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Ironman Wisconsin 2016 – Analyzing Results

Race Conditions

Ironman Wisconsin’s lake swim has always been pretty slow, and this year was no exception: A swim adjustment of -4:42 was the slowest this season outside of Kona, and pretty much responsible for the overall adjustment of -4:27. 

Female Race Results

Rank Name Nation Swim Bike Run Time Diff to expected Prize Money
1 Elizabeth Lyles USA 01:02:35 05:15:40 03:08:10 09:33:47 03:18 US$ 20000
2 Leslie DiMichele Miller USA 01:01:24 05:26:59 03:08:24 09:43:39 -15:39 US$ 10000
3 Katie Thomas USA 00:59:33 05:14:23 03:28:14 09:49:27 -29:18 US$ 6500
4 Alyssa Godesky USA 01:04:03 05:25:53 03:16:59 09:53:44 -22:44 US$ 4000
5 Amanda Stevens USA 00:54:57 05:23:08 03:32:05 09:58:20 21:29 US$ 3000
6 Christine Hammond USA 00:59:34 05:27:22 03:28:47 10:02:38 -00:28 US$ 2000
7 Ashley Paulson USA 01:22:35 05:33:57 03:13:29 10:17:38 -00:10 US$ 1500
8 Heather Leiggi USA 01:08:15 05:27:31 03:37:22 10:20:33 07:32 US$ 1250
9 Danielle Fischer USA 01:11:47 05:33:26 03:31:28 10:25:29 n/a US$ 1000
10 Molly Roohi USA 01:07:21 05:37:39 03:35:01 10:29:58 13:24 US$ 750
11 Cathleen Knutson USA 01:15:43 05:48:18 03:36:53 10:47:57 -07:19  
12 Nicole Luse USA 01:16:14 05:55:44 03:33:55 10:53:04 n/a  

Challenge Almere 2016 – Analyzing Results

Race Conditions

Similar to last year Challenge Almere was quite quick especially on the bike, probably a result of decent weather and nice temperatures. While 2013/14 had rain (adjustment about 6 minutes), the last two years were faster (adjustment of 17 and 22 minutes) – the course rating splits the difference at 13:02, roughly comparable to Arizona.

Male Race Results

Rank Name Nation Swim Bike Run Time Diff to expected Prize Money
1 Jan Raphael GER 00:48:13 04:18:44 02:52:25 08:03:43 -14:37 EUR 6000
2 Dirk Wijnalda NED 00:53:33 04:27:22 02:49:59 08:14:48 -19:23 EUR 3900
3 Marek Jaskolka POL 00:48:18 04:41:03 02:49:57 08:23:48 -01:04 EUR 2750
4 Erik-Simon Strijk NED 00:52:26 04:28:20 02:59:27 08:24:46 -03:05 EUR 1900
5 Diederik Scheltinga NED 00:52:27 04:28:14 03:00:49 08:26:13 -14:44 EUR 1500
6 Peter Seidel GER 00:52:23 04:36:01 02:58:12 08:32:04 -34:06 EUR 1200
7 Graeme Stewart GBR 00:52:25 04:25:47 03:08:38 08:32:29 -18:53 EUR 1000
8 Pascal Ramali GER 00:58:10 04:22:22 03:09:40 08:35:12 -06:48 EUR 750
9 Till Schramm GER 00:52:29 04:28:09 03:18:38 08:43:57 -19:19  
10 Daniel Mugica Corrales ESP 00:52:26 04:39:44 03:09:45 08:46:48 -15:57  
11 Allan Hovda NOR 00:59:28 04:28:20 03:16:29 08:48:52 -06:03  
12 Youri Severin NED 00:48:09 04:36:16 03:25:14 08:54:08 17:52  
13 Stefan Overmars NED 00:53:26 04:31:29 03:24:37 08:54:52 n/a  
14 Christian Otto GER 00:48:09 04:35:32 03:26:15 08:56:00 n/a  
15 Josef Krivanek CZE 00:55:16 04:40:10 03:17:00 08:57:37 -24:07  
16 Patrick Hansen DEN 00:55:01 04:50:38 03:08:26 08:59:06 n/a  
17 Sergio Marques POR 00:53:29 04:56:02 03:06:14 09:01:19 28:59  
18 Jarmo Rissanen FIN 01:07:39 04:35:26 03:17:14 09:04:52 n/a  
19 Tjerk Tjallema NED 00:48:22 05:20:11 03:30:23 09:43:21 14:53  
  Matthias Knossalla GER 01:01:30 04:19:04   DNF    
  Marcus Hultgren SWE 00:56:40 04:34:01   DNF    
  Malte Bruns GER 00:52:22 04:40:24   DNF    

Female Race Results

Rank Name Nation Swim Bike Run Time Diff to expected Prize Money
1 Camille Deligny FRA 00:59:55 04:43:11 03:30:04 09:18:15 -07:13 EUR 6000
2 Mirjam Weerd NED 00:52:17 04:51:50 03:31:23 09:20:59 03:57 EUR 3900
3 Simona Krivankova CZE 01:06:41 05:01:32 03:11:19 09:24:48 -28:35 EUR 2750
4 Erika Csomor HUN 01:00:13 05:04:11 03:18:09 09:27:58 14:59 EUR 1900
5 Julia Mai GER 00:59:59 05:08:06 03:31:26 09:45:06 n/a EUR 1500
6 Vanessa Pereira POR 01:00:15 05:08:10 03:31:31 09:47:23 -16:24 EUR 1200
7 Lucie Van Genugten NED 01:06:48 05:03:25 03:36:04 09:52:17 n/a EUR 1000
8 Carla Van Rooijen NED 01:15:52 05:07:20 03:28:20 09:57:44 10:24 EUR 750
9 Ilona Eversdijk NED 00:56:12 05:08:29 04:35:41 10:47:28 n/a  
  Kathrin Walther GER 00:59:54 05:00:02   DNF    
  Brooke Brown CAN 00:59:57 05:05:01   DNF    
  Ewa Bugdol POL 00:54:32     DNF    

Ironman Wales 2016 (Sept 18th) – Predictions

IMWalesLogo

Previous Winners

Year Male Winner Time Female Winner Time
2011 Jeremy Jurkiewicz (FRA) 09:04:21 Kristin Moeller (GER) 10:01:19
2012 Sylvain Rota (FRA) 08:52:43 Regula Rohrbach (SUI) 09:45:09
2013 Scott Neyedli (GBR) 09:09:10 Lucy Gossage (GBR) 09:51:21
2014 Matt Trautman (ZAF) 09:07:28 Amy Forshaw (GBR) 10:57:26
2015 Jesse Thomas (USA) 08:57:33 Anja Beranek (GER) 09:56:31

Last Year’s TOP 3

Male Race Results

Rank Name Nation Swim Bike Run Time
1 Jesse Thomas USA 00:54:20 05:03:28 02:52:19 08:57:33
2 Andrej Vistica CRO 00:57:00 05:05:46 02:52:18 09:03:09
3 Markus Thomschke GER 00:57:01 04:57:14 03:12:54 09:14:52

Female Race Results

Rank Name Nation Swim Bike Run Time
1 Anja Beranek GER 00:54:26 05:30:15 03:23:16 09:56:31
2 Tineke Van den Berg NED 01:09:13 05:45:44 03:22:42 10:28:22
3 Katja Konschak GER 00:56:54 06:06:34 03:13:50 10:29:55

Course Records

Leg Gender Record Athlete Date
Total overall 08:52:43 Sylvain Rota 2012-09-16
Swim overall 00:44:07 Daniel Halksworth 2012-09-16
Swim overall 00:44:07 Harry Wiltshire 2012-09-16
Bike overall 04:57:14 Markus Thomschke 2015-09-13
Run overall 02:48:01 Jeremy Jurkiewicz 2011-09-11
Total female 09:45:09 Regula Rohrbach 2012-09-16
Swim female 00:47:55 Anja Beranek 2011-09-11
Bike female 05:30:15 Anja Beranek 2015-09-13
Run female 03:02:28 Kristin Moeller 2011-09-11

Course Rating

The Course Rating for IM Wales is – 27:21.

Race Adjustments for IM Wales

Year Adjustment Swim Adj. Bike Adj. Run Adj. # of Finishers Rating Swim Rating Bike Rating Run Rating
2011 -26:47 04:25 -25:00 01:30 22 -26:47 04:25 -25:00 01:30
2012 -01:01 04:46 -23:15 17:14 25 -13:54 04:36 -24:07 09:22
2013 -30:00 00:57 -28:24 -01:27 22 -19:16 03:23 -25:33 05:46
2014 -45:23 -03:51 -28:24 -05:49 14 of 16 -25:48 01:34 -26:16 02:52
2015 -33:32 -03:54 -27:05 04:01 22 of 26 -27:21 00:29 -26:26 03:06

KPR points and Prize Money

IM Wales is a P-2000 race. It has a total prize purse of 25.000 US$.

Male Race Participants

Rank Bib Name Nation Expected Time Rating Exp. Swim Exp. Bike Exp. Run Consistency Overall
1 21 Alberto Casadei ITA 09:03:27 08:43:16 00:47:48 05:16:08 02:54:31 30% +34% -36% (8) 68
2 27 Fraser Cartmell GBR 09:07:01 08:58:43 00:48:28 05:07:44 03:05:49 33% +8% -59% (11) 122
3 23 Marc Duelsen GER 09:08:56 08:42:26 00:52:55 05:11:32 02:59:28 78% +0% -22% (8) 67
4 26 Ritchie Nicholls GBR 09:13:44 08:58:34 00:50:19 05:27:16 02:51:09 47% +0% -53% (4) (121)
5 28 Erik-Simon Strijk NED 09:18:43 08:53:46 00:52:59 05:17:30 03:03:13 96% +4% -0% (7) 101
6 25 Karl-Johan Danielsson SWE 09:21:47 09:00:33 00:51:29 05:09:57 03:15:22 48% +25% -27% (10) 130
7 22 Nick Baldwin SEY 09:22:19 09:02:31 00:52:26 05:15:48 03:09:06 60% +0% -40% (16) 135
8 42 Philip Graves GBR 09:24:18 08:52:21 00:47:38 05:11:03 03:20:37 100% +0% -0% (5) (98)
9 36 Swen Sundberg GER 09:25:02 08:59:02 00:53:05 05:18:12 03:08:46 55% +1% -44% (17) (123)
10 24 Mike Schifferle SUI 09:27:28 09:03:07 00:59:48 05:17:53 03:04:47 89% +8% -3% (60) 137
11 47 Daniel Niederreiter AUT 09:27:51 09:08:47 00:51:36 05:23:49 03:07:26 47% +0% -53% (13) (160)
12 46 Karol Dzalaj SVK 09:29:39 09:13:24 00:53:49 05:18:27 03:12:24 70% +11% -18% (13) (178)
13 32 Cedric Lassonde FRA 09:33:48 09:08:16 00:55:10 05:22:54 03:10:45 80% +0% -20% (7) 158
14 33 Graeme Stewart GBR 09:37:58 09:17:51 00:54:16 05:28:21 03:10:21 41% +7% -52% (13) 188
15 45 Herve Banti MCO 09:41:19 09:26:06 00:51:58 05:21:04 03:23:17 22% +0% -78% (6) (211)
16 31 Felipe De Oliveira Manente BRA 09:45:49 09:37:20 00:53:07 05:35:16 03:12:27 18% +7% -75% (8) 238
17 30 Oliver Simon GBR 09:47:33 09:38:53 00:48:27 05:24:35 03:29:31 55% +0% -45% (12) 241
18 35 David Jilek CZE 10:02:26 09:39:13 00:58:14 05:34:05 03:25:07 64% +21% -15% (7) 242
19 34 Eneko Elosegui ESP 10:07:10 09:41:45 00:59:04 05:31:09 03:31:57 62% +12% -25% (16) 249
20 38 Rafael Espinar Puig ESP 10:17:22 09:48:59 01:05:52 05:55:31 03:10:59 68% +0% -32% (6) 259
21 39 Gilian Oriet SUI 10:25:10 10:13:57 00:57:48 05:41:55 03:40:27 17% +8% -75% (12) 282
22 29 Robbie Wade IRL 10:35:29 10:23:11 00:58:44 05:44:17 03:47:28 39% +0% -61% (2) (288)
23 37 David Krupicka CZE 11:25:31 10:59:26 01:05:05 06:00:39 04:14:48 100% +0% -0% (2) (298)
40 Brennan Townshend GBR n/a unrated unrated unrated unrated n/a (no IM Pro race) (n/a)
41 Kevin Rundstadler FRA n/a unrated unrated unrated unrated 0% +0% -100% (3) (n/a)
43 Hannes Vandermoere BEL n/a unrated unrated unrated unrated n/a (no IM Pro race) (n/a)
44 Dominic Rohan-Gates GBR n/a unrated unrated unrated unrated 0% +0% -100% (2) (n/a)
48 Matthias Epping GER n/a unrated unrated unrated unrated n/a (1 IM Pro race) (n/a)

Female Race Participants

Rank Bib Name Nation Expected Time Rating Exp. Swim Exp. Bike Exp. Run Consistency Overall
1 2 Diana Riesler GER 09:58:17 09:31:45 00:57:52 05:35:03 03:20:21 46% +14% -40% (18) 31
2 11 Darbi Roberts USA 10:14:13 09:58:31 00:52:45 05:53:01 03:23:27 37% +0% -63% (5) 85
3 7 Jeanne Collonge FRA 10:19:14 10:09:20 00:57:59 05:48:34 03:27:40 37% +16% -47% (9) (103)
4 6 Lucy Charles GBR 10:19:38 10:01:38 00:47:15 05:58:25 03:28:59 n/a (1 IM Pro race) (91)
5 3 Katharina Grohmann GER 10:27:40 10:03:46 01:10:59 05:54:48 03:16:53 100% +0% -0% (12) 94
6 8 Leslie DiMichele Miller USA 10:29:09 10:00:27 00:59:07 06:03:35 03:21:27 100% +0% -0% (3) 89
7 10 Kate Comber GBR 10:30:39 10:06:14 00:53:57 06:02:32 03:29:11 100% +0% -0% (2) (98)
8 4 Caroline Livesey GBR 10:36:08 10:07:05 01:01:26 05:57:57 03:31:45 68% +0% -32% (7) 98
9 9 Kristin Lie NOR 10:41:33 10:14:01 01:12:18 05:53:43 03:30:32 82% +0% -18% (13) (110)
5 Nikki Bartlett GBR n/a unrated unrated unrated unrated n/a (no IM Pro race) (n/a)

Winning Odds

Male Race Participants

  • Alberto Casadei: 37% (2-1)
  • Marc Duelsen: 27% (3-1)
  • Fraser Cartmell: 18% (5-1)
  • Ritchie Nicholls: 6% (16-1)
  • Erik-Simon Strijk: 5% (17-1)
  • Mike Schifferle: 2% (42-1)
  • Nick Baldwin: 2% (60-1)

Female Race Participants

  • Diana Riesler: 48% (1-1)
  • Jeanne Collonge: 13% (7-1)
  • Katharina Grohmann: 13% (7-1)
  • Darbi Roberts: 10% (9-1)
  • Leslie DiMichele Miller: 8% (11-1)
  • Lucy Charles: 4% (25-1)
  • Kate Comber: 2% (46-1)
  • Caroline Livesey: 2% (62-1)

70.3 Championships 2016 in Mooloolaba – Results

Male Race Results

Rank Name Nation Swim Bike Run Time Diff to expected Prize Money
1 Tim Reed AUS 00:22:53 02:06:12 01:11:03 03:44:14 -08:53 US$ 45000
2 Sebastian Kienle GER 00:24:14 02:04:45 01:11:18 03:44:16 -07:07 US$ 20000
3 Ruedi Wild SUI 00:22:47 02:06:28 01:11:07 03:44:40 -12:03 US$ 15000
4 Terenzo Bozzone NZL 00:22:44 02:06:20 01:12:44 03:45:52 -08:59 US$ 10000
5 Sam Appleton AUS 00:22:40 02:06:23 01:12:51 03:46:02 -07:42 US$ 7500
6 Nick Kastelein AUS 00:22:43 02:06:41 01:12:46 03:46:21 -13:22 US$ 6500
7 Tim Don GBR 00:22:51 02:06:37 01:12:57 03:46:32 -04:52 US$ 6000
8 Maurice Clavel GER 00:22:53 02:06:18 01:13:39 03:46:47 -11:05 US$ 5500
9 Lionel Sanders CAN 00:25:41 02:06:42 01:10:34 03:47:14 -02:27 US$ 5000
10 Craig Alexander AUS 00:22:49 02:06:39 01:14:03 03:47:28 -07:32 US$ 4500
11 Andreas Dreitz GER 00:23:20 02:05:36 01:15:18 03:48:16 -05:33  
12 Josh Amberger AUS 00:21:56 02:06:54 01:15:58 03:49:01 -08:23  
13 Tyler Butterfield BMU 00:22:57 02:05:55 01:16:59 03:49:56 -03:25  
14 Brent McMahon CAN 00:22:45 02:06:39 01:17:15 03:50:45 -05:24  
15 Joe Gambles AUS 00:22:53 02:06:21 01:19:00 03:52:26 -00:02  
16 Mark Bowstead NZL 00:22:50 02:06:19 01:19:11 03:52:36 -04:53  
17 Mitchell Robins AUS 00:22:57 02:12:28 01:14:33 03:54:17 -10:55  
18 Guy Crawford NZL 00:22:54 02:08:37 01:18:31 03:54:22 -13:10  
19 Daniel Fontana ITA 00:22:56 02:13:46 01:15:42 03:56:45 -06:01  
20 Paul Schuster GER 00:22:56 02:15:03 01:17:01 03:59:22 -07:43  
21 Mike Phillips NZL 00:23:00 02:15:14 01:17:35 04:00:07 02:01  
22 Graham O’Grady NZL 00:22:46 02:13:08 01:20:22 04:00:48 00:56  
23 David Mainwaring AUS 00:23:57 02:16:46 01:16:22 04:01:15 -02:16  
24 Matt Franklin NZL 00:22:43 02:08:50 01:25:33 04:01:47 -16:47  
25 Antony Costes FRA 00:22:48 02:15:08 01:19:57 04:02:10 -00:34  
26 Trevor Wurtele CAN 00:24:38 02:15:44 01:18:27 04:03:05 08:43  
27 Peter Kerr AUS 00:22:53 02:23:19 01:15:13 04:05:54 00:19  
28 Taylor Reid CAN 00:24:10 02:16:15 01:21:52 04:06:34 08:21  
29 Milosz Sowinski POL 00:24:05 02:16:19 01:21:37 04:06:41 -03:02  
30 Tim George AUS 00:25:41 02:18:33 01:20:18 04:08:26 07:45  
31 Nick Baldwin SEY 00:24:32 02:18:44 01:20:46 04:08:58 -01:48  
32 David Breuer GER 00:23:53 02:19:56 01:24:03 04:12:23 05:58  
33 Adam Gordon AUS 00:25:42 02:23:00 01:19:32 04:12:45 07:11  
34 Paulo Roberto Maciel da Silva BRA 00:22:54 02:23:21 01:22:28 04:13:27 07:41  
35 Christian Hoerper GER 00:25:45 02:24:22 01:19:15 04:13:55 05:00  
36 Mitchell Kibby AUS 00:23:58 02:29:51 01:17:24 04:15:22 06:55  
37 Brad Williams USA 00:26:28 02:17:07 01:29:24 04:17:35 04:10  
38 Roberto Rivera CHI 00:24:11 02:21:08 01:27:19 04:17:42 06:02  
39 Casey Munro AUS 00:22:49 02:27:07 01:29:04 04:24:15 20:24  
  Matthew Pellow AUS 00:24:10 02:19:58   DNF    
  Jan Van Berkel SUI 00:23:22 02:23:43   DNF    
  Luke McKenzie AUS 00:22:56     DNF    

Female Race Results

Rank Name Nation Swim Bike Run Time Diff to expected Prize Money
1 Holly Lawrence GBR 00:23:24 02:19:28 01:21:48 04:09:12 -06:41 US$ 45000
2 Melissa Hauschildt AUS 00:26:46 02:21:06 01:18:43 04:11:09 -05:55 US$ 20000
3 Heather Wurtele CAN 00:25:05 02:22:26 01:21:38 04:13:36 -01:15 US$ 15000
4 Daniela Ryf SUI 00:24:12 02:23:47 01:21:19 04:14:09 02:17 US$ 10000
5 Caroline Steffen SUI 00:24:13 02:23:09 01:25:10 04:17:16 -00:48 US$ 7500
6 Annabel Luxford AUS 00:24:11 02:23:44 01:24:58 04:17:26 -03:07 US$ 6500
7 Laura Philipp GER 00:27:16 02:24:46 01:21:00 04:17:40 -07:27 US$ 6000
8 Alicia Kaye USA 00:24:17 02:23:31 01:25:35 04:17:53 -02:57 US$ 5500
9 Radka Vodickova CZE 00:24:10 02:26:51 01:22:37 04:18:17 -05:03 US$ 5000
10 Magali Tisseyre CAN 00:24:16 02:23:49 01:25:36 04:18:19 -01:27 US$ 4500
11 Ellie Salthouse AUS 00:24:15 02:24:02 01:26:50 04:20:07 00:07  
12 Laura Siddall GBR 00:27:35 02:26:08 01:23:25 04:21:43 -07:37  
13 Sarah Crowley AUS 00:27:15 02:26:52 01:23:54 04:22:33 -09:46  
14 Astrid Stienen GER 00:27:18 02:25:53 01:24:20 04:22:43 -12:27  
15 Lauren Brandon USA 00:22:54 02:23:18 01:31:56 04:23:13 -08:20  
16 Linsey Corbin USA 00:27:17 02:26:12 01:27:31 04:26:12 00:16  
17 Natascha Schmitt GER 00:26:06 02:28:30 01:26:47 04:26:45 -06:45  
18 Leanda Cave GBR 00:24:11 02:24:01 01:33:35 04:26:53 01:20  
19 Kate Pedley AUS 00:27:21 02:35:11 01:21:56 04:29:07 -01:35  
20 Heather Lendway USA 00:24:21 02:24:01 01:36:25 04:29:51 -04:00  
21 Katey Gibb AUS 00:25:53 02:33:23 01:25:31 04:29:52 -03:53  
22 Andrea Forrest AUS 00:26:22 02:31:28 01:29:16 04:32:25 00:35  
23 Ricarda Lisk GER 00:24:24 02:38:25 01:27:11 04:34:35 00:23  
24 Dimity-Lee Duke AUS 00:27:48 02:34:18 01:27:25 04:34:56 01:00  
25 Nikki Bartlett GBR 00:28:32 02:30:40 01:30:38 04:35:00 -03:42  
26 Jessica Mitchell AUS 00:28:36 02:37:11 01:28:57 04:40:24 03:06  
27 Kym Coogan AUS 00:27:35 02:37:35 01:30:47 04:41:02 -00:12  
28 Erika Simon ARG 00:28:33 02:42:28 01:37:44 04:54:30 03:11  
29 Caroline Livesey GBR 00:30:36 02:43:04 01:38:39 04:58:03 18:26  
30 Renee Baker AUS 00:27:39 02:38:17 01:50:46 04:59:58 15:31  
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