Ironman Florida (Nov 6th) – Seedings

Updates:

• After the last-minute cancellation of IM California, the MPRO-race has been moved to Florida.
• After a recent name change (thanks to one of my readers!), I have added some recent results for Clarice Chastang and updated her seed times. 
• According to a sign-in sheet I was sent, the following athletes probably won’t race on Saturday:
  WPRO: #5 Michelle Vesterby, #7 Carrie Lester, #11 Joanna Ryter, #14 Melanie McQuaid, #15 Angela Naeth, #18 Jessica Smith, #19 Leanne Fanoy, #25 Marj Rinaldo, #28 Palmira Alvarez
  MPRO: #53 Cam Wurf, #56 Pedro Gomes, #58 Colin Norris

Previous Winners

Year	Male Winner	Time	Female Winner	Time
2005	Marino Vanhoenacker (BEL)	08:28:26	Bella Bayliss (GBR)	09:33:09
2006	Jan Raphael (GER)	08:22:44	Bella Bayliss (GBR)	09:28:28
2007	Stephan Vuckovic (GER)	08:21:29	Nina Kraft (GER)	09:05:35
2008	Tom Evans (CAN)	08:07:59	Bella Bayliss (GBR)	09:07:48
2009	Kirill Kotshegarov (EST)	08:24:29	Sofie Goos (BEL)	09:08:38
2010	James Cunnama (ZAF)	08:15:59	Jessica Jacobs (USA)	09:07:49
2011	Ronnie Schildknecht (SUI)	07:59:42	Jessica Jacobs (USA)	08:55:10
2012	Andrew Starykowicz (USA)	08:06:17	Yvonne Van Vlerken (NED)	08:51:35
2013	Victor Del Corral (ESP)	07:53:12	Yvonne Van Vlerken (NED)	08:43:07
2014	Lionel Sanders (CAN)	06:58:46	Yvonne Van Vlerken (NED)	08:01:47
2019	Joe Skipper (GBR)	07:46:28
2020	Chris Leiferman (USA)	07:52:44	Katrina Matthews (GBR)	08:40:50

Last Race’s TOP 3

Male Race Results

Rank	Name	Nation	Swim	Bike	Run	Time
1	Chris Leiferman	USA	00:54:40	04:01:50	02:50:29	07:52:44
2	Matt Hanson	USA	00:55:17	04:11:24	02:41:57	07:55:02
3	Sam Long	USA	00:55:31	04:07:20	02:45:40	07:55:33

Female Race Results

Rank	Name	Nation	Swim	Bike	Run	Time
1	Katrina Matthews	GBR	00:58:57	04:36:15	02:58:29	08:40:50
2	Skye Moench	USA	01:01:52	04:33:44	03:03:50	08:46:35
3	Meredith Kessler	USA	00:58:59	04:44:27	03:08:08	08:59:01

Course Records

Leg	Gender	Record	Athlete	Date
Total	overall	07:46:28	Joe Skipper	2019-11-02
Swim	overall	00:44:36	John Flanagan	2011-11-05
Bike	overall	04:01:19	Andrew Starykowicz	2019-11-02
Run	overall	02:36:09	Ben Hoffman	2019-11-02
Total	female	08:40:50	Katrina Matthews	2020-11-07
Swim	female	00:50:26	Tereza Macel	2007-11-03
Bike	female	04:32:13	Ruth Astle	2020-11-07
Run	female	02:53:26	Jessica Jacobs	2011-11-05

Course Rating

The Course Rating for IM Florida is 21:37.

Race Adjustments for IM Florida

Year	Adjustment	Swim Adj.	Bike Adj.	Run Adj.	# of Finishers	Rating	Swim Rating	Bike Rating	Run Rating
2005	13:46	-00:10	14:10	-00:35	48	13:46	00:11	14:10	-00:35
2006	15:58	-02:22	11:45	05:48	63	14:52	-00:42	12:57	02:38
2007	26:44	00:49	19:24	06:02	78	18:49	-00:02	15:06	03:46
2008	28:18	00:08	20:36	06:41	55	21:12	00:14	16:29	04:30
2009	21:54	-01:12	19:00	03:52	35 of 43	21:20	00:00	16:59	04:22
2010	17:37	00:30	13:55	03:10	40	20:43	00:05	16:28	04:10
2011	23:29	00:16	18:35	04:25	34	21:07	00:09	16:46	04:12
2012	18:51	-02:26	22:52	-00:59	48	20:50	-00:15	17:31	03:34
2013	33:24	-01:00	27:12	07:26	63 of 81	22:13	-00:21	18:36	04:00
2019	21:57	-01:37	18:21	06:03	27 of 34	22:12	-00:34	18:34	04:12
2020	15:49	-03:01	21:43	-01:46	33 of 40	21:37	-00:53	18:51	03:40

Kona slots and Prize Money

IM Florida has 2m+2f Pro Kona slot(s). It has a total prize purse of 100.000 US$, paying 10 deep.

Male Race Participants

The strength of the field is 7% of a typical Kona field.

#	Bib	Name	Nat	Expected	Rating	ESwim	EBike	ET2	ERun	Consistency
1	53	Cameron Wurf	AUS	07:56:30	08:16:42	00:51:28	04:05:16	05:01:44	02:54:46	92% +6% -2% (24)
2	54	Arnaud Guilloux	FRA	07:56:59	08:24:50	00:49:48	04:07:57	05:02:45	02:54:14	3% +73% -24% (6)
3	52	Lionel Sanders (KQ)	CAN	07:58:01	08:19:02	00:52:49	04:09:39	05:07:28	02:50:33	58% +22% -20% (16)
4	55	Justin Metzler	USA	08:01:00	08:30:37	00:50:35	04:15:38	05:11:13	02:49:47	10% +75% -16% (5)
5	56	Pedro Gomes	POR	08:10:09	08:37:28	00:51:55	04:23:14	05:20:09	02:50:00	36% +17% -47% (43)
6	66	Michael Patrick Alonso Mckernan	ESP	08:24:10	08:48:38	00:56:05	04:23:24	05:24:28	02:59:42	66% +6% -28% (8)
7	60	Luis Henrique Ohde	BRA	08:27:48	08:51:59	00:49:48	04:31:48	05:26:36	03:01:12	79% +0% -21% (6)
8	64	Jesse Vondracek	USA	08:32:18	09:01:43	00:52:52	04:25:14	05:23:06	03:09:12	79% +10% -10% (27)
9	69	Vicenc Castella Serra	ESP	08:43:38	09:08:05	00:58:08	04:42:41	05:45:49	02:57:49	86% +0% -14% (6)
10	67	Jordan Bryden	CAN	08:44:34	09:15:26	00:52:03	04:30:58	05:28:01	03:16:33	54% +27% -19% (11)
11	63	Jonathan Fecik	USA	09:03:34	09:36:57	00:56:02	04:32:05	05:33:07	03:30:27	27% +14% -59% (10)
12	62	Christopher Hess	USA	09:17:45	09:57:08	01:01:20	04:43:33	05:49:53	03:27:52	n/a (1 IM Pro race)
13	58	Colin Norris	GBR	09:47:24	10:33:35	00:54:02	04:27:19	05:26:21	04:21:03	49% +0% -51% (2)
	51	Gustav Iden (AQ)	NOR	n/a	unrated	unrated	unrated	unrated	unrated	n/a (no IM Pro race)
	59	Robert Kallin	SWE	n/a	unrated	unrated	unrated	unrated	unrated	n/a (no IM Pro race)
	61	Daniel Reyes	VEN	n/a	unrated	unrated	unrated	unrated	unrated	n/a (no IM Pro race)
	65	Ted Treise	USA	n/a	unrated	unrated	unrated	unrated	unrated	n/a (no IM Pro race)
	68	William Greig	USA	n/a	unrated	unrated	unrated	unrated	unrated	n/a (no IM Pro race)

Female Race Participants

The strength of the field is 35% of a typical Kona field.

#	Bib	Name	Nat	Expected	Rating	ESwim	EBike	ET2	ERun	Consistency
1	7	Carrie Lester	AUS	08:38:17	09:01:37	00:54:35	04:35:50	05:35:25	03:02:52	68% +21% -11% (30)
2	31	Skye Moench (KQ)	USA	08:38:48	09:07:38	00:56:48	04:36:24	05:38:13	03:00:35	2% +94% -4% (9)
3	29	Sarissa De Vries	NED	08:45:08	09:25:20	00:53:59	04:37:19	05:36:18	03:08:50	30% +70% -0% (5)
4	1	Heather Jackson	USA	08:46:26	09:06:33	00:59:29	04:37:45	05:42:15	03:04:11	80% +2% -19% (17)
5	4	Jocelyn McCauley	USA	08:47:24	09:19:45	00:54:32	04:41:31	05:41:04	03:06:20	26% +18% -56% (18)
6	9	Linsey Corbin	USA	08:52:33	09:12:36	00:59:50	04:47:39	05:52:29	03:00:04	87% +1% -12% (32)
7	3	Hannah Wells	NZL	08:53:27	09:29:41	00:55:54	04:41:59	05:42:53	03:10:34	n/a (1 IM Pro race)
8	6	Laura Zimmermann	GER	08:54:08	09:25:28	01:02:08	04:39:43	05:46:50	03:07:18	100% +0% -0% (2)
9	2	Imogen Simmonds	SUI	08:54:15	09:13:40	00:54:16	04:41:36	05:40:51	03:13:24	100% +0% -0% (3)
10	19	Leanne Fanoy	UAE	08:57:22	09:42:46	01:01:47	04:49:23	05:56:10	03:01:12	28% +72% -0% (2)
11	5	Michelle Vesterby	DEN	08:57:28	09:20:40	00:56:20	04:43:19	05:44:39	03:12:49	69% +21% -10% (32)
12	15	Angela Naeth	CAN	08:58:08	09:40:14	01:00:58	04:40:45	05:46:43	03:11:25	13% +16% -71% (19)
13	12	Jodie Robertson	USA	09:04:45	09:28:16	01:02:25	04:48:12	05:55:37	03:09:08	47% +6% -47% (9)
14	33	Jen Annett	CAN	09:05:33	09:34:05	01:01:15	04:46:53	05:53:08	03:12:25	70% +17% -13% (14)
15	8	Renee Kiley	AUS	09:06:41	09:45:59	00:57:24	04:43:39	05:46:03	03:20:38	43% +27% -31% (12)
16	14	Melanie McQuaid	CAN	09:07:37	09:49:42	00:56:48	04:47:55	05:49:43	03:17:54	12% +48% -41% (10)
17	11	Joanna Ryter	SUI	09:10:19	09:39:01	01:05:16	05:01:34	06:11:50	02:58:29	51% +35% -14% (4)
18	16	Kelly Fillnow	USA	09:15:49	09:47:22	01:02:37	04:52:49	06:00:26	03:15:23	38% +59% -3% (19)
19	22	Fiona Moriarty	IRL	09:21:30	09:56:29	01:06:32	04:51:30	06:03:02	03:18:28	64% +0% -36% (3)
20	28	Palmira Alvarez	MEX	09:33:51	10:19:15	01:07:47	05:00:09	06:12:56	03:20:55	66% +18% -16% (14)
21	30	Jessica Jones	USA	09:34:43	10:01:17	01:01:53	05:03:14	06:10:08	03:24:35	76% +0% -24% (4)
22	23	Samantha Snukis	USA	09:35:55	10:23:57	01:03:43	05:16:49	06:25:32	03:10:23	41% +59% -0% (2)
23	26	Clarice Chastang	USA	09:39:59	10:19:23	01:11:48	05:13:13	06:30:01	03:09:58	n/a (1 IM Pro race)
24	18	Jessica Smith	USA	09:48:16	10:24:57	00:56:31	05:10:27	06:11:58	03:36:18	54% +0% -46% (9)
25	24	Sarah Karpinski	USA	09:48:44	10:18:54	01:10:39	05:14:37	06:30:16	03:18:28	55% +37% -9% (6)
26	21	Melanie Baumann	SUI	09:49:17	10:29:25	01:14:25	05:07:57	06:27:22	03:21:55	49% +18% -32% (6)
27	20	Katy Cargiulo	USA	10:14:07	10:49:38	01:04:46	05:25:56	06:35:41	03:38:26	58% +15% -27% (12)
28	34	Ginger Howell	USA	10:14:57	10:47:43	01:02:14	05:35:35	06:42:48	03:32:09	55% +25% -21% (8)
29	32	Holli Finneren	USA	10:43:02	11:26:43	01:18:47	05:20:47	06:44:35	03:58:27	n/a (1 IM Pro race)
	17	Brittany Higgins	USA	n/a	unrated	unrated	unrated	unrated	unrated	n/a (no IM Pro race)
	25	Marj Rinaldo	USA	n/a	unrated	unrated	unrated	unrated	unrated	n/a (no IM Pro race)
	27	Alexandra Watt	USA	n/a	unrated	unrated	unrated	unrated	unrated	n/a (no IM Pro race)
	35	Rachel Zilinskas	USA	n/a	unrated	unrated	unrated	unrated	unrated	n/a (no IM Pro race)

Winning Odds

Male Race Participants

• Cameron Wurf: 42% (1-1)
• Justin Metzler: 28% (3-1)
• Lionel Sanders: 16% (5-1)
• Arnaud Guilloux: 12% (7-1)

Female Race Participants

• Carrie Lester: 48% (1-1)
• Skye Moench: 43% (1-1)
• Sarissa De Vries: 4% (23-1)
• Jocelyn McCauley: 2% (44-1)
• Heather Jackson: 2% (49-1)