Challenge Almere 2015 (September 12th) – Predictions

Update (Sep 4th): Mirjam Weerd said on Twitter that she won’t be able to race because an injury has kept her from riding the bike. Also David Naesvik said he will race Challenge Weymouth on the same weekend.

Update (Sep 7th): The latest startlist contains the cancellations from Dejan Patrcevic and  Markus Hoermann. Instead, Michi and Daniel Herlbauer and Louis Rundquist have been added to the field.

You can submit your podium picks for Challenge Almere at IM Predictions for a chance to win some nice prizes.

Previous Winners

Year	Male Winner	Time	Female Winner	Time
2013	Bart Colpaert (BEL)	08:34:50	Susan Blatt (GER)	09:24:40
2014	Markus Fachbach (GER)	08:28:25	Heleen Bij De Vaate (NED)	09:16:26

The Almere Triathlon is the oldest long-distance race in Europe – the first edition was in 1983! It has been a Challenge race since 2013.

Last Year’s TOP 3

Male Race Results

Rank	Name	Nation	Swim	Bike	Run	Time
1	Markus Fachbach	GER	00:46:56	04:41:45	02:54:28	08:28:25
2	Dirk Wijnalda	NED	00:54:54	04:45:59	02:47:54	08:33:09
3	Chris Fischer	DEN	00:50:12	04:42:43	02:56:19	08:34:05

Female Race Results

Rank	Name	Nation	Swim	Bike	Run	Time
1	Heleen Bij De Vaate	NED	01:01:24	04:59:22	03:10:59	09:16:26
2	Tineke Van den Berg	NED	01:01:13	05:01:23	03:17:28	09:26:04
3	Victoria Gill	GBR	01:01:12	05:15:29	03:20:41	09:42:53

Course Records

Leg	Gender	Record	Athlete	Date
Total	overall	08:28:25	Markus Fachbach	2014-09-13
Swim	overall	00:44:25	Bart Colpaert	2014-09-13
Bike	overall	04:41:45	Markus Fachbach	2014-09-13
Run	overall	02:47:54	Dirk Wijnalda	2014-09-13
Total	female	09:16:26	Heleen Bij De Vaate	2014-09-13
Swim	female	00:51:37	Hillary Biscay	2013-09-14
Bike	female	04:59:22	Heleen Bij De Vaate	2014-09-13
Run	female	03:10:59	Heleen Bij De Vaate	2014-09-13

Course Rating

The Course Rating for Challenge Almere is 06:18.

Race Adjustments for Challenge Almere

Year	Adjustment	Swim Adj.	Bike Adj.	Run Adj.	# of Athletes	Rating	Swim Rating	Bike Rating	Run Rating
2013	05:20	00:19	01:43	03:49	16	05:20	00:19	01:43	03:49
2014	07:16	02:43	04:54	00:36	22	06:18	01:31	03:18	02:12

Male Race Participants

Rank	Bib	Name	Nation	Expected Time	Rating	Exp. Swim	Exp. Bike	Exp. Run	Overall
1	1	Markus Fachbach	GER	08:31:13	08:39:05	00:48:07	04:39:08	02:58:58	45
2	39	Mark Oude Bennink	NED	08:40:45	08:58:47	00:46:23	04:46:19	03:03:03	119
3	2	Dirk Wijnalda	NED	08:43:35	09:05:45	00:56:07	04:49:36	02:52:52	150
4	6	Erik-Simon Strijk	NED	08:46:15	08:59:20	00:51:52	04:45:09	03:04:15	(122)
5	5	Gerrit Schellens	BEL	08:46:34	08:48:26	00:52:13	04:58:15	02:51:06	85
6	4	Roeland Smits	NED	08:46:49	08:56:46	00:51:41	04:48:13	03:01:55	(112)
7	7	David Naesvik	SWE	08:50:29	09:04:22	00:52:57	04:42:13	03:10:19	144
8	8	Dejan Patrcevic	CRO	08:51:41	08:54:56	00:51:26	04:55:24	02:59:52	108
9	15	Jens Groenbek	DEN	08:53:46	09:01:37	00:52:01	04:48:10	03:08:35	(130)
10	11	Thijs Koelen	NED	08:54:42	09:10:56	00:51:32	04:49:21	03:08:48	171
11	14	AJ Baucco	USA	08:58:13	09:10:18	00:51:10	04:50:19	03:11:44	167
12	9	Remy Vasseur	NED	08:58:42	09:12:43	00:52:16	04:55:34	03:05:52	181
13	3	Jens Kaiser	GER	08:58:54	09:17:45	00:56:06	04:46:45	03:11:03	(204)
14	10	Thomas Naasz	NED	09:12:54	09:25:00	00:54:12	04:59:10	03:14:33	236
15	19	Stefan Eichheimer	GER	09:21:02	09:39:04	00:57:05	04:58:48	03:20:08	(292)
16	17	Jacob Veenstra	NED	09:28:41	09:49:53	00:53:21	05:04:54	03:25:26	(331)
17	16	Eddy Lamers	NED	09:43:40	10:05:25	00:50:36	04:53:10	03:54:53	(385)
18	31	Blaz Brecko	SLO	09:53:49	10:12:55	00:00:00	00:00:00	00:00:00	(404)
19	12	Diederik Scheltinga	NED	11:08:13	11:43:33	00:50:40	05:21:59	04:50:34	(479)
	20	Marijn De Jonge	NED	n/a	unrated	unrated	unrated	unrated	(n/a)
	21	Attila Szabo	HUN	n/a	unrated	unrated	unrated	unrated	(n/a)
	22	Dirk Baelus	BEL	n/a	unrated	unrated	unrated	unrated	(n/a)
	23	Dominic Rohan-Gates	GBR	n/a	unrated	unrated	unrated	unrated	(n/a)
	25	Juanma Cardenas	ESP	n/a	unrated	unrated	unrated	unrated	(n/a)
	26	Markus Hoermann	GER	n/a	unrated	unrated	unrated	unrated	(n/a)
	27	Olivier Godart	LUX	n/a	unrated	unrated	unrated	unrated	(n/a)
	28	Peter Res	NED	n/a	unrated	unrated	unrated	unrated	(n/a)
	29	Tjardo Visser	NED	n/a	unrated	unrated	unrated	unrated	(n/a)
	30	Tjerk Tjallema	NED	n/a	unrated	unrated	unrated	unrated	(n/a)
	32	Guido Kwakkel	NED	n/a	unrated	unrated	unrated	unrated	(n/a)
	33	Henk-Jan Dolsma	NED	n/a	unrated	unrated	unrated	unrated	(n/a)
	34	Ben Van Oeveren	NED	n/a	unrated	unrated	unrated	unrated	(n/a)
	35	Bob Martens	NED	n/a	unrated	unrated	unrated	unrated	(n/a)
	36	Maarten Peters	NED	n/a	unrated	unrated	unrated	unrated	(n/a)
	37	Marco Glastra	NED	n/a	unrated	unrated	unrated	unrated	(n/a)
	38	Ricardo Scholten	NED	n/a	unrated	unrated	unrated	unrated	(n/a)

Female Race Participants

Rank	Bib	Name	Nation	Expected Time	Rating	Exp. Swim	Exp. Bike	Exp. Run	Overall
1	51	Mirjam Weerd	NED	09:34:39	09:41:33	00:52:56	05:08:38	03:28:05	(50)
2	52	Beate Goertz	GER	09:42:55	09:53:31	01:03:06	05:08:50	03:25:59	79
3	55	Brooke Brown	CAN	09:53:53	10:07:17	01:02:34	05:21:36	03:24:43	(111)
4	54	Lena Holmgren	SWE	09:55:11	10:13:53	01:05:48	05:26:10	03:18:14	(122)
5	53	Kathrin Walther	GER	09:56:06	10:26:46	00:57:57	05:17:16	03:35:53	157
6	56	Irene Kinnegim	NED	09:58:16	10:13:40	01:07:04	05:22:53	03:23:18	119
7	57	Celia Kuch	GER	10:01:45	10:18:14	01:01:37	05:22:16	03:32:53	131
8	60	Kristin Lie	NOR	10:02:16	10:13:41	01:10:35	05:16:47	03:29:54	120
9	59	Carla Van Rooijen	NED	10:02:36	10:19:51	01:10:13	05:25:17	03:22:07	136
10	65	Lina-Kristin Schink	GER	10:06:46	10:16:58	01:08:28	05:25:14	03:28:04	129
11	61	Julia Bohn	GER	10:08:00	10:21:27	01:00:11	05:32:13	03:30:36	142
	58	Grada Boschker	NED	n/a	unrated	unrated	unrated	unrated	(n/a)
	62	Nina Bakker	NED	n/a	unrated	unrated	unrated	unrated	(n/a)
	64	Camille Deligny	FRA	n/a	unrated	unrated	unrated	unrated	(n/a)
	66	Linda Van Bemmel	NED	n/a	unrated	unrated	unrated	unrated	(n/a)

Winning Odds

Male Race Participants

On the male side, last year’s winner Markus Fachbach is back to defend his title. He faces a large contingent of Dutch athletes such asMark Oude-Benning, Dirk Wijnalda (2nd last year), Roeland Smits and Erik-Simon Strijk. Also strong runner Gerrit Schellens from Belgium, David Naesvik from Sweden and US athlete AJ Baucco make picking the podium tricky.

• Markus Fachbach: 62% (1-1)
• Mark Oude Bennink: 14% (6-1)
• Dirk Wijnalda: 9% (10-1)
• Roeland Smits: 4% (24-1)
• Erik-Simon Strijk: 4% (25-1)
• Gerrit Schellens: 3% (30-1)
• David Naesvik: 3% (36-1)

Female Race Participants

Last year’s female winner, Heleen Bij de Vaate has retired but Mirjam Weerd looks to continue the Dutch streak of winners. (Mirjam has announced she won’t race.) The other main contenders to receive a beer shower are Germans Beate Görtz and Kathrin Walter, Canadian Brooke Brawn, Swede Lena Holmgren, Norwegian Kristin Lie and more Dutch athletes lead by Irene Kinnegim and Carla Van Rooijen.

• Mirjam Weerd: 42% (1-1)
• Beate Goertz: 24% (3-1)
• Kathrin Walther: 11% (8-1)
• Brooke Brown: 4% (23-1)
• Irene Kinnegim: 4% (24-1)
• Carla Van Rooijen: 4% (25-1)
• Lena Holmgren: 3% (32-1)
• Kristin Lie: 2% (41-1)