June 2012

If you are looking for additional information on the participants, you can find a full list of their pro results in the detail post.

Previous Results

Regensburg is one of the younger Ironman races. the first time it was held in 2010. The first finisher Faris Al-Sultan posted a time of 8:13:37 which is still the course record. Last year’s winners were Markus Fachbach in 8:29:16 and Mary-Beth Ellis in course record time of 9:18:55. The race used to be a bit later in the year (it was held in August), now it is at a better point in the year to validate the requirement of an Ironman during the year for a Kona spot. Regensburg is a pretty quick course (course rating of 10:04, similar to Texas and Cozumel – the move to June should make the course probably even quicker), but it is only a 1.000 points race.

Male Participants

On the men’s side, Dirk Bockel is the clear favorite:

Rank	Name	Nation	Expected Time	Rating	Rank
1	Dirk Bockel	LUX	08:16:19	08:25:45	8
2	Petr Vabrousek	CZE	08:47:17	08:57:18	118
3	Flo Kriegl	AUT	08:47:55	08:57:57	123
4	Andreas Wolpert	GER	09:07:15	09:17:39	260
5	Rene Vallant	AUT	09:15:33	09:26:06	327
6	Paul Hawkins	GBR	09:18:13	09:28:49	346
7	Craig Twigg	GBR	09:21:25	09:32:05	376
8	Matjaz Kovac	SVN	09:39:20	09:50:20	498
9	Jens Kaiser		n/a	unrated	n/a
10	Tomas Mika		n/a	unrated	n/a
11	Joan Gómez		n/a	unrated	n/a
12	Florian Kratz		n/a	unrated	n/a
13	Michael Raelert		n/a	unrated	n/a
14	Vincent Rieß		n/a	unrated	n/a

The only real competition he faces does not come from second.ranked Petr Vabrousek (who will no doubt finish with a strong run and under 9 hours), but from Michael Raelert who will start his first full Ironman. It is next to impossible to predict how he will finish – and all my formulas won’t help as he hasn’t posted an Ironman time yet. One thing is obvious: If he finishes, he will be quicker than his brother Andreas last year who jogged it in and finished with a 10:21 just to finish and validate his Kona slot. But what is possible for him? Andreas Raelert won his first Ironman race (Arizona 2008) with a time of 8:14. Arizona is a little bit slower than Regensburg, so if Michael manages a similar performance, he is just around the course record time of Faris and very close to Dirk Bockel’s potential.

Female Participants

The female field consists of just two names:

Rank	Name	Nation	Expected Time	Rating	Rank
1	Monika Stadlmann	AUT	10:33:40	10:45:42	219
2	Heidi Sessner		n/a	unrated	n/a

Hopefully, some additional athletes are going to start – after all it will be an almost guaranteed pay day!

Male Race Participants

Rank	Name	Nation	Expected Time	Rating	Rank
1	Dirk Bockel	LUX	08:16:19	08:25:45	8
2	Petr Vabrousek	CZE	08:47:17	08:57:18	118
3	Flo Kriegl	AUT	08:47:55	08:57:57	123
4	Andreas Wolpert	GER	09:07:15	09:17:39	260
5	Rene Vallant	AUT	09:15:33	09:26:06	327
6	Paul Hawkins	GBR	09:18:13	09:28:49	346
7	Craig Twigg	GBR	09:21:25	09:32:05	376
8	Matjaz Kovac	SVN	09:39:20	09:50:20	498
9	Jens Kaiser		n/a	unrated	n/a
10	Tomas Mika		n/a	unrated	n/a
11	Joan Gómez		n/a	unrated	n/a
12	Florian Kratz		n/a	unrated	n/a
13	Michael Raelert		n/a	unrated	n/a
14	Vincent Rieß		n/a	unrated	n/a

Female Race Participants

Rank	Name	Nation	Expected Time	Rating	Rank
1	Monika Stadlmann	AUT	10:33:40	10:45:42	219
2	Heidi Sessner		n/a	unrated	n/a

Results for Dirk Bockel (LUX)

Race	Date	Total	Adjusted	Rating	Rank in Race
IM Hawaii	2011-10-15	08:12:58	08:14:08	08:25:45	4
IM Florida	2010-11-06	08:21:23	08:37:06	08:30:18	3
IM Hawaii	2010-10-09	08:22:59	08:23:55	08:27:24	8
IM Hawaii	2009-10-10	08:29:55	08:25:42	08:29:54	7
IM New Zealand	2009-03-07	08:27:12	08:34:54	08:34:54	3

Results for Petr Vabrousek (CZE)

Race	Date	Total	Adjusted	Rating	Rank in Race
IM Cairns	2012-06-02	08:40:00	08:45:11	08:57:18	5
IM Lanzarote	2012-05-19	09:07:30	09:02:48	08:57:50	6
IM South Africa	2012-04-22	09:09:57	09:04:02	08:57:36	6
IM Melbourne	2012-03-24	08:29:25	08:37:50	08:57:19	13
Challenge Wanaka	2012-01-21	09:15:21	09:10:35	08:58:13	6
IM Western Australia	2011-12-04	08:35:08	08:43:38	08:57:39	6
IM Hawaii	2011-10-15	09:13:42	09:15:00	08:58:18	30
IM Texas	2011-05-21	08:37:59	08:43:42	08:57:31	9
IM St. George	2011-05-07	09:11:11	09:11:37	08:58:07	9
IM South Africa	2011-04-10	08:40:36	08:52:17	08:57:31	8
IM New Zealand	2011-03-05	08:58:30	08:59:52	08:57:45	6
Challenge Wanaka	2011-01-15	09:27:44	09:29:52	08:57:39	5
IM Cozumel	2010-11-28	08:39:52	08:50:12	08:56:09	8
IM Florida	2010-11-06	08:29:59	08:45:58	08:56:25	7
IM Hawaii	2010-10-09	08:56:26	08:57:26	08:56:56	41
IM Canada	2010-08-29	08:39:16	08:47:21	08:56:55	4
IM Lake Placid	2010-07-25	08:46:33	08:50:28	08:57:24	2
IM Brasil	2010-05-30	08:36:15	08:52:35	08:57:45	6
IM St. George	2010-05-01	09:09:43	09:05:34	08:58:02	6
Challenge Wanaka	2010-01-16	09:00:08	09:00:55	08:57:37	4
IM Western Australia	2009-12-05	08:57:08	09:13:06	08:57:27	10
IM Arizona	2009-11-22	08:37:45	08:47:10	08:56:37	10
IM Hawaii	2009-10-10	09:23:03	09:18:24	08:57:08	48
IM Wisconsin	2009-09-13	09:08:26	09:06:41	08:55:55	7
IM Lake Placid	2009-07-26	09:10:24	09:10:48	08:55:17	6
Challenge Roth	2009-07-12	08:15:03	08:35:38	08:54:21	10
IM Brasil	2009-05-31	08:37:18	08:49:56	08:55:32	3
IM South Africa	2009-04-05	08:36:07	08:47:29	08:55:54	3
Challenge Wanaka	2009-01-01	08:44:38	08:50:24	08:56:28	2
IM Arizona	2008-11-23	08:28:09	08:34:42	08:56:52	8
IM Florida	2008-11-01	08:23:00	08:42:09	08:58:24	3
IM Hawaii	2008-10-11	09:04:42	09:03:00	08:59:34	31
IM Lake Placid	2008-07-20	08:55:20	08:53:43	08:59:18	2
IM Switzerland	2008-07-13	08:53:05	09:05:43	08:59:44	6
IM Brasil	2008-05-25	08:53:58	09:02:55	08:59:15	4
IM Australia	2008-04-06	09:11:11	09:14:11	08:58:55	11
Challenge Wanaka	2008-01-19	09:09:36	09:13:13	08:57:32	6
IM Western Australia	2007-12-01	08:27:15	08:43:37	08:56:03	10
IM Florida	2007-11-03	08:53:05	09:09:02	08:57:17	21
IM Hawaii	2007-10-13	09:42:26	09:42:16	08:56:01	56
IM Louisville	2007-08-26	10:58:00	11:00:05	08:50:31	22
IM Germany	2007-07-01	08:22:31	08:36:38	08:50:31	5
IM Brasil	2007-05-27	08:40:42	08:51:18	08:52:14	6
IM Arizona	2007-04-15	08:41:59	08:45:03	08:52:21	4
IM South Africa	2007-03-18	08:48:19	08:47:31	08:53:28	4
IM Hawaii	2006-10-21	09:10:45	09:06:35	08:54:30	47
IM Lake Placid	2006-07-23	09:03:12	08:56:02	08:52:17	7
IM Arizona	2006-04-09	08:44:54	08:45:59	08:51:30	8
IM South Africa	2006-03-18	08:38:52	08:40:31	08:52:48	3
IM Western Australia	2005-11-27	08:36:05	08:38:20	08:56:27	5
IM Hawaii	2005-10-15	09:12:17	09:11:44	09:33:57	50
IM Wisconsin	2005-09-11	11:19:03	11:00:54	09:42:05	23
IM Brasil	2005-05-28	09:06:45	09:06:45	08:58:25	6
IM Arizona	2005-04-09	08:49:46	08:49:46	08:49:46	4

Results for Flo Kriegl (AUT)

Race	Date	Total	Adjusted	Rating	Rank in Race
IM Arizona	2011-11-19	08:44:46	08:57:57	08:57:57	21

Results for Andreas Wolpert (GER)

Race	Date	Total	Adjusted	Rating	Rank in Race
IM Wisconsin	2011-09-11	09:13:57	09:14:06	09:17:39	5
IM Austria	2011-07-03	08:44:37	09:11:42	09:18:40	11
Challenge Roth	2010-07-18	08:53:53	09:12:45	09:21:19	14
IM Lanzarote	2009-05-23	09:23:15	09:20:22	09:24:46	14
Challenge Roth	2008-07-13	08:56:33	09:18:05	09:26:33	20
IM Lanzarote	2008-05-24	09:37:22	09:34:45	09:30:31	17
Challenge Roth	2007-06-24	08:58:43	09:20:32	09:27:03	20
IM Wisconsin	2005-09-11	09:53:49	09:37:57	09:37:57	14

Results for Rene Vallant (AUT)

Race	Date	Total	Adjusted	Rating	Rank in Race
IM Regensburg	2011-08-07	08:56:50	09:08:54	09:26:06	6
IM Arizona	2009-11-22	09:23:18	09:33:33	09:34:45	23
IM Switzerland	2009-07-12	09:20:08	09:34:42	09:35:17	15
IM Arizona	2008-11-23	09:22:48	09:30:03	09:35:41	30
IM Florida	2005-11-05	10:02:55	10:07:18	09:42:47	29
IM Austria	2005-07-03	09:15:43	09:15:43	09:15:43	23

Results for Paul Hawkins (GBR)

Race	Date	Total	Adjusted	Rating	Rank in Race
IM UK	2011-07-31	09:03:41	09:14:55	09:28:49	7
IM France	2010-06-27	14:16:23	14:38:02	09:42:44	19
IM UK	2009-08-02	09:28:35	09:25:29	09:42:44	10
IM UK	2008-09-07	10:06:40	10:05:06	12:28:41	12
IM Switzerland	2007-06-24	14:00:55	14:22:07	14:24:48	25
IM France	2006-06-24	14:15:35	14:28:22	14:28:22	23

Results for Craig Twigg (GBR)

Race	Date	Total	Adjusted	Rating	Rank in Race
IM South Africa	2012-04-22	09:10:48	09:04:53	09:32:05	7
IM South Africa	2011-04-10	09:10:01	09:22:21	09:52:12	16
IM UK	2010-08-01	10:21:02	10:28:36	10:28:36	9

Results for Matjaz Kovac (SVN)

Race	Date	Total	Adjusted	Rating	Rank in Race
IM Wales	2011-09-11	10:22:11	10:11:55	09:50:20	15
IM Regensburg	2011-08-07	09:09:08	09:21:28	09:47:49	10
IM Germany	2011-07-24	09:34:50	09:46:33	09:51:11	24
IM Arizona	2010-11-21	10:07:28	10:21:00	09:51:52	33
IM Wisconsin	2010-09-12	09:32:03	09:34:28	09:47:54	15
IM Louisville	2010-08-29	09:40:45	09:44:05	09:49:53	11
IM Regensburg	2010-08-01	09:11:55	09:20:06	09:50:52	11
IM Austria	2010-07-04	09:29:03	09:47:46	09:57:03	30
IM Lanzarote	2010-05-22	10:16:55	10:14:47	09:59:20	20
IM Canada	2009-08-30	09:16:22	09:20:50	09:54:33	14
IM Lake Placid	2009-07-26	10:04:22	10:04:48	10:05:51	16
IM Lanzarote	2009-05-23	09:45:36	09:42:36	10:06:21	23
IM Lanzarote	2008-05-24	10:11:43	10:08:57	10:26:38	31
IM Lanzarote	2006-05-20	11:03:01	10:58:11	10:58:11	34

Results for Jens Kaiser ()

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Results for Tomas Mika ()

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Results for Joan Gómez ()

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Results for Florian Kratz ()

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Results for Michael Raelert ()

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Results for Vincent Rieß ()

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Results for Monika Stadlmann (AUT)

Race	Date	Total	Adjusted	Rating	Rank in Race
IM UK	2011-07-31	10:37:06	10:50:16	10:45:42	6
IM Austria	2011-07-03	09:53:56	10:24:36	10:44:24	11
IM Austria	2009-07-05	11:45:45	12:07:40	10:51:58	13
IM Hawaii	2008-10-11	10:52:26	10:50:24	10:31:13	37
IM UK	2008-09-07	10:35:27	10:33:48	10:25:44	5
IM France	2008-06-22	10:36:13	10:44:07	10:22:37	7
IM Austria	2007-07-08	10:02:11	10:14:44	10:10:23	10
IM Austria	2006-07-16	09:58:05	10:11:01	10:07:05	12
IM Austria	2005-07-03	10:01:46	10:01:46	10:01:46	7

Results for Heidi Sessner ()

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Race Conditions

Compared to last year’s Challenge version (8:29), IM Cairns was a little bit slower (5:23), but it was still a medium-fast race.

Male Results

David Dellow posted the fastest run to win his first IM:

Rank	Name	Nation	Swim	Bike	Run	Actual Time	Expected Time
1	David Dellow	AUS	00:47:56	04:33:45	02:48:26	08:15:04	08:23:51
2	Cameron Brown	NZL	00:50:46	04:30:48	02:56:06	08:22:21	08:23:39
3	Jimmy Johnsen	DNK	00:50:37	04:41:29	02:52:32	08:29:36	08:48:14
4	Matty White	AUS	00:50:44	04:31:03	03:04:48	08:31:19	08:50:16
5	Petr Vabrousek	CZE	00:54:52	04:36:10	03:02:52	08:40:00	08:52:28
6	Leon Griffin	AUS	00:50:43	04:31:01	03:13:55	08:40:41	08:58:32
7	Jason Shortis	AUS	00:54:10	04:46:45	03:06:58	08:53:25	08:50:52
8	Simon Cochrane	NZL	00:54:26	05:01:06	03:01:23	09:02:01	09:12:51
9	Chris McCormack	AUS	00:50:05	04:58:10	03:11:10	09:05:12	08:13:46
10	Mitchell Anderson	AUS	00:54:45	04:35:09	03:34:39	09:10:18	08:41:49
11	Luke Bell	AUS	00:47:52	04:33:54	03:44:11	09:10:18	08:40:05
12	Finnbar Crennan	AUS	00:59:27	04:50:52	03:37:05	09:33:16	09:18:16
13	Justin Granger	AUS	00:54:55	05:05:46	03:41:25	09:47:42	09:11:27
14	Aaron Farlow	AUS	00:50:42	04:41:11	04:39:42	10:17:00	08:38:03

Cameron Brown had another solid race (again improving his rating), even if his result was not quite as spectacular as in Melbourne. He’s got another big race coming up (he’s on the start list for Challenge Roth) – not sure what that will mean for his chances in Kona.

Chris McCormack “just finished” to validate his Kona spot as a recent winner, but he did it in a smart way. He took the bike relatively easy (for him), and then ran a steady marathon, overtaking  all the athletes that were “blowing up”. His result in Cairns is not indicative of his true potential for Kona – but a lot of people will try to derive some meaning from his Cairns result for October.

Female Results

Carrie Lester is also a first time winner, she had to work for it on the run when Belinda Harper refused to give up the fight for the win:

Rank	Name	Nation	Swim	Bike	Run	Actual Time	Expected Time
1	Carrie Lester	AUS	00:56:31	05:05:20	03:13:52	09:21:00	09:33:43
2	Belinda Harper	NZL	00:53:00	05:00:37	03:23:02	09:22:42	10:04:51
3	Candice Hammond	NZL	01:00:53	05:07:22	03:10:26	09:24:45	09:47:01
4	Belinda Granger	AUS	00:56:51	05:04:41	03:25:20	09:32:16	09:37:34
5	Rebecca Hoschke		01:02:05	05:10:29	03:21:17	09:39:53	n/a
6	Ange Castle		01:13:46	05:41:47	03:33:04	10:36:16	n/a
7	Emi Sakai	JPN	01:06:43	05:11:58	04:17:53	10:43:04	10:15:06
8	Amanda McKenzie	USA	01:07:03	05:42:05	04:26:47	11:24:12	10:53:42

The other big story in the women’s race was Bek Keat having to drop  early in the run. Apparently, she tore her calf (soleus muscle) and still tried to continue. This does  not sound like it was caused by a too quick bike – but she was racing with Macca and that might have been a bit too much. I hope she gets better soon and manages more satisfying results.