Challenge Penticton 2014 (Aug 24th) – Predictions

Previous Winners

Year	Male Winner	Time	Female Winner	Time
2013	Jeff Symonds (CAN)	08:29:57	Carrie Lester (AUS)	09:27:26

Last Year’s TOP 3

Male Race Results

Rank	Name	Nation	Swim	Bike	Run	Time
1	Jeff Symonds	CAN	00:55:37	04:43:26	02:47:31	08:29:57
2	Scott Defilippis	USA	00:59:01	04:56:03	02:45:54	08:44:48
3	Jamie Whyte	NZL	00:57:20	04:51:47	03:03:35	08:56:08

Female Race Results

Rank	Name	Nation	Swim	Bike	Run	Time
1	Carrie Lester	AUS	00:58:59	05:07:53	03:17:01	09:27:26
2	Karen Thibodeau	CAN	00:58:47	05:19:12	03:20:21	09:41:42
3	Jen Annett	CAN	01:09:22	05:21:06	03:24:47	09:58:23

Course Records

Leg	Gender	Record	Athlete	Date
Total	overall	08:29:57	Jeff Symonds	2013-08-25
Swim	overall	00:55:37	Jeff Symonds	2013-08-25
Bike	overall	04:43:26	Jeff Symonds	2013-08-25
Run	overall	02:45:54	Scott Defilippis	2013-08-25
Total	female	09:27:26	Carrie Lester	2013-08-25
Swim	female	00:58:47	Karen Thibodeau	2013-08-25
Bike	female	05:07:53	Carrie Lester	2013-08-25
Run	female	03:17:01	Carrie Lester	2013-08-25

Course Rating

The Course Rating for Challenge Penticton is 13:58.

Race Adjustments for Challenge Penticton

Year	Adjustment	Swim Adj.	Bike Adj.	Run Adj.	# of Athletes	Rating	Swim Rating	Bike Rating	Run Rating
2013	13:58	-04:35	-01:55	07:35	13	13:58	-04:35	-01:55	07:35

Male Race Participants

Rank	Name	Nation	Expected Time	Rating	Swim Rating	Bike Rating	Run Rating	Rank
1	Jeff Symonds	CAN	08:22:22	08:35:42	00:50:59	04:44:01	02:49:06	30
2	Thomas Gerlach	USA	08:47:11	09:01:11	00:54:17	04:45:18	03:14:51	136
3	Sean Bechtel	CAN	08:49:22	09:03:25	00:47:27	04:44:44	03:16:23	(142)
4	Scott Defilippis	USA	08:50:28	09:04:33	00:55:39	05:00:47	03:01:49	147
5	Andrew Russell	CAN	08:51:12	09:05:18	00:48:49	04:50:59	03:14:19	(151)
6	Simon Cochrane	NZL	08:55:44	09:09:57	00:53:01	05:03:12	03:07:53	174
7	Matthew Sheeks	USA	08:58:10	09:12:27	01:02:48	05:01:13	02:57:26	188
8	Douglas MacLean	USA	09:06:53	09:21:24	00:58:37	05:03:35	03:10:17	210
9	Adam O’Meara	CAN	09:10:48	09:25:25	00:54:29	05:08:56	03:13:22	224
10	Nathan Killam	CAN	09:16:46	09:31:33	00:54:52	05:00:33	03:18:17	(255)
11	Nathan Champness	CAN	09:21:37	09:36:31	00:56:40	04:48:52	03:21:01	(269)
12	Christopher Bagg	USA	09:22:00	09:36:55	00:53:28	04:54:38	03:39:03	271
13	Rick Floyd	USA	09:37:54	09:53:14	00:59:43	05:17:20	03:11:21	(344)
14	Chris Young	CAN	10:22:26	10:38:57	01:02:59	05:01:16	04:04:39	(441)
15	Elmar Heger	GER	10:25:02	10:41:37	00:56:07	05:13:37	04:25:40	(442)
16	Josh Seifarth	CAN	10:30:23	10:47:07	00:53:20	05:10:13	04:21:34	(447)

Female Race Participants

Rank	Name	Nation	Expected Time	Rating	Swim Rating	Bike Rating	Run Rating	Rank
1	Carrie Lester	AUS	09:28:57	09:44:03	00:55:57	05:15:54	03:25:49	49
2	Mackenzie Madison	USA	09:35:49	09:51:06	01:00:51	05:19:59	03:18:30	69
3	Uli Bromme	USA	09:40:46	09:56:11	01:02:44	05:19:31	03:27:49	83
4	Karen Thibodeau	CAN	09:43:04	09:58:33	00:55:03	05:24:41	03:23:17	91
5	Christine Fletcher	CAN	10:02:23	10:18:22	00:59:05	05:28:28	03:41:43	128
6	Jana Candrova	CZE	10:07:57	10:24:05	01:03:50	05:34:32	03:39:08	134
7	Trish Deim	USA	10:09:26	10:25:37	01:05:19	05:24:33	03:45:32	137
8	Jen Annett	CAN	10:10:00	10:26:11	01:03:35	05:19:00	03:32:58	(138)
9	Natasha Van der Merwe	USA	10:15:44	10:32:05	01:04:16	05:26:19	03:52:14	141
10	Jennifer Luebke	USA	10:25:29	10:42:05	00:54:00	05:31:58	03:44:48	(153)
11	Alyssa Godesky	USA	10:28:23	10:45:04	01:03:40	05:39:54	03:53:40	154
12	Cathleen Knutson	USA	10:36:08	10:53:01	01:02:49	05:46:16	03:38:28	(157)
	Danielle Andre		n/a	unrated	unrated	unrated	unrated	(n/a)

Winning Odds

Male Race Participants

• Jeff Symonds: 52% (1-1)
• Scott Defilippis: 25% (3-1)
• Thomas Gerlach: 10% (9-1)
• Andrew Russell: 3% (29-1)
• Sean Bechtel: 3% (32-1)
• Adam O’Meara: 2% (55-1)

Female Race Participants

• Carrie Lester: 64% (1-1)
• Uli Bromme: 19% (4-1)
• Karen Thibodeau: 9% (10-1)
• Mackenzie Madison: 6% (16-1)