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Ironman Australia 2017 (May 7th) – Entry List

At this point, the list is not final yet: Pro athletes have until April 16th to register for the race.

Last Updated: March 21st

  • March 21st: Added Michelle Gailey, Jessica Richards, Laura Siddall, Karen Thibodeau, David Dellow, Clayton Fettell, and Michael Fox

Male Race Participants

Name Nation KPR points KPR races
Nick Baldwin SEY 1790 2+2 (405/15)
Michael Fox AUS 725 1+1
Levi Maxwell AUS 625 2+1
David Dellow AUS 520 1+1
Clayton Fettell AUS 490 1+2 (170/140)
Paul Ambrose AUS 320 0+2 (0/140)
Carl Read NZL 105 2+0

Female Race Participants

Name Nation KPR points KPR races
Laura Siddall GBR 4360 2+2 (1280/640)
Linsey Corbin USA 2415 1+2 (1900/100)
Karen Thibodeau CAN 80 0+1
Michelle Gailey AUS
Lauren Parker AUS
Jessica Richards AUS

Ironman New Zealand 2017 – Analyzing Results

Race Conditions

This year was probably one of the slowest conditions for Taupo: An adjustment of -4:08 indicates a ten minute difference to last years record breaking conditions. Consequently, times were quite a bit slower across the board, for example the fastest bike splits were 15 minutes slower than last year. It’s no surprise that these conditions did not allow any new course records!

Male Race Results

For a long time it looked as if Terenzo Bozzone was repeating his sub-8 Western Australia performance, quickly building a lead on the bike. But towards T2 he ran out of steam and Braden Currie – second at CoastToCoast just three weeks ago –  started the run just two minutes behind him. Terenzo’s 3:03 marathon saw him fall back to 6th place in the end, while Braden had the best marathon of the chasers and won the race with a comfortable margin.

Cam Brown was 9th into T2 about 11 minutes behind the lead – pretty much the end of his hopes of defending his Taupo title. Nonetheless he gave it his best on the run, posting the fastest run split of the day (and his best marathon time in Taupo!) with a 2:42, running all the way into second place. Third place went to Cyril Viennot, the second best marathon (just 1:10 slower than Cam) allowed him to run through the field as well.

2014 winner Marko Albert was near the front for most of the day, but even though he ran what is for him a good 2:56 marathon, he couldn’t match the faster runners and eventually fell back to fourth place. Mark Bowstead was solid across the board and finished fifth.

Pre-race favorite Marino Vanhoenacker didn’t have a good day: Usually one of the strongest bike riders, he could barely stay with the group he was riding with after the swim and was disappointed to end his race after the first loop of the bike.

Rank Name Nation Swim Bike Run Time Diff to expected Prize Money
1 Braden Currie NZL 00:48:11 04:39:55 02:48:23 08:20:58 -28:54 US$ 15,000
2 Cameron Brown NZL 00:53:17 04:43:46 02:42:29 08:24:32 -08:10 US$ 7,500
3 Cyril Viennot FRA 00:53:23 04:42:28 02:43:39 08:25:43 -08:24 US$ 5,000
4 Marko Albert EST 00:48:01 04:41:47 02:56:03 08:30:16 -05:46 US$ 3,250
5 Mark Bowstead NZL 00:51:07 04:40:36 02:54:24 08:31:01 -08:17 US$ 2,750
6 Terenzo Bozzone NZL 00:48:08 04:37:45 03:03:07 08:33:35 06:41 US$ 2,000
7 Per Bittner GER 00:53:22 04:43:50 03:02:08 08:44:13 00:31 US$ 1,500
8 Simon Cochrane NZL 00:53:10 04:48:49 03:01:36 08:48:10 -10:27 US$ 1,250
9 Diego Van Looy BEL 01:07:48 04:47:44 02:50:50 08:52:05 -01:08 US$ 1,000
10 Clayton Fettell AUS 00:48:03 04:46:47 03:15:23 08:54:47 11:59 US$ 750
11 Philipp Koutny SUI 00:53:22 04:51:01 03:15:10 09:04:57 21:48
12 Carl Read NZL 00:57:02 05:02:57 03:01:06 09:07:01 01:42
13 Young Hwan Oh KOR 01:08:13 05:10:11 03:08:08 09:33:04 02:07
14 Bryan Rhodes NZL 00:48:38 05:23:35 03:28:41 09:45:50 31:27
Todd Skipworth AUS 00:48:37 04:45:57 DNF
Allister Caird AUS 01:00:03 04:52:56 DNF
Graham O’Grady NZL 00:48:07 05:24:34 DNF
Samuel Murphy AUS 01:00:21 05:24:28 DNF
Marino Vanhoenacker BEL 00:53:15 DNF
Cedric Lassonde FRA 00:55:27 DNF
Cameron Paul NZL 00:56:14 DNF
Guillaume Jeannin FRA 00:56:19 DNF
Scott Defilippis USA 00:59:32 DNF

Female Race Results

As usual, Meredith Kessler was leading the race after the swim, but Annabel Luxford was just two seconds behind. Meredith couldn’t shake Annabel on the bike either. Behind them, a chase group consisting of Yvonne Van Vlerken, Laura Siddall and Jocelyn McCauley was initially about six minutes behind the leaders, but they slowly closed the gap, and all five entered T2 within seconds.

Meredith again tried to take control of the race early in the run, but never managed to built a lead of more than 30 seconds to her chasers. Around the half-marathon mark Jocelyn went to the front and quickly built a lead of more than five minutes. In the end Jocelyn had the fastest marathon of the day, her 2:59:40 is the first female sub-3 marathon of the year and only 30 seconds off the 2004 course record by Jess Draskau-Petersson.

Behind Jocelyn Laura had the best-paced marathon, when the others started to struggle she was able to continue to run well and move up into second place. On what was probably a sub-par day for her, Meredith continued to fight hard, earning the last spot on the podium.  Annabel continues to work on her IM marathon, after being close to the lead for most of the day her 3:32 run meant she finished in fourth place. Yvonne Van Vlerken had problems with her nutrition and was stung by a bee, she ended her day at the half marathon mark. Emma Bilham and Alysssa Godesky – both backing up after Challenge Wanaka – finished in fifth and sixth.

Rank Name Nation Swim Bike Run Time Diff to expected Prize Money
1 Jocelyn McCauley USA 00:59:14 05:05:24 02:59:40 09:09:47 -35:42 US$ 15,000
2 Laura Siddall GBR 00:59:16 05:05:00 03:12:47 09:21:53 -12:01 US$ 7,500
3 Meredith Kessler USA 00:53:23 05:10:54 03:18:11 09:27:19 10:12 US$ 5,000
4 Annabel Luxford AUS 00:53:25 05:11:01 03:32:23 09:41:48 11:48 US$ 3,250
5 Emma Bilham SUI 00:59:15 05:37:26 03:10:35 09:52:33 18:29 US$ 2,750
6 Alyssa Godesky USA 01:07:34 05:30:41 03:19:36 10:03:58 -05:14 US$ 2,000
7 Fawn Whiting CAN 01:10:13 05:33:51 03:19:39 10:09:19 n/a US$ 1,500
8 Wendy McAlpine AUS 01:05:35 05:25:11 03:40:13 10:17:54 07:45 US$ 1,250
9 Jessica Mitchell AUS 01:09:09 05:33:58 03:35:19 10:25:15 -17:57 US$ 1,000
10 Mackenzie Madison USA 01:09:19 05:30:59 03:39:55 10:27:08 33:38 US$ 750
11 Erin Furness NZL 01:09:08 05:44:47 03:37:18 10:37:06 11:38
12 Tracy Morrison AUS 01:08:54 06:07:42 03:48:32 11:11:42 44:47
13 Yvette Grice GBR 01:01:38 05:52:55 04:37:45 11:40:05 1:10:44
Yvonne Van Vlerken NED 00:59:24 05:05:24 DNF
Carrie Lester AUS 00:58:46 DNF
Vanessa Murray NZL 00:59:20 DNF
Tamsyn Hayes NZL 01:09:05 DNF

Kona Qualifying Implications

On the male side, none of the top finishers have been able to secure Kona slots, here are those that are now close but still short of the projected cutoff of 3.500 points:

  • Braden Currie 2.750
  • Marko Albert 2.580
  • Cyril Viennot 2.420

Terenzo Bozzone was already safe before Taupo, with 6.225 he’s the top athlete who has already validated his slot with a non-Kona finish.

On the female side, the top finishers are just around the projected cutoff of 4.300 points:

  • Laura Siddall 4.360
  • Meredith Kessler 4.265
  • Jocelyn McCauley 4.000
  • Annabel Luxford 3.480

All of them will likely need a few more points, but except for Jocelyn that would probably mean they have to do another IM race to qualify .. or hope until the final races that not too many other will overtake them. Tough decisions ahead!

Race Posts – Explaining the Types and Data

TriRating’s main feature is data about Ironman-distance races and my analysis of these results. This post describes the different types of race posts and the data in them.

Entry List

This is usually my first post about a specific race. A couple of weeks out there is information about which Professionals have registered for a race. At this point, the list is not final yet – there are still some more athletes that can register, and some athletes that registered may withdraw before race day.

Here’s a sample screenshot:

EntryList

The list shows the Pros that have entered a race, ordered by their bib number (when already available), their KPR points (if it’s an Ironman® race) or their last name.

The following details are shown:

  • Name: The full name of the athletes (first name and last name )
  • Nation: The nationality of the athlete (sometimes different from the official lists that often show where the athletes is currently residing)
  • KPR points: The total Kona Qualifying points the athlete has accumulated at the time I publish the entry list
  • KPR races: The number of Ironman and 70.3 races that the athlete’s KPR points are coming from. For example, “3+1” for Harry Wiltshire means that he already has three Ironman races and one 70.3 race in his total. (Remember that only up to four races – up to three IMs and up to two 70.3s – can contribute to an athlete’s total.) The points in brackets show the lowest scoring race from each category, so “(235/500)” for Harry mean that his worst IM score is 235 points, and his worst 70.3 score is 500 points – these are scores that could get bumped from the total when he tries to add another race to his total.
Depending on the information available, the Entry List may also show
  • Bib number
  • Age of the athlete on race day
I won’t be publishing entry lists for all races, as not all races make this information available in a timely fashion. Ironman is usually posting Entry Lists roughly four weeks out from a race.

Seedings

After a race has been closed for entry by Professionals, a start list is posted by the race organizer, typically two weeks before a race. Late entries are possible but pretty rare, late withdrawals are much more common. Also, athletes often register for a number of races within a short time, giving them a back-up race in case something happens in the first race they target.

Here’s a sample seeding (from the female race at IM New Zealand 2017):

Seeding

This list shows many more details than an entry list:

  • Rank: The expected place of this athlete based on everyone’s previous results (and every athlete on the start list starting and finishing the race) and their corresponding expected time (see below).
  • Bib: The bib number as assigned by the race (if the information in available)
  • Name: The full name of the athlete (first name and last name)
  • Nation: The nationality of the athlete (sometimes different from the official lists that often show where the athletes is currently residing)
  • Expected Time: The time I expect an athlete to finish on the course of the race, based on the athlete’s previous results and how fast or how slow the course is, also favoring results from the course.
    The background color shows who are the fastest athletes (dark red – expected time within 12 minutes of the projected winner) and who are close (lighter red – expected time within 25 minutes).
  • Rating: The weighted average of an athlete’s previous performances. This is more stable than the expected time (i.e. older results are not discounted quite as much) and course-neutral. For example, Yvonne Van Vlerken has a better rating than Meredith Kessler, but as Meredith has performed extremely well in Taupo, her expected time is the fastest.
  • Expected Swim, Bike and Run: Similar to the Expected Time, but broken down for each of the legs and the athlete’s strengths and weaknesses. Again, the background color is used to show the expected fastest athletes in each of the legs.
  • Consistency: The consistency shows how often an athlete has performed to the expected times. The first number (e.g. “60%” for Meredith) indicates how often the athlete was close to the expected time (roughly within 20 minutes), the second number (“+10%”) how often she was faster and the third number (“-30%”) how often she had a sub-par race (including DNFs). The last number, shown in brackets (“(26)”) shows the total number of IM-distance races an athlete has started. You can find a longer discussion of the consistency in this post.
  • Overall: The place the athlete has in the overall rankings. Numbers shown in brackets (e.g. “(52)” for Emma Bilham) indicate where an athlete would be ranked, but that he/she does not currently have a valid rating (requiring one finish within the last year and at least three finishes).

Result Analysis

Once the race has been completed, I publish the results with my analysis of how the athlete performed, usually within a day or two after the race has been held.

Here’s an example from the female race at Challenge Wanaka 2017:

Results

The following details are listed:

  • Rank: The position the athlete finished in the professional race.
  • Name: The full name of the athlete, depending on how the athlete has performed relative to the expected time and the conditions on race, the name is shown in red (more than 3 minutes slower), in green (more than three minutes faster) or black (within three minutes of the expected time).
  • Nation: The nationality of the athlete
  • Swim, Bike and Run: The times for the swim, bike and run legs, again colored according to how well the athlete performed on race day. The background color is used to indicate who had the fastest time in each leg (dark green) and who was close (lighter green).
  • Time: The “clock time” of an athlete’s finish at this race. A “DNF” indicates that the athlete didn’t finish the race, the splits are given as far as the athlete has completed the race.
  • Diff to expected: The difference of the total time of an athlete compared to the expected time (based on the conditions on race day).
  • Prize Money: The prize money the athlete has earned for his finish in the race.

Ironman Texas 2017 (April 22nd) – Entry List

Last updated: March 21st

Change Log:

  • March 26th: Removed Michael Weiss – after crashing in Campeche and breaking his collarbone he won’t be able to race Texas
  • March 21st: Added Haley Chura, Erin Green, Michaela Herlbauer, Kirsty Jahn, Tyler Butterfield, Will Clarke, Karl-Johan Danielsson, Daniel Fontana, Philipp Koutny, and Jonathan Shearon
  • March 10th: Added  Antony Costes, Leon Griffin, Peter Kotland, Paul Matthews, Tomas Mika, Callum Millward, Matic Modic, Timothy Nichols, Jens Petersen-Bach, Jordan Rapp, Ivan Tutukin, Shiao-yu Li, Nicole Luse and Ashley Paulson

Male Race Participants

Name Nation KPR points KPR races
Matthew Russell USA 5195 3+1 (1280/75)
Harry Wiltshire GBR 3040 3+1 (235/500)
David Plese SLO 2970 2+2 (880/345)
Marc Duelsen GER 2540 2+0
Daniel Fontana ITA 2210 1+1
Matt Hanson USA 2110 1+2 (960/400)
Michael Weiss AUT 1945 2+1
Jeff Symonds CAN 1665 1+1
Ivan Tutukin RUS 1600 1+0
Ronnie Schildknecht SUI 1375 1+0
Adam Gordon AUS 1165 1+2 (960/90)
Tyler Butterfield BMU 1150 0+2 (0/435)
Antony Costes FRA 1145 1+2 (20/500)
Trevor Delsaut FRA 990 1+1
Jens Petersen-Bach DEN 960 1+0
Todd Skipworth AUS 885 0+2 (0/345)
Karl-Johan Danielsson SWE 845 2+0
Leon Griffin AUS 690 0+2 (0/345)
Jordan Rapp USA 580 1+1
Philipp Koutny SUI 430 2+1
Alexander Schilling GER 405 1+1
Barrett Brandon USA 340 1+1
Stephen Kilshaw CAN 325 0+2 (0/85)
Paul Ambrose AUS 320 0+2 (0/140)
Matic Modic SLO 305 1+0
Callum Millward NZL 235 1+0
Jonathan Shearon USA 175 1+1
Will Clarke GBR 155 1+0
Joe Skipper GBR 155 1+0
Colin Laughery USA 88 2+0
Patrick Schuster USA 40 1+0
Matt Shanks USA 34 2+1
Blake Becker USA 20 0+1
Peter Kotland CZE 15 1+0
Jarrod Shoemaker USA 13 1+1
Timothy Nichols USA 5 0+1
Christopher Baird USA
James Capparell USA
Bas Diederen NED
Nils Frommhold GER
Paul Matthews AUS
Tomas Mika CZE
Frank Souza BRA
Robert Wade IRL

Female Race Participants

Name Nation KPR points KPR races
Jocelyn McCauley USA 4000 2+0
Lauren Brandon USA 2755 1+2 (1600/515)
Celine Schaerer SUI 2665 2+2 (540/180)
Darbi Roberts USA 2540 2+0
Alicia Kaye USA 2415 1+2 (340/640)
Shiao-yu Li TWN 2140 2+0
Malindi Elmore CAN 2100 1+2 (1280/180)
Leslie DiMichele Miller USA 1875 2+1
Maja Stage Nielsen DEN 1600 1+0
Haley Chura USA 1290 0+2 (0/540)
Kirsty Jahn CAN 1125 0+2 (0/500)
Tine Deckers BEL 920 0+1
Annett Finger GER 855 1+2 (230/280)
Erin Green USA 785 1+1
Michaela Herlbauer AUT 705 1+0
Susie Cheetham GBR 640 0+1
Kelly Williamson USA 620 1+2 (305/75)
Ashley Paulson USA 490 2+0
Jodie Robertson USA 470 1+1
Caroline Livesey GBR 345 0+2 (0/125)
Jessica Jones Meyers USA 320 0+1
Mackenzie Madison USA 200 2+0
Francesca Sanjana GBR 115 0+1
Nicole Luse USA 95 2+0
Jessica Smith USA 40 1+0
Amber Ferreira USA

Ironman South Africa 2017 (April 2nd) – Entry List

Male Race Participants

Name Nation KPR points KPR races
Ben Hoffman USA 6375 1+1
Frederik Van Lierde BEL 5100 2+0
Boris Stein GER 4250 1+0
Harry Wiltshire GBR 3040 3+1 (235/500)
David McNamee GBR 1900 1+0
Josh Amberger AUS 1590 0+2 (0/750)
Johann Ackermann GER 1360 1+1
Ivan Risti ITA 1280 1+0
James Cunnama ZAF 980 1+1
Jens Petersen-Bach DEN 960 1+0
Michael Ruenz GER 900 1+1
Mario De Elias ARG 880 0+2 (0/240)
Giulio Molinari ITA 720 1+0
Drew Scott USA 625 0+2 (0/280)
Kyle Buckingham ZAF 540 0+1
Alessandro Degasperi ITA 450 1+0
Eneko Llanos ESP 340 1+0
Christian Kramer GER 320 1+1
Roman Deisenhofer GER 305 1+0
Andrej Vistica CRO 285 1+1
Balazs Csoke HUN 260 1+1
Diego Van Looy BEL 239 1+1
Jonathan Shearon USA 175 1+1
Joe Skipper GBR 155 1+0
Jan Van Berkel SUI 145 0+1
Urs Mueller SUI 135 1+1
Freddy Lampret ZAF 40 0+2 (0/5)
Toumy Degham FRA 35 0+1
Emanuele Ciotti ITA 2 1+0
Fredrik Backson SWE 0 0+0
Erik-Simon Strijk NED 0 0+0
Carlos Aznar Gallego ESP
Vinicius Canhedo BRA
Bekim Christensen DEN
Greg Close USA
Victor Del Corral ESP
Nils Frommhold GER
Marcus Vinicius Fernandes BRA
Valentin Zasypkin RUS

Female Race Participants

Name Nation KPR points KPR races
Daniela Ryf SUI 10935 1+2 (8000/750)
Kaisa Lehtonen FIN 6095 1+2 (5250/345)
Laura Siddall GBR 4360 2+2 (1280/640)
Mareen Hufe GER 3250 2+1
Astrid Stienen GER 3040 1+2 (2000/435)
Katharina Grohmann GER 2240 2+0
Danielle Mack USA 2170 2+0
Jeanne Collonge FRA 1880 1+1
Tine Holst DEN 1700 2+1
Annah Watkinson ZAF 1625 1+1
Nikki Bartlett GBR 1405 1+1
Dimity-Lee Duke AUS 1405 1+2 (880/125)
Kirsty Jahn CAN 1125 0+2 (0/500)
Natascha Schmitt GER 1125 1+2 (540/255)
Jodie Cunnama GBR 1090 1+1
Kate Comber GBR 855 1+1
Alexandra Tondeur BEL 805 1+1
Kristin Moeller GER 775 1+1
Diane Luethi SUI 720 1+0
Rachel McBride CAN 720 1+0
Susie Cheetham GBR 640 0+1
Lina-Kristin Schink GER 635 2+0
Helena Herrero Gomez ESP 305 1+0
Gurutze Frades Larralde ESP 235 1+0
Rahel Bellinga NED 125 1+1
Camille Deligny FRA 0 0+0
Julia Gajer GER 0 0+0
Manon Genet FRA 0 0+0
Steph Corker CAN
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