Challenge Wanaka 2014 (Jan 18th) – Predictions

Previous Year’s TOP 3

Male Race Results

Rank Name Nation Swim Bike Run Time
1 Dylan McNeice NZL 00:47:56 04:58:14 02:59:59 08:51:18
2 Jamie Whyte NZL 00:55:05 04:52:42 03:03:45 08:55:43
3 Chris McCormack AUS 00:55:07 04:58:44 02:59:52 08:58:05

Female Race Results

Rank Name Nation Swim Bike Run Time
1 Gina Crawford NZL 00:59:14 05:08:30 03:11:07 09:24:31
2 Candice Hammond NZL 01:06:52 05:23:07 03:09:43 09:44:22
3 Joanna Lawn NZL 00:59:46 05:24:20 03:15:08 09:44:30

Course Records

Leg Gender Record Athlete Date
Total overall 08:34:41 Richard Ussher 2010-01-16
Swim overall 00:47:44 Kieran Doe 2012-01-21
Bike overall 04:42:26 Richard Ussher 2010-01-16
Run overall 02:48:04 Marc Pschebizin 2008-01-19
Total female 09:24:31 Gina Crawford 2013-01-19
Swim female 00:50:01 Gina Ferguson 2008-01-19
Bike female 05:08:30 Gina Crawford 2013-01-19
Run female 03:08:59 Rebekah Keat 2010-01-16

Course Rating

The Course Rating for Challenge Wanaka is – 03:21.

Race Adjustments for Challenge Wanaka

Year Adjustment Swim Adj. Bike Adj. Run Adj. # of Athletes Rating Swim Rating Bike Rating Run Rating
2007 03:50 00:36 -07:25 05:03 6 03:50 00:36 -07:25 05:03
2008 -00:26 01:14 -10:09 00:51 10 01:42 00:55 -08:47 02:57
2009 03:58 -03:36 -01:43 03:34 11 02:27 -00:35 -06:26 03:09
2010 00:42 -01:48 -01:13 03:14 13 02:01 -00:53 -05:07 03:10
2011 -23:44 -02:45 -24:22 -03:28 13 -03:08 -01:16 -08:58 01:51
2012 -08:36 -01:12 -07:51 -03:00 15 -04:03 -01:15 -08:47 01:02
2013 00:52 -05:41 -08:00 02:39 13 -03:21 -01:53 -08:40 01:16

Male Race Participants

Rank Bib Name Nation Expected Time Rating Swim Rating Bike Rating Run Rating Rank
1 3 Richard Ussher NZL 08:43:05 08:39:52 00:54:34 04:42:05 02:57:02 17
2 12 Courtney Ogden AUS 08:52:07 08:48:50 00:50:23 04:48:19 02:59:05 45
3 5 Matty White AUS 09:05:07 09:01:46 00:51:22 04:47:40 03:10:58 93
4 1 Dylan McNeice NZL 09:07:23 09:04:01 00:44:47 04:51:55 03:11:18 102
5 2 Keegan Williams NZL 09:09:36 09:06:13 00:52:01 04:50:05 03:08:53 114
6 6 Carl Read NZL 09:11:12 09:07:48 00:53:36 04:57:45 03:01:32 122
7 17 Bryan Rhodes NZL 09:22:06 09:18:38 00:47:53 04:56:31 03:22:31 163
8 7 Simon Cochrane NZL 09:23:57 09:20:29 00:53:03 05:02:57 03:07:58 169
9 4 Scott Defilippis USA 09:24:32 09:21:03 00:56:37 05:01:57 03:04:33 174
10 8 Paul Hawkins GBR 09:34:11 09:30:39 00:58:33 05:28:51 03:20:28 196
11 15 Timothy Beardall AUS 10:13:12 10:09:26 01:00:43 04:55:33 03:58:53 329
  16 Dougal Allan NZL n/a unrated unrated unrated unrated n/a
  14 Matt Burgess NZL n/a unrated unrated unrated unrated n/a
  13 Ben Logan NZL n/a unrated unrated unrated unrated n/a
  10 Jaroslav Kovacic SLO n/a unrated unrated unrated unrated n/a

Female Race Participants

Rank Bib Name Nation Expected Time Rating Swim Rating Bike Rating Run Rating Rank
1 50 Gina Crawford NZL 09:38:27 09:34:53 00:51:51 05:14:07 03:12:44 11
2 51 Candice Hammond NZL 09:54:05 09:50:26 01:00:45 05:15:56 03:17:00 37
3 53 Carrie Lester AUS 09:57:33 09:53:52 00:56:00 05:16:56 03:25:04 47
4 52 Simone Maier GER 10:12:11 10:08:25 01:04:17 05:22:55 03:20:52 78
5 54 Tamsyn Hayes NZL 10:26:36 10:22:45 00:58:39 05:20:37 03:43:51 100
  55 Larisa Marsh NZL n/a unrated unrated unrated unrated n/a

Winning Odds

Male Race Participants

Last year’s winner Dylan McNeice is back to defend his title, but he faces strong competition in Richard Ussher (taking another stab at Ironman racing), Courtney Ogden, Matty White and Keegan Williams:

  • Richard Ussher: 37% (2-1)
  • Courtney Ogden: 28% (3-1)
  • Dylan McNeice: 13% (7-1)
  • Matty White: 10% (9-1)
  • Keegan Williams: 5% (18-1)
  • Scott Defilippis: 4% (25-1)

Female Race Participants

Gina Crawford is also back, her chances to defend her title are much better:

  • Gina Crawford: 67% (1-1)
  • Candice Hammond: 15% (6-1)
  • Carrie Lester: 14% (6-1)
  • Simone Maier: 3% (34-1)
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