Here is my calculation of the KPR at the end of August qualifying, deciding the final 10 male and 7 female slots (in addition to the July Qualifiers). My results are unofficial, the official results will be posted on the Ironman website at http://eu.ironman.com/triathlon/triathlon-rankings/points-system.aspx (but as far as I can tell will show the same data). I do not show the July qualifiers, therefore it is a bit easier to determine the August qualifiers. The ranks of athletes just outside the slots will be shown in (brackets). I will update this post with new information regarding declined slots and rolldown.

Once the field has been completed, I will work on this year’s version of the Kona Rating Report, looking at the field and each athlete’s chances for a good result. The free report will be released in time before the Kona race, you can already pre-order your copy.

Update Aug 21st: As expected, Yvonne has declined her slot and it’s been accepted by Katja Konschak. Most of the other slots have been accepted by now, the few remaining ones are expected to do so with the next day or two.

Update Aug 22nd: As Tim Don posted on his Instagram feed, he received a rolldown slot, apparently from Jonathan Shearon who is the only athlete not marked with a Q on the KPR website.

Update Aug 23rd: Matt Russell was offered a wild-card slot by Ironman which he accepted (details in his Instagram post). Matt was racing last year’s race in Kona when he was hit by cross-traffic and barely escaped with his life.

Male KPR Rankings

Rank	Name	Nation	Points	Races	Last Race
1	Koutny, Philipp	SUI	4925	3+1 (855/400)	2018-08-04
2	Stein, Boris	GER	4880	2+2 (960/320)	2018-08-19
3	Duelsen, Marc	GER	4250	3+1 (705/345)	2018-08-04
4	Viennot, Cyril	FRA	4060	2+2 (1280/280)	2018-08-19
5	Molinari, Giulio	ITA	3610	3+1 (720/540)	2018-08-19
6	Millward, Callum	NZL	3465	2+2 (685/540)	2018-08-04
7	Cochrane, Simon	NZL	3420	3+1 (720/140)	2018-07-15
8	Kastelein, Nick	AUS	3340	1+2 (2455/345)	2018-07-08
9	Baldwin, Nick	SEY	3305	3+1 (305/280)	2018-08-19
10 D	Shearon, Jonathan	USA	3290	3+1 (540/540)	2018-07-29
–	Kanute, Ben	USA	3200	0+2 (0/500)	2018-06-03
11	Don, Tim	GBR	3160	1+2 (230/500)	2018-08-19
12	Russell, Matt	USA	3145	2+2 (1280/240)	2018-08-19
(13)	Jurkiewicz, Jeremy	FRA	3125	3+1 (540/345)	2018-07-29
–	Appleton, Sam	AUS	3105	0+2 (0/920)	2018-08-04
(14)	Vistica, Andrej	CRO	3060	3+1 (720/100)	2018-08-15
(15)	Gambles, Joe	AUS	2885	1+2 (1600/500)	2018-08-19

Female KPR Rankings

Rank	Name	Nation	Points	Races	Last Race
1	Blatchford, Liz	AUS	5535	2+2 (2000/750)	2018-08-19
2	Abraham, Corinne	GBR	5280	3+1 (1100/180)	2018-08-18
3 D	Van Vlerken, Yvonne	NED	5100	3+1 (960/540)	2018-08-12
4	Kessler, Meredith	USA	4485	2+2 (1280/750)	2018-08-19
5	Brandon, Lauren	USA	4470	2+2 (1335/750)	2018-08-19
6	Lundstroem, Asa	SWE	4390	3+1 (880/240)	2018-08-18
7	McKenzie, Beth	USA	4310	1+2 (2890/500)	2018-08-19
8	Konschak, Katja	GER	4110	3+1 (960/100)	2018-08-05
(9)	Naeth, Angela	CAN	4065	3+1 (720/785)	2018-08-18
(10)	Lindholm Borg, Camilla	SWE	3920	3+1 (720/320)	2018-08-18
(11)	Chura, Haley	USA	3875	2+2 (705/920)	2018-08-05
(12)	Grohmann, Katharina	GER	3620	3+1 (340/345)	2018-07-29

 

This post looks at Kona Pro Qualifying before the remaining races before the August cutoff:

Date	Type	Race	Points
12-Aug	70.3	70.3 Steelhead	P-750
18-Aug	IM	IM Sweden – WPRO only	P-2000
19-Aug	70.3	70.3 Bintan	P-500
19-Aug	IM	IM Copenhagen – MPRO only	P-2000
19-Aug	70.3	70.3 Dun Laoghaire	P-500
19-Aug	IM	IM Mont Tremblant	P-2000

(The results from 70.3 Steelhead and 70.3 Dun Laoghaire did not influence the race for the August slots.)

There are more Ironman and 70.3 races in August, but they are already part of 2019 qualifying. The August qualifiers for 2018 are determined on August 19th.

The following analysis is built on the available start lists posted by Ironman and assumes that there are not going to be any late entries. As always, you can check start lists and seedings on TriRating.com.

Women’s Qualifying

August 18th: Updated after IM Sweden, August 19th: Updated after 70.3 Bintan

There are 7 Kona points slots (not counting the athletes already qualified in July) for the female Pros in August. The following table lists the athletes currently occupying the qualifying slots:

Rank	Athlete	Points	Races	Comments
1	Corinne Abraham	5.289	3+1
(2)	Yvonne Van Vlerken	5.100	3+1	expected to decline (not interested in racing Kona)
3	Asa Lundstroem	4.390	3+1
4	Beth McKenzie	4.310	1+2
5	Katja Konschak	4.110	3+1
6	Angela Naeth	4.065	3+1
7	Camilla Lindholm Borg	3.920	3+1
8	Haley Chura	3.875	2+2

The following table lists what each of the athletes will need who are on one of the start lists and who can still overtake Katharina (who was initially the athlete in the last qualifying spot with 3.620 points), even if that is probably not going to be enough for securing a slot (i.e. even if one can pass Katharina, there are likely others that leap further ahead). In brackets I have added the (result) that will be needed to be quite certain of a slot (regardless of where others may finish, “n/a” meaning that even with a win a slot is not assured). For the women, the “magic number” of points to qualify in August should be just below 4.200, anyone who can pass Katja should be safe:

Athlete	Points	Races	Registered for	Needs
Liz Blatchford	3.535	1+2	IM Mont Tremblant	8th (5th)
Asa Lundstroem	3.510	3+1	IM Sweden	4th (2nd)
Laurel Wassner	3.480	2+2	IM Mont Tremblant (DNS)	4th (3rd)
Angela Naeth	3.425	2+2	IM Sweden, IM Mont Tremblant	4th (2nd)
Corinne Abraham	3.280	2+1	IM Sweden	7th (4th)
Lauren Brandon	3.210	2+2	IM Mont Tremblant	4th (2nd)
Meredith Kessler	3.205	1+2	IM Mont Tremblant	5th (3rd)
Dede Griesbauer	2.780	2+1	IM Sweden	4th (2nd)
Kim Morrison *	2.690	2+2	IM Sweden	2nd (Win)
Jessie Donavan	2.395	3+1	IM Mont Tremblant (DNS)	Win (Win)
Sonja Tajsich	1.800	2+1	IM Sweden	Win (n/a)

* Similar to Yvonne Van Vlerken, Kim Morrison has indicated that she would decline a Kona slot.

Update August 10th: With Sara no longer in the mix for an August slot, the cutoff will probably occur somewhere between Katja and Camilla, likely around 4.000 points. This slightly reduces the needed finishes, in most scenarios athletes should qualify by finishing one rank further down than listed above.

There are a lot more athletes registered for the remaining August races, you can check start lists and seedings on TriRating.com.

Men’s Qualifying

August 19th: Updated after IM Copenhagen

There are 10 Kona points slots (not counting the athletes qualified in July) for the male Pros in August. The following table lists the male Pros in the direct qualifying ranks:

Rank	Athlete	Points	Races	Comments
1	Philipp Koutny	4.925	3+1
2	Boris Stein	4.880	2+2
3	Marc Duelsen	4.250	3+1
4	Cyril Vienot	4.060	2+2
5	Giulio Molinari	3.610	3+1
6	Callum Millward	3.465	2+2
7	Simon Cochrane	3.420	3+1
8	Nick Kastelein	3.340	1+2
9	Nick Baldwin	3.305	3+1
10	Jonathan Shearon	3.290	3+1
–	Ben Kanute	3.200	0+2	not validated, no known IM plans
11	Tim Don	3.160	1+2	registered for IM Copenhagen (should be safe with a 7th)
12	Jeremy Jurkiewicz	3.125	3+1
–	Sam Appleton	3.105	0+2	not validated, no known IM plans

Boris Stein still needs an Ironman finish to be eligible for a slot. He is registered for IM Copenhagen and “just finishing” will secure a points slot for him. With Ben Kanute and Sam Appleton not being eligible for Kona (no Ironman finish), this means that currently Nick Baldwin occupies the last direct qualifying slot, but it’s safe to assume that a number of athletes are going to score and that more than 3.100 points will be needed.

The next table lists what each of the athletes will need who are on one of the start lists and who can still get to at least 3.105 points, even if that is probably not going to be enough for securing a slot (i.e. even if one can pass that mark, there are likely others that leap further ahead). In brackets I have added the (result) that will be needed to be quite certain of a slot (regardless of where others may finish, “n/a” meaning that even with a win a slot is not assured). For the men I consider 3.500 to be the “magic number” for an August slot, anyone who can pass Callum should be safe:

Athlete	Points	Races	Registered for	Needs
Andrej Vistica *	3.060	3+1	IM Copenhagen	4th (3rd)
Joe Gambles	2.885	1+2	IM Mont Tremblant	8th (5th)
Mark Bowstead	2.830	3+1	70.3 Indonesia	2nd (n/a)
Giulio Molinari	2.670	3+1	IM Copenhagen	4th (3rd)
Jesper Svensson	2.620	1+2	IM Copenhagen	6th (4th)
Patrick McKeon	2.595	2+1	IM Mont Tremblant (DNS)	6th (4th)
Jeff Symonds	2.320	2+0	IM Mont Tremblant	4th (3rd)
Sam Long	2.305	3+1	IM Mont Tremblant	3rd (2nd)
Matthew Russell	2.080	2+2	IM Mont Tremblant	3rd (2nd)
Cyril Viennot	2.060	1+2	IM Copenhagen	3rd (2nd)
Johann Ackermann	1.905	2+2	IM Copenhagen	2nd (Win)
Stefan Schmid	1.680	2+0	IM Copenhagen	2nd (Win)
Daniil Sapunov	1.465	2+2	IM Copenhagen	Win (n/a)

* Andrej Vistica has announced that he will skip IM Copenhagen and is therefore out of the qualifying game.

As for the women, there are a lot more athletes registered for the remaining August races, you can check start lists and seedings on TriRating.com.