Archive | IM Sweden

Ironman Sweden 2017 – Analyzing Results

IMSweden_LogoRace Conditions

Conditions in Sweden sounded decent – not too hot or cold, but probably a bit too windy for really fast times. After a new swim course record (Clemente Alonso’s 47:29 was faster than Andy Boecherer’s time from 2012 by more than a minute) Cameron Wurf posted a new bike course – he improved on the 2012 time (when the bike course was likely a bit short) by KJ Danielsson by more than 10 minutes! Clemente’s 8:07 was the second fastest ever in Sweden (after Jan Raphael’s 2012 winning time on what was a different – and likely shorter – course).

Male Race Results

Clemente Alonso was first out of the water, but it took Cameron Wurf only 60k to make up his three minute difference after the swim. Cam then continued to ride faster than everyone else, posted a new bike course record and entered T2 with an eight minute gap to Clemente and Swedish hopeful KJ Danielsson. Cam ran an even marathon pace, but Clemente was slowly eating into his lead. By 30k Clemente surged past Cam, but was never quite able to clearly gap him. Clemente won his first IM since IM Barcelona in 2014 (and a long time dealing with injuries) in front of Cam who was just over a minute behind at the finish. Third place went to Esben Hovgaard who overtook KJ in the last 4k of the run.

Rank Name Nation Swim Bike Run Time Diff to exp. Prize Money KPR Points
1 Clemente Alonso McKernan ESP 00:47:29 04:24:55 02:50:23 08:07:48 -05:40 US$ 15,000 2000
2 Cameron Wurf AUS 00:50:20 04:14:27 03:00:38 08:08:58 -19:41 US$ 7,500 1600
3 Esben Hovgaard DEN 00:51:25 04:32:37 02:58:03 08:25:18 -06:56 US$ 5,000 1280
4 Karl-Johan Danielsson SWE 00:50:13 04:23:13 03:12:05 08:28:32 -13:17 US$ 3,250 960
5 Daniil Sapunov UKR 00:47:33 04:41:25 03:01:23 08:34:02 03:33 US$ 2,750 720
6 Andrey Lyatskiy RUS 00:51:26 04:50:30 02:58:51 08:44:16 -02:15 US$ 2,000 540
7 Michael Smith Larsen DEN 00:55:25 04:37:29 03:10:00 08:46:09 04:39 US$ 1,500 405
8 Jonas Oerarbaeck SWE 00:58:43 04:44:01 03:03:01 08:49:21 n/a US$ 1,250 305
9 Pascal Ramali GER 00:58:49 04:30:31 03:16:05 08:49:44 01:02 US$ 1,000 230
10 Marcus Hultgren SWE 00:54:06 04:38:40 03:14:29 08:51:19 -24:14 US$ 750 170
11 Luiz Feliz ESP 01:01:11 04:38:15 03:09:33 08:53:00 n/a 120
12 Mike Schifferle SUI 00:58:59 04:41:01 03:09:43 08:55:16 01:58 85
13 Erik Holmberg SWE 00:51:21 04:32:42 03:29:27 08:56:16 01:11 60
14 Emanuele Ciotti ITA 00:51:23 04:55:25 03:06:43 08:58:47 -28:20 40
15 Lukas Polan CZE 00:59:03 05:10:12 03:24:14 09:39:10 06:40 30
16 Marek Nemcik SVK 01:08:45 05:31:20 04:38:43 11:27:57 -03:44 20
Andreas Linden SWE 00:51:20 04:32:41 DNF
Bekim Christensen DEN 00:58:53 04:29:25 DNF
Martin Olsson SWE 01:01:04 04:41:06 DNF
Markus Liebelt GER 00:50:15 DNF
Rasmus Fitzner DEN 00:55:19 DNF

Kona Qualifying Implications

As Sweden is one of the last races before the August cutoff, a few Kona Qualifying decisions have been determined:

  • Cameron Wurf finished second, exactly the minimum result he needed to be secure for a Kona slot. Congratulations!
  • Giulio Molinari and Denis Chevrot were on the start list but decided not to race, but even without adding points this weekend they are also safe for a slot.
  • Esben Hovgaard and Daniil Sapunov were also in the running for a slot, but they finished one rank behind what they would have needed to make it into the bubble. They are now 14th and 17th in the August KPR (before IM Mont Tremblant), so don’t have a chance for a slot without a massive number of rolldowns.

Ironman Sweden 2017 (August 19th) – Seedings

IMSweden_LogoUpdate Aug 16th: A few potential qualifiers have indicated that they won’t be racing, I have crossed them out in the list below.

Update Aug 18th: A few more DNS after the Pro Meeting sign-in.

Previous Winners

Year Male Winner Time Female Winner Time
2012 Jan Raphael (GER) 08:04:01 Asa Lundstroem (SWE) 09:13:27
2013 Pedro Gomes (POR) 08:19:30 Jodie Cunnama (GBR) 08:54:01
2014 Horst Reichel (GER) 08:13:01 Leanda Cave (GBR) 08:56:50
2015 Patrik Nilsson (SWE) 08:08:05 Astrid Stienen (GER) 09:12:27
2016 Kristin Moeller (GER) 09:14:39

Last Year’s TOP 3

Female Race Results

Rank Name Nation Swim Bike Run Time
1 Kristin Moeller GER 01:02:48 05:12:09 02:55:09 09:14:39
2 Lucie Reed CZE 00:54:03 05:11:35 03:11:11 09:21:31
3 Carolin Lehrieder GER 00:57:47 05:01:25 03:22:15 09:24:30

Course Records

Leg Gender Record Athlete Date
Total overall 08:04:01 Jan Raphael 2012-08-18
Swim overall 00:48:15 Andi Boecherer 2012-08-18
Bike overall 04:24:20 Karl-Johan Danielsson 2012-08-18
Run overall 02:44:18 Viktor Zyemtsev 2014-08-16
Total female 08:54:01 Jodie Cunnama 2013-08-17
Swim female 00:48:30 Jodie Cunnama 2013-08-17
Bike female 04:48:42 Helene Malmkvist 2012-08-18
Run female 02:55:09 Kristin Moeller 2016-08-20

Course Rating

The Course Rating for IM Sweden is 18:18.

Race Adjustments for IM Sweden

Year Adjustment Swim Adj. Bike Adj. Run Adj. # of Finishers Rating Swim Rating Bike Rating Run Rating
2012 32:30 00:42 23:32 09:15 29 32:30 00:42 23:32 09:15
2013 15:19 00:21 08:58 07:16 30 23:55 00:31 16:15 08:16
2014 15:09 -00:15 06:26 05:07 24 of 27 21:00 00:16 12:59 07:13
2015 03:15 -02:45 03:10 02:45 19 of 21 16:34 -00:29 10:32 06:06
2016 25:15 -00:40 14:00 06:23 5 18:18 -00:31 11:13 06:09

KPR points and Prize Money

IM Sweden is a P-2000 race. It is an MPRO-only race and has a total prize purse of 40.000 US$.

Male Race Participants

The strength of the field is 12% of a typical Kona field.

There is a number of athletes that probably planned to do IM Sweden in case they missed qualifying (such as Thiago Vinhal, David Plese, Mark Duelsen or Daniel Fontana). As indicated by the “*” a lot of athletes have also registered for other Ironman races a week before or even on the same weekend. It is quite likely that there will be some changes before race day.

Rank Bib Name Nation Expected Time Rating Exp. Swim Exp. Bike Exp. T2 Exp. Run Consistency Overall
1 18 Clemente Alonso McKernan ESP 08:06:33 08:40:41 00:47:57 04:28:34 05:21:31 02:45:02 31% +7% -62% (16) (74)
2 36 Giulio Molinari * ITA 08:11:54 08:31:54 00:49:10 04:21:36 05:15:47 02:56:07 100% +0% -0% (3) 43
3 15 Michael Weiss * AUT 08:12:10 08:34:12 00:54:26 04:19:35 05:19:01 02:53:09 94% +5% -1% (18) 51
4 20 David Plese SLO 08:14:50 08:33:49 00:53:16 04:27:46 05:26:01 02:48:49 86% +9% -5% (22) 48
5 27 Denis Chevrot FRA 08:15:32 08:31:44 00:47:45 04:33:24 05:26:08 02:49:24 72% +5% -23% (12) 42
6 38 Marc Duelsen GER 08:18:39 08:41:09 00:51:38 04:31:16 05:27:55 02:50:44 86% +0% -14% (10) 76
7 30 Daniel Fontana ITA 08:18:40 08:35:48 00:49:26 04:32:27 05:26:53 02:51:47 74% +0% -26% (16) 55
8 25 Markus Fachbach * GER 08:19:44 08:35:48 00:50:56 04:30:09 05:26:05 02:53:39 69% +1% -31% (20) 55
9 22 Alberto Casadei * ITA 08:20:23 08:49:52 00:48:23 04:37:22 05:30:45 02:49:38 28% +22% -49% (11) 101
10 26 Cameron Wurf AUS 08:20:41 08:45:48 00:49:56 04:16:52 05:11:48 03:08:53 31% +49% -20% (6) 90
11 21 Daniil Sapunov UKR 08:22:47 08:48:15 00:48:54 04:38:28 05:32:23 02:50:24 85% +15% -0% (6) 96
12 4 Justin Daerr USA 08:23:00 08:41:20 00:53:06 04:34:38 05:32:44 02:50:16 65% +5% -30% (32) 77
13 17 Esben Hovgaard * DEN 08:24:44 08:49:49 00:53:14 04:31:14 05:29:28 02:55:16 56% +29% -16% (12) 100
14 10 Andreas Linden SWE 08:27:19 09:10:31 00:59:12 04:17:40 05:21:52 03:05:27 21% +0% -79% (3) (174)
15 24 Thiago Vinhal * BRA 08:29:12 08:57:06 00:49:56 04:42:08 05:37:04 02:52:08 58% +34% -8% (13) 134
16 1 Karl-Johan Danielsson SWE 08:29:53 08:59:35 00:50:39 04:27:08 05:22:47 03:07:06 38% +24% -38% (14) 141
17 32 Harry Wiltshire * GBR 08:31:48 09:08:10 00:48:06 04:40:27 05:33:33 02:58:15 22% +15% -63% (23) 167
18 39 Nick Baldwin * SEY 08:35:39 09:10:53 00:54:03 04:34:58 05:34:01 03:01:38 53% +0% -47% (20) 175
19 8 Markus Liebelt * GER 08:37:29 09:09:07 00:55:34 04:31:24 05:31:58 03:05:31 n/a (1 IM Pro race) (171)
20 19 Andrey Lyatskiy RUS 08:38:02 08:59:19 00:50:33 04:43:49 05:39:22 02:58:40 90% +3% -7% (29) 139
21 2 Michael Smith Larsen DEN 08:38:49 09:10:32 00:58:36 04:35:35 05:39:10 02:59:39 n/a (1 IM Pro race) (175)
22 31 Cedric Lassonde FRA 08:40:44 09:05:19 00:55:37 04:40:15 05:40:52 02:59:52 73% +0% -27% (10) 160
23 33 Pascal Ramali GER 08:42:42 09:12:31 01:00:12 04:32:52 05:38:04 03:04:38 34% +0% -66% (5) 180
24 16 Mike Schifferle * SUI 08:47:12 09:06:06 01:00:54 04:40:30 05:46:25 03:00:47 89% +9% -2% (66) 162
25 11 Erik Holmberg SWE 08:52:15 09:24:48 00:53:40 04:48:07 05:46:47 03:05:28 42% +0% -58% (2) (212)
26 5 Olivier Esser BEL 09:01:48 09:34:56 00:55:20 04:50:51 05:51:11 03:10:37 n/a (1 IM Pro race) (242)
27 3 Antony Costes * FRA 09:03:10 09:41:02 00:49:14 04:28:27 05:22:42 03:40:28 28% +0% -72% (7) 254
28 37 Marcus Hultgren SWE 09:05:20 09:34:12 00:58:29 04:48:28 05:51:57 03:13:23 18% +29% -53% (6) 239
29 23 Bekim Christensen DEN 09:05:50 09:50:51 01:05:10 04:47:03 05:57:13 03:08:37 11% +0% -89% (3) (269)
30 7 Lukas Polan * CZE 09:17:24 09:57:42 01:03:15 04:56:24 06:04:39 03:12:45 19% +31% -50% (15) 282
31 9 Emanuele Ciotti ITA 09:18:10 09:46:04 00:53:18 04:48:40 05:46:58 03:31:12 44% +0% -56% (6) 261
32 34 Michal Ivanco * SVK 09:44:21 10:26:54 01:19:35 05:02:14 06:26:49 03:17:32 50% +0% -50% (2) (297)
33 35 Marek Nemcik * SVK 10:58:33 11:57:35 01:12:03 05:30:20 06:47:23 04:11:10 25% +24% -50% (41) 308
6 Vincent Morizot FRA n/a unrated unrated unrated unrated unrated n/a (no IM Pro race) (n/a)
12 Rasmus Fitzner DEN n/a unrated unrated unrated unrated unrated n/a (1 IM Pro race) (n/a)
13 Jonas Oerarbaeck SWE n/a unrated unrated unrated unrated unrated n/a (no IM Pro race) (n/a)
14 Luiz Feliz ESP n/a unrated unrated unrated unrated unrated n/a (no IM Pro race) (n/a)
28 Martin Olsson SWE n/a unrated unrated unrated unrated unrated n/a (no IM Pro race) (n/a)
  29 Fredrik Baeckson SWE n/a unrated unrated unrated unrated unrated n/a (1 IM Pro race) (n/a)

Note: Athletes with a ‘*’ are also registered for another race within 8 days.

Winning Odds

Male Race Participants

  • David Plese: 32% (2-1)
  • Clemente Alonso McKernan: 27% (3-1)
  • Michael Weiss: 15% (6-1)
  • Cameron Wurf: 5% (21-1)
  • Giulio Molinari: 4% (24-1)
  • Marc Duelsen: 3% (31-1)
  • Denis Chevrot: 3% (33-1)
  • Markus Fachbach: 3% (33-1)
  • Alberto Casadei: 3% (34-1)
  • Harry Wiltshire: 3% (39-1)
  • Daniel Fontana: 2% (49-1)

Kona Qualifying

There are a few athletes that still have a chance to qualify for Kona with a good result in Sweden:

  • Giulio Molinari, Denis Chevrot and Harry Wiltshire already have a good number of points, a fifth place or better should be enough for them to get an August slot.
  • Daniil Sapunov, Michael Weiss, Cameron Wurf, Markus Fachbach, Justin Daerr and Nick Baldwin need at least a podium, probably even a second place.

Among the field, Thiago Vinhal, David Plese, Marc Duelsen and Daniel Fontana have already qualified in July.

Ironman Sweden 2017 (MPRO, August 19th) – Entry List

Updated July 26th: Added Clemente Alonso McKernan, Nick Baldwin, Antony Costes, Marc Duelsen, Esben Hovgaard, Marcus Hultgren, Michal Ivanco, Giulio Molinari, Marek Nemcik,, Michael Smith Larsen, Thiago Vinhal and Michael Weiss

Male Race Participants

Name Nation KPR points KPR races
David Plese SLO 3775 3+1 (960/785)
Marc Duelsen GER 3765 3+1 (540/540)
Thiago Vinhal BRA 3740 2+1
Giulio Molinari ITA 3395 3+1 (720/750)
Daniil Sapunov UKR 2710 3+1 (685/345)
Michael Weiss AUT 2665 3+1 (235/750)
Nick Baldwin SEY 2095 2+2 (405/90)
Esben Hovgaard DEN 1565 3+1 (290/195)
Antony Costes FRA 1170 2+2 (20/500)
Karl-Johan Danielsson SWE 905 3+0 (60/0)
Mike Schifferle SUI 755 3+0 (120/0)
Markus Liebelt GER 615 0+2 (0/180)
Alberto Casadei ITA 230 1+0
Andrey Lyatskiy RUS 200 3+0 (30/0)
Lukas Polan CZE 180 2+2 (10/5)
Erik Holmberg SWE 130 1+1
Vincent Morizot FRA 94 0+2 (0/9)
Olivier Esser BEL 65 1+1
Michal Ivanco SVK 28 2+1
Emanuele Ciotti ITA 27 2+0
Marek Nemcik SVK 19 3+1 (3/3)
Rasmus Fitzner DEN 10 0+1
Marcus Hultgren SWE 10 1+0
Jonas Oerarbaeck SWE 5 0+1
Clemente Alonso McKernan ESP    
Bekim Christensen DEN    
Luiz Feliz      
Andreas Linden SWE    
Jonas Oerarbaeck      
Michael Smith Larsen DEN    

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