IM Cairns

Previous Winners

Year	Male Winner	Time	Female Winner	Time
2011	Chris McCormack (AUS)	08:15:56	Rebekah Keat (AUS)	09:26:31
2012	David Dellow (AUS)	08:15:04	Carrie Lester (AUS)	09:21:00
2013	Luke McKenzie (AUS)	08:17:43	Liz Blatchford (AUS)	09:19:51
2014	Cameron Brown (NZL)	08:20:15	Liz Blatchford (AUS)	09:16:58
2015	Luke McKenzie (AUS)	08:18:01	Liz Blatchford (AUS)	09:11:49
2016	Tim Van Berkel (AUS)	08:15:03	Jodie Cunnama (GBR)	09:06:18
2017	Josh Amberger (AUS)	08:02:17	Sarah Crowley (AUS)	08:58:14
2018	Braden Currie (NZL)	07:54:58	Teresa Adam (NZL)	08:53:16

Last Race’s TOP 3

Here’s the link to last year’s full results and analysis.

Male Race Results

Rank	Name	Nation	Swim	Bike	Run	Time
1	Braden Currie	NZL	00:46:45	04:24:52	02:39:59	07:54:58
2	Javier Gomez	ESP	00:46:41	04:25:08	02:41:02	07:56:38
3	Terenzo Bozzone	NZL	00:48:43	04:22:30	02:45:59	08:00:06

Female Race Results

Rank	Name	Nation	Swim	Bike	Run	Time
1	Teresa Adam	NZL	00:50:41	04:50:12	03:08:44	08:53:16
2	Mirinda Carfrae	AUS	01:01:05	04:50:30	03:03:19	08:59:17
3	Beth McKenzie	USA	01:01:38	05:01:26	02:55:23	09:03:10

Course Records

Leg	Gender	Record	Athlete	Date
Total	overall	07:54:58	Braden Currie	2018-06-10
Swim	overall	00:43:48	Clayton Fettell	2011-06-05
Bike	overall	04:15:13	Cameron Wurf	2017-06-11
Run	overall	02:39:59	Braden Currie	2018-06-10
Total	female	08:53:16	Teresa Adam	2018-06-10
Swim	female	00:48:39	Lauren Brandon	2018-06-10
Bike	female	04:50:00	Sarah Crowley	2017-06-11
Run	female	02:55:23	Beth McKenzie	2018-06-10

Course Rating

The Course Rating for IM Cairns is 06:15.

Race Adjustments for IM Cairns

Year	Adjustment	Swim Adj.	Bike Adj.	Run Adj.	# of Finishers	Rating	Swim Rating	Bike Rating	Run Rating
2011	06:26	01:37	03:27	01:22	16	06:26	01:37	03:27	01:22
2012	06:48	-00:36	08:46	-01:21	22	06:37	00:30	06:07	00:00
2013	02:58	-01:20	09:25	-05:07	16	05:24	-00:06	07:13	-01:42
2014	04:15	-02:15	03:45	02:45	16 of 21	05:07	-00:39	06:21	-00:36
2015	06:13	01:46	04:22	00:05	16 of 19	05:20	-00:10	05:57	-00:27
2016	-02:45	-01:09	-01:39	00:03	28 of 36	03:59	-00:19	04:42	-00:23
2017	12:13	-01:40	12:00	01:53	29 of 40	05:10	-00:31	05:44	-00:03
2018	13:54	-00:14	12:52	01:17	26 of 33	06:15	-00:29	06:37	00:07

Kona slots and Prize Money

IM Cairns has 2m+2f +2u Pro Kona slot(s). It has a total prize purse of 150.000 US$, paying 10 deep. With the current number, an even split of Kona slots seems likely (i.e. 3 slots for the male Pros and 3 for females).

Male Race Participants

The strength of the field is 29% of a typical Kona field.

#	Bib	Name	Nat	Expected	Rating	ESwim	EBike	ET2	ERun	Consistency	Overall
1	1	Braden Currie	NZL	08:06:06	08:18:14	00:47:35	04:28:01	05:20:36	02:45:30	52% +23% -24% (8)	12
2	2	Terenzo Bozzone (KQ)	NZL	08:07:27	08:20:30	00:48:35	04:24:06	05:17:40	02:49:47	61% +14% -25% (19)	20
3	4	Mike Phillips (KQ)	NZL	08:12:01	08:19:09	00:49:08	04:27:48	05:21:56	02:50:05	75% +10% -15% (7)	13
4	3	Tim Van Berkel	AUS	08:15:24	08:26:28	00:48:39	04:30:31	05:24:10	02:51:14	87% +7% -6% (25)	35
5	5	Matt Burton	AUS	08:15:41	08:34:43	00:52:48	04:22:09	05:19:57	02:55:44	15% +49% -36% (11)	59
6	6	David Dellow	AUS	08:15:59	08:29:15	00:47:57	04:30:35	05:23:31	02:52:28	58% +1% -41% (19)	(49)
7	9	Igor Amorelli	BRA	08:26:51	08:37:25	00:48:02	04:28:40	05:21:43	03:05:08	58% +7% -35% (20)	71
8	8	Thiago Vinhal	BRA	08:33:31	08:41:17	00:49:54	04:43:31	05:38:25	02:55:06	54% +25% -21% (17)	85
9	7	Luke Bell	AUS	08:37:45	08:48:25	00:48:19	04:34:21	05:27:40	03:10:05	29% +5% -65% (35)	(106)
10	10	Blake Kappler	AUS	08:44:29	09:04:00	00:51:46	04:34:43	05:31:29	03:13:00	56% +0% -44% (2)	(165)
11	12	Jarrod Harvey *	AUS	09:03:31	09:23:44	00:55:16	04:51:41	05:51:57	03:11:34	n/a (1 IM Pro race)	(219)
	11	Alister Foot	AUS	n/a	unrated	unrated	unrated	unrated	unrated	n/a (no IM Pro race)	(n/a)
	14	Justin Wendemuth	AUS	n/a	unrated	unrated	unrated	unrated	unrated	n/a (1 IM Pro race)	(n/a)

Note: Athletes with a ‘*’ are also registered for another race within 8 days.

Female Race Participants

The strength of the field is 16% of a typical Kona field.

#	Bib	Name	Nat	Expected	Rating	ESwim	EBike	ET2	ERun	Consistency	Overall
1	22	Sarah True	USA	08:50:33	09:02:47	00:51:36	04:59:05	05:55:41	02:54:52	47% +53% -0% (2)	(3)
2	23	Kaisa Sali	FIN	08:59:46	09:04:45	00:57:05	04:54:31	05:56:37	03:03:09	100% +0% -0% (9)	4
3	21	Sarah Crowley (KQ)	AUS	09:01:15	09:10:05	00:54:50	04:54:02	05:53:52	03:07:23	40% +60% -0% (8)	6
4	20	Teresa Adam	NZL	09:04:40	09:12:19	00:50:45	04:58:03	05:53:48	03:10:52	100% +0% -0% (4)	8
5	26	Melanie Burke	NZL	09:25:46	09:37:26	01:05:00	05:00:58	06:10:58	03:14:48	85% +14% -2% (17)	49
6	25	Kelsey Withrow	USA	09:28:10	09:50:46	00:53:32	05:11:29	06:10:02	03:18:08	58% +42% -0% (3)	69
7	24	Kristin Liepold	GER	09:30:21	09:42:20	01:04:12	05:17:10	06:26:22	03:03:59	83% +4% -13% (26)	57
8	32	Els Visser	NED	09:32:29	09:49:39	00:57:53	04:58:51	06:01:44	03:30:45	76% +24% -0% (4)	67
9	27	Jessica Mitchell	AUS	09:51:55	10:12:44	01:03:53	05:15:49	06:24:43	03:27:12	75% +13% -13% (10)	100
10	29	Chloe Lane	AUS	09:58:30	10:20:45	00:58:57	05:17:07	06:21:05	03:37:25	n/a (1 IM Pro race)	(111)
11	31	Kierra Sansome	AUS	10:38:54	11:02:40	01:05:16	05:52:48	07:03:03	03:35:51	n/a (1 IM Pro race)	(132)

Winning Odds

Male Race Participants

• Terenzo Bozzone: 39% (2-1)
• Braden Currie: 36% (2-1)
• Mike Phillips: 12% (7-1)
• Tim Van Berkel: 5% (17-1)
• David Dellow: 3% (30-1)
• Matt Burton: 3% (31-1)

Female Race Participants

• Sarah True: 35% (2-1)
• Sarah Crowley: 30% (2-1)
• Kaisa Sali: 19% (4-1)
• Teresa Adam: 16% (5-1)

Updates:

• May 4th: Added Els Visser (WPRO) and Igor Amorelli, Jarrod Harvey, Thiago Vinhal (MPRO)
• May 8th: Linsey Corbin indicated she no longer plans to race, I have crossed her name off the list.

Kona Slots and Prize Money

IM Cairns has 2m+2f +2u Pro Kona slots. It has a total prize purse of 150.000 US$, paying 10 deep.

Male Race Participants

Name	Nation
Igor Amorelli	BRA
Terenzo Bozzone (KQ)	NZL
Matt Burton	AUS
Braden Currie	NZL
Alister Foot	AUS
Jarrod Harvey	AUS
Blake Kappler	AUS
Tim Van Berkel	AUS
Thiago Vinhal	BRA
Justin Wendemuth	AUS

Female Race Participants

Name	Nation
Linsey Corbin (KQ)	USA
Sarah Crowley (KQ)	AUS
Claire Davis	AUS
Chloe Lane	AUS
Kristin Liepold	GER
Kierra Sansome	AUS
Sarah True	USA
Els Visser	NED
Kelsey Withrow	USA

Course Conditions

The racing in Cairns was fast and furious across the board, and the conditions favored quick times especially on the bike (even though no new bike course records were set). An adjustment of 13:54 is the fastest I have seen on this course. 

There were a number of new course records: Winners Teresa Adam and Braden Currie set new overall records (improving the times set by Sarah Crowley and Josh Amberger just one year ago). Lauren Brandon claimed another swim course record, and there were also run course records by Beth McKenzie (first sub-3 run in Cairns) and Braden Currie (with the first sub-2:40). 

Male Race Results

Rank	Name	Nation	Swim	Bike	Run	Time	Diff to exp.	Prize Money	KPR Points
1	Braden Currie	NZL	00:46:45	04:24:52	02:39:59	07:54:58	-22:33	US$ 30,000	4000
2	Javier Gomez	ESP	00:46:41	04:25:08	02:41:02	07:56:38	n/a	US$ 15,000	3400
3	Terenzo Bozzone	NZL	00:48:43	04:22:30	02:45:59	08:00:06	-06:26	US$ 8,000	2890
4	Timothy O’Donnell	USA	00:46:42	04:24:58	02:46:00	08:00:54	-08:50	US$ 6,500	2455
5	Denis Chevrot	FRA	00:48:46	04:22:17	02:52:59	08:07:25	-14:09	US$ 5,000	2090
6	Kyle Buckingham	ZAF	00:48:52	04:22:47	02:57:31	08:12:38	-02:57	US$ 3,500	1670
7	Tim Van Berkel	AUS	00:48:47	04:25:38	02:57:28	08:15:11	07:04	US$ 2,500	1335
8	Tim Reed	AUS	00:48:49	04:22:46	03:02:46	08:17:48	-00:12	US$ 2,000	1070
9	David Plese	SLO	00:55:02	04:26:51	02:51:36	08:18:35	01:24	US$ 1,500	855
10	Callum Millward	NZL	00:48:53	04:35:56	02:51:34	08:19:51	-01:42	US$ 1,000	685
11	Daniil Sapunov	UKR	00:48:51	04:38:15	03:09:51	08:40:43	11:00		515
12	Balazs Csoke	HUN	00:48:50	04:50:34	03:04:22	08:48:02	-07:38		385
13	Casey Munro	AUS	00:46:48	04:49:20	03:07:59	08:48:18	14:44		290
14	Jason Hall	NZL	00:53:04	05:01:34	02:58:14	08:57:04	n/a		215
15	David Mainwaring	AUS	00:53:07	04:58:36	03:33:02	09:28:54	n/a		160
16	Lachlan Kerin	AUS	00:48:42	04:42:20	04:08:58	09:45:32	41:23		120
17	Ryan Palazzi	AUS	00:53:01	04:55:04	04:26:54	10:19:24	1:05:32		90
	Clayton Fettell	AUS	00:46:42	04:34:33		DNF
	Bryce McMaster	NZL	00:55:59	05:50:57		DNF
	Luke McKenzie	AUS	00:48:46			DNF
	Mike Phillips	NZL	00:52:35			DNF
	Blake Kappler	AUS	00:54:39			DNF
	Leigh Stabryla	AUS	01:03:16			DNF

Female Race Results

Rank	Name	Nation	Swim	Bike	Run	Time	Diff to exp.	Prize Money	KPR Points
1	Teresa Adam	NZL	00:50:41	04:50:12	03:08:44	08:53:16	-08:25	US$ 30,000	4000
2	Mirinda Carfrae	AUS	01:01:05	04:50:30	03:03:19	08:59:17	09:23	US$ 15,000	3400
3	Beth McKenzie	USA	01:01:38	05:01:26	02:55:23	09:03:10	-10:54	US$ 8,000	2890
4	Gurutze Frades Larralde	ESP	01:01:36	05:01:34	03:02:58	09:09:52	-15:41	US$ 6,500	2455
5	Melanie Burke	NZL	01:01:39	04:56:49	03:10:06	09:12:31	-21:27	US$ 5,000	2090
6	Asa Lundstroem	SWE	01:01:35	05:01:46	03:12:05	09:18:57	06:19	US$ 3,500	1670
7	Lauren Brandon	USA	00:48:39	04:57:38	03:30:21	09:20:28	-01:39	US$ 2,500	1335
8	Amanda Wilson	AUS	01:01:13	05:14:03	03:21:10	09:40:51	n/a	US$ 2,000	1070
9	Sue Huse	CAN	01:06:41	05:35:10	03:20:05	10:06:48	44:46	US$ 1,500	855
	Anja Beranek	GER	00:55:51	05:01:12		DNF

Kona Qualifying

Here’s the athletes that have significantly improved their chances for a July slot:

• Automatic Qualifiers: Teresa Adam, Braden Currie, Mirinda Carfrae (Kona winner, now validated)
• Safe: Gurutze Frades, Javier Gomez, Tim O’Donnell
• Bubble (might be enough): Tim Reed, Callum Millard, Denis Chevrot (all of them already have four races in their total, so it’ll be hard for them to improve without doing another Ironman)
• Close (more points needed): Melanie Burke, Asa Lundstroem

In addition to these, Terenzo Bozzone, Tim Van Berkel, and Kyle Buckingham already had secured their slots before Cairns.

Previous Winners

Year	Male Winner	Time	Female Winner	Time
2011	Chris McCormack (AUS)	08:15:56	Rebekah Keat (AUS)	09:26:31
2012	David Dellow (AUS)	08:15:04	Carrie Lester (AUS)	09:21:00
2013	Luke McKenzie (AUS)	08:17:43	Liz Blatchford (AUS)	09:19:51
2014	Cameron Brown (NZL)	08:20:15	Liz Blatchford (AUS)	09:16:58
2015	Luke McKenzie (AUS)	08:18:01	Liz Blatchford (AUS)	09:11:49
2016	Tim Van Berkel (AUS)	08:15:03	Jodie Cunnama (GBR)	09:06:18
2017	Josh Amberger (AUS)	08:02:17	Sarah Crowley (AUS)	08:58:14

Last Year’s TOP 3

Here’s the link to the full results and my analysis of IM Cairns 2017.

Male Race Results

Rank	Name	Nation	Swim	Bike	Run	Time
1	Josh Amberger	AUS	00:47:15	04:17:29	02:53:26	08:02:17
2	Joe Gambles	AUS	00:50:02	04:25:19	02:44:30	08:04:03
3	Braden Currie	NZL	00:49:46	04:26:12	02:47:56	08:07:46

Female Race Results

Rank	Name	Nation	Swim	Bike	Run	Time
1	Sarah Crowley	AUS	00:57:06	04:50:00	03:06:01	08:58:14
2	Sarah Piampiano	USA	01:05:38	04:52:58	03:02:49	09:08:20
3	Kristin Moeller	GER	01:05:22	05:00:50	03:03:29	09:14:08

Course Records

Leg	Gender	Record	Athlete	Date
Total	overall	08:02:17	Josh Amberger	2017-06-11
Swim	overall	00:43:48	Clayton Fettell	2011-06-05
Bike	overall	04:15:13	Cameron Wurf	2017-06-11
Run	overall	02:44:24	Tim Van Berkel	2013-06-01
Total	female	08:58:14	Sarah Crowley	2017-06-11
Swim	female	00:49:06	Jodie Cunnama	2016-06-12
Bike	female	04:50:00	Sarah Crowley	2017-06-11
Run	female	03:02:01	Linsey Corbin	2016-06-12

Course Rating

The Course Rating for IM Cairns is 05:10.

Race Adjustments for IM Cairns

Year	Adjustment	Swim Adj.	Bike Adj.	Run Adj.	# of Finishers	Rating	Swim Rating	Bike Rating	Run Rating
2011	06:26	01:41	03:54	01:36	16	06:26	01:41	03:54	01:36
2012	06:49	-00:44	08:11	-01:50	22	06:37	00:28	06:02	-00:07
2013	02:58	-01:34	08:26	-05:54	16	05:24	-00:12	06:50	-02:03
2014	04:15	-02:18	03:33	02:35	16 of 21	05:07	-00:44	06:01	-00:53
2015	06:14	01:44	04:18	00:00	16 of 19	05:20	-00:14	05:40	-00:43
2016	-02:45	-00:12	03:18	03:15	28 of 36	03:59	-00:14	05:17	-00:03
2017	12:14	-01:01	15:23	04:00	29 of 40	05:10	-00:21	06:43	00:32

KPR points and Prize Money

IM Cairns is a P-4000 race. It has a total prize purse of 150.000 US$, paying 10 deep.

Male Race Participants

The strength of the field is 35% of a typical Kona field.

#	Bib	Name	Nat	Expected	Rating	ESwim	EBike	ET2	ERun	Consistency	Overall
1	4	Terenzo Bozzone	NZL	08:10:58	08:18:54	00:48:34	04:25:11	05:18:45	02:52:13	61% +27% -13% (16)	13
2	6	Tim Van Berkel	AUS	08:14:05	08:20:52	00:48:20	04:31:19	05:24:39	02:49:26	84% +9% -7% (24)	16
3	5	Timothy O’Donnell	USA	08:14:08	08:22:07	00:47:51	04:26:35	05:19:26	02:54:42	48% +31% -21% (16)	20
4	11	David Dellow	AUS	08:17:00	08:29:15	00:47:58	04:31:25	05:24:23	02:52:37	58% +1% -41% (19)	41
5	15	Mike Phillips *	NZL	08:17:15	08:27:21	00:50:01	04:27:44	05:22:45	02:54:30	66% +34% -0% (3)	33
6	3	Braden Currie	NZL	08:17:59	08:34:51	00:48:16	04:32:53	05:26:10	02:51:49	27% +18% -55% (5)	63
7	2	Luke McKenzie	AUS	08:20:08	08:28:06	00:48:33	04:26:20	05:19:54	03:00:14	61% +11% -27% (31)	36
8	10	Cameron Wurf	AUS	08:22:23	08:30:41	00:50:10	04:17:58	05:13:08	03:09:15	53% +36% -10% (10)	50
9	8	Kyle Buckingham	ZAF	08:23:17	08:28:16	00:50:00	04:34:08	05:29:08	02:54:09	71% +10% -19% (15)	37
10	19	Michael Fox	AUS	08:24:40	08:42:16	00:48:12	04:35:06	05:28:19	02:56:21	66% +9% -25% (7)	84
11	9	Eneko Llanos	ESP	08:26:04	08:29:59	00:49:18	04:29:00	05:23:18	03:02:46	87% +0% -13% (34)	45
12	7	Tim Reed	AUS	08:26:19	08:30:49	00:49:07	04:33:32	05:27:40	02:58:39	54% +19% -27% (7)	52
13	22	David Plese	SLO	08:27:48	08:30:01	00:53:30	04:35:01	05:33:30	02:54:18	79% +7% -13% (24)	46
14	14	Callum Millward	NZL	08:28:58	08:34:25	00:49:45	04:36:14	05:30:59	02:57:59	77% +0% -23% (10)	62
15	17	Denis Chevrot	FRA	08:30:17	08:39:15	00:47:52	04:38:29	05:31:22	02:58:55	65% +4% -32% (14)	78
16	28	Thiago Vinhal	BRA	08:32:14	08:45:36	00:49:15	04:42:28	05:36:43	02:55:31	47% +47% -6% (14)	92
17	12	Daniil Sapunov *	UKR	08:33:30	08:48:22	00:48:58	04:42:32	05:36:31	02:56:59	68% +7% -25% (10)	108
18	16	Clayton Fettell	AUS	08:36:53	08:42:17	00:46:14	04:32:18	05:23:31	03:13:22	60% +10% -30% (12)	85
19	27	Casey Munro	AUS	08:42:16	09:25:12	00:47:30	04:35:52	05:28:22	03:13:54	11% +0% -89% (8)	(225)
20	18	Balazs Csoke	HUN	08:59:51	09:18:39	00:48:31	04:53:50	05:47:21	03:12:30	30% +8% -63% (29)	205
21	24	Lachlan Kerin	AUS	09:08:21	09:41:56	00:53:13	04:50:29	05:48:43	03:19:38	7% +23% -70% (5)	(263)
22	21	Leigh Stabryla	AUS	09:08:59	09:27:39	00:50:03	05:11:47	06:06:50	03:02:09	37% +0% -63% (5)	232
23	29	Ryan Palazzi	AUS	09:24:22	09:58:53	00:50:48	04:49:21	05:45:09	03:39:13	26% +0% -74% (3)	(278)
24	26	Bryce McMaster	NZL	10:34:26	11:11:42	00:52:52	05:49:14	06:47:06	03:47:20	33% +0% -67% (2)	(300)
25	30	Aleksander Kochetkov *	LTU	10:49:11	11:11:58	01:09:44	05:37:00	06:51:44	03:57:27	n/a (1 IM Pro race)	(300)
	1	Javier Gomez	ESP	n/a	unrated	unrated	unrated	unrated	unrated	n/a (no IM Pro race)	(n/a)
	20	Jason Hall	NZL	n/a	unrated	unrated	unrated	unrated	unrated	n/a (no IM Pro race)	(n/a)
	23	Blake Kappler	AUS	n/a	unrated	unrated	unrated	unrated	unrated	n/a (no IM Pro race)	(n/a)
	25	David Mainwaring	AUS	n/a	unrated	unrated	unrated	unrated	unrated	n/a (no IM Pro race)	(n/a)

Note: Athletes with a ‘*’ are also registered for another race within 8 days.

Female Race Participants

The strength of the field is 26% of a typical Kona field.

Sarah Crowley is already training in Switzerland and will race IM Frankfurt to validate her Kona slot.

#	Bib	Name	Nat	Expected	Rating	ESwim	EBike	ET2	ERun	Consistency	Overall
1	32	Mirinda Carfrae	AUS	08:57:08	09:01:36	00:56:09	05:00:53	06:02:02	02:55:06	59% +12% -29% (15)	(2)
2	31	Sarah Crowley	AUS	09:05:00	09:17:13	00:55:31	04:56:03	05:56:34	03:08:26	35% +65% -0% (6)	9
3	40	Teresa Adam	NZL	09:12:51	09:32:15	00:50:49	05:04:05	05:59:54	03:12:57	n/a (1 IM Pro race)	(36)
4	39	Beth McKenzie	USA	09:16:21	09:28:03	01:00:34	05:09:53	06:15:27	03:00:54	38% +50% -11% (13)	(32)
5	37	Anja Beranek	GER	09:18:33	09:23:56	00:52:35	04:56:31	05:54:06	03:24:27	68% +4% -27% (12)	23
6	33	Asa Lundstroem	SWE	09:21:44	09:27:02	01:01:51	05:01:08	06:07:59	03:13:45	98% +2% -0% (18)	29
7	34	Lauren Brandon	USA	09:32:02	09:36:33	00:48:19	05:03:33	05:56:52	03:35:10	46% +0% -54% (6)	41
8	36	Gurutze Frades Larralde	ESP	09:32:22	09:39:43	01:01:29	05:11:57	06:18:26	03:13:56	76% +14% -10% (11)	50
9	38	Sue Huse	CAN	09:35:00	09:55:10	unrated	unrated	unrated	unrated	n/a (1 IM Pro race)	(79)
10	35	Melanie Burke	NZL	09:36:57	09:48:12	01:04:44	05:08:33	06:18:16	03:18:41	86% +8% -6% (12)	63
11	41	Jessica Mitchell	AUS	09:47:21	10:11:29	01:04:06	05:13:21	06:22:26	03:24:55	68% +32% -0% (6)	107
12	42	Alise Selsmark *	AUS	09:50:44	10:11:27	00:54:29	05:25:04	06:24:33	03:26:11	n/a (1 IM Pro race)	(107)
	43	Amanda Wilson	AUS	n/a	unrated	unrated	unrated	unrated	unrated	n/a (no IM Pro race)	(n/a)

Note: Athletes with a ‘*’ are also registered for another race within 8 days.

Winning Odds

Male Race Participants

• Terenzo Bozzone: 41% (1-1)
• Tim Van Berkel: 17% (5-1)
• Timothy O’Donnell: 14% (6-1)
• Luke McKenzie: 8% (11-1)
• Mike Phillips: 6% (15-1)
• Braden Currie: 4% (22-1)
• David Dellow: 4% (23-1)

In addition to these established athletes, there is Javier Gomez who will race in his first Ironman-distance race who has also to be considered for the win. (I have tried to come up with a data-based guess for a possible Cairns finish time for him in my post “Trying to Predict Ironman Times from 70.3 Ratings“. The result was a range of times between 8:00 and 8:30.)

Female Race Participants

• Mirinda Carfrae: 40% (1-1)
• Sarah Crowley: 39% (2-1)
• Beth McKenzie: 13% (6-1)
• Asa Lundstroem: 4% (27-1)
• Anja Beranek: 2% (43-1)

Updates May 3rd:

• WPRO: Added Teresa Adam, Anja Beranek, Liz Blatchford, Sarah Crowley, Jessie Donavan, Gurutze Frades Larralde, Dede Griesbauer, Alise Selsmark
  In addition Lauren Brandon posted on Twitter that she’ll be racing Cairns as well.
• MPRO: Added Terenzo Bozzone, Braden Currie, Javier Gomez, Urs Mueller, David Plese, Tim Van Berkel, Thiago Vinhal, Cameron Wurf
• Josh Amberger and Angela Naeth are no longer on the most recent startlist, for now I have left them in the tables below but have added a “*” to their names.

Male Race Participants

Name	Nation	KPR points	KPR races
Terenzo Bozzone	NZL	10000	3+1 (2000/1275)
Tim Van Berkel	AUS	5510	3+1 (1280/400)
Cameron Wurf	AUS	5335	3+0 (880/0)
Josh Amberger *	AUS	4380	2+1
Javier Gomez	ESP	3920	0+2 (0/920)
Callum Millward	NZL	2580	2+2 (305/135)
Luke McKenzie	AUS	2115	1+1
Braden Currie	NZL	2065	1+2 (340/640)
Thiago Vinhal	BRA	1900	1+0
Timothy O’Donnell	USA	1400	1+2 (565/400)
Denis Chevrot	FRA	735	1+1
David Plese	SLO	675	1+2 (385/35)
Daniil Sapunov	UKR	611	1+2 (70/1)
Urs Mueller	SUI	575	2+0
Balazs Csoke	HUN	405	1+0
Leigh Stabryla	AUS	315	2+1
David Dellow	AUS	220	0+1
David Mainwaring	AUS	30	0+1
Clayton Fettell	AUS	0	0+0
Jason Hall	NZL	0	0+0
Aleksander Kochetkov	LTU	0	0+0
Bryce McMaster	NZL	0	0+0

Female Race Participants

Name	Nation	KPR points	KPR races
Sarah Crowley	AUS	6480	1+0
Gurutze Frades Larralde	ESP	2410	2+1
Jessie Donavan	USA	2165	2+1
Camilla Lindholm Borg	SWE	2000	2+0
Anja Beranek	GER	1860	1+2 (960/400)
Asa Lundstroem	SWE	1780	2+1
Teresa Adam	NZL	1600	1+0
Dede Griesbauer	USA	1500	1+1
Angela Naeth *	CAN	1425	0+2 (0/640)
Alise Selsmark	AUS	1175	1+2 (960/75)
Liz Blatchford	AUS	785	0+1
Amanda Wilson	AUS	500	0+2 (0/220)
Mirinda Carfrae	AUS	400	0+1