Ironman Mont Tremblant 2014 (August 17th) – Predictions

Previous Winners

Year Male Winner Time Female Winner Time
2012 Romain Guillaume (FRA) 08:40:48 Jessie Donavan (USA) 09:30:46
2013 Luke Bell (AUS) 08:26:06 Mary Beth Ellis (USA) 09:07:56

Last Year’s TOP 3

Male Race Results

Rank Name Nation Swim Bike Run Time
1 Luke Bell AUS 00:47:50 04:36:36 02:57:08 08:26:06
2 Brandon Marsh USA 00:47:45 04:41:04 02:56:24 08:31:01
3 Bert Jammaer BEL 00:48:07 04:40:31 02:58:08 08:31:35

Female Race Results

Rank Name Nation Swim Bike Run Time
1 Mary Beth Ellis USA 00:51:43 04:58:18 03:12:47 09:07:56
2 Rebekah Keat AUS 00:55:18 05:07:25 03:08:32 09:16:55
3 Anja Beranek GER 00:53:20 05:00:30 03:18:14 09:17:26

Course Records

All the course records are from 2013, the first year that Mont Tremblant was the North American Championship race:

Leg Gender Record Athlete Date
Total overall 08:26:06 Luke Bell 2013-08-18
Swim overall 00:47:45 Brandon Marsh 2013-08-18
Bike overall 04:35:17 Romain Guillaume 2012-08-18
Run overall 02:52:20 Stefan Schmid 2013-08-18
Total female 09:07:56 Mary Beth Ellis 2013-08-18
Swim female 00:49:22 Haley Chura 2013-08-18
Bike female 04:58:18 Mary Beth Ellis 2013-08-18
Run female 03:03:45 Kim Schwabenbauer 2013-08-18

Course Rating

The Course Rating for IM Mont Tremblant is 08:22.

Race Adjustments for IM Mont Tremblant

Year Adjustment Swim Adj. Bike Adj. Run Adj. # of Athletes Rating Swim Rating Bike Rating Run Rating
2012 11:17 -01:09 05:55 04:44 12 11:17 -01:09 05:55 04:44
2013 05:26 -00:34 03:13 04:17 32 08:22 -00:51 04:34 04:30

KPR points and Prize Money

IM Mont Tremblant has 4000 KPR points for the winner. It has a total prize purse of 125k$.

Male Race Participants

Rank Bib Name Nation Expected Time Rating Swim Rating Bike Rating Run Rating Rank
1 2 Andreas Raelert GER 08:23:14 08:31:09 00:49:44 04:47:32 02:53:00 (19)
2 4 TJ Tollakson USA 08:36:16 08:44:23 00:49:21 04:42:08 03:07:46 57
3 9 Jan Van Berkel SUI 08:42:05 08:50:18 00:48:02 04:41:50 03:14:44 76
4 10 Elliot Holtham CAN 08:42:10 08:50:23 00:52:52 04:48:10 03:02:57 77
5 6 Domenico Passuello ITA 08:44:54 08:53:09 00:54:41 04:44:15 03:07:02 90
6 3 Daniel Halksworth GBR 08:45:37 08:53:53 00:47:42 04:49:27 03:09:39 93
7 5 Matthew Russell USA 08:45:49 08:54:05 01:00:15 04:46:30 02:59:22 94
8 1 Luke Bell AUS 08:49:45 08:58:05 00:48:47 04:46:56 03:17:20 117
9 11 Christian Brader GER 08:50:30 08:58:51 00:56:32 04:52:52 03:04:11 121
10 14 Thomas Gerlach USA 08:52:48 09:01:11 00:54:17 04:45:18 03:14:51 136
11 13 Balazs Csoke HUN 08:54:10 09:02:34 00:47:57 04:50:13 03:19:27 140
12 23 Mathias Hecht SUI 08:55:05 09:03:30 00:49:35 04:54:04 03:14:13 (143)
13 12 Ryan Cain CAN 08:58:51 09:07:19 00:55:32 04:59:20 03:05:57 165
14 15 Wolfgang Guembel CAN 09:03:15 09:11:48 00:49:12 05:00:56 03:14:44 (186)
15 7 Bryan Rhodes NZL 09:13:43 09:22:25 00:48:50 05:02:25 03:26:54 215
16 19 Brendan Naef CAN 09:35:13 09:44:16 00:57:22 05:14:04 03:24:53 304
17 16 Martin Lamontagne Lacasse CAN 09:37:04 09:46:08 00:55:04 05:14:37 03:26:15 312
18 18 Simon Malo CAN 09:50:27 09:59:44 00:57:21 05:06:48 03:44:02 (367)
  17 Eric Limkemann USA n/a unrated unrated unrated unrated (n/a)
  21 Sean Sullivan USA n/a unrated unrated unrated unrated (n/a)

Female Race Participants

Rank Bib Name Nation Expected Time Rating Swim Rating Bike Rating Run Rating Rank
1 35 Tine Deckers BEL 09:20:17 09:29:06 00:57:43 05:07:07 03:16:54 19
2 38 Melanie Burke NZL 09:39:29 09:48:36 01:05:27 05:17:49 03:20:24 61
3 34 Amber Ferreira USA 09:40:47 09:49:55 00:54:58 05:26:29 03:23:36 67
4 33 Sara Gross CAN 09:40:54 09:50:02 00:55:43 05:30:00 03:20:25 68
5 36 Beth Shutt USA 09:46:50 09:56:04 00:59:52 05:24:08 03:23:54 81
  45 Sharon Gallant CAN n/a unrated unrated unrated unrated (n/a)
  42 Kelsey Withrow USA n/a unrated unrated unrated unrated (n/a)
  40 Sarah Graves USA n/a unrated unrated unrated unrated (n/a)

Winning Odds

Male Race Participants

The men with the best chances are all on a bit of a comeback trail: Andreas had a few frustrating DNFs (starting with Kona last year), defending champion Luke Bell was injured earlier this year, and TJ Tollakson took a long break after Kona (and becoming a father). So it will be an interesting race to watch, with at least one Kona slot on the line:

  • Andreas Raelert: 65% (1-1)
  • Luke Bell: 14% (6-1)
  • TJ Tollakson: 9% (10-1)
  • Mathias Hecht: 6% (15-1)
  • Daniel Halksworth: 2% (47-1)

Female Race Participants

The women’s field is surprisingly small for a championship race. Only eight athletes in a race that pays eight deep, but five of these athletes are looking for some KPR points to ensure qualification:

  • Tine Deckers: 53% (1-1)
  • Sara Gross: 18% (5-1)
  • Amber Ferreira: 17% (5-1)
  • Melanie Burke: 7% (12-1)
  • Beth Shutt: 4% (23-1)
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