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Ironman Cairns 2018 – Analyzing Results

IMCairnsLogoCourse Conditions

The racing in Cairns was fast and furious across the board, and the conditions favored quick times especially on the bike (even though no new bike course records were set). An adjustment of 13:54 is the fastest I have seen on this course. 

There were a number of new course records: Winners Teresa Adam and Braden Currie set new overall records (improving the times set by Sarah Crowley and Josh Amberger just one year ago). Lauren Brandon claimed another swim course record, and there were also run course records by Beth McKenzie (first sub-3 run in Cairns) and Braden Currie (with the first sub-2:40). 

Male Race Results

Rank Name Nation Swim Bike Run Time Diff to exp. Prize Money KPR Points
1 Braden Currie NZL 00:46:45 04:24:52 02:39:59 07:54:58 -22:33 US$ 30,000 4000
2 Javier Gomez ESP 00:46:41 04:25:08 02:41:02 07:56:38 n/a US$ 15,000 3400
3 Terenzo Bozzone NZL 00:48:43 04:22:30 02:45:59 08:00:06 -06:26 US$ 8,000 2890
4 Timothy O’Donnell USA 00:46:42 04:24:58 02:46:00 08:00:54 -08:50 US$ 6,500 2455
5 Denis Chevrot FRA 00:48:46 04:22:17 02:52:59 08:07:25 -14:09 US$ 5,000 2090
6 Kyle Buckingham ZAF 00:48:52 04:22:47 02:57:31 08:12:38 -02:57 US$ 3,500 1670
7 Tim Van Berkel AUS 00:48:47 04:25:38 02:57:28 08:15:11 07:04 US$ 2,500 1335
8 Tim Reed AUS 00:48:49 04:22:46 03:02:46 08:17:48 -00:12 US$ 2,000 1070
9 David Plese SLO 00:55:02 04:26:51 02:51:36 08:18:35 01:24 US$ 1,500 855
10 Callum Millward NZL 00:48:53 04:35:56 02:51:34 08:19:51 -01:42 US$ 1,000 685
11 Daniil Sapunov UKR 00:48:51 04:38:15 03:09:51 08:40:43 11:00   515
12 Balazs Csoke HUN 00:48:50 04:50:34 03:04:22 08:48:02 -07:38   385
13 Casey Munro AUS 00:46:48 04:49:20 03:07:59 08:48:18 14:44   290
14 Jason Hall NZL 00:53:04 05:01:34 02:58:14 08:57:04 n/a   215
15 David Mainwaring AUS 00:53:07 04:58:36 03:33:02 09:28:54 n/a   160
16 Lachlan Kerin AUS 00:48:42 04:42:20 04:08:58 09:45:32 41:23   120
17 Ryan Palazzi AUS 00:53:01 04:55:04 04:26:54 10:19:24 1:05:32   90
  Clayton Fettell AUS 00:46:42 04:34:33   DNF      
  Bryce McMaster NZL 00:55:59 05:50:57   DNF      
  Luke McKenzie AUS 00:48:46     DNF      
  Mike Phillips NZL 00:52:35     DNF      
  Blake Kappler AUS 00:54:39     DNF      
  Leigh Stabryla AUS 01:03:16     DNF      

Female Race Results

Rank Name Nation Swim Bike Run Time Diff to exp. Prize Money KPR Points
1 Teresa Adam NZL 00:50:41 04:50:12 03:08:44 08:53:16 -08:25 US$ 30,000 4000
2 Mirinda Carfrae AUS 01:01:05 04:50:30 03:03:19 08:59:17 09:23 US$ 15,000 3400
3 Beth McKenzie USA 01:01:38 05:01:26 02:55:23 09:03:10 -10:54 US$ 8,000 2890
4 Gurutze Frades Larralde ESP 01:01:36 05:01:34 03:02:58 09:09:52 -15:41 US$ 6,500 2455
5 Melanie Burke NZL 01:01:39 04:56:49 03:10:06 09:12:31 -21:27 US$ 5,000 2090
6 Asa Lundstroem SWE 01:01:35 05:01:46 03:12:05 09:18:57 06:19 US$ 3,500 1670
7 Lauren Brandon USA 00:48:39 04:57:38 03:30:21 09:20:28 -01:39 US$ 2,500 1335
8 Amanda Wilson AUS 01:01:13 05:14:03 03:21:10 09:40:51 n/a US$ 2,000 1070
9 Sue Huse CAN 01:06:41 05:35:10 03:20:05 10:06:48 44:46 US$ 1,500 855
  Anja Beranek GER 00:55:51 05:01:12   DNF      

Kona Qualifying

Here’s the athletes that have significantly improved their chances for a July slot:

  • Automatic Qualifiers: Teresa Adam, Braden Currie, Mirinda Carfrae (Kona winner, now validated)
  • Safe: Gurutze Frades, Javier Gomez, Tim O’Donnell
  • Bubble (might be enough): Tim Reed, Callum Millard, Denis Chevrot (all of them already have four races in their total, so it’ll be hard for them to improve without doing another Ironman)
  • Close (more points needed): Melanie Burke, Asa Lundstroem

In addition to these, Terenzo Bozzone, Tim Van Berkel, and Kyle Buckingham already had secured their slots before Cairns.

Challenge Roth 2018 (July 1st) – Entry List

TitlePage Roth Report ThumbI’m working on a Rating Report for this year’s race. It’s going to be the best resource to look forward to Challenge Roth and to follow the Pro races on-site or via the Challenge live stream. The Report is going to be a 60+-page PDF with information about the race, all Professional participants and their chances on July 1st. You can already pre-order it here (or by clicking on the image on the right) so you’ll receive it as soon as it is released.

Male Race Participants

Bib Name Nation Previous Results
1 Sebastian Kienle GER 2 finishes out of 2 Challenge Roth starts
2 Joe Skipper GBR 2 finishes out of 2 Challenge Roth starts
3 Andreas Dreitz GER first start at Challenge Roth
4 James Cunnama ZAF 4 finishes out of 4 Challenge Roth starts, 1 win (2012)
5 Cameron Wurf AUS first start at Challenge Roth
6 Luke Bell AUS first start at Challenge Roth
7 Jesse Thomas USA first start at Challenge Roth
8 Roman Deisenhofer GER 1 finish out of 1 Challenge Roth start
9 Michael Goehner GER 3 finishes out of 3 Challenge Roth starts, 1 win (2009)
10 Markus Hoermann GER 1 finish out of 1 Challenge Roth start
11 Jan Raphael GER 1 finish out of 1 Challenge Roth start
12 Sebastian Neef GER 0 finishes out of 1 Challenge Roth start
13 Lukas Kraemer GER first start at Challenge Roth
14 Evert Scheltinga NED first start at Challenge Roth
15 Fraser Cartmell GBR first start at Challenge Roth
16 Douglas MacLean USA first start at Challenge Roth
17 Marc Unger GER first start at Challenge Roth
18 Christian Altstadt GER first start at Challenge Roth
19 Sebastian Mahr GER first start at Challenge Roth
20 Patrick Jaberg SUI first start at Challenge Roth
21 Niclas Bock GER first start at Challenge Roth
22 Charles Martin FRA first start at Challenge Roth
23 Young Hwan Oh KOR 1 finish out of 1 Challenge Roth start
24 Rick Steffen GER first start at Challenge Roth
25 Alfred Rahm GER 1 finish out of 1 Challenge Roth start
27 Reece Barclay GBR first start at Challenge Roth
28 Bruno Pasqualini ITA first start at Challenge Roth
30 Tjardo Visser NED 1 finish out of 1 Challenge Roth start
32 Paul Schuster GER first start at Challenge Roth
33 Luis Henrique Ohde BRA first start at Challenge Roth
46 Marcus Woellner GER 1 finish out of 1 Challenge Roth start
47 Bryan McCrystal IRL first start at Challenge Roth
48 Thomas Naasz NED 4 finishes out of 4 Challenge Roth starts
97 Sven Riederer SUI first start at Challenge Roth

Female Race Participants

Bib Name Nation Previous Results
101 Lucy Charles GBR first start at Challenge Roth
102 Laura Siddall GBR 2 finishes out of 2 Challenge Roth starts
103 Yvonne Van Vlerken NED 7 finishes out of 7 Challenge Roth starts, 3 wins (2007, 2008, 2015)
104 Kaisa Sali FIN first start at Challenge Roth
107 Daniela Saemmler GER 2 finishes out of 2 Challenge Roth starts
109 Sofie Goos BEL first start at Challenge Roth
110 Lucie Zelenkova CZE 2 finishes out of 2 Challenge Roth starts
111 Alicia Kaye USA first start at Challenge Roth
113 Sarissa De Vries NED first start at Challenge Roth
114 Olga Kowalska POL first start at Challenge Roth
116 Karen Steurs BEL first start at Challenge Roth
132 Bianca Steurer AUT first start at Challenge Roth

Ironman France 2018 (June 24th) – Seedings

Update June 19th: Removed a few athletes as they are no longer on the latest start list (Braden Currie, Bryan McCrystal, Heather Jackson, Helena Herrero) or have posted on social media that they won’t be racing (Boris Stein).

IMFrance_LogoPrevious Winners

Year Male Winner Time Female Winner Time
2005 Herve Faure (FRA) 08:49:06 Mariska Kramer-Postma (NED) 10:12:29
2006 Marcel Zamora (ESP) 08:33:56 Edith Niederfriniger (ITA) 09:56:32
2007 Marcel Zamora (ESP) 08:38:45 Alexandra Louison (FRA) 09:49:11
2008 Marcel Zamora (ESP) 08:34:03 Martina Dogana (ITA) 09:35:29
2009 Marcel Zamora (ESP) 08:30:06 Tine Deckers (BEL) 09:30:29
2010 Marcel Zamora (ESP) 08:25:28 Tine Deckers (BEL) 09:21:29
2011 Frederik Van Lierde (BEL) 08:28:30 Silvia Felt (GER) 09:34:31
2012 Frederik Van Lierde (BEL) 08:21:51 Tine Deckers (BEL) 09:16:05
2013 Frederik Van Lierde (BEL) 08:08:59 Mary Beth Ellis (USA) 09:12:54
2014 Bart Aernouts (BEL) 08:33:22 Tine Deckers (BEL) 09:12:21
2015 Boris Stein (GER) 08:27:32 Caitlin Snow (USA) 09:24:50
2016 Victor Del Corral (ESP) 08:30:00 Tine Deckers (BEL) 09:22:04
2017 Frederik Van Lierde (BEL) 08:31:31 Carrie Lester (AUS) 09:27:53

Last Year’s TOP 3

Here’s the link to the full results and my analysis of IM France 2017.

Male Race Results

Rank Name Nation Swim Bike Run Time
1 Frederik Van Lierde BEL 00:49:21 04:39:00 02:57:19 08:31:31
2 Alessandro Degasperi ITA 00:53:22 04:53:40 02:43:38 08:36:18
3 Denis Chevrot FRA 00:49:06 04:57:38 02:47:44 08:39:42

Female Race Results

Rank Name Nation Swim Bike Run Time
1 Carrie Lester AUS 00:55:32 05:19:12 03:06:14 09:27:53
2 Annabel Luxford AUS 00:52:19 05:24:50 03:14:21 09:38:31
3 Nicole Valentine USA 01:01:57 05:59:49 03:13:51 10:21:53

Course Records

Leg Gender Record Athlete Date
Total overall 08:08:59 Frederik Van Lierde 2013-06-23
Swim overall 00:44:18 Gilles Reboul 2006-06-24
Bike overall 04:33:29 Frederik Van Lierde 2013-06-23
Run overall 02:37:01 Bart Aernouts 2013-06-23
Total female 09:12:21 Tine Deckers 2014-06-29
Swim female 00:48:59 Edith Niederfriniger 2006-06-24
Bike female 05:05:03 Tine Deckers 2016-06-05
Run female 02:52:26 Caitlin Snow 2014-06-29

Course Rating

The Course Rating for IM France is 03:26.

Race Adjustments for IM France

Year Adjustment Swim Adj. Bike Adj. Run Adj. # of Finishers Rating Swim Rating Bike Rating Run Rating
2006 11:43 07:01 -00:04 05:33 34 11:43 07:01 -00:04 05:33
2007 09:11 00:56 01:17 08:56 39 10:27 03:59 00:36 07:14
2008 02:49 -00:05 -00:33 02:15 41 07:54 02:37 00:13 05:34
2009 06:14 -01:10 01:15 04:21 36 07:29 01:41 00:29 05:16
2010 11:15 -01:23 -00:02 05:01 32 08:14 01:04 00:23 05:13
2011 02:06 00:27 -01:10 02:37 29 07:13 00:58 00:07 04:47
2012 02:12 00:44 -02:36 03:02 23 06:30 00:56 -00:16 04:32
2013 08:54 00:41 -01:01 08:01 20 06:48 00:54 -00:22 04:58
2014 -02:27 -01:19 -04:03 06:30 26 of 34 05:46 00:39 -00:46 05:08
2015 00:36 -01:06 -05:02 03:49 25 of 34 05:15 00:29 -01:12 05:00
2016 01:18 00:50 -06:05 06:55 36 of 47 04:54 00:30 -01:39 05:11
2017 -12:41 -00:37 -11:02 05:36 17 of 24 03:26 00:25 -02:25 05:13

KPR points and Prize Money

IM France is a P-2000 race. It has a total prize purse of 80.000 US$, paying 10 deep.

Male Race Participants

The strength of the field is 18% of a typical Kona field.

# Bib Name Nat Expected Rating ESwim EBike ET2 ERun Consistency Overall
1 1 Frederik Van Lierde BEL 08:17:25 08:21:26 00:47:56 04:33:56 05:26:52 02:50:33 77% +4% -18% (26) 17
2 3 Boris Stein GER 08:18:28 08:20:56 00:53:01 04:32:21 05:30:22 02:48:06 80% +20% -0% (9) 16
3 5 Braden Currie NZL 08:23:59 08:34:51 00:46:56 04:42:27 05:34:23 02:49:36 27% +18% -55% (5) 63
4 17 Timothy Van Houtem BEL 08:24:40 08:38:19 00:56:53 04:37:26 05:39:19 02:45:21 46% +54% -0% (2) (75)
5 6 Cameron Wurf * AUS 08:25:04 08:30:41 00:50:00 04:25:23 05:20:23 03:04:41 53% +36% -10% (10) 50
6 43 Eneko Llanos ESP 08:26:31 08:29:59 00:48:37 04:36:15 05:29:53 02:56:38 87% +0% -13% (34) 44
7 38 TJ Tollakson USA 08:27:14 08:31:27 00:49:06 04:35:16 05:29:22 02:57:52 58% +8% -34% (25) 55
8 4 Antony Costes FRA 08:27:58 09:08:53 00:48:47 04:37:22 05:31:09 02:56:49 20% +31% -50% (9) 181
9 11 Giulio Molinari ITA 08:29:50 08:30:57 00:48:11 04:39:06 05:32:18 02:57:32 100% +0% -0% (4) 54
10 7 Romain Guillaume FRA 08:32:36 08:42:56 00:48:22 04:37:21 05:30:44 03:01:52 43% +5% -52% (34) 84
11 10 Andrej Vistica CRO 08:32:49 08:36:24 00:54:04 04:45:48 05:44:52 02:47:57 92% +0% -8% (16) 67
12 2 Victor Del Corral * ESP 08:32:56 08:45:30 00:55:47 04:45:22 05:46:10 02:46:46 39% +0% -61% (19) 90
13 37 Markus Thomschke GER 08:35:54 08:41:09 00:52:17 04:40:17 05:37:34 02:58:20 42% +21% -37% (20) 79
14 26 Pedro Gomes POR 08:39:08 08:48:19 00:51:35 04:51:15 05:47:51 02:51:17 50% +1% -49% (31) 105
15 13 Domenico Passuello ITA 08:39:19 08:58:57 00:54:28 04:43:08 05:42:36 02:56:43 9% +14% -76% (9) (144)
16 8 Herve Faure FRA 08:40:21 08:57:18 00:50:45 04:48:29 05:44:15 02:56:06 12% +0% -88% (9) (140)
17 15 Gwenael Ouilleres FRA 08:40:37 08:55:31 00:50:41 04:49:14 05:44:55 02:55:42 52% +0% -48% (4) (133)
18 36 Erik-Simon Strijk NED 08:42:41 08:51:31 00:53:04 04:47:57 05:46:01 02:56:40 72% +1% -27% (12) 120
19 22 Christian Brader GER 08:43:09 08:46:50 00:54:14 04:52:09 05:51:22 02:51:47 80% +2% -18% (40) 97
20 31 Matthew Leeman GBR 08:43:54 09:00:32 00:48:29 04:52:00 05:45:29 02:58:25 n/a (1 IM Pro race) (153)
21 39 Diego Van Looy BEL 08:44:47 08:53:13 01:03:18 04:51:34 05:59:52 02:44:55 100% +0% -0% (5) 128
22 30 Guillaume Lecallier FRA 08:46:00 08:57:52 00:55:04 04:48:16 05:48:21 02:57:39 100% +0% -0% (2) (142)
23 9 Scott Defilippis USA 08:53:49 unrated 00:55:21 05:01:13 06:01:34 02:52:15 36% +15% -48% (25) n/a
24 12 Albert Moreno Molins ESP 08:54:08 09:11:05 00:50:53 04:53:45 05:49:37 03:04:31 75% +0% -25% (2) (192)
25 33 Bryan McCrystal * IRL 08:55:04 09:10:18 00:59:13 04:41:43 05:45:56 03:09:08 49% +14% -36% (5) 185
26 35 Mike Schifferle SUI 09:03:30 09:13:46 00:59:52 04:55:38 06:00:30 03:03:00 82% +6% -12% (72) 195
27 25 Rasmus Fitzner DEN 09:15:15 09:32:52 00:55:07 05:06:36 06:06:44 03:08:31 40% +0% -60% (3) (248)
28 24 Bekim Christensen DEN 09:28:58 09:45:52 01:05:34 04:53:49 06:04:23 03:24:35 33% +0% -67% (5) (268)
29 32 Arland Macasieb PHI 10:37:26 11:11:25 01:05:28 05:39:15 06:49:44 03:47:42 10% +0% -90% (13) 301
30 29 Aleksander Kochetkov * LTU 10:51:18 11:11:58 01:08:36 05:46:45 07:00:21 03:50:57 n/a (1 IM Pro race) (303)
14 Etienne Diemunsch FRA n/a unrated unrated unrated unrated unrated n/a (1 IM Pro race) (n/a)
16 Robin Pasteur FRA n/a unrated unrated unrated unrated unrated n/a (1 IM Pro race) (n/a)
18 Romain Babin CHI n/a unrated unrated unrated unrated unrated n/a (no IM Pro race) (n/a)
19 Morten Banke DEN n/a unrated unrated unrated unrated unrated n/a (no IM Pro race) (n/a)
20 David Bill SUI n/a unrated unrated unrated unrated unrated n/a (no IM Pro race) (n/a)
21 Charles Bouin FRA n/a unrated unrated unrated unrated unrated n/a (no IM Pro race) (n/a)
23 Vicenc Castella Serra ESP n/a unrated unrated unrated unrated unrated n/a (no IM Pro race) (n/a)
27 Sebastien Jouffret FRA n/a unrated unrated unrated unrated unrated n/a (no IM Pro race) (n/a)
28 Mitchell Kibby AUS n/a unrated unrated unrated unrated unrated n/a (no IM Pro race) (n/a)
34 Imanol Sagarzazu ESP n/a unrated unrated unrated unrated unrated n/a (1 IM Pro race) (n/a)
40 Romain Garcin FRA n/a unrated unrated unrated unrated unrated n/a (1 IM Pro race) (n/a)
42 Alexandre Blain FRA n/a unrated unrated unrated unrated unrated n/a (no IM Pro race) (n/a)

Note: Athletes with a ‘*’ are also registered for another race within 8 days.

Female Race Participants

Heather Jackson is posted in the official start list (bib #62), but she has written on her blog that she decided to race IM Lake Placid. She confirmed to me that she won’t be racing in France. I am therefore posting the seedings (including the odds) as if she is not part of the field. (Update: June 19th: She’s no longer on the latest start list.)

The strength of the field is 11% of a typical Kona field.

# Bib Name Nat Expected Rating ESwim EBike ET2 ERun Consistency Overall
1 74 Melissa Hauschildt AUS 09:07:05 09:11:58 00:56:35 05:06:34 06:08:09 02:58:56 81% +6% -13% (7) 5
2 61 Carrie Lester AUS 09:11:53 09:16:27 00:54:11 05:07:30 06:06:41 03:05:12 63% +18% -19% (23) 7
3 64 Corinne Abraham GBR 09:19:34 09:21:33 00:59:13 05:12:02 06:16:15 03:03:19 96% +4% -0% (14) 20
4 66 Lisa Roberts USA 09:19:58 09:24:43 01:02:44 05:16:00 06:23:44 02:56:14 80% +3% -17% (22) 24
5 65 Manon Genet FRA 09:32:37 09:45:36 00:58:37 05:13:28 06:17:06 03:15:31 19% +57% -24% (4) 59
6 63 Magali Tisseyre CAN 09:33:41 09:40:19 00:54:25 05:22:37 06:22:02 03:11:39 100% +0% -0% (3) 55
7 68 Jessie Donavan * USA 09:38:28 09:39:47 01:05:58 05:10:57 06:21:55 03:16:33 98% +2% -0% (17) 54
8 71 Natascha Schmitt GER 09:40:30 10:03:02 00:54:16 05:17:31 06:16:46 03:23:44 33% +23% -43% (8) (95)
9 69 Helena Herrero Gomez * ESP 10:17:21 10:39:45 01:00:35 05:52:25 06:58:00 03:19:21 34% +0% -66% (11) 145
10 67 Charlotte Morel FRA 10:31:25 10:57:59 00:54:15 05:24:03 06:23:18 04:08:07 43% +0% -57% (2) (154)
11 72 Jana Candrova CZE 10:33:26 10:47:15 01:06:35 05:43:46 06:55:21 03:38:05 57% +0% -43% (20) 150
70 Antonina Reznikov * ISR n/a unrated unrated unrated unrated unrated n/a (no IM Pro race) (n/a)
73 Federica De Nicola ITA n/a unrated unrated unrated unrated unrated n/a (1 IM Pro race) (n/a)

Note: Athletes with a ‘*’ are also registered for another race within 8 days.

Winning Odds

Male Race Participants

  • Frederik Van Lierde: 39% (2-1)
  • Boris Stein: 30% (2-1)
  • Antony Costes: 9% (11-1)
  • Timothy Van Houtem: 8% (12-1)
  • Cameron Wurf: 6% (16-1)
  • Braden Currie: 4% (25-1)
  • Eneko Llanos: 4% (26-1)

Female Race Participants

  • Carrie Lester: 44% (1-1)
  • Melissa Hauschildt: 40% (2-1)
  • Lisa Roberts: 12% (7-1)
  • Corinne Abraham: 5% (21-1)

Kona Qualifying

With just two more full months of racing before the first cutoff for Kona qualifying, here’s a look at what the male athletes will need to reach the projected cutoff of 3.500 points:

  • Win (2000 pts): Markus Thomschke
  • 2nd (1600 pts):  Giulio Molinari, Braden Currie (also on the list for Cairns)
  • 3rd (1280 pts): Romain Guillaume, Andrej Vistica
  • 4th (960 pts): TJ Tollakson
  • “Just finish”: Boris Stein
  • Already safe: Cameron Wurf, Antony Costes, Frederik Van Lierde (AQ)

The female cutoff will be around 4.400 points, that higher number can only be reached by a few women:

  • 6th (540): Lisa Roberts
  • 8th (305 pts): Manon Genet
  • “Just finish”: Heather Jackson (but likely racing in Lake Placid)
  • Already safe: Melissa Hauschildt, Carrie Lester

Ironman Philippines 2018 – Analyzing Results

IMPHI_LogoCourse Conditions

As expected, IM Philippines was a tough course, taking a lot out of the athletes. Especially the run was extremely slow, the adjustment of -4:25 was even harder than Kona.

Male Race Results

Rank Name Nation Swim Bike Run Time Diff to exp. Prize Money KPR Points
1 Nick Baldwin SEY 00:55:07 04:45:43 03:03:47 08:50:13 -09:12 US$ 5,000 2000
2 Cameron Brown NZL 00:55:48 04:53:38 03:01:49 08:56:49 31:54 US$ 2,750 1600
3 Simon Cochrane NZL 00:51:14 04:54:00 03:07:11 08:58:58 10:21 US$ 1,750 1280
4 Eneko Elosegui ESP 01:00:00 04:57:41 03:32:02 09:35:38 -01:19 US$ 1,250 960
5 August Benedicto PHI 01:08:49 05:07:37 03:27:03 09:48:46 n/a US$ 1,000 720
6 Freddy Lampret ZAF 00:55:12 04:59:33 03:50:33 09:51:21 -02:02 US$ 750 540
7 Benjamin Rana PHI 01:04:52 05:14:57 03:46:39 10:13:01 n/a   405
8 Philip Duenas PHI 01:17:24 05:46:48 03:16:37 10:27:34 n/a   305
9 Jonard Saim PHI 01:00:09 05:30:07 04:40:52 11:17:49 n/a   230
10 Arland Macasieb PHI 01:06:40 06:04:03 04:35:28 12:03:30 1:25:44   170

Female Race Results

Rank Name Nation Swim Bike Run Time Diff to exp. Prize Money KPR Points
1 Liz Blatchford AUS 00:53:01 05:03:45 03:19:17 09:22:22 05:31 US$ 5,000 2000
2 Dimity-Lee Duke AUS 01:00:22 05:05:47 03:23:21 09:40:45 00:08 US$ 2,750 1600
3 Simone Maier GER 01:07:02 05:02:04 03:31:18 09:47:39 -09:17 US$ 1,750 1280
4 Julia Grant NZL 01:01:00 05:25:01 03:25:05 09:57:09 -12:47 US$ 1,250 960
5 Alise Selsmark AUS 00:56:16 05:36:16 03:34:24 10:13:48 19:03 US$ 1,000 720
6 Jana Candrova CZE 01:08:32 05:47:56 04:13:50 11:19:29 42:04 US$ 750 540
7 Erin Furness NZL 01:04:01 05:42:58 04:28:04 11:21:30 55:47   405
8 Alexandra Ganzon PHL 01:11:21 05:41:06 04:19:58 11:21:30 n/a   305

Kona Qualifying Implications

Here are where the top finishers now are with regards to Kona qualifying:

  • Safe (for a July slot): Cameron Brown (but unclear if he will take the slot)
  • Close (but more points needed – cutoff projected at 4.400 for the females and 3.500 for the males):
    Liz Blatchford (3.535), Simon Cochrane (3.105), Nick Baldwin (2.720)

Among the female athletes further back, Dimity-Lee Duke has the most points (2.660 from four races), she probably needs another 2.000 points result to be in the running for a slot.

Challenge Samorin (June 3rd) – Top Seedings

ChallengeSamorinPrevious Winners

Year Male Winner Time Female Winner Time
2016 Evert Scheltinga (NED) 03:58:14 Helle Frederiksen (DEN) 04:18:13
2017 Lionel Sanders (CAN) 03:40:03 Lucy Charles (GBR) 04:13:59

Last Year’s TOP 3

Male Race Results

Rank Name Nation Swim Bike Run Time
1 Lionel Sanders CAN 00:24:46 01:56:04 01:14:21 03:40:03
2 Sebastian Kienle GER 00:24:45 01:56:09 01:16:07 03:41:46
3 Michael Raelert GER 00:22:48 02:00:16 01:18:01 03:45:34

Female Race Results

Rank Name Nation Swim Bike Run Time
1 Lucy Charles GBR 00:23:25 02:19:29 01:25:10 04:13:59
2 Annabel Luxford AUS 00:23:49 02:15:57 01:29:30 04:14:33
3 Heather Wurtele CAN 00:26:01 02:14:46 01:29:14 04:15:36

Prize Money

Challenge Samorin has a total prize purse of 150.000 US$, paying 10 deep.

Live Stream

The race will be live streamed via http://www.challenge-family.com/live/.

Top Seeded Male Race Participants

# Bib Name Nat Expected Rating ESwim EBike ET2 ERun Overall
1 1 Lionel Sanders CAN 03:44:23 03:48:53 00:26:28 01:59:54 02:29:52 01:14:31 2
2 2 Sebastian Kienle GER 03:45:03 03:49:57 00:25:46 01:59:52 02:29:09 01:15:54 3
3 5 Sam Appleton AUS 03:49:42 03:54:55 00:23:50 02:04:25 02:31:45 01:17:57 10
4 3 Michael Raelert GER 03:50:23 03:56:12 00:23:47 02:04:59 02:32:15 01:18:08 15
5 6 Sven Riederer SUI 03:52:00 03:57:28 00:23:48 02:06:26 02:33:44 01:18:16 27
6 8 Mauricio Mendez Cruz MEX 03:52:01 03:58:03 00:23:46 02:16:00 02:43:16 01:08:45 34
7 4 Andreas Dreitz GER 03:52:16 03:59:44 00:24:57 02:04:34 02:33:01 01:19:15 47
8 7 Maurice Clavel GER 03:53:05 03:58:57 00:24:00 02:07:37 02:35:07 01:17:58 42
9 10 James Cunnama ZAF 03:54:11 03:59:06 00:25:10 02:07:51 02:36:30 01:17:41 43
10 14 Pieter Heemeryck BEL 03:54:23 04:01:19 00:23:58 02:08:04 02:35:32 01:18:51 60

Top Seeded Female Race Participants

# Bib Name Nat Expected Rating ESwim EBike ET2 ERun Overall
1 104 Anne Haug GER 04:09:33 04:15:43 00:26:54 02:19:50 02:50:14 01:19:19 2
2 108 Helle Frederiksen DEN 04:16:30 04:23:34 00:25:32 02:20:41 02:49:42 01:26:48 9
3 103 Heather Wurtele CAN 04:16:42 04:21:31 00:27:34 02:19:08 02:50:13 01:26:29 5
4 102 Annabel Luxford AUS 04:17:06 04:21:59 00:25:34 02:20:28 02:49:32 01:27:34 6
5 101 Lucy Charles GBR 04:17:08 04:27:40 00:24:33 02:22:27 02:50:29 01:26:39 23
6 106 Emma Pallant GBR 04:19:09 04:27:17 00:27:54 02:24:00 02:55:25 01:23:44 20
7 105 Ellie Salthouse AUS 04:19:55 04:26:49 00:26:04 02:22:09 02:51:43 01:28:12 18
8 110 Kaisa Sali FIN 04:20:31 04:24:54 00:28:03 02:23:02 02:54:35 01:25:56 14
9 114 Radka Kahlefeldt CZE 04:21:46 04:28:23 00:25:27 02:26:15 02:55:12 01:26:34 28
10 107 Sarah Lewis GBR 04:23:04 04:30:27 00:27:32 02:24:21 02:55:23 01:27:41 34

Winning Odds

Male Race Participants

The men’s race looks like a repeat of last year’s race when Lionel and Sebi were neck to neck for most of the day:

  • Lionel Sanders: 55% (1-1)
  • Sebastian Kienle: 41% (1-1)

Female Race Participants

Anne Haug is the clear favorite on the female side – she has shown a number of very strong 70.3s this year. But she faces a large number of competitors including last year’s winner Lucy Charles who is likely to lead for the swim and a large portion of the bike. But when the others manage to catch Lucy towards the end of the bike, it’ll be a running race, and Anne holds most of the cards in that situation.

  • Anne Haug: 58% (1-1)
  • Lucy Charles: 11% (8-1)
  • Emma Pallant: 6% (15-1)
  • Helle Frederiksen: 6% (15-1)
  • Radka Kahlefeldt: 5% (18-1)
  • Annabel Luxford: 5% (19-1)
  • Heather Wurtele: 5% (21-1)
  • Ellie Salthouse: 3% (35-1)
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