Ironman Mont Tremblant 2014 (August 17th) – Predictions

Previous Winners

Year	Male Winner	Time	Female Winner	Time
2012	Romain Guillaume (FRA)	08:40:48	Jessie Donavan (USA)	09:30:46
2013	Luke Bell (AUS)	08:26:06	Mary Beth Ellis (USA)	09:07:56

Last Year’s TOP 3

Male Race Results

Rank	Name	Nation	Swim	Bike	Run	Time
1	Luke Bell	AUS	00:47:50	04:36:36	02:57:08	08:26:06
2	Brandon Marsh	USA	00:47:45	04:41:04	02:56:24	08:31:01
3	Bert Jammaer	BEL	00:48:07	04:40:31	02:58:08	08:31:35

Female Race Results

Rank	Name	Nation	Swim	Bike	Run	Time
1	Mary Beth Ellis	USA	00:51:43	04:58:18	03:12:47	09:07:56
2	Rebekah Keat	AUS	00:55:18	05:07:25	03:08:32	09:16:55
3	Anja Beranek	GER	00:53:20	05:00:30	03:18:14	09:17:26

Course Records

All the course records are from 2013, the first year that Mont Tremblant was the North American Championship race:

Leg	Gender	Record	Athlete	Date
Total	overall	08:26:06	Luke Bell	2013-08-18
Swim	overall	00:47:45	Brandon Marsh	2013-08-18
Bike	overall	04:35:17	Romain Guillaume	2012-08-18
Run	overall	02:52:20	Stefan Schmid	2013-08-18
Total	female	09:07:56	Mary Beth Ellis	2013-08-18
Swim	female	00:49:22	Haley Chura	2013-08-18
Bike	female	04:58:18	Mary Beth Ellis	2013-08-18
Run	female	03:03:45	Kim Schwabenbauer	2013-08-18

Course Rating

The Course Rating for IM Mont Tremblant is 08:22.

Race Adjustments for IM Mont Tremblant

Year	Adjustment	Swim Adj.	Bike Adj.	Run Adj.	# of Athletes	Rating	Swim Rating	Bike Rating	Run Rating
2012	11:17	-01:09	05:55	04:44	12	11:17	-01:09	05:55	04:44
2013	05:26	-00:34	03:13	04:17	32	08:22	-00:51	04:34	04:30

KPR points and Prize Money

IM Mont Tremblant has 4000 KPR points for the winner. It has a total prize purse of 125k$.

Male Race Participants

Rank	Bib	Name	Nation	Expected Time	Rating	Swim Rating	Bike Rating	Run Rating	Rank
1	2	Andreas Raelert	GER	08:23:14	08:31:09	00:49:44	04:47:32	02:53:00	(19)
2	4	TJ Tollakson	USA	08:36:16	08:44:23	00:49:21	04:42:08	03:07:46	57
3	9	Jan Van Berkel	SUI	08:42:05	08:50:18	00:48:02	04:41:50	03:14:44	76
4	10	Elliot Holtham	CAN	08:42:10	08:50:23	00:52:52	04:48:10	03:02:57	77
5	6	Domenico Passuello	ITA	08:44:54	08:53:09	00:54:41	04:44:15	03:07:02	90
6	3	Daniel Halksworth	GBR	08:45:37	08:53:53	00:47:42	04:49:27	03:09:39	93
7	5	Matthew Russell	USA	08:45:49	08:54:05	01:00:15	04:46:30	02:59:22	94
8	1	Luke Bell	AUS	08:49:45	08:58:05	00:48:47	04:46:56	03:17:20	117
9	11	Christian Brader	GER	08:50:30	08:58:51	00:56:32	04:52:52	03:04:11	121
10	14	Thomas Gerlach	USA	08:52:48	09:01:11	00:54:17	04:45:18	03:14:51	136
11	13	Balazs Csoke	HUN	08:54:10	09:02:34	00:47:57	04:50:13	03:19:27	140
12	23	Mathias Hecht	SUI	08:55:05	09:03:30	00:49:35	04:54:04	03:14:13	(143)
13	12	Ryan Cain	CAN	08:58:51	09:07:19	00:55:32	04:59:20	03:05:57	165
14	15	Wolfgang Guembel	CAN	09:03:15	09:11:48	00:49:12	05:00:56	03:14:44	(186)
15	7	Bryan Rhodes	NZL	09:13:43	09:22:25	00:48:50	05:02:25	03:26:54	215
16	19	Brendan Naef	CAN	09:35:13	09:44:16	00:57:22	05:14:04	03:24:53	304
17	16	Martin Lamontagne Lacasse	CAN	09:37:04	09:46:08	00:55:04	05:14:37	03:26:15	312
18	18	Simon Malo	CAN	09:50:27	09:59:44	00:57:21	05:06:48	03:44:02	(367)
	17	Eric Limkemann	USA	n/a	unrated	unrated	unrated	unrated	(n/a)
	21	Sean Sullivan	USA	n/a	unrated	unrated	unrated	unrated	(n/a)

Female Race Participants

Rank	Bib	Name	Nation	Expected Time	Rating	Swim Rating	Bike Rating	Run Rating	Rank
1	35	Tine Deckers	BEL	09:20:17	09:29:06	00:57:43	05:07:07	03:16:54	19
2	38	Melanie Burke	NZL	09:39:29	09:48:36	01:05:27	05:17:49	03:20:24	61
3	34	Amber Ferreira	USA	09:40:47	09:49:55	00:54:58	05:26:29	03:23:36	67
4	33	Sara Gross	CAN	09:40:54	09:50:02	00:55:43	05:30:00	03:20:25	68
5	36	Beth Shutt	USA	09:46:50	09:56:04	00:59:52	05:24:08	03:23:54	81
	45	Sharon Gallant	CAN	n/a	unrated	unrated	unrated	unrated	(n/a)
	42	Kelsey Withrow	USA	n/a	unrated	unrated	unrated	unrated	(n/a)
	40	Sarah Graves	USA	n/a	unrated	unrated	unrated	unrated	(n/a)

Winning Odds

Male Race Participants

The men with the best chances are all on a bit of a comeback trail: Andreas had a few frustrating DNFs (starting with Kona last year), defending champion Luke Bell was injured earlier this year, and TJ Tollakson took a long break after Kona (and becoming a father). So it will be an interesting race to watch, with at least one Kona slot on the line:

• Andreas Raelert: 65% (1-1)
• Luke Bell: 14% (6-1)
• TJ Tollakson: 9% (10-1)
• Mathias Hecht: 6% (15-1)
• Daniel Halksworth: 2% (47-1)

Female Race Participants

The women’s field is surprisingly small for a championship race. Only eight athletes in a race that pays eight deep, but five of these athletes are looking for some KPR points to ensure qualification:

• Tine Deckers: 53% (1-1)
• Sara Gross: 18% (5-1)
• Amber Ferreira: 17% (5-1)
• Melanie Burke: 7% (12-1)
• Beth Shutt: 4% (23-1)