 05:41:15 03:34:43 10:16:47 10:08:50 09:37:58 3
IM Cozumel 2009-11-29 00:50:01 05:13:32 03:14:34 09:22:34 09:26:44 09:35:28 1
IM Florida 2009-11-07   04:56:20 03:11:08 09:13:52 09:31:03 09:36:08 3
IM UK 2009-08-02 00:59:20 05:26:18 03:01:09 09:34:00 09:35:29 09:36:32 1
IM Austria 2009-07-05 00:54:04 04:49:42 03:00:21 08:50:13 09:05:16 09:36:38 1
IM Lanzarote 2009-05-23 00:56:00 05:46:37 03:04:06 09:54:58 09:45:01 09:39:20 1
IM New Zealand 2009-03-07 00:55:10 05:17:41 03:22:28 09:41:04 09:49:15 09:38:49 5
IM Florida 2008-11-01 00:54:54 04:59:05 03:08:07 09:07:48 09:29:26 09:37:50 1
IM Hawaii 2008-10-11 00:59:02 05:21:46 03:08:31 09:34:08 09:26:30 09:38:37 7
IM UK 2008-09-07 00:53:26 05:33:38 03:16:27 09:49:07 09:45:52 09:39:50 1
IM Austria 2008-07-13 00:53:11 04:48:13 03:04:50 08:51:17 09:08:36 09:39:10 2
IM Lanzarote 2008-05-24 00:56:17 05:48:14 03:09:20 10:02:30 09:49:59 09:42:42 1
IM South Africa 2008-04-13 00:55:38 05:19:01 03:10:56 09:27:48 09:40:23 09:41:47 1
IM New Zealand 2008-03-01 00:53:11 05:11:00 03:15:34 09:25:33 09:31:34 09:41:59 4
IM Western Australia 2007-12-01 00:55:33 05:05:13 03:13:38 09:14:24 09:39:07 09:43:34 3
IM Florida 2007-11-03 00:55:31 05:00:54 03:11:58 09:13:34 09:33:35 09:44:19 4
IM UK 2007-08-19 00:49:45 05:31:16 03:10:01 09:36:13 09:45:26 09:46:23 1
IM Brasil 2007-05-27 00:58:03 05:09:04 03:13:02 09:20:09 09:30:35 09:46:36 3
IM South Africa 2007-03-18 01:07:58 05:25:04 03:15:37 09:48:41 09:38:18 09:50:49 3
IM Florida 2006-11-04 00:58:27 05:14:02 03:11:40 09:28:28 09:41:36 09:55:00 1
IM Brasil 2006-05-28 00:54:43 05:12:19 03:32:13 09:39:14 09:55:18 10:00:43 4
IM Florida 2005-11-05 01:02:21 05:05:02 03:22:04 09:33:09 09:47:35 10:04:00 1
IM UK 2005-08-21 00:56:39 05:55:28 03:25:21 10:21:25 10:21:25 10:21:25 3

Results for Joanna Carritt (GBR)

Race Date Swim Bike Run Total Adjusted Rating Rank in Race
IM Germany 2013-07-07 00:56:45 05:20:04 03:28:21 09:50:16 10:06:11 10:20:05 15
IM South Africa 2013-04-14 01:06:53 05:13:21 03:51:36 10:16:59 10:23:23 10:21:49 11
IM Western Australia 2012-12-09 01:08:44 05:11:48 03:43:41 10:09:14 10:23:38 10:21:36 8
IM Wales 2012-09-16 00:57:38 05:55:01 03:09:12 10:12:34 10:10:20 10:21:20 3
Challenge Roth 2012-07-08 01:00:23 05:17:54 03:42:52 10:04:53 10:19:25 10:22:56 17
IM UK 2011-07-31 00:55:21 05:53:08 03:05:59 09:59:21 10:08:48 10:23:30 4
IM Lanzarote 2011-05-21 00:56:35 06:06:02 03:59:33 11:09:59 10:56:57 10:25:33 7
Challenge Wanaka 2011-01-15       10:57:21 10:21:40 10:20:47 3
IM Western Australia 2010-12-05 01:04:42 05:28:49 03:34:09 10:11:13 10:18:06 10:20:38 6
IM Hawaii 2010-10-09 01:13:01 05:37:58 03:26:48 10:23:05 10:22:32 10:21:06 35
IM UK 2010-08-01 00:58:16 06:03:05 03:09:28 10:16:22 10:13:46 10:20:48 3
IM France 2010-06-27 01:04:27 05:29:45 03:26:15 10:07:44 10:19:53 10:22:34 8
IM Lanzarote 2010-05-22 01:02:31 05:46:52 03:26:34 10:24:30 10:16:27 10:23:26 7
IM Lanzarote 2009-05-23 01:03:57 06:01:55 03:30:45 10:45:32 10:34:44 10:26:38 7
IM Germany 2008-07-06       09:43:19 10:11:06 10:22:23 8
IM Switzerland 2007-06-24 01:04:57 05:14:53 03:34:51 09:57:28 10:15:43 10:30:06 8
IM Lanzarote 2007-05-20 01:07:17 05:57:23 03:45:15 10:59:25 10:44:53 10:44:53 7

Results for Bethan Fowler (GBR)

Race Date Swim Bike Run Total Adjusted Rating Rank in Race
IM Wales 2012-09-16 00:57:15 06:19:28 03:27:14 10:52:53 10:50:31 11:14:47 7
IM UK 2012-07-22 01:05:33 06:30:27 04:04:18 11:46:16 11:40:09 11:40:09 5

Results for Amy Forshaw ()

Race Date Swim Bike Run Total Adjusted Rating Rank in Race

Results for Laura Bostock ()

Race Date Swim Bike Run Total Adjusted Rating Rank in Race

IM Switzerland 2013 – Analyzing Results

Race Conditions

Wow – this year’s IM Switzerland was really slow. I calculated a total adjustment of -10:02. The non-wetsuit swim and the bike were just a bit slower than the last year, but the run (in a severe heat) had an adjustment of -4:12 – more than 10 minutes slower than last year. A lot of people ran into issues on the run: T2 leader Jan Van Berkel had to withdraw with a heat stroke, and there is a lot of red in the run column (indicating slower than expected – even after the adjustment).

Male Race Results

Ronnie Schildknecht continued his non-Kona winning streak: As far as I know he is the first athlete winning an Ironman race seven times in a row. Ivan Rana and Per Bittner round out the podium (also grabbing Kona slots).

Rank Name Nation Swim Bike Run Time Diff to expected
1 Ronnie Schildknecht SWI 00:55:59 04:32:16 03:01:59 08:33:39 -03:21
2 Ivan Rana ESP 00:52:37 04:45:57 02:59:09 08:40:55 -04:11
3 Per Bittner GER 00:55:47 04:49:07 02:57:54 08:46:23 -03:54
4 Maxim Kriat UKR 00:55:55 04:46:58 03:01:26 08:47:54 05:37
5 Marko Albert EST 00:52:18 04:52:10 03:02:10 08:50:15 01:14
6 Cyril Viennot FRA 00:55:50 04:49:27 03:03:17 08:52:24 07:04
7 David Plese SVN 01:00:20 04:43:48 03:08:58 08:57:16 11:44
8 Mike Schifferle SUI 01:02:52 04:46:14 03:07:21 09:01:13 -12:49
9 Petr Vabrousek CZE 01:01:16 04:56:02 03:10:15 09:12:26 08:28
10 Joseph Spindler GER 01:08:30 04:48:55 03:14:35 09:15:32 01:53
11 Ben Cotter CAN 01:01:09 04:54:21 03:15:56 09:16:02 -07:38
12 Michael Wetzel GER 01:04:52 04:52:16 03:30:01 09:31:46 12:07
13 Jarda Brynda CZE 00:55:54 05:10:23 03:24:08 09:35:02 04:58
14 Ciro Violin BRA 00:56:06 05:15:48 03:37:11 09:56:19 40:36
15 Martin Lamontagne Lacasse CAN 01:00:18 05:17:39 03:39:51 10:04:03 24:55
16 Josef Krivanek CZE 01:08:13 05:07:47 03:58:09 10:19:40 11:15
17 Daniel Mueller GER 00:56:01 05:04:03 04:28:44 10:32:48 53:04
18 Juha Laitinen FIN 01:10:06 05:51:23 04:01:53 11:09:59 01:03
19 Jacson Kluts NZL 01:09:35 05:53:07 04:30:57 11:42:20 56:27
20 Andrej Palinsky SVK 01:28:43 05:14:29 04:51:39 11:43:35 07:12
21 Josef Svoboda CZE 01:23:06 05:53:48 04:26:27 11:54:17 07:35

Female Race Results

On the women’s side, late entry Anja Beranek overcame her Frankfurt DNF by winning in Switzerland. IM-newbies Celine Schärer and Emma Pooley finished well after smart races in 2nd and 5th. Erika Csomor rounded out the podium, while Sofie Goos, Rebecca Hoschke and Sara Gross grabbed enough points for a Kona slot.

Rank Name Nation Swim Bike Run Time Diff to expected
1 Anja Beranek GER 00:58:21 04:56:23 03:22:55 09:21:31 -16:25
2 Céline Schärer SUI 00:52:38 05:06:57 03:24:09 09:28:28 n/a
3 Erika Csomor HUN 01:01:21 05:10:12 03:17:24 09:33:17 -07:19
4 Sofie Goos BEL 01:01:18 05:17:05 03:16:57 09:39:14 -12:24
5 Emma Pooley GBR 01:08:16 04:59:53 03:29:15 09:44:57 n/a
6 Stephanie Jones USA 01:08:16 05:07:49 03:26:34 09:47:07 -24:18
7 Rebecca Hoschke AUS 01:08:23 05:20:09 03:15:25 09:48:14 -08:40
8 Sara Gross CAN 01:01:23 05:33:58 03:16:25 09:55:48 -04:11
9 Linda Schuecker GER 01:12:05 05:15:19 03:25:01 09:56:20 -38:51
10 Joyce Wolfe IRL 01:07:23 05:22:11 03:28:45 10:03:22 -16:42
11 Monique Grossrieder SWI 01:10:13 05:25:01 03:34:59 10:14:34 08:41
12 Charisa Wernick USA 01:07:47 05:34:19 03:37:16 10:23:58 17:00
13 Anna Halasz HUN 01:15:07 05:23:24 03:52:09 10:35:02 n/a
14 Simona Vykoukalova CZE 01:14:52 05:33:48 03:42:28 10:35:43 -12:13
15 Megumi Shigaki JPN 01:07:27 05:20:47 04:15:18 10:48:11 -27:01
16 Conny Dauben GER 01:14:19 05:32:22 04:04:20 10:56:06 -14:41
17 Zsuzsanna Harsanyi HUN 01:07:27 05:46:26 04:09:16 11:09:01 -06:36
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