Archive | Challenge Roth

Challenge Roth (July 1st) – Seedings

TitlePage Roth Report ThumbIf you want to know a lot more details about Challenge Roth, its history, the courses and the strengths and weaknesses for each Pro athlete (plus interviews with the main contenders), download my “2018 Roth Rating Report“.

Update June 12th: Reece Barclay, Doug MacLean and Sofie Goos won’t be racing.

Update June 15th: Late Entries by David Dellow (bib 98) and Ivan Rana (bib 99).

Update June 22nd: Sarissa de Vries has withdrawn.

Previous Winners

Year Male Winner Time Female Winner Time
2005 Chris McCormack (AUS) 07:58:45 Belinda Granger (AUS) 09:14:06
2006 Chris McCormack (AUS) 08:00:52 Joanna Lawn (NZL) 09:01:17
2007 Chris McCormack (AUS) 07:54:23 Yvonne Van Vlerken (NED) 08:51:55
2008 Patrick Vernay (NCL) 08:09:34 Yvonne Van Vlerken (NED) 08:45:48
2009 Michael Goehner (GER) 07:55:53 Chrissie Wellington (GBR) 08:31:59
2010 Rasmus Henning (DEN) 07:52:36 Chrissie Wellington (GBR) 08:19:13
2011 Andreas Raelert (GER) 07:41:33 Chrissie Wellington (GBR) 08:18:13
2012 James Cunnama (ZAF) 07:59:59 Rachel Joyce (GBR) 08:45:04
2013 Dirk Bockel (LUX) 07:52:01 Caroline Steffen (SUI) 08:40:35
2014 Timo Bracht (GER) 07:56:00 Mirinda Carfrae (AUS) 08:38:53
2015 Nils Frommhold (GER) 07:51:28 Yvonne Van Vlerken (NED) 08:50:53
2016 Jan Frodeno (GER) 07:35:39 Daniela Ryf (SUI) 08:22:04
2017 Bart Aernouts (BEL) 07:59:07 Daniela Ryf (SUI) 08:40:03

Last Year’s TOP 3

Male Race Results

Rank Name Nation Swim Bike Run Time
1 Bart Aernouts BEL 00:52:55 04:19:02 02:44:10 07:59:07
2 Joe Skipper GBR 00:53:07 04:19:53 02:46:44 08:03:00
3 Maurice Clavel GER 00:48:29 04:16:42 02:56:30 08:04:53

Female Race Results

Rank Name Nation Swim Bike Run Time
1 Daniela Ryf SUI 00:52:34 04:37:34 03:06:46 08:40:03
2 Laura Siddall GBR 00:58:16 04:44:59 03:05:40 08:51:38
3 Yvonne Van Vlerken NED 00:58:15 04:45:51 03:20:09 09:07:40

Course Records

Leg Gender Record Athlete Date
Total overall 07:35:39 Jan Frodeno 2016-07-17
Swim overall 00:43:35 Michael Pruefert 1997-07-13
Bike overall 04:08:07 Jan Frodeno 2016-07-17
Run overall 02:36:49 Luc Van Lierde 1997-07-13
Total female 08:18:13 Chrissie Wellington 2011-07-10
Swim female 00:47:27 Ute Mueckel 2005-06-24
Bike female 04:31:29 Daniela Ryf 2016-07-17
Run female 02:44:35 Chrissie Wellington 2011-07-10

Course Rating

The Course Rating for Challenge Roth is 20:51.

Race Adjustments for Challenge Roth

Year Adjustment Swim Adj. Bike Adj. Run Adj. # of Finishers Rating Swim Rating Bike Rating Run Rating
2005 23:16 01:15 13:16 09:25 28 23:16 01:15 13:16 09:25
2006 18:53 01:44 08:33 04:19 41 21:04 01:30 10:54 06:52
2007 29:57 01:18 12:15 08:14 35 24:02 01:26 11:21 07:19
2008 25:59 02:33 09:07 08:30 40 24:31 01:43 10:48 07:37
2009 29:11 02:32 17:28 05:18 43 25:27 01:52 12:08 07:09
2010 20:31 01:04 06:51 04:27 43 24:38 01:44 11:15 06:42
2011 24:18 02:05 17:28 05:32 38 24:35 01:47 12:08 06:32
2012 14:09 02:41 06:42 04:12 50 23:17 01:54 11:28 06:15
2013 22:46 01:01 15:15 04:13 41 23:13 01:48 11:53 06:01
2014 08:34 00:24 14:38 -02:43 37 21:46 01:40 12:09 05:09
2015 19:22 01:35 12:35 04:24 44 of 56 21:32 01:39 12:12 05:05
2016 19:24 01:23 17:02 02:43 39 of 43 21:22 01:38 12:36 04:53
2017 14:36 00:27 16:10 02:41 38 of 53 20:51 01:32 12:52 04:43

Prize Money

Challenge Roth has a total prize purse of 200.000 US$, paying 10 deep.

Male Race Participants

The strength of the field is 19% of a typical Kona field.

# Bib Name Nat Expected Rating ESwim EBike ET2 ERun Consistency Overall
1 1 Sebastian Kienle GER 07:46:17 08:06:07 00:49:05 04:07:17 05:01:22 02:44:55 99% +0% -1% (15) 2
2 3 Andreas Dreitz GER 07:53:53 08:25:19 00:47:45 04:12:39 05:05:24 02:48:29 n/a (1 IM Pro race) (27)
3 4 James Cunnama ZAF 07:55:07 08:20:37 00:47:05 04:16:02 05:08:06 02:47:01 45% +35% -19% (26) 14
4 2 Joe Skipper GBR 07:59:20 08:25:41 00:51:19 04:19:40 05:15:59 02:43:21 62% +13% -25% (20) 28
5 98 David Dellow AUS 08:03:47 08:29:15 00:46:39 04:23:39 05:15:18 02:48:29 58% +1% -41% (19) (41)
6 99 Ivan Rana ESP 08:05:55 08:25:42 00:46:37 04:29:39 05:21:16 02:44:39 84% +3% -14% (15) 29
7 5 Cameron Wurf * AUS 08:06:47 08:29:21 00:48:45 04:07:39 05:04:24 03:05:23 60% +31% -9% (11) 43
8 7 Jesse Thomas USA 08:09:51 08:27:09 00:49:53 04:23:24 05:18:17 02:51:34 100% +0% -0% (5) 33
9 14 Evert Scheltinga NED 08:10:08 08:39:13 00:47:52 04:21:57 05:14:49 02:55:19 49% +0% -51% (5) 79
10 11 Jan Raphael GER 08:15:33 08:40:07 00:48:59 04:30:13 05:24:12 02:51:21 81% +0% -19% (29) 81
11 13 Lukas Kraemer GER 08:17:06 08:44:48 00:53:07 04:34:02 05:32:09 02:44:57 100% +0% -0% (2) (91)
12 8 Roman Deisenhofer GER 08:17:38 08:51:23 00:50:19 04:23:20 05:18:40 02:58:58 51% +49% -0% (9) 117
13 10 Markus Hoermann GER 08:18:19 08:52:42 00:51:05 04:26:56 05:23:01 02:55:18 n/a (1 IM Pro race) (125)
14 12 Sebastian Neef GER 08:19:33 08:56:10 00:50:12 04:21:42 05:16:54 03:02:39 24% +39% -37% (3) (139)
15 9 Michael Goehner GER 08:20:07 08:55:37 00:51:45 04:29:32 05:26:17 02:53:50 58% +2% -41% (20) (137)
16 6 Luke Bell AUS 08:24:07 08:43:11 00:46:39 04:28:55 05:20:34 03:03:33 41% +7% -52% (34) 88
17 33 Luis Henrique Ohde BRA 08:25:14 08:48:19 00:47:45 04:35:03 05:27:48 02:57:26 100% +0% -0% (4) 105
18 18 Christian Altstadt GER 08:26:42 09:00:24 00:50:47 04:29:59 05:25:46 03:00:56 59% +0% -41% (3) (153)
19 17 Marc Unger GER 08:27:43 09:18:57 00:50:33 04:26:07 05:21:39 03:06:04 46% +54% -0% (2) (209)
20 20 Patrick Jaberg SUI 08:28:47 08:54:38 00:52:29 04:32:20 05:29:49 02:58:58 83% +16% -1% (21) 133
21 97 Sven Riederer SUI 08:31:31 09:05:26 00:47:50 04:26:13 05:19:03 03:12:28 n/a (1 IM Pro race) (170)
22 15 Fraser Cartmell GBR 08:34:09 09:01:39 00:48:14 04:35:24 05:28:38 03:05:31 24% +6% -69% (12) 159
23 21 Niclas Bock GER 08:36:11 09:21:29 00:50:20 04:29:42 05:25:02 03:11:09 10% +0% -90% (3) (220)
24 47 Bryan McCrystal * IRL 08:37:42 09:10:18 00:57:45 04:26:06 05:28:50 03:08:52 49% +14% -36% (5) 187
25 48 Thomas Naasz NED 08:48:57 09:21:12 00:54:22 04:46:12 05:45:34 03:03:23 79% +21% -0% (7) 218
26 30 Tjardo Visser NED 08:51:45 09:16:13 00:50:24 04:51:39 05:47:03 03:04:42 48% +52% -0% (3) 205
27 16 Douglas MacLean USA 08:56:23 09:21:32 00:56:59 04:51:19 05:53:18 03:03:05 98% +2% -0% (18) 221
28 23 Young Hwan Oh KOR 08:59:40 09:28:24 01:00:09 04:48:34 05:53:43 03:05:57 73% +16% -11% (10) 238
29 25 Alfred Rahm GER 09:22:50 10:01:37 01:01:47 04:57:16 06:04:02 03:18:48 41% +0% -59% (20) 281
30 46 Marcus Woellner GER 09:23:53 10:02:47 00:48:11 04:31:21 05:24:32 03:59:21 n/a (1 IM Pro race) (282)
31 22 Charles Martin FRA 09:56:28 10:29:53 00:51:40 05:04:05 06:00:45 03:55:43 48% +0% -52% (2) (295)
19 Sebastian Mahr GER n/a unrated unrated unrated unrated unrated n/a (no IM Pro race) (n/a)
24 Rick Steffen GER n/a unrated unrated unrated unrated unrated n/a (no IM Pro race) (n/a)
27 Reece Barclay GBR n/a unrated unrated unrated unrated unrated n/a (1 IM Pro race) (n/a)
28 Bruno Pasqualini ITA n/a unrated unrated unrated unrated unrated n/a (no IM Pro race) (n/a)
32 Paul Schuster GER n/a unrated unrated unrated unrated unrated n/a (no IM Pro race) (n/a)

Note: Athletes with a ‘*’ are also registered for another race within 8 days.

Female Race Participants

The strength of the field is 19% of a typical Kona field.

# Bib Name Nat Expected Rating ESwim EBike ET2 ERun Consistency Overall
1 101 Lucy Charles GBR 08:43:12 09:07:40 00:46:10 04:47:33 05:38:43 03:04:29 50% +50% -0% (4) 5
2 104 Kaisa Sali FIN 08:44:40 09:05:35 00:54:24 04:49:08 05:48:32 02:56:08 100% +0% -0% (6) 2
3 102 Laura Siddall GBR 08:51:53 09:19:23 00:55:34 04:46:29 05:47:03 03:04:50 74% +23% -3% (15) 14
4 103 Yvonne Van Vlerken NED 08:52:04 09:20:25 00:55:40 04:44:28 05:45:08 03:06:56 73% +0% -27% (34) 16
5 107 Daniela Saemmler GER 09:01:40 09:25:56 00:53:18 04:49:12 05:47:30 03:14:10 61% +21% -18% (11) 29
6 109 Sofie Goos BEL 09:13:30 09:39:30 00:56:39 05:00:24 06:02:03 03:11:27 61% +9% -29% (27) 55
7 113 Sarissa De Vries NED 09:13:44 09:48:15 00:51:45 04:52:06 05:48:51 03:24:53 48% +52% -0% (3) 68
8 111 Alicia Kaye USA 09:18:58 09:45:31 00:50:17 05:02:43 05:58:00 03:20:58 28% +20% -52% (5) 61
9 132 Bianca Steurer AUT 09:26:05 09:48:25 00:56:34 05:05:51 06:07:25 03:18:40 92% +8% -0% (8) 70
10 110 Lucie Zelenkova CZE 09:26:40 09:53:35 00:51:19 05:13:00 06:09:18 03:17:22 74% +0% -26% (29) 79
11 114 Olga Kowalska POL 09:44:32 10:17:58 01:02:50 05:18:37 06:26:27 03:18:05 100% +0% -0% (2) (120)
116 Karen Steurs BEL n/a unrated unrated unrated unrated unrated n/a (no IM Pro race) (n/a)

Winning Odds

Male Race Participants

  • Sebastian Kienle: 75% (1-1)
  • James Cunnama: 17% (5-1)
  • Joe Skipper: 4% (23-1)
  • Andreas Dreitz: 2% (62-1)

Female Race Participants

  • Lucy Charles: 43% (1-1)
  • Kaisa Sali: 27% (3-1)
  • Yvonne Van Vlerken: 14% (6-1)
  • Laura Siddall: 13% (7-1)
  • Daniela Saemmler: 3% (35-1)
2

Challenge Roth 2018 (July 1st) – Entry List

TitlePage Roth Report ThumbI’m working on a Rating Report for this year’s race. It’s going to be the best resource to look forward to Challenge Roth and to follow the Pro races on-site or via the Challenge live stream. The Report is going to be a 60+-page PDF with information about the race, all Professional participants and their chances on July 1st. You can already pre-order it here (or by clicking on the image on the right) so you’ll receive it as soon as it is released.

Male Race Participants

Bib Name Nation Previous Results
1 Sebastian Kienle GER 2 finishes out of 2 Challenge Roth starts
2 Joe Skipper GBR 2 finishes out of 2 Challenge Roth starts
3 Andreas Dreitz GER first start at Challenge Roth
4 James Cunnama ZAF 4 finishes out of 4 Challenge Roth starts, 1 win (2012)
5 Cameron Wurf AUS first start at Challenge Roth
6 Luke Bell AUS first start at Challenge Roth
7 Jesse Thomas USA first start at Challenge Roth
8 Roman Deisenhofer GER 1 finish out of 1 Challenge Roth start
9 Michael Goehner GER 3 finishes out of 3 Challenge Roth starts, 1 win (2009)
10 Markus Hoermann GER 1 finish out of 1 Challenge Roth start
11 Jan Raphael GER 1 finish out of 1 Challenge Roth start
12 Sebastian Neef GER 0 finishes out of 1 Challenge Roth start
13 Lukas Kraemer GER first start at Challenge Roth
14 Evert Scheltinga NED first start at Challenge Roth
15 Fraser Cartmell GBR first start at Challenge Roth
16 Douglas MacLean USA first start at Challenge Roth
17 Marc Unger GER first start at Challenge Roth
18 Christian Altstadt GER first start at Challenge Roth
19 Sebastian Mahr GER first start at Challenge Roth
20 Patrick Jaberg SUI first start at Challenge Roth
21 Niclas Bock GER first start at Challenge Roth
22 Charles Martin FRA first start at Challenge Roth
23 Young Hwan Oh KOR 1 finish out of 1 Challenge Roth start
24 Rick Steffen GER first start at Challenge Roth
25 Alfred Rahm GER 1 finish out of 1 Challenge Roth start
27 Reece Barclay GBR first start at Challenge Roth
28 Bruno Pasqualini ITA first start at Challenge Roth
30 Tjardo Visser NED 1 finish out of 1 Challenge Roth start
32 Paul Schuster GER first start at Challenge Roth
33 Luis Henrique Ohde BRA first start at Challenge Roth
46 Marcus Woellner GER 1 finish out of 1 Challenge Roth start
47 Bryan McCrystal IRL first start at Challenge Roth
48 Thomas Naasz NED 4 finishes out of 4 Challenge Roth starts
97 Sven Riederer SUI first start at Challenge Roth

Female Race Participants

Bib Name Nation Previous Results
101 Lucy Charles GBR first start at Challenge Roth
102 Laura Siddall GBR 2 finishes out of 2 Challenge Roth starts
103 Yvonne Van Vlerken NED 7 finishes out of 7 Challenge Roth starts, 3 wins (2007, 2008, 2015)
104 Kaisa Sali FIN first start at Challenge Roth
107 Daniela Saemmler GER 2 finishes out of 2 Challenge Roth starts
109 Sofie Goos BEL first start at Challenge Roth
110 Lucie Zelenkova CZE 2 finishes out of 2 Challenge Roth starts
111 Alicia Kaye USA first start at Challenge Roth
113 Sarissa De Vries NED first start at Challenge Roth
114 Olga Kowalska POL first start at Challenge Roth
116 Karen Steurs BEL first start at Challenge Roth
132 Bianca Steurer AUT first start at Challenge Roth
1

Challenge Roth 2017 – Analyzing Results

(Updated July 11th with DNFs and a discussion of the Race Conditions.)

Course Conditions

The prevailing impression from Roth seems to be that the race was slower in past years, and that especially the new run course was harder than the old one, leading to slower times. However, this perception is not backed up by my data analysis, the adjustment for this year was about five minutes slower than last year, but all three legs were just a little bit slower.

In addition we have seen a number of fast times:

  • Bart Aernouts posted his first sub-8 finish, and he ran the marathon almost exactly at the time I predicted (predicted 2:43:56, actual time 2:44:10).
  • Even though Daniela’s race was hyped as “world record attempt” and she was well short of her time from last year, it is still a fantastic result considering her injury in the first half of the year. (After the awards she smiled that she still has a lot of upside for Kona.) Her 8:40 finish is the fastest finish of 2017 by quite a large margin (she also has the second fastest – 8:47 from South Africa), and her 4:37 bike split is the fastest of the year and the fifth fastest ever on the IM distance.
  • Laura Siddall posted three PBs in Roth: Her fastest bike split, her fastest run split and her fastest overall time.
  • Lisa Roberts showed that you can run fast on the new run course: Her 2:56 marathon lead to her first sub-9 finish and is the second fastest marathon of the year so far. (Kelly Williamson was just five seconds faster at IM Texas.)
Therefore I don’t think that the new run course will slow down the future times, it’ll be interesting to see the times when there are more realistic expectations and a different race dynamic leads to the fast racers pushing each other.

Male Race Results

Bart Aernouts had another great race after IM Lanzarote and won the race on the back of the fastest marathon of the day:

Roth M1 Bart

Second place – as last year – went to Joe Skipper. He once again ran through the field but couldn’t quite match Bart’s pace:

Roth M2 Joe

Maurice Clavel was showing a courageous first long-distance race. After Nils Frommhold had to end his race after a crash on the bike course, he found himself in the lead, which he was able to hold until the later parts of the marathon. Still, he was happy with his third place finish and celebrated on the finish line:

Roth M3 Maurice

Finishing fourth, Timo Bracht said good-bye to Roth with a hard earned finish:

Roth M4 Timo

Rank Name Nation Swim Bike Run Time Diff to exp. Prize Money
1 Bart Aernouts BEL 00:52:55 04:19:02 02:44:10 07:59:07 -08:12 EUR 15,000
2 Joe Skipper GBR 00:53:07 04:19:53 02:46:44 08:03:00 -15:42 EUR 8,000
3 Maurice Clavel GER 00:48:29 04:16:42 02:56:30 08:04:53 n/a EUR 5,000
4 Timo Bracht GER 00:48:42 04:18:42 02:56:37 08:07:01 -07:13 EUR 3,000
5 Terenzo Bozzone NZL 00:48:35 04:21:39 02:58:39 08:11:34 00:10 EUR 2,000
6 Brad Kahlefeldt AUS 00:48:34 04:29:50 02:51:32 08:12:55 00:22 EUR 1,100
7 Dougal Allan NZL 00:55:23 04:17:41 02:58:57 08:14:43 -00:59 EUR 800
8 Roman Deisenhofer GER 00:52:06 04:21:22 03:00:22 08:16:29 -22:20 EUR 700
9 Per Bittner GER 00:48:54 04:26:56 02:58:41 08:17:15 -09:03 EUR 600
10 Markus Hoermann GER 00:52:50 04:28:06 02:59:36 08:23:25 n/a EUR 550
11 Christian Brader GER 00:53:11 04:36:25 02:51:52 08:24:19 -11:31
12 Guillaume Lecallier FRA 00:54:51 04:32:47 02:58:35 08:29:42 -07:44
13 Teemu Lemmettylae FIN 00:55:20 04:40:52 02:55:05 08:35:27 -10:28
14 Andi Fuchs AUT 00:57:52 04:25:10 03:12:22 08:38:14 -20:49
15 Simon Schwarz GER 00:53:44 04:40:03 03:04:02 08:41:15 n/a
16 Jose Estrangeiro POR 00:52:42 04:49:23 02:58:21 08:43:36 09:35
17 Tuukka Miettinen FIN 00:58:12 04:43:52 03:06:12 08:51:34 03:40
18 Stefan Overmars NED 00:53:43 04:39:12 03:21:04 08:57:11 -04:21
19 Sergio Marques POR 00:55:20 04:32:27 03:29:34 09:00:13 12:30
20 Jon Albizuri Izaguirre SPA 00:59:22 04:47:38 03:09:40 09:00:54 n/a
21 Young Hwan Oh KOR 01:01:49 04:46:10 03:11:42 09:02:41 -07:07
22 Thomas Naasz NED 00:55:49 04:52:40 03:11:17 09:03:24 02:11
23 Moises Vidal Gil ESP 00:57:58 04:55:39 03:06:41 09:04:19 -12:00
24 Nathan Miller AUS 00:54:33 04:41:28 03:39:08 09:18:23 -53:08
25 Peter Kotland CZE 00:59:16 04:52:48 03:29:01 09:26:45 -02:53
26 Marcus Woellner GER 00:49:45 04:32:10 04:04:52 09:29:39 n/a
27 Rafael Gomes POR 00:57:56 04:56:06 03:37:21 09:35:12 15:44
28 Ilkka Utriainen FIN 00:54:23 05:03:54 03:35:06 09:37:42 n/a
29 Michael Louys BEL 01:03:19 04:33:31 04:33:18 10:14:11 1:09:15
Sebastian Neef GER 00:52:52 04:20:53 DNF
Sean Donnelly GER 00:48:30 04:29:51 DNF
Jens Frommhold GER 00:55:15 04:25:49 DNF
Matthias Knossalla GER 00:58:14 04:24:47 DNF
Chris Fischer DEN 00:54:40 04:35:53 DNF
Fabian Rahn GER 00:58:11 04:36:54 DNF
Christian Jais GER 00:55:30 04:39:57 DNF
Dirk Wijnalda NED 00:57:13 04:39:40 DNF
Travis Hawkins USA 01:00:26 04:55:31 DNF
Nils Frommhold GER 00:48:32 DNF
Henry Beck GER 00:48:43 DNF
Michael Smith Larsen DEN 00:55:25 DNF
Darby Thomas FIN 00:59:18 DNF

Female Race Results

It was clear that Daniela would be next to impossible to beat unless her injury had left her severely unfit. She worked hard for a good time posting the fastest swim and bike split, but said she struggled a bit in the second half of the marathon. She still won with a fast time of 8:40 and with more than ten minutes to spare:Roth F1 Dani

Laura Siddall improved on her fourth place finish from last year, but continued her string of second place finishes:

Roth F2 Laura

Third place was the surprise of the day: Lisa Roberts was a late entry and flew under the radar for the swim and bike, but she ended up with the only sub-3 marathon of the day, the fastest by nine minutes:

Roth F3 Lisa

Rank Name Nation Swim Bike Run Time Diff to exp. Prize Money
1 Daniela Ryf SUI 00:52:34 04:37:34 03:06:46 08:40:03 03:41 EUR 15,000
2 Laura Siddall GBR 00:58:16 04:44:59 03:05:40 08:51:38 -20:42 EUR 8,000
3 Lisa Roberts USA 01:01:31 04:55:20 02:56:35 08:57:14 -19:03 EUR 5,000
4 Yvonne Van Vlerken NED 00:58:15 04:45:51 03:20:09 09:07:40 05:39 EUR 3,000
5 Corina Hengartner SUI 01:01:20 04:57:45 03:23:21 09:25:28 -20:44 EUR 2,000
6 Vanessa Pereira POR 01:01:52 05:16:58 03:26:56 09:50:47 -17:08
7 Martina Dogana ITA 00:58:23 05:19:54 03:30:01 09:52:56 18:51
8 Steph Corker CAN 00:58:36 05:30:12 03:41:09 10:14:02 16:45
9 Anne Jensen DEN 01:07:39 05:06:03 04:20:52 10:39:43 39:38
10 Ana Revilla ESP 01:11:32 05:30:58 04:10:43 10:57:28 n/a
Heather Wurtele CAN 00:52:56 DNF

Challenge Roth – Bike Checkin Gallery

Today all the Challenge Roth starters checked in their bikes in the first transition zone. All day it was hot and sunny – tomorrows conditions are expected to be similar, maybe with a chance for thunderstorm in the afternoon.

Bib Number 1 was one of the first athletes to check in. Timo Bracht will be racing his final Challenge Roth on Sunday, but it won’t be a farewell tour. “I don’t want to high-five people other than on the finish line” he said.

RothBike 1 Timo

The slight favorite appears to be Bib #3, Nils Frommhold. He won Challenge Roth 2015 and this season was already second at IM South Africa:

RothBike 3 Nils

Terence Boyzone is #5, he has been nursing a slight running injury and was hoping for a flat run – only to find out the new run course has quite a few ups and downs. He’s still optimistic for a good race tomorrow:

RothBike 5 Terenzo

Bart Aernouts is a bit further behind on the startlist – he races with bib #14. He’s happy to have his bike with him, it was lost for two days before finally showing up in Roth on late Thursday evening:

RothBike 14 Bart

Daniela Ryf (Bib 51) is the clear favorite on the female side, but she has also carried an injury that impacted her Roth prep. Even if she can’t chase Chrissie’s record, she should still be able to win comfortably:

RothBike F1 Daniela

RothBike F1a Daniela Bird

Heather Wurtele is racing with bib #52, her Cervelo P5X received some extra attention to properly fit in the bike racks:

RothBike F2 Heather

Yvonne Van Vlerken (bib #53) is a crowd favorite, this year she’s not quite sure what she can do having crashed three weeks before in Challenge Heilbronn and is still sporting bandages on both her elbows:

RothBike F3 Yvonne

Laura Siddall (#54) has made huge steps forward even after her fourth place in Roth last year. She’s been racing a lot but looks forward to have another crack at a fast time in Roth:

RothBike F4 Laura

You can follow the race through Challenge Roth’s homepage, there is going to be live streams in German and English.

Challenge Roth 2017 (July 9th) – Seedings

ChallRothLogoThis year’s Roth races promise to be exciting: A strong men’s field with a number of potential winners, and a female field dominated by Daniela Ryf. Hopefully Daniela will be healthy and fit enough to try to make a go at Chrissie Wellington’s fastest time on the Ironman distance as she announced in May. I have written about some of her Advantages and Hurdles for Triathlete (“Can Ryf Break Wellington’s Iron-Distance World Record?“, check out the post here).

Previous Winners

Year Male Winner Time Female Winner Time
2005 Chris McCormack (AUS) 07:58:45 Belinda Granger (AUS) 09:14:06
2006 Chris McCormack (AUS) 08:00:52 Joanna Lawn (NZL) 09:01:17
2007 Chris McCormack (AUS) 07:54:23 Yvonne Van Vlerken (NED) 08:51:55
2008 Patrick Vernay (NCL) 08:09:34 Yvonne Van Vlerken (NED) 08:45:48
2009 Michael Goehner (GER) 07:55:53 Chrissie Wellington (GBR) 08:31:59
2010 Rasmus Henning (DEN) 07:52:36 Chrissie Wellington (GBR) 08:19:13
2011 Andreas Raelert (GER) 07:41:33 Chrissie Wellington (GBR) 08:18:13
2012 James Cunnama (ZAF) 07:59:59 Rachel Joyce (GBR) 08:45:04
2013 Dirk Bockel (LUX) 07:52:01 Caroline Steffen (SUI) 08:40:35
2014 Timo Bracht (GER) 07:56:00 Mirinda Carfrae (AUS) 08:38:53
2015 Nils Frommhold (GER) 07:51:28 Yvonne Van Vlerken (NED) 08:50:53
2016 Jan Frodeno (GER) 07:35:39 Daniela Ryf (SUI) 08:22:04

Last Year’s TOP 3

Male Race Results

Rank Name Nation Swim Bike Run Time
1 Jan Frodeno GER 00:45:22 04:08:07 02:39:18 07:35:39
2 Joe Skipper GBR 00:52:36 04:21:12 02:38:52 07:56:23
3 Nils Frommhold GER 00:46:59 04:17:34 02:48:50 07:57:49

Female Race Results

Rank Name Nation Swim Bike Run Time
1 Daniela Ryf SUI 00:49:10 04:31:29 02:57:40 08:22:04
2 Carrie Lester AUS 00:52:23 04:42:50 03:03:38 08:42:13
3 Yvonne Van Vlerken NED 00:55:14 04:40:29 03:10:58 08:49:35

Course Records

Leg Gender Record Athlete Date
Total overall 07:35:39 Jan Frodeno 2016-07-17
Swim overall 00:45:22 Jan Frodeno 2016-07-17
Bike overall 04:08:07 Jan Frodeno 2016-07-17
Run overall 02:38:52 Joe Skipper 2016-07-17
Total female 08:18:13 Chrissie Wellington 2011-07-10
Swim female 00:47:27 Ute Mueckel 2005-06-24
Bike female 04:31:29 Daniela Ryf 2016-07-17
Run female 02:44:35 Chrissie Wellington 2011-07-10

Course Rating

The Course Rating for Challenge Roth is 21:22.

Race Adjustments for Challenge Roth

Year Adjustment Swim Adj. Bike Adj. Run Adj. # of Finishers Rating Swim Rating Bike Rating Run Rating
2005 23:16 01:15 13:16 09:25 28 23:16 01:15 13:16 09:25
2006 18:53 01:44 08:33 04:19 41 21:04 01:30 10:54 06:52
2007 29:57 01:18 12:15 08:14 35 24:02 01:26 11:21 07:19
2008 25:59 02:33 09:07 08:30 40 24:31 01:43 10:48 07:37
2009 29:11 02:32 17:28 05:18 43 25:27 01:52 12:08 07:09
2010 20:31 01:04 06:51 04:27 43 24:38 01:44 11:15 06:42
2011 24:18 02:05 17:28 05:32 38 24:35 01:47 12:08 06:32
2012 14:09 02:41 06:42 04:12 50 23:17 01:54 11:28 06:15
2013 22:46 01:01 15:15 04:13 41 23:13 01:48 11:53 06:01
2014 08:34 00:24 14:38 -02:43 37 21:46 01:40 12:09 05:09
2015 19:22 01:35 12:35 04:24 44 of 56 21:32 01:39 12:12 05:05
2016 19:24 01:23 17:02 02:43 39 of 43 21:22 01:38 12:36 04:53

Prize Money

Challenge Roth has a total prize purse of 75.000 EUR.

Estimated Time Plan

The following table shows the time plan for the race start and the estimated times for the first athlete in the transition zones or across the finish line. The estimates are based on the start time and my time estimates, these times can change based on how fast or slow the race ends up:

What Est. Racetime Est. Local Time
Male Pro Start 06:30
Female Pro Start 06:35
Age Group Wave Start 06:40 – 07:55
First Male in T1 00:44:29 07:14
First Female in T1 00:49:23 07:24
First Male in T2 05:06:30  11:36
First Female in T2 05:31:27  12:06
Male Winner 07:52:39  14:22
Female Winner 08:25:54  15:00

Roth is on Central European Summer Time, 2 hours ahead of UTC. Here are conversions to a few other time zones:

  • + 8 hours: Sydney (AEST), race starts at 14:30
  • – 1 hour: United Kingdom (BST), race starts at 5:30
  • – 6 hours: US East Coast (EDT), race starts at 12:30am
  • – 9 hours: US West Coast (PDT), race starts at 9:30pm on Saturday

There is going to be a German and English language live stream on the Challenge Roth homepage.

Male Race Participants

The strength of the field is 14% of a typical Kona field.

Rank Bib Name Nation Expected Time Rating Exp. Swim Exp. Bike Exp. T2 Exp. Run Consistency Overall
1 3 Nils Frommhold GER 07:52:39 08:16:05 00:46:37 04:14:53 05:06:30 02:46:09 88% +0% -12% (9) 3
2 1 Timo Bracht GER 07:58:52 08:27:24 00:47:31 04:22:18 05:14:48 02:44:04 80% +14% -6% (28) 25
3 14 Bart Aernouts BEL 08:00:31 08:20:16 00:50:22 04:21:13 05:16:35 02:43:56 89% +0% -11% (11) 9
4 5 Terenzo Bozzone NZL 08:01:19 08:24:42 00:45:27 04:19:20 05:09:47 02:51:32 54% +21% -26% (13) 20
5 2 Joe Skipper GBR 08:02:43 08:36:53 00:52:04 04:23:05 05:20:08 02:42:35 36% +21% -43% (16) 59
6 10 Brad Kahlefeldt AUS 08:08:34 08:30:57 00:44:29 04:30:18 05:19:47 02:48:47 68% +0% -32% (3) (33)
7 9 Dougal Allan NZL 08:09:44 08:34:10 00:55:17 04:17:10 05:17:27 02:52:17 85% +7% -8% (9) 44
8 8 Per Bittner GER 08:15:24 08:44:57 00:47:49 04:27:52 05:20:41 02:54:43 49% +8% -43% (23) 83
9 6 Fabian Rahn GER 08:18:54 08:53:51 00:55:00 04:34:17 05:34:16 02:44:38 n/a (1 IM Pro race) (113)
10 13 Chris Fischer DEN 08:19:17 08:45:15 00:53:12 04:30:52 05:29:04 02:50:13 71% +11% -18% (7) 87
11 12 Herve Faure FRA 08:24:33 08:51:59 00:49:34 04:32:00 05:26:34 02:57:59 45% +0% -55% (8) (107)
12 45 Dirk Wijnalda NED 08:25:00 08:53:02 00:54:17 04:34:46 05:34:04 02:50:56 86% +6% -8% (21) 110
13 15 Christian Brader GER 08:27:04 08:49:28 00:53:39 04:36:44 05:35:23 02:51:41 83% +4% -13% (36) 100
14 21 Matthias Knossalla GER 08:28:09 09:10:06 01:02:19 04:25:06 05:32:24 02:55:45 16% +39% -44% (3) (167)
15 17 Roman Deisenhofer GER 08:28:56 08:57:34 00:50:09 04:29:23 05:24:32 03:04:24 48% +52% -0% (7) 128
16 18 Jose Estrangeiro POR 08:29:50 09:04:11 00:48:07 04:37:32 05:30:39 02:59:11 n/a (1 IM Pro race) (155)
17 41 Jens Frommhold GER 08:29:54 09:00:45 00:54:11 04:30:25 05:29:36 03:00:18 20% +36% -44% (4) 140
18 31 Guillaume Lecallier FRA 08:32:45 09:07:19 00:54:22 04:32:33 05:31:54 03:00:51 n/a (1 IM Pro race) (163)
19 44 Jaroslav Kovacic SLO 08:33:50 09:04:23 00:47:39 04:43:22 05:36:01 02:57:49 22% +78% -0% (3) (156)
20 100 Sergio Marques POR 08:34:10 09:02:19 00:53:29 04:42:07 05:40:36 02:53:34 56% +4% -40% (38) 145
21 101 Darby Thomas FIN 08:34:15 09:03:16 00:56:59 04:33:49 05:35:48 02:58:27 53% +0% -47% (10) 151
22 3451 Teemu Lemmettylae FIN 08:36:55 08:59:51 00:55:31 04:39:51 05:40:22 02:56:33 90% +9% -1% (14) (138)
23 46 Tuukka Miettinen FIN 08:37:40 09:13:10 00:54:17 04:42:06 05:41:23 02:56:17 50% +13% -37% (9) (176)
24 11 Sebastian Neef GER 08:43:26 09:18:43 00:49:43 04:34:58 05:29:41 03:13:45 n/a (1 IM Pro race) (190)
25 23 Thomas Naasz NED 08:43:52 09:21:29 00:54:30 04:43:14 05:42:44 03:01:08 69% +31% -0% (6) 197
26 16 Till Schramm GER 08:49:22 09:21:25 00:53:38 04:40:26 05:39:04 03:10:18 53% +22% -25% (9) 196
27 20 Henry Beck GER 08:49:41 09:50:38 00:48:08 04:34:05 05:27:13 03:22:28 21% +36% -43% (3) (260)
28 3456 Sean Donnelly * GER 08:51:50 09:51:55 00:46:23 04:37:41 05:29:05 03:22:45 12% +14% -74% (3) (262)
29 22 Andi Fuchs AUT 08:53:52 09:24:11 00:54:47 04:42:23 05:42:10 03:11:42 100% +0% -0% (2) (203)
30 32 Christian Jais GER 08:55:47 09:34:50 00:54:27 04:37:33 05:37:00 03:18:47 37% +63% -0% (2) (235)
31 29 Stefan Overmars NED 08:56:30 09:27:15 00:53:44 04:36:27 05:35:12 03:21:18 100% +0% -0% (2) (218)
32 34 Michael Louys BEL 08:58:04 09:44:20 01:01:06 04:42:33 05:48:39 03:09:25 45% +7% -48% (12) (252)
33 39 Young Hwan Oh KOR 09:03:02 09:30:06 01:00:49 04:52:37 05:58:27 03:04:35 61% +24% -16% (8) 226
34 27 Moises Vidal Gil ESP 09:11:12 09:42:31 00:55:43 05:03:05 06:03:47 03:07:25 100% +0% -0% (2) (248)
35 35 Rafael Gomes POR 09:13:22 09:46:34 00:53:47 05:02:13 06:01:00 03:12:22 100% +0% -0% (2) (257)
36 40 Travis Hawkins USA 09:14:35 09:40:40 00:59:59 04:51:55 05:56:54 03:17:41 100% +0% -0% (3) 244
37 38 Peter Kotland CZE 09:21:05 09:50:49 00:57:06 04:53:16 05:55:21 03:25:44 69% +19% -12% (24) 261
38 25 Nathan Miller AUS 10:04:50 10:45:36 00:51:54 05:20:58 06:17:51 03:46:59 n/a (1 IM Pro race) (293)
4 Maurice Clavel GER n/a unrated unrated unrated unrated unrated n/a (no IM Pro race) (n/a)
19 Markus Hoermann GER n/a unrated unrated unrated unrated unrated n/a (no IM Pro race) (n/a)
24 Michael Smith Larsen DEN n/a unrated unrated unrated unrated unrated n/a (no IM Pro race) (n/a)
26 Marcus Woellner GER n/a unrated unrated unrated unrated unrated n/a (no IM Pro race) (n/a)
28 Ilkka Utriainen FIN n/a unrated unrated unrated unrated unrated n/a (no IM Pro race) (n/a)
36 Jon Albizuri Izaguirre SPA n/a unrated unrated unrated unrated unrated n/a (no IM Pro race) (n/a)
37 Simon Schwarz GER n/a unrated unrated unrated unrated unrated n/a (no IM Pro race) (n/a)

Note:Athletes with a ‘*’ are also registered for another race within 8 days.

Female Race Participants

The strength of the field is 21% of a typical Kona field.

Rank Bib Name Nation Expected Time Rating Exp. Swim Exp. Bike Exp. T2 Exp. Run Consistency Overall
1 51 Daniela Ryf SUI 08:25:54 08:42:49 00:49:23 04:37:04 05:31:27 02:54:27 88% +0% -12% (10) 1
2 53 Yvonne Van Vlerken NED 08:50:25 09:22:11 00:55:19 04:44:15 05:44:35 03:05:50 76% +0% -24% (30) 18
3 54 Laura Siddall GBR 08:57:41 09:32:10 00:55:14 04:49:46 05:50:00 03:07:41 68% +26% -6% (11) 35
4 52 Heather Wurtele CAN 09:06:56 09:28:48 00:53:02 04:56:10 05:54:12 03:12:44 77% +1% -22% (21) 30
5 3457 Lisa Roberts * USA 09:09:24 09:30:36 01:02:05 05:03:28 06:10:33 02:58:51 75% +8% -18% (17) 33
6 55 Ruth Brennan Morrey USA 09:09:40 09:35:17 01:03:49 05:01:36 06:10:24 02:59:16 76% +0% -24% (4) 37
7 56 Annah Watkinson ZAF 09:14:27 09:42:12 00:56:47 04:58:23 06:00:11 03:14:16 76% +0% -24% (5) 49
8 58 Martina Dogana ITA 09:24:46 09:49:53 00:57:06 05:11:15 06:13:22 03:11:24 62% +0% -38% (13) 62
9 59 Corina Hengartner SUI 09:34:33 10:07:17 01:00:04 05:06:58 06:12:03 03:22:30 68% +18% -14% (5) 93
10 3452 Anne Jensen DEN 09:50:13 10:29:32 01:05:09 05:06:34 06:16:43 03:33:30 44% +21% -35% (6) (134)
11 60 Steph Corker CAN 09:52:19 10:32:15 00:59:45 05:22:48 06:27:32 03:24:47 n/a (1 IM Pro race) (141)
12 57 Vanessa Pereira POR 09:56:40 10:36:13 01:01:00 05:21:38 06:27:38 03:29:02 52% +0% -48% (12) 145
61 Ana Revilla ESP n/a unrated unrated unrated unrated unrated n/a (no IM Pro race) (n/a)

Note:Athletes with a ‘*’ are also registered for another race within 8 days.

Winning Odds

Male Race Participants

  • Nils Frommhold: 45% (1-1)
  • Terenzo Bozzone: 15% (6-1)
  • Timo Bracht: 15% (6-1)
  • Joe Skipper: 12% (8-1)
  • Bart Aernouts: 11% (8-1)

Female Race Participants

  • Daniela Ryf: 78% (1-1)
  • Yvonne Van Vlerken: 15% (6-1)
  • Laura Siddall: 6% (17-1)

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