Challenge Wanaka 2014 (Jan 18th) – Predictions

Previous Year’s TOP 3

Male Race Results

Rank	Name	Nation	Swim	Bike	Run	Time
1	Dylan McNeice	NZL	00:47:56	04:58:14	02:59:59	08:51:18
2	Jamie Whyte	NZL	00:55:05	04:52:42	03:03:45	08:55:43
3	Chris McCormack	AUS	00:55:07	04:58:44	02:59:52	08:58:05

Female Race Results

Rank	Name	Nation	Swim	Bike	Run	Time
1	Gina Crawford	NZL	00:59:14	05:08:30	03:11:07	09:24:31
2	Candice Hammond	NZL	01:06:52	05:23:07	03:09:43	09:44:22
3	Joanna Lawn	NZL	00:59:46	05:24:20	03:15:08	09:44:30

Course Records

Leg	Gender	Record	Athlete	Date
Total	overall	08:34:41	Richard Ussher	2010-01-16
Swim	overall	00:47:44	Kieran Doe	2012-01-21
Bike	overall	04:42:26	Richard Ussher	2010-01-16
Run	overall	02:48:04	Marc Pschebizin	2008-01-19
Total	female	09:24:31	Gina Crawford	2013-01-19
Swim	female	00:50:01	Gina Ferguson	2008-01-19
Bike	female	05:08:30	Gina Crawford	2013-01-19
Run	female	03:08:59	Rebekah Keat	2010-01-16

Course Rating

The Course Rating for Challenge Wanaka is – 03:21.

Race Adjustments for Challenge Wanaka

Year	Adjustment	Swim Adj.	Bike Adj.	Run Adj.	# of Athletes	Rating	Swim Rating	Bike Rating	Run Rating
2007	03:50	00:36	-07:25	05:03	6	03:50	00:36	-07:25	05:03
2008	-00:26	01:14	-10:09	00:51	10	01:42	00:55	-08:47	02:57
2009	03:58	-03:36	-01:43	03:34	11	02:27	-00:35	-06:26	03:09
2010	00:42	-01:48	-01:13	03:14	13	02:01	-00:53	-05:07	03:10
2011	-23:44	-02:45	-24:22	-03:28	13	-03:08	-01:16	-08:58	01:51
2012	-08:36	-01:12	-07:51	-03:00	15	-04:03	-01:15	-08:47	01:02
2013	00:52	-05:41	-08:00	02:39	13	-03:21	-01:53	-08:40	01:16

Male Race Participants

Rank	Bib	Name	Nation	Expected Time	Rating	Swim Rating	Bike Rating	Run Rating	Rank
1	3	Richard Ussher	NZL	08:43:05	08:39:52	00:54:34	04:42:05	02:57:02	17
2	12	Courtney Ogden	AUS	08:52:07	08:48:50	00:50:23	04:48:19	02:59:05	45
3	5	Matty White	AUS	09:05:07	09:01:46	00:51:22	04:47:40	03:10:58	93
4	1	Dylan McNeice	NZL	09:07:23	09:04:01	00:44:47	04:51:55	03:11:18	102
5	2	Keegan Williams	NZL	09:09:36	09:06:13	00:52:01	04:50:05	03:08:53	114
6	6	Carl Read	NZL	09:11:12	09:07:48	00:53:36	04:57:45	03:01:32	122
7	17	Bryan Rhodes	NZL	09:22:06	09:18:38	00:47:53	04:56:31	03:22:31	163
8	7	Simon Cochrane	NZL	09:23:57	09:20:29	00:53:03	05:02:57	03:07:58	169
9	4	Scott Defilippis	USA	09:24:32	09:21:03	00:56:37	05:01:57	03:04:33	174
10	8	Paul Hawkins	GBR	09:34:11	09:30:39	00:58:33	05:28:51	03:20:28	196
11	15	Timothy Beardall	AUS	10:13:12	10:09:26	01:00:43	04:55:33	03:58:53	329
	16	Dougal Allan	NZL	n/a	unrated	unrated	unrated	unrated	n/a
	14	Matt Burgess	NZL	n/a	unrated	unrated	unrated	unrated	n/a
	13	Ben Logan	NZL	n/a	unrated	unrated	unrated	unrated	n/a
	10	Jaroslav Kovacic	SLO	n/a	unrated	unrated	unrated	unrated	n/a

Female Race Participants

Rank	Bib	Name	Nation	Expected Time	Rating	Swim Rating	Bike Rating	Run Rating	Rank
1	50	Gina Crawford	NZL	09:38:27	09:34:53	00:51:51	05:14:07	03:12:44	11
2	51	Candice Hammond	NZL	09:54:05	09:50:26	01:00:45	05:15:56	03:17:00	37
3	53	Carrie Lester	AUS	09:57:33	09:53:52	00:56:00	05:16:56	03:25:04	47
4	52	Simone Maier	GER	10:12:11	10:08:25	01:04:17	05:22:55	03:20:52	78
5	54	Tamsyn Hayes	NZL	10:26:36	10:22:45	00:58:39	05:20:37	03:43:51	100
	55	Larisa Marsh	NZL	n/a	unrated	unrated	unrated	unrated	n/a

Winning Odds

Male Race Participants

Last year’s winner Dylan McNeice is back to defend his title, but he faces strong competition in Richard Ussher (taking another stab at Ironman racing), Courtney Ogden, Matty White and Keegan Williams:

• Richard Ussher: 37% (2-1)
• Courtney Ogden: 28% (3-1)
• Dylan McNeice: 13% (7-1)
• Matty White: 10% (9-1)
• Keegan Williams: 5% (18-1)
• Scott Defilippis: 4% (25-1)

Female Race Participants

Gina Crawford is also back, her chances to defend her title are much better:

• Gina Crawford: 67% (1-1)
• Candice Hammond: 15% (6-1)
• Carrie Lester: 14% (6-1)
• Simone Maier: 3% (34-1)