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Ironman Germany 2019 (June 30th) – Seedings

IMGermanyLogoUpdates:

  • June 28th: Crossed out some more withdrawals after the Pro Meeting (Ivan Rana, Emilio Aguayo, Thiago Vinhal)
  • June 27th: Crossed out a few non-starters (Michael Raelert, Linsey Corbin, Anja Ippach)
  • June 22nd: Updated the bike and overall times since the bike course is going to be 185k again this year.
  • June 17th: Angela Naeth has had surgery for her broken wrist and will need some more time for recovery.
  • June 14th: Anne Haug has announced that an injury hasn’t healed in time for a start in Frankfurt. I have crossed her out and also Chris Leiferman and Johann Ackermann who are dealing with long term issues.

Previous Winners

Year Male Winner Time Female Winner Time
2005 Normann Stadler (GER) 08:20:50 Lisa Bentley (CAN) 09:15:31
2006 Cameron Brown (NZL) 08:13:40 Andrea Steinbecher (GER) 09:16:17
2007 Timo Bracht (GER) 08:09:15 Nicole Leder (GER) 09:04:11
2008 Chris McCormack (AUS) 07:59:55 Chrissie Wellington (GBR) 08:51:24
2009 Timo Bracht (GER) 07:59:15 Sandra Wallenhorst (GER) 08:58:08
2010 Andreas Raelert (GER) 08:05:15 Sandra Wallenhorst (GER) 09:04:27
2011 Faris Al-Sultan (GER) 08:13:50 Caroline Steffen (SUI) 09:12:13
2012 Marino Vanhoenacker (BEL) 08:03:31 Caroline Steffen (SUI) 08:52:33
2013 Eneko Llanos (ESP) 07:59:58 Camilla Pedersen (DEN) 08:56:01
2014 Sebastian Kienle (GER) 07:55:14 Corinne Abraham (GBR) 08:52:40
2015 Jan Frodeno (GER) 07:49:48 Daniela Ryf (SUI) 08:51:00
2016 Sebastian Kienle (GER) 07:52:43 Melissa Hauschildt (AUS) 09:01:17
2017 Sebastian Kienle (GER) 07:41:42 Sarah Crowley (AUS) 08:47:58
2018 Jan Frodeno (GER) 08:00:58 Daniela Ryf (SUI) 08:38:44

Last Race’s TOP 3

The full results analysis from last year’s race can be found here.

Male Race Results

Rank Name Nation Swim Bike Run Time
1 Jan Frodeno GER 00:48:42 04:28:36 02:39:06 08:00:58
2 Patrik Nilsson SWE 00:48:46 04:28:45 02:46:02 08:08:15
3 Patrick Lange GER 00:48:43 04:29:01 02:47:15 08:09:26

Female Race Results

Rank Name Nation Swim Bike Run Time
1 Daniela Ryf SUI 00:53:11 04:40:55 02:58:53 08:38:44
2 Sarah True USA 00:53:09 05:10:56 02:54:58 09:05:19
3 Sarah Crowley AUS 00:55:35 05:05:37 03:04:36 09:11:31

Course Records

Leg Gender Record Athlete Date
Total overall 07:49:48 Jan Frodeno 2015-07-05
Swim overall 00:42:17 Jan Sibbersen 2004-07-12
Bike overall 04:08:43 Jan Frodeno 2015-07-05
Run overall 02:39:06 Jan Frodeno 2018-07-08
Total female 08:38:44 Daniela Ryf 2018-07-08
Swim female 00:45:04 Amanda Stevens 2012-07-08
Bike female 04:40:55 Daniela Ryf 2018-07-08
Run female 02:54:58 Sarah True 2018-07-08

Course Rating

The Course Rating for IM Germany is 14:27.

Race Adjustments for IM Germany

Year Adjustment Swim Adj. Bike Adj. Run Adj. # of Finishers Rating Swim Rating Bike Rating Run Rating
2005 06:40 01:34 08:48 -03:42 21 06:40 01:34 08:48 -03:42
2006 14:02 n/a n/a n/a 21 10:21 01:57 10:45 -02:21
2007 27:36 02:33 17:51 07:12 35 16:06 01:57 12:46 01:23
2008 30:17 05:44 15:07 09:26 21 of 28 19:39 03:06 12:54 03:39
2009 22:49 03:51 17:29 01:29 19 of 25 20:17 03:16 13:58 03:03
2010 11:32 01:41 07:43 02:08 30 18:49 02:59 12:52 02:58
2011 10:37 02:08 07:19 01:10 41 17:39 02:52 12:03 02:44
2012 12:23 04:27 06:03 01:53 37 16:59 03:06 11:15 02:39
2013 18:02 02:53 10:59 04:10 69 17:06 03:04 11:12 02:50
2014 14:11 02:01 12:36 -00:26 39 of 56 16:49 02:57 11:23 02:29
2015 05:18 00:05 08:43 -03:30 32 of 44 15:46 02:41 11:10 01:56
2016 12:03 -01:49 09:46 04:07 44 of 61 15:27 02:17 11:03 02:08
2017 18:39 -00:26 17:32 01:33 49 of 68 15:14 02:00 11:20 01:55
2018 02:20 -02:04 01:20 03:05 25 of 34 14:27 01:56 10:17 02:15

Kona slots and Prize Money

IM Germany has 2m+2f +2u Pro Kona slot(s). It has a total prize purse of 150.000 US$, paying 10 deep. Both unassigned slots will likely go to the male Pros.

Male Race Participants

The strength of the field is 63% of a typical Kona field. For a description on how the race might unfold, check out this post.

# Bib Name Nat Expected Rating ESwim EBike ET2 ERun Consistency Overall
1 3 Sebastian Kienle (AQ) GER 07:57:37 08:10:23 00:48:27 04:17:11 05:10:38 02:46:59 78% +0% -22% (17) 4
2 2 Jan Frodeno (AQ) GER 07:58:11 08:01:09 00:45:01 04:26:03 05:16:05 02:42:06 69% +14% -17% (10) 2
3 1 Patrick Lange (AQ) GER 08:00:33 07:56:14 00:45:40 04:26:45 05:17:25 02:43:08 100% +0% -0% (4) 1
4 4 Joe Skipper (KQ) GBR 08:14:09 08:19:28 00:50:06 04:31:52 05:26:58 02:47:11 67% +7% -25% (24) 14
5 8 Franz Loeschke GER 08:19:01 08:36:57 00:46:57 04:38:22 05:30:20 02:48:41 n/a (1 IM Pro race) (69)
6 45 David Plese (KQ) * SLO 08:19:50 08:25:15 00:50:18 04:32:38 05:27:56 02:51:54 89% +4% -7% (29) 32
7 14 Emilio Aguayo Munoz ESP 08:20:18 08:38:32 00:47:10 04:30:51 05:23:02 02:57:16 n/a (1 IM Pro race) (76)
8 9 Ivan Rana * ESP 08:20:59 08:32:25 00:46:23 04:41:24 05:32:47 02:48:12 66% +1% -33% (19) 54
9 51 Matthew Russell * USA 08:21:25 08:27:52 00:52:45 04:32:24 05:30:10 02:51:15 49% +26% -25% (49) 41
10 25 Patrick Dirksmeier GER 08:22:47 08:41:04 00:47:17 04:34:00 05:26:16 02:56:31 n/a (1 IM Pro race) (85)
11 48 Sam Proctor GBR 08:22:57 08:41:03 00:48:24 04:39:51 05:33:15 02:49:42 n/a (1 IM Pro race) (85)
12 39 Christian Kramer GER 08:23:25 08:33:36 00:46:46 04:33:59 05:25:45 02:57:40 63% +24% -13% (24) 56
13 27 Marc Duelsen * GER 08:24:34 08:36:01 00:49:30 04:36:52 05:31:22 02:53:12 72% +0% -28% (13) 63
14 37 Kirill Kotshegarov EST 08:24:55 08:37:10 00:52:11 04:34:21 05:31:32 02:53:23 46% +29% -25% (17) (71)
15 5 Bas Diederen * NED 08:25:19 08:35:35 00:46:37 04:36:53 05:28:30 02:56:49 51% +3% -46% (22) 62
16 11 Antony Costes * FRA 08:25:45 08:44:19 00:46:50 04:33:09 05:24:58 03:00:47 31% +36% -33% (11) 93
17 38 Philipp Koutny SUI 08:25:46 08:35:30 00:48:28 04:34:10 05:27:39 02:58:07 41% +25% -34% (12) 61
18 52 Paul Schuster GER 08:29:19 08:47:55 00:47:33 04:35:07 05:27:41 03:01:38 n/a (1 IM Pro race) (105)
19 50 Michael Ruenz * GER 08:31:42 08:51:39 00:52:53 04:42:20 05:40:13 02:51:29 39% +12% -49% (17) 117
20 56 Andrej Vistica CRO 08:32:53 08:36:36 00:53:16 04:42:08 05:40:24 02:52:29 94% +0% -6% (18) 66
21 33 Christian Haupt GER 08:35:28 08:54:13 00:51:11 04:40:21 05:36:32 02:58:56 n/a (1 IM Pro race) (131)
22 55 Thiago Vinhal BRA 08:35:31 08:41:45 00:47:34 04:49:28 05:42:02 02:53:29 63% +20% -17% (18) 85
23 10 Per Van Vlerken GER 08:36:01 08:44:12 00:47:42 04:41:03 05:33:45 03:02:16 68% +4% -28% (28) 92
24 41 Dylan McNeice NZL 08:36:31 08:43:27 00:44:43 04:42:44 05:32:27 03:04:04 37% +30% -32% (20) 90
25 23 Trevor Delsaut * FRA 08:37:18 08:59:34 00:50:35 04:46:35 05:42:10 02:55:08 20% +11% -69% (31) (143)
26 58 Roman Deisenhofer GER 08:38:26 08:56:42 00:50:14 04:38:11 05:33:25 03:05:01 35% +34% -31% (10) (137)
27 26 Tobias Drachler GER 08:41:02 08:59:58 00:46:58 04:44:34 05:36:32 03:04:30 n/a (1 IM Pro race) (148)
28 22 Gregory Close USA 08:42:11 09:13:31 00:55:09 04:43:05 05:43:14 02:58:57 12% +22% -66% (13) (190)
29 49 Fabian Rahn GER 08:42:11 08:51:03 00:57:49 04:45:23 05:48:12 02:53:59 62% +0% -38% (5) 115
30 7 Michael Raelert GER 08:42:29 08:50:31 00:44:49 04:48:06 05:37:55 03:04:34 86% +0% -14% (5) 114
31 16 Victor Arroyo Bugallo ESP 08:44:28 08:59:54 00:54:54 04:50:41 05:50:36 02:53:52 42% +0% -58% (4) 147
32 17 Daniel Besse SUI 08:48:17 09:06:36 00:46:54 04:52:11 05:44:05 03:04:12 48% +52% -0% (2) (169)
33 42 Philipp Mock GER 08:48:36 09:03:40 00:56:45 04:35:37 05:37:21 03:11:15 100% +0% -0% (3) 161
34 28 Jose Estrangeiro POR 08:50:05 08:58:34 00:47:50 04:52:53 05:45:43 03:04:22 51% +0% -49% (6) 142
35 32 David Hanko * HUN 08:50:10 09:08:10 00:47:11 04:47:28 05:39:40 03:10:30 27% +31% -41% (3) 173
36 15 Lucas Amirault FRA 08:51:36 09:05:20 00:51:15 04:51:40 05:47:54 03:03:42 100% +0% -0% (4) 166
37 34 Kristian Hindkjaer DEN 08:58:12 09:23:48 00:50:56 04:38:58 05:34:55 03:23:17 49% +0% -51% (2) (215)
38 18 Jean-Claude Besse SUI 09:03:40 09:22:25 00:51:31 05:03:10 05:59:40 03:04:00 48% +52% -0% (2) (212)
39 35 Marcus Hultgren SWE 09:10:27 09:28:54 00:55:21 04:55:01 05:55:23 03:15:04 20% +40% -40% (11) 224
40 59 David Jilek * CZE 09:21:57 09:35:06 00:55:50 04:58:18 05:59:08 03:22:49 84% +9% -6% (9) 236
41 31 Sebastian Guhr GER 09:24:45 09:44:53 01:02:42 04:51:56 05:59:38 03:25:07 37% +39% -24% (3) (245)
42 46 Lukas Polan * CZE 09:31:12 09:53:51 00:59:44 05:09:40 06:14:25 03:16:47 50% +13% -36% (17) 249
43 36 Peter Kotland CZE 09:40:01 09:51:45 00:57:11 05:08:26 06:10:37 03:29:24 84% +10% -6% (28) 247
44 53 Kevin Thewes GER 10:30:50 10:53:36 01:07:53 05:22:21 06:35:14 03:55:36 n/a (1 IM Pro race) (266)
45 43 Marek Nemcik * SVK 11:17:33 12:01:00 01:10:05 05:38:58 06:54:03 04:23:30 39% +15% -47% (51) 269
13 Anthony Adam FRA n/a unrated unrated unrated unrated unrated n/a (no IM Pro race) (n/a)
19 Sergio Bolado Noriega ESP n/a unrated unrated unrated unrated unrated n/a (1 IM Pro race) (n/a)
20 Steeve Brugiere FRA n/a unrated unrated unrated unrated unrated n/a (no IM Pro race) (n/a)
24 Benjamin Dicke GER n/a unrated unrated unrated unrated unrated n/a (no IM Pro race) (n/a)
29 Patrick Feil GER n/a unrated unrated unrated unrated unrated n/a (no IM Pro race) (n/a)
30 Romain Garcin * FRA n/a unrated unrated unrated unrated unrated 0% +0% -100% (3) (n/a)
44 Lukas Pietrek GER n/a unrated unrated unrated unrated unrated n/a (no IM Pro race) (n/a)
54 Nacho Villarruel ESP n/a unrated unrated unrated unrated unrated n/a (no IM Pro race) (n/a)
57 Aljoscha Willgosch GER n/a unrated unrated unrated unrated unrated n/a (no IM Pro race) (n/a)

Note: Athletes with a ‘*’ are also registered for another race within 8 days.

Female Race Participants

The strength of the field is 19% of a typical Kona field. For a description on how the race might unfold, check out this post.

# Bib Name Nat Expected Rating ESwim EBike ET2 ERun Consistency Overall
1 117 Sarah True USA 08:56:38 09:08:13 00:49:26 05:07:42 06:02:08 02:54:30 27% +31% -43% (3) (8)
2 111 Linsey Corbin (KQ) * USA 09:08:15 09:14:08 00:55:39 05:04:08 06:04:47 03:03:28 97% +3% -0% (28) 12
3 101 Daniela Bleymehl (KQ) GER 09:08:44 09:18:31 00:54:07 04:56:14 05:55:21 03:13:23 58% +32% -11% (13) 21
4 109 Jen Annett CAN 09:14:19 09:24:32 00:58:51 04:55:42 05:59:33 03:14:46 49% +48% -4% (10) 29
5 113 Kimberley Morrison GBR 09:17:13 09:28:29 00:53:11 04:53:46 05:51:56 03:25:17 100% +0% -0% (3) 40
6 119 Anja Ippach * GER 09:21:44 09:27:35 00:50:57 04:59:30 05:55:27 03:26:17 52% +3% -45% (13) 37
7 105 Skye Moench USA 09:23:57 09:37:44 00:54:03 05:06:13 06:05:16 03:18:41 10% +75% -15% (5) 51
8 114 Lenny Ramsey NED 09:32:56 09:45:51 01:03:16 05:22:00 06:30:16 03:02:40 57% +43% -0% (3) 63
9 108 Saleta Castro Nogueira ESP 09:36:38 09:46:23 00:54:23 05:28:10 06:27:33 03:09:05 71% +24% -5% (18) 65
10 110 Anne Basso * FRA 10:03:23 10:27:17 00:55:34 05:29:53 06:30:27 03:32:56 28% +2% -70% (22) 115
103 Sarah Lewis GBR n/a unrated unrated unrated unrated unrated n/a (no IM Pro race) (n/a)
107 Amelia Watkinson NZL n/a unrated unrated unrated unrated unrated n/a (no IM Pro race) (n/a)
112 Petra Eggenschwiler SUI n/a unrated unrated unrated unrated unrated n/a (no IM Pro race) (n/a)
115 Jade Roberts ZAF n/a unrated unrated unrated unrated unrated n/a (no IM Pro race) (n/a)
116 Imogen Simmonds SUI n/a unrated unrated unrated unrated unrated n/a (no IM Pro race) (n/a)

Note: Athletes with a ‘*’ are also registered for another race within 8 days.

Winning Odds

Male Race Participants

  • Sebastian Kienle: 40% (2-1)
  • Jan Frodeno: 35% (2-1)
  • Patrick Lange: 22% (4-1)

Female Race Participants

  • Sarah True: 41% (1-1)
  • Daniela Bleymehl: 22% (4-1)
  • Anne Haug: 19% (4-1)
  • Linsey Corbin: 10% (10-1)
  • Angela Naeth: 4% (24-1)
  • Jen Annett: 2% (57-1)
  • Skye Moench: 2% (59-1)

2 thoughts on “Ironman Germany 2019 (June 30th) – Seedings”

  1. Pingback: #34 - Podcast mit Thorsten Radde: Wie man Triathlon-Ergebnisse voraussagt und mehr

  2. Pingback: Ironman Frankfurt: Einer gegen alle, alle gegen einen

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