Race

As always, you can find additional information on the participants in the detail post.

Previous Results

Challenge Wanaka is a smaller race slowly building on the image of a very beautiful location starting with a really cold swim in an alpine lake. It is one of the slower courses with a rating of 3:23. Last year’s races were won by Jamie Whyte (9:03:53) and Belinda Granger (10:26:17) – slower times that are not really representative of the course, so I’m expecting faster times this year.

Male Participants

Jamie Whyte is back to defend his title, but he faces a number of probably stronger racers:

Rank	Name	Nation	Expected Time	Rating	Rank
1	Aaron Farlow	AUS	08:41:07	08:44:24	45
2	Kieran Doe	NZL	08:42:32	08:45:49	57
3	Courtney Ogden	AUS	08:42:46	08:46:03	58
4	Jimmy Johnsen	DNK	08:46:21	08:49:40	84
5	Keegan Williams	NZL	08:48:41	08:52:01	95
6	Jamie Whyte	NZL	08:54:24	08:57:46	121
7	Petr Vabrousek	CZE	08:54:37	08:57:59	123
8	Leon Griffin	AUS	08:58:37	09:02:00	147
9	Bryan Rhodes	NZL	09:10:48	09:14:16	224
10	Marc Pschebizin	GER	09:14:08	09:17:37	255
11	Scott Defilippis	USA	09:22:59	09:26:32	329
12	Paul Hawkins	GBR	09:24:25	09:27:58	342
13	Simon Cochrane	NZL	n/a	unrated	n/a

Here’s a look at the winning odds:

• Kieran Doe: 25%
• Aaron Farlow: 19%
• Courtney Ogden: 18%
• Jimmy Johnsen: 11%
• Keegan Williams: 9%
• Bryan Rhodes: 8%

Kieran has not had any results in 2011, so it’ll be interesting to see  how  he is going to perform. He does not have the top rating, but is a strong racer with a number of great results. If he runs into issues, Aaron Farlow and Courtney Ogden are going to fight for the won.

Female Participants

The women’s field is almost as large as the men’s field:

Rank	Name	Nation	Expected Time	Rating	Rank
1	Rebekah Keat	AUS	09:25:07	09:28:40	10
2	Gina Crawford	NZL	09:34:19	09:37:56	29
3	Candice Hammond	NZL	09:48:42	09:52:24	64
4	Britta Martin	NZL	09:52:26	09:56:10	72
5	Christie Sym	AUS	09:59:43	10:03:29	90
6	Nicole Ward	AUS	10:01:14	10:05:01	95
7	Simone Maier	GER	10:11:29	10:15:20	142
8	Jodie Scott	AUS	10:37:04	10:41:05	208
9	Jo Carrel	NZL	10:47:49	10:51:54	230
10	Tamsyn Hayes	NZL	n/a	unrated	n/a
11	Julia Grant	NZL	n/a	unrated	n/a

Here are the winning odds for the women:

• Rebekah Keat: 49%
• Gina Crawford: 44%

These two athletes are close  enough in their capabilities and results that it’s almost impossible to pick one over the other. The rest of the field would have to show an amazing improvement to come close to Bek or Gina.

Update Jan 19th: Rebekah isn’t able to race – not sure why (she seems to prepare for racing Melbourne in March), but this means Gina is the clear front runner.

Male Race Participants

Rank	Name	Nation	Expected Time	Rating	Rank
1	Aaron Farlow	AUS	08:41:07	08:44:24	45
2	Kieran Doe	NZL	08:42:32	08:45:49	57
3	Courtney Ogden	AUS	08:42:46	08:46:03	58
4	Jimmy Johnsen	DNK	08:46:21	08:49:40	84
5	Keegan Williams	NZL	08:48:41	08:52:01	95
6	Jamie Whyte	NZL	08:54:24	08:57:46	121
7	Petr Vabrousek	CZE	08:54:37	08:57:59	123
8	Leon Griffin	AUS	08:58:37	09:02:00	147
9	Bryan Rhodes	NZL	09:10:48	09:14:16	224
10	Marc Pschebizin	GER	09:14:08	09:17:37	255
11	Scott Defilippis	USA	09:22:59	09:26:32	329
12	Paul Hawkins	GBR	09:24:25	09:27:58	342
13	Simon Cochrane	NZL	n/a	unrated	n/a

Female Race Participants

Rank	Name	Nation	Expected Time	Rating	Rank
1	Rebekah Keat	AUS	09:25:07	09:28:40	10
2	Gina Crawford	NZL	09:34:19	09:37:56	29
3	Candice Hammond	NZL	09:48:42	09:52:24	64
4	Britta Martin	NZL	09:52:26	09:56:10	72
5	Christie Sym	AUS	09:59:43	10:03:29	90
6	Nicole Ward	AUS	10:01:14	10:05:01	95
7	Simone Maier	GER	10:11:29	10:15:20	142
8	Jodie Scott	AUS	10:37:04	10:41:05	208
9	Jo Carrel	NZL	10:47:49	10:51:54	230
10	Tamsyn Hayes	NZL	n/a	unrated	n/a
11	Julia Grant	NZL	n/a	unrated	n/a

Results for Aaron Farlow (AUS)

Race	Date	Total	Adjusted	Rating	Rank in Race
IM Western Australia	2011-12-04	08:34:09	08:41:36	08:44:24	5
IM Wales	2011-09-11	09:04:25	08:57:08	08:45:31	2
IM UK	2011-07-31	08:24:34	08:33:33	08:38:40	1
IM Regensburg	2010-08-01	08:39:41	08:45:28	08:45:28	6

Results for Kieran Doe (NZL)

Race	Date	Total	Adjusted	Rating	Rank in Race
IM New Zealand	2010-03-06	08:34:16	08:40:18	08:45:49	3
IM Arizona	2008-11-23	09:06:25	09:12:15	08:47:57	22
IM New Zealand	2008-03-01	08:33:35	08:40:09	08:39:06	3
IM Canada	2007-08-26	08:32:45	08:33:26	08:38:39	1
Challenge Roth	2006-06-24	08:11:07	08:22:20	08:41:37	3
Challenge Roth	2005-06-24	08:50:17	09:01:32	08:54:44	15
IM New Zealand	2005-05-03	08:47:38	08:47:38	08:47:38	6

Results for Courtney Ogden (AUS)

Race	Date	Total	Adjusted	Rating	Rank in Race
IM Hawaii	2011-10-15	08:38:11	08:39:49	08:46:03	16
IM Australia	2011-05-01	08:49:56	08:58:21	08:46:59	5
Challenge Wanaka	2011-01-15	09:07:25	09:09:36	08:45:15	2
IM Western Australia	2010-12-05	08:14:01	08:25:21	08:41:19	1
IM Hawaii	2010-10-09	08:42:11	08:44:04	08:44:19	25
IM Coeur d’Alene	2010-06-27	08:38:17	08:45:03	08:44:22	2
IM Australia	2010-03-28	08:35:54	08:43:40	08:44:12	3
IM Western Australia	2009-12-05	08:22:06	08:37:05	08:44:22	4
IM Canada	2009-08-30	08:44:37	08:48:46	08:47:12	3
IM Canada	2008-08-24	08:47:04	08:54:19	08:46:20	8
IM Western Australia	2007-12-01	08:19:15	08:35:55	08:40:31	7
IM Canada	2006-08-27	08:47:46	08:47:07	08:47:07	2

Results for Jimmy Johnsen (DNK)

Race	Date	Total	Adjusted	Rating	Rank in Race
Challenge Wanaka	2011-01-15	09:16:45	09:18:59	08:49:40	4
IM Western Australia	2009-12-05	08:21:11	08:36:09	08:39:49	3
IM Australia	2009-04-05	08:33:43	08:36:12	08:41:01	4
IM Western Australia	2008-12-07	08:18:43	08:32:58	08:42:48	4
IM Hawaii	2007-10-13	08:55:11	08:55:23	08:47:49	25
IM UK	2007-08-19	08:40:51	08:45:45	08:43:27	3
IM Western Australia	2006-12-03	08:34:31	08:40:38	08:40:38	3

Results for Keegan Williams (NZL)

Race	Date	Total	Adjusted	Rating	Rank in Race
Challenge Roth	2011-07-10	08:16:01	08:38:02	08:52:01	3
IM Brasil	2011-05-29	08:37:20	08:58:23	08:55:07	6
IM New Zealand	2011-03-05	08:49:34	08:51:07	08:54:13	4
Challenge Wanaka	2011-01-15	10:49:47	10:52:23	08:55:17	7
IM New Zealand	2010-03-06	08:40:11	08:46:17	08:55:17	4
Challenge Wanaka	2010-01-16	08:41:19	08:44:16	08:58:25	3
IM Switzerland	2009-07-12	09:00:46	09:14:53	09:05:32	14
Challenge Wanaka	2008-01-19	09:05:55	09:09:21	08:58:23	6
Challenge Wanaka	2008-01-19	08:44:08	08:47:25	08:47:25	1

Results for Jamie Whyte (NZL)

Race	Date	Total	Adjusted	Rating	Rank in Race
Challenge Cairns	2011-06-05	08:35:07	08:43:23	08:57:46	4
Challenge Wanaka	2011-01-15	09:03:53	09:06:04	09:06:18	1
IM Canada	2010-08-29	08:57:48	09:06:33	09:06:33	13

Results for Petr Vabrousek (CZE)

Race	Date	Total	Adjusted	Rating	Rank in Race
IM Western Australia	2011-12-04	08:35:08	08:42:36	08:57:59	6
IM Hawaii	2011-10-15	09:13:42	09:15:27	08:58:42	30
IM Texas	2011-05-21	08:37:59	08:44:18	08:57:55	9
IM St. George	2011-05-07	09:11:11	09:11:55	08:58:31	9
IM South Africa	2011-04-10	08:40:36	08:52:30	08:57:55	8
IM New Zealand	2011-03-05	08:58:30	09:00:04	08:58:10	6
Challenge Wanaka	2011-01-15	09:27:44	09:30:00	08:58:04	5
IM Cozumel	2010-11-28	08:39:52	08:50:48	08:56:35	8
IM Florida	2010-11-06	08:29:59	08:44:44	08:56:52	7
IM Hawaii	2010-10-09	08:56:26	08:58:22	08:57:27	41
IM Canada	2010-08-29	08:39:16	08:47:43	08:57:25	4
IM Lake Placid	2010-07-25	08:46:33	08:50:20	08:57:54	2
IM Brasil	2010-05-30	08:36:15	08:54:34	08:58:18	6
IM St. George	2010-05-01	09:09:43	09:05:10	08:58:30	6
Challenge Wanaka	2010-01-16	09:00:08	09:03:12	08:58:08	4
IM Western Australia	2009-12-05	08:57:08	09:13:10	08:57:52	10
IM Arizona	2009-11-22	08:37:45	08:51:47	08:57:03	10
IM Hawaii	2009-10-10	09:23:03	09:19:39	08:57:21	50
IM Wisconsin	2009-09-13	09:08:26	09:08:11	08:56:04	7
IM Lake Placid	2009-07-26	09:10:24	09:09:54	08:55:21	6
Challenge Roth	2009-07-12	08:15:03	08:35:33	08:54:28	10
IM Brasil	2009-05-31	08:37:18	08:50:33	08:55:41	3
IM South Africa	2009-04-05	08:36:07	08:47:25	08:56:01	3
Challenge Wanaka	2009-01-01	08:44:38	08:50:30	08:56:35	2
IM Arizona	2008-11-23	08:28:09	08:33:34	08:57:00	8
IM Florida	2008-11-01	08:23:00	08:41:01	08:58:36	3
IM Hawaii	2008-10-11	09:04:42	09:03:32	08:59:52	33
IM Lake Placid	2008-07-20	08:55:20	08:54:15	08:59:36	2
IM Switzerland	2008-07-13	08:53:05	09:06:26	09:00:00	6
IM Brasil	2008-05-25	08:53:58	09:04:10	08:59:28	4
IM Australia	2008-04-06	09:11:11	09:13:51	08:59:04	11
Challenge Wanaka	2008-01-19	09:09:36	09:13:03	08:57:42	7
IM Western Australia	2007-12-01	08:27:15	08:44:11	08:56:16	10
IM Florida	2007-11-03	08:53:05	09:09:31	08:57:28	21
IM Hawaii	2007-10-13	09:42:26	09:42:39	08:56:10	71
IM Louisville	2007-08-26	10:58:00	11:02:16	08:50:38	22
IM Germany	2007-07-01	08:22:31	08:35:41	08:50:38	5
IM Brasil	2007-05-27	08:40:42	08:51:47	08:52:29	6
IM Arizona	2007-04-15	08:41:59	08:44:59	08:52:34	4
IM South Africa	2007-03-18	08:48:19	08:47:09	08:53:43	4
IM Hawaii	2006-10-21	09:10:45	09:08:19	08:54:52	54
IM Lake Placid	2006-07-23	09:03:12	08:55:17	08:52:24	7
IM Arizona	2006-04-09	08:44:54	08:47:13	08:51:49	8
IM South Africa	2006-03-18	08:38:52	08:40:38	08:52:53	3
IM Western Australia	2005-11-27	08:36:05	08:38:21	08:56:32	5
IM Hawaii	2005-10-15	09:12:17	09:12:00	09:34:01	54
IM Wisconsin	2005-09-11	11:19:03	11:00:54	09:42:05	23
IM Brasil	2005-05-28	09:06:45	09:06:45	08:58:25	6
IM Arizona	2005-04-09	08:49:46	08:49:46	08:49:46	4

Results for Leon Griffin (AUS)

Race	Date	Total	Adjusted	Rating	Rank in Race
IM Western Australia	2011-12-04	09:03:49	09:11:42	09:02:00	12
IM Cozumel	2009-11-29	13:30:58	13:39:18	08:39:06	16
IM Western Australia	2008-12-07	08:24:41	08:39:06	08:39:06	6

Results for Bryan Rhodes (NZL)

Race	Date	Total	Adjusted	Rating	Rank in Race
IM Canada	2011-08-28	09:23:24	09:28:36	09:14:16	15
IM Lake Placid	2010-07-25	10:18:40	10:23:06	09:10:13	25
IM Hawaii	2008-10-11	08:53:35	08:52:26	08:51:18	23
IM Canada	2008-08-24	08:30:12	08:37:13	08:51:06	1
IM Florida	2007-11-03	08:26:52	08:42:30	08:54:05	3
IM UK	2007-08-19	09:36:07	09:41:33	08:56:28	23
IM Coeur d’Alene	2007-06-23	08:46:38	08:48:18	08:45:39	5
IM Hawaii	2006-10-21	08:59:13	08:56:50	08:44:52	41
IM Lake Placid	2006-07-23	09:00:18	08:52:26	08:40:58	6
IM Western Australia	2005-11-27	08:34:25	08:36:41	08:35:59	4
IM UK	2005-08-21	08:42:11	08:29:41	08:35:35	1
IM New Zealand	2005-05-03	08:42:01	08:42:01	08:42:01	3

Results for Marc Pschebizin (GER)

Race	Date	Total	Adjusted	Rating	Rank in Race
Challenge Wanaka	2010-01-16	09:14:15	09:17:23	09:17:37	6
IM Hawaii	2009-10-10	09:42:43	09:39:12	09:17:40	65
IM Lanzarote	2009-05-23	09:27:24	09:24:12	09:13:05	16
IM New Zealand	2009-03-07	09:03:02	09:11:09	09:10:29	10
Challenge Wanaka	2009-01-01	08:53:36	08:59:34	09:10:17	4
Challenge Roth	2008-07-13	08:34:55	08:55:43	09:14:15	10
IM Hawaii	2007-10-13	09:13:18	09:13:30	09:23:05	41
IM France	2007-06-24	09:05:23	09:13:10	09:29:04	8
IM France	2006-06-24	09:41:32	09:50:16	09:50:16	14

Results for Scott Defilippis (USA)

Race	Date	Total	Adjusted	Rating	Rank in Race
IM Florida	2011-11-05	08:27:13	08:47:57	09:26:32	8
IM France	2011-06-26	09:26:26	09:30:39	09:35:35	13
IM St. George	2011-05-07	09:58:05	09:58:53	09:36:54	15
IM Florida	2010-11-06	08:43:35	08:58:44	09:29:16	12
IM St. George	2010-05-01	09:53:07	09:48:13	09:42:24	17
IM Florida	2009-11-07	09:31:53	09:48:27	09:38:59	17
IM Louisville	2009-08-28	09:25:00	09:28:58	09:28:58	16

Results for Paul Hawkins (GBR)

Race	Date	Total	Adjusted	Rating	Rank in Race
IM UK	2011-07-31	09:03:41	09:13:22	09:27:58	7
IM France	2010-06-27	14:16:23	14:38:06	09:42:36	19
IM UK	2009-08-02	09:28:35	09:25:22	09:42:36	10
IM UK	2008-09-07	10:06:40	10:04:56	11:51:07	12
IM Switzerland	2007-06-24	14:00:55	14:21:24	14:24:24	25
IM France	2006-06-24	14:15:35	14:28:25	14:28:25	23

Results for Simon Cochrane (NZL)

Race

Date

Total

Adjusted

Rating

Rank in Race

Results for Rebekah Keat (AUS)

Race	Date	Total	Adjusted	Rating	Rank in Race
Challenge Roth	2011-07-10	08:59:22	09:23:19	09:28:40	3
Challenge Cairns	2011-06-05	09:26:31	09:35:36	09:29:24	1
IM Western Australia	2010-12-05	09:22:37	09:35:32	09:28:27	2
IM Louisville	2010-08-29	09:33:15	09:35:53	09:27:21	1
Challenge Roth	2010-07-18	08:52:10	09:11:08	09:25:56	2
IM Australia	2010-03-28	09:33:10	09:41:48	09:28:46	2
Challenge Wanaka	2010-01-16	09:30:41	09:33:55	09:26:00	2
Challenge Roth	2009-07-12	08:39:24	09:00:55	09:24:01	2
IM Australia	2009-04-05	09:21:33	09:24:16	09:30:25	2
IM Hawaii	2008-10-11	09:56:01	09:54:44	09:32:32	17
Challenge Roth	2008-07-13	09:02:34	09:24:29	09:23:00	5
IM Hawaii	2007-10-13	09:27:19	09:27:32	09:22:00	6
IM Australia	2007-04-08	09:12:58	09:15:36	09:15:36	1

Results for Gina Crawford (NZL)

Race	Date	Total	Adjusted	Rating	Rank in Race
IM Wisconsin	2010-09-12	09:27:26	09:29:52	09:37:56	1
IM St. George	2010-05-01	10:11:51	10:06:48	09:39:00	4
IM New Zealand	2010-03-06	09:28:26	09:35:06	09:35:13	2
Challenge Wanaka	2010-01-16	09:28:57	09:32:10	09:35:14	1
IM Western Australia	2009-12-05	09:16:52	09:33:29	09:35:45	1
IM New Zealand	2009-03-07	09:18:26	09:26:47	09:36:12	1
Challenge Wanaka	2009-01-01	09:28:27	09:34:48	09:37:57	1
IM Hawaii	2008-10-11	09:36:53	09:35:39	09:38:38	8
Challenge Roth	2008-07-13	08:57:18	09:19:00	09:39:23	3
IM New Zealand	2008-03-01	09:33:29	09:40:49	09:45:42	5
Challenge Wanaka	2008-01-19	09:33:46	09:37:22	09:47:35	1
IM Wisconsin	2007-09-09	09:37:03	09:36:42	09:53:41	1
IM New Zealand	2007-03-03	10:09:32	10:13:24	10:13:24	5

Results for Candice Hammond (NZL)

Race	Date	Total	Adjusted	Rating	Rank in Race
Challenge Cairns	2011-06-05	09:43:03	09:52:24	09:52:24	4

Results for Britta Martin (NZL)

Race	Date	Total	Adjusted	Rating	Rank in Race
IM France	2011-06-26	09:48:56	09:53:20	09:56:10	3
IM France	2010-06-27	09:40:53	09:55:37	09:57:36	4
IM New Zealand	2010-03-06	09:47:11	09:54:04	09:58:51	5
IM New Zealand	2009-03-07	09:56:18	10:05:13	10:05:13	8

Results for Christie Sym (AUS)

Race	Date	Total	Adjusted	Rating	Rank in Race
Challenge Cairns	2011-06-05	09:49:09	09:58:36	10:03:29	6
Challenge Wanaka	2011-01-15	10:36:57	10:39:30	10:05:34	2
IM Canada	2010-08-29	09:41:30	09:50:57	09:44:54	5
IM Western Australia	2009-12-05	09:20:41	09:37:25	09:37:25	2

Results for Nicole Ward (AUS)

Race	Date	Total	Adjusted	Rating	Rank in Race
IM Australia	2011-05-01	09:49:23	09:58:45	10:05:01	3
IM Coeur d’Alene	2010-06-27	09:56:48	10:04:36	10:06:39	6
IM New Zealand	2010-03-06	09:51:05	09:58:01	10:07:10	6
IM Hawaii	2009-10-10	10:20:46	10:17:01	10:09:56	33
IM New Zealand	2009-03-07	09:56:04	10:04:59	10:07:19	7
IM Western Australia	2008-12-07	09:43:12	09:59:52	10:08:23	5
IM Western Australia	2007-12-01	09:44:35	10:04:06	10:14:37	9
IM Australia	2007-04-08	10:24:18	10:27:17	10:27:17	12

Results for Simone Maier (GER)

Race	Date	Total	Adjusted	Rating	Rank in Race
Challenge Cairns	2011-06-05	10:05:37	10:15:20	10:15:20	8

Results for Jodie Scott (AUS)

Race	Date	Total	Adjusted	Rating	Rank in Race
IM Wisconsin	2010-09-12	10:41:15	10:44:00	10:41:05	10
IM New Zealand	2010-03-06	10:24:51	10:32:10	10:40:19	9
Challenge Wanaka	2010-01-16	10:15:26	10:18:55	10:42:42	4
IM Australia	2009-04-05	10:13:05	10:16:03	10:51:56	9
IM Western Australia	2008-12-07	10:22:43	10:40:30	11:08:03	10
IM Australia	2007-04-08	11:00:23	11:03:32	11:27:08	16
IM Australia	2006-05-11	11:50:29	11:47:47	11:44:50	15
IM Australia	2005-04-08	11:40:49	11:40:49	11:40:49	8

Results for Jo Carrel (NZL)

Race	Date	Total	Adjusted	Rating	Rank in Race
IM New Zealand	2011-03-05	10:54:31	10:56:26	10:51:54	10
IM Wisconsin	2010-09-12	10:43:55	10:46:41	10:46:41	11

Results for Tamsyn Hayes (NZL)

Race

Date

Total

Adjusted

Rating

Rank in Race

Results for Julia Grant (NZL)

Race

Date

Total

Adjusted

Rating

Rank in Race

Race Conditions

This year was one of the slower races for Western Australia – the adjustment was 7:30 compared to the new course rating of 11:16 (down from 11:54), so it was about four minutes slower than the average of the last years.

Male Results

Timo Bracht had to come up with another strong run to catch a courageous Clayton Fettel:

Rank	Name	Nation	Actual Time	Expected Time
1	Timo Bracht	GER	08:12:39	08:17:14
2	Clayton Fettell	AUS	08:19:02	08:37:14
3	Jason Shortis	AUS	08:27:31	08:50:51
4	Joshua Rix		08:30:59	09:14:24
5	Aaron Farlow	AUS	08:34:09	08:31:27
6	Petr Vabrousek	CZE	08:35:08	08:51:14
7	Mitchell Anderson	AUS	08:35:57	08:37:58
8	Simon Billeau	FRA	08:38:06	08:48:05
9	Luke Whitmore	AUS	08:54:35	08:59:20
10	Maik Twelsiek	GER	08:56:10	08:32:29
11	Luke McKenzie	AUS	09:03:44	08:35:03
12	Leon Griffin	AUS	09:03:49	08:32:23
13	Guy Crawford	AUS	09:10:50	08:55:10
14	Shinya Suganuma	JPN	09:19:15	09:10:15
15	Mike Gee		09:22:49	n/a
16	Dion Harrison	GBR	09:57:07	09:21:10
17	Hirotsugu Kuwabara	JAP	10:47:05	10:03:18

Maik Twelsiek and Luke McKenzie were predicted to go quite a bit faster, but they already lined up their “validation” IM, so now they can – as well as  Timo Bracht – focus on their Kona 2012 prep.

Female Results

On the female side, IM rookie Michelle Bremer won her first IM. Pre-race favorite Kristin Moeller was 40 minutes slower than expected, so she dropped out of the prize money spots:

Rank	Name	Nation	Actual Time	Expected Time
1	Michelle Bremer	NZL	09:25:38	n/a
2	Michelle Mitchell	AUS	09:28:07	09:37:28
3	Carrie Lester	AUS	09:32:44	09:36:25
4	Elly Franks	AUS	09:37:51	10:21:46
5	Hillary Biscay	USA	09:39:41	10:08:20
6	Kate Bevilaqua	AUS	09:43:37	09:49:58
7	Yvette Grice	GBR	09:53:33	10:12:04
8	Emi Shiono	JPN	10:00:23	10:00:23
9	Kristin Moeller	GER	10:07:05	09:26:48
10	Suzanne Blackborrow		10:31:51	n/a

The final race of the Ironman 2011 season is coming up this weekend: Ironman Western Australia.

Previous Results

Western Australia is one of the quicker courses with the same course rating as IM Germany (11:54). Last year’s winners were Courtney Ogden (8:14) and Kate Bevilaqua (9:19).

Male Participants

Defending champion Courtney Ogden faces some very strong competition for his title – he has only the 8th best rating! (Still, he has the second highest odds for winning.) The favorite has to be Timo Bracht – apparently he is repeating his last season with an early qualifier to secure his spot for Kona:

Rank	Name	Nation	Expected Time	Rating	Rank
1	Timo Bracht	GER	08:13:08	08:24:14	7
2	Aaron Farlow	AUS	08:27:14	08:38:39	28
3	Leon Griffin	AUS	08:28:09	08:39:36	31
4	Maik Twelsiek	GER	08:28:15	08:39:42	33
5	Luke McKenzie	AUS	08:30:48	08:42:18	40
6	Clayton Fettell	AUS	08:32:58	08:44:31	47
7	Mitchell Anderson	AUS	08:33:41	08:45:15	54
8	Courtney Ogden	AUS	08:34:32	08:46:07	59
9	Simon Billeau	FRA	08:43:43	08:55:31	113
10	Jason Shortis	AUS	08:46:28	08:58:19	125
11	Petr Vabrousek	CZE	08:46:51	08:58:43	128
12	Guy Crawford	AUS	08:50:45	09:02:42	150
13	Luke Whitmore	AUS	08:54:52	09:06:55	175
14	Shinya Suganuma	JPN	09:05:43	09:18:00	257
15	Chris Dmitrieff	AUS	09:05:53	09:18:11	257
16	Dion Harrison	GBR	09:16:32	09:29:04	345
17	James Bowstead	NZL	09:24:40	09:37:23	401
18	Hirotsugu Kuwabara	JAP	09:58:19	10:11:47	627

The odds for winning are as follows:

• Timo Bracht: 60%
• Courtney Ogden: 14%
• Luke McKenzie: 9%
• Mitchell Anderson: 7%
• Jason Shortis: 4%
• Maik Twelsiek: 3%
• Aaron Farlow: 2%

Female Participants

Similar story on the women’s side: The defending champ (Kate Bevilaqua, ranked 4th) faces strong competition, even if the females athletes before her are not that well known:

Rank	Name	Nation	Expected Time	Rating	Rank
1	Kristin Moeller	GER	09:22:07	09:34:47	22
2	Carrie Lester	AUS	09:31:40	09:44:32	46
3	Michelle Mitchell	AUS	09:32:42	09:45:36	48
4	Kate Bevilaqua	AUS	09:45:05	09:58:16	78
5	Emi Shiono	JPN	09:55:25	10:08:50	110
6	Hillary Biscay	USA	10:03:19	10:16:54	145
7	Yvette Grice	GBR	10:07:01	10:20:41	157
8	Elly Franks	AUS	10:16:38	10:30:31	183
9	Jodie Scott	AUS	10:27:01	10:41:08	207
10	Michelle Bremer	NZL	n/a	unrated	n/a

The odds for winning are as follows (again the defending champ looks better in the odds than in the ratings):

• Kristin Moeller: 35%
• Kate Bevilaqua: 22%
• Michelle Mitchell: 18%
• Carrie Lester: 16%
• Emi Shiono: 4%
• Yvette Grice: 3%
• Hillary Biscay: 2%