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Updates to the Top10 Ratings

After the first round of 2017 Ironman races, here are the updated Top 10 Ratings. If you compare the “old” ratings to the new ones, you will notice that the numbers have slightly changed even for athletes that have note raced. This is caused by a small improvement in my algorithm that reduces an undue influence of older results for athletes that have a large number of races from more than three years ago.

TOP 10 Rated Ironman Distance Athletes

TOP 10 Rated Male Athletes

Jan Frodeno and Sebastian Kienle are still my top ranked athletes. Nils Frommhold (having finished second in South Africa) has climbed back to third, very slightly ahead of Brent McMahon. Other changes are a result of the racing we have seen in 2017: Ben Hoffman entering the Top 10 after his sub-8 win in South Africa, and Marino and Frederik dropping back after a DNF and a sub-par race.

Rank Name Nation Rating Last Race # IM Races
1 Jan Frodeno GER 07:59:19 IM Hawaii on 2016-10-08 7
2 Sebastian Kienle GER 08:08:32 IM Hawaii on 2016-10-08 13
3 Nils Frommhold GER 08:16:05 IM South Africa on 2017-04-02 9
4 Brent McMahon CAN 08:16:06 IM Arizona on 2016-11-20 7
5 Andi Boecherer GER 08:17:13 IM Hawaii on 2016-10-08 14
6 Andy Potts USA 08:17:26 IM Western Australia on 2016-12-04 16
7 Patrik Nilsson SWE 08:19:21 IM Barcelona on 2016-10-02 7
8 Ben Hoffman USA 08:21:15 IM South Africa on 2017-04-02 18
9 Marino Vanhoenacker BEL 08:21:27 IM New Zealand on 2017-03-04 21
10 Frederik Van Lierde BEL 08:21:52 IM South Africa on 2017-04-02 21

TOP 10 Rated Female Athletes

For the females, the Top 4 have not changed: Daniela, Rinny, Kaisa and Heather are still the best-rated athletes. New athletes in the Top 10 are Meredith Kessler (new #5, third in New Zealand and also benefitting from the algorithm changes), Susie Cheetham (new #6, third place in South Africa after a Kona DNF) and Linsey Corbin (#10, slightly climbing with the changes).

Rank Name Nation Rating Last Race # IM Races
1 Daniela Ryf SUI 08:42:49 IM South Africa on 2017-04-02 9
2 Mirinda Carfrae AUS 09:01:36 IM Hawaii on 2016-10-08 14
3 Kaisa Lehtonen FIN 09:09:12 IM South Africa on 2017-04-02 4
4 Heather Jackson USA 09:12:39 IM Hawaii on 2016-10-08 6
5 Meredith Kessler USA 09:14:01 IM New Zealand on 2017-03-04 25
6 Susie Cheetham GBR 09:14:17 IM South Africa on 2017-04-02 5
7 Melissa Hauschildt AUS 09:15:51 IM Western Australia on 2016-12-04 4
8 Lucy Gossage GBR 09:15:55 IM Hawaii on 2016-10-08 14
9 Anja Beranek GER 09:16:56 IM Hawaii on 2016-10-08 8
10 Linsey Corbin USA 09:18:58 IM Hawaii on 2016-10-08 20

TOP 10 Swim-Rated Ironman Distance Athletes

The Swim Ratings are mainly a very slight re-ordering of the end of 2016 ratings. The two notable changes are  Clayton Fettell who has entered the Top 10 male ranking in #2 and Annabel Luxford who is #8 in the female ranking.

TOP 10 Swim-Rated Male Athletes

Rank Name Nation Rating Last Race # IM Races
1 Dylan McNeice NZL 00:45:41 Challenge Taiwan on 2016-05-07 14
2 Clayton Fettell AUS 00:46:23 IM New Zealand on 2017-03-04 6
3 Jan Frodeno GER 00:46:52 IM Hawaii on 2016-10-08 7
4 Andy Potts USA 00:47:00 IM Western Australia on 2016-12-04 16
5 Marko Albert EST 00:47:03 IM New Zealand on 2017-03-04 17
6 Denis Chevrot FRA 00:47:20 IM Western Australia on 2016-12-04 9
7 Terenzo Bozzone NZL 00:47:30 IM New Zealand on 2017-03-04 11
8 Michael Fox AUS 00:47:30 IM Western Australia on 2016-12-04 3
9 Barrett Brandon USA 00:47:32 IM Cozumel on 2016-11-27 5
10 Timothy O’Donnell USA 00:47:37 IM Hawaii on 2016-10-08 13

TOP 10 Swim-Rated Female Athletes

Jodie is still my top-ranked athlete, but Lauren Brandon (as last year’s IM Texas was shortened, she only has two valid full IM finishes) and Lucy Charles (with one Pro finish) are likely to take over the #1 rank from her.

Rank Name Nation Rating Last Race # IM Races
1 Jodie Cunnama GBR 00:49:34 IM Hawaii on 2016-10-08 9
2 Meredith Kessler USA 00:50:34 IM New Zealand on 2017-03-04 25
3 Amanda Stevens USA 00:51:17 IM Arizona on 2016-11-20 18
4 Celine Schaerer SUI 00:51:19 IM Texas on 2017-04-22 7
5 Mary Beth Ellis USA 00:51:31 IM Hawaii on 2016-10-08 19
6 Leanda Cave GBR 00:51:46 IM Arizona on 2016-11-20 20
7 Daniela Ryf SUI 00:51:52 IM South Africa on 2017-04-02 9
8 Annabel Luxford AUS 00:52:00 IM New Zealand on 2017-03-04 4
9 Anja Beranek GER 00:52:15 IM Hawaii on 2016-10-08 8
10 Alicia Kaye USA 00:52:18 IM Texas on 2017-04-22 3

TOP 10 Bike-Rated Ironman Distance Athletes

TOP 10 Bike-Rated Male Athletes

After not finishing an Ironman race for more than a year, Andy Starykowicz posted a record-breaking 4:01 bike leg at IM Texas, allowing him to reclaim the top spot in the rankings. Cameron Wurf has entered the Top 10 in #3 after being first off the bike at IM South Africa.

Rank Name Nation Rating Last Race # IM Races
1 Andrew Starykowicz USA 04:22:41 IM Texas on 2017-04-22 7
2 Sebastian Kienle GER 04:26:18 IM Hawaii on 2016-10-08 13
3 Cameron Wurf AUS 04:26:25 IM South Africa on 2017-04-02 3
4 Dougal Allan NZL 04:30:36 Challenge Wanaka on 2017-02-18 7
5 Michael Weiss AUT 04:30:45 IM Cozumel on 2016-11-27 16
6 Jan Frodeno GER 04:31:05 IM Hawaii on 2016-10-08 7
7 Andi Boecherer GER 04:31:23 IM Hawaii on 2016-10-08 14
8 Lionel Sanders CAN 04:32:01 IM Arizona on 2016-11-20 6
9 Nils Frommhold GER 04:32:30 IM South Africa on 2017-04-02 9
10 Marino Vanhoenacker BEL 04:33:39 IM New Zealand on 2017-03-04 21

TOP 10 Bike-Rated Female Athletes

There is one new athlete in the Top 10: After a DNF in Kona Tine Deckers has posted the third best bike split at IM Texas and re-entered the Top 10. Other than that there is only a slight re-ordering of the 2016 rankings.

Rank Name Nation Rating Last Race # IM Races
1 Daniela Ryf SUI 04:55:11 IM South Africa on 2017-04-02 9
2 Anja Beranek GER 05:01:54 IM Hawaii on 2016-10-08 8
3 Heather Jackson USA 05:03:54 IM Hawaii on 2016-10-08 6
4 Jodie Cunnama GBR 05:04:50 IM Hawaii on 2016-10-08 9
5 Annabel Luxford AUS 05:05:46 IM New Zealand on 2017-03-04 4
6 Tine Deckers BEL 05:06:29 IM Texas on 2017-04-22 17
7 Diana Riesler GER 05:06:38 IM Malaysia on 2016-11-12 16
8 Lucy Gossage GBR 05:06:38 IM Hawaii on 2016-10-08 14
9 Mary Beth Ellis USA 05:06:41 IM Hawaii on 2016-10-08 19
10 Yvonne Van Vlerken NED 05:06:43 IM New Zealand on 2017-03-04 25

TOP 10 Run-Rated Ironman Distance Athletes

TOP 10 Run-Rated Male Athletes

The athletes that have entered the Top 10 have all had great results at the start of the 2017 season: David McNamee (#3 after 2:45 at IM South Africa), Matt Hanson (#4 after 2:42 at IM Texas), Diego Van Looy (#9 after 2:51 at IM South Africa) and Cameron Brown (#10 after 2:42 at IM New Zealand).

Patrick Lange doesn’t have a valid rating yet – his only “full” IM was IM Hawaii (he qualified at the shortened IM Texas). But his run course record in Kona indicates that he will be well placed in the Top 10 once he has finished the required three valid IMs.

Rank Name Nation Rating Last Race # IM Races
1 Jan Frodeno GER 02:45:34 IM Hawaii on 2016-10-08 7
2 Jeff Symonds CAN 02:47:53 IM Western Australia on 2016-12-04 7
3 David McNamee GBR 02:48:59 IM South Africa on 2017-04-02 6
4 Matt Hanson USA 02:49:11 IM Texas on 2017-04-22 10
5 Ivan Rana ESP 02:49:21 IM Hawaii on 2016-10-08 11
6 Bart Aernouts BEL 02:49:24 IM Hawaii on 2016-10-08 9
7 Patrik Nilsson SWE 02:49:40 IM Barcelona on 2016-10-02 7
8 Jesse Thomas USA 02:51:17 IM Hawaii on 2016-10-08 3
9 Diego Van Looy BEL 02:51:33 IM South Africa on 2017-04-02 4
10 Cameron Brown NZL 02:51:41 IM New Zealand on 2017-03-04 28

TOP 10 Run-Rated Female Athletes

With a slower run in South Africa, Kristin Möller has dropped to fifth place, while Daniela Ryf has climbed into #2 and continued to improve her rating. Ruth Brennan Morrey benefitted from the algorithm change and is now in #9.

Rank Name Nation Rating Last Race # IM Races
1 Mirinda Carfrae AUS 02:57:04 IM Hawaii on 2016-10-08 14
2 Daniela Ryf SUI 03:02:31 IM South Africa on 2017-04-02 9
3 Kaisa Lehtonen FIN 03:03:27 IM South Africa on 2017-04-02 4
4 Kelly Williamson USA 03:04:45 IM Texas on 2017-04-22 14
5 Kristin Moeller GER 03:05:16 IM South Africa on 2017-04-02 20
6 Beth Gerdes USA 03:05:29 IM Australia on 2016-05-01 12
7 Lisa Roberts USA 03:05:58 IM Hawaii on 2016-10-08 15
8 Susie Cheetham GBR 03:06:12 IM South Africa on 2017-04-02 5
9 Ruth Brennan Morrey USA 03:06:42 IM Arizona on 2016-11-20 4
10 Linsey Corbin USA 03:07:27 IM Hawaii on 2016-10-08 20

Ironman Brasil 2017 (May 27th) – Entry List

IM Brasil is the third of the Regional Championships for 2017. For now, there are a couple of names on the list that probably only had Brasil as a back-up race for IM Texas. For example, Texas has gone well for Tyler Butterfield (3rd) and Alicia Kaye (5th) – both are safe for a Kona slot and unlikely to race in Florianopolis. Harry Wiltshire had a DNF in Texas, so he may need his “backup”. Some more athletes are chasing hard for their Kona slots: Susie Cheetham, Annah Watkinson and Jenny Fletcher have raced IM South Africa and Kristin Möller DNF’d – they still need more points to make it to Kona.

Update April 29th: Liz Lyles announced on Instagram that she won’t race Brasil but will focus on IM Frankfurt instead.

Update May 11th: Added Mariana Andrade, Kate Bruck, Bruna Mahn, Laurel Wassner, Eneko Llanos, Brent McMahon, Luiz Francisco Paiva Ferreira and Ivan Tutukin. Also Updated the KPR points and added preliminary bibs. Based on the latest list Michael McKernan, Maren Hufe, Caroline Livesey, and Jessica Jones are not racing, but I’m pretty sure that Mareen still plans to race.

Male Race Participants

Bib Name Nation KPR points KPR races
11 Tyler Butterfield BMU 4040 1+2 (2890/435)
1 Brent McMahon CAN 3170 2+2 (340/605)
8 Kyle Buckingham ZAF 3050 1+2 (2455/55)
5 Harry Wiltshire GBR 3040 3+1 (235/500)
2 Tim Don GBR 2515 0+2 (0/920)
9 Leon Griffin AUS 2025 1+2 (1335/345)
52 Patrick Evoe USA 1828 2+1
6 Ivan Tutukin RUS 1700 1+1
10 Thiago Vinhal BRA 1600 1+0
43 Esben Hovgaard DEN 1135 2+1
3 Igor Amorelli BRA 1043 1+2 (3/500)
50 Mario De Elias ARG 1040 1+2 (160/240)
4 Guilherme Manocchio BRA 1025 2+2 (230/75)
56 Reinaldo Colucci BRA 935 0+2 (0/435)
45 Felipe Van de Wyngard CHI 755 0+2 (0/320)
51 Matt Chrabot USA 665 0+2 (0/25)
54 Pedro Gomes POR 585 1+2 (540/10)
46 Fellipe Santos BRA 580 0+2 (0/180)
42 Eneko Llanos ESP 565 2+1
48 Luis Henrique Ohde BRA 540 1+2 (120/100)
55 Philipp Koutny SUI 430 2+1
37 Barrett Brandon USA 340 1+1
49 Luiz Francisco Paiva Ferreira BRA 320 0+1
38 Bruno Matheus BRA 288 1+2 (3/45)
44 Fabio Carvalho BRA 155 1+0
39 Christian Carletto ARG 115 0+1
57 Rodrigo Sanchez ARG 110 0+2 (0/10)
47 Frank Silvestrin BRA 45 0+1
59 Vinicius Canhedo BRA 35 0+1
7 Josef Svoboda CZE 15 1+0
41 Eduardo Diaz ARG 7 0+1
40 Diego Vasquez ECU 5 0+1
Michael Patrick Alonso Mckernan ESP
53 Paul Matthews AUS
36 Andreas Raelert GER
58 Sylvain Sudrie FRA

Female Race Participants

Bib Name Nation KPR points KPR races
12 Alicia Kaye USA 4870 2+2 (340/640)
35 Susie Cheetham GBR 3530 1+1
Mareen Hufe GER 3250 2+1
17 Celine Schaerer SUI 3000 3+1 (515/345)
Elizabeth Lyles USA 2685 2+1
29 Linsey Corbin USA 2635 1+2 (1900/320)
22 Gurutze Frades Larralde ESP 2325 2+0
18 Elisabeth Gruber AUT 2320 2+0
13 Annah Watkinson ZAF 1625 1+1
33 Pamela Tastets CHI 1485 1+2 (960/180)
23 Haley Chura USA 1290 0+2 (0/540)
30 Magali Tisseyre CAN 1165 0+1
26 Kirsty Jahn CAN 1125 0+2 (0/500)
Caroline Livesey GBR 1030 1+2 (685/125)
28 Laurel Wassner USA 960 1+2 (340/220)
27 Kristin Moeller GER 775 1+1
16 Carolina Furriela BRA 755 0+2 (0/320)
32 Nicole Valentine USA 620 1+2 (305/135)
14 Ashley Paulson USA 555 2+2 (85/20)
20 Bruna Mahn BRA 545 1+1
15 Brooke Brown CAN 540 1+0
19 Erika Simon ARG 240 0+2 (0/115)
31 Mariana Andrade BRA 100 0+1
24 Jenny Fletcher CAN 90 1+0
25 Kate Bruck USA
Jessica Jones USA
21 Carolin Lehrieder GER
34 Sonja Tajsich GER

Ironman Texas 2017 – Analyzing Results

IM Texas was the second of the Regional Championships in 2017, one of five elevated races across the globe with a big prize purse, lots of points for Kona qualifying and automatic qualifier slots for the male and female winners.

I’ll start with a discussion of the race coverage (or rather, the lack of are coverage) – to me Texas was the next step in a disturbing trend that needs to be reversed as soon as possible. If you’re mainly interested in the race results, feel free to skip the next section!

(Lack of) Race Coverage

Ironman received a lot of criticism for their coverage of the 2014 70.3 Championships in Mont Tremblant – a couple of static camera positions without any commentary. At the start of the 2015 racing season Ironman accepted the feedback (“our lack of a hosted live show was a mistake”, Ironman CEO Andrew Messick) and announced plans to highlight the Regional Championships with GPS tracking for professional athletes and an online show with live pictures from moving cameras and commentary hosted by Greg Welch and Michael Lovato. The stated goal was  to “put a brighter spotlight on professional Ironman racing” and to “draw more attention and improve engagement” (again Andrew Messick). The first season was quite promising, and for Kona 2015 an improved athlete tracker that included a GPS leaderboard was in place.

However, the 2016 season was a step backward – the live shows continued but GPS tracking was mostly abandoned (at least for the public). The old Athlete Tracker was back in use – very often stopping to update at the worst moments. Things continued at the lowered level for the first of the 2017 Regional Championships in South Africa: No GPS but at least a live stream provided by a South African TV station with some Ironman commentary.

IM Texas was another major step backwards: just a few static cameras without any commentary, reminiscent of the Mont Tremblant coverage mentioned above. Just as for Mont Tremblant there was no prior communication about the lack of coverage and any reasoning behind it. Lots of fans of Ironman racing only discovered the lack of a live show when they tuned in to follow the race – resulting in a lot of frustrated tweets by friends of the sport.

How will Ironman react to the criticism this time around? Without any communication about dropping the coverage for the North American championships, one can only speculate about their reasoning. The last few years Ironman struggled to define their relationship with the Professionals – races loosing and then regaining Pro fields, their unwillingness to engage in the “50 Women For Kona” discussion even though it had broad support among male and female Pros, or more and more races but with thinner prize purses are just a few examples. However, our sport can only be the best when the goals of Pros and the Ironman brand are as much aligned as possible. I urge the leaders of Ironman to embrace Pro athletes as the best ambassadors of their brand. Renewing their efforts to improve the coverage of races would be an important step.

Race Conditions

Before the race there was a lot of discussion about the impact of this year’s changes for IM Texas: A race date that was a few weeks earlier (resulting in less hot conditions) and a new, flat bike course. While the old men’s course record was at 8:07 (Matt Hanson from 2015), there was speculation that a sub-8 would be needed to win the race. Race day provided temperatures well suited for racing hard (sunny but relatively cool for Texas in April), but apparently there was quite a strong wind that affected the bike leg on the exposed “Hardy Toll Road”. Based on the numbers, the conditions were about 10 minutes quicker than in 2015.

Race day started with a fantastic swim by Lauren Brandon, posting the fastest swim time overall and a new female swim bike course record: Her 48:52 was nearly three minutes quicker than the previous record by Kelly Williamson from 2014. The bike leg was dominated by Andy Starykowicz, his time of 4:01:14 was a new bike course record by almost nine minutes (old record by Joe Skipper from 2015) and a new “fastest IM bike leg ever.” The run was quick as well, but the old course records (2:41 by Matt Hanson and 2:51 by Cait Snow) are still standing.

The overall times provided some new records: Matt Hanson improved his own course record by 15 minutes (most of the improvement coming from a fast bike leg where he quickly closed the gap after the swim), also posting his first sub-8 and a new fastest IM finish for a US athlete. In addition five athletes going sub-8 is also something never seen before in a full Ironman.

Male Race Results

New Pro James Capparell posted the fastest swim time just ahead of Harry Wiltshire, both were closely followed by a larger group. Once on the bike Andy Starykowicz took control of the race, eventually building a lead of more than ten minutes to the second group. It was an amazing performance by Starky as he was run over by a truck in August and severely injured, putting his return to racing in doubt for quite some time. No one else came even within ten minutes of his bike time! By T2 Starky’s lead was about 14 minutes to the other contenders, the closest of the pre-race favorites were Tyler Butterfield and Matt Hanson, with a larger group about 18 minutes back. Starky was able to hold on to his lead until about the half marathon mark, eventually running just under four hours (still beating his bike time!) and finishing in 19th place. It was a great return to Ironman racing for him, and one that will give him extra motivation to continue on his path of recovery and hopefully a return to his best racing form.

When it became apparent that Starky wasn’t in his best running shape, it was clear that Matt Hanson was in the driver’s seat for the title. In the end he posted the second fastest marathon of the day and won by almost four minutes. Ronnie Schildknecht ran just a minute slower than Matt, he was seven off the bike and able to pass almost everyone ahead of him. Tyler Butterfield took the last spot on the podium, his 2:49 was the second fastest marathon he has ever run. Similar to his teammate Ronnie, Will Clarke ran through the field, he postest that fastest marathon of the day, allowing him to advance from 12th after T2 to fourth on the finish line, closely followed by Kirill Kotshegarov in fifth.

Rank Name Nation Swim Bike Run Time Diff to exp. Prize Money KPR Points
1 Matt Hanson USA 00:51:46 04:13:53 02:42:07 07:52:44 -24:13 US$ 30,000 4000
2 Ronnie Schildknecht SUI 00:53:34 04:14:40 02:43:28 07:56:21 -14:48 US$ 15,000 3400
3 Tyler Butterfield BMU 00:49:08 04:15:20 02:49:00 07:58:29 -20:29 US$ 8,000 2890
4 Will Clarke GBR 00:49:16 04:22:30 02:42:01 07:59:02 -22:43 US$ 6,500 2455
5 Kirill Kotshegarov EST 00:54:56 04:11:16 02:48:00 07:59:32 -21:22 US$ 5,000 2090
6 Matthew Russell USA 00:54:49 04:13:43 02:47:57 08:01:35 -15:43 US$ 3,500 1670
7 Leon Griffin AUS 00:49:18 04:19:25 02:49:16 08:04:04 -46:47 US$ 2,500 1335
8 David Plese SLO 00:55:14 04:13:29 02:51:05 08:05:08 -15:48 US$ 2,000 1070
9 Callum Millward NZL 00:49:35 04:18:56 02:53:24 08:07:13 -11:06 US$ 1,500 855
10 Marc Duelsen GER 00:49:32 04:22:04 02:50:16 08:07:25 -14:54 US$ 1,000 685
11 Daniel Fontana ITA 00:49:09 04:23:49 02:54:53 08:13:14 -06:46 515
12 Bas Diederen NED 00:49:03 04:18:04 03:01:38 08:14:31 06:10 385
13 Stephen Kilshaw CAN 00:55:13 04:20:24 02:55:53 08:16:08 -17:20 290
14 Jonathan Shearon USA 00:55:20 04:23:53 02:56:09 08:21:30 -08:59 215
15 Colin Laughery USA 00:54:35 04:28:49 03:07:51 08:37:52 -22:01 160
16 Jarrod Shoemaker USA 00:49:01 04:44:46 03:01:16 08:40:21 -21:36 120
17 James Capparell USA 00:48:56 04:29:50 03:16:09 08:41:10 n/a 90
18 Adam Gordon AUS 00:56:50 04:32:50 03:07:57 08:42:41 00:23 70
19 Andrew Starykowicz USA 00:49:15 04:01:14 03:58:07 08:54:45 41:54 50
20 Matt Shanks USA 01:00:44 04:56:05 03:04:45 09:07:30 -11:49 40
21 Tomas Mika CZE 00:54:36 05:02:06 03:06:27 09:09:25 24:07 25
22 Peter Kotland CZE 01:00:44 04:42:56 03:20:50 09:12:35 -16:09 25
23 Antony Costes FRA 00:49:10 04:14:37 04:08:31 09:17:17 07:50 25
24 Patrick Schuster USA 01:06:38 04:39:25 03:28:28 09:22:39 04:12 25
25 Timothy Nichols USA 01:14:08 05:05:40 04:28:34 11:01:08 n/a 25
Paul Ambrose AUS 00:49:22 04:22:35 DNF
Ivan Tutukin RUS 00:49:19 04:34:33 DNF
Karl-Johan Danielsson SWE 00:49:28 04:42:37 DNF
Harry Wiltshire GBR 00:48:57 04:43:23 DNF
Paul Matthews AUS 00:49:20 04:48:49 DNF
Frank Souza BRA 00:49:23 DNF
Trevor Delsaut FRA 00:55:14 DNF
Jordan Rapp USA 00:55:16 DNF
Joe Skipper GBR 00:55:18 DNF
Matic Modic SLO 00:56:45 DNF

Female Race Results

The female race was dominated by Lauren Brandon for most of the day. After posting the fastest swim of the whole field (including the men!) she also rode strong and started the run with 5 minute gap to Jodie Robertson. For a while Jocelyn McCauley was also in the lead group, but she fell back with technical problems on the bike and eventually finished in 12th place. In T2, Jodie was closely followed by three more podium contenders, Maja Stage Nielsen, Tine Deckers and Alicia Kaye who were less than a minute behind her at the start of the run.

But it was quickly apparent that Jodie would be the best runner of the front group, at mile 10 she took the lead from Lauren and continued to run strong. She won the race with a solid 3:03 marathon which was also fast enough for a sub-9 finish. Second place went to Austrian Michi Herlbauer who had the best run split among the top finishers, also finishing sub-9. Third place went to the Maja Stage Nielsen from Denmark who ran by Alicia Kaye (4th), Tine Deckers (5th) and Lauren Brandon (6th). Kelly Williamson (7th) had the best run of the day, she ran a 2:56:30 marathon. Malindi Elmore in 8th also went sub-3 on the run.

Rank Name Nation Swim Bike Run Time Diff to exp. Prize Money KPR Points
1 Jodie Robertson USA 01:02:31 04:43:45 03:03:41 08:56:32 -26:11 US$ 30,000 4000
2 Michaela Herlbauer AUT 00:57:57 04:53:47 03:02:27 08:59:31 -11:36 US$ 15,000 3400
3 Maja Stage Nielsen DEN 01:01:02 04:47:31 03:07:45 09:01:00 -11:23 US$ 8,000 2890
4 Alicia Kaye USA 00:52:52 04:55:34 03:11:00 09:04:40 -22:34 US$ 6,500 2455
5 Tine Deckers BEL 01:00:35 04:47:55 03:12:24 09:06:08 -01:54 US$ 5,000 2090
6 Lauren Brandon USA 00:48:52 04:53:03 03:19:25 09:06:25 01:44 US$ 3,500 1670
7 Kelly Williamson USA 00:55:41 05:13:40 02:56:30 09:11:19 -03:29 US$ 2,500 1335
8 Malindi Elmore CAN 01:07:54 04:59:15 02:59:10 09:11:34 10:05 US$ 2,000 1070
9 Leslie DiMichele Miller USA 00:59:25 05:01:34 03:07:08 09:13:22 -23:57 US$ 1,500 855
10 Caroline Livesey GBR 01:01:21 04:52:21 03:19:12 09:18:33 -23:09 US$ 1,000 685
11 Celine Schaerer SUI 00:52:55 05:08:12 03:19:02 09:25:34 08:29 515
12 Jocelyn McCauley USA 00:57:40 05:11:48 03:12:40 09:27:42 17:27 385
13 Annett Finger GER 01:02:34 04:58:43 03:27:42 09:33:48 -11:38 290
14 Darbi Roberts USA 00:55:32 05:05:26 03:36:27 09:43:43 19:29 215
15 Erin Green USA 01:03:56 05:10:13 03:27:11 09:48:40 -09:29 160
16 Nicole Luse USA 01:14:35 05:09:54 03:18:24 09:49:00 -23:45 120
17 Shiao-yu Li TWN 01:08:04 05:30:23 03:40:42 10:25:44 48:15 90
Jessica Jones Meyers USA 00:59:29 05:03:55 DNF
Amber Ferreira USA 00:57:52 05:06:56 DNF
Francesca Sanjana GBR 01:07:56 05:15:07 DNF
Ashley Paulson USA 01:14:31 DNF

Kona Qualifying

Here’s a look at the implications for Kona slots on the male side:

  • Automatic Qualifier: Matt Hanson
  • Safe (enough points): Ronnie Schildknecht, Tyler Butterfield, Matt Russell (Matt was already safe)
  • On the Bubble (could be enough, but not sure): David Please, Marc Duelsen
  • Close (more points needed): Daniel Fontana, Will Clarke

And on the female side:

  • Automatic Qualifier: Jodie Robertson
  • Safe: Alicia Kaye, Maja Stage Nielsen
  • On the Bubble: Michaela Herlbauer, Lauren Brandon, Jocelyn McCauley (Jocelyn was on the bubble before, her 12th place was not enough to advance to the “safe” category)
  • Close: Malindi Elmore, Tine Deckers, Celine Schärer

Ironman Australia 2017 (May 7th) – Seedings

IMAustraliaLogo

Update May 4th: Pedro Gomes announced on Twitter he’s focusing on IM Brasil.

Previous Winners

Year Male Winner Time Female Winner Time
2005 Chris McCormack (AUS) 08:25:44 Lisa Bentley (CAN) 09:13:20
2006 Chris McCormack (AUS) 08:20:42 Lisa Bentley (CAN) 09:19:44
2007 Patrick Vernay (NCL) 08:21:49 Rebekah Keat (AUS) 09:12:59
2008 Patrick Vernay (NCL) 08:31:32 Chrissie Wellington (GBR) 09:03:54
2009 Patrick Vernay (NCL) 08:24:53 Chrissie Wellington (GBR) 08:57:10
2010 Patrick Vernay (NCL) 08:23:54 Carrie Lester (AUS) 09:23:46
2011 Pete Jacobs (AUS) 08:29:28 Caroline Steffen (SUI) 09:29:54
2012 Paul Ambrose (AUS) 08:17:38 Michelle Gailey (AUS) 09:34:57
2013 Luke Bell (AUS) 08:30:23 Rebecca Hoschke (AUS) 09:34:55
2014 Elliot Holtham (CAN) 08:35:18 Melissa Hauschildt (AUS) 09:28:43
2015 Paul Ambrose (AUS) 08:35:53 Michelle Bremer (NZL) 09:38:24
2016 Tim Reed (AUS) 08:16:34 Beth Gerdes (USA)
Michelle Bremer (NZL)		 09:10:28
09:13:34

Beth Gerdes was DQ’d a couple of months after the 2016 race because of increased levels of Ostarine, possibly caused by tainted salt tablet. For more details, please check out her blog post about this incident.

Last Year’s TOP 3

Male Race Results

Rank Name Nation Swim Bike Run Time
1 Tim Reed AUS 00:47:00 04:34:30 02:51:32 08:16:34
2 David Dellow AUS 00:44:42 04:36:48 02:57:23 08:22:18
3 Clayton Fettell AUS 00:43:47 04:29:14 03:07:02 08:23:22

Female Race Results

Rank Name Nation Swim Bike Run Time
1 Beth Gerdes USA 00:56:47 05:13:54 02:56:10 09:10:28
2 1 Michelle Bremer NZL 00:54:28 05:03:54 03:11:46 09:13:34
3 2 Dimity-Lee Duke AUS 00:56:51 05:17:25 03:24:17 09:42:16
4 3 Melanie Burke NZL 01:01:31 05:24:27 03:26:54 09:56:54

Course Records

Leg Gender Record Athlete Date
Total overall 08:16:34 Tim Reed 2016-05-01
Swim overall 00:43:47 Clayton Fettell 2016-05-01
Swim overall 00:43:47 Josh Amberger 2016-05-01
Bike overall 04:27:51 Dougal Allan 2016-05-01
Run overall 02:47:20 Tim Van Berkel 2012-04-29
Total female 08:57:10 Chrissie Wellington 2009-04-05
Swim female 00:48:42 Melissa Ashton 2006-05-11
Bike female 05:00:57 Carrie Lester 2010-03-28
Run female 02:56:10
03:01:06		 Beth Gerdes
Lisa Bentley		 2016-05-01
2006-05-11

Course Rating

The Course Rating for IM Australia is 06:44.

Race Adjustments for IM Australia

Year Adjustment Swim Adj. Bike Adj. Run Adj. # of Finishers Rating Swim Rating Bike Rating Run Rating
2006 06:16 02:34 -05:19 01:33 30 06:16 02:34 -05:19 01:33
2007 06:51 02:07 -03:18 01:24 36 06:34 02:20 -04:18 01:29
2008 03:29 00:33 -00:35 00:38 24 05:32 01:45 -03:04 01:12
2009 05:55 00:15 -02:50 00:47 28 05:38 01:22 -03:00 01:06
2010 11:09 05:12 03:02 -02:52 18 06:44 02:08 -01:48 00:18
2011 06:26 02:03 -02:30 01:27 14 06:41 02:07 -01:55 00:30
2012 10:09 02:50 00:15 04:52 9 07:11 02:14 -01:36 01:07
2013 12:58 01:43 -01:55 05:23 9 07:54 02:10 -01:39 01:39
2014 12:30 04:04 -02:38 09:33 15 of 17 08:25 02:22 -01:45 02:32
2015 -00:46 03:36 -00:50 -01:52 18 of 24 07:30 02:30 -01:40 02:05
2016 -00:50 02:24 03:31 01:35 23 of 29 06:44 02:29 -01:11 02:03

KPR points and Prize Money

IM Australia is a P-2000 race. It has a total prize purse of 40.000 US$.

Male Race Participants

The strength of the field is 8% of a typical Kona field.

Rank Bib Name Nation Expected Time Rating Exp. Swim Exp. Bike Exp. Run Consistency Overall
1 1 Tim Reed AUS 08:13:55 08:34:05 00:45:53 04:33:57 02:49:04 9% +37% -53% (5) (40)
2 3 David Dellow AUS 08:18:53 08:25:23 00:44:21 04:37:04 02:52:28 76% +2% -23% (15) 19
3 5 Michael Fox AUS 08:24:20 08:40:35 00:43:54 04:39:41 02:55:46 66% +34% -0% (3) 70
4 7 Brad Kahlefeldt AUS 08:24:51 08:30:57 00:43:53 04:44:11 02:51:47 68% +0% -32% (3) (29)
5 4 Clayton Fettell AUS 08:25:00 08:42:35 00:43:03 04:31:58 03:04:59 41% +14% -45% (10) 74
6 2 Paul Ambrose AUS 08:32:57 08:42:17 00:47:39 04:38:56 03:01:21 49% +3% -48% (21) 73
7 8 Pedro Gomes POR 08:33:06 08:35:16 00:49:45 04:44:56 02:53:25 67% +1% -31% (25) 51
8 6 Chris McDonald AUS 08:35:32 08:43:39 00:50:26 04:39:50 03:00:16 65% +15% -20% (44) 78
9 9 Nick Baldwin SEY 08:47:48 09:00:02 00:50:18 04:45:48 03:06:42 69% +0% -31% (18) 137
10 12 Levi Maxwell AUS 08:49:21 09:04:50 00:51:28 04:56:04 02:56:49 48% +52% -0% (2) (153)
11 10 Carl Read NZL 08:55:34 09:08:04 00:50:59 05:01:24 02:58:11 74% +8% -18% (11) 160
12 11 Daniel Brown AUS 10:47:36 11:30:42 01:01:09 05:37:06 04:04:21 45% +0% -55% (2) (295)
13 Nathan Shearer AUS n/a unrated unrated unrated unrated n/a (no IM Pro race) (n/a)

Female Race Participants

The strength of the field is 1% of a typical Kona field.

Rank Bib Name Nation Expected Time Rating Exp. Swim Exp. Bike Exp. Run Consistency Overall
1 21 Laura Siddall GBR 09:19:33 09:32:32 00:54:50 05:05:37 03:14:06 63% +30% -7% (10) 33
2 20 Michelle Gailey AUS 09:41:10 09:54:58 00:52:46 05:24:26 03:18:58 70% +0% -30% (10) (70)
3 25 Karen Thibodeau CAN 09:48:05 09:57:46 00:51:27 05:29:28 03:22:10 81% +0% -19% (12) 73
4 22 Jessica Mitchell AUS 10:21:32 10:39:35 01:02:22 05:36:59 03:37:12 100% +0% -0% (2) (141)
5 24 Jessica Richards AUS 10:38:28 11:02:49 01:05:40 05:25:39 04:02:09 n/a (1 IM Pro race) (147)
23 Lauren Parker AUS n/a unrated unrated unrated unrated 0% +0% -100% (3) (n/a)

Winning Odds

Male Race Participants

2016 Champion Tim Reed is back to defend his title. He faces a number of strong Australian athletes that can easily win the race on a good day:

  • Tim Reed: 47% (1-1)
  • David Dellow: 29% (2-1)
  • Michael Fox: 9% (10-1)
  • Clayton Fettell: 8% (12-1)
  • Chris McDonald: 2% (39-1)
  • Brad Kahlefeldt: 2% (40-1)
  • Paul Ambrose: 2% (61-1)

Female Race Participants

Laura Siddall has already raced two IM distance races in February (2nd at Challenge Wanaka) and March (2nd at IM New Zealand), but she needs a couple more Kona points to qualify (probably xth or better). She’s the clear favorite to win her first IM-distance race, especially as her second place at Challenge Melbourne in April showed that she has recovered well from the racing at the start of the year:

  • Laura Siddall: 73% (1-1)
  • Michelle Gailey: 16% (5-1)
  • Karen Thibodeau: 9% (10-1)

Ironman Lanzarote 2017 (May 20th) – Entry List

Male Race Participants

Romain Guillaume tweeted that Bart Aernouts and Victor Del Corral will also be racing.

Name Nation KPR points KPR races
Marino Vanhoenacker BEL 2500 1+1
Cyril Viennot FRA 2420 2+1
Jesse Thomas USA 2085 1+2 (1100/345)
Carlos Lopez Diaz ESP 2000 1+0
Romain Guillaume FRA 1670 0+2 (0/750)
Karl-Johan Danielsson SWE 845 2+0
Cedric Lassonde FRA 820 1+1
Samuel Huerzeler SUI 710 2+0
Konstantin Bachor GER 560 2+1
Mike Schifferle SUI 525 2+0
Alessandro Degasperi ITA 450 1+0
Philipp Koutny SUI 430 2+1
Diego Van Looy BEL 289 2+1
Andrey Lyatskiy RUS 115 2+0
Alain Djouad-Guibert MOR 80 0+2 (0/15)
Erik Holmberg SWE 30 1+0
Josep Vinolas ESP 10 1+0
Timothy Van Houtem BEL 0 0+0
Malte Bruns GER
Stephen Donnelly IRL
Guillaume Lecallier FRA
Philipp Mock GER
Victor Rodriguez ESP
Frederic Schaffner FRA
Dominique Fernan Wymmersch Gallego ESP

Female Race Participants

Name Nation KPR points KPR races
Lucy Gossage GBR 3445 1+0
Diana Riesler GER 2785 1+1
Darbi Roberts USA 2540 2+0
Alexandra Tondeur BEL 2140 2+1
Kelly Fillnow USA 2005 2+2 (405/140)
Tine Holst DEN 1700 2+1
Kate Comber GBR 1240 2+1
Saleta Castro Nogueira ESP 235 1+0
Lucy Charles GBR 115 0+1
Camille Deligny FRA 0 0+0
Pia Englyst DEN
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