Archive | IM Cairns

Ironman Cairns 2020 – Analyzing Results

Course Conditions

With the changes to the bike course (3 loops instead of two, using the hilliest sections of the old course) and the hotter/wetter weather, it wasn’t a surprise that the overall times were quite a bit slower: The adjustment for this year’s race is 1:42, more than four minutes slower than the average for Cairns and more than ten minutes slower than what we’ve seen in the last two years, almost all of it coming from a slower bike leg.

The harder conditions did not allow for any new course records.

Kona Qualifying

With 12 starters, the male Pros will receive two Kona Pro slots, the females (8 starters) only one. These slots will be offered to:

  • Max Neumann
  • Tim Van Berkel
    and
  • Amelia Watkinson.

(Sarah Crowley was already qualified before the race.) The full list of Pro athletes qualified for Kona 2021 can be found here.

Male Race Results

Rank Name Nation Swim Bike Run Time Diff to exp. Prize Money
1 Max Neumann AUS 00:45:42 04:33:23 02:50:05 08:13:08 n/a US$ 6,000
2 Tim Van Berkel AUS 00:47:46 04:31:04 02:53:25 08:15:57 n/a US$ 4,000
3 Josh Amberger AUS 00:45:41 04:31:57 02:57:46 08:18:38 n/a US$ 3,000
4 Tim Reed AUS 00:47:51 04:31:05 03:08:46 08:31:40 n/a US$ 2,500
5 Scott Bayvel ZAF 00:49:36 04:29:30 03:08:52 08:32:33 n/a US$ 2,000
6 Simon Hearn AUS 00:47:43 04:46:25 03:12:51 08:51:19 n/a US$ 1,500
7 Alexander Polizzi AUS 00:45:44 04:36:49 03:28:48 08:55:58 n/a US$ 1,000
8 Brodie Gardner AUS 00:55:02 04:49:18 03:13:16 09:01:36 n/a  
9 Damien Collins AUS 00:57:55 04:56:28 03:12:40 09:12:42 n/a  
  Lachlan Kerin AUS 00:47:41     DNF    
  Steven McKenna AUS 00:48:05     DNF    
  Jarrod Harvey AUS 00:52:10     DNF    

Female Race Results

Rank Name Nation Swim Bike Run Time Diff to exp. Prize Money
1 Amelia Watkinson NZL 00:53:15 05:01:47 03:22:02 09:20:38 n/a US$ 6,000
2 Sarah Crowley AUS 00:53:18 05:01:51 03:23:21 09:22:03 n/a US$ 4,000
3 Renee Kiley AUS 00:54:05 05:00:57 03:24:05 09:23:56 n/a US$ 3,000
4 Kylie Simpson AUS 01:07:19 05:17:38 02:57:06 09:27:21 n/a US$ 2,500
5 Meredith Hill AUS 00:56:53 05:12:37 03:21:11 09:36:06 n/a US$ 2,000
6 Beth McKenzie USA 01:01:17 05:21:13 03:20:11 09:46:48 n/a US$ 1,500
7 Shannon Sutton AUS 01:09:35 06:17:59 04:29:02 12:05:46 n/a US$ 1,000
  Laura Dennis AUS 00:56:00     DNF    
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Ironman Cairns 2020 (September 27th) – Seedings

Previous Winners

Year Male Winner Time Female Winner Time
2011 Chris McCormack (AUS) 08:15:56 Rebekah Keat (AUS) 09:26:31
2012 David Dellow (AUS) 08:15:04 Carrie Lester (AUS) 09:21:00
2013 Luke McKenzie (AUS) 08:17:43 Liz Blatchford (AUS) 09:19:51
2014 Cameron Brown (NZL) 08:20:15 Liz Blatchford (AUS) 09:16:58
2015 Luke McKenzie (AUS) 08:18:01 Liz Blatchford (AUS) 09:11:49
2016 Tim Van Berkel (AUS) 08:15:03 Jodie Cunnama (GBR) 09:06:18
2017 Josh Amberger (AUS) 08:02:17 Sarah Crowley (AUS) 08:58:14
2018 Braden Currie (NZL) 07:54:58 Teresa Adam (NZL) 08:53:16
2019 Braden Currie (NZL) 08:04:19 Teresa Adam (NZL) 08:48:33

Last Race’s TOP 3

Male Race Results

Rank Name Nation Swim Bike Run Time
1 Braden Currie NZL 00:47:29 04:28:59 02:44:33 08:04:19
2 Tim Van Berkel AUS 00:50:03 04:45:22 02:45:03 08:23:48
3 David Dellow AUS 00:49:38 04:45:45 02:53:11 08:32:11

Female Race Results

Rank Name Nation Swim Bike Run Time
1 Teresa Adam NZL 00:50:11 04:51:48 03:02:56 08:48:33
2 Sarah Crowley AUS 00:51:19 04:50:48 03:08:03 08:53:37
3 Kaisa Sali FIN 00:56:00 04:54:18 03:00:03 08:53:51

Course Records

Leg Gender Record Athlete Date
Total overall 07:54:58 Braden Currie 2018-06-10
Swim overall 00:43:48 Clayton Fettell 2011-06-05
Bike overall 04:15:13 Cameron Wurf 2017-06-11
Run overall 02:39:59 Braden Currie 2018-06-10
Total female 08:48:33 Teresa Adam 2019-06-09
Swim female 00:48:39 Lauren Brandon 2018-06-10
Bike female 04:50:00 Sarah Crowley 2017-06-11
Run female 02:54:04 Kristin Liepold 2019-06-09

Course Rating

The Course Rating for IM Cairns is 05:45.

This year there are some changes to the bike course, it is likely to be slower than in previous years.

Race Adjustments for IM Cairns

Year Adjustment Swim Adj. Bike Adj. Run Adj. # of Finishers Rating Swim Rating Bike Rating Run Rating
2011 06:26 01:37 03:27 01:22 16 06:26 01:37 03:27 01:22
2012 06:48 -00:36 08:46 -01:21 22 06:37 00:30 06:07 00:00
2013 02:58 -01:20 09:25 -05:07 16 05:24 -00:06 07:13 -01:42
2014 04:15 -02:15 03:45 02:45 16 of 21 05:07 -00:39 06:21 -00:36
2015 06:13 01:46 04:22 00:05 16 of 19 05:20 -00:10 05:57 -00:27
2016 -02:45 -01:09 -01:39 00:03 28 of 36 03:59 -00:19 04:42 -00:23
2017 12:13 -01:40 12:00 01:53 29 of 40 05:10 -00:31 05:44 -00:03
2018 13:54 -00:14 12:52 01:17 26 of 33 06:15 -00:29 06:37 00:07
2019 01:42 -00:37 02:25 -00:05 15 of 19 05:45 -00:30 06:09 00:05

Kona slots and Prize Money

The actual number of Kona slots depends on the number of Pro starters for each gender: There will be one slot for up to ten starters and two if there are 11 eleven or more. This means that the women will have one slot. (Note that Sarah Crowley has already secured a slot.) If not more than one of the male Pros on the list won’t start, the men will have two slots for Kona 2021. The total prize purse for Cairns is 40.000 US$, paying 7 deep.

Male Race Participants

The strength of the field is 8% of a typical Kona field.

# Bib Name Nat Expected Rating ESwim EBike ET2 ERun Consistency Overall
1 3 Tim Van Berkel AUS 08:16:20 08:20:58 00:49:17 04:33:21 05:27:38 02:48:42 94% +4% -3% (28) 16
2 2 Tim Reed AUS 08:18:54 08:24:18 00:49:04 04:29:01 05:23:05 02:55:49 72% +21% -7% (12) 29
3 1 Josh Amberger AUS 08:19:41 08:30:29 00:46:23 04:25:21 05:16:44 03:02:57 55% +7% -39% (9) 46
4 4 Steven McKenna AUS 08:20:42 08:38:51 00:51:15 04:33:57 05:30:11 02:50:31 n/a (1 IM Pro race) (67)
5 10 Damien Collins AUS 08:33:54 08:55:43 00:55:34 04:40:56 05:41:30 02:52:24 37% +63% -0% (2) (107)
6 9 Scott Bayvel ZAF 08:40:21 08:59:11 00:50:11 04:39:52 05:35:03 03:05:18 n/a (1 IM Pro race) (111)
7 5 Lachlan Kerin AUS 08:48:33 09:14:49 00:51:33 04:36:29 05:33:01 03:15:32 4% +38% -59% (7) (132)
8 8 Jarrod Harvey AUS 09:06:50 09:15:08 00:53:07 04:48:30 05:46:37 03:20:13 100% +0% -0% (3) 132
9 7 Alexander Polizzi AUS 09:30:29 09:51:09 00:48:31 04:49:08 05:42:39 03:47:50 n/a (1 IM Pro race) (166)
6 Max Neumann AUS n/a unrated unrated unrated unrated unrated n/a (no IM Pro race) (n/a)
11 Brodie Gardner AUS n/a unrated unrated unrated unrated unrated n/a (no IM Pro race) (n/a)
12 Simon Hearn AUS n/a unrated unrated unrated unrated unrated n/a (no IM Pro race) (n/a)

Female Race Participants

The strength of the field is 11% of a typical Kona field.

# Bib Name Nat Expected Rating ESwim EBike ET2 ERun Consistency Overall
1 31 Sarah Crowley (KQ) AUS 08:52:26 09:00:30 00:52:48 04:49:30 05:47:18 03:05:08 77% +23% -0% (12) 4
2 32 Beth McKenzie USA 09:14:49 09:25:41 01:01:53 05:09:08 06:16:00 02:58:49 78% +18% -4% (16) (25)
3 33 Els Visser NED 09:16:16 09:31:10 00:58:56 04:55:09 05:59:05 03:17:11 72% +28% -0% (7) 33
4 35 Meredith Hill AUS 09:21:02 09:37:59 00:59:42 04:59:32 06:04:14 03:16:48 100% +0% -0% (2) (41)
5 34 Amelia Watkinson NZL 09:30:15 09:50:55 00:51:37 05:07:23 06:04:00 03:26:15 n/a (1 IM Pro race) (50)
6 38 Renee Kiley AUS 09:38:53 10:02:11 00:57:38 05:06:07 06:08:44 03:30:09 30% +26% -44% (5) (56)
36 Kylie Simpson AUS n/a unrated unrated unrated unrated unrated n/a (no IM Pro race) (n/a)
37 Laura Dennis AUS n/a unrated unrated unrated unrated unrated n/a (1 IM Pro race) (n/a)
39 Shannon Sutton AUS n/a unrated unrated unrated unrated unrated n/a (no IM Pro race) (n/a)

Winning Odds

Male Race Participants

  • Tim Van Berkel: 46% (1-1)
  • Tim Reed: 32% (2-1)
  • Josh Amberger: 19% (4-1)
  • Steven McKenna: 2% (57-1)

Female Race Participants

  • Sarah Crowley: 86% (1-1)
  • Els Visser: 7% (14-1)
  • Beth McKenzie: 4% (22-1)
  • Meredith Hill: 2% (46-1)
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Ironman Cairns 2019 – Analyzing Results

IMCairnsLogoCourse Conditions

With the low number of Pro athletes this year, it’s a bit tricky to say, but it seems that the conditions were quite slow this year. There were reports of lots of wind on the bike, and it seems that it also took some energy from fast runs.

Even so, there were a few new course records on the female side: Teresa Adam improved on her winning time from last year by roughly five minutes, and Kristin Liepold set a new marathon CR with a 2:54:04 (improving on Beth McKenzie’s 2:55:23 from last year).

Kona Qualifying

As IM Cairns is the Regional Championship for the Asia/Pacific region, there were six Kona Pro slots available. With 9 men and 10 women starting the race, the slots were split down the middle – 3 for the men and 3 for the women.

Unless one of the men decline their slot, the slots will go to the Top 3: Braden Currie, Tim Berkel and David Dellow. On the female side, there will be some rolldown as Sarah Crowley was already qualified. Two of these slots will fo to Kaisa Sali and Kristin Liepold. The last one is tricky and we’ll have to wait for the rolldown meeting: Winner Teresa Adam would normally be expected to go to Kona, but she declined her slot in New Zealand. If she declines again, the slot would roll down to Els Visser. (Update June 10th: Els Visser has posted on Instagram that she has received a Kona slot.)

Male Race Results

Rank Name Nation Swim Bike Run Time Diff to exp. Prize Money
1 Braden Currie NZL 00:47:29 04:28:59 02:44:33 08:04:19 -13:52 US$ 30,000
2 Tim Van Berkel AUS 00:50:03 04:45:22 02:45:03 08:23:48 02:24 US$ 15,000
3 David Dellow AUS 00:49:38 04:45:45 02:53:11 08:32:11 08:02 US$ 8,000
4 Matt Burton AUS 00:52:54 04:32:38 03:10:01 08:39:24 09:50 US$ 6,500
5 Blake Kappler AUS 00:51:56 04:43:25 03:10:01 08:49:12 01:15 US$ 5,000
6 Jarrod Harvey AUS 00:52:33 04:51:43 03:23:56 09:11:35 04:29 US$ 3,500
7 Justin Wendemuth AUS 01:00:31 04:59:56 03:20:15 09:25:21 n/a US$ 2,500
8 Mike Phillips NZL 00:47:35 05:41:00 04:06:19 10:39:51 1:22:44 US$ 2,000
Luke Bell AUS 00:47:36 DNF

Female Race Results

Rank Name Nation Swim Bike Run Time Diff to exp. Prize Money
1 Teresa Adam NZL 00:50:11 04:51:48 03:02:56 08:48:33 -23:43 US$ 30,000
2 Sarah Crowley AUS 00:51:19 04:50:48 03:08:03 08:53:37 -16:25 US$ 15,000
3 Kaisa Sali FIN 00:56:00 04:54:18 03:00:03 08:53:51 -10:51 US$ 8,000
4 Kristin Liepold GER 01:05:37 04:58:41 02:54:04 09:02:09 -40:08 US$ 6,500
5 Els Visser NED 00:59:27 04:59:25 03:12:44 09:14:29 -29:16 US$ 5,000
6 Kelsey Withrow USA 00:55:50 05:16:41 03:29:06 09:46:48 01:56 US$ 3,500
7 Jessica Mitchell AUS 01:05:40 05:18:35 03:34:26 10:04:03 -02:33 US$ 2,500
Sarah True USA 00:50:12 04:51:58 DNF
Melanie Burke NZL 01:05:39 05:05:38 DNF
Chloe Lane AUS 00:55:53 DNF

Ironman Cairns 2019 (June 9th) – Seedings

IMCairnsLogo

Previous Winners

Year Male Winner Time Female Winner Time
2011 Chris McCormack (AUS) 08:15:56 Rebekah Keat (AUS) 09:26:31
2012 David Dellow (AUS) 08:15:04 Carrie Lester (AUS) 09:21:00
2013 Luke McKenzie (AUS) 08:17:43 Liz Blatchford (AUS) 09:19:51
2014 Cameron Brown (NZL) 08:20:15 Liz Blatchford (AUS) 09:16:58
2015 Luke McKenzie (AUS) 08:18:01 Liz Blatchford (AUS) 09:11:49
2016 Tim Van Berkel (AUS) 08:15:03 Jodie Cunnama (GBR) 09:06:18
2017 Josh Amberger (AUS) 08:02:17 Sarah Crowley (AUS) 08:58:14
2018 Braden Currie (NZL) 07:54:58 Teresa Adam (NZL) 08:53:16

Last Race’s TOP 3

Here’s the link to last year’s full results and analysis.

Male Race Results

Rank Name Nation Swim Bike Run Time
1 Braden Currie NZL 00:46:45 04:24:52 02:39:59 07:54:58
2 Javier Gomez ESP 00:46:41 04:25:08 02:41:02 07:56:38
3 Terenzo Bozzone NZL 00:48:43 04:22:30 02:45:59 08:00:06

Female Race Results

Rank Name Nation Swim Bike Run Time
1 Teresa Adam NZL 00:50:41 04:50:12 03:08:44 08:53:16
2 Mirinda Carfrae AUS 01:01:05 04:50:30 03:03:19 08:59:17
3 Beth McKenzie USA 01:01:38 05:01:26 02:55:23 09:03:10

Course Records

Leg Gender Record Athlete Date
Total overall 07:54:58 Braden Currie 2018-06-10
Swim overall 00:43:48 Clayton Fettell 2011-06-05
Bike overall 04:15:13 Cameron Wurf 2017-06-11
Run overall 02:39:59 Braden Currie 2018-06-10
Total female 08:53:16 Teresa Adam 2018-06-10
Swim female 00:48:39 Lauren Brandon 2018-06-10
Bike female 04:50:00 Sarah Crowley 2017-06-11
Run female 02:55:23 Beth McKenzie 2018-06-10

Course Rating

The Course Rating for IM Cairns is 06:15.

Race Adjustments for IM Cairns

Year Adjustment Swim Adj. Bike Adj. Run Adj. # of Finishers Rating Swim Rating Bike Rating Run Rating
2011 06:26 01:37 03:27 01:22 16 06:26 01:37 03:27 01:22
2012 06:48 -00:36 08:46 -01:21 22 06:37 00:30 06:07 00:00
2013 02:58 -01:20 09:25 -05:07 16 05:24 -00:06 07:13 -01:42
2014 04:15 -02:15 03:45 02:45 16 of 21 05:07 -00:39 06:21 -00:36
2015 06:13 01:46 04:22 00:05 16 of 19 05:20 -00:10 05:57 -00:27
2016 -02:45 -01:09 -01:39 00:03 28 of 36 03:59 -00:19 04:42 -00:23
2017 12:13 -01:40 12:00 01:53 29 of 40 05:10 -00:31 05:44 -00:03
2018 13:54 -00:14 12:52 01:17 26 of 33 06:15 -00:29 06:37 00:07

Kona slots and Prize Money

IM Cairns has 2m+2f +2u Pro Kona slot(s). It has a total prize purse of 150.000 US$, paying 10 deep. With the current number, an even split of Kona slots seems likely (i.e. 3 slots for the male Pros and 3 for females).

Male Race Participants

The strength of the field is 29% of a typical Kona field.

# Bib Name Nat Expected Rating ESwim EBike ET2 ERun Consistency Overall
1 1 Braden Currie NZL 08:06:06 08:18:14 00:47:35 04:28:01 05:20:36 02:45:30 52% +23% -24% (8) 12
2 2 Terenzo Bozzone (KQ) NZL 08:07:27 08:20:30 00:48:35 04:24:06 05:17:40 02:49:47 61% +14% -25% (19) 20
3 4 Mike Phillips (KQ) NZL 08:12:01 08:19:09 00:49:08 04:27:48 05:21:56 02:50:05 75% +10% -15% (7) 13
4 3 Tim Van Berkel AUS 08:15:24 08:26:28 00:48:39 04:30:31 05:24:10 02:51:14 87% +7% -6% (25) 35
5 5 Matt Burton AUS 08:15:41 08:34:43 00:52:48 04:22:09 05:19:57 02:55:44 15% +49% -36% (11) 59
6 6 David Dellow AUS 08:15:59 08:29:15 00:47:57 04:30:35 05:23:31 02:52:28 58% +1% -41% (19) (49)
7 9 Igor Amorelli BRA 08:26:51 08:37:25 00:48:02 04:28:40 05:21:43 03:05:08 58% +7% -35% (20) 71
8 8 Thiago Vinhal BRA 08:33:31 08:41:17 00:49:54 04:43:31 05:38:25 02:55:06 54% +25% -21% (17) 85
9 7 Luke Bell AUS 08:37:45 08:48:25 00:48:19 04:34:21 05:27:40 03:10:05 29% +5% -65% (35) (106)
10 10 Blake Kappler AUS 08:44:29 09:04:00 00:51:46 04:34:43 05:31:29 03:13:00 56% +0% -44% (2) (165)
11 12 Jarrod Harvey * AUS 09:03:31 09:23:44 00:55:16 04:51:41 05:51:57 03:11:34 n/a (1 IM Pro race) (219)
11 Alister Foot AUS n/a unrated unrated unrated unrated unrated n/a (no IM Pro race) (n/a)
14 Justin Wendemuth AUS n/a unrated unrated unrated unrated unrated n/a (1 IM Pro race) (n/a)

Note: Athletes with a ‘*’ are also registered for another race within 8 days.

Female Race Participants

The strength of the field is 16% of a typical Kona field.

# Bib Name Nat Expected Rating ESwim EBike ET2 ERun Consistency Overall
1 22 Sarah True USA 08:50:33 09:02:47 00:51:36 04:59:05 05:55:41 02:54:52 47% +53% -0% (2) (3)
2 23 Kaisa Sali FIN 08:59:46 09:04:45 00:57:05 04:54:31 05:56:37 03:03:09 100% +0% -0% (9) 4
3 21 Sarah Crowley (KQ) AUS 09:01:15 09:10:05 00:54:50 04:54:02 05:53:52 03:07:23 40% +60% -0% (8) 6
4 20 Teresa Adam NZL 09:04:40 09:12:19 00:50:45 04:58:03 05:53:48 03:10:52 100% +0% -0% (4) 8
5 26 Melanie Burke NZL 09:25:46 09:37:26 01:05:00 05:00:58 06:10:58 03:14:48 85% +14% -2% (17) 49
6 25 Kelsey Withrow USA 09:28:10 09:50:46 00:53:32 05:11:29 06:10:02 03:18:08 58% +42% -0% (3) 69
7 24 Kristin Liepold GER 09:30:21 09:42:20 01:04:12 05:17:10 06:26:22 03:03:59 83% +4% -13% (26) 57
8 32 Els Visser NED 09:32:29 09:49:39 00:57:53 04:58:51 06:01:44 03:30:45 76% +24% -0% (4) 67
9 27 Jessica Mitchell AUS 09:51:55 10:12:44 01:03:53 05:15:49 06:24:43 03:27:12 75% +13% -13% (10) 100
10 29 Chloe Lane AUS 09:58:30 10:20:45 00:58:57 05:17:07 06:21:05 03:37:25 n/a (1 IM Pro race) (111)
11 31 Kierra Sansome AUS 10:38:54 11:02:40 01:05:16 05:52:48 07:03:03 03:35:51 n/a (1 IM Pro race) (132)

Winning Odds

Male Race Participants

  • Terenzo Bozzone: 39% (2-1)
  • Braden Currie: 36% (2-1)
  • Mike Phillips: 12% (7-1)
  • Tim Van Berkel: 5% (17-1)
  • David Dellow: 3% (30-1)
  • Matt Burton: 3% (31-1)

Female Race Participants

  • Sarah True: 35% (2-1)
  • Sarah Crowley: 30% (2-1)
  • Kaisa Sali: 19% (4-1)
  • Teresa Adam: 16% (5-1)

Ironman Cairns 2019 (June 9th) – Entry List

Updates:

  • May 4th: Added Els Visser (WPRO) and Igor Amorelli, Jarrod Harvey, Thiago Vinhal (MPRO)
  • May 8th: Linsey Corbin indicated she no longer plans to race, I have crossed her name off the list.

Kona Slots and Prize Money

IM Cairns has 2m+2f +2u Pro Kona slots. It has a total prize purse of 150.000 US$, paying 10 deep.

Male Race Participants

Name Nation
Igor Amorelli BRA
Terenzo Bozzone (KQ) NZL
Matt Burton AUS
Braden Currie NZL
Alister Foot AUS
Jarrod Harvey AUS
Blake Kappler AUS
Tim Van Berkel AUS
Thiago Vinhal BRA
Justin Wendemuth AUS

Female Race Participants

Name Nation
Linsey Corbin (KQ) USA
Sarah Crowley (KQ) AUS
Claire Davis AUS
Chloe Lane AUS
Kristin Liepold GER
Kierra Sansome AUS
Sarah True USA
Els Visser NED
Kelsey Withrow USA

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