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Ironman Mallorca 2014 – Analyzing Results

Race Conditions

The first race in Mallorca was fast, an adjustment of 16:23 (pretty even across the three legs) is comparable to courses such as Frankfurt, Texas or Melbourne.

Male Race Results

Rank Name Nation Swim Bike Run Time Diff to expected
1 Tim Don GBR 00:45:25 04:51:21 02:52:07 08:34:02 n/a
2 Miguel Fidalgo ESP 00:45:36 04:58:45 02:49:01 08:38:08 n/a
3 Mike Aigroz SUI 00:45:31 04:51:06 02:59:26 08:40:29 -04:37
4 Miquel Blanchart ESP 00:45:37 05:03:31 02:47:30 08:41:20 02:32
5 Carlos Lopez Diaz ESP 00:45:26 04:55:51 02:58:46 08:45:09 -41:54
6 Alejandro Santamaria ESP 00:51:53 04:54:39 02:58:17 08:49:34 -04:17
7 Patrick Jaberg SUI 00:51:49 04:54:11 02:59:21 08:50:46 -07:28
8 Manuel Kueng SUI 00:44:46 04:48:20 03:14:24 08:52:38 -04:32
9 Tomas Mika CZE 00:51:56 05:06:37 02:52:38 08:56:33 -14:10
10 Timo Bracht GER 00:48:06 04:52:37 03:12:59 08:58:37 51:32
11 Samuel Huerzeler SUI 00:50:14 04:58:59 03:03:14 09:00:10 -13:12
12 Niels Brandt-Joergensen DEN 00:54:37 05:00:16 03:00:06 09:01:25 n/a
13 Mike Schifferle SUI 00:56:24 05:00:23 02:59:28 09:02:48 09:22
14 Matthias Knossalla GER 01:01:29 04:52:55 03:06:52 09:06:50 n/a
15 Dominik Berger AUT 00:48:06 04:55:04 03:18:48 09:07:30 15:55
16 Daniel Niederreiter AUT 00:49:57 05:00:13 03:17:06 09:11:42 18:12
17 Marcel Bischof GER 00:52:59 05:04:39 03:12:14 09:15:10 01:41
18 DJ Snyder USA 00:52:19 05:21:49 02:56:36 09:15:59 n/a
19 Bekim Christensen DEN 01:01:13 04:57:17 03:12:53 09:16:49 n/a
20 Gerald Ratschke AUT 00:59:13 05:03:13 03:14:38 09:23:22 -13:00
21 Alberto Codinach ESP 00:52:21 05:21:53 03:05:28 09:24:56 -45:44
22 Michael Louys BEL 00:57:52 05:06:29 03:24:16 09:34:52 -08:24
23 Armin Atzlinger AUT 00:52:06 05:16:30 03:28:33 09:43:11 n/a
24 Vincent Depuiset FRA 01:05:14 05:17:37 03:17:05 09:46:23 -22:25
25 Nis Lind DEN 00:56:10 05:14:14 03:43:57 10:01:57 07:55
26 Ludovic Le Guellec FRA 00:59:22 05:09:35 04:12:55 10:28:04 26:16
27 Teemu Kyllonen FIN 01:01:16 05:24:12 04:14:12 10:49:01 40:23
28 Ignacio Rubio Gomez ESP 00:50:09 05:36:41 04:44:42 11:19:38 -02:55
29 Nick Dunn GBR 00:57:47 06:05:51 04:24:28 11:43:01 n/a
Edo Van der Meer NED 00:45:28 04:50:48 DNF
Fabio Carvalho BRA 00:45:39 04:50:49 DNF
Bert Jammaer BEL 00:45:31 05:00:19 DNF
Domenico Passuello ITA 00:51:40 04:54:23 DNF
Karl-Johan Danielsson SWE 00:45:30 05:02:43 DNF
Pontus Lindberg SWE 00:48:38 05:01:12 DNF
Jens Frommhold GER 00:54:59 05:02:12 DNF
Jacob Frandsen DEN 00:52:23 05:11:57 DNF
Richard Calle ESP 00:50:04 05:15:45 DNF
Niclas Bock GER 00:48:06 05:19:29 DNF
Alfred Rahm GER 01:00:10 05:14:59 DNF
Christoph Schlagbauer AUT 01:00:37 DNF

Female Race Results

Rank Name Nation Swim Bike Run Time Diff to expected
1 Eimear Mullan IRL 00:55:13 05:13:01 03:10:26 09:24:17 -17:15
2 Dede Griesbauer USA 00:50:10 05:11:15 03:19:40 09:27:09 -21:05
3 Astrid Ganzow GER 00:55:14 05:12:17 03:17:18 09:31:10 -19:24
4 Mette Pettersen Moe NOR 00:49:52 05:13:04 03:30:07 09:38:58 n/a
5 Kamila Polak AUT 00:55:49 05:21:43 03:20:35 09:44:33 n/a
6 Maria Lemeseva RUS 01:05:30 05:15:32 03:18:36 09:45:56 -17:18
7 Tine Holst DEN 01:00:19 05:17:01 03:23:49 09:47:03 -18:06
8 Anna Halasz HUN 01:04:16 05:16:50 03:23:09 09:49:24 -43:45
9 Bianca Steurer AUT 00:57:27 05:33:39 03:17:39 09:54:46 n/a
10 Linda Schuecker GER 00:59:53 05:25:37 03:36:52 10:08:15 -00:22
11 Helena Herrero Gomez ESP 00:55:47 05:42:01 03:25:31 10:10:14 -14:06
12 Karina Ottosen DEN 00:55:57 05:33:03 03:35:40 10:10:17 05:20
13 Jenny Schulz GER 01:01:42 05:22:17 03:39:46 10:11:37 n/a
14 Kristina Wiegand GER 00:59:32 05:25:48 03:56:09 10:27:11 -12:14
15 Conny Dauben GER 01:04:27 05:36:50 04:14:52 11:04:00 16:50
Nina Kuhn GER 00:56:59 05:04:52 DNF
Natascha Schmitt GER 00:52:17 05:31:55 DNF

Ironman Malaysia 2014 – Analyzing Results

Race Conditions

As expected, conditions were pretty slow with an adjustment of -5:03, almost comparable to Kona. The run course was especially slow (adjustment of -12:53), I’ve only seen two slower runs so far, in Korea 2007 and MetaMan 2013.

Male Race Results

Rank Name Nation Swim Bike Run Time Diff to expected
1 Patrik Nilsson SWE 00:49:49 04:40:31 03:05:37 08:41:53 -1:01:56
2 Fredrik Croneborg SWE 00:53:34 04:49:56 03:10:00 08:58:45 -01:16
3 Karol Dzalaj SVK 00:56:05 04:47:03 03:26:21 09:15:00 -06:01
4 Dylan McNeice NZL 00:46:19 04:53:19 03:41:05 09:26:28 22:19
5 Tohara Kaito JAP 00:56:12 05:19:57 03:11:33 09:33:27 00:11
6 Markus Mlinar AUT 00:57:57 05:06:07 03:38:54 09:48:23 n/a
7 Jon Woods NZL 00:57:59 05:11:29 03:43:07 09:58:05 -07:47
8 Zsombor Deak ROM 01:00:05 05:25:45 03:29:24 10:00:38 n/a
9 Timothy Beardall AUS 01:06:30 04:27:10 04:29:33 10:10:39 04:17
10 Daiki Masuda JPN 00:57:32 05:34:10 04:00:39 10:40:07 53:25
11 Yu Shinozaki JPN 00:59:59 05:31:26 04:08:18 10:48:07 57:10
12 Michal Kulich SVK 01:05:20 05:28:20 04:08:57 10:50:23 1:05:32
13 Josef Svoboda CZE 01:13:07 06:18:45 04:44:00 12:27:18 -00:22
Luke Bell AUS 00:49:55 04:53:23 DNF
Brian Fuller AUS 00:53:56 05:02:42 DNF
Carl Read NZL 00:56:00 05:01:02 DNF
Cameron Brown NZL 00:53:45 05:11:18 DNF
Benjamin Sanson FRA 00:47:27 DNF

Female Race Results

Rank Name Nation Swim Bike Run Time Diff to expected
1 Diana Riesler GER 00:59:11 04:58:44 03:23:11 09:26:38 -22:29
2 Keiko Tanaka JPN 00:56:51 05:28:43 03:29:23 10:00:13 -19:22
3 Dimity-Lee Duke AUS 01:04:11 05:25:17 03:26:33 10:02:03 -31:50
4 Shiao-yu Li TWN 01:09:19 05:24:07 03:31:11 10:10:37 -09:50
5 Beth Gerdes USA 01:03:41 05:34:57 03:30:33 10:15:19 07:18
6 Michelle Duffield AUS 01:04:08 05:34:45 03:42:19 10:27:13 09:22
7 Maki Nishiuchi JPN 00:56:51 05:28:45 04:00:18 10:31:42 00:04
8 Kristy Hallett AUS 01:08:03 05:39:55 04:17:12 11:13:01 27:39
Rebecca Preston AUS 00:59:12 05:12:39 DNF

Kona 2014 Resources

Thanks to the support of VeloDynamics, I will again be able to offer my “Live Predictions” during the race at http://kona.trirating.com – combining the actual splits as the race progresses with my predictions to give you much better insight into how the race will likely turn out. All of this on one easy to use page with all the useful information. Please check it out!

Here is a list of my resources for Kona 2014:

Here are some more articles and interviews that I found interesting:

  • Interview by Tawnee Prazak on EndurancePlanet with Craig Alexander, Terenzo Bozzone and Pro race previews with Hillary Biscay and Chris McCormack
  • Interview on IMTalk with Andy Starykowicz, they also have “Kona Super Specials” with loads of interviews
  • John Levison on tri247.com about “Pro Men: How to win Kona” and a similar post for the women)
  • The guys on firstoffthebike.com have a number of articles focused on the Kona field (e.g. The Kona Book, or the Women Contenders)
  • Timothy Carlson has posted detailed looks at the Kona fields for years on slowtwitch, check out his Men’s Preview and Women’s Preview
  • Bob Babbit has a lot of recent interviews with Kona contenders at Babbitville (plus he will be doing his “Breakfast with Bob” interviews in the week before Kona)
  • Cupacakes with Cal is a series of interviews with the big names in Triathlon by Pro triathlete Callum Millward – a mixture of good fun and great content
  • For the German language speakers: tri2b.com has a lot of interviews (e.g. Jan Frodeno, Julia Gajer) on their YouTube channel and tri-mag some more with Sebi Kienle, Andi Raelert, Caroline Steffen and other close to the race

I’ll update this list as soon as my friends and I release more information over the next days!

Ironman Barcelona 2014 (Oct 5th) – Predictions

In late 2013, WTC bought the race organizer of Challenge Barcelona, so the race became an Ironman race. From what I know, most of the details of the race (most notably the course) will be the same as in the past. The data for the previous years (winners, course ratings etc.) is from when the race was still a Challenge race, but it should be a good indication of what to expect.

Previous Winners

Year Male Winner Time Female Winner Time
2009 Marcel Zamora (ESP) 08:15:37 Sofie Goos (BEL) 09:08:01
2010 Jimmy Johnsen (DEN) 08:19:43 Lucie Reed (CZE) 09:13:47
2011 Clemente Alonso-McKernan (ESP) 08:15:25 Gabriele Vergano (ITA) 09:12:55
2012 Bas Diederen (NED) 08:20:07 Lucy Gossage (GBR) 08:58:43
2013 Sergio Marques (POR) 08:05:21 Eva Wutti (AUT) 08:51:01

Last Year’s TOP 3

Male Race Results

Rank Name Nation Swim Bike Run Time
1 Sergio Marques POR 00:56:59 04:25:39 02:40:44 08:05:21
2 Tom Lowe GBR 00:59:22 04:23:11 02:43:15 08:07:50
3 Konstantin Bachor GER 00:52:25 04:14:16 03:02:54 08:11:23

Female Race Results

Rank Name Nation Swim Bike Run Time
1 Eva Wutti AUT 01:02:39 04:46:37 02:59:45 08:51:01
2 Lucie Reed CZE 00:56:07 04:51:25 03:08:00 08:57:34
3 Tiina Boman FIN 01:06:31 05:02:31 03:12:13 09:23:16

Course Records

Leg Gender Record Athlete Date
Total overall 08:05:21 Sergio Marques 2013-10-06
Swim overall 00:47:50 Carlos Lopez Diaz 2012-09-30
Bike overall 04:14:16 Konstantin Bachor 2013-10-06
Run overall 02:40:44 Sergio Marques 2013-10-06
Total female 08:51:01 Eva Wutti 2013-10-06
Swim female 00:52:48 Lucie Reed 2010-10-03
Bike female 04:46:33 Mirjam Weerd 2012-09-30
Run female 02:59:45 Eva Wutti 2013-10-06

Course Rating

The Course Rating for Challenge Barcelona is 25:34.

Race Adjustments for Challenge Barcelona

Year Adjustment Swim Adj. Bike Adj. Run Adj. # of Athletes Rating Swim Rating Bike Rating Run Rating
2009 23:53 -00:58 19:53 02:38 32 23:53 -00:58 19:53 02:38
2010 21:02 -00:59 18:59 01:04 26 22:28 -00:59 19:26 01:51
2011 13:38 -00:36 15:26 -02:24 24 19:31 -00:51 18:06 00:26
2012 31:32 -00:55 12:51 06:11 27 22:31 -00:52 16:47 01:52
2013 37:44 -04:41 14:07 11:13 39 25:34 -01:38 16:15 03:44

Male Race Participants

Rank Bib Name Nation Expected Time Rating Swim Rating Bike Rating Run Rating Rank
1 2 Clemente Alonso-McKernan ESP 08:09:49 08:34:09 00:47:33 04:44:36 02:51:56 21
2 3 Bas Diederen NED 08:20:35 08:45:27 00:48:19 04:47:14 02:58:52 49
3 66 Jens Petersen-Bach DEN 08:22:04 08:47:01 00:51:22 04:46:59 02:53:49 53
4 5 Konstantin Bachor GER 08:22:34 08:47:32 00:49:42 04:30:16 03:11:12 54
5 4 Horst Reichel GER 08:25:25 08:50:32 00:48:29 04:45:26 03:07:56 63
6 12 Herve Faure FRA 08:27:07 08:52:19 00:51:26 04:51:56 03:02:46 (69)
7 15 Jarmo Hast FIN 08:28:46 08:54:03 00:50:13 04:52:26 03:02:47 75
8 6 Miquel Blanchart ESP 08:29:18 08:54:37 00:49:26 04:53:24 02:53:43 78
9 9 Dejan Patrcevic CRO 08:29:40 08:55:00 00:52:16 04:59:20 02:55:12 80
10 17 Denis Chevrot FRA 08:30:30 08:55:52 00:47:51 04:55:33 02:57:45 84
11 32 Matt Trautman ZAF 08:31:18 08:56:42 00:48:15 04:37:31 02:59:18 (88)
12 7 Michael Goehner GER 08:31:57 08:57:23 00:54:12 04:48:01 03:05:30 93
13 13 Simon Billeau FRA 08:32:40 08:58:09 00:52:25 04:44:21 03:17:58 (96)
14 10 Joe Skipper GBR 08:33:26 08:58:57 00:53:00 04:45:43 02:59:02 100
15 56 Domenico Passuello ITA 08:34:55 09:00:30 00:55:11 04:44:35 03:06:07 103
16 1 Sergio Marques POR 08:34:56 09:00:31 00:54:54 05:00:49 02:58:44 105
17 64 Anton Blokhin UKR 08:35:05 09:00:41 00:48:56 04:50:39 03:04:06 107
18 59 Petr Vabrousek CZE 08:35:14 09:00:50 00:55:11 04:52:36 03:03:34 108
19 63 Christophe Bastie FRA 08:36:14 09:01:53 00:53:59 04:46:50 03:11:27 111
20 27 Nicholas Ward Munoz GBR 08:37:25 09:03:08 00:55:27 04:59:13 02:59:25 116
21 53 Sylvain Rota FRA 08:37:48 09:03:32 00:51:39 04:43:05 03:12:45 117
22 26 Markus Thomschke GER 08:38:33 09:04:19 00:53:28 04:44:51 03:09:13 119
23 65 Andrey Lyatskiy RUS 08:40:33 09:06:25 00:48:37 04:55:52 03:11:33 132
24 11 Georg Swoboda AUT 08:41:03 09:06:57 00:56:08 04:39:42 03:14:20 135
25 61 Graeme Stewart GBR 08:42:33 09:08:31 00:53:39 04:52:43 03:04:59 143
26 58 Mike Schifferle SUI 08:43:53 09:09:55 01:00:35 04:52:02 03:06:39 147
27 8 Alberto Casadei ITA 08:46:13 09:12:22 00:46:58 04:47:27 03:06:31 (158)
28 40 Gergö Molnar HUN 08:48:37 09:14:53 00:48:37 04:55:16 03:05:05 (166)
29 54 Gudmund Snilstveit NOR 08:49:12 09:15:30 00:56:55 04:45:12 03:20:03 (167)
30 20 Andres Castillo COL 08:49:39 09:15:58 00:47:38 04:57:46 03:21:35 172
31 14 Ivan Alvarez Gomez ESP 08:53:35 09:20:06 00:56:35 05:04:39 03:01:38 190
32 69 Andreas Borch DEN 08:53:57 09:20:29 00:48:59 04:53:47 03:22:23 (192)
33 35 Vincent Riess AUT 08:55:14 09:21:50 00:54:17 06:00:32 03:00:10 195
34 44 Jens Kaiser GER 08:55:37 09:22:14 00:58:00 04:51:13 03:14:20 197
35 47 Kent Horner ZAF 08:56:09 09:22:48 00:49:18 04:57:03 03:24:09 (199)
36 16 Andreas Niedrig GER 08:58:38 09:25:24 00:47:36 04:51:34 03:38:38 206
37 49 Herve Banti MCO 08:59:11 09:25:59 00:52:09 05:06:20 03:19:55 (207)
38 50 Mark Oude Bennink NED 08:59:40 09:26:29 00:49:03 04:50:15 03:17:52 (209)
39 60 Marcel Bischof GER 09:03:20 09:30:20 00:57:34 04:58:14 03:20:40 (223)
40 18 Darren Jenkins AUS 09:03:21 09:30:21 01:03:40 05:01:31 03:00:01 (223)
41 30 Hendrik-Jan Verhaegen BEL 09:07:14 09:34:26 00:55:57 04:51:59 03:13:18 (236)
42 38 Christian Nilsson NOR 09:09:17 09:36:35 01:00:13 04:47:23 03:17:11 (245)
43 25 Enric Gussinyer ESP 09:11:09 09:38:32 00:52:21 04:55:21 03:31:08 253
44 33 Oliver Simon GBR 09:12:02 09:39:28 00:49:08 04:58:36 03:35:56 259
45 55 Richard Whitfield GBR 09:12:32 09:39:59 00:56:16 04:53:47 03:15:16 (261)
46 51 Matic Modic SLO 09:13:05 09:40:34 00:56:09 05:01:21 03:14:26 (262)
47 19 Antonio Jesus Aguilar Conejo ESP 09:17:41 09:45:24 01:01:22 05:08:56 03:01:18 (278)
48 28 Anders Wagner DEN 09:19:45 09:47:34 01:03:28 05:06:03 03:09:02 (285)
49 62 Jose Ortega Serran ESP 09:20:35 09:48:26 00:56:42 05:02:31 03:20:11 (289)
50 24 Mauro Baertsch SUI 09:21:13 09:49:06 00:52:37 05:34:30 02:52:06 (292)
51 23 Steve Clark GBR 09:22:29 09:50:26 00:58:07 05:03:39 03:21:18 298
52 21 Luca De Paolis ITA 09:31:00 09:59:22 00:59:58 05:00:55 03:37:08 332
53 42 Martin Kleinl AUT 09:32:10 10:00:36 01:01:13 04:52:47 03:32:17 (341)
54 31 Petr Vales CZE 09:45:39 10:14:45 01:03:22 05:16:39 03:23:43 (376)
55 45 Alejandro Jimenez valverde ESP 09:46:38 10:15:47 00:57:43 05:07:09 03:33:10 (376)
56 39 Evgeniy Nikitin RUS 09:48:48 10:18:04 00:51:30 05:15:45 03:56:12 379
57 57 Fernando Cuenllas ESP 09:51:43 10:21:07 00:55:14 05:10:04 03:48:29 (388)
58 29 Remmert Wielinga NED 10:02:51 10:32:48 01:17:55 04:52:31 03:49:37 (417)
59 46 Nicolas Houyoux BEL 10:33:58 11:05:28 00:58:01 05:31:29 03:56:43 (444)
60 67 Florian Kratz GER 10:42:17 11:14:12 01:04:24 05:54:34 03:52:39 (445)
61 43 Maksim Kalinin RUS 10:42:57 11:14:54 01:11:14 05:35:42 03:47:25 (445)
62 68 Marek Nemcik SVK 11:33:05 12:07:31 01:11:27 05:55:14 04:38:04 450
22 Roman Deisenhofer GER n/a unrated unrated unrated unrated (n/a)
34 Christoph Schlagbauer AUT n/a unrated unrated unrated unrated (n/a)
36 Jose Luis Rakos ARG n/a unrated unrated unrated unrated (n/a)
37 Nicolas Pizzol FRA n/a unrated unrated unrated unrated (n/a)
41 Mikolaj Luft POL n/a unrated unrated unrated unrated (n/a)
48 Eduardo Crooke Gonzalez ESP n/a unrated unrated unrated unrated (n/a)
52 Ouilleres Gwenael FRA n/a unrated unrated unrated unrated (n/a)

Female Race Participants

Rank Bib Name Nation Expected Time Rating Swim Rating Bike Rating Run Rating Rank
1 97 Erika Csomor HUN 09:08:26 09:35:41 00:58:19 05:14:20 03:13:42 21
2 72 Anja Beranek GER 09:10:31 09:37:52 00:52:51 05:08:06 03:22:46 (25)
3 99 Camilla Pedersen DEN 09:13:55 09:41:26 00:50:53 05:09:12 03:21:40 (32)
4 70 Eva Wutti AUT 09:14:25 09:41:58 00:56:40 05:03:26 03:12:47 (33)
5 93 Mareen Hufe GER 09:16:59 09:44:40 01:00:30 05:08:04 03:26:28 39
6 73 Daniela Saemmler GER 09:22:20 09:50:17 00:54:31 05:12:42 03:25:03 50
7 71 Lucie Reed CZE 09:22:51 09:50:49 00:51:08 05:20:53 03:29:16 52
8 85 Regula Rohrbach SUI 09:33:52 10:02:23 00:56:50 05:08:59 03:36:00 77
9 77 Elisabeth Gruber AUT 09:34:46 10:03:20 01:00:24 05:18:33 03:16:46 (79)
10 102 Camilla Lindholm SWE 09:36:23 10:05:01 01:08:25 05:19:52 03:16:32 82
11 74 Beate Goertz GER 09:39:48 10:08:37 01:04:49 05:12:56 03:27:52 87
12 82 Carolin Lehrieder GER 09:43:37 10:12:37 00:56:56 05:29:53 03:15:02 (94)
13 75 Evi Neuscheler GER 09:45:53 10:15:00 01:03:06 05:15:52 03:27:30 (98)
14 88 Jacqui Gordon USA 09:49:40 10:18:58 01:00:31 05:27:28 03:39:03 99
15 90 Monique Grossrieder SUI 09:52:24 10:21:50 01:04:34 05:32:59 03:23:51 105
16 101 Tine Holst DEN 09:53:29 10:22:58 01:08:01 05:17:49 03:37:36 107
17 80 Joanna Carritt GBR 09:53:40 10:23:10 01:02:36 05:30:35 03:36:00 108
18 98 Kristin Lie NOR 09:53:43 10:23:13 01:12:49 05:21:17 03:31:07 109
19 89 Katharina Grohmann GER 09:55:27 10:25:02 01:14:22 05:26:24 03:21:45 116
20 76 Nina Pekerman ISR 09:55:55 10:25:32 00:59:00 05:32:15 03:37:16 (118)
21 96 Nicole Woysch GER 09:58:32 10:28:17 00:58:35 05:30:28 03:47:30 124
22 78 Emma Graaf SWE 10:04:05 10:34:06 00:59:07 05:31:26 03:43:21 129
23 91 Lena Holmgren SWE 10:10:30 10:40:50 01:04:04 05:35:51 03:28:32 (137)
24 87 Amy Forshaw GBR 10:14:51 10:45:24 01:03:41 05:38:14 03:33:21 140
25 100 Eleanor Haresign GBR 10:17:28 10:48:09 00:59:53 05:31:43 03:37:56 (142)
26 84 Kathrin Walther GER 10:17:56 10:48:38 01:00:04 05:35:30 03:48:29 142
27 81 Vanessa Pereira POR 10:19:44 10:50:32 01:02:05 05:39:42 03:43:12 143
28 79 Rahel Bellinga NED 10:20:31 10:51:21 01:01:57 05:15:26 04:01:04 (145)
29 92 Angela Kuehnlein GER 10:25:45 10:56:51 01:02:37 05:30:54 03:51:24 (148)
30 95 Line Foss NOR 10:45:12 11:17:16 01:27:11 05:31:34 03:45:27 (154)
31 86 Anna Rovira garrido ESP 10:45:42 11:17:47 01:17:35 05:29:09 03:50:24 (155)
83 Susie Hignett GBR n/a unrated unrated unrated unrated (n/a)
94 Darbi Roberts USA n/a unrated unrated unrated unrated (n/a)

Winning Odds

Male Race Participants

Clemente appears to be the clear favorite, but there is a big group of athletes that will look for a great autumn performance:

  • Clemente Alonso-McKernan: 39% (2-1)
  • Horst Reichel: 30% (2-1)
  • Bas Diederen: 17% (5-1)
  • Markus Thomschke: 3% (30-1)
  • Michael Goehner: 3% (36-1)
  • Jens Petersen-Bach: 2% (55-1)
  • Konstantin Bachor: 2% (65-1)

Female Race Participants

The women’s field is a great mixture of young & fast athletes (Eva and Camilla who had some problems and DNF’d in Frankfurt) and solid established athletes such as Erika or Lucie:

  • Eva Wutti: 37% (2-1)
  • Camilla Pedersen: 31% (2-1)
  • Anja Beranek: 19% (4-1)
  • Erika Csomor: 5% (19-1)
  • Lucie Reed: 3% (36-1)

Ironman Chattanooga 2014 (Sept 28th) – Predictions

This is the first race on this course.

After the cancellation of IM Tahoe, I expect a few late additions to the list – apparently WTC is allowing some transfers to Chattanooga. I haven’t seen an updated list yet, but at least Trevor Wurtele, Malaika Homo and Uli Bromme have tweeted that they are going to start. (Other possible starters are Derek Garcia, Trevor Delsaut, and Anne Basso.)

Update Sept 25th: The start list has been updated: There are a few additions from the canceled IM Lake Tahoe and also some DNSs. I have added the additions to the table and updated the odds, and crossed out the DNSs.

KPR points and Prize Money

IM Chattanooga has 2000 KPR points for the winner. It has a total prize purse of 25k$.

Male Race Participants

Rank Bib Name Nation Expected Time Rating Swim Rating Bike Rating Run Rating Rank
1 2 Pedro Gomes POR n/a 08:48:07 00:50:29 04:44:56 03:04:59 57
2 6 Swen Sundberg GER n/a 08:51:56 00:52:16 04:45:13 03:08:18 68
3 8 Per Bittner GER n/a 08:53:29 00:49:21 04:47:55 03:07:22 71
4 21 Daniel Bretscher USA n/a 08:54:28 00:51:02 04:46:26 03:01:00 77
(5) 78 Trevor Delsaut FRA n/a 08:56:38 00:53:58 04:53:18 02:59:24 87
(5) 48 Trevor Wurtele CAN n/a 08:57:29 00:53:31 04:46:15 03:09:07 94
5 1 Patrick Evoe USA n/a 08:58:03 00:55:37 04:46:17 03:06:44 95
6 20 Matt Hanson USA n/a 08:58:30 00:54:56 04:56:28 02:50:58 97
7 4 Thomas Gerlach USA n/a 09:04:54 00:54:20 04:45:36 03:14:21 124
8 17 Guilherme Manocchio BRA n/a 09:08:10 unrated unrated unrated 138
9 3 Matt Lieto USA n/a 09:08:23 00:51:35 04:48:06 03:17:18 142
10 47 Mathias Hecht SUI n/a 09:09:31 00:50:05 04:57:00 03:16:09 (146)
11 40 Jonathan Shearon USA n/a 09:10:12 00:53:26 04:47:26 03:12:33 151
12 9 Andrew Drobeck USA n/a 09:13:24 01:06:11 04:45:21 02:51:34 (160)
13 22 Gergö Molnar HUN n/a 09:14:53 00:48:37 04:55:16 03:05:05 (166)
(14) 49 Derek Garcia USA n/a 09:15:45 00:53:21 04:47:21 03:16:32 169
14 34 AJ Baucco USA n/a 09:16:17 00:00:00 04:56:27 03:10:58 175
15 26 Chris Boudreaux USA n/a 09:18:55 00:51:49 04:53:50 03:11:45 188
16 18 Chad Holderbaum USA n/a 09:20:45 00:54:57 04:54:16 03:13:37 192
17 35 Ryan Rau USA n/a 09:30:29 00:58:43 05:10:51 03:03:48 224
18 15 Douglas MacLean USA n/a 09:32:25 00:58:18 05:04:04 03:09:43 227
19 10 Rene Vallant AUT n/a 09:32:35 00:55:03 04:51:08 03:31:55 (228)
20 5 Mike Hermanson USA n/a 09:33:12 00:53:53 05:05:11 03:17:56 232
21 11 Blake Becker USA n/a 09:36:47 00:53:00 05:02:23 03:34:02 249
22 12 Devon Palmer USA n/a 09:39:34 00:53:08 04:52:58 03:34:22 (263)
23 27 Raymond Botelho USA n/a 09:47:57 00:55:00 04:59:06 03:36:32 291
24 42 Kyle Pawlaczyk USA n/a 09:49:30 00:56:06 05:14:35 03:26:42 297
25 25 Jim Lamastra USA n/a 09:51:41 00:51:28 04:57:56 03:46:02 307
26 43 Tom Wood USA n/a 09:51:52 00:54:44 05:13:53 03:18:07 (308)
27 31 Jim Lubinski USA n/a 09:52:29 01:02:45 05:15:18 03:17:57 312
28 14 Matthew Curbeau USA n/a 10:02:25 01:02:11 05:03:00 03:34:10 (349)
29 28 Jeff Paul USA n/a 10:04:02 01:03:43 05:07:41 03:27:11 352
30 23 Aubrey Aldy USA n/a 10:05:54 01:05:30 05:23:26 03:11:12 358
31 19 Peter Kotland CZE n/a 10:11:14 00:57:40 05:18:22 03:36:47 368
32 46 Paul Eicher USA n/a 10:13:02 00:52:31 05:00:04 03:54:00 (374)
33 37 Robbie Wade IRL n/a 10:25:23 00:58:18 05:09:16 03:47:38 (407)
34 33 Ryan Borger USA n/a 10:35:11 00:57:07 05:23:50 03:35:36 (422)
7 Brent McMahon CAN n/a unrated unrated unrated unrated (n/a)
13 Andrew Fast USA n/a unrated unrated unrated unrated (n/a)
16 Darrel Williams USA n/a unrated unrated unrated unrated (n/a)
24 Eric Limkemann USA n/a unrated unrated unrated unrated (n/a)
29 Josh Beck USA n/a unrated unrated unrated unrated (n/a)
30 Jonathan Fecik USA n/a unrated unrated unrated unrated (n/a)
32 Matt Shanks USA n/a unrated unrated unrated unrated (n/a)
36 Adam Otstot USA n/a unrated unrated unrated unrated (n/a)
38 Steve Rosinski USA n/a unrated unrated unrated unrated (n/a)
39 Nicholas Brodnicki USA n/a unrated unrated unrated unrated (n/a)
41 Adam Kosmicki USA n/a unrated unrated unrated unrated (n/a)
44 Matt Ison USA n/a unrated unrated unrated unrated (n/a)
45 Karol Kristov EST n/a unrated unrated unrated unrated (n/a)
50 Barrett Brandon USA n/a unrated unrated unrated unrated (n/a)

Female Race Participants

Rank Bib Name Nation Expected Time Rating Swim Rating Bike Rating Run Rating Rank
1 68 Jennie Hansen USA n/a 09:46:35 01:04:09 05:21:41 03:11:59 43
2 51 Nina Kraft GER n/a 09:52:30 00:51:37 05:22:45 03:20:51 59
3 52 Jackie Arendt USA n/a 09:57:49 00:55:03 05:28:05 03:23:24 68
4 53 Angela Naeth CAN n/a 09:59:24 00:58:18 05:04:56 03:31:15 (72)
5 54 Mackenzie Madison USA n/a 10:03:33 00:59:47 05:20:22 03:22:04 80
(6) 76 Malaika Homo USA n/a 10:04:34 00:53:04 05:22:42 03:34:52 (82)
6 75 Laurel Wassner USA n/a 10:08:53 00:53:32 05:35:25 03:11:54 (89)
7 66 Whitney Garcia USA n/a 10:09:08 00:59:23 05:22:05 03:27:16 89
8 67 Christine Hammond USA n/a 10:09:13 00:54:40 05:25:56 03:33:41 90
9 58 Brooke Brown CAN n/a 10:19:21 01:05:11 05:21:48 03:20:19 (101)
(10) 76 Anne Basso FRA n/a 10:21:47 00:57:28 05:31:08 03:38:08 104
10 71 Cindy Lewis CAN n/a 10:27:35 01:02:31 05:34:03 03:33:41 124
11 64 Kelly Fillnow USA n/a 10:28:26 01:06:35 05:33:39 03:28:10 126
12 61 Anna Cleaver NZL n/a 10:31:27 00:53:02 05:38:57 03:24:37 (127)
13 62 Jocelyn Cornman USA n/a 10:32:53 01:00:31 05:39:51 03:26:44 (130)
14 70 Heather Leiggi USA n/a 10:39:19 01:02:47 05:28:46 03:46:15 (135)
15 60 Morgan Chaffin USA n/a 10:40:41 00:57:55 05:29:58 03:54:30 (136)
16 59 Kate Bruck USA n/a 10:40:49 01:05:55 05:39:05 03:24:20 (138)
17 73 Kathryn Thomas USA n/a 10:45:33 00:53:19 05:26:04 03:51:00 (142)
18 72 Tami Ritchie USA n/a 10:53:02 00:51:59 05:54:34 03:48:59 147
19 56 Ali Black USA n/a 11:02:37 01:03:22 05:33:25 03:49:11 (153)
74 Rebeccah Wassner USA n/a unrated unrated unrated unrated (n/a)
57 Ruth Brennan Morrey USA n/a unrated unrated unrated unrated (n/a)
69 Hannah Lawrence NZL n/a unrated unrated unrated unrated (n/a)
55 Kaitlin Anelauskas USA n/a unrated unrated unrated unrated (n/a)
63 Janet Edwards USA n/a unrated unrated unrated unrated (n/a)
65 Shannon Florea USA n/a unrated unrated unrated unrated (n/a)

Winning Odds

Male Race Participants

  • Daniel Bretscher: 33% (2-1)
  • Pedro Gomes: 25% (3-1)
  • Mathias Hecht: 22% (4-1)
  • Per Bittner: 7% (14-1)
  • Swen Sundberg: 4% (25-1)
  • Patrick Evoe: 4% (27-1)
  • Matt Hanson: 2% (45-1)
  • Guilherme Manocchio: 2% (51-1)
  • Daniel Bretscher: 32% (2-1)
  • Pedro Gomes: 25% (3-1)
  • Trevor Wurtele: 18% (5-1)
  • Trevor Delsaut: 9% (10-1)
  • Per Bittner: 7% (14-1)
  • Patrick Evoe: 3% (31-1)
  • Swen Sundberg: 3% (35-1)
  • Matt Hanson: 2% (58-1)
  • Guilherme Manocchio: 2% (60-1)

Female Race Participants

  • Nina Kraft: 39% (2-1)
  • Jennie Hansen: 30% (2-1)
  • Angela Naeth: 10% (9-1)
  • Jackie Arendt: 5% (17-1)
  • Laurel Wassner: 5% (18-1)
  • Brooke Brown: 4% (26-1)
  • Mackenzie Madison: 4% (27-1)
  • Nina Kraft: 38% (2-1)
  • Jennie Hansen: 31% (2-1)
  • Angela Naeth: 10% (9-1)
  • Jackie Arendt: 5% (20-1)
  • Laurel Wassner: 4% (23-1)
  • Mackenzie Madison: 3% (28-1)
  • Brooke Brown: 3% (33-1)
  • Malaika Homo: 3% (38-1)
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