Ironman France 2018 (June 24th) – Seedings

Update June 19th: Removed a few athletes as they are no longer on the latest start list (Braden Currie, Bryan McCrystal, Heather Jackson, Helena Herrero) or have posted on social media that they won’t be racing (Boris Stein).

IMFrance_LogoPrevious Winners

Year Male Winner Time Female Winner Time
2005 Herve Faure (FRA) 08:49:06 Mariska Kramer-Postma (NED) 10:12:29
2006 Marcel Zamora (ESP) 08:33:56 Edith Niederfriniger (ITA) 09:56:32
2007 Marcel Zamora (ESP) 08:38:45 Alexandra Louison (FRA) 09:49:11
2008 Marcel Zamora (ESP) 08:34:03 Martina Dogana (ITA) 09:35:29
2009 Marcel Zamora (ESP) 08:30:06 Tine Deckers (BEL) 09:30:29
2010 Marcel Zamora (ESP) 08:25:28 Tine Deckers (BEL) 09:21:29
2011 Frederik Van Lierde (BEL) 08:28:30 Silvia Felt (GER) 09:34:31
2012 Frederik Van Lierde (BEL) 08:21:51 Tine Deckers (BEL) 09:16:05
2013 Frederik Van Lierde (BEL) 08:08:59 Mary Beth Ellis (USA) 09:12:54
2014 Bart Aernouts (BEL) 08:33:22 Tine Deckers (BEL) 09:12:21
2015 Boris Stein (GER) 08:27:32 Caitlin Snow (USA) 09:24:50
2016 Victor Del Corral (ESP) 08:30:00 Tine Deckers (BEL) 09:22:04
2017 Frederik Van Lierde (BEL) 08:31:31 Carrie Lester (AUS) 09:27:53

Last Year’s TOP 3

Here’s the link to the full results and my analysis of IM France 2017.

Male Race Results

Rank Name Nation Swim Bike Run Time
1 Frederik Van Lierde BEL 00:49:21 04:39:00 02:57:19 08:31:31
2 Alessandro Degasperi ITA 00:53:22 04:53:40 02:43:38 08:36:18
3 Denis Chevrot FRA 00:49:06 04:57:38 02:47:44 08:39:42

Female Race Results

Rank Name Nation Swim Bike Run Time
1 Carrie Lester AUS 00:55:32 05:19:12 03:06:14 09:27:53
2 Annabel Luxford AUS 00:52:19 05:24:50 03:14:21 09:38:31
3 Nicole Valentine USA 01:01:57 05:59:49 03:13:51 10:21:53

Course Records

Leg Gender Record Athlete Date
Total overall 08:08:59 Frederik Van Lierde 2013-06-23
Swim overall 00:44:18 Gilles Reboul 2006-06-24
Bike overall 04:33:29 Frederik Van Lierde 2013-06-23
Run overall 02:37:01 Bart Aernouts 2013-06-23
Total female 09:12:21 Tine Deckers 2014-06-29
Swim female 00:48:59 Edith Niederfriniger 2006-06-24
Bike female 05:05:03 Tine Deckers 2016-06-05
Run female 02:52:26 Caitlin Snow 2014-06-29

Course Rating

The Course Rating for IM France is 03:26.

Race Adjustments for IM France

Year Adjustment Swim Adj. Bike Adj. Run Adj. # of Finishers Rating Swim Rating Bike Rating Run Rating
2006 11:43 07:01 -00:04 05:33 34 11:43 07:01 -00:04 05:33
2007 09:11 00:56 01:17 08:56 39 10:27 03:59 00:36 07:14
2008 02:49 -00:05 -00:33 02:15 41 07:54 02:37 00:13 05:34
2009 06:14 -01:10 01:15 04:21 36 07:29 01:41 00:29 05:16
2010 11:15 -01:23 -00:02 05:01 32 08:14 01:04 00:23 05:13
2011 02:06 00:27 -01:10 02:37 29 07:13 00:58 00:07 04:47
2012 02:12 00:44 -02:36 03:02 23 06:30 00:56 -00:16 04:32
2013 08:54 00:41 -01:01 08:01 20 06:48 00:54 -00:22 04:58
2014 -02:27 -01:19 -04:03 06:30 26 of 34 05:46 00:39 -00:46 05:08
2015 00:36 -01:06 -05:02 03:49 25 of 34 05:15 00:29 -01:12 05:00
2016 01:18 00:50 -06:05 06:55 36 of 47 04:54 00:30 -01:39 05:11
2017 -12:41 -00:37 -11:02 05:36 17 of 24 03:26 00:25 -02:25 05:13

KPR points and Prize Money

IM France is a P-2000 race. It has a total prize purse of 80.000 US$, paying 10 deep.

Male Race Participants

The strength of the field is 18% of a typical Kona field.

# Bib Name Nat Expected Rating ESwim EBike ET2 ERun Consistency Overall
1 1 Frederik Van Lierde BEL 08:17:25 08:21:26 00:47:56 04:33:56 05:26:52 02:50:33 77% +4% -18% (26) 17
2 3 Boris Stein GER 08:18:28 08:20:56 00:53:01 04:32:21 05:30:22 02:48:06 80% +20% -0% (9) 16
3 5 Braden Currie NZL 08:23:59 08:34:51 00:46:56 04:42:27 05:34:23 02:49:36 27% +18% -55% (5) 63
4 17 Timothy Van Houtem BEL 08:24:40 08:38:19 00:56:53 04:37:26 05:39:19 02:45:21 46% +54% -0% (2) (75)
5 6 Cameron Wurf * AUS 08:25:04 08:30:41 00:50:00 04:25:23 05:20:23 03:04:41 53% +36% -10% (10) 50
6 43 Eneko Llanos ESP 08:26:31 08:29:59 00:48:37 04:36:15 05:29:53 02:56:38 87% +0% -13% (34) 44
7 38 TJ Tollakson USA 08:27:14 08:31:27 00:49:06 04:35:16 05:29:22 02:57:52 58% +8% -34% (25) 55
8 4 Antony Costes FRA 08:27:58 09:08:53 00:48:47 04:37:22 05:31:09 02:56:49 20% +31% -50% (9) 181
9 11 Giulio Molinari ITA 08:29:50 08:30:57 00:48:11 04:39:06 05:32:18 02:57:32 100% +0% -0% (4) 54
10 7 Romain Guillaume FRA 08:32:36 08:42:56 00:48:22 04:37:21 05:30:44 03:01:52 43% +5% -52% (34) 84
11 10 Andrej Vistica CRO 08:32:49 08:36:24 00:54:04 04:45:48 05:44:52 02:47:57 92% +0% -8% (16) 67
12 2 Victor Del Corral * ESP 08:32:56 08:45:30 00:55:47 04:45:22 05:46:10 02:46:46 39% +0% -61% (19) 90
13 37 Markus Thomschke GER 08:35:54 08:41:09 00:52:17 04:40:17 05:37:34 02:58:20 42% +21% -37% (20) 79
14 26 Pedro Gomes POR 08:39:08 08:48:19 00:51:35 04:51:15 05:47:51 02:51:17 50% +1% -49% (31) 105
15 13 Domenico Passuello ITA 08:39:19 08:58:57 00:54:28 04:43:08 05:42:36 02:56:43 9% +14% -76% (9) (144)
16 8 Herve Faure FRA 08:40:21 08:57:18 00:50:45 04:48:29 05:44:15 02:56:06 12% +0% -88% (9) (140)
17 15 Gwenael Ouilleres FRA 08:40:37 08:55:31 00:50:41 04:49:14 05:44:55 02:55:42 52% +0% -48% (4) (133)
18 36 Erik-Simon Strijk NED 08:42:41 08:51:31 00:53:04 04:47:57 05:46:01 02:56:40 72% +1% -27% (12) 120
19 22 Christian Brader GER 08:43:09 08:46:50 00:54:14 04:52:09 05:51:22 02:51:47 80% +2% -18% (40) 97
20 31 Matthew Leeman GBR 08:43:54 09:00:32 00:48:29 04:52:00 05:45:29 02:58:25 n/a (1 IM Pro race) (153)
21 39 Diego Van Looy BEL 08:44:47 08:53:13 01:03:18 04:51:34 05:59:52 02:44:55 100% +0% -0% (5) 128
22 30 Guillaume Lecallier FRA 08:46:00 08:57:52 00:55:04 04:48:16 05:48:21 02:57:39 100% +0% -0% (2) (142)
23 9 Scott Defilippis USA 08:53:49 unrated 00:55:21 05:01:13 06:01:34 02:52:15 36% +15% -48% (25) n/a
24 12 Albert Moreno Molins ESP 08:54:08 09:11:05 00:50:53 04:53:45 05:49:37 03:04:31 75% +0% -25% (2) (192)
25 33 Bryan McCrystal * IRL 08:55:04 09:10:18 00:59:13 04:41:43 05:45:56 03:09:08 49% +14% -36% (5) 185
26 35 Mike Schifferle SUI 09:03:30 09:13:46 00:59:52 04:55:38 06:00:30 03:03:00 82% +6% -12% (72) 195
27 25 Rasmus Fitzner DEN 09:15:15 09:32:52 00:55:07 05:06:36 06:06:44 03:08:31 40% +0% -60% (3) (248)
28 24 Bekim Christensen DEN 09:28:58 09:45:52 01:05:34 04:53:49 06:04:23 03:24:35 33% +0% -67% (5) (268)
29 32 Arland Macasieb PHI 10:37:26 11:11:25 01:05:28 05:39:15 06:49:44 03:47:42 10% +0% -90% (13) 301
30 29 Aleksander Kochetkov * LTU 10:51:18 11:11:58 01:08:36 05:46:45 07:00:21 03:50:57 n/a (1 IM Pro race) (303)
14 Etienne Diemunsch FRA n/a unrated unrated unrated unrated unrated n/a (1 IM Pro race) (n/a)
16 Robin Pasteur FRA n/a unrated unrated unrated unrated unrated n/a (1 IM Pro race) (n/a)
18 Romain Babin CHI n/a unrated unrated unrated unrated unrated n/a (no IM Pro race) (n/a)
19 Morten Banke DEN n/a unrated unrated unrated unrated unrated n/a (no IM Pro race) (n/a)
20 David Bill SUI n/a unrated unrated unrated unrated unrated n/a (no IM Pro race) (n/a)
21 Charles Bouin FRA n/a unrated unrated unrated unrated unrated n/a (no IM Pro race) (n/a)
23 Vicenc Castella Serra ESP n/a unrated unrated unrated unrated unrated n/a (no IM Pro race) (n/a)
27 Sebastien Jouffret FRA n/a unrated unrated unrated unrated unrated n/a (no IM Pro race) (n/a)
28 Mitchell Kibby AUS n/a unrated unrated unrated unrated unrated n/a (no IM Pro race) (n/a)
34 Imanol Sagarzazu ESP n/a unrated unrated unrated unrated unrated n/a (1 IM Pro race) (n/a)
40 Romain Garcin FRA n/a unrated unrated unrated unrated unrated n/a (1 IM Pro race) (n/a)
42 Alexandre Blain FRA n/a unrated unrated unrated unrated unrated n/a (no IM Pro race) (n/a)

Note: Athletes with a ‘*’ are also registered for another race within 8 days.

Female Race Participants

Heather Jackson is posted in the official start list (bib #62), but she has written on her blog that she decided to race IM Lake Placid. She confirmed to me that she won’t be racing in France. I am therefore posting the seedings (including the odds) as if she is not part of the field. (Update: June 19th: She’s no longer on the latest start list.)

The strength of the field is 11% of a typical Kona field.

# Bib Name Nat Expected Rating ESwim EBike ET2 ERun Consistency Overall
1 74 Melissa Hauschildt AUS 09:07:05 09:11:58 00:56:35 05:06:34 06:08:09 02:58:56 81% +6% -13% (7) 5
2 61 Carrie Lester AUS 09:11:53 09:16:27 00:54:11 05:07:30 06:06:41 03:05:12 63% +18% -19% (23) 7
3 64 Corinne Abraham GBR 09:19:34 09:21:33 00:59:13 05:12:02 06:16:15 03:03:19 96% +4% -0% (14) 20
4 66 Lisa Roberts USA 09:19:58 09:24:43 01:02:44 05:16:00 06:23:44 02:56:14 80% +3% -17% (22) 24
5 65 Manon Genet FRA 09:32:37 09:45:36 00:58:37 05:13:28 06:17:06 03:15:31 19% +57% -24% (4) 59
6 63 Magali Tisseyre CAN 09:33:41 09:40:19 00:54:25 05:22:37 06:22:02 03:11:39 100% +0% -0% (3) 55
7 68 Jessie Donavan * USA 09:38:28 09:39:47 01:05:58 05:10:57 06:21:55 03:16:33 98% +2% -0% (17) 54
8 71 Natascha Schmitt GER 09:40:30 10:03:02 00:54:16 05:17:31 06:16:46 03:23:44 33% +23% -43% (8) (95)
9 69 Helena Herrero Gomez * ESP 10:17:21 10:39:45 01:00:35 05:52:25 06:58:00 03:19:21 34% +0% -66% (11) 145
10 67 Charlotte Morel FRA 10:31:25 10:57:59 00:54:15 05:24:03 06:23:18 04:08:07 43% +0% -57% (2) (154)
11 72 Jana Candrova CZE 10:33:26 10:47:15 01:06:35 05:43:46 06:55:21 03:38:05 57% +0% -43% (20) 150
70 Antonina Reznikov * ISR n/a unrated unrated unrated unrated unrated n/a (no IM Pro race) (n/a)
73 Federica De Nicola ITA n/a unrated unrated unrated unrated unrated n/a (1 IM Pro race) (n/a)

Note: Athletes with a ‘*’ are also registered for another race within 8 days.

Winning Odds

Male Race Participants

  • Frederik Van Lierde: 39% (2-1)
  • Boris Stein: 30% (2-1)
  • Antony Costes: 9% (11-1)
  • Timothy Van Houtem: 8% (12-1)
  • Cameron Wurf: 6% (16-1)
  • Braden Currie: 4% (25-1)
  • Eneko Llanos: 4% (26-1)

Female Race Participants

  • Carrie Lester: 44% (1-1)
  • Melissa Hauschildt: 40% (2-1)
  • Lisa Roberts: 12% (7-1)
  • Corinne Abraham: 5% (21-1)

Kona Qualifying

With just two more full months of racing before the first cutoff for Kona qualifying, here’s a look at what the male athletes will need to reach the projected cutoff of 3.500 points:

  • Win (2000 pts): Markus Thomschke
  • 2nd (1600 pts):  Giulio Molinari, Braden Currie (also on the list for Cairns)
  • 3rd (1280 pts): Romain Guillaume, Andrej Vistica
  • 4th (960 pts): TJ Tollakson
  • “Just finish”: Boris Stein
  • Already safe: Cameron Wurf, Antony Costes, Frederik Van Lierde (AQ)

The female cutoff will be around 4.400 points, that higher number can only be reached by a few women:

  • 6th (540): Lisa Roberts
  • 8th (305 pts): Manon Genet
  • “Just finish”: Heather Jackson (but likely racing in Lake Placid)
  • Already safe: Melissa Hauschildt, Carrie Lester
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