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January 2014

Challenge Wanaka 2014 (Jan 18th) – Predictions

Previous Year’s TOP 3

Male Race Results

Rank Name Nation Swim Bike Run Time
1 Dylan McNeice NZL 00:47:56 04:58:14 02:59:59 08:51:18
2 Jamie Whyte NZL 00:55:05 04:52:42 03:03:45 08:55:43
3 Chris McCormack AUS 00:55:07 04:58:44 02:59:52 08:58:05

Female Race Results

Rank Name Nation Swim Bike Run Time
1 Gina Crawford NZL 00:59:14 05:08:30 03:11:07 09:24:31
2 Candice Hammond NZL 01:06:52 05:23:07 03:09:43 09:44:22
3 Joanna Lawn NZL 00:59:46 05:24:20 03:15:08 09:44:30

Course Records

Leg Gender Record Athlete Date
Total overall 08:34:41 Richard Ussher 2010-01-16
Swim overall 00:47:44 Kieran Doe 2012-01-21
Bike overall 04:42:26 Richard Ussher 2010-01-16
Run overall 02:48:04 Marc Pschebizin 2008-01-19
Total female 09:24:31 Gina Crawford 2013-01-19
Swim female 00:50:01 Gina Ferguson 2008-01-19
Bike female 05:08:30 Gina Crawford 2013-01-19
Run female 03:08:59 Rebekah Keat 2010-01-16

Course Rating

The Course Rating for Challenge Wanaka is – 03:21.

Race Adjustments for Challenge Wanaka

Year Adjustment Swim Adj. Bike Adj. Run Adj. # of Athletes Rating Swim Rating Bike Rating Run Rating
2007 03:50 00:36 -07:25 05:03 6 03:50 00:36 -07:25 05:03
2008 -00:26 01:14 -10:09 00:51 10 01:42 00:55 -08:47 02:57
2009 03:58 -03:36 -01:43 03:34 11 02:27 -00:35 -06:26 03:09
2010 00:42 -01:48 -01:13 03:14 13 02:01 -00:53 -05:07 03:10
2011 -23:44 -02:45 -24:22 -03:28 13 -03:08 -01:16 -08:58 01:51
2012 -08:36 -01:12 -07:51 -03:00 15 -04:03 -01:15 -08:47 01:02
2013 00:52 -05:41 -08:00 02:39 13 -03:21 -01:53 -08:40 01:16

Male Race Participants

Rank Bib Name Nation Expected Time Rating Swim Rating Bike Rating Run Rating Rank
1 3 Richard Ussher NZL 08:43:05 08:39:52 00:54:34 04:42:05 02:57:02 17
2 12 Courtney Ogden AUS 08:52:07 08:48:50 00:50:23 04:48:19 02:59:05 45
3 5 Matty White AUS 09:05:07 09:01:46 00:51:22 04:47:40 03:10:58 93
4 1 Dylan McNeice NZL 09:07:23 09:04:01 00:44:47 04:51:55 03:11:18 102
5 2 Keegan Williams NZL 09:09:36 09:06:13 00:52:01 04:50:05 03:08:53 114
6 6 Carl Read NZL 09:11:12 09:07:48 00:53:36 04:57:45 03:01:32 122
7 17 Bryan Rhodes NZL 09:22:06 09:18:38 00:47:53 04:56:31 03:22:31 163
8 7 Simon Cochrane NZL 09:23:57 09:20:29 00:53:03 05:02:57 03:07:58 169
9 4 Scott Defilippis USA 09:24:32 09:21:03 00:56:37 05:01:57 03:04:33 174
10 8 Paul Hawkins GBR 09:34:11 09:30:39 00:58:33 05:28:51 03:20:28 196
11 15 Timothy Beardall AUS 10:13:12 10:09:26 01:00:43 04:55:33 03:58:53 329
  16 Dougal Allan NZL n/a unrated unrated unrated unrated n/a
  14 Matt Burgess NZL n/a unrated unrated unrated unrated n/a
  13 Ben Logan NZL n/a unrated unrated unrated unrated n/a
  10 Jaroslav Kovacic SLO n/a unrated unrated unrated unrated n/a

Female Race Participants

Rank Bib Name Nation Expected Time Rating Swim Rating Bike Rating Run Rating Rank
1 50 Gina Crawford NZL 09:38:27 09:34:53 00:51:51 05:14:07 03:12:44 11
2 51 Candice Hammond NZL 09:54:05 09:50:26 01:00:45 05:15:56 03:17:00 37
3 53 Carrie Lester AUS 09:57:33 09:53:52 00:56:00 05:16:56 03:25:04 47
4 52 Simone Maier GER 10:12:11 10:08:25 01:04:17 05:22:55 03:20:52 78
5 54 Tamsyn Hayes NZL 10:26:36 10:22:45 00:58:39 05:20:37 03:43:51 100
  55 Larisa Marsh NZL n/a unrated unrated unrated unrated n/a

Winning Odds

Male Race Participants

Last year’s winner Dylan McNeice is back to defend his title, but he faces strong competition in Richard Ussher (taking another stab at Ironman racing), Courtney Ogden, Matty White and Keegan Williams:

  • Richard Ussher: 37% (2-1)
  • Courtney Ogden: 28% (3-1)
  • Dylan McNeice: 13% (7-1)
  • Matty White: 10% (9-1)
  • Keegan Williams: 5% (18-1)
  • Scott Defilippis: 4% (25-1)

Female Race Participants

Gina Crawford is also back, her chances to defend her title are much better:

  • Gina Crawford: 67% (1-1)
  • Candice Hammond: 15% (6-1)
  • Carrie Lester: 14% (6-1)
  • Simone Maier: 3% (34-1)

2013 Tri Trivia

I’ve started to work on my „2013 Rating Report“, looking back on the Ironman-distance races of 2013 and my analysis on the results. You can already pre-order the report and receive it as soon as it’s available!

As part of the work for the report, I’ve come across some interesting facts, and over the next days will ask ten trivia questions as a „countdown“ to the release of the report. (I will amend this post from day to day. You can enter your answers as comments, or send them to @ThRadde on twitter.)

  1. Who had the fastest Ironman-distance times of 2013 (either man or woman)?
  2. Which IM races had the smallest and largest number of pro finishers?
  3. What’s the shortest time between two Ironman wins?
  4. In 2013 we’ve seen 6 sub-8h finishes (for the men) and 21 sub-9h finishes (for the women). Which 2013 race had the most of these?
  5. Who posted the fastest marathon times in 2013 (man or woman)?
  6. Which races in 2013 had the closest and widest margin between the male and female winners (Pros only)?
  7. Which races in 2013 had the closest and widest margin between the winner and runner-up (Pros only)?
  8. Which country had the most Pro IM wins in 2013?
  9. Who had the slowest swim when winning a Pro IM in 2013 (men or women)?
  10. Who overcame the biggest deficit after the bike to win an IM in 2013 (men or women)?

The report includes the answers to the questions, and is now available: Please go to the 2013 TriRating Report page.

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