Ironman Germany 2019 (June 30th) – Seedings

Updates:

• June 28th: Crossed out some more withdrawals after the Pro Meeting (Ivan Rana, Emilio Aguayo, Thiago Vinhal)
• June 27th: Crossed out a few non-starters (Michael Raelert, Linsey Corbin, Anja Ippach)
• June 22nd: Updated the bike and overall times since the bike course is going to be 185k again this year.
• June 17th: Angela Naeth has had surgery for her broken wrist and will need some more time for recovery.
• June 14th: Anne Haug has announced that an injury hasn’t healed in time for a start in Frankfurt. I have crossed her out and also Chris Leiferman and Johann Ackermann who are dealing with long term issues.

Previous Winners

Year	Male Winner	Time	Female Winner	Time
2005	Normann Stadler (GER)	08:20:50	Lisa Bentley (CAN)	09:15:31
2006	Cameron Brown (NZL)	08:13:40	Andrea Steinbecher (GER)	09:16:17
2007	Timo Bracht (GER)	08:09:15	Nicole Leder (GER)	09:04:11
2008	Chris McCormack (AUS)	07:59:55	Chrissie Wellington (GBR)	08:51:24
2009	Timo Bracht (GER)	07:59:15	Sandra Wallenhorst (GER)	08:58:08
2010	Andreas Raelert (GER)	08:05:15	Sandra Wallenhorst (GER)	09:04:27
2011	Faris Al-Sultan (GER)	08:13:50	Caroline Steffen (SUI)	09:12:13
2012	Marino Vanhoenacker (BEL)	08:03:31	Caroline Steffen (SUI)	08:52:33
2013	Eneko Llanos (ESP)	07:59:58	Camilla Pedersen (DEN)	08:56:01
2014	Sebastian Kienle (GER)	07:55:14	Corinne Abraham (GBR)	08:52:40
2015	Jan Frodeno (GER)	07:49:48	Daniela Ryf (SUI)	08:51:00
2016	Sebastian Kienle (GER)	07:52:43	Melissa Hauschildt (AUS)	09:01:17
2017	Sebastian Kienle (GER)	07:41:42	Sarah Crowley (AUS)	08:47:58
2018	Jan Frodeno (GER)	08:00:58	Daniela Ryf (SUI)	08:38:44

Last Race’s TOP 3

The full results analysis from last year’s race can be found here.

Male Race Results

Rank	Name	Nation	Swim	Bike	Run	Time
1	Jan Frodeno	GER	00:48:42	04:28:36	02:39:06	08:00:58
2	Patrik Nilsson	SWE	00:48:46	04:28:45	02:46:02	08:08:15
3	Patrick Lange	GER	00:48:43	04:29:01	02:47:15	08:09:26

Female Race Results

Rank	Name	Nation	Swim	Bike	Run	Time
1	Daniela Ryf	SUI	00:53:11	04:40:55	02:58:53	08:38:44
2	Sarah True	USA	00:53:09	05:10:56	02:54:58	09:05:19
3	Sarah Crowley	AUS	00:55:35	05:05:37	03:04:36	09:11:31

Course Records

Leg	Gender	Record	Athlete	Date
Total	overall	07:49:48	Jan Frodeno	2015-07-05
Swim	overall	00:42:17	Jan Sibbersen	2004-07-12
Bike	overall	04:08:43	Jan Frodeno	2015-07-05
Run	overall	02:39:06	Jan Frodeno	2018-07-08
Total	female	08:38:44	Daniela Ryf	2018-07-08
Swim	female	00:45:04	Amanda Stevens	2012-07-08
Bike	female	04:40:55	Daniela Ryf	2018-07-08
Run	female	02:54:58	Sarah True	2018-07-08

Course Rating

The Course Rating for IM Germany is 14:27.

Race Adjustments for IM Germany

Year	Adjustment	Swim Adj.	Bike Adj.	Run Adj.	# of Finishers	Rating	Swim Rating	Bike Rating	Run Rating
2005	06:40	01:34	08:48	-03:42	21	06:40	01:34	08:48	-03:42
2006	14:02	n/a	n/a	n/a	21	10:21	01:57	10:45	-02:21
2007	27:36	02:33	17:51	07:12	35	16:06	01:57	12:46	01:23
2008	30:17	05:44	15:07	09:26	21 of 28	19:39	03:06	12:54	03:39
2009	22:49	03:51	17:29	01:29	19 of 25	20:17	03:16	13:58	03:03
2010	11:32	01:41	07:43	02:08	30	18:49	02:59	12:52	02:58
2011	10:37	02:08	07:19	01:10	41	17:39	02:52	12:03	02:44
2012	12:23	04:27	06:03	01:53	37	16:59	03:06	11:15	02:39
2013	18:02	02:53	10:59	04:10	69	17:06	03:04	11:12	02:50
2014	14:11	02:01	12:36	-00:26	39 of 56	16:49	02:57	11:23	02:29
2015	05:18	00:05	08:43	-03:30	32 of 44	15:46	02:41	11:10	01:56
2016	12:03	-01:49	09:46	04:07	44 of 61	15:27	02:17	11:03	02:08
2017	18:39	-00:26	17:32	01:33	49 of 68	15:14	02:00	11:20	01:55
2018	02:20	-02:04	01:20	03:05	25 of 34	14:27	01:56	10:17	02:15

Kona slots and Prize Money

IM Germany has 2m+2f +2u Pro Kona slot(s). It has a total prize purse of 150.000 US$, paying 10 deep. Both unassigned slots will likely go to the male Pros.

Male Race Participants

The strength of the field is 63% of a typical Kona field. For a description on how the race might unfold, check out this post.

#	Bib	Name	Nat	Expected	Rating	ESwim	EBike	ET2	ERun	Consistency	Overall
1	3	Sebastian Kienle (AQ)	GER	07:57:37	08:10:23	00:48:27	04:17:11	05:10:38	02:46:59	78% +0% -22% (17)	4
2	2	Jan Frodeno (AQ)	GER	07:58:11	08:01:09	00:45:01	04:26:03	05:16:05	02:42:06	69% +14% -17% (10)	2
3	1	Patrick Lange (AQ)	GER	08:00:33	07:56:14	00:45:40	04:26:45	05:17:25	02:43:08	100% +0% -0% (4)	1
4	4	Joe Skipper (KQ)	GBR	08:14:09	08:19:28	00:50:06	04:31:52	05:26:58	02:47:11	67% +7% -25% (24)	14
5	8	Franz Loeschke	GER	08:19:01	08:36:57	00:46:57	04:38:22	05:30:20	02:48:41	n/a (1 IM Pro race)	(69)
6	45	David Plese (KQ) *	SLO	08:19:50	08:25:15	00:50:18	04:32:38	05:27:56	02:51:54	89% +4% -7% (29)	32
7	14	Emilio Aguayo Munoz	ESP	08:20:18	08:38:32	00:47:10	04:30:51	05:23:02	02:57:16	n/a (1 IM Pro race)	(76)
8	9	Ivan Rana *	ESP	08:20:59	08:32:25	00:46:23	04:41:24	05:32:47	02:48:12	66% +1% -33% (19)	54
9	51	Matthew Russell *	USA	08:21:25	08:27:52	00:52:45	04:32:24	05:30:10	02:51:15	49% +26% -25% (49)	41
10	25	Patrick Dirksmeier	GER	08:22:47	08:41:04	00:47:17	04:34:00	05:26:16	02:56:31	n/a (1 IM Pro race)	(85)
11	48	Sam Proctor	GBR	08:22:57	08:41:03	00:48:24	04:39:51	05:33:15	02:49:42	n/a (1 IM Pro race)	(85)
12	39	Christian Kramer	GER	08:23:25	08:33:36	00:46:46	04:33:59	05:25:45	02:57:40	63% +24% -13% (24)	56
13	27	Marc Duelsen *	GER	08:24:34	08:36:01	00:49:30	04:36:52	05:31:22	02:53:12	72% +0% -28% (13)	63
14	37	Kirill Kotshegarov	EST	08:24:55	08:37:10	00:52:11	04:34:21	05:31:32	02:53:23	46% +29% -25% (17)	(71)
15	5	Bas Diederen *	NED	08:25:19	08:35:35	00:46:37	04:36:53	05:28:30	02:56:49	51% +3% -46% (22)	62
16	11	Antony Costes *	FRA	08:25:45	08:44:19	00:46:50	04:33:09	05:24:58	03:00:47	31% +36% -33% (11)	93
17	38	Philipp Koutny	SUI	08:25:46	08:35:30	00:48:28	04:34:10	05:27:39	02:58:07	41% +25% -34% (12)	61
18	52	Paul Schuster	GER	08:29:19	08:47:55	00:47:33	04:35:07	05:27:41	03:01:38	n/a (1 IM Pro race)	(105)
19	50	Michael Ruenz *	GER	08:31:42	08:51:39	00:52:53	04:42:20	05:40:13	02:51:29	39% +12% -49% (17)	117
20	56	Andrej Vistica	CRO	08:32:53	08:36:36	00:53:16	04:42:08	05:40:24	02:52:29	94% +0% -6% (18)	66
21	33	Christian Haupt	GER	08:35:28	08:54:13	00:51:11	04:40:21	05:36:32	02:58:56	n/a (1 IM Pro race)	(131)
22	55	Thiago Vinhal	BRA	08:35:31	08:41:45	00:47:34	04:49:28	05:42:02	02:53:29	63% +20% -17% (18)	85
23	10	Per Van Vlerken	GER	08:36:01	08:44:12	00:47:42	04:41:03	05:33:45	03:02:16	68% +4% -28% (28)	92
24	41	Dylan McNeice	NZL	08:36:31	08:43:27	00:44:43	04:42:44	05:32:27	03:04:04	37% +30% -32% (20)	90
25	23	Trevor Delsaut *	FRA	08:37:18	08:59:34	00:50:35	04:46:35	05:42:10	02:55:08	20% +11% -69% (31)	(143)
26	58	Roman Deisenhofer	GER	08:38:26	08:56:42	00:50:14	04:38:11	05:33:25	03:05:01	35% +34% -31% (10)	(137)
27	26	Tobias Drachler	GER	08:41:02	08:59:58	00:46:58	04:44:34	05:36:32	03:04:30	n/a (1 IM Pro race)	(148)
28	22	Gregory Close	USA	08:42:11	09:13:31	00:55:09	04:43:05	05:43:14	02:58:57	12% +22% -66% (13)	(190)
29	49	Fabian Rahn	GER	08:42:11	08:51:03	00:57:49	04:45:23	05:48:12	02:53:59	62% +0% -38% (5)	115
30	7	Michael Raelert	GER	08:42:29	08:50:31	00:44:49	04:48:06	05:37:55	03:04:34	86% +0% -14% (5)	114
31	16	Victor Arroyo Bugallo	ESP	08:44:28	08:59:54	00:54:54	04:50:41	05:50:36	02:53:52	42% +0% -58% (4)	147
32	17	Daniel Besse	SUI	08:48:17	09:06:36	00:46:54	04:52:11	05:44:05	03:04:12	48% +52% -0% (2)	(169)
33	42	Philipp Mock	GER	08:48:36	09:03:40	00:56:45	04:35:37	05:37:21	03:11:15	100% +0% -0% (3)	161
34	28	Jose Estrangeiro	POR	08:50:05	08:58:34	00:47:50	04:52:53	05:45:43	03:04:22	51% +0% -49% (6)	142
35	32	David Hanko *	HUN	08:50:10	09:08:10	00:47:11	04:47:28	05:39:40	03:10:30	27% +31% -41% (3)	173
36	15	Lucas Amirault	FRA	08:51:36	09:05:20	00:51:15	04:51:40	05:47:54	03:03:42	100% +0% -0% (4)	166
37	34	Kristian Hindkjaer	DEN	08:58:12	09:23:48	00:50:56	04:38:58	05:34:55	03:23:17	49% +0% -51% (2)	(215)
38	18	Jean-Claude Besse	SUI	09:03:40	09:22:25	00:51:31	05:03:10	05:59:40	03:04:00	48% +52% -0% (2)	(212)
39	35	Marcus Hultgren	SWE	09:10:27	09:28:54	00:55:21	04:55:01	05:55:23	03:15:04	20% +40% -40% (11)	224
40	59	David Jilek *	CZE	09:21:57	09:35:06	00:55:50	04:58:18	05:59:08	03:22:49	84% +9% -6% (9)	236
41	31	Sebastian Guhr	GER	09:24:45	09:44:53	01:02:42	04:51:56	05:59:38	03:25:07	37% +39% -24% (3)	(245)
42	46	Lukas Polan *	CZE	09:31:12	09:53:51	00:59:44	05:09:40	06:14:25	03:16:47	50% +13% -36% (17)	249
43	36	Peter Kotland	CZE	09:40:01	09:51:45	00:57:11	05:08:26	06:10:37	03:29:24	84% +10% -6% (28)	247
44	53	Kevin Thewes	GER	10:30:50	10:53:36	01:07:53	05:22:21	06:35:14	03:55:36	n/a (1 IM Pro race)	(266)
45	43	Marek Nemcik *	SVK	11:17:33	12:01:00	01:10:05	05:38:58	06:54:03	04:23:30	39% +15% -47% (51)	269
	13	Anthony Adam	FRA	n/a	unrated	unrated	unrated	unrated	unrated	n/a (no IM Pro race)	(n/a)
	19	Sergio Bolado Noriega	ESP	n/a	unrated	unrated	unrated	unrated	unrated	n/a (1 IM Pro race)	(n/a)
	20	Steeve Brugiere	FRA	n/a	unrated	unrated	unrated	unrated	unrated	n/a (no IM Pro race)	(n/a)
	24	Benjamin Dicke	GER	n/a	unrated	unrated	unrated	unrated	unrated	n/a (no IM Pro race)	(n/a)
	29	Patrick Feil	GER	n/a	unrated	unrated	unrated	unrated	unrated	n/a (no IM Pro race)	(n/a)
	30	Romain Garcin *	FRA	n/a	unrated	unrated	unrated	unrated	unrated	0% +0% -100% (3)	(n/a)
	44	Lukas Pietrek	GER	n/a	unrated	unrated	unrated	unrated	unrated	n/a (no IM Pro race)	(n/a)
	54	Nacho Villarruel	ESP	n/a	unrated	unrated	unrated	unrated	unrated	n/a (no IM Pro race)	(n/a)
	57	Aljoscha Willgosch	GER	n/a	unrated	unrated	unrated	unrated	unrated	n/a (no IM Pro race)	(n/a)

Note: Athletes with a ‘*’ are also registered for another race within 8 days.

Female Race Participants

The strength of the field is 19% of a typical Kona field. For a description on how the race might unfold, check out this post.

#	Bib	Name	Nat	Expected	Rating	ESwim	EBike	ET2	ERun	Consistency	Overall
1	117	Sarah True	USA	08:56:38	09:08:13	00:49:26	05:07:42	06:02:08	02:54:30	27% +31% -43% (3)	(8)
2	111	Linsey Corbin (KQ) *	USA	09:08:15	09:14:08	00:55:39	05:04:08	06:04:47	03:03:28	97% +3% -0% (28)	12
3	101	Daniela Bleymehl (KQ)	GER	09:08:44	09:18:31	00:54:07	04:56:14	05:55:21	03:13:23	58% +32% -11% (13)	21
4	109	Jen Annett	CAN	09:14:19	09:24:32	00:58:51	04:55:42	05:59:33	03:14:46	49% +48% -4% (10)	29
5	113	Kimberley Morrison	GBR	09:17:13	09:28:29	00:53:11	04:53:46	05:51:56	03:25:17	100% +0% -0% (3)	40
6	119	Anja Ippach *	GER	09:21:44	09:27:35	00:50:57	04:59:30	05:55:27	03:26:17	52% +3% -45% (13)	37
7	105	Skye Moench	USA	09:23:57	09:37:44	00:54:03	05:06:13	06:05:16	03:18:41	10% +75% -15% (5)	51
8	114	Lenny Ramsey	NED	09:32:56	09:45:51	01:03:16	05:22:00	06:30:16	03:02:40	57% +43% -0% (3)	63
9	108	Saleta Castro Nogueira	ESP	09:36:38	09:46:23	00:54:23	05:28:10	06:27:33	03:09:05	71% +24% -5% (18)	65
10	110	Anne Basso *	FRA	10:03:23	10:27:17	00:55:34	05:29:53	06:30:27	03:32:56	28% +2% -70% (22)	115
	103	Sarah Lewis	GBR	n/a	unrated	unrated	unrated	unrated	unrated	n/a (no IM Pro race)	(n/a)
	107	Amelia Watkinson	NZL	n/a	unrated	unrated	unrated	unrated	unrated	n/a (no IM Pro race)	(n/a)
	112	Petra Eggenschwiler	SUI	n/a	unrated	unrated	unrated	unrated	unrated	n/a (no IM Pro race)	(n/a)
	115	Jade Roberts	ZAF	n/a	unrated	unrated	unrated	unrated	unrated	n/a (no IM Pro race)	(n/a)
	116	Imogen Simmonds	SUI	n/a	unrated	unrated	unrated	unrated	unrated	n/a (no IM Pro race)	(n/a)

Note: Athletes with a ‘*’ are also registered for another race within 8 days.

Winning Odds

Male Race Participants

• Sebastian Kienle: 40% (2-1)
• Jan Frodeno: 35% (2-1)
• Patrick Lange: 22% (4-1)

Female Race Participants

• Sarah True: 41% (1-1)
• Daniela Bleymehl: 22% (4-1)
• Anne Haug: 19% (4-1)
• Linsey Corbin: 10% (10-1)
• Angela Naeth: 4% (24-1)
• Jen Annett: 2% (57-1)
• Skye Moench: 2% (59-1)