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Kona slots at end of August

Last weekend, the final Professional Kona slots were decided and 10 slots for the men and 7 slots for the women were awarded. This post has a closer look at the changes in the KPR standings between the end of July and the end of August and what was required to become an August qualifier.

Athletes close to the cutoff

The first set of tables shows the men and women who

  • were in the August qualifier spots at the end of July (i.e. the first 10 or 7 non-qualifiers).
  • qualified at the end of August, or
  • were very close to qualifying.

The tables list these athletes together with

  • their rank (among the non-qualifiers) and points at the end of July and August (qualifying spots are marked green),
  • the Delta between July and August (i.e. the change in ranks and the addition points scored), and
  • a short description of their August race results.

Here’s a look at the men’s table:

KPRMen

And here’s the same data for the women:

KPWomen2

It obvious that “big result racing” was required to qualify:

  • Daniel Halksworth made the biggest jump from somewhere around #100 (he was so far back I didn’t copy his July standing) to #9, winning in the UK and then baking it up with a 4th place at Mont Tremblant. On the women’s side, Anja Beranek moved from #29 to 5th place.
  • Lots of athletes qualified by racing in Mont Tremblant, making use of the large number of points available in the P-4000 race (e.g. Luke, Brandon, Keatsy, Liz Blatchford).
  • Some athletes had to race multiple times (because they didn’t score enough points in their first race), sometimes even back-to-back (Mike, Dominik and Paul had to score in Mont Tremblant and a week later in Canada to qualify).
  • If you were sitting in an August qualifying spot at the end of July, you had to race in order to stay get a slot.

Non-qualifiers

The following tables show the result that the athletes who didn’t qualify would have needed. Obviously, those athletes that didn’t race would have needed another race, and especially with those close to the cutoff just a mediocre result in a big race such as IM Mont Tremblant would have been sufficient. (15th place in IMMT would have been 800 points, 10th place was 1600.)

KPRMen More Races

KPRWomenNew2

I guess the data highlights a few points:

  • It’s a bit risky to “rely” on just one good result, a DNF can destroy your hopes pretty soon. (Daniel Fontana had a mechanical 60k into the bike and had to let go of his Kona dreams.)
  • Even if you think you’re not having a good day, it still makes sense to fight for each and every place. The difference for Kimberly Schwabenhauer between 5th and 4th in Mont Tremblant was less than 6 minutes, similar for Haley Chura between 8th and 6th. Just a few minutes in any race can make the difference between qualifying or not. I’m sure that there are other examples in earlier races.

Note: An earlier version of this post was written before Sarah Piampiano declined her slot. The women’s tables have been updated to reflect this.

MetaMan Bintan 2013 – Predictions

The “MetaMan” in Bintan is held for the second time. It has a pretty small field, but a very large prize purse of 142.000 US$ – larger than the regional championship WT races! The winner gets 40.000 US$, so it is no surprise that some strong athletes have decided to race here, even if the race is merely six weeks before Kona. Even if the Kona athletes will probably not race “all out”, it will be a pretty interesting race.

Previous Year’s TOP 3

Male Race Results

Rank Name Nation Swim Bike Run Time
1 Brett Carter AUS 00:48:10 04:35:30 03:18:24 08:43:58
2 Fredrik Croneborg SWE 00:52:08 05:03:51 03:01:07 08:59:10
3 Petr Vabrousek CZE 00:56:19 04:54:43 03:13:40 09:07:33

Female Race Results

Rank Name Nation Swim Bike Run Time
1 Candice Hammond NZL 01:02:59 05:05:50 03:20:21 09:31:08
2 Belinda Granger AUS 00:56:11 04:58:37 03:43:01 09:40:16
3 Erika Csomor HUN 00:56:17 05:24:53 03:28:49 09:52:29

Course Records

Leg Gender Record Athlete Date
Total overall 08:43:58 Brett Carter 2012-09-15
Swim overall 00:48:10 Brett Carter 2012-09-15
Bike overall 04:35:30 Brett Carter 2012-09-15
Run overall 03:01:07 Fredrik Croneborg 2012-09-15
Total female 09:31:08 Candice Hammond 2012-09-15
Swim female 00:54:22 Lucie Reed 2012-09-15
Bike female 04:58:37 Belinda Granger 2012-09-15
Run female 03:20:21 Candice Hammond 2012-09-15

Course Rating

The Course Rating for MetaMan is – 13:29.

Race Adjustments for MetaMan

Year Adjustment Swim Adj. Bike Adj. Run Adj. # of Athletes Rating Swim Rating Bike Rating Run Rating
2012 -13:29 -02:10 02:12 -10:46 9 -13:29 -02:10 02:12 -10:46

Male Race Participants

The men’s race is a very interesting mix of athletes not racing in Kona (Cam Brown, Tim Berkel), strong Kona contenders (David Dellow) and athletes new to the IM distance (Courtney Atkinson).

Rank Name Nation Expected Time Rating Swim Rating Bike Rating Run Rating Rank
1 David Dellow AUS 08:38:44 08:26:06 00:47:08 04:40:18 02:56:49 10
2 Cameron Brown NZL 08:51:02 08:38:06 00:49:23 04:41:20 02:53:38 33
3 Victor Zyemtsev USA 08:54:15 08:41:14 00:50:26 04:46:35 03:00:01 46
4 Courtney Ogden AUS 08:56:35 08:43:31 00:50:32 04:49:47 03:00:20 53
5 Tim Berkel AUS 08:57:10 08:44:05 00:50:44 04:45:00 03:05:34 56
6 Matty White AUS 09:03:25 08:50:11 00:50:46 04:46:10 03:11:08 79
7 Fredrik Croneborg SWE 09:04:19 08:51:03 00:51:39 04:59:44 02:59:54 82
  Courtney Atkinson AUS n/a unrated unrated unrated unrated n/a

Female Race Participants

With Caroline and Gina we have two strong Kona contenders, but I’m sure that last year’s winner Candice Hammond and veteran racers Jo Lawn and Belinda Granger will make it hard for them to win the race. On paper, Caroline is the clear favorite, but I’m sure she doesn’t want to loose her Kona chances six weeks before the race. She’ll probably race with a similar strategy to Mary Beth Ellis in Mont Tremblant: Have a strong swim/bike combo, followed by a controlled run.

Rank Name Nation Expected Time Rating Swim Rating Bike Rating Run Rating Rank
1 Caroline Steffen SUI 09:27:38 09:13:48 00:52:12 04:59:47 03:15:06 3
2 Gina Crawford NZL 09:40:20 09:26:12 00:52:16 05:14:55 03:13:43 13
3 Joanna Lawn NZL 09:47:54 09:33:35 00:53:59 05:15:04 03:20:34 26
4 Belinda Granger AUS 09:52:39 09:38:13 00:53:45 05:09:23 03:31:01 36
5 Candice Hammond NZL 09:54:18 09:39:49 01:00:24 05:16:00 03:18:03 41
6 Simone Maier GER 10:07:37 09:52:49 01:04:57 05:15:04 03:22:45 66
7 Ange Castle AUS 10:29:44 10:14:24 01:07:01 05:26:47 03:33:13 105

Winning Odds

Male Race Participants

  • Cameron Brown: 28% (3-1)
  • Tim Berkel: 25% (3-1)
  • David Dellow: 24% (3-1)
  • Victor Zyemtsev: 13% (7-1)
  • Courtney Ogden: 5% (20-1)
  • Matty White: 4% (24-1)

Female Race Participants

  • Caroline Steffen: 61% (1-1)
  • Gina Crawford: 18% (5-1)
  • Candice Hammond: 12% (7-1)
  • Joanna Lawn: 4% (22-1)
  • Belinda Granger: 4% (24-1)

Results for David Dellow (AUS)

Race Date Swim Bike Run Total Adjusted Rating Rank in Race
IM Germany 2013-07-07 00:46:14 04:33:51 02:54:05 08:19:03 08:32:41 08:26:06 10
IM Hawaii 2012-10-13 00:51:33 04:40:27 02:59:02 08:35:02 08:25:04 08:23:44 9
IM Cairns 2012-06-02 00:47:56 04:33:45 02:48:26 08:15:04 08:17:47 08:23:12 1
IM Melbourne 2012-03-24 00:47:24 04:28:09 02:45:05 08:04:19 08:11:14 08:26:23 5
IM Cairns 2011-06-05 00:46:02 04:41:54 03:10:22 08:41:39 08:45:28 08:45:28 6

Results for Cameron Brown (NZL)

Race Date Swim Bike Run Total Adjusted Rating Rank in Race
Challenge Roth 2013-07-14 00:48:39 04:28:58 04:17:18 09:37:57 09:58:56 08:38:06 27
IM New Zealand 2013-03-02 00:50:09 04:41:52 02:57:16 08:34:28 08:37:05 08:27:16 3
Challenge Roth 2012-07-08 00:47:37 04:31:50 02:47:30 08:10:05 08:21:52 08:25:55 4
IM Cairns 2012-06-02 00:50:46 04:30:48 02:56:06 08:22:21 08:25:07 08:26:26 2
IM Melbourne 2012-03-24 00:50:37 04:24:48 02:41:17 08:00:12 08:07:04 08:26:37 2
IM Germany 2011-07-24 00:48:07 04:48:30 02:51:02 08:31:47 08:37:57 08:29:40 7
IM New Zealand 2011-03-05 00:50:21 04:43:04 02:52:09 08:31:07 08:28:04 08:28:27 1
IM Hawaii 2010-10-09 00:52:16 04:38:41 02:59:15 08:34:10 08:33:42 08:28:30 17
IM Germany 2010-07-04 00:48:04 04:33:50 02:53:04 08:18:33 08:26:43 08:27:41 4
IM New Zealand 2010-03-06 00:49:28 04:40:29 02:47:35 08:21:52 08:27:47 08:27:51 1
IM Hawaii 2009-10-10 00:52:50 04:44:52 03:12:07 08:53:41 08:41:41 08:27:52 22
IM New Zealand 2009-03-07 00:47:58 04:42:36 02:43:10 08:18:05 08:25:05 08:25:10 1
IM Hawaii 2008-10-11 00:51:50 04:36:47 02:53:39 08:26:17 08:19:33 08:25:11 5
IM Germany 2008-07-06       08:08:29 08:31:45 08:26:23 4
IM New Zealand 2008-03-01 00:47:18 04:43:15 02:49:36 08:24:49 08:30:11 08:25:03 1
IM New Zealand 2007-03-03 00:47:53 04:48:08 02:51:10 08:26:33 08:30:53 08:23:35 1
IM Hawaii 2006-10-21 00:53:55 04:29:26 02:58:05 08:25:22 08:20:47 08:21:34 8
IM Germany 2006-07-23       08:13:40 08:24:33 08:21:49 1
IM Hawaii 2005-10-15 00:52:23 04:33:08 02:50:13 08:19:36 08:16:37 08:20:37 2
IM Germany 2005-07-11       08:28:00 08:25:16 08:22:50 2
IM New Zealand 2005-05-03 00:46:24 04:40:47 02:48:28 08:20:15 08:20:15 08:20:15 1

Results for Victor Zyemtsev (USA)

Race Date Swim Bike Run Total Adjusted Rating Rank in Race
IM Coeur d’Alene 2013-06-23 00:51:31 04:40:58 02:50:01 08:26:01 08:28:58 08:41:14 2
IM Hawaii 2012-10-13 00:55:16 04:56:52 03:22:34 09:19:23 09:08:34 08:44:19 30
IM Coeur d’Alene 2012-06-24 00:51:56 04:47:55 02:49:37 08:32:29 08:32:39 08:38:01 1
IM Arizona 2011-11-19 00:52:17 04:35:02 02:43:30 08:14:36 08:27:00 08:39:42 3
Challenge Canada 2010-08-29 00:49:26 04:47:53 02:51:25 08:32:28 08:40:12 08:44:14 1
IM Louisville 2009-08-28 00:52:59 04:43:59 02:43:48 08:25:27 08:27:26 08:45:35 1
IM Coeur d’Alene 2008-06-22 00:53:59 04:56:46 02:49:35 08:43:56 08:47:06 08:51:41 2
IM Hawaii 2007-10-13 00:53:16 04:50:47 03:29:33 09:18:27 09:16:13 08:53:07 41
IM Coeur d’Alene 2007-06-23 00:54:21 04:48:44 02:47:05 08:33:32 08:35:28 08:45:08 1
IM Hawaii 2006-10-21 00:54:38 04:36:11 04:02:54 09:38:26 09:33:12 08:49:37 59
IM Lake Placid 2006-07-23 00:50:31 04:54:26 02:48:20 08:38:18 08:22:00 08:22:38 1
IM Coeur d’Alene 2005-06-26 00:48:50 04:41:53 02:49:15 08:23:29 08:23:29 08:23:29 1

Results for Courtney Ogden (AUS)

Race Date Swim Bike Run Total Adjusted Rating Rank in Race
IM New Zealand 2013-03-02 00:50:15 04:44:14 02:58:24 08:38:53 08:41:31 08:43:31 4
IM Melbourne 2012-03-24 00:50:40 04:55:14 04:32:54 10:23:45 10:32:40 08:43:52 34
Challenge Wanaka 2012-01-21 00:51:38 05:04:45 03:07:37 09:08:42 09:01:40 08:43:52 4
IM Hawaii 2011-10-15 00:57:14 04:40:35 02:55:28 08:38:11 08:38:09 08:41:21 16
IM Australia 2011-05-01       08:49:56 08:54:02 08:41:50 5
Challenge Wanaka 2011-01-15       09:07:25 08:37:42 08:39:58 2
IM Western Australia 2010-12-05 00:49:05 04:28:51 02:52:53 08:14:01 08:19:35 08:40:20 1
IM Hawaii 2010-10-09 00:52:36 04:41:17 03:03:52 08:42:11 08:41:43 08:44:13 25
IM Coeur d’Alene 2010-06-27 00:53:47 04:44:35 02:56:29 08:38:17 08:45:12 08:44:46 2
IM Australia 2010-03-28       08:35:54 08:43:47 08:44:40 3
IM Western Australia 2009-12-05 00:48:33 04:36:37 02:56:54 08:22:06 08:33:33 08:44:56 4
Challenge Canada 2009-08-30 00:50:43 04:49:50 03:00:20 08:44:37 08:48:34 08:49:22 3
Challenge Canada 2008-08-24 00:53:26 04:44:15 03:05:21 08:47:04 08:56:59 08:49:49 8
IM Western Australia 2007-12-01 00:48:38 04:33:43 02:56:54 08:19:15 08:41:31 08:44:36 7
Challenge Canada 2006-08-27 00:51:52 04:45:18 03:06:00 08:47:46 08:49:02 08:49:02 2

Results for Tim Berkel (AUS)

Race Date Swim Bike Run Total Adjusted Rating Rank in Race
IM Cairns 2013-06-01 00:52:25 04:40:57 02:44:24 08:22:16 08:23:17 08:44:05 2
IM Copenhagen 2012-08-11 00:48:58 04:34:12 03:41:21 09:07:43 09:20:51 08:48:12 11
IM Australia 2012-04-29 00:48:49 04:42:04 02:47:20 08:21:11 08:27:17 08:42:06 2
IM Copenhagen 2011-08-01 00:48:24 04:33:18 02:46:16 08:11:15 08:33:06 08:45:11 1
IM Cairns 2011-06-05 00:49:28 04:39:08 02:57:44 08:29:20 08:33:04 08:47:37 3
IM Copenhagen 2010-08-01 00:49:28 04:28:01 02:46:54 08:07:39 08:31:51 08:51:05 1
IM Australia 2010-03-28       08:40:46 08:48:43 08:55:30 6
IM Western Australia 2009-12-05 00:48:29 04:36:24 04:08:10 09:33:04 09:46:08 08:57:17 16
IM Australia 2009-04-05 00:50:50 04:46:16 02:54:37 08:31:43 08:34:13 08:41:48 3
IM Western Australia 2008-12-07 00:50:25 04:26:43 02:49:56 08:07:06 08:21:36 08:44:30 1
IM Australia 2008-04-06 00:51:30 04:56:00 02:56:50 08:44:20 08:44:27 08:55:23 4
IM Switzerland 2007-06-24 00:53:36 04:46:39 03:07:04 08:49:07 09:05:17 09:02:27 5
IM Australia 2007-04-08 00:49:03 04:57:10 03:10:58 08:57:11 08:59:27 08:59:27 7

Results for Matty White (AUS)

Race Date Swim Bike Run Total Adjusted Rating Rank in Race
IM Cairns 2013-06-01 00:51:14 04:42:07 03:12:50 08:51:18 08:52:23 08:50:11 6
IM Western Australia 2012-12-09 00:51:49 04:38:29 03:03:57 08:38:05 08:50:20 08:49:47 3
IM Cairns 2012-06-02 00:50:44 04:31:03 03:04:48 08:31:19 08:34:08 08:49:41 4
IM Melbourne 2012-03-24 00:50:35 04:24:52 03:39:25 08:58:10 09:05:52 08:52:38 22
IM Cairns 2011-06-05 00:49:30 04:38:24 02:57:55 08:28:36 08:32:19 08:49:45 2
IM Western Australia 2010-12-05 00:49:05 04:34:19 02:51:53 08:18:06 08:23:43 08:53:23 2
Challenge Roth 2010-07-18 00:57:06 05:03:49 03:12:36 09:17:36 09:32:12 08:59:56 17
IM Coeur d’Alene 2010-06-27 00:53:51 04:41:08 03:10:58 08:49:04 08:56:08 08:51:59 6
IM Australia 2010-03-28       08:36:39 08:44:32 08:50:39 4
IM Western Australia 2009-12-05 00:50:09 04:34:46 03:10:07 08:35:03 08:46:47 08:53:15 5
IM Hawaii 2009-10-10 00:55:47 04:58:06 03:09:43 09:07:59 08:55:40 08:57:21 33
IM Australia 2008-04-06 00:52:16 04:55:15 03:12:18 08:59:49 08:59:57 08:59:57 7

Results for Fredrik Croneborg (SWE)

Race Date Swim Bike Run Total Adjusted Rating Rank in Race
Challenge Taiwan 2013-05-04 00:56:20 04:34:57 02:52:33 08:28:28 08:39:55 08:51:03 3
MetaMan 2012-09-15 00:52:08 05:03:51 03:01:07 08:59:10 08:45:42 08:58:11 2
IM Melbourne 2012-03-24 00:54:39 04:58:59 03:05:59 09:04:44 09:12:31 09:12:31 27

Results for Courtney Atkinson (AUS)

Race Date Swim Bike Run Total Adjusted Rating Rank in Race

Results for Caroline Steffen (SUI)

Race Date Swim Bike Run Total Adjusted Rating Rank in Race
Challenge Roth 2013-07-14 00:51:45 04:42:21 03:03:07 08:40:35 08:59:29 09:13:48 1
IM Hawaii 2012-10-13 00:57:37 05:06:49 03:08:08 09:16:58 09:06:12 09:16:07 2
IM Germany 2012-07-08 00:48:58 04:52:34 03:06:52 08:52:33 09:02:23 09:17:36 1
IM Melbourne 2012-03-24 00:53:29 04:35:29 03:01:22 08:34:51 08:42:13 09:20:03 1
IM Hawaii 2011-10-15 00:57:15 04:50:26 03:15:17 09:07:32 09:07:30 09:26:39 5
IM Germany 2011-07-24 00:49:16 04:51:07 03:27:38 09:12:13 09:18:52 09:30:07 1
IM Australia 2011-05-01       09:29:54 09:34:19 09:32:24 1
IM Hawaii 2010-10-09 00:55:57 04:59:23 03:05:47 09:06:00 09:05:31 09:31:57 2
IM Germany 2010-07-04 00:52:58 05:01:21 03:08:53 09:06:42 09:15:39 09:38:37 2
IM South Africa 2010-04-25 00:53:58 05:06:15 03:17:50 09:22:00 09:27:25 09:45:37 2
IM Switzerland 2009-07-12 00:52:45 05:05:50 03:43:13 09:44:38 09:57:46 09:52:59 9
IM Australia 2009-04-05 00:52:28 05:14:32 03:31:43 09:38:44 09:41:33 09:50:43 3
IM Switzerland 2008-07-13       09:37:24 09:50:30 09:57:58 3
IM Switzerland 2006-07-02 00:53:38 05:22:11 03:39:38 09:58:08 10:11:21 10:11:21 4

Results for Gina Crawford (NZL)

Race Date Swim Bike Run Total Adjusted Rating Rank in Race
IM Cairns 2013-06-01 00:55:43 05:08:26 03:13:09 09:23:14 09:24:23 09:26:12 2
IM New Zealand 2013-03-02 00:51:44 05:08:17 03:14:54 09:20:54 09:23:45 09:26:23 2
Challenge Wanaka 2013-01-19 00:59:14 05:08:30 03:11:07 09:24:31 09:17:34 09:26:40 1
IM Hawaii 2012-10-13 00:55:59 05:21:30 03:06:16 09:28:54 09:17:54 09:27:40 7
Challenge Henley 2012-09-16 00:53:05 05:11:14 02:58:34 09:08:05 09:15:58 09:28:46 1
Challenge Roth 2012-07-08 00:50:17 05:04:55 03:00:05 08:59:35 09:12:33 09:30:22 4
IM France 2012-06-24 00:52:10 05:20:04 03:07:14 09:26:25 09:28:20 09:32:44 2
IM Melbourne 2012-03-24 00:53:11 05:09:48 03:03:42 09:11:16 09:19:09 09:33:25 5
Challenge Wanaka 2012-01-21 00:54:21 05:24:10 03:17:16 09:44:06 09:36:36 09:35:46 1
IM Wisconsin 2010-09-12 00:53:35 05:12:50 03:14:22 09:27:26 09:27:08 09:35:37 1
IM St. George 2010-05-01 00:51:18 05:45:26 03:29:57 10:11:51 10:01:50 09:36:51 4
IM New Zealand 2010-03-06 00:50:02 05:15:16 03:17:40 09:28:26 09:35:08 09:33:06 2
Challenge Wanaka 2010-01-16       09:28:57 09:28:48 09:32:46 1
IM Western Australia 2009-12-05 00:50:10 05:02:15 03:24:26 09:16:52 09:29:34 09:33:32 1
IM New Zealand 2009-03-07 00:52:05 05:12:46 03:08:11 09:18:26 09:26:17 09:34:26 1
Challenge Wanaka 2009-01-01       09:28:27 09:34:47 09:36:15 1
Challenge Roth 2008-07-13 00:48:52 05:01:42 03:03:08 08:57:18 09:16:33 09:36:39 3
IM New Zealand 2008-03-01 00:49:35 05:16:54 03:21:58 09:33:29 09:39:35 09:42:52 5
Challenge Wanaka 2008-01-19       09:33:46 09:28:37 09:44:09 1
IM Wisconsin 2007-09-09 00:53:59 05:22:07 03:14:45 09:37:03 09:35:01 09:53:24 1
IM New Zealand 2007-03-03 00:50:58 05:42:30 03:31:07 10:09:32 10:14:45 10:14:45 5

Results for Joanna Lawn (NZL)

Race Date Swim Bike Run Total Adjusted Rating Rank in Race
Challenge Roth 2013-07-14 00:54:48 04:53:15 03:17:20 09:09:00 09:28:56 09:33:35 5
Challenge Wanaka 2013-01-19 00:59:46 05:24:20 03:15:08 09:44:30 09:37:18 09:34:12 3
IM Hawaii 2012-10-13 01:00:09 05:21:27 03:28:41 09:55:11 09:43:40 09:33:47 21
IM Melbourne 2012-03-24 00:53:32 05:00:57 03:08:29 09:06:53 09:14:42 09:32:25 4
IM Hawaii 2011-10-15 01:01:06 05:20:12 03:36:03 10:02:33 10:02:30 09:34:48 19
IM Texas 2011-05-21 00:58:25 04:59:11 03:30:26 09:32:19 09:42:08 09:31:04 9
IM New Zealand 2011-03-05 00:52:43 05:22:10 03:10:54 09:31:53 09:28:28 09:29:33 3
IM Hawaii 2010-10-09 01:01:04 05:14:20 03:23:10 09:43:08 09:42:37 09:29:43 20
IM Germany 2010-07-04 00:55:08 05:20:14 03:16:13 09:36:12 09:45:38 09:27:46 6
IM New Zealand 2010-03-06 00:50:46 05:12:19 03:06:22 09:14:35 09:21:07 09:24:51 1
IM Hawaii 2009-10-10 00:57:16 05:19:10 03:13:35 09:34:45 09:21:50 09:25:31 7
IM New Zealand 2009-03-07 00:52:21 05:09:50 03:15:22 09:23:08 09:31:03 09:26:11 2
IM Hawaii 2008-10-11 00:59:00 05:16:45 03:25:10 09:45:33 09:37:46 09:25:18 14
IM New Zealand 2008-03-01 00:49:56 05:07:48 03:13:05 09:16:00 09:21:55 09:22:52 1
IM Hawaii 2007-10-13 00:58:15 05:10:18 03:13:45 09:26:47 09:24:31 09:23:03 4
Challenge Roth 2007-06-24 00:51:46 04:52:48 03:10:40 08:58:25 09:20:26 09:22:45 2
IM New Zealand 2007-03-03 00:50:30 05:07:56 03:16:36 09:20:02 09:24:49 09:23:18 1
IM Hawaii 2006-10-21 00:59:48 05:10:20 03:18:17 09:32:48 09:27:37 09:22:52 7
Challenge Roth 2006-06-24 00:50:56 04:55:59 03:11:21 09:01:17 09:13:45 09:21:16 1
IM Hawaii 2005-10-15 00:55:09 05:05:06 03:10:02 09:14:53 09:11:35 09:24:37 4
IM New Zealand 2005-05-03 00:51:38 05:14:52 03:19:13 09:30:14 09:30:14 09:32:07 1
IM Australia 2005-04-08 00:51:02 05:11:16 03:31:44 09:34:02 09:34:02 09:34:02 4

Results for Belinda Granger (AUS)

Race Date Swim Bike Run Total Adjusted Rating Rank in Race
Challenge Roth 2013-07-14 00:53:12 04:54:33 03:28:53 09:20:11 09:40:31 09:38:13 7
Challenge Taiwan 2013-05-04 01:01:16 04:55:34 03:21:10 09:23:15 09:35:56 09:38:00 1
MetaMan 2012-09-15 00:56:11 04:58:37 03:43:01 09:40:16 09:25:47 09:38:12 2
Challenge Roth 2012-07-08 00:50:33 05:07:13 03:24:57 09:26:48 09:40:25 09:39:20 9
IM Cairns 2012-06-02 00:56:51 05:04:41 03:25:20 09:32:16 09:35:25 09:39:14 4
IM Melbourne 2012-03-24 00:53:30 05:07:35 03:20:48 09:26:21 09:34:27 09:39:37 10
Challenge Roth 2011-07-10 00:51:34 04:50:38 03:26:57 09:12:56 09:36:43 09:40:10 5
IM Cairns 2011-06-05 00:52:56 05:13:32 03:34:34 09:44:41 09:48:58 09:40:29 5
IM South Africa 2011-04-10 00:54:45 04:58:25 03:30:30 09:28:59 09:40:15 09:39:38 6
Challenge Wanaka 2011-01-15       10:26:17 09:52:17 09:39:34 1
IM Hawaii 2010-10-09 00:57:43 05:16:25 03:59:06 10:18:29 10:17:56 09:38:09 30
IM Copenhagen 2010-08-01 00:50:26 05:03:42 03:17:27 09:15:25 09:42:59 09:33:35 2
Challenge Roth 2010-07-18 00:52:18 05:10:53 03:23:18 09:15:25 09:29:58 09:32:26 4
Challenge Canada 2009-08-30 00:53:18 05:12:20 03:31:42 09:40:48 09:45:11 09:32:46 2
Challenge Roth 2009-07-12 00:51:48 04:48:26 03:28:14 09:12:12 09:34:38 09:31:18 5
IM Hawaii 2008-10-11 00:56:09 05:15:24 03:39:48 09:56:01 09:48:05 09:30:52 17
Challenge Canada 2008-08-24 00:54:26 04:52:41 03:26:30 09:17:58 09:28:28 09:28:52 1
Challenge Roth 2008-07-13 00:48:49 04:50:24 03:15:10 08:58:08 09:17:25 09:28:55 4
IM Hawaii 2007-10-13 00:58:07 05:10:18 03:24:19 09:37:54 09:35:35 09:30:31 9
IM Lake Placid 2007-07-22 00:54:21 05:14:28 03:26:15 09:40:20 09:33:58 09:29:52 1
Challenge Roth 2007-06-24 00:52:33 04:51:36 03:19:40 09:07:56 09:30:20 09:29:19 3
IM Australia 2007-04-08 00:50:32 05:10:03 03:19:50 09:20:25 09:22:47 09:29:10 2
Challenge Wanaka 2007-01-20       09:38:26 09:42:16 09:30:13 1
IM Hawaii 2006-10-21 00:59:44 05:01:45 03:25:50 09:35:48 09:30:35 09:28:00 8
Challenge Canada 2006-08-27 00:55:20 05:03:37 03:22:25 09:25:13 09:26:35 09:27:28 1
Challenge Roth 2006-06-24 00:52:25 04:54:21 03:20:34 09:10:27 09:23:08 09:27:41 2
IM Australia 2006-05-11 00:52:17 05:14:28 03:23:45 09:30:30 09:31:15 09:29:05 2
IM Hawaii 2005-10-15 01:00:05 05:02:01 03:21:25 09:28:16 09:24:53 09:28:10 7
Challenge Roth 2005-06-24 00:54:07 04:55:31 03:21:06 09:14:06 09:32:36 09:30:01 1
IM Australia 2005-04-08 00:53:10 05:09:01 03:25:06 09:27:17 09:27:17 09:27:17 3

Results for Candice Hammond (NZL)

Race Date Swim Bike Run Total Adjusted Rating Rank in Race
IM Coeur d’Alene 2013-06-23 01:02:28 05:17:04 03:20:07 09:43:44 09:47:08 09:39:49 5
IM New Zealand 2013-03-02 01:02:37 05:15:00 03:13:20 09:35:52 09:38:48 09:38:24 3
Challenge Wanaka 2013-01-19 01:06:52 05:23:07 03:09:43 09:44:22 09:37:10 09:38:18 2
MetaMan 2012-09-15 01:02:59 05:05:50 03:20:21 09:31:08 09:16:52 09:38:36 1
IM Cairns 2012-06-02 01:00:53 05:07:22 03:10:26 09:24:45 09:27:51 09:45:25 3
Challenge Wanaka 2012-01-21 01:00:08 05:23:27 03:26:38 09:58:39 09:50:58 09:52:32 4
Challenge Henley 2011-09-18 00:58:37 05:26:14 03:28:06 10:00:39 09:59:04 09:53:26 4
IM Cairns 2011-06-05 00:57:26 05:11:26 03:29:54 09:43:03 09:47:19 09:47:19 4

Results for Simone Maier (GER)

Race Date Swim Bike Run Total Adjusted Rating Rank in Race
Challenge Wanaka 2013-01-19 01:13:10 05:20:30 03:12:08 09:51:23 09:44:06 09:52:49 4
Challenge Wanaka 2012-01-21 01:05:44 05:22:54 03:20:03 09:57:42 09:50:02 09:59:08 3
IM Cairns 2011-06-05 01:02:51 05:16:12 03:41:17 10:05:37 10:10:03 10:10:03 8

Results for Ange Castle (AUS)

Race Date Swim Bike Run Total Adjusted Rating Rank in Race
IM Australia 2013-05-05 01:01:19 05:12:06 03:23:19 09:41:38 09:54:57 10:14:24 2
IM Cairns 2012-06-02 01:13:46 05:41:47 03:33:04 10:36:16 10:39:46 10:39:46 6

Challenge Vichy 2013 – Predictions

Previous Year’s TOP 3

Last years’s Challenge Vichy had to be shortened to a half-distance race because of extreme hear. The results I’m showing are from 2011.

Male Race Results

Rank Name Nation Swim Bike Run Time
1 Stephen Bayliss GBR 00:50:20 04:36:27 03:14:48 08:45:28
2 Teemu Lemmettylae FIN 01:00:37 04:37:53 03:06:32 08:49:41
3 Jamie Whyte NZL 00:57:33 04:34:57 03:15:27 08:52:20

Female Race Results

Rank Name Nation Swim Bike Run Time
1 Amy Marsh USA 00:55:22 05:04:14 03:41:23 09:44:55
2 Juliette Benedicto FRA 00:57:31 05:12:10 03:47:59 10:01:58
3 Jana Candrova CZE 01:08:53 05:21:17 03:37:25 10:12:13

Course Records

Leg Gender Record Athlete Date
Total overall 08:45:28 Stephen Bayliss 2011-08-21
Swim overall 00:50:20 Stephen Bayliss 2011-08-21
Bike overall 04:34:57 Jamie Whyte 2011-08-21
Run overall 03:06:32 Teemu Lemmettylae 2011-08-21
Total female 09:44:55 Amy Marsh 2011-08-21
Swim female 00:55:22 Amy Marsh 2011-08-21
Bike female 05:04:14 Amy Marsh 2011-08-21
Run female 03:37:25 Jana Candrova 2011-08-21

Course Rating

The Course Rating for Challenge Vichy is – 06:15.

Race Adjustments for Challenge Vichy

Year Adjustment Swim Adj. Bike Adj. Run Adj. # of Athletes Rating Swim Rating Bike Rating Run Rating
2011 -06:15 -05:12 06:18 -13:20 8 -06:15 -05:12 06:18 -13:20

Male Race Participants

Rank Name Nation Expected Time Rating Swim Rating Bike Rating Run Rating Rank
1 Denis Chevrot FRA 08:37:41 08:31:46 00:46:13 04:46:26 02:58:52 16
2 Andrej Vistica CRO 08:53:10 08:47:04 00:53:25 04:45:27 03:03:44 67
3 Massimo Cigana ITA 08:55:25 08:49:18 00:54:39 04:46:13 03:02:46 76
4 Dejan Patrcevic CRO 08:55:36 08:49:29 00:52:19 04:58:11 02:55:39 77
5 Christophe Bastie FRA 08:56:25 08:50:17 00:53:19 04:44:29 03:08:36 81
6 Trevor Delsaut FRA 09:01:07 08:54:56 00:54:57 04:52:54 03:00:51 94
7 Sylvain Rota FRA 09:03:49 08:57:36 00:51:00 04:40:27 03:18:52 106
8 Sergio Marques POR 09:05:01 08:58:47 00:55:20 04:59:45 02:59:44 110
9 Joseph Spindler GER 09:09:59 09:03:42 01:03:35 04:53:24 03:03:23 132
10 Enric Gussinyer ESP 09:16:34 09:10:12 00:52:05 04:44:56 03:24:58 148
11 Jose Jeuland FRA 09:16:40 09:10:18 00:52:32 05:00:59 03:09:25 149
  Cyril Gautron FRA n/a unrated unrated unrated unrated n/a
  Alina Ranceva LTU n/a unrated unrated unrated unrated n/a
  Yulian Malyshev RUS n/a unrated unrated unrated unrated n/a
  Vincent Fromont FRA n/a unrated unrated unrated unrated n/a
  Vanessa Pereira   n/a unrated unrated unrated unrated n/a
  Marin Koceic HRV n/a unrated unrated unrated unrated n/a
  Rudolf Cogan CZE n/a unrated unrated unrated unrated n/a
  Jan Oppolzer CZE n/a unrated unrated unrated unrated n/a
  Georgy Kaurov RUS n/a unrated unrated unrated unrated n/a
  Laurynas Urbsys LTU n/a unrated unrated unrated unrated n/a
  Aleksei Brylev RUS n/a unrated unrated unrated unrated n/a
  Sébastien Moreau FRA n/a unrated unrated unrated unrated n/a

Female Race Participants

Rank Name Nation Expected Time Rating Swim Rating Bike Rating Run Rating Rank
1 Diana Riesler GER 09:46:31 09:39:49 01:00:04 05:08:55 03:22:41 41
2 Dianne McEwan ZAF 09:54:30 09:47:42 00:56:13 05:26:52 03:21:01 56
3 Dana Wagner GER 10:06:04 09:59:08 01:01:13 05:25:38 03:34:20 79
4 Kristin Lie NOR 10:11:39 10:04:40 01:11:12 05:17:18 03:31:03 88
5 Anne Basso FRA 10:18:04 10:11:00 00:58:03 05:30:46 03:41:29 96
6 Celia Kuch NZL 10:21:16 10:14:10 01:02:47 05:25:21 03:38:50 103
7 Nicole Woysch GER 10:27:36 10:20:26 00:58:31 05:31:53 03:45:21 117
  Beate Goertz DEU n/a unrated unrated unrated unrated n/a
  Sandra Fuchs DEU n/a unrated unrated unrated unrated n/a
  Steffi Jansen DEU n/a unrated unrated unrated unrated n/a

Winning Odds

Male Race Participants

  • Trevor Delsaut: 19% (4-1)
  • Dejan Patrcevic: 17% (5-1)
  • Denis Chevrot: 17% (5-1)
  • Christophe Bastie: 15% (6-1)
  • Sergio Marques: 10% (9-1)
  • Massimo Cigana: 9% (10-1)
  • Andrej Vistica: 6% (16-1)
  • Sylvain Rota: 5% (18-1)

Female Race Participants

  • Diana Riesler: 54% (1-1)
  • Dianne McEwan: 17% (5-1)
  • Anne Basso: 9% (10-1)
  • Celia Kuch: 6% (15-1)
  • Dana Wagner: 6% (16-1)
  • Kristin Lie: 5% (19-1)
  • Nicole Woysch: 2% (44-1)

Results for Denis Chevrot (FRA)

Race Date Swim Bike Run Total Adjusted Rating Rank in Race
IM Florida 2012-11-03 00:48:52 04:25:16 02:57:03 08:16:49 08:31:46 08:31:46 5

Results for Andrej Vistica (CRO)

Race Date Swim Bike Run Total Adjusted Rating Rank in Race
Challenge Roth 2013-07-14 00:53:06 04:34:14 02:57:58 08:28:05 08:46:32 08:47:04 10
Challenge Barcelona 2012-09-30 00:54:11 04:31:43 02:59:46 08:28:45 08:47:45 08:47:45 7

Results for Massimo Cigana (ITA)

Race Date Swim Bike Run Total Adjusted Rating Rank in Race
IM Hawaii 2010-10-09 00:57:56 04:37:02 03:08:52 08:48:02 08:47:34 08:49:18 30
IM Florida 2009-11-07   04:35:05 02:52:01 08:28:04 08:43:50 08:50:20 3
IM Arizona 2008-04-13 00:55:58 04:46:55 03:07:53 08:54:33 09:00:55 08:55:46 7
IM Florida 2007-11-03 00:55:30 04:38:23 02:53:55 08:31:26 08:49:56 08:49:56 5

Results for Dejan Patrcevic (CRO)

Race Date Swim Bike Run Total Adjusted Rating Rank in Race
IM Copenhagen 2013-08-18 00:52:52 04:38:03 02:51:42 08:26:33 08:49:54 08:49:29 6
Challenge Barcelona 2011-10-02 00:52:46 04:33:29 02:54:00 08:23:10 08:32:04 08:49:21 3
IM Copenhagen 2011-08-01 00:49:32 04:34:47 02:43:59 08:12:18 08:34:12 08:53:33 3
IM Austria 2010-07-04 00:52:03 05:27:52 02:57:38 09:23:02 09:34:18 08:59:25 25
IM Hawaii 2009-10-10 00:53:26 05:02:50 02:59:38 08:59:53 08:47:45 08:49:27 29
IM UK 2009-08-02 00:54:03 05:11:47 02:49:21 09:00:21 09:01:44 08:49:58 4
IM Austria 2009-07-05 00:00:00 04:44:41 02:52:46 08:29:45 08:44:14 08:45:17 8
IM Hawaii 2008-10-11 00:56:02 05:02:31 02:50:59 08:54:19 08:47:12 08:45:57 23
IM Austria 2008-07-13 00:49:00 04:42:35 02:48:03 08:28:04 08:44:37 08:44:37 5

Results for Christophe Bastie (FRA)

Race Date Swim Bike Run Total Adjusted Rating Rank in Race
IM Sweden 2013-08-17 00:53:35 04:36:11 03:04:00 08:37:12 08:49:18 08:50:17 5
IM Florida 2012-11-03 00:56:07 04:17:23 03:00:40 08:19:31 08:34:32 08:50:23 7
IM Sweden 2012-08-18 00:52:53 04:27:38 02:58:02 08:21:54 08:48:35 08:51:57 10
Challenge Roth 2012-07-08 00:50:44 04:41:11 03:12:36 08:47:32 09:00:13 08:52:17 15
IM Arizona 2011-11-19 00:55:12 04:25:59 03:01:02 08:26:10 08:38:51 08:51:25 10
IM Florida 2011-11-05 00:53:19 04:27:35 02:58:28 08:24:32 08:44:13 08:52:41 7
Challenge Henley 2011-09-18 00:53:09 04:46:04 03:05:34 08:49:37 08:48:13 08:53:36 5
IM Copenhagen 2011-08-01 00:49:30 04:31:58 03:02:29 08:27:32 08:50:06 08:54:15 7
IM Florida 2010-11-06 00:52:26 04:31:47 02:57:15 08:27:01 08:37:39 08:54:47 6
IM Hawaii 2010-10-09 00:57:52 04:42:22 03:07:06 08:52:10 08:51:41 08:56:46 36
IM Wisconsin 2010-09-12 00:55:31 04:48:51 03:18:23 09:10:01 09:09:44 08:57:25 9
Challenge Roth 2010-07-18 00:52:25 04:29:32 03:00:24 08:25:58 08:39:13 08:55:39 8
IM Florida 2009-11-07   04:34:18 02:57:59 08:35:29 08:51:28 08:58:16 5
IM Switzerland 2009-07-12 00:53:45 04:42:54 03:05:10 08:44:24 08:56:11 08:59:17 6
IM Florida 2008-11-01 00:53:15 04:25:13 03:02:25 08:24:41 08:44:37 08:59:47 4
IM Hawaii 2008-10-11 00:59:03 04:54:27 03:13:35 09:12:21 09:05:00 09:02:02 40
IM Switzerland 2008-07-13       08:54:31 09:06:38 09:01:32 7
IM Florida 2007-11-03 00:53:09 04:32:27 03:03:16 08:32:41 08:51:14 09:00:33 6
IM Wisconsin 2007-09-09 00:56:27 04:56:12 03:08:30 09:08:08 09:06:12 09:02:17 5
IM Western Australia 2006-12-03 00:53:24 04:43:12 03:15:48 08:52:24 09:07:45 09:01:26 10
IM Florida 2006-11-04 00:56:16 04:39:06 03:06:31 08:46:16 08:58:26 09:00:07 6
Challenge Canada 2006-08-27 00:55:19 04:46:08 03:13:59 08:59:22 09:00:40 09:00:33 6
Challenge Roth 2006-06-24 00:51:06 04:37:08 03:15:10 08:46:22 08:58:29 09:00:31 16
IM Hawaii 2005-10-15 01:05:06 04:55:09 03:12:30 09:17:04 09:13:45 09:01:25 54
Challenge Roth 2005-06-24 00:52:16 04:32:00 03:00:36 08:28:00 08:44:58 08:54:28 9
IM Arizona 2005-04-09 00:55:20 04:52:07 03:13:00 09:04:33 09:04:33 09:04:33 8

Results for Trevor Delsaut (FRA)

Race Date Swim Bike Run Total Adjusted Rating Rank in Race
IM Los Cabos 2013-03-17 00:57:43 04:42:25 02:48:02 08:33:26 08:29:40 08:54:56 2
IM Hawaii 2012-10-13 01:01:32 04:54:19 02:56:08 08:56:41 08:46:18 08:59:00 27
IM Switzerland 2012-07-15 00:55:51 04:53:50 03:01:14 08:53:57 08:59:44 09:01:07 7
IM France 2012-06-24 00:55:29 05:06:51 02:54:45 09:02:59 09:04:50 09:01:23 8
IM South Africa 2012-04-22 01:02:56 04:51:03 03:04:57 09:03:03 08:49:21 09:00:37 5
IM Cozumel 2011-11-27 00:52:33 04:43:48 02:53:32 08:44:03 08:54:04 09:03:37 6
IM France 2011-06-26 00:55:34 05:00:50 02:53:46 08:54:59 08:55:30 09:06:35 6
IM South Africa 2011-04-10 00:54:46 04:43:02 03:00:04 08:41:57 08:52:18 09:10:46 9
IM Cozumel 2010-11-28       08:32:24 08:41:39 09:21:02 5
IM Switzerland 2008-07-13       09:27:44 09:40:36 10:00:21 19
IM France 2008-06-22 01:06:25 05:21:28 03:40:26 10:16:31 10:20:26 10:20:26 20

Results for Sylvain Rota (FRA)

Race Date Swim Bike Run Total Adjusted Rating Rank in Race
IM Cozumel 2012-11-25 00:52:36 04:35:03 03:27:32 08:58:45 09:04:08 08:57:36 16
IM Wales 2012-09-16 00:48:12 05:04:16 02:52:42 08:52:43 08:50:47 08:53:56 1
IM South Africa 2012-04-22 01:02:53 04:49:15 03:15:07 09:11:24 08:57:29 08:57:29 8

Results for Sergio Marques (POR)

Race Date Swim Bike Run Total Adjusted Rating Rank in Race
Challenge Roth 2013-07-14 00:53:09 04:39:14 02:48:14 08:23:40 08:41:57 08:58:47 7
IM Hawaii 2012-10-13 01:01:29 05:27:24 03:05:10 09:38:58 09:27:46 09:00:22 37
IM Sweden 2012-08-18 00:53:17 04:31:35 02:48:20 08:16:21 08:42:44 08:58:07 7
IM Switzerland 2012-07-15 00:55:40 04:54:05 02:50:45 08:43:12 08:48:52 08:59:25 4
IM France 2012-06-24 00:55:26 05:02:02 02:45:39 08:48:55 08:50:43 09:00:23 5
IM Lanzarote 2012-05-19 00:54:42 05:10:14 02:51:33 09:02:58 08:46:17 09:01:19 3
IM Melbourne 2012-03-24 00:56:00 04:41:28 03:12:23 08:54:14 09:01:52 09:02:54 20
IM Hawaii 2011-10-15 01:04:50 05:10:46 02:58:22 09:18:26 09:18:24 09:03:00 33
IM Germany 2011-07-24 00:54:17 04:54:44 03:04:49 08:57:53 09:04:22 09:01:20 16
IM Switzerland 2011-07-10 00:58:03 04:57:03 02:50:48 08:48:01 08:57:05 09:00:59 6
IM France 2011-06-26 00:54:20 05:01:38 02:48:32 08:49:55 08:50:26 09:01:29 5
IM Texas 2011-05-21 01:01:20 04:38:38 03:04:42 08:48:57 08:58:01 09:03:04 12
IM South Africa 2011-04-10 00:56:00 04:41:44 03:27:55 09:09:30 09:20:23 09:03:52 15
IM Louisville 2010-08-29 00:57:30 04:53:07 03:08:56 09:05:04 09:01:15 09:00:49 5
IM St. George 2010-05-01 00:54:40 05:05:50 03:07:29 09:11:10 09:02:08 09:00:44 7
IM Hawaii 2009-10-10 01:02:50 05:31:26 02:59:17 09:41:02 09:27:58 09:00:27 60
IM Lanzarote 2009-05-23 00:55:56 05:16:41 02:49:13 09:08:38 08:59:27 08:54:47 8
IM Hawaii 2008-10-11 00:59:07 05:31:38 03:09:32 09:47:16 09:39:27 08:53:44 57
IM Louisville 2008-08-27 00:58:25 04:52:26 03:04:14 08:59:16 08:50:26 08:43:00 3
IM Florida 2007-11-03 00:53:26 04:40:45 02:46:00 08:23:49 08:42:02 08:40:50 2
IM Austria 2007-07-08 00:53:05 04:51:06 02:47:38 08:36:05 08:45:25 08:40:28 7
IM Hawaii 2006-10-21 01:01:42 04:50:31 02:43:55 08:40:32 08:35:49 08:38:36 19
IM Arizona 2006-04-09 00:53:35 04:45:36 02:48:04 08:31:26 08:33:56 08:39:50 5
IM Hawaii 2005-10-15 01:02:32 04:45:52 02:51:11 08:43:45 08:40:38 08:43:29 20
IM Arizona 2005-04-09 00:55:22 04:53:18 02:54:14 08:46:47 08:46:47 08:46:47 3

Results for Joseph Spindler (GER)

Race Date Swim Bike Run Total Adjusted Rating Rank in Race
IM Switzerland 2013-07-28 01:08:30 04:48:55 03:14:35 09:15:32 09:05:14 09:03:42 10
IM Austria 2013-06-30 00:55:13 04:44:30 03:07:27 08:52:34 09:15:31 09:03:20 21
Challenge Henley 2012-09-16 01:04:21 04:57:03 02:45:08 08:50:30 08:58:08 08:59:30 6
IM Copenhagen 2012-08-11 01:02:39 04:41:00 02:50:34 08:38:47 08:51:14 08:59:58 5
Challenge Barcelona 2009-10-04 01:02:00 04:32:29 03:09:38 08:48:43 09:08:57 09:04:09 17
IM Lanzarote 2009-05-23 01:05:58 05:06:24 02:53:29 09:13:17 09:04:02 09:02:52 9
IM Switzerland 2008-07-13       08:54:44 09:06:52 09:02:30 8
Challenge Wanaka 2008-01-19       08:47:49 08:43:05 09:01:04 1
IM Hawaii 2007-10-13 01:20:09 04:57:26 02:48:52 09:12:19 09:10:07 09:08:19 36
IM Switzerland 2007-06-24 01:05:04 04:47:17 02:57:22 08:51:59 09:08:14 09:07:14 6
IM Florida 2006-11-04 01:12:34 04:43:27 02:52:17 08:53:42 09:06:02 09:06:02 9

Results for Enric Gussinyer (ESP)

Race Date Swim Bike Run Total Adjusted Rating Rank in Race
Challenge Barcelona 2012-09-30 00:53:29 04:32:22 03:24:14 08:53:56 09:13:53 09:10:12 21
Challenge Barcelona 2011-10-02 00:51:58 00:00:00 03:20:33 08:55:48 09:05:17 09:05:17 16

Results for Jose Jeuland (FRA)

Race Date Swim Bike Run Total Adjusted Rating Rank in Race
IM France 2013-06-23 00:51:29 04:57:57 02:57:35 08:52:35 08:56:08 09:10:18 5
IM France 2012-06-24 00:50:35 05:02:23 02:54:30 08:53:52 08:55:41 09:14:05 6
IM France 2011-06-26 00:51:32 05:05:03 03:19:01 09:21:08 09:21:40 09:18:42 11
IM France 2010-06-27 00:54:47 05:04:43 03:00:42 09:05:46 09:16:40 09:18:01 6
IM Lake Placid 2009-07-26 00:52:54 05:18:08 03:22:51 09:39:51 09:38:53 09:18:18 13
Challenge Roth 2009-07-12 00:51:51 04:35:01 02:54:43 08:26:51 08:47:26 09:14:19 14
IM France 2009-06-28 00:56:18 05:21:30 02:52:31 09:18:38 09:25:03 09:20:40 10
IM Arizona 2008-11-23 00:52:26 04:54:50 02:57:35 08:51:29 09:01:30 09:19:20 14
IM France 2008-06-22 00:53:52 04:52:51 03:01:06 08:53:34 08:56:58 09:25:28 4
IM Wisconsin 2007-09-09 00:59:17 05:03:25 03:50:43 09:59:52 09:57:45 09:37:58 19
IM France 2007-06-24 00:54:34 05:04:52 03:03:27 09:09:14 09:14:47 09:27:19 9
IM Lanzarote 2007-05-20 00:57:02 05:31:14 03:18:17 09:53:16 09:40:12 09:40:12 17

Results for Cyril Gautron (FRA)

Race Date Swim Bike Run Total Adjusted Rating Rank in Race

Results for Alina Ranceva (LTU)

Race Date Swim Bike Run Total Adjusted Rating Rank in Race

Results for Yulian Malyshev (RUS)

Race Date Swim Bike Run Total Adjusted Rating Rank in Race

Results for Vincent Fromont (FRA)

Race Date Swim Bike Run Total Adjusted Rating Rank in Race

Results for Vanessa Pereira ()

Race Date Swim Bike Run Total Adjusted Rating Rank in Race

Results for Marin Koceic (HRV)

Race Date Swim Bike Run Total Adjusted Rating Rank in Race

Results for Rudolf Cogan (CZE)

Race Date Swim Bike Run Total Adjusted Rating Rank in Race

Results for Jan Oppolzer (CZE)

Race Date Swim Bike Run Total Adjusted Rating Rank in Race

Results for Georgy Kaurov (RUS)

Race Date Swim Bike Run Total Adjusted Rating Rank in Race

Results for Laurynas Urbsys (LTU)

Race Date Swim Bike Run Total Adjusted Rating Rank in Race

Results for Aleksei Brylev (RUS)

Race Date Swim Bike Run Total Adjusted Rating Rank in Race

Results for Sébastien Moreau (FRA)

Race Date Swim Bike Run Total Adjusted Rating Rank in Race

Results for Diana Riesler (GER)

Race Date Swim Bike Run Total Adjusted Rating Rank in Race
IM South Africa 2012-04-22 01:12:27 05:26:57 03:17:14 10:01:14 09:46:04 09:39:49 3
IM UK 2011-07-31 00:53:24 05:25:57 03:02:28 09:25:41 09:34:36 09:38:14 2
IM Austria 2011-07-03 00:58:20 04:43:50 03:05:41 08:53:34 09:18:25 09:39:10 3
IM South Africa 2011-04-10 01:02:21 04:55:16 03:18:45 09:20:37 09:31:43 09:46:13 3
IM Germany 2010-07-04 01:00:17 04:59:49 03:23:42 09:27:37 09:36:55 09:52:58 4
IM Australia 2010-03-28       09:57:04 10:06:11 10:02:33 4
IM Austria 2009-07-05 00:56:49 05:05:15 03:34:28 09:41:33 09:58:04 09:58:04 7

Results for Dianne McEwan (ZAF)

Race Date Swim Bike Run Total Adjusted Rating Rank in Race
IM South Africa 2013-04-14 00:57:52 05:16:43 03:18:57 09:37:45 09:44:00 09:47:42 6
IM South Africa 2012-04-22 01:07:41 05:37:37 03:18:14 10:07:55 09:52:35 09:52:35 4

Results for Dana Wagner (GER)

Race Date Swim Bike Run Total Adjusted Rating Rank in Race
IM Western Australia 2012-12-09 01:04:18 05:26:39 05:42:42 12:20:42 12:38:12 09:59:08 9
IM Sweden 2012-08-18 00:58:55 04:48:47 03:31:30 09:22:32 09:52:26 09:59:08 2
IM Austria 2012-07-01 01:03:32 05:09:49 03:27:02 09:46:10 09:53:43 10:02:45 4
IM Melbourne 2012-03-24 01:04:51 05:21:09 03:32:33 10:03:52 10:12:30 10:12:30 15

Results for Kristin Lie (NOR)

Race Date Swim Bike Run Total Adjusted Rating Rank in Race
IM Germany 2013-07-07 01:05:53 05:06:53 03:35:30 09:54:04 10:10:17 10:04:40 17
IM Arizona 2012-11-18 01:17:08 04:58:42 03:26:25 09:47:27 09:59:18 10:03:26 13
IM Florida 2012-11-03 01:16:48 04:46:38 03:24:05 09:33:34 09:50:49 10:04:21 11
IM Wales 2012-09-16 01:03:00 05:53:11 03:10:42 10:16:27 10:14:12 10:08:11 4
IM Austria 2011-07-03 01:07:55 05:00:52 03:15:11 09:31:44 09:58:21 10:05:56 10
Challenge Barcelona 2010-10-03 01:14:19 05:02:45 03:23:36 09:46:25 10:02:20 10:08:40 3
Challenge Roth 2010-07-18 01:10:20 05:11:03 03:26:26 09:41:05 09:56:18 10:11:15 5
IM Florida 2009-11-07   04:57:24 03:37:12 10:01:00 10:19:38 10:20:34 11
IM Wisconsin 2009-09-13 01:15:54 05:27:27 03:29:07 10:20:58 10:21:32 10:21:32 7

Results for Anne Basso (FRA)

Race Date Swim Bike Run Total Adjusted Rating Rank in Race
IM Brasil 2013-05-26 00:56:23 05:02:34 03:21:26 09:27:07 09:45:14 10:11:00 7
IM Los Cabos 2013-03-17 01:02:00 05:23:13 03:51:11 10:21:14 10:16:40 10:16:17 13
IM Cozumel 2012-11-25 01:04:51 05:21:12   09:46:58 09:52:49 10:16:11 12
IM France 2012-06-24 00:55:18 05:39:06 03:48:16 10:29:12 10:31:20 10:22:48 7
IM South Africa 2012-04-22 01:07:14 05:48:32 03:32:33 10:33:12 10:17:14 10:19:57 8
IM Cozumel 2011-11-27 00:54:45 05:42:18 03:37:41 10:18:53 10:30:43 10:21:13 10
IM Florida 2010-11-06 01:00:29 05:14:38 03:16:29 09:37:37 09:49:44 10:14:27 7
IM France 2010-06-27 00:59:04 05:34:23 03:49:02 10:29:18 10:41:52 10:41:52 9

Results for Celia Kuch (NZL)

Race Date Swim Bike Run Total Adjusted Rating Rank in Race
Challenge Roth 2013-07-14 01:03:02 05:04:17 03:25:50 09:37:38 09:58:36 10:14:10 8
Challenge Roth 2012-07-08 00:58:31 05:09:39 03:22:08 09:34:20 09:48:08 10:18:06 11
Challenge Henley 2011-09-18 01:03:54 05:34:57 03:41:13 10:25:48 10:24:09 10:25:01 5
Challenge Roth 2011-07-10 01:01:38 05:11:08 03:30:10 09:47:13 10:12:29 10:25:13 9
Challenge Barcelona 2010-10-03 01:04:27 05:09:33 03:51:07 10:10:03 10:26:37 10:28:40 6
Challenge Wanaka 2010-01-16       10:25:13 10:25:04 10:29:13 5
Challenge Roth 2009-07-12 00:59:24 05:20:51 03:42:47 10:08:04 10:32:46 10:30:26 11
IM New Zealand 2009-03-07 01:00:52 05:16:13 03:38:36 10:01:37 10:10:05 10:29:39 9
Challenge Roth 2008-07-13 00:59:45 05:38:47 03:42:27 10:25:37 10:48:02 10:38:10 13
IM New Zealand 2008-03-01       10:31:18 10:38:01 10:32:35 11
Challenge Wanaka 2008-01-19       10:32:39 10:26:59 10:26:59 3

Results for Nicole Woysch (GER)

Race Date Swim Bike Run Total Adjusted Rating Rank in Race
IM Germany 2013-07-07 00:55:26 05:17:14 03:42:04 10:00:05 10:16:28 10:20:26 18
IM Austria 2013-06-30 00:51:45 05:20:15 03:58:47 10:19:39 10:46:21 10:21:07 16
IM Lanzarote 2012-05-19 00:56:12 05:50:12 03:41:52 10:37:19 10:17:44 10:15:48 4
Challenge Barcelona 2011-10-02 00:59:29 05:08:52 03:54:53 10:07:27 10:18:12 10:15:27 10
IM Austria 2011-07-03 00:53:37 05:00:34 03:22:21 09:23:31 09:49:45 10:14:58 8
IM Lanzarote 2011-05-21 00:55:37 06:04:31 03:43:50 10:52:01 10:39:20 10:19:57 6
IM Cozumel 2010-11-28       09:49:44 10:00:22 10:15:22 5
IM Hawaii 2010-10-09 01:07:12 05:37:54 04:00:13 10:51:20 10:50:45 10:19:16 40
IM Lanzarote 2010-05-22 00:59:20 05:41:59 03:22:27 10:11:18 10:03:26 10:08:49 2
Challenge Barcelona 2009-10-04 01:03:07 05:17:53 03:23:44 09:50:04 10:12:39 10:11:05 8
IM Austria 2009-07-05 00:58:42 05:06:38 03:17:52 09:29:37 09:45:48 10:10:14 5
IM Lanzarote 2009-05-23 01:01:40 06:21:12 03:15:02 10:46:19 10:35:30 10:35:30 8

Results for Beate Goertz (DEU)

Race Date Swim Bike Run Total Adjusted Rating Rank in Race

Results for Sandra Fuchs (DEU)

Race Date Swim Bike Run Total Adjusted Rating Rank in Race

Results for Steffi Jansen (DEU)

Race Date Swim Bike Run Total Adjusted Rating Rank in Race

Challenge Penticton 2013 – Analyzing Results

Race Conditions

Challenge Penticton was held on the same course that IM Canada was previously held. Compared to those races (adjustment of 4:17), this year was a bit faster with an adjustment of 9:46. Apparently, the swim and bike were a little bit slower, but the run was quite a bit faster than in previous years (7:46 adjustment vs. run rating of 1:12). (I’m not aware of any course changes that might be the cause for this.)

Male Race Results

Jeff Symonds had a great race – he had the fastest swim and bike splits and the second fastest run (at least of those who finished). Still, he was slightly slower than expected after his first IM result (an 8.37 on the slow course in Los Cabos). Chris McCormack started the race, but bailed on the run – not too much of a surprise with the “little race in Kona” race in a few weeks. Scott Defilippis and Jamie Whyte rounded out the podium:

Rank Name Nation Swim Bike Run Time Diff to expected
1 Jeff Symonds CAN 00:55:37 04:43:26 02:47:31 08:29:57 05:49
2 Scott Defilippis USA 00:59:01 04:56:03 02:45:54 08:44:48 -13:42
3 Jamie Whyte NZL 00:57:20 04:51:47 03:03:35 08:56:08 14:17
4 Adam O’Meara CAN 00:58:52 05:05:17 02:59:45 09:08:34 -05:38
5 Anthony Toth CAN 01:04:19 04:58:25 03:03:59 09:10:14 -10:09
6 Nathan Champness CAN 01:01:49 04:50:46 03:13:18 09:10:54 n/a
7 Christopher Bagg USA 00:58:48 04:54:37 03:16:54 09:14:01 -07:18
8 Andrew Langfield USA 01:01:44 05:13:45 03:09:43 09:28:28 n/a
9 Dan Mcintosh USA 00:58:47 05:07:15 03:24:51 09:34:35 n/a
10 Jeremy Hopwood CAN 01:18:20 04:59:18 03:25:26 09:45:53 n/a
11 Lothar Leder GER 00:58:56 05:25:46 03:35:19 10:06:26 09:26
12 Chris Young CAN 01:08:43 05:03:15 03:55:15 10:10:35 n/a
13 Juan Carlos Ramirez MEX 01:08:49 05:25:20 05:04:02 11:42:35 01:42
14 Elmar Heger GER 01:02:24 05:21:25 06:00:19 12:29:23 30:24

Female Race Results

Carrie Lester won the women’s race. She was close to the lead after the swim, then posted the best bike and run splits:

Rank Name Nation Swim Bike Run Time Diff to expected
1 Carrie Lester AUS 00:58:59 05:07:53 03:17:01 09:27:26 01:26
2 Karen Thibodeau CAN 00:58:47 05:19:12 03:20:21 09:41:42 -03:14
3 Jen Annett CAN 01:09:22 05:21:06 03:24:47 09:58:23 n/a
4 Jennifer Luebke USA 00:58:55 05:34:09 03:36:10 10:13:34 n/a
5 Erin Furness NZL 01:09:15 05:34:44 03:26:05 10:13:57 n/a
6 Trish Deim USA 01:10:01 05:29:41 03:47:02 10:30:33 20:48
7 Jennifer Lentzke CAN 01:18:37 05:56:49 04:56:41 12:17:31 44:08

IM Canada (Whistler) 2013 – Analyzing Results

Race Conditions

With an adjustment of 0:14, the new course in Whistler appears to be a little bit slower than the old course in Penticton (course rating of 4:17, now used for Challenge Penticton). Of the three legs, the bike appears to be the hardest (adjustment of -1:13), but even a run rating of 2:41 is still relatively slow. 

Male Race Results

Trevor Wurtele had a great day, winning his home IM. He has posted better IM times on faster courses (Arizona and New York), but this was probably his best, most even race. He put himself in a great position on the swim and bike, then posted the fastest run and win by more than five minutes over Matthew Russell. Completing the podium was Paul Amey, who lead a surprisingly large contingent of racers backing up after IM Mont Tremblant in search for the last KPR points to qualify. In addition to Paul, Mike Schifferle in 4th and Dominik Berger in 6th place qualified for Kona, while Bruno Clerbout (who had not raced since IM France and was the best rested of the potential qualifiers) was too far back from decent points and DNF’d.

Rank Name Nation Swim Bike Run Time Diff to expected
1 Trevor Wurtele CAN 00:54:27 04:46:51 02:54:31 08:39:33 -29:17
2 Matthew Russell USA 00:58:13 04:42:53 03:00:12 08:45:15 -10:57
3 Paul Amey GBR 00:51:07 04:55:51 03:02:19 08:53:27 10:51
4 Mike Schifferle SUI 01:00:12 04:54:41 02:52:44 08:53:58 -08:48
5 Andrew Russell CAN 00:49:22 04:56:42 03:08:08 08:58:23 n/a
6 Dominik Berger AUT 00:49:05 04:57:53 03:09:15 09:00:24 00:31
7 Matt Lieto USA 00:51:30 04:48:56 03:18:52 09:04:21 -13:12
8 Stephen Kilshaw CAN 00:54:48 05:01:36 03:10:46 09:11:15 -50:56
9 Matthew Sheeks USA 01:01:41 05:09:44 02:55:04 09:11:56 01:04
10 Thomas Maliszewski USA 01:01:19 05:16:43 03:11:25 09:36:27 02:42
11 Dan Litwora USA 00:57:52 05:07:09 03:26:57 09:37:20 n/a
12 Bryan Rhodes NZL 00:48:45 05:14:30 03:30:21 09:38:40 25:08
13 Jim Lubinski USA 01:04:50 05:18:45 03:14:43 09:42:02 -01:13
14 Brendan Naef CAN 00:58:13 05:31:24 03:28:31 10:04:35 -34:40
15 Jonathan Caron CAN 00:49:24 05:20:16 04:33:15 10:47:50 51:58

Female Race Results

On the women’s side, we had Olesya Prystsayko backing up from IM Mont Tremblant in search for KPR points, but she was far off from the required win. Uli Bromme took the win, compensating for her typical slow swim with the race best bike and run splits. She was followed by Lisa Ribes and Gillian Moody: 

Rank Name Nation Swim Bike Run Time Diff to expected
1 Uli Bromme USA 01:03:02 05:13:51 03:06:53 09:28:13 -31:55
2 Lisa Ribes USA 01:03:04 05:22:10 03:08:53 09:38:34 -06:04
3 Gillian Moody CAN 00:56:51 05:29:16 03:18:39 09:49:09 -00:10
4 Christine Fletcher CAN 00:57:58 05:25:48 03:26:56 09:56:45 -29:56
5 Christine Anderson USA 00:55:13 05:29:06 03:33:28 10:01:59 03:20
6 Olesya Prystayko UKR 01:01:08 05:28:50 03:37:24 10:11:36 -01:31
7 Kristyn Tobey BMU 01:10:02 05:37:24 03:38:07 10:32:09 n/a
8 Sarah Baker CAN 01:03:07 05:40:47 03:56:16 10:44:23 n/a
9 Martina Wan CAN 00:57:52 06:07:14 04:11:32 11:22:25 n/a
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