Ironman Hamburg 2017 (August 13th) – Seedings

Update Aug 10th: I have crossed out the athletes that won’t be racing as per the latest startlist.

Update Aug 11th: I’ve crossed out a few more athletes who have not showed up for the Pro Meeting. Most notably, Michael Raelert won’t be racing as he is in bed with a fever. The male race will consist of 13 Pros, for the females there are expected to be 8 starters.

Here’s a shot of the top contenders from Friday’s Pro Panel (from left to right: Markus Fachbach, James Cunnama, Daniela Sammler, Eva Wutti and Kristin Möller):

This is the first race on this course – therefore there are no previous results, course records or adjustment of the predicted times for a fast or slow course.

KPR points and Prize Money

IM Hamburg is a P-2000 race. It has a total prize purse of 80.000 US$.

Male Race Participants

The strength of the field is 13% of a typical Kona field.

Rank	Bib	Name	Nation	Expected Time	Rating	Exp. Swim	Exp. Bike	Exp. T2	Exp. Run	Consistency	Overall
1	85	James Cunnama	ZAF	08:21:01	08:26:50	00:48:54	04:32:08	05:26:02	02:54:59	54% +23% -23% (25)	26
2	86	Giulio Molinari	ITA	08:29:09	08:31:54	00:48:51	04:32:45	05:26:36	03:02:33	100% +0% -0% (3)	42
3	53	Michael Weiss *	AUT	08:29:26	08:34:12	00:54:06	04:30:46	05:29:53	02:59:33	94% +5% -1% (18)	50
4	57	Jan Van Berkel	SUI	08:33:34	08:37:57	00:49:19	04:39:36	05:33:55	02:59:39	46% +25% -29% (14)	62
5	52	Michael Raelert	GER	08:36:59	08:54:08	00:48:03	04:44:37	05:37:40	02:59:19	12% +0% -88% (5)	(117)
6	51	Markus Fachbach	GER	08:37:15	08:35:48	00:50:36	04:41:39	05:37:15	03:00:00	69% +1% -31% (20)	55
7	84	Alberto Casadei *	ITA	08:37:56	08:49:52	00:48:03	04:49:06	05:42:09	02:55:47	28% +22% -49% (11)	100
8	65	Pedro Gomes *	POR	08:40:01	08:41:23	00:52:11	04:46:37	05:43:49	02:56:12	46% +1% -54% (28)	77
9	75	Alexander Schilling	GER	08:40:20	08:49:55	00:47:42	04:49:03	05:41:45	02:58:35	100% +0% -0% (2)	(101)
10	70	Carlos Lopez Diaz	ESP	08:41:55	08:50:11	00:47:30	04:48:20	05:40:51	03:01:04	29% +18% -53% (10)	102
11	58	Ritchie Nicholls	GBR	08:42:06	08:55:11	00:51:11	04:54:55	05:51:06	02:51:00	35% +0% -65% (7)	124
12	68	Philipp Koutny *	SUI	08:42:10	08:49:57	00:51:08	04:38:59	05:35:07	03:07:03	35% +21% -44% (6)	101
13	66	Esben Hovgaard *	DEN	08:42:27	08:49:49	00:52:54	04:42:51	05:40:45	03:01:42	56% +29% -16% (12)	99
14	56	Michael Goehner	GER	08:46:26	08:55:37	00:53:40	04:45:36	05:44:17	03:02:09	58% +2% -41% (20)	(126)
15	83	Thiago Vinhal	BRA	08:47:03	08:57:06	00:49:35	04:54:05	05:48:40	02:58:23	58% +34% -8% (13)	133
16	54	Horst Reichel	GER	08:50:00	09:07:18	00:49:02	04:47:20	05:41:22	03:08:38	18% +10% -72% (18)	167
17	89	Harry Wiltshire *	GBR	08:51:15	09:02:44	00:47:40	04:53:23	05:46:02	03:05:13	25% +16% -59% (22)	148
18	69	Markus Liebelt *	GER	08:55:38	09:09:07	00:55:14	04:43:03	05:43:17	03:12:21	n/a (1 IM Pro race)	(171)
19	59	Nick Baldwin *	SEY	08:56:27	09:10:53	00:53:30	04:48:00	05:46:29	03:09:58	53% +0% -47% (20)	175
20	60	Christian Birngruber	AUT	08:58:39	09:03:55	00:52:45	04:48:48	05:46:33	03:12:06	52% +0% -48% (6)	156
21	77	Michael Van Cleven *	BEL	09:03:41	09:22:57	00:50:05	04:39:51	05:34:55	03:28:46	37% +0% -63% (3)	(208)
22	76	Pavel Simko	SVK	09:04:46	09:12:28	00:52:32	04:49:13	05:46:46	03:18:00	70% +0% -30% (3)	179
23	55	Mike Schifferle *	SUI	09:05:14	09:05:03	01:00:37	04:52:28	05:58:05	03:07:09	89% +10% -2% (65)	160
24	71	Philipp Mock	GER	09:09:41	09:23:31	00:57:53	04:42:07	05:44:59	03:24:42	n/a (1 IM Pro race)	(210)
25	82	Sean Donnelly	GER	09:13:44	09:57:50	00:48:02	04:51:33	05:44:35	03:29:09	5% +6% -90% (4)	(283)
26	78	Hendrik-Jan Verhaegen *	BEL	09:18:31	09:32:23	00:55:37	05:01:05	06:01:42	03:16:49	44% +0% -56% (8)	237
27	72	Urs Mueller	SUI	09:21:39	09:25:29	00:54:43	04:59:29	05:59:13	03:22:26	79% +0% -21% (4)	217
28	63	Antony Costes	FRA	09:22:13	09:41:02	00:48:54	04:39:50	05:33:44	03:48:29	28% +0% -72% (7)	254
29	74	Lukas Polan *	CZE	09:37:04	09:51:47	01:02:51	05:10:06	06:17:57	03:19:07	22% +36% -42% (14)	270
30	67	Lachlan Kerin	AUS	09:43:51	10:04:32	00:50:42	05:03:30	05:59:12	03:44:39	49% +0% -51% (2)	(288)
31	88	Michal Ivanco	SVK	10:04:50	10:26:54	01:19:11	05:15:36	06:39:46	03:25:04	50% +0% -50% (2)	(297)
32	81	Valentin Zasypkin	RUS	10:12:29	10:25:34	01:11:23	05:23:08	06:39:31	03:32:58	5% +70% -25% (8)	296
33	87	Marek Nemcik	SVK	11:21:11	11:57:35	01:11:45	05:45:37	07:02:22	04:18:49	25% +24% -50% (41)	308
	80	Richard Westover	GBR	n/a	unrated	unrated	unrated	unrated	unrated	n/a (no IM Pro race)	(n/a)

Note:Athletes with a ‘*’ are also registered for another race within 8 days.

Female Race Participants

The strength of the field is 9% of a typical Kona field.

Carrie Lester is on the official start list, but as she has secured her Kona slot at IM France, she won’t be racing Hamburg.

Rank	Bib	Name	Nation	Expected Time	Rating	Exp. Swim	Exp. Bike	Exp. T2	Exp. Run	Consistency	Overall
1	4	Eva Wutti	AUT	09:17:20	09:18:13	00:57:42	05:10:37	06:13:20	03:04:00	86% +0% -14% (9)	12
2	2	Daniela Saemmler	GER	09:37:11	09:42:21	00:56:12	05:12:17	06:13:29	03:23:42	68% +0% -32% (9)	52
3	1	Kristin Moeller *	GER	09:38:20	09:39:38	01:03:13	05:25:56	06:34:08	03:04:12	76% +6% -18% (24)	47
4	11	Celine Schaerer *	SUI	09:41:07	09:50:17	00:51:13	05:22:44	06:18:57	03:22:10	72% +0% -28% (9)	66
5	12	Natascha Schmitt	GER	09:44:13	10:03:02	00:54:41	05:15:00	06:14:41	03:29:32	33% +23% -43% (8)	85
6	3	Verena Walter	GER	09:46:33	09:49:26	01:00:26	05:15:42	06:21:08	03:25:25	64% +28% -8% (8)	65
7	8	Kate Comber *	GBR	09:58:26	10:01:20	00:53:56	05:28:03	06:27:00	03:31:26	100% +0% -0% (5)	80
8	10	Angela Kuehnlein	GER	10:23:03	10:36:32	01:02:47	05:41:48	06:49:35	03:33:28	44% +0% -56% (6)	(146)
9	6	Rahel Bellinga *	NED	10:24:35	10:32:18	01:05:59	05:18:58	06:29:57	03:54:38	71% +21% -8% (7)	141
10	9	Annabel Diawuoh *	GER	11:10:56	11:34:18	01:26:16	05:46:23	07:17:40	03:53:16	66% +34% -0% (3)	155
	7	Franziska Bossow	GER	n/a	unrated	unrated	unrated	unrated	unrated	n/a (1 IM Pro race)	(n/a)
	14	Sandra Wassink-Hitzert	NED	n/a	unrated	unrated	unrated	unrated	unrated	n/a (no IM Pro race)	(n/a)

Note:Athletes with a ‘*’ are also registered for another race within 8 days.

Winning Odds

Male Race Participants

• James Cunnama: 27% (3-1)
• Michael Weiss: 21% (4-1)
• Jan Van Berkel: 18% (5-1)
• Giulio Molinari: 16% (5-1)
• Markus Fachbach: 6% (16-1)
• Alberto Casadei: 4% (27-1)
• Horst Reichel: 2% (54-1)

Female Race Participants

• Eva Wutti: 69% (1-1)
• Daniela Saemmler: 10% (9-1)
• Kristin Moeller: 9% (11-1)
• Celine Schaerer: 5% (18-1)
• Natascha Schmitt: 4% (26-1)
• Verena Walter: 3% (29-1)

Winning Odds

The following graphs show which athletes still have a chance of qualifying for Kona and what results they will probably need.

Male Race Participants

Female Race Participants