IM Mont Tremblant 2013 – Predictions

Update: Leslie LaMacchia notified me on Twitter (thanks!) that Daniel Fontana will try to get some more KPR points, and that Clemente Alonso and Logan Franks will not be racing. I’ve added Daniel who is the new front-runner (the athlete with the best rating, even if my odds favor Victor Zyemtsev) and crossed out Logan and Clemente. 

 

Previous Year’s TOP 3

Male Race Results

Rank Name Nation Swim Bike Run Time
1 Romain Guillaume FRA 00:51:22 04:35:17 03:09:09 08:40:48
2 Alejandro Santamaria ESP 00:57:17 04:52:23 02:52:35 08:46:58
3 Matthew Russell USA 01:02:34 04:47:11 02:53:29 08:48:12

Female Race Results

Rank Name Nation Swim Bike Run Time
1 Jessie Donavan USA 01:07:33 05:06:31 03:11:35 09:30:46
2 Uli Bromme USA 01:04:38 05:14:35 03:17:32 09:42:45
3 Rachel Kiers CAN 01:01:40 05:08:46 03:33:55 09:49:49

Course Records

Leg Gender Record Athlete Date
Total overall 08:40:48 Romain Guillaume 2012-08-18
Swim overall 00:51:22 Romain Guillaume 2012-08-18
Bike overall 04:35:17 Romain Guillaume 2012-08-18
Run overall 02:52:35 Alejandro Santamaria 2012-08-18
Total female 09:30:46 Jessie Donavan 2012-08-18
Swim female 00:57:10 Marie Danais 2012-08-18
Bike female 05:06:31 Jessie Donavan 2012-08-18
Run female 03:11:35 Jessie Donavan 2012-08-18

Course Rating

The Course Rating for IM Mont Tremblant is 10:49.

Race Adjustments for IM Mont Tremblant

Year Adjustment Swim Adj. Bike Adj. Run Adj. # of Athletes Rating Swim Rating Bike Rating Run Rating
2012 10:49 -01:08 05:52 07:25 12 10:49 -01:08 05:52 07:25

KPR points and Price Money

IM Mont Tremblant has 4000 KPR points for the winner. It has a total price purse of 125k$.

Male Race Participants

Last year’s winner, Romain Guillaume is back to defend his title, but he is only seeded #17 as there are a lot of other, faster athletes:

Rank Name Nation Expected Time Rating Rank Swim Rating Bike Rating Run Rating
1 Clemente Alonso-McKernan ESP 08:22:20 08:32:37 20 00:47:40 04:46:51 02:52:06
(1) Daniel Fontana ITA 08:25:21 08:35:41 32 00:48:32 04:42:43 03:00:31
2 Paul Amey GBR 08:29:37 08:40:02 47 00:49:50 04:44:55 03:03:23
3 Victor Zyemtsev USA 08:30:50 08:41:17 54 00:50:26 04:46:36 03:00:01
4 Jozsef Major HUN 08:36:04 08:46:37 77 00:57:28 04:42:23 03:01:23
5 Stefan Schmid GER 08:36:36 08:47:10 79 00:53:43 04:47:33 03:03:08
6 Matty Reed USA 08:36:52 08:47:26 82 00:47:25 04:48:29 03:07:07
7 Luke Bell AUS 08:37:10 08:47:45 82 00:47:57 04:41:28 03:15:36
8 Bert Jammaer BEL 08:37:52 08:48:28 90 00:49:34 04:46:50 03:06:32
9 Paul Ambrose GBR 08:38:37 08:49:14 93 00:48:24 04:39:03 03:15:08
10 Daniel Halksworth GBR 08:38:44 08:49:21 98 00:47:36 04:48:19 03:08:08
11 Alejandro Santamaria ESP 08:40:42 08:51:21 107 00:54:37 04:53:11 03:00:24
12 Swen Sundberg GER 08:43:15 08:53:57 116 00:52:08 04:44:19 03:17:16
13 Trevor Delsaut FRA 08:44:19 08:55:02 125 00:54:57 04:52:58 03:00:50
14 Brandon Marsh USA 08:45:20 08:56:05 133 00:47:27 04:50:04 03:12:17
15 Dominik Berger AUT 08:51:39 09:02:32 171 00:48:28 04:51:42 03:21:21
16 Mike Schifferle SUI 08:52:27 09:03:20 177 01:00:26 04:51:24 03:06:49
17 Romain Guillaume FRA 08:55:49 09:06:47 195 00:49:07 04:44:13 03:21:02
18 Nigel Gray CAN 08:58:05 09:09:05 209 00:55:29 04:50:27 03:18:36
19 Simon Cochrane NZL 09:00:58 09:12:02 229 00:52:43 05:05:00 03:09:32
20 Bryan Rhodes NZL 09:07:45 09:18:57 273 00:47:48 04:56:02 03:23:40
21 Logan Franks USA 09:36:23 09:48:10 450 01:02:00 05:08:02 03:27:56
22 Jerome Bresson CAN 09:48:03 10:00:05 511 01:02:44 05:00:12 03:48:37
23 Arland Macasieb PHL 09:56:43 10:08:55 552 01:02:43 05:20:01 03:38:54
24 Brendan Naef CAN 11:29:58 11:44:05 696 00:57:24 05:09:08 05:39:20
Greg Kopecky USA n/a unrated n/a unrated unrated unrated
Michael Louys BEL n/a unrated n/a unrated unrated unrated
Adam Jones CAN n/a unrated n/a unrated unrated unrated
Sean Bechtel CAN n/a unrated n/a unrated unrated unrated

Female Race Participants

Rank Name Nation Expected Time Rating Swim Rating Bike Rating Run Rating Rank
1 Mary Beth Ellis USA 09:04:49 09:15:58 00:51:13 05:08:31 03:12:52 7
2 Rebekah Keat AUS 09:13:26 09:24:45 00:52:37 05:12:20 03:15:10 14
3 Erika Csomor HUN 09:17:48 09:29:13 00:57:34 05:14:53 03:12:20 21
4 Joanna Lawn NZL 09:22:14 09:33:44 00:53:58 05:15:06 03:20:25 31
5 Jessie Donavan USA 09:23:40 09:35:12 01:07:11 05:08:19 03:17:15 35
6 Jennie Hansen USA 09:27:53 09:39:30 01:05:50 05:16:13 03:11:54 46
7 Kim Schwabenbauer USA 09:29:53 09:41:32 01:03:21 05:17:29 03:21:31 53
8 Haley Chura USA 09:29:56 09:41:35 00:48:31 05:19:33 03:34:26 53
9 Sarah Piampiano USA 09:36:07 09:47:54 01:00:50 05:23:48 03:22:43 71
10 Bree Wee USA 09:37:07 09:48:55 00:53:25 05:17:13 03:31:02 73
11 Keiko Tanaka JAP 09:37:10 09:48:58 00:54:21 05:26:56 03:23:47 74
12 Christine Anderson USA 09:47:20 09:59:21 00:54:45 05:28:21 03:33:11 104
13 Jessica Smith USA 09:53:48 10:05:57 00:53:38 05:25:50 03:45:08 124
14 Hillary Biscay USA 09:57:15 10:09:28 00:52:21 05:33:53 03:37:41 134
15 Olesya Prystayko UKR 09:57:31 10:09:44 00:58:38 05:27:14 03:40:30 135
16 Nina Pekerman ISR 09:59:26 10:11:42 00:58:33 05:31:02 03:37:21 141
17 April Gellatly USA 10:02:01 10:14:20 00:56:48 05:29:44 03:40:56 148
18 Marie Danais CAN 10:23:35 10:36:20 00:57:17 05:43:58 03:45:50 198
19 Annie Gervais CAN 10:28:07 10:40:58 01:06:29 05:28:53 03:57:14 207
Molly Roohi USA n/a unrated unrated unrated unrated n/a
Morgin Chaffin USA n/a unrated unrated unrated unrated n/a
Amanda Kourtz USA n/a unrated unrated unrated unrated n/a

Winning Odds

Male Race Participants

  • Clemente Alonso-McKernan: 25% (3-1)
  • Victor Zyemtsev: 17% (5-1)
  • Paul Ambrose: 17% (5-1)
  • Paul Amey: 16% (5-1)
  • Luke Bell: 13% (6-1)
  • Bert Jammaer: 2% (42-1)
  • Jozsef Major: 2% (43-1)
  • Trevor Delsaut: 2% (49-1)
  • Victor Zyemtsev: 24% (3-1)
  • Paul Ambrose: 20% (4-1)
  • Paul Amey: 17% (5-1)
  • Luke Bell: 16% (5-1)
  • Daniel Fontana: 10% (9-1)
  • Bert Jammaer: 3% (36-1)
  • Jozsef Major: 3% (36-1)
  • Trevor Delsaut: 3% (37-1)

Female Race Participants

  • Mary Beth Ellis: 53% (1-1)
  • Rebekah Keat: 18% (4-1)
  • Erika Csomor: 14% (6-1)
  • Jessie Donavan: 7% (12-1)
  • Joanna Lawn: 5% (18-1)
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