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IM Wales 2012 – Predictions (Details Post)

Male Race Participants

Rank Name Nation Expected Time Rating Rank
1 Georg Potrebitsch GER 08:58:17 08:47:19 66
2 Christian Ritter GER 08:58:38 08:47:39 69
3 Daniel Halksworth GBR 09:08:32 08:57:21 122
4 Daniel Niederreiter AUT 09:10:35 08:59:22 131
5 Sylvain Rota FRA 09:15:09 09:03:50 155
6 Michael Wetzel GER 09:21:02 09:09:36 197
7 Xavier Diepart BEL 09:27:00 09:15:27 241
8 Paul Hawkins GBR 09:34:22 09:22:40 304
9 Erik-Simon Strijk NDL 09:38:29 09:26:42 329
10 Craig Twigg GBR 09:41:35 09:29:44 349
11 Martin Cain GBR 09:43:40 09:31:46 364
12 Oliver Simon GBR 09:46:34 09:34:37 382
13 Markus Lichtenegger AUT 09:53:15 09:41:10 421
14 Rafael Gomes POR 09:56:04 09:43:55 445
15 Karol Dzalaj SVK 09:56:13 09:44:04 446
16 Ivan Tejero Vazquez ESP 10:24:05 10:11:22 622
17 Freddy Lampret ZAF 10:38:38 10:25:37 691
18 Florian Kratz GER 10:46:14 10:33:04 714
19 Marek Nemcik SVK 12:14:57 11:59:58 836
20 Andi Fuchs AUT n/a unrated n/a
21 Harry Wiltshire GBR n/a unrated n/a
22 Joni Pinosto FIN n/a unrated n/a

Female Race Participants

Rank Name Nation Expected Time Rating Rank
1 Regula Rohrbach SUI 10:05:22 09:53:02 75
2 Dana Wagner GER 10:13:41 10:01:11 97
3 Kristin Lie NOR 10:20:59 10:08:20 119
4 Eimear Mullan IRL 10:21:40 10:09:00 125
5 Hillary Biscay USA 10:26:01 10:13:15 140
6 Jackie Pearce CAN 10:32:44 10:19:50 158
7 Joanna Carritt GBR 10:41:22 10:28:18 187
8 Zsuzsanna Harsanyi HUN 11:23:07 11:09:12 257
9 Bethan Fowler GBR 12:02:11 11:47:28 277

Results for Georg Potrebitsch (GER)

Race Date Swim Bike Run Total Adjusted Rating Rank in Race
Challenge Roth 2012-07-08 00:47:29 04:32:03 02:59:23 08:21:39 08:37:11 08:47:19 8
IM Hawaii 2011-10-15 00:53:36 05:04:23 03:11:59 09:15:08 09:15:29 08:53:47 31
IM Germany 2011-07-24 00:48:01 04:33:49 02:56:54 08:22:29 08:30:37 08:30:37 4

Results for Christian Ritter (GER)

Race Date Swim Bike Run Total Adjusted Rating Rank in Race
IM Cozumel 2011-11-27 00:45:37 04:22:38 05:42:07 11:04:22 11:16:38 08:47:39 31
Challenge Roth 2011-07-10 00:46:15 04:30:31 02:59:02 08:18:40 08:44:31 08:47:39 5
IM Hawaii 2010-10-09 00:51:30 04:44:36 03:11:28 08:52:13 08:53:34 08:49:06 37
IM Germany 2010-07-04 00:47:31 04:36:50 03:05:09 08:33:06 08:42:48 08:46:25 7
IM Wisconsin 2009-09-13 00:49:17 04:48:50 03:05:53 08:50:34 08:50:59 08:50:59 2

Results for Daniel Halksworth (GBR)

Race Date Swim Bike Run Total Adjusted Rating Rank in Race
IM UK 2012-07-22 00:47:56 05:00:23 03:03:20 08:55:11 08:56:05 08:57:21 1
IM Regensburg 2012-06-17 00:45:05 04:52:18 03:08:59 08:50:38 08:58:40 08:58:40 6

Results for Daniel Niederreiter (AUT)

Race Date Swim Bike Run Total Adjusted Rating Rank in Race
IM Austria 2010-07-04 00:51:58 04:38:01 02:59:53 08:33:45 08:45:46 08:59:22 8
IM Austria 2009-07-05 00:00:00 00:00:00   08:38:23 08:54:03 09:04:14 10
IM Hawaii 2008-10-11 00:56:00 04:55:16 03:21:43 09:16:54 09:16:33 09:07:58 46
IM New Zealand 2008-03-01 00:49:21 04:51:02 03:12:37 08:57:51 09:04:50 09:04:20 9
IM Florida 2007-11-03 00:49:40 04:44:56 03:13:09 08:51:31 09:08:31 09:04:04 19
IM Switzerland 2005-07-15 00:51:01 04:43:21 03:19:21 08:55:48 08:51:30 08:59:38 8
IM New Zealand 2005-05-03 00:50:13 04:46:17 03:27:10 09:08:14 09:08:14 09:08:14 14

Results for Sylvain Rota (FRA)

Race Date Swim Bike Run Total Adjusted Rating Rank in Race
IM South Africa 2012-04-22 01:02:53 04:49:15 03:15:07 09:11:24 09:03:50 09:03:50 8

Results for Michael Wetzel (GER)

Race Date Swim Bike Run Total Adjusted Rating Rank in Race
IM New York 2012-08-11 00:45:07 04:52:58 03:09:40 08:51:26 08:58:34 09:09:36 14
IM Switzerland 2012-07-15 00:59:07 04:52:52 03:06:57 09:01:31 09:07:41 09:12:48 10
IM South Africa 2012-04-22 01:05:31 05:04:58 03:09:47 09:26:33 09:18:47 09:14:50 12
IM Cozumel 2011-11-27 00:54:55 04:45:45 03:11:59 09:07:02 09:17:08 09:12:30 15
IM Germany 2011-07-24 00:54:07 04:54:58 03:05:39 08:58:40 09:07:23 09:07:23 17

Results for Xavier Diepart (BEL)

Race Date Swim Bike Run Total Adjusted Rating Rank in Race
IM Lanzarote 2012-05-19 00:56:15 05:08:11 03:01:35 09:13:33 09:07:02 09:15:27 8
IM France 2010-06-27 01:00:39 05:02:00 02:58:40 09:06:54 09:19:47 09:23:46 7
IM France 2007-06-24 00:57:46 05:05:09 03:14:03 09:23:37 09:32:20 09:29:04 12
IM UK 2006-08-16 00:51:51 05:09:04 03:15:52 09:21:01 09:24:53 09:24:53 12

Results for Paul Hawkins (GBR)

Race Date Swim Bike Run Total Adjusted Rating Rank in Race
IM UK 2012-07-22 00:52:39 05:02:38 03:11:18 09:10:50 09:11:46 09:22:40 3
IM UK 2011-07-31 00:48:02 05:14:17 02:57:50 09:03:41 09:13:34 09:29:53 7
IM France 2010-06-27 01:26:28 07:20:24 05:09:34 14:16:23 14:36:34 09:46:14 19
IM UK 2009-08-02 00:57:42 05:14:37 03:10:13 09:28:35 09:29:55 09:46:14 10
IM UK 2008-09-07 00:51:33 05:20:08 03:51:03 10:06:40 10:07:22 11:53:40 12
IM Switzerland 2007-06-24 01:22:10 07:03:42 05:23:34 14:00:55 14:24:06 14:28:36 25
IM France 2006-06-24 01:08:44 07:32:31 05:17:00 14:15:35 14:34:37 14:34:37 23

Results for Erik-Simon Strijk (NDL)

Race Date Swim Bike Run Total Adjusted Rating Rank in Race
IM South Africa 2011-04-10       09:16:32 09:26:42 09:26:42 18

Results for Craig Twigg (GBR)

Race Date Swim Bike Run Total Adjusted Rating Rank in Race
IM South Africa 2012-04-22 01:02:48 04:49:16 03:12:37 09:10:48 09:03:15 09:29:44 7
IM South Africa 2011-04-10       09:10:01 09:20:04 09:49:20 16
IM UK 2010-08-01 00:48:16 05:22:05 04:05:47 10:21:02 10:25:01 10:25:01 9

Results for Martin Cain (GBR)

Race Date Swim Bike Run Total Adjusted Rating Rank in Race
IM UK 2012-07-22 00:54:53 05:07:18 03:24:09 09:30:48 09:31:46 09:31:46 5

Results for Oliver Simon (GBR)

Race Date Swim Bike Run Total Adjusted Rating Rank in Race
IM Lanzarote 2012-05-19 00:48:02 05:18:15 03:38:55 09:52:29 09:45:31 09:34:37 12
IM Arizona 2011-11-19 00:49:17 04:46:17 03:44:54 09:26:33 09:42:35 09:30:13 38
IM Wales 2011-09-11 00:44:59 05:29:00 03:31:38 09:54:43 09:42:21 09:23:35 11
IM UK 2011-07-31 00:44:58 05:13:00 02:52:58 08:54:28 09:04:11 09:04:11 5

Results for Markus Lichtenegger (AUT)

Race Date Swim Bike Run Total Adjusted Rating Rank in Race
IM Florida 2011-11-05 00:59:08 04:57:01 03:05:08 09:07:53 09:32:27 09:41:10 19
IM Switzerland 2009-07-12 01:04:14 04:59:45 03:17:12 09:24:24 09:39:37 09:48:31 17
IM Austria 2008-07-13 01:01:49 04:54:40 03:23:37 09:26:05 09:48:59 09:55:18 24
IM Austria 2007-07-08 01:05:02 05:10:19 03:29:21 09:51:37 10:03:46 10:03:46 25

Results for Rafael Gomes (POR)

Race Date Swim Bike Run Total Adjusted Rating Rank in Race
IM France 2012-06-24 00:55:25 05:22:48 03:15:08 09:39:50 09:43:55 09:43:55 13

Results for Karol Dzalaj (SVK)

Race Date Swim Bike Run Total Adjusted Rating Rank in Race
IM St. George 2010-05-01 00:54:35 05:07:53 03:24:37 09:32:49 09:31:13 09:44:04 12
IM Western Australia 2009-12-05 00:50:12 04:54:45 03:37:45 09:22:43 09:39:39 09:51:31 14
IM Wisconsin 2009-09-13 00:54:01 05:42:32 03:19:11 10:03:42 10:04:11 10:04:11 18

Results for Ivan Tejero Vazquez (ESP)

Race Date Swim Bike Run Total Adjusted Rating Rank in Race
IM Wales 2011-09-11 00:46:22 05:45:47 03:23:56 10:07:57 09:55:18 10:11:22 14
IM Germany 2011-07-24 00:49:12 05:07:34 03:46:55 09:49:31 09:59:04 10:18:06 25
IM Lanzarote 2011-05-21 00:47:48 05:27:13 04:12:45 10:35:24 10:29:42 10:30:53 14
IM Lanzarote 2009-05-23 00:50:31 05:48:58 03:45:51 10:35:18 10:33:00 10:33:00 30

Results for Freddy Lampret (ZAF)

Race Date Swim Bike Run Total Adjusted Rating Rank in Race
IM South Africa 2011-04-10       10:46:11 10:57:59 10:25:37 23
IM South Africa 2008-04-13 00:50:31 05:00:38 08:12:28 14:05:39 14:19:38 09:48:14 23
IM France 2007-06-24 00:52:11 05:19:56 03:16:20 09:37:48 09:46:44 09:48:14 18
IM South Africa 2007-03-18 01:03:15 05:18:38 03:34:34 09:56:29 09:55:23 09:49:11 16
IM Brasil 2006-01-01 00:48:58 05:06:05 03:31:34 09:26:35 09:40:24 09:40:24 17

Results for Florian Kratz (GER)

Race Date Swim Bike Run Total Adjusted Rating Rank in Race
IM Regensburg 2012-06-17 01:01:22 05:25:02 03:52:42 10:23:38 10:33:04 10:33:04 11

Results for Marek Nemcik (SVK)

Race Date Swim Bike Run Total Adjusted Rating Rank in Race
IM Sweden 2012-08-18 01:12:30 05:12:31 04:27:19 10:58:00 11:33:01 11:59:58 21
IM Switzerland 2012-07-15 01:14:23 06:20:49 04:06:31 11:49:01 11:57:06 12:02:55 22
IM Germany 2012-07-08 01:04:58 05:38:51 04:58:00 11:48:31 12:00:57 12:03:36 24
IM Austria 2012-07-01 01:16:27 05:38:54 04:56:05 11:58:50 12:10:50 12:03:58 23
IM Regensburg 2012-06-17 01:08:01 05:38:10 04:05:48 10:58:33 11:08:31 12:02:54 12
IM Arizona 2011-11-19 01:10:49 05:31:04 04:28:57 11:19:16 11:38:30 12:21:37 43
IM Wales 2011-09-11 01:07:13 07:28:45 04:37:59 13:36:17 13:19:18 12:28:31 17
IM Germany 2011-07-24 01:13:14 06:07:54 04:46:32 12:23:10 12:35:12 12:19:27 27
IM Switzerland 2011-07-10 01:14:17 05:57:26 04:29:01 11:44:49 11:57:37 12:16:11 12
IM Austria 2011-07-03 01:08:08 05:30:27 04:03:55 10:53:08 11:23:36 12:20:58 19
IM Regensburg 2010-08-01 01:07:03 05:47:08 06:22:31 13:27:39 13:46:48 12:40:48 24
IM New Zealand 2010-03-06 01:10:04 06:36:01 04:22:27 12:21:51 12:31:49 12:16:58 13
IM Arizona 2009-11-22 01:18:01 05:51:26 04:51:41 12:13:01 12:29:14 12:09:57 28
IM Florida 2008-11-01 01:13:01 05:02:34 04:25:26 10:48:33 11:16:16 11:55:01 39
IM Florida 2007-11-03 01:13:43 05:20:07 05:38:15 12:22:51 12:46:37 12:46:37 53

Results for Andi Fuchs (AUT)

Race Date Swim Bike Run Total Adjusted Rating Rank in Race

Results for Harry Wiltshire (GBR)

Race Date Swim Bike Run Total Adjusted Rating Rank in Race

Results for Joni Pinosto (FIN)

Race Date Swim Bike Run Total Adjusted Rating Rank in Race

Results for Regula Rohrbach (SUI)

Race Date Swim Bike Run Total Adjusted Rating Rank in Race
IM Switzerland 2012-07-15 01:02:11 05:03:25 03:26:23 09:35:10 09:41:43 09:53:02 4
IM Arizona 2011-11-19 00:57:37 05:00:35 03:46:06 09:50:10 10:06:52 10:00:14 18
IM Switzerland 2011-07-10 01:00:27 05:14:29 03:23:45 09:42:18 09:52:52 09:52:52 4

Results for Dana Wagner (GER)

Race Date Swim Bike Run Total Adjusted Rating Rank in Race
IM Sweden 2012-08-18 00:58:55 04:48:47 03:31:30 09:22:32 09:52:28 10:01:11 2
IM Austria 2012-07-01 01:03:32 05:09:49 03:27:02 09:46:10 09:55:57 10:05:53 4
IM Melbourne 2012-03-24 01:04:51 05:21:09 03:32:33 10:03:52 10:16:37 10:16:37 15

Results for Kristin Lie (NOR)

Race Date Swim Bike Run Total Adjusted Rating Rank in Race
IM Austria 2011-07-03 01:07:55 05:00:52 03:15:11 09:31:44 09:58:24 10:08:20 10
Challenge Roth 2010-07-18 01:10:20 05:11:03 03:26:26 09:41:05 10:03:26 10:12:30 5
IM Florida 2009-11-07   04:57:24 03:37:12 10:01:00 10:12:27 10:16:44 11
IM Wisconsin 2009-09-13 01:15:54 05:27:27 03:29:07 10:20:58 10:21:28 10:19:23 7
IM Brasil 2008-05-25 01:25:45 04:59:02 03:32:32 10:07:52 10:16:20 10:16:20 4

Results for Eimear Mullan (IRL)

Race Date Swim Bike Run Total Adjusted Rating Rank in Race
IM UK 2012-07-22 01:03:19 05:42:25 03:18:32 10:08:44 10:09:46 10:09:00 1
IM Florida 2011-11-05 01:06:24 05:21:31 03:07:55 09:41:58 10:08:03 10:08:03 8

Results for Hillary Biscay (USA)

Race Date Swim Bike Run Total Adjusted Rating Rank in Race
IM Wisconsin 2012-09-09 00:54:39 05:34:27 03:21:06 09:57:53 09:54:46 10:13:15 5
IM New York 2012-08-11 00:41:33 05:33:11 03:51:56 10:11:40 10:19:52 10:14:21 15
IM Brasil 2012-05-27 00:50:01 05:04:20 03:50:40 09:45:01 10:04:39 10:14:01 6
IM Australia 2012-04-29 00:50:40 05:29:13 03:34:04 09:58:19 10:08:49 10:14:36 3
IM Western Australia 2011-12-04 00:54:41 05:12:27 03:26:45 09:39:41 09:46:14 10:14:58 5
IM Louisville 2011-08-28 00:50:15 05:30:20 03:42:24 10:09:32 10:21:43 10:16:44 8
IM Korea 2011-07-03 00:51:42 05:30:17 03:44:53 10:12:20 10:19:53 10:16:26 3
IM Brasil 2011-05-29       09:33:14 09:57:46 10:16:13 4
IM Hawaii 2010-10-09 00:55:45 05:41:05 04:05:04 10:47:51 10:49:30 10:17:23 39
IM Wisconsin 2010-09-12 00:53:26 05:44:40 03:43:25 10:29:06 10:30:41 10:15:36 7
IM Louisville 2010-08-29 00:53:18 05:53:20 03:57:04 10:52:37 10:58:11 10:12:50 9
Challenge Kopenhagen 2010-08-01 00:49:33 05:24:10 03:18:20 09:36:59 10:03:45 10:10:01 4
IM Coeur d’Alene 2010-06-27 00:53:41 05:37:28 04:01:35 10:39:44 10:45:50 10:10:26 11
IM Brasil 2010-05-30 00:49:03 05:10:33 03:45:00 09:44:38 10:08:24 10:08:04 4
IM Lanzarote 2010-05-22 00:50:40 05:59:24 03:42:37 10:41:44 10:40:18 10:08:02 9
IM Wisconsin 2009-09-13 00:54:17 05:27:54 03:33:25 10:02:58 10:03:27 10:05:38 3
IM Lake Placid 2009-07-26 00:52:52 06:01:37 03:44:17 10:47:50 10:49:58 10:05:46 12
IM Lanzarote 2009-05-23 00:53:15 06:06:22 03:20:52 10:28:45 10:26:28 10:02:49 5
Challenge Wanaka 2009-01-01       10:16:39 10:21:53 10:01:12 2
IM Hawaii 2008-10-11 00:54:35 05:43:27 03:50:08 10:35:10 10:34:46 09:59:51 35
IM Wisconsin 2008-09-07 00:52:11 05:21:50 03:26:24 09:47:25 09:47:36 09:57:36 1
IM Louisville 2008-08-27 00:51:44 05:25:25 03:37:26 09:59:33 09:55:06 09:58:16 4
IM Lake Placid 2008-07-20 00:51:02 05:30:23 03:31:33 09:58:45 09:58:42 09:58:30 3
Challenge Roth 2008-07-13 00:48:59 05:09:59 03:22:03 09:24:19 09:47:06 09:58:29 6
IM Brasil 2008-05-25 00:59:10 05:12:54 03:38:09 09:56:10 10:04:28 09:59:24 2
IM Arizona 2008-04-13 00:51:32 05:21:25 03:36:06 09:53:21 09:58:54 09:58:58 8
Challenge Wanaka 2008-01-19       10:11:17 10:15:41 09:58:59 2
IM Hawaii 2007-10-13 00:55:10 05:25:06 03:31:44 09:56:46 09:56:51 09:57:29 20
IM Wisconsin 2007-09-09 00:54:03 05:36:22 03:24:18 10:01:30 10:01:41 09:57:32 2
IM UK 2007-08-19 00:49:03 05:39:10 03:17:28 09:49:50 09:57:48 09:57:09 2
IM Austria 2007-07-08 00:50:47 05:12:13 03:31:14 09:39:23 09:51:17 09:57:04 6
IM Brasil 2007-05-27 00:52:25 05:14:36 03:37:13 09:44:14 09:57:55 09:57:44 6
IM Arizona 2007-04-15 00:52:02 06:46:15 03:47:50 11:33:07 11:41:05 09:57:42 10
IM New Zealand 2007-03-03 00:50:34 05:19:48 03:19:18 09:34:53 09:36:44 09:57:42 4
Challenge Wanaka 2007-01-20       09:58:35 10:02:44 10:00:24 3
IM Florida 2006-11-04 00:54:43 05:23:58 03:17:43 09:40:39 09:50:48 10:00:05 3
IM Wisconsin 2006-09-10 00:53:54 05:39:41 03:26:28 10:07:01 09:49:14 10:01:31 2
IM Austria 2006-07-16 00:48:11 05:20:27 03:21:59 09:30:37 09:44:10 10:03:39 4
IM Coeur d’Alene 2006-06-25 00:52:58 05:38:59 03:24:18 09:59:46 10:01:01 10:07:34 5
IM Arizona 2006-04-09 00:50:33 05:17:01 03:31:22 09:43:36 09:48:23 10:09:10 3
IM Brasil 2006-01-01 00:47:51 05:22:14 03:24:15 09:34:19 09:48:20 10:15:24 3
IM Canada 2005-08-29 00:54:16 05:39:19 03:58:28 10:36:56 10:34:27 10:25:50 11
IM Lake Placid 2005-07-24 00:51:04 06:01:07 03:32:43 10:31:33 10:26:19 10:21:13 10
IM Arizona 2005-04-09 00:55:27 05:37:52 03:37:00 10:15:40 10:15:40 10:15:40 7

Results for Jackie Pearce (CAN)

Race Date Swim Bike Run Total Adjusted Rating Rank in Race
IM Texas 2012-05-19 01:11:33 05:15:30 03:36:28 10:09:39 10:19:50 10:19:50 9

Results for Joanna Carritt (GBR)

Race Date Swim Bike Run Total Adjusted Rating Rank in Race
Challenge Roth 2012-07-08 01:00:23 05:17:54 03:42:52 10:04:53 10:23:36 10:28:18 16
IM UK 2011-07-31 00:55:21 05:53:08 03:05:59 09:59:21 10:10:15 10:29:01 4
IM Lanzarote 2011-05-21 00:56:35 06:06:02 03:59:33 11:09:59 11:03:59 10:31:29 7
Challenge Wanaka 2011-01-15       10:57:21 10:32:41 10:26:53 3
IM Western Australia 2010-12-05 01:04:42 05:28:49 03:34:09 10:11:13 10:22:51 10:26:01 6
IM Hawaii 2010-10-09 01:13:01 05:37:58 03:26:48 10:23:05 10:24:40 10:26:33 35
IM UK 2010-08-01 00:58:16 06:03:05 03:09:28 10:16:22 10:20:20 10:26:54 3
IM France 2010-06-27 01:04:27 05:29:45 03:26:15 10:07:44 10:22:03 10:28:21 8
IM Lanzarote 2010-05-22 01:02:31 05:46:52 03:26:34 10:24:30 10:23:06 10:30:03 7
IM Lanzarote 2009-05-23 01:03:57 06:01:55 03:30:45 10:45:32 10:43:11 10:32:32 7
IM Wisconsin 2008-09-07 01:04:15 05:48:19 03:32:28 10:33:37 10:33:49 10:28:37 11
IM Germany 2008-07-06 00:00:00 00:00:00   09:43:19 10:13:35 10:26:24 8
IM Switzerland 2007-06-24 01:04:57 05:14:53 03:34:51 09:57:28 10:13:56 10:35:10 8
IM Lanzarote 2007-05-20 01:07:17 05:57:23 03:45:15 10:59:25 10:56:59 10:56:59 7

Results for Zsuzsanna Harsanyi (HUN)

Race Date Swim Bike Run Total Adjusted Rating Rank in Race
IM Sweden 2012-08-18 01:04:59 05:31:48 04:01:42 10:44:38 11:18:57 11:09:12 6
IM UK 2010-08-01 01:02:08 06:43:38 03:36:04 11:31:29 11:35:55 11:05:39 5
IM St. George 2010-05-01 01:09:23 06:52:48 04:03:51 12:12:04 12:10:02 10:57:58 11
IM France 2009-06-28 01:06:53 05:55:25 03:57:41 11:07:25 11:15:17 10:35:42 14
IM Switzerland 2008-07-13 10:07:34 00:00:00   10:07:34 10:21:02 10:23:02 8
IM Brasil 2008-05-25 01:12:49 05:27:25 03:32:17 10:18:06 10:26:42 10:23:40 6
IM South Africa 2007-03-18 01:13:13 05:53:22 03:27:51 10:34:29 10:33:19 10:22:19 8
IM Hawaii 2006-10-21 01:07:44 05:37:36 03:29:05 10:18:56 10:16:34 10:17:12 35
IM Hawaii 2005-10-15 01:11:44 05:31:34 03:51:29 10:39:52 10:40:18 10:17:40 38
IM Brasil 2005-05-28 01:02:37 05:26:10 03:23:35 09:52:23 09:52:23 09:52:23 4

Results for Bethan Fowler (GBR)

Race Date Swim Bike Run Total Adjusted Rating Rank in Race
IM UK 2012-07-22 01:05:33 06:30:27 04:04:18 11:46:16 11:47:28 11:47:28 5

IM Wisconsin 2012 – Analyzing Results

Race Conditions

Conditions in Wisconsin were pretty typical: A hot day lead to an adjustment of –2:49 and a new course rating of –3:59.

Male Results

My race favorite Ben Hoffmann pulled away on the bike and held on to that lead on the run, winning by almost 14 minutes:

Rank Name Nation Swim Bike Run Actual Time Expected Time
1 Ben Hoffman USA 00:52:13 04:37:58 02:56:33 08:32:51 08:49:53
2 Eduardo Sturla ARG 00:54:40 04:49:28 02:55:28 08:46:29 08:46:56
3 Michael Goehner GER 00:54:50 04:48:56 03:04:25 08:54:53 08:43:07
4 Justin Daerr USA 00:54:33 04:45:37 03:09:28 08:55:46 08:52:17
5 Blake Becker USA 00:54:40 04:56:49 02:58:44 08:56:35 10:16:58
6 Thomas Gerlach USA 00:54:42 04:45:21 03:12:19 08:58:20 09:46:40
7 Andres Castillo Latorre COL 00:49:01 04:53:47 03:13:04 09:02:25 09:18:24
8 Kevin Taddonio USA 01:04:47 04:52:15 03:01:50 09:05:35 09:06:05
9 Nick Waninger USA 00:54:35 05:06:22 03:00:54 09:07:35 08:51:33
10 Dominik Berger AUT 00:50:55 04:55:24 03:18:45 09:11:34 09:13:29
11 Billy Edwards USA 01:03:42 04:56:49 03:11:05 09:17:44 09:31:55
12 Markus Ressler AUT 00:54:11 04:53:35 03:29:36 09:24:17 09:12:36
13 Jonathan Shearon USA 00:54:41 04:51:17 03:36:02 09:28:54 08:58:13
14 Jared Milam USA 00:54:36 05:26:16 03:04:59 09:32:40 09:15:39
15 Ernst Moser AUT 00:58:35 05:00:16 03:31:55 09:37:04 09:11:57
16 Jesse Vondracek USA 00:58:48 05:22:50 03:15:53 09:43:54 09:38:35

Female Results

On the females side, Elizabeth Lyles returned to IM racing with a win, beating best-rated Kathleen Calkins, who lead for a long time but finally finished in fourth place:

Rank Name Nation Swim Bike Run Actual Time Expected Time
1 Elizabeth Lyles USA 01:00:41 05:27:29 02:59:33 09:34:35 n/a
2 Beth Walsh USA 01:01:44 05:30:17 02:59:54 09:38:42 10:05:48
3 Charisa Wernick USA 01:00:41 05:29:57 03:05:58 09:43:54 10:07:43
4 Kathleen Calkins USA 00:54:46 05:21:37 03:23:55 09:48:13 09:31:17
5 Hillary Biscay USA 00:54:39 05:34:27 03:21:06 09:57:53 10:17:34
6 Kim Loeffler USA 01:08:36 05:28:34 03:25:24 10:10:47 09:49:53
7 Whitney Garcia USA 01:01:24 05:33:04 03:32:24 10:14:32 10:06:14
8 Ariane Monticeli BRA 01:08:42 05:46:04 03:18:28 10:20:18 10:21:17

Kona 2012 – Work on my Rating Report has started!

I’ve started to work on my Kona 2012 Rating Report. As last year, there will be information on

  • the Kona pro field (men and women),
  • the previous results of the Kona participants and
  • my predictions for Kona 2012.
This year’s report will also have some additional information:
  • who has raced well in Kona
  • a run-focused comparison chart .. how much time can Crowie afford to be behind another athlete after the bike?

It going to be a 25-page-plus PDF that will be the ideal information to have when following the Kona coverage. If you’re interested in the report and aren’t on my mailing list, please subscribe using the form in the sidebar.

Kona 2012 Qualification: August Update on KPR Standings

At the time that I’m writing this article, all the races offering KPR points for Kona 2012 have been completed and WTC has updated their rankings to show which PROs have already accepted or declined their July slots and which PROs will be able to claim the remaining August slots.

Athletes who have declined their July slots and those that got a roll-down slot

There are not too many PROs that have declined their Kona slot:

  • Carrie Lester (AUS)
    I don’t know why Carrie turned down her slot.
  • Corinne Abraham (GBR)
    She posted her reasons on her blog. Basically, she wants to race some more races in 2012, and feels that Kona would end her season and thus does not make sense from a business perspective.
  • Raynard Tissink (ZAF)
    As I understand it, Raynard ended his professional triathlon career after Kona 2011. He raced IM South Africa 2012 “for fun” (validating his slot), but is not interested in racing Kona 2012.

The roll down went to the following athletes (points are from end of July, they may have changed by now by including additional results):

  • Sara Gross (CAN) 4.415 points
  • Mareen Hufe (GER) 4.400 points
  • Michael Raelert (GER) 3.830 points

Athletes eligible for an August slot

In August there are five more women that will get a Kona slot:

  • Rebekah Keat (AUS) 6.630 points
  • Amy Marsh (USA) 6.615 points
  • Sarah Piampiano (USA) 6.405 points
  • Michelle Gailey (AUS) 5.540 points
  • Emi Sakai (JAP) 5.040 points

On the men’s side, we have the following ten athletes:

  • Jordan Rapp (USA) 6.000 points
  • Jozsef Major (HUN) 5.920 points
  • Maxim Kriat (UKR) 5.720 points
  • Trevor Wurtele (CAN) 5.020 points
  • Jan Raphael (GER) 4.800 points
  • Andi Böcherer (GER) 4.770 points
  • Pedro Gomes (PRT) 4.710 points
  • Markus Thomschke (GER) 4.600 points
  • Jason Shortis (AUS) 4.380 points
  • Bart Aernouts (BEL) 4.210 points

Some of these athletes may decline their slots, so there may be some roll down. The first athletes that may get a slot that way are Tamara Kozulina (UKR, 5.020 points) and Christian Brader (GER, 3.820 points).

IM Wisconsin 2012 – Predictions (Main Post)

If you are looking for additional information on the participants, you can find a full list of their pro results in the detail post.

Previous Results

Wisconsin is one of the slower courses, with a course rating of –4:09 it is just a bit slower than Kona. It is usually quite hot and the bike course is rolling, so if you don’t race smart there is a good chance of blowing up later in the race.

Last year’s winners were Ezekiel Morales (ARG) in 8:45:18 and Jessica Jacobs (USA) in 9:41:03, short of the course records of 8:38:32 (Joe Gambles, 2010) and 9:27:26 (Gina Crawford, also 2010).

Wisconsin is the first race to collect KPR points for Kona 2013. Even if it is “only” a 1.000 points race, there are already athletes that want to get a head start for the 2013 season.

Male Participants

Eduardo Sturla has the best rating of the male pros:

Rank Name Nation Expected Time Rating Rank
1 Eduardo Sturla ARG 08:48:13 08:44:12 50
2 Ben Hoffman USA 08:51:11 08:47:08 64
3 Nick Waninger 08:52:50 08:48:47 80
4 Justin Daerr USA 08:53:35 08:49:31 84
5 Kevin Taddonio USA 09:07:25 09:03:15 154
6 Markus Ressler AUT 09:13:57 09:09:44 201
7 Ian Mikelson USA 09:14:11 09:09:58 202
8 Dominik Berger AUT 09:14:49 09:10:36 209
9 Zach Ruble USA 09:14:56 09:10:43 211
10 Jared Milam USA 09:17:00 09:12:46 225
11 Toby Radcliffe GBR 09:27:55 09:23:36 313
12 Billy Edwards USA 09:33:19 09:28:57 345
13 Peter Kotland USA 09:35:52 09:31:29 361
14 Jesse Vondracek USA 09:40:00 09:35:35 394
15 Thomas Gerlach USA 09:48:06 09:43:37 443
16 Blake Becker USA 10:18:28 10:13:46 633
17 Greg Close USA n/a unrated n/a

However, I consider Ben Hoffman as the race favorite and Justin Daerr has about the same winning odds as Eduardo:

  • Ben Hoffman: 35%
  • Justin Daerr: 28%
  • Eduardo Sturla: 26%

Female Participants

There is a similar situation in the women’s field. Kathleen Calkins has the best rating (but from only one result):

Rank Name Nation Expected Time Rating Rank
1 Kathleen Calkins USA 09:32:41 09:28:19 13
2 Kim Loeffler USA 09:51:19 09:46:49 54
3 Kate Bevilaqua AUS 10:01:53 09:57:18 82
4 Beth Walsh USA 10:07:16 10:02:39 96
5 Whitney Garcia USA 10:07:43 10:03:05 99
6 Charisa Wernick USA 10:09:11 10:04:33 108
7 Danielle Sullivan USA 10:15:51 10:11:10 133
8 Hillary Biscay USA 10:19:04 10:14:21 142
9 Katya Meyers USA 10:31:31 10:26:43 180
10 Suzanne Zelazo CAN 11:00:56 10:55:54 245
11 Elizabeth Lyles n/a unrated n/a
12 Andrea Hutchins n/a unrated n/a

However, her rating is quite a lot better than the next athletes, so she also has the best winning odds:

  • Kathleen Calkins: 32%
  • Kim Loeffler: 30%
  • Kate Bevilaqua: 18%
  • Charisa Wernick: 13%
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